Lay The Draw + Back 1-1 Correct Score Insurance [CASE STUDY]

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Is Lay The Draw and Backing 1-1 Correct Score a good insurance strategy to trade football with on Betfair? In this video I am going to take a deep look at a method that many have spoken about for years and I am going to see if there is any sort of mathematical edge in it.
-------------------FREEBIES------------------
Only check these out after watching the video in full.
PDF Cheat Sheet: sportstradinglife.com/ltdchea...
Edge Calculator: sportstradinglife.com/edgecal...
🚀 Free Football Trading Strategies Masterclass: sportstradinglife.com/freemas...
--------- ABOUT THIS VIDEO ----------------
For over a decade now, football traders all over have looked at ways to improve the original lay the draw strategy. For many, the problem being that the dreaded scenario of a 0-0 coming up can cause them to take a loss.
But in this video I show you that the 1-1 scoreline is actually more frequent than 0-0 and perhaps that is the scoreline we should be worrying about. And many have wondered if backing the 1-1 scoreline in the Correct Score market could offer some insurance against that possibility and make it easier to profit.
However, the way that the majority have been approaching using 1-1 insurance is all wrong.
I will show you the best way to approach this way of trading and a lot more.
------ HERE IS WHAT TO EXPECT -------
1 - Step by Step Instruction to show you the TYPICAL way to use Lay The Draw + 1-1
2 - A real life demonstration of this on a match between Blackburn and Newcastle that highlighted the BIG flaws of this approach.
3 - How to use this strategy at a more opportune time of the match
4 - Step by Step Instruction of the BEST way to use this method
5 - Live Demonstration of the method recorded on Betfair (Watch out for the crazy Brighton-West Ham trade)
6 - I answer the question of “Is there an EDGE?”.
7- I then show you how to calculate the potential edge on future opportunities so you can spot these for yourself.
---------------- FOLLOW SPORTS TRADING LIFE -----
🚀 Free Football Trading Strategies Masterclass: sportstradinglife.com/freemas...
Website: sportstradinglife.com/
Twitter: / followstl
---------------------------HOW TO APPLY--------------------
If you want to take your football trading to the next level then get on the waiting list for the next time Ultimate Football Trading super course opens for enrollment. Here is the link: ultimatefootballtrading.com/a...
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition. The content in this video is for entertainment purposes only.

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Опубликовано:

28 янв 2019

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Комментарии : 199

@SportsTradingLife 5 лет назад

Hope you guys enjoy, as promised here is the cheat sheet link > sportstradinglife.com/ltdcheatsheetdownload If this is something you want to experiment with, let us know your thoughts below in the comments!

@Roland1501Lehmann 5 лет назад

So after all the question is to find a solution to evaluate how big is the risk for a 0-0, because the LTD-strategy for itself is as good as it ever was...

@blazlikovic9010 5 лет назад

why you didnt back draw when odss were 9+ at 2-0 ??

@samsonuriah9651 2 года назад

i dont mean to be off topic but does any of you know a way to log back into an Instagram account? I somehow lost my login password. I would love any tips you can give me.

@johnathankaison8380 2 года назад

@Samson Uriah Instablaster :)

@samsonuriah9651 2 года назад

@Johnathan Kaison thanks so much for your reply. I got to the site thru google and im trying it out atm. Takes quite some time so I will reply here later when my account password hopefully is recovered.

@jaylondon3110 5 лет назад

Lay the draw half time at 55 mins, back the 1-1 correct score insurance at 70 mins if it's still goalless. If a goal scored before 70 mins cash out for profit and exit the market if a goal scored after 70 mins you will have insurance to cover for the 1-1 score. The back price for the 1-1 correct score drifts up when the game remains goalless so you pay small.

@ashrafarif7876 3 года назад

if it is goalless for 55 mins over 0.5 will give you a good odd. Then why you have to do this?

@robinwilliams925 3 года назад

I really like this approach ... top banana 👍 Jay London

@gblandos 3 года назад

@@ashrafarif7876 No it won’t. You will get between 1.35 to 1.4. If you consider this as a good odd then go for it

@jps8678 2 года назад

Very risky back 1-1 at 70 minutes and lose more money. Feels like 0-0 game if no goals scored even when 25minutes 2nd half gone.

@danzesociety 5 лет назад

I have seen the LTD in second half if 0-0, 1-1. Then back the next draw. Usually works best with approx 20 mins to go. A late goal which happens frequently, locks in a massive profit.

@garywilliams148 5 лет назад

Another top video Ben and plenty to chew on thought wise. Definitely going to trial different outcomes on that 👍🏿

@goonercab 5 лет назад

Great video again Ben, thank you👍 Some really interesting comments on this worth considering, cheers guys👍

@relaxing175 5 лет назад

Fascinating. Thanks, Ben. The "win twice" possibility is a great bonus and something that the 0.5 goals market does not offer.

@SportsTradingLife 5 лет назад

Yes very true, it is things like that which can create an "edge" with something like this.

@micheledangelo1902 5 лет назад

Really good video Ben, but this isn't a surprise for me. One of the best things is... with your strategy, there are a plenty of solution that we can talk about; thanks Ben.

@TheDan233 3 года назад

I don't know why but this reminds me of a matched betting 2UP full turnaround. Winning both bets, love it!

@andersondasilva7855 5 лет назад

I'm Brazilian and I really like this channel (although I do not understand English) I've learned a lot here, please keep posting videos similar to this one. From what I could see the worst that can happen to us is a feared 0-0, but the technique works very well in the second half. Parabens and LIKE in the video.

@SportsTradingLife 5 лет назад

Glad to have you on board Anderson!

@andersondasilva7855 5 лет назад

@SÉRIES-TOP Obrigado por interagir,sim já pensei nesta ipotese,mais como ele sempre disponibiliza o ebook para ser baixado na descrição do vídeo.Eu particularmente prefiro traduzir o ebook,da menos trabalho e quase o mesmo resultado. Mais uma vez obrigado pela interação... abraços.

@TheBeanTravel 5 лет назад

great videos, quite enjoy them, however, think you need to remember that most people watching these videos to learn aren't going to be staking £100... (atleast possibly shouldn't be).know its a bit boring, but wont using £10- £20 stakes be more relatable to the intended audience?

@Gargamel-n-Rudmilla 6 месяцев назад

I am trying out the following stake skew of 70-30 when doing LD + 1-1. 70% LD 30% 1-1. If half time 1-1 then exit. Requirements for entry is a clear favorite that has strong scoring agaist a side that conceeds, be that at home or away. Favourit odds should be 1.5 or less 😊. So expecting return of 20-30% profit.

@Garycarlyle 5 лет назад

I really love your videos. I dont think I have any chance of making it work but im learning from you and it maybe it will lead to forming new ideas of my own.

@gccbas 4 года назад

wow thank you so much for illustrating it beautifully ...can't find like this anywhere..

@tradinginvestigationservic4509 3 года назад

if you overload the 1-1 at start then you can lay some of the 1-1 after the first goal to give you higher percentage after first goal . i have refined this trade to work with low scoring matches. works better than you think

@footballratingsspreadsheet1372 5 лет назад

Great vid as always.... I have a suggestion that I have been toying with lately... Wait until a 0-0 game gets to 55-65 mins (60 is best) and lay the draw (price at this point of the game is around 2.00 or lower, don't go in above 2.00 imo)… then back the over 1.5 goals market (price usually around 4.80+) with the amount of liability of the LTD plus about 15-30 extra quid profit... obviously you need to do your homework on best games to do this on as only 1 goal either way will produce a profit. With odds of 2.00 for LTD and 5.00 for o1.5, here are the possible returns and stakes... LTD 100 @ 2.00 (liability of 100) and back o1.5 with 30 @ 5.00 … if game ends 0-0 you lose 130... 1-0 either way, you win 95 after comms on LTD and lose 30 on o1.5 (+65)… 1-1 or any other score draw you lose 100 on LTD and win 114 on o1.5 (+14)… any win for either side except 1-0, 0-1 you win 95 from LTD and 114 from o1.5 market (+209 after comms)… Just a thought... so 1 goal in the game and you win something and the total liability is lower too.

@gccbas 4 года назад

it is risky considering a lot of time has gone to make such bet

@HALFSQUASHED 3 года назад

Did you continue on with this strategy bud, how did it go?

@samuelthuo7157 5 лет назад

It's incredible option I love it.

@hernandotorres1234 5 лет назад

Impressive detail, well done

@Benjamminpoker 4 года назад

Surely the first thing to do when you hit Profit at 2-0 is cash out? The idea of trading and not betting is to get your profit and get out no?

@robinbowkett2076 4 года назад

maybe even 1.0 depending on the time..then if 1.1 comes up ..thats 2 decent bets up

@ianbentley7276 5 лет назад

very good presentation, but as i said below, before watching the video, there's no edge.

@mickevans9667 3 года назад

Love the videos. Started last week with £12 in my account. Now I'm up to £140. Works for me.

@paulharrison8612 3 года назад

That's great Well done mate👍

@nthakomolefe6153 5 лет назад

Is there a website where I can read out? I'm quite slow following or understanding the video on some points. Wanna be able practise at my own pace and see live? calculations

@iskrajackal9049 3 года назад

Brilliant videos Ben. Thanks for all your great content. Quick question though...In the first two examples when you refer to the lay prices you keep pointing your mouse at the blue back odds, not the pink lay odds and also you are reading our the back odds. Am I misunderstanding something? I realise you are backing 1-1 but why talk about the lay odds and point to the back odds?

@travelandearnmoney 4 года назад

Hi. Is the same method if I lay the draw and back 2-2 after 1-1 in first half time?

@johnsutcliffe888 5 лет назад

Lay the Draw and Lay Under 1.5 when the odds on the draw get under Evens? Is this more profitable than just outright Laying the Draw?

@donellis1813 5 лет назад

I love it when you basically say your system boils down to' pretty much pray' @9:37.

@SportsTradingLife 5 лет назад

Very true. No football trader ever wants to get in a situation where they are "praying" for something to happen!

@MP-zt8pi 5 лет назад

Something to think about, at 0-2, an option could be to back the losing team at huge odds for a few quid, if they look likely to score next. If the goal comes, it can be laid off to cover some of the lost insurance money, as well as taking the profit on the LTD. Obviously playing around with the stakes backing the losing team will produce different amounts of cover. The downside is if the losing team don't score, you are losing a bit more of your green on the LTD.

@SportsTradingLife 5 лет назад

Very good idea Michael. Definitely worth a spin if in that position.

@michaeldoring270 4 года назад

do you have a statistic about a huge amount of games? Can you talk about this? Do you just watching for 1:1, 0:0 half time with a good odds for lay no draw or do you have a pre match filter for the game selection?

@fernsantana 4 года назад

Hello Ben, how are you? Tks for this strategy, looks really good. I applied twice today and I had 2 greens, starting in the 2° half. But I've seen some statistics of almost done Championships, like Premier League, and from 101 matches ended 0x0 in the 1°half, 21 ended 0x0 in the 2°half (20.8%). More than 8% considering the match from beginning. How can I choose better the games in the 2°half 0x0, in the way that more than 90% we have at least 1 goal? Thank you for the awesome class and best regards, Fernando.

@Jean428 5 лет назад

I've been watching your videos for a good few months now, I honestly think they are the best trading videos out there as you actually show live demonstrations of what you are doing - other traders videos I've seen on youtube tend to talk vaguely about mindsets and stuff like mentality without actually showing what the hell they are doing to make their money! Anyway this LTD strategy is something that got me really interested in trading, I've been trying to work through a bunch of different configurations of it, from using BTTS as insurance to playing around with betting on the 0-0 at the start of the game, then providing over 0.5 first half goals insurance and only then doing the LTD in the second half. Also trying to play around with TonyBet's 0-0 insurance offer, although sadly the max refund they give is £20. You can lock in a couple quid with that though with some overlaying the strongest team and such. Most of my attempts have misses rather than hits, but I'm getting a lot better at getting a general feel for games. Such as the ones you demonstrated on your videos, with 2 goals being often scored in

@SportsTradingLife 5 лет назад

Thanks for the comment only just saw your message. DNB definitely can be a good market, I definitely intend on exploring that market a bit more in certain situations. One way of calculating the edge is seeing what other prices would give you for a similar outcome. In this case, we need a goal and just backing Over 0.5 Goals can offer less profit than this method so this method does have an edge in certain situations.

@johnreeves1667 3 года назад

Do you think minium of hundred bets is enough bets to see if system is working.

@strumbadstroller7350 5 лет назад

Personally, having been burnt with this strategy, I would be out with 20 odd quid after the second goal went in.

@wwoodism 4 года назад

I'm with you, £24 in 22 minutes ain't too bad at all.

@lukeaspley3116 5 лет назад

How would i calculate my stake with commission?

@thebarra1 Год назад

Could we not add backing 0-0 correct score too ?

@hensch1974 3 года назад

In the wolves - C pallas why not cash out the draw and keep the 1-1 so make profit on draw and huge if the 1-1 hits

@garethjordonowen1128 4 года назад

How much do you make a week doing this ? I want to do it but a still a bit confused and dont have much money

@kingofmadness9239 5 лет назад

please help me to predict draw in match i have lost too much money by my own thinking help me please

@bradleymiller5910 5 лет назад

Great value as always Ben! So what strategy do you use the most??

@rupenshah4135 5 лет назад

Ive been tracking results for the LTD with 0-0 insurance as a straight bet, and current results show that when the bet loses, its usually a score draw, what you found when tracking results. The 2-2 CS is usually higher. Ive done 50 matches, how many matches do you think is a good sample do analyse?

@kopthelotklopp1523 3 года назад

500-1000

@Binario0 5 лет назад

according to me, lay the draw should be played with odds where even if the underdog scores, you can make a profit. at the first goal, you exit the market. quota example 1) 1.90 x 3 2 - 2.40

@handeyecoordinationskills 4 года назад

Hello, your example of barca scoring to go 1 nil up v Valencia does not make sense to me on how you were able to cash out with a profit of 27 pounds, I thought that your cash out on a stake of 100 may be about 60 if barca went 1 up, look forward to a reply, thanks

@psbsoham 5 лет назад

Good video as always Ben. I would be curious to know what the situation would be like if there were two early second half goals, and the score was 1-1 with plenty of the match still to play. I'm guessing that situation could get difficult?

@SportsTradingLife 5 лет назад

Thanks mate. That would be a really bad situation you would be in a position where another goal kills your insurance plan and you probably won't have enough green to cover it. Unless you were to hang on till near the end. Nightmarish scenario either way.

@robinbowkett2076 3 года назад

@@SportsTradingLife couldnt you just back the 2-2 ?

@zeroownevryw1 4 года назад

What if you would split your stake? Great video btw!

@dariemmanuel7891 2 года назад

Please is it only betfair it works?

@ezoli-eg3yb 4 года назад

sorry and if nobody makes a goal what strategy it is?

@garethjordonowen1128 4 года назад

Can you do this with lower money than 100 pound ..?

@Allourmanfam 4 года назад

Could you try Under 0.5 instead of 1-1?

@VladimirSHcherbakov1986 5 лет назад

why when a weak team scores you do not remove the red responsibility, lay 1-1 and also for insurance to cover the risk of doing back 2-2 when the score is 0-2 and back 3-3,

@SportsTradingLife 5 лет назад

If you do that you will just eat into your profit margin and possibly end up making zero from the trade. In that case you would be better off backing Over 0.5 Goals

@Sumtrip799 5 лет назад

2/2 0/0 a lot of praying..what happend to the hedging?

@lucywalker9868 4 года назад

Do you work for betfair???

@alexrendell5850 3 года назад

How about LTD at HT if its 0-0 for example, and back over 1.5 goals? Gives you a better price than over 0.5 and allows for cashout options if an early goal is scored in the 2nd half?

@kgbbot8446 2 года назад

The price for 0-0 needs to be high or it’s not worth it .

@davebnly 4 года назад

Hi Ben, can't believe i didn't see this before (I've watched all of your other videos) could this strategy also be employed in a scenario that was 1-1 at halftime by LTD and backing 2-2 or have i missed something? Thanks for your great work BTW. I'm currently profitable thanks to your great teaching

@SportsTradingLife 4 года назад

Yes the 2-2 would work the same way.

@tradinginvestigationservic4509 5 лет назад

Try using ltd as scratch insurance and not for profit back 1-1 for profit ready to lay later in the game if 1-1 is reached or the dog is leading at some point in the game.. you can also back 2-2 at 25.00 take a look how many games pass through the 1-1 after half time or later in the game

@Ventcis 3 года назад

9:34 I just can't stop laughing...🙏🙏 14:39 I love it.😂😂

@izaquerodrigues9802 5 лет назад

valeu muito camarada

@petermcguckian7423 3 года назад

never cash out , you can always place another lay bet in the same market , you get you refund plus you have a freeeee bet running with potential bigger profits .

@V3GAS4CE 5 лет назад

I think backing 0.5 is safer. what is the percentage you lose or exit from the market when a 2-1 or 1-2 hits after laying the draw and backing 1-1 though? Wouldn't that percentage be the reason there's a 26% increase in profit because it's >26% less likely to win in the long run? 0-0 total loss. 1-1 profit = £0 2-1 profit = a little, minus backing 1-1 and exit the market. 2-2 £100 loss minimum. 2-0 or 0-2 full £100 - 1-1 backing stake. backing over 0.5G 0-0 total loss 1-0 0-1 1-1 2-1 1-2 2-2 all win..... Seems like it's negligible for 26% more profit IMO

@Fifa15BrosXD21 5 лет назад

V3GAS4CE is that along with laying the draw aswell?

@V3GAS4CE 5 лет назад

@@Fifa15BrosXD21 yeah, because you lay the draw but hedge with backing 1-1. Ideally you'd want to get into the market at 1-0 or 0-1 and hope an equaliser happens because your bet for backing 1-1 would hit, then you could exit market for profit and a goal for you to win the "lay the draw" too. With over 0.5 you don't need any of that, just one team to score....I'm not a trader though, I'm a straight up bettor. It's just my opinion.

@dolphinmania2010 5 лет назад

It's did for thought but also you need to consider the type of trading character. +0.5 is a lot safer and there is more "certainty". It would suit the newbie building a bank but those that like it more aggressive would choose CS. Either way is not without risk, sadly.

@garethjordonowen1128 4 года назад

I'm new to all this what if you back 0.0. Then lay the draw before match starts.. it can not lose or am I wrong ?

@johnhopkinson4054 4 года назад

Yea of course it can lose,what about 1:1 , 2:2 , 3:3 you are not covering yourself with those scorelines

@Inzyman100 4 года назад

1 second delay at 25 min!!! LOL. In Australia you have to make a phone call to Betfair to place a bet in play, then wait 5 secs for bet to get matched. The whole process takes around 2 minutes!!! No chance of turning Pro here.......

@jollyswagman295 3 года назад

Reverse the book for prices ...Do not use cash out .Calculate own cash out

@MrMaretina 5 лет назад

bet over 0.5 goals in second half, that is best solution becouse you hsve insurance if match ends 2-2. Maybe is a bit lower ammount of money that you will get, but it is better option for me.

@SportsTradingLife 5 лет назад

Yeah that is a fair approach. I guess it is about deciding if that extra 26% or so is worth the hassle.

@SportsTradingLife 5 лет назад

Don't give away all your secrets Robbie ;-)

@robbiescrivener8523 5 лет назад

@@SportsTradingLife Haha I did just edit :)

@huubuu2672 2 года назад

@@SportsTradingLife Which Secret Sir?

@JeffersonCanedo 3 года назад

I would have backed west ham when Brighton mAde 2-0 and have a much better hedge even by cashing out both bets

@VladimirSHcherbakov1986 5 лет назад

also when the score is 0-2 and you expect goals, it is difficult to cover the risk, for example, lay under 4.5 .... 5.5, the responsibility is not so big

@VladimirSHcherbakov1986 5 лет назад

in the case of two or more goals, you will cover the risk and will have a profit with little responsibility

@1madaboutguitar 5 лет назад

but the odds at under 4.5/5.5 will not be great either and thus may make a huge dent in profit also.. (with sizeable risk too).

@fyk1117 5 лет назад

Does anyone know any platform that can do sports trading besides betfair? reason I ask is betfair has suspended registration in China where I live in. Thanks.

@Garycarlyle 5 лет назад

Smarkets is one. if you google for sports trading platforms you will find a few.

@travelandearnmoney 4 года назад

try matchbook, use VPN software

@adrianadios5041 3 года назад

I just bet straight draw + 1-1 correct score. Some teams have this result in a third of their games. I dont lay at all.

@tradinginvestigationservic4509 4 года назад

What your asking here is one team to score 3 goals and the other team not to score to get the edge. all in the second half ??? you may as well back 3-0 and 0-3 and both teams to score yes its a lot cheaper

@johnhopkinson4054 4 года назад

Nonsense

@JeanMichelClemmensen 5 лет назад

Hi Sports Trading Life Great video! Based on my recorded stats for the past 5 months, I was surprised to find a massive edge with this strategy, combined with my own selection strategy for over 0,5 goals games. So I am looking forward to put it into action. :-) I do have a question; Do you know any bot out there which can automate this strategy?

@SportsTradingLife 5 лет назад

Hi Jean, glad you can benefit from the edge. I am not sure of a bot myself but it could be quite simple to program for someone who knows!

@JeanMichelClemmensen 5 лет назад

Thanks, I will do some research to find a bot. :-)

@markdry1159 5 лет назад

Really thanks Ben for your free advice! ;) Just a question: in this video you don't consider the 5% Betfair's commission, so you should have bet a bigger amount on correct score 1-1. So if I bet a bigger amount the profit could be smaller. And If I bet the amount you showed (draw's liability / 1-1 odd) I will lose money if the match will end 1-1. Isn't it?

@ianbentley7276 5 лет назад

he mentions comm at 5.28. if it works without commission taken into account it's worth looking at closely.

@SportsTradingLife 5 лет назад

Yes but not by too much, in the examples if I wanted to cover that 5% then it was just an extra pound or two to do it.

@SynRoss 5 лет назад

@@SportsTradingLife Yes this was my minor problem with your strategy. I couldn't understand why you would cover the LTD liability with your 1-1 bet and not fully cover the 1-1 bet liability itself. Especially when the 1-1 odds were so high since as you have said earlier it only takes another £1 or so to cover that. (and a few pence more would cover your commision)

@travelandearnmoney 4 года назад

@@SportsTradingLife that comimssion looks various, not always 5 , I paid last time 6,8 percentage

@Wesley88uk 5 лет назад

Tnx for the video...on that first example..could you not lay the team leading 2-0?

@SportsTradingLife 5 лет назад

Hey Wes, you could but it would eat into your profit margin which is already quite slender.

@JS-we3ci 3 года назад

Has anyone had their betfair accounts closed from profiting too much with this? I've heard that they wont close your accounts as its the exchange and your betting against other punters but just wanted to make sure.

@manuelpeteira2731 3 года назад

@Ronny Silvio yes you dont make money If you use 100 % of the money that you got in because soon or later you will loose. If you want make money whit this you only can go max 2. Tô 5 % of the total money that you have. Lets imagine if you have 1000 pds. You only can use max 2 % means 2 % If you want make money in long term thats the only way

@aleksandarpavlovic2450 3 года назад

I dont know if this 26% is worth because on 1-1 you dont make money, on 2-1 small profit and on 1-0 can be small profit too..

@GNMbg 5 лет назад

whats the point of this insurance? its not going to make any difference in the long-tem.

@ilariaperani3867 4 года назад

Well if a game finishes 1-1 you’ll break even, rather than losing your whole stake

@hellrider4310 5 лет назад

How about laying one team? Is it profitable in long run? I mean depends on scenario and prices lay the fav or lay the underdogs. For example yesterday I had barnet vs brentford where I was thinking about laying brentford at 1.33. Although I didn't play that match till 2nd half. But I did lay brendford twice in 2nd half at 3.1 and 1.14 after they took lead. Yeah I know it was little bad timing to lay at 2-1 But I did miss opportunity at 0-1 as I was busy earlier. Maybe I just got lucky with 3-3 in the end, but do you think this works in long run?

@ianbentley7276 5 лет назад

no idea, but it was a cracking match. ;-)

@SportsTradingLife 5 лет назад

Laying winning teams is definitely a profitable strategy and approach, the key is in spotting the best opportunities.

@colinaindow674 3 года назад

Ben do you ,like me since I've started trading ,get regular emails from betfair regarding let's talk about sensible gambling !

@gaz3146 Год назад

why not take the 50 quid profit on the west ham game? i mean the whole point is profit, isnt it?

@luiscarvalho75 4 года назад

why not back the draw after the first goal?!

@jake0r 4 года назад

because you would be at a higher amount of liability?

@robinwilliams925 3 года назад

Surely you'd have cashed out for £50 profit at 0 - 2 Brighton ? I do get that the video is for demo

@twoshedsjackson6478 2 года назад

In the West Ham game, At 2-0 you were up £48 over both bets. You could only get a maximum of another £27. By hanging on you were effectively betting your £48 to win another £27. Doesn't seem optimal.

@danzesociety 5 лет назад

Personally. If you can take 20 or 25% profit, then better to trade out at 2-0 or 0-2.

@SuperQuincy69 4 года назад

Agreed. One of those demos there was 48%

@andrewcassar5759 5 лет назад

Hi! Awesome videos and I am learning a lot! So thanks for that! However, before kickoff, I have laid the draw Barcelona vs Valencia. Valencia are currently winning and I am NOT making a profit but currently in a lose. Why does this happen? Thanks for the help!

@Ventcis 3 года назад

Valencia in your case were underdog...

@ianbentley7276 5 лет назад

not watched it yet, but given the fact that the odds you back/ lay at, are correct at the time of betting either pre game or in play i don't see how there can be an edge.

@SportsTradingLife 5 лет назад

Maybe you should watch it till the end then ;-)

@ianbentley7276 5 лет назад

@@SportsTradingLife i just have, and stand by my original statement. ;-)

@MichaelSmith-ui5zs 5 лет назад

Philosopher K Fair comment thanks

@MichaelSmith-ui5zs 5 лет назад

I am Ian Bentley, but it comes up Michael Smith who is my nephew when I use my mobile. Use his account for betting purposes

@mzaja0 5 лет назад

Yes, but then he uses those same exchange odds to "prove" he has an edge. He might be a profitable trader and all the best to him if he is, but no tangible mathematical proof was provided in the video that the edge exists.

@mrniyi 5 лет назад

How about we back the draw and lay 0-0

@SuperQuincy69 4 года назад

Because you'd backing low and laying high eg back draw at 3.5 for 40 to make 100. Lay 0-0 at 12 to cover your 40 you'd be risking 440+ so 0-0 result means you lose 340. And the markets won't work in your favour to reduce this risk

@seancarolan2545 5 лет назад

You should have backed 2-2 at 0-2, odds were 13....£8 would have been £95ish back... still left with a potential £53 green.... better than losing £25 don't you think?? I know it eats into profit but it's better than hoping/praying

@ianbentley7276 5 лет назад

won't make any difference how you play it (long term) no edge as far as i can see

@domorewithsage 5 лет назад

The odds were high for a reason; unlikely outcome. Easy to see with hindsight in that game but at 0-2 backing 2-2 going to lose way more times than win

@reganreilly3994 3 года назад

Back again, 29:39 "we're not gonna lock it in that doesn't make any sense" after suffering 2 losses that could have been prevented lol. Sorry to critique so much its just the type of people watching this are probably looking to make money and don't have lots to play around with. Could have easily cashed out for profit then hoped for the 1-1 finish. Just because you have the 1-1 covered doesn't mean you want to leave it and see how it goes lol. The way I see it is you should at this point be willing to take the loss on your back bet to secure the profit on the lay bet!!! Because if the game ends 1-1 yes you will still make profit but you haven't extracted the most you can out of the market. If the game ends 1-0 then you might think that's best case but it isn't! If you cash out for profit there and leave the game to then finish. If it did end 1-1 then you can make SO much more because you're then not risking ANYTHING its just eating into your profit margin which isn't a bad thing

@reganreilly3994 3 года назад

Okay he does now mention in added time you have the option to win twice, I am just commenting as I see things in real time I haven't clawed through this video looking for mistakes by no means am I a professional trader

@DjordjeSrpski 3 года назад

@@reganreilly3994 at 17:50 you can clearly see the stats of the match, clearly the team that has 70% ball posession has 0 a shots on goal, what does that say? It says that this team doesn't know how to shoot and team on the other side doesn't know how to even get to a ball.. These kind of games you don't play at all.. Always look for a game that has similar ball possession and lots of shoots BUT at target!

@tradinginvestigationservic4509 5 лет назад

Try this back 1-1 20 & 2-2 for 10 back btts no for 30 lay draw at 2.6 for a liability of 40 at start of match if goal goes in before matched trade the cs market only as best you can and back an extra 10 on btts no lay some of the 1-1 and 2-2 if poss and back leading team to win 3-1

@travelandearnmoney 4 года назад

hi, when approx.. to back 1-1, 2-2 and bbts no ?

@idealdarkness75 2 года назад

1-2 or 2-1 and you are in massive loss....

@kgbbot8446 2 года назад

Better prices if you LTD and back 1-1 around the 55-60th minute

@britkid9971 5 лет назад

Why not cashout at 1-0 for profit AND then cashout of 1-1 for small loss but get much of the cost back.

@SportsTradingLife 5 лет назад

Then there would be no point in backing 1-1 in the first place?

@ilariaperani3867 4 года назад

If you’re always going to cash out at 1-0, backing 1-1 would just be throwing money away

@Nick-cp2jh 4 года назад

@@SportsTradingLife I agree with @Britkid99 in the Wolves example. I'd have cashed out when Palace went 1-0 up for £65 profit and then cashed out of the 1-1 for -£1. Giving you a total profit of £64. Now you say there is 'no point backing 1-1 in the first place' if you do this, but I disagree. If the favourites score and make it 1-0, then you leave it running with the 1-1 as insurance on the rare chance that the underdogs equalise. However in the Wolves / Palace example, Wolves were favourites and chasing the game, so I'd personally not have risked it going the distance. That guaranteed £64 could've turned into a couple of quid has Wolves scored. Albeit in the end it worked out and your judgement was spot on. Decent job £82 in profit. But I think it was a big risk for an extra £18 to risk losing the guaranteed £64 you had when the underdogs scored first. Just my 2 pennies, but my trading style is probably more on the cautious side.

@Nick-cp2jh 4 года назад

@@ilariaperani3867 I don't think OP is suggesting 'always' cashing out at 1-0. However, in the Wolves example it was the underdog who scored, so at that point leaving it running meant 1-1 was actually a likely result. I'd have cashed out then as well. But his judgement did prove correct on this one.

@1faustus 5 лет назад

''When this scenario happens, the best thing to do is pretty much pray.....'' Praying is not a trading strategy. You have to have a strategy and the discipline to follow it, not resort to imploring the Almighty for Newcastle goals. I'm sure he doesn't support Newcastle anyway because If he did it wouldn't look like Newcastle.

@SportsTradingLife 5 лет назад

Exactly. I was highlighting the flaw.

@richards1800 4 года назад

this vlog tells me your losing more than what your winning.If your also going to back over 0.5 at 0-0 at half time you could surely back over 2.5 goals at half time if its 1-1 ,2-0 etc as well.

@ashleyheggs928 3 года назад

definatly not for new traders big risk and big temptation to trade out to save cost only then for the game to not draw in first place not for me right now much prefer the safetey of 0-0 insurance.

@sinisasmoljanac7044 2 года назад

Problem is because on 1:1 you not win money and on 2:2 you lose, but on over 0.5 you also win!

@chunkymonkey55555 5 лет назад

if its o-o at half time there is a 25% chance the match will finish 0-0.

@peterbergman2131 5 лет назад

How did you work that out?

@chunkymonkey55555 5 лет назад

If a match stays 0-0 until half time, the odds of a 0-0 usually go down to about 4 decimal. 1/4= 0.25 x 100 = 25%. It also holds true on results data for the most part on an average match.I think this is correct, i am no expert.!@@peterbergman2131

@peterbergman2131 5 лет назад

@@chunkymonkey55555 I will have to test this theory on Saturday. But i know the majority of goals are scored in the second half.

@chunkymonkey55555 5 лет назад

ahh yes but if you think about it, if a match is still 0-0 at half time, that might suggest some teams are struggling to create goals. this of course isnt always the case. sometimes teams hold back in the first half or whatever. I think there is a 3/1 chance of an average match being 0-0 at half time also :) @@peterbergman2131

@reganreilly3994 3 года назад

Don't get me wrong this is great content and I know I'm late on the trend lol but 24 minutes into the video I've had to pause to comment. Brighton have brought the game to 2-0 in their favour. You have a cash out of 74 and you've already lost your 24 on the correct score market. So you're sitting pretty with £50 profit and you're insisting the only option you have is to let the game play out and here's where I'd disagree. The draw odds are very high at odds of 10. Now I don't know yet how this game played out but you could easily trade out for your profit and then back that draw just in case the worst was to happen which then becomes the best. If you put 10 on that you're looking at a £40 profit margin minimum no matter the outcome at that point. But if the game went on and west ham started to bring it back you would have great potential to make a lot more money

@reganreilly3994 3 года назад

Update: A few more seconds into the video and you've proven my point £6 profit nice one

@reganreilly3994 3 года назад

Another update: 30 more seconds and its gone 2-2 LMAO I shit you not I'm not a massive football fan I learnt about matched betting through a friend but I could see it happening I still don't know how this game plays out

@reganreilly3994 3 года назад

Done some digging and if this game was Jan 2019 just searched their game results from how long ago the video was posted the game actually ended 2-2 which would have made me some stacks

@russellturner4730 4 года назад

Totally disagree with your philosophy here, and refer you to a quote you made on another video from Warren Buffet on "Greed". Why you propose backing 1-1 after laying 0-0 also baffles me as once a goal has been scored you are instantly in profit, "Cash Out" and move on, bank the profits. You look to maximise profits but as one demo showed maximising losses is definately on the cards.

@SportsTradingLife 4 года назад

Wasn't proposing it mate, people ask about this way of trading so in this video we demo it and you can make your own mind up. It does say "Case Study" on the video

@russellturner4730 4 года назад

@@SportsTradingLife Thanks for the reply, point taken

@VladimirSHcherbakov1986 5 лет назад

Lay THE DRAW STRATEGIES You LAY the draw and BACK at a higher price after a goal is scored. Beware that if the dog scores first the price may not move at all in your favour. It is essential in this trade to have a predetermined exit point either for taking a profit or accepting loss. It is an extremely good strategy to practice the key element in trading: Namely, taking the profit when the opportunity presents itself AND accepting a loss if the trade is not going in your favour. Selection criteria: With an average odds of 3.6 on the draw in most games, your liabilities are high. Choose match selection carefully! Staking: Personal choice LAY DRAW @ 3.6 £50 After first goal BACK @ 5.4 £33.... Hedged profit = £17 0-0 after 65mins BACK DRAW @ 2.0 £80 Hedged loss = £30

@VladimirSHcherbakov1986 5 лет назад

Greetings from Russia . Very interesting channel. The author of the channel does not lie and shows all possible scenarios, does not promise a mountain of gold. Dear colleague, try the above strategy. I recommend, in the distance you will be in the black. Risk - choose the right match, where a draw is not profitable for the team or teams

@karaya75 5 лет назад

do you use the strategy has you describe, is it profitable?

@VladimirSHcherbakov1986 5 лет назад

@@karaya75 Yes, I use this strategy. but I do 0-0 insurance before the match

@SportsTradingLife 5 лет назад

"choose the right match, where a draw is not profitable for the team or teams" - Very simple but very good advice!

@karaya75 5 лет назад

@@VladimirSHcherbakov1986 many times u have to close bet after a goal is scored with loss rigth?

@francislea4700 4 года назад

Peter Webb says 1-1 happens 30% of the time. Something like that. He says he has gone back years which does not take into consideration the changes in modern football. Discuss lol.