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Lok Sabha Prediction | ‘Big Question: Will BJP Cross Majority Mark?’ - Sanjay Kumar, CSDS 

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Fifth phase of Lok Sabha elections 2024 has concluded, and with this, the world’s largest democratic exercise has reached its penultimate phase. India is just two weeks away from the big verdict. Where do the elections stand now, after the completion of five phases? What could the next two phases have in store? Editorji’s Vikram Chandra caught up with one of India’s top psephologists, Sanjay Kumar of CSDS, to discuss these questions.
#theindiastory #vikramchandra #loksabhaelection2024 #sanjaykumar #csds #electionswithej #electionnews #elections2024 #politicalnews #politics
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19 май 2024

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Комментарии : 580   
@ab20037
@ab20037 27 дней назад
BJP will be loosing till June 3rd On June 4th sudden EVM HACK 😂
@prakashwatwe2300
@prakashwatwe2300 27 дней назад
Nonsense. 🍇 are...
@sumittiwari1510
@sumittiwari1510 26 дней назад
ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-QjrSPLFil68.htmlsi=4kXzrZod4MsHDzSK iska 5 sal phle ka disscussion
@raghwendrachauhan159
@raghwendrachauhan159 26 дней назад
Opposition k dhakkanon ne rona toh Shuru kar diya but ab yeh EVM ka bahana bhi nh bana sakte....SC se laat kha chuke hein
@y.c.ongbouchang7200
@y.c.ongbouchang7200 26 дней назад
No chance of hacking EVM this time if done there will be bloodshed. The power of people can't be decided by hacking EVM.
@vaibhavghadge4057
@vaibhavghadge4057 26 дней назад
ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-lmru8sLc7fQ.html
@sarmapv5448
@sarmapv5448 26 дней назад
It seems Sanjay kumar is confused master as he doesn't want to tell bjp's victory. Committed.
@ssryr6427
@ssryr6427 18 дней назад
He is the same guy who said Congress getting majority in Chattisgarh 🤣
@neelkant3650
@neelkant3650 27 дней назад
Prashant Kishore sticks his neck out. Not Sanjay Kumar.
@nextingting
@nextingting 26 дней назад
sticking neck out is not a virtue on its own - every tom dick and harry has been shouting about BJP win and saying likh ke lelo bs. so really does not matter. plus from what I hear this is perhaps the first 'admission' by a professional psephologists who runs a relatively credible poll agency that partners with mainstream meadia channels about such numbers. So idk what you are on about here.
@user-ob7sl7jf9p
@user-ob7sl7jf9p 26 дней назад
You are absolutely right Sir
@ParveenKumar-nm7zj
@ParveenKumar-nm7zj 26 дней назад
Paid.
@nextingting
@nextingting 26 дней назад
sticking neck out is not a virtue in itself. even a lafandar has been saying 400 paar. kishore did not say anything too different. infact first time a credible poll analyst like Sanjay has said something about BJP/ NDA being in trouble, so i dont know what you are on about.
@sandeeproy1327
@sandeeproy1327 25 дней назад
​@@nextingting well articulated! 👍
@prevasive1
@prevasive1 26 дней назад
Sanjay Kumar is the first psephologist to change stance from giving BJP NDA a clear majority
@ab20037
@ab20037 25 дней назад
Check his previous exit polls 🤣 He had given 277 for NDA in 2019
@dhari-rl6su
@dhari-rl6su 20 дней назад
​@@ab2003710% variation is Ok.
@ab20037
@ab20037 20 дней назад
@@dhari-rl6su what 10% NDA got 350 He gave approx 75 less 😂30% variance In psephology only 2% variance allowed
@onesemusdsilva4183
@onesemusdsilva4183 26 дней назад
There is close fight and it's good for democracy.
@dip-tree
@dip-tree 26 дней назад
With ECI working in favor of BJP, with tons of cash (EB, etc) in BJP's kitty, thorough Surat / Gandhinagar / Indore model - where do you see fair ground? So calling it 'close' fight is very inappropriate. If there was fair ground, BJP would lose any day to the India alliance.
@Edelweiss-lu7xr
@Edelweiss-lu7xr 26 дней назад
@@dip-tree Absolutely!
@abhimanyunath2001
@abhimanyunath2001 26 дней назад
​@@dip-tree That's what losers do.. Blame others for own failure and never retrospect because of narcissistic tendency and arrogance. The days are gone when u could make people fools by such claims. Now people are seeing both sides. What had happened during Congress era, what they and their so called allies are doing in their states. So instead of blaming try to improve urself
@dip-tree
@dip-tree 26 дней назад
@@abhimanyunath2001 Hey you must be from some other planet to not know the bias ECI is showing towards BJP this time. Looks like you are a bhakt, and so your arguments are trash. Don't waste your time other than stuffing gobar in your brains. Little do you have credibility to give advice to others, like jokers in BJP. And just for the info of others - I am not a bit sympathetic towards what Congress (or anyone in power) use to do and still doing.
@vaibhavghadge4057
@vaibhavghadge4057 26 дней назад
ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-lmru8sLc7fQ.html
@arumugamp3929
@arumugamp3929 26 дней назад
2019 before results opposition we’re talking the same thing, no Modi wave. Now the same people are talking last time Modi wave was at peak, now there is no wave😂😂😂
@afnanabdullatheef2911
@afnanabdullatheef2911 26 дней назад
That is pulwama wave. Wave created by modi. Now all them understand so there is no wave
@vaibhavghadge4057
@vaibhavghadge4057 26 дней назад
ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-lmru8sLc7fQ.html
@sandeeproy1327
@sandeeproy1327 25 дней назад
So why are you listening and commenting on it? 🤔
@arumugamp3929
@arumugamp3929 25 дней назад
@@sandeeproy1327 why are you looking my comment and replying?
@sabyasachimitra5719
@sabyasachimitra5719 24 дня назад
2019 Pulwama happened. There is no Pulwama in 2024.
@kingshiva4900
@kingshiva4900 26 дней назад
Todays politics are around Letter "M" - Fairly speaking Money,Mandir,Mangalsutra,muslim,Machili,Motton and Monk.... Non of these words wont help in upliftment of poor, jobs for unemployed and peace in the country without any agitations across... Facts are very hard to listen but true
@postwala2667
@postwala2667 26 дней назад
the congress is playing dirty game of dividing hindus in the name of caste. Modi was forced to use M card...how long can nation run on freebies and breaking our own limbs by turning poverty into caste problem and thus benefit from corruption.
@drg598
@drg598 26 дней назад
Sarr me bhery egucated Me bhatch deily dhruv and rabbish sarr
@raghwendrachauhan159
@raghwendrachauhan159 26 дней назад
Let us make you the PM....you have the ability and vision handle 140 crores!!
@abhimanyunath2001
@abhimanyunath2001 26 дней назад
First identify the root problems then come with ur arguments. Current government is way better than the Opposition
@y.c.ongbouchang7200
@y.c.ongbouchang7200 26 дней назад
​@@abhimanyunath2001😂😂How? Modiji wave has gone because of his dictatorial and rubbish speeches in the present election campaign. BJP hatao desh bachao. Congress and INDIA alliance Zindabaad.
@vamshi12in
@vamshi12in 26 дней назад
Arey Bhai u are the same Sanjay who said in 2019 " BJP 205,210,215 Tak seemith ho sakte hain". Search his videos from 2019.
@priyankshrivastava915
@priyankshrivastava915 26 дней назад
Yes I know. Please send the video link of 2019 of sanjay kumar pf bjp where he said 204, 210.
@BipinBabu2024
@BipinBabu2024 26 дней назад
😅😅😅
@vamshi12in
@vamshi12in 26 дней назад
@@priyankshrivastava915 u can search 2019 and his name.
@priyankshrivastava915
@priyankshrivastava915 26 дней назад
@@vamshi12in thanks. I want to know because Sanjay Kumar is saying something different that bjp alone slightly struggling to gain 272 seats wheras phalodi satta bazar is giving 280 to 300 seats to bjp after five phases of polling. National media is saying different, one side some poll strategist is saying against & some are saying clearly support of bjp. Csds conducted survey pre poll election survey in which they predicted that bjp vote share will increase from 38% to 40% & congress upa 19% to 21% but on tv channels he is completely different.
@sumittiwari1510
@sumittiwari1510 26 дней назад
ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-QjrSPLFil68.htmlsi=4kXzrZod4MsHDzSK
@TheSrinathgold
@TheSrinathgold 26 дней назад
Where do all these people come from? For instance, if you believe they have worked at the ground level, they didn't understand the truth. that's the main problem. This guy does not make any sense in his report. Just a point less direction less talk. In a foolish way, Yogendra Salim yadav is best.
@nageshhegde
@nageshhegde 27 дней назад
Imbalance sound output. We have to raise volume when Vikram speaks, and reduce while the Sanjay speaks.😮
@kknandan143
@kknandan143 26 дней назад
Very poor sound quality
@bijayajena8715
@bijayajena8715 26 дней назад
Very nice discussion Sanjayji. Namaste.
@Anthropocene81
@Anthropocene81 26 дней назад
No political party in India should get extreme power, be it BJP, Congress or any party. Every Indian has dictatorial instinct, which needs to be checked by other Indians.
@ssryr6427
@ssryr6427 26 дней назад
This guy gave BJP 271 seats in 2019 among them gave BJP 63 seats in UP and 16 seats in Karnataka 😂😂 he was proved wrong BJP won 27 seats out of 28 in Karnataka and almost all states results proved him wrong.
@rtpcr007
@rtpcr007 18 дней назад
Not sure if you understand sephology. It's not about absolute numbers. It's about predicting which way the wind is blowing and who could emerge victorious, especially in a country as diverse as India. If someone predicts with a 10% margin of 271 for 303 and 62 for 63 in Uttar Pradesh is very commendable. The guy can be proud of his work.
@ssryr6427
@ssryr6427 18 дней назад
@@rtpcr007 yes understood few months ago they predicted full majority to Congress in Chattisgarh MLA election.🤣 And they show this on national news Channels just to fool people for TRP.
@sunilpadwaldesai4121
@sunilpadwaldesai4121 25 дней назад
Simple issue made complicated, Editorji. NDA is getting Majority whether BJP gets majority or goes to 370+- is Q.
@yoyovivek
@yoyovivek 26 дней назад
Nobody talking about seats of congress..Strange..
@soundar4270
@soundar4270 23 дня назад
Congress 150 seats +/- 20 seats. South & North East contributes 75 seats to Congress.
@kathiravanchandiran6308
@kathiravanchandiran6308 26 дней назад
UP People will decide the Indian democracy.
@DNinja-jr1pv
@DNinja-jr1pv 26 дней назад
Sanjay ji, please clarify whether it's a close fight or still largely one sided contest ? Bcoz if it's the former, then only it seems there is some good hope for opposition and India needs strong opposition.
@ranganathas185
@ranganathas185 26 дней назад
I wonder even to day there are people who think Congress will get majority. May god bless them. Now question is how many seats seats BJP will get or NDA will get how many seats. BJP with NDA partners will form the govt at central 2024 is foregone conclusion.
@learntherightful
@learntherightful 26 дней назад
I wonder even to day there are people who think BJP will get majority. May god bless them. Now question is how many seats seats Congress will get or INDIA alliance will get how many seats. Congress with INDIA alliance partners will form the govt at central 2024 is foregone conclusion.😆😆😆😆😆😆😆😆
@WerewolfWerewolf-bn7jy
@WerewolfWerewolf-bn7jy 26 дней назад
​@@learntherightfulget ready to cry on 4 June , I feel sorry for you buddy 😢
@onajourneycalledlife3265
@onajourneycalledlife3265 24 дня назад
@@learntherightful Dont worry congress wont cross 50 seats pan-india
@MyModiMyindia
@MyModiMyindia 27 дней назад
Sir ur analysis is if u win max seats then it has to loose some seats since it cant increase the Tally (hear BJP) what logic is this sir? In Karnataka BJP won 25 in 2019 so according to to u it has loose, i cant understand sir
@learntherightful
@learntherightful 26 дней назад
true, bjp is going to loose karnataka elections, first thing it has already lost the state to congress which is ruling party now and moreover there is that Prajwal Revanna case, where the PM himself directly shared the stage with the accused sex scandal person and has directly asked people to vote for the [erson who is accused in a sex scandal.
@muruganr3092
@muruganr3092 26 дней назад
There is no doubt. Both bjp or NDA NEVER GET MAJORITY. Cong alliance is going to form the next govt. people want a change. That is clearly visible all over the country.
@naveen3557
@naveen3557 26 дней назад
Seems like an interview. No cross talk and no interruptions. Allowing expression of ideas
@jai6196
@jai6196 27 дней назад
I wasted 16 minutes watching this video.. Sanjay Kumar kept repeating"difficult to say" 10 times..He didn't stick his neck out.
@vaibhavghadge4057
@vaibhavghadge4057 26 дней назад
ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-lmru8sLc7fQ.html
@realfactor1854
@realfactor1854 24 дня назад
Sk himself is confused abt election outcome
@KonguNaadu
@KonguNaadu 26 дней назад
Correct observation
@jamvummangchong7893
@jamvummangchong7893 26 дней назад
Indians are not fool, we have enough of Modi. The plight of poor people speak
@ajaythakur2762
@ajaythakur2762 26 дней назад
If BJP win . It will not be walk in the park this time . Third term means bjp will have to deliver . And people will get impatience very easily. Also opposition will be stronger 🙏
@georgejacob4327
@georgejacob4327 26 дней назад
Even if BJP wins ten times, they will not deliver. They, basically have no intention of delivering. Only looting the common people, the poor and the middle class!
@princevargheseathappilly7915
@princevargheseathappilly7915 26 дней назад
Following the ancient Indian culture, won't it be the time for Modi to go for either 'Vanaprast' or 'Sanyas'?
@kevin88fern
@kevin88fern 26 дней назад
Thanikku pokkam... Karnavar evideyum ponnila.. Modi 3.0 loading
@Suhas.
@Suhas. 27 дней назад
150 for bjp less than 200 for NDA. This will be the most surprising election results ever.
@tejastorawane8349
@tejastorawane8349 27 дней назад
4 tarikh ko is msg PE reply krna
@Suhas.
@Suhas. 27 дней назад
@@tejastorawane8349 sure
@rohitthemultitasker2188
@rohitthemultitasker2188 26 дней назад
Day Dreaming
@SRINIVASACRAO
@SRINIVASACRAO 26 дней назад
Continue dreaming Day & Night till 4th June 2024.
@Suhas.
@Suhas. 26 дней назад
@@SRINIVASACRAO okay no problem. I gave 63 seats for Congress in Telangana it got 65 and 120 for Congress in Karnataka it got 130+ let's see.
@raghunathreddy5416
@raghunathreddy5416 26 дней назад
Pls do a vedio after June 4 th. I will Wait 😂
@sumittiwari1510
@sumittiwari1510 26 дней назад
ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-QjrSPLFil68.htmlsi=4kXzrZod4MsHDzSK
@valeriegomes7147
@valeriegomes7147 26 дней назад
It is advisable to summon the national icon of the ECI for his expert analysis.
@hello-my6hf
@hello-my6hf 26 дней назад
Things are almost clear from Sanjayji.
@jollyjay1988
@jollyjay1988 27 дней назад
Along with Modi , Sanjay would also retire after election results are announced on 4th June.
@sunnyabb1
@sunnyabb1 27 дней назад
400 par BJP
@hblumdonanal2603
@hblumdonanal2603 27 дней назад
Many experts are reading or predicting in the nerrative of 2019 but they will fail in many cases this time😂😂
@jaspreetsethi2626
@jaspreetsethi2626 27 дней назад
They do same everytime but on results day they change their tone
@pavanrupanguntla4973
@pavanrupanguntla4973 25 дней назад
What a crap of analysis, no clear direction mentioned. Any fourth grade will do similar analysis. Please don’t waste time in listening this analysis.
@mthang7230
@mthang7230 25 дней назад
No political party should get extream majority ...strong opposition is more important to stop dictatorship!
@programs23
@programs23 26 дней назад
Sanjay Kumar ji , are we talking on assumptions and not ground reality . Good you are commenting, but without much valid reasons.
@bijupavara2335
@bijupavara2335 25 дней назад
I think this time INDIA ❤
@nitinsingh9487
@nitinsingh9487 25 дней назад
If BJP looses there will be a khichdi government so likewise corruption will also be more.I am mot denying there is no corruption in Modi regime but it's not that much.
@narasimhanla1474
@narasimhanla1474 25 дней назад
Csds sanjay kumar always been 50--50 PERSON. HE TALKS always supporting both.
@samkohl
@samkohl 26 дней назад
Two Commies discussing voter mood…irony must have died 1000 times…nothing has changed nor the Ram Mandir has lost its relevance in this election….its the nerrative that’s set…blame EVM, if 400 paar…go to courts, disrupt the mandate…
@kartikeyakumar4434
@kartikeyakumar4434 26 дней назад
Vikram..you are intelligent use your conviction ...don't promote false narrative
@AdvManjuDhawan
@AdvManjuDhawan 26 дней назад
SBI refuses to disclose bond details Despite CJI order Accepting in SC Auditor CA must face nfra investigation too Looting 50 cr VOTER accounts daily , SBI Why SBI open 9-3:30 pm , not 9-9 pm x 7 days Create 3 shift Pay 1/3 Will help investors, job creation too
@venkatramansundarrajan8690
@venkatramansundarrajan8690 26 дней назад
Dear friend totally tell BJP wont come as expected Simple. Dont waste ptecipus time Hope you wont comeon line on 4 th june. Switch off tv at 12 and go to bed
@pradeepkumarsharma2869
@pradeepkumarsharma2869 26 дней назад
Corruption bale gathbandhan ko koi scope nahi for sure.. keep analysing your ways but public opinion is absolutely different in strong favour of modi ji😂
@pannarajan4387
@pannarajan4387 21 день назад
You keep on going back to 2014,2019... What about Modi's recent nonsensical utterances ....do you think these don't have any effect on voters?
@ramagopaldsr7649
@ramagopaldsr7649 26 дней назад
Wait upto 4th of June
@gautamdey4167
@gautamdey4167 25 дней назад
Try all you may, but you will not be able to change the direction of the wind!
@asrenterprises8660
@asrenterprises8660 26 дней назад
Can any body explain me what CSDS speaking BJP is loss or what Should be have do BJP
@krishnapachegonker777
@krishnapachegonker777 27 дней назад
We are now 1977 election scenario without JP stature around and INDIA Alliance will sweep
@yoyovivek
@yoyovivek 26 дней назад
Who is 5he face of Indi...noBody..People are not fool to elect 5 pm in 5years.
@jagathjayakumar3145
@jagathjayakumar3145 26 дней назад
​@@yoyovivek then what about UPA govt? UPA govt was a coalition govt.. Did you saw 10 Prime Ministers during 10 years?? Dont be fool.. Think straight forward...
@manishanand420
@manishanand420 27 дней назад
BJP is getting majority, ground realities not shifted massively, there is some discontent but still BJP by far ahead at least can tell you from my own experiences in Bihar today where I did cast my vote.
@JohnAbraham-gh6dz
@JohnAbraham-gh6dz 27 дней назад
Even BJP is admitting that they will loose seats in karnataka, Maharastra, Bihar and Rajsthan. if they loose 30 seats all over india, they loose majority.
@jaspreetsethi2626
@jaspreetsethi2626 27 дней назад
@@JohnAbraham-gh6dz: they will not loose
@janami-dharmam
@janami-dharmam 27 дней назад
but the supreme leader is not sounding so confident; he is changing positions rather uncomfortably! saying one thing now and denying it in the next moment?
@JohnAbraham-gh6dz
@JohnAbraham-gh6dz 27 дней назад
@@jaspreetsethi2626 it depends on how many seats they loose. They are going to loose seats for sure
@thebharatbhagya
@thebharatbhagya 27 дней назад
​@@JohnAbraham-gh6dzthey never said it.
@vamshi12in
@vamshi12in 26 дней назад
Arey Bhai watch his 2019 analysis. Still these people have face to showup and predict the elections. He said Rajasthan Congress will get 10, madhya Pradesh Congress will gain and in Bengal BJP will not cross 10. And over all BJP will get 205-215. 😂😂😂😂😂😂
@mohdshajar7874
@mohdshajar7874 25 дней назад
2019 balakot changed everything
@sunilsawant4542
@sunilsawant4542 26 дней назад
So basically economy, so many social schemes, minimal corruption, law and order, peace is not good enough? People want bomb blasts, mafias, loot, riots - thats the brief this gentleman seems to be giving! Ram mandir, 370, foreign policy are also important. What is the vision that the opposition has to offer, apart from dividing Hindus along caste lines and appeasement?
@tarunpndy
@tarunpndy 26 дней назад
With all due respect have you guys checked on ground what is the latest about free ration. Giving Bajra & Makka in 45 degrees plus summer is horrible. This has hurt them. Marginalised section has voted for Congress. Don't know how it will transform into seats.
@markoseabraham5641
@markoseabraham5641 26 дней назад
Good analysis
@bigroys60
@bigroys60 27 дней назад
Sanjay Kumar has poor feedback on Bengal and Odisa. There is a strong wave of BJP in Bengal and the ruling state govt is now indulging in violence and rigging. Desperation of TMC is a clear indication of it failing vote bank
@honestindian570
@honestindian570 26 дней назад
Ghanta😂😂😂
@nextingting
@nextingting 26 дней назад
likely - that BJP does well - but are you expecting a sweep. BJP has been frustrated, indulging in violence and rigging in other states including UP - but that does not mean it will lose.
@vivekkandpal7074
@vivekkandpal7074 26 дней назад
​@@YTry1😂😂😂😂 just wait for 4 June
@bigroys60
@bigroys60 26 дней назад
BJP will retain power but the 400 + figure is too high and exaggerated. Nothing more than 300 would be the figure even after losing seats in some places
@madhusudannair8634
@madhusudannair8634 24 дня назад
He have all feed back ,but he have satisfy Vikram .
@sundarabi4099
@sundarabi4099 27 дней назад
Oh this is the old NDTV group who wants bjp to loose. But these idiots lost NDTV the same way their prediction.
@neelkant3650
@neelkant3650 27 дней назад
Sanjay Kumar is playing safe. Nothing very praiseworthy.
@bhaveshthakor5910
@bhaveshthakor5910 26 дней назад
I think Sanjay Kumar playing with Statics..and he change his mind and it's hard to believe him but i have convinced with prasant kishor who very confident and stick with pre poll predictions
@chetansdoshi
@chetansdoshi 27 дней назад
Looks like a poor rebuttal of his initial views. Sanjay looks completely out of sorts !!
@gautamsanyal4527
@gautamsanyal4527 26 дней назад
Can’t agree to the gentleman’s opinion😮
@vaibhavghadge4057
@vaibhavghadge4057 26 дней назад
ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-lmru8sLc7fQ.html
@ParveenKumar-nm7zj
@ParveenKumar-nm7zj 26 дней назад
BJP will not get majority of its own, it was clear after Karnataka Elections. That why everything happened in Maharashtra, Bihar, Bharat Ratna, Jharkhand Delhi and ED CBI etc. Only question is whether NDA will get majority mark 272 or not.
@anirudhgoyal6295
@anirudhgoyal6295 26 дней назад
The headline of your video indicates that you are out of sync with reality. Content may still be relevant, won't be watching it though
@dhaivatmehta5619
@dhaivatmehta5619 25 дней назад
Well said
@sharadamalleshu4bjp4846
@sharadamalleshu4bjp4846 26 дней назад
Namaskar ji your analysis is two hundred percent pure wrong. Let me ask you some questions and give me reply. How many seats are the Congress contesting? 328 seats . In this 25 Seat In AP& 40 seats in West Bengal are not counted, because there no scope in Two States. You should consider 263 seats only. in 263 seats how many seats will you get? God knows, how many seats will lose deposit? Why did Rahul run away from Amethi and Wayanad? Why were six state PCC presidents resigned? Why are all the leaders in Congress resigning and leaving? It would be great if Congress gets 40 to 50 seats . We will see on the fourth June . The Congress party will not get the opposition status even for the third time. Rahul is losing in two seats. Even if he wins in Vayanadu with few votes, it is doubtful. He is definitely losing in the Rayabareli. Congress won't even get a single seat from Uttar Pradesh.
@subramanyambs2964
@subramanyambs2964 26 дней назад
Bharat mata ki jai
@IndroneelMukerji
@IndroneelMukerji 26 дней назад
I think too much is being made of a. the revival of sorts of the regional opposition parties, and b. BJP’s allies which are considered weak in Maharashtra and Bihar; in the overall scheme of things my take is BJP - 320; it’s allies 15-20. And where will the opposition I.N.D.I.A get? 150? The INC? 50? 60? Hardly anything to get into a paroxysm, is there? My take is in WB BJP will range between 20-25, in Odisha too it might get 10-12. In UP I will be surprised if BJP drops below 70; I won’t be surprised if they manage 75/80. Social justice is a buzzword.
@mathewkl9011
@mathewkl9011 27 дней назад
Very realistic, valid opinion. 👍🏻♥️
@chandan89
@chandan89 26 дней назад
NDA will get around 230-240
@jagathjayakumar3145
@jagathjayakumar3145 26 дней назад
Right prediction👍🏼. BJP NDA will not cross 250+. High chance of India Alliance to get around 282-295
@user-di3bl8vt5z
@user-di3bl8vt5z 26 дней назад
It seems a thin majority for BJP....atleast this discussion points towards that....
@rs6581sd1
@rs6581sd1 25 дней назад
Govt schemes aur benifits mein kuch anyay nahi like congress. Ram mandir ban vaya, National highways double kiya, article 370 Nikal diya, No terror attacks on civilians, Inflation lower then UPA days, No enemy country threats. Superior international policy. Ye sab chodke kisi aur ko vote kaise Dena Mann Kar raha hai???
@LaihraNohro
@LaihraNohro 27 дней назад
The man seemed lost..WB is bound to tilt towards TMC. Last election was about Left voters bailing BJP out with 18 seats. Now with the Left reclaiming their lost ground is a sure sign of BJP's slide..
@ab20037
@ab20037 27 дней назад
😂😂Yes Left reclaiming ground by wining 0 seats in assembly BJP easily getting 20+ in WB
@MegaAvijitdey
@MegaAvijitdey 27 дней назад
@@ab20037come back here and make comment if bjp wont get 15 Seats in Westbengal
@ab20037
@ab20037 27 дней назад
@@MegaAvijitdey 👍
@bloodwargaming3662
@bloodwargaming3662 27 дней назад
Bro is to Brain dead to understand politics. You don't get it . Seats don't matter when you have the ability to make a party lose atleast 10 lok sabha seats . I will give you an example. In arambagh left got around 5% of the vote . Tmc and bjp 44% each ​..now it's statistically proven that most bjp voters in Bengal are left voters . So if bjp even loses 1% to left tmc gets clear win thanks to fptp system. @@ab20037
@heykaisehainapsabhiharoon2446
@heykaisehainapsabhiharoon2446 25 дней назад
Nice
@sarathsrt
@sarathsrt 27 дней назад
In UP still BJP have 60 seat only out of 80...then how it will reduce..
@sunilkbphygmailcom
@sunilkbphygmailcom 27 дней назад
BJP will get only 40 seats in UP.
@mohasinwanie3966
@mohasinwanie3966 27 дней назад
I think AP n odhisa will be king makers for both NDA or INDIA MARK MY WORDS NO ONE IS KLOSE TO MAJORITY
@AjayKumar-zp8zc
@AjayKumar-zp8zc 26 дней назад
Works done by modi... article 370 removal. Triple talaq.. 4 crore houses.. 4 crore toilet s... Gold mudra... Bank accounts for farmer... Digitalization... Semi conductors manufacturing... Computors, cell phone s record production.. Ayodhya. Kashi development ( employment creation) . Navi mumbai bridge.. 24 Aims hospitals... Ayushmaan bharat.. Free corona vaccine.. Most popular world leader... Good foreign relations. Strong defense... Record export of fighter planes.
@sampathshetty4897
@sampathshetty4897 27 дней назад
In Bihar we also cast vote but no chance for b jp bjp not get 3 seats r j d and congres cross 37 seats mo chance in Bihar for b jp voters seen b jp in ten years inflation price rise no job no devt bank rate high atm charges for five withbdrawel so voters dethrone b jp in 2024 election b jp or theirvsupporters can say anything but b jp not win 3 seats jai r j d jai congres jai kharghe
@rajindersinghkhangura6390
@rajindersinghkhangura6390 27 дней назад
😅😅😅😅😅😅😅😅😅😅😅😅😅😅😅😅
@SaurabhGangwar1404
@SaurabhGangwar1404 26 дней назад
Bihar ka shetty. 😂
@rs2k2forever
@rs2k2forever 26 дней назад
​@SaurabhGangwar1404 I was also thinking same 😅😅😅
@hemancrazy2035
@hemancrazy2035 26 дней назад
Marathi me shetta hota hai..aur Bihar me shetty😂
@SaurabhGangwar1404
@SaurabhGangwar1404 26 дней назад
@@hemancrazy2035 😂. Shetty Karnataka ke hote hai.
@awdheshdube4246
@awdheshdube4246 26 дней назад
How BJP won MP, CG n RS just few month before. N which reginal parties would do better than 5019 Also why voters who voted in 2014 n 2019 would not in 2024 Think on this u can conclude rationally
@Bibhu-it1yi
@Bibhu-it1yi 24 дня назад
Sad Kangress is Doomed Party . Matter of Discussion is how many seats BJP will Get.
@kknandan143
@kknandan143 26 дней назад
Very poor sound quality
@user-ob7sl7jf9p
@user-ob7sl7jf9p 26 дней назад
Sanjay Kumar c.voter always support to opposition parties
@hrrecruitment5346
@hrrecruitment5346 26 дней назад
No need BJP anymore.. we need job
@skshamanidhitandi4767
@skshamanidhitandi4767 20 дней назад
Whatever stament of sanajay kumar is only book reading opinion but those who have been jointly predicated form land mark will be true
@basheer1962
@basheer1962 26 дней назад
Bjp nda 217 Congress IndiA 303
@MrLotliker
@MrLotliker 26 дней назад
No one senses wave before results. After results they say it was wave but hidden. Always same. Bjp will sweep.
@sumittiwari1510
@sumittiwari1510 26 дней назад
ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-QjrSPLFil68.htmlsi=4kXzrZod4MsHDzSK sala jhooth bol raha h
@sastryrc2923
@sastryrc2923 26 дней назад
BJP will suffer very badly
@WerewolfWerewolf-bn7jy
@WerewolfWerewolf-bn7jy 26 дней назад
In your dreams 😴 😂​@@sastryrc2923
@pinakidash2730
@pinakidash2730 25 дней назад
All narratives will expire in 10 days time. What will be left is the credibility of people like Sanjay Kumar.
@RKV8527
@RKV8527 26 дней назад
All women voted for RS 1 lakh freebies. All youth voted for Rs 1 lakh freebies.
@sampathshetty4897
@sampathshetty4897 27 дней назад
Only media and rich people can say but 90 percent voters reject b jp emwr voters not want b jp voters want congres.amd india
@saikrisb2852
@saikrisb2852 26 дней назад
😂😂😂
@KUNALKUMAR-en8nu
@KUNALKUMAR-en8nu 26 дней назад
😂😂😂
@sensibleenergy
@sensibleenergy 27 дней назад
BJP's negotiation buffer zone is 230 to 240, anything below 230 NDA alliances themselves runaway from BJP because it's dicatatorship rules
@AnishaChauhan-gt4rw
@AnishaChauhan-gt4rw 26 дней назад
WB + Odisha+ telengana+ Andra - the result will surprise you bjp may loose 30 odd seat in north belt , but the readjust ment they already did in those 4 state ..it's a gain for them cause east and south never vote for bjp ...and bjp clear win in gujrat, they might loose 10 seat in Maharashtra ,5 seat in Karnataka, 5 seat in Rajasthan, 2 seat in haryana+ 20 seat in up 15 in Bihar ye bol rahe hai sab toh bjp konsi bihar mai 17 se jyada seat jeeta tha toh opposition 25 bhi jeete Jaye to unko 2 seat ka nuksan hoga , up mai bhi opposition 25 seat jetenge to unko 2-3 seat ka hi nuksan hoga kyun ki 62/80 ye tha 2019 mai halath ..to koi jyada farq nahi hai 😂 ulat west bengal, odisha, Andra and telengana unka gain hua ... tamilnadu mai bhi kahata kol denge is bar voh 2 seat coimbatore and pondicherry...konsi kerla unko vote deta hai ,Punjab deta hai ...they are irrelevant and unki power seat mai itna bhi nahi hai 🪃ista my analysis bjp may win more seat than 2019 likh lo
@AnishaChauhan-gt4rw
@AnishaChauhan-gt4rw 26 дней назад
290 bjp le ayegi likh lo
@sensibleenergy
@sensibleenergy 26 дней назад
@@AnishaChauhan-gt4rw you yourself is not sure about the figures, I'm from Andhra and I know bjp is going to get anda which is zero from there, Karnata bjp losing half, haryana probably bjp may lose 7, odisha and telangana gains will be lost to karnataka alone
@AnishaChauhan-gt4rw
@AnishaChauhan-gt4rw 26 дней назад
@@sensibleenergy Karnataka bjp will loose 10 seat still they are on 18 , to be realistic ,, am from Maharashtra , you inc guys exaggerated fact too much bjp will not loosemore than 2-3 seat in MP likh ke lo kyun ki kanadiga reservation ( obc )add to muslim ..and 4 june I will talk to you haryana where I belongs ,, my paternal grandfather home there bjp will not loose more than 2-3 seat ,in 4 seat is there is strong fight , and about Andra I will talk to you in 4 th June after result comes , odisha and West Bengal not small state , if BJP won there Karnataka half seat they can full fill there , if they loose , 21 and 40 seat in odisha and West Bengal respectively total 61 seat out of which it's my prediction they will won 40-45 seat ,, which they usually lost or only take 25 seat odd...it's clear logic ...bro am a analyst ...I might be wrong but talk to you after June 4...
@AnishaChauhan-gt4rw
@AnishaChauhan-gt4rw 26 дней назад
@@sensibleenergy I can clearly say you bjp will win 7 seat in haryana out of 10 ,, the contest is on 4 seat if Congress won all 3 we can give 1 to bjp
@navinbhatia9936
@navinbhatia9936 26 дней назад
NDA seat projection Phase one-- -58/102 Phase two- --62/88 Phase three --79/94 Phase four---81/96 Phase five -40/49 Total --320/380 BJP -275/380
@Indian_______949
@Indian_______949 26 дней назад
Bjp 420/543
@murugeshmurugesh6942
@murugeshmurugesh6942 25 дней назад
BJP 999
@imlimarjamir8349
@imlimarjamir8349 27 дней назад
Indi will win..
@Indian_______949
@Indian_______949 26 дней назад
Last two lok sabha election (2014, 2019) we voted for bjp overwhelmingly anticipating changes but sadly this election we voted against bjp. Bjp will surely lose in my constituency
@krishnarjunaraokoppisetti2035
@krishnarjunaraokoppisetti2035 26 дней назад
In ap bjp will get zero. Tdp may get two or three. The commemtator will utterly fail in ap. Its my challenge.
@santoshupadhyay9532
@santoshupadhyay9532 25 дней назад
350+ for BJP LED NDA is right assessment
@sampathshetty4897
@sampathshetty4897 27 дней назад
No chance for b jp bjp not cross 56 seats out of 543 congres235 and india 176 thrinumul 37 seats so so congres led india on June 4thv
@anikbiswas1681
@anikbiswas1681 27 дней назад
Hy GSD fan m from Kolkata not u in WB bjp getting 25 seats congres will not cross 50 seats bjp will get 324 seats nda will get 369 seats odisha Assam up WB will surprise India on 4th june
@anikbiswas1681
@anikbiswas1681 27 дней назад
Bjp will not cross 56 seats 😂😂😂😂😂😢😢😂😂😂😂 my god from up its coming 71 seats out of 80
@Channakeshava-vh5fd
@Channakeshava-vh5fd 26 дней назад
SRI RAMA IS NOT A DICTATOR. He is a maryada puroshotham. He loves to destroy Ravana for sake of pious Sita. Now history is going to repeat again.
@callingdoctor1007
@callingdoctor1007 26 дней назад
For healthy democracy it is important to change the government but if we see as a nation purpose BJP is good
@BipinBabu2024
@BipinBabu2024 26 дней назад
BJP total seats near 325. Maximum.
@y.c.ongbouchang7200
@y.c.ongbouchang7200 26 дней назад
Simple slogan BJP hatao desh bachao.
@abhiramn4509
@abhiramn4509 26 дней назад
INDI ALLIANCE is surprising everyone in uttar pradesh , maharastra , bihar , haryana . All these states will gove BJP shocks . Bjp will not get majority. They ll be stuck around 220
@ianpadiyar7314
@ianpadiyar7314 26 дней назад
Dear Friend " Are you God or Modi?" . Are you living in India or Uganda? Can't you see the suffering of common citizens, price rise, unemployment and still you predict BJP? Are you working for BJP?
@vivekrajup9701
@vivekrajup9701 26 дней назад
Tired of these experts coming up with a narrative that BJP will lose. Wait for the results and save your credibility for another day. Why speculate.
@sunilpadwaldesai4121
@sunilpadwaldesai4121 25 дней назад
BJP+ had 370+ seat while BJP 303 THERE IS BJD DMK can support on issue.
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