Market Cycles Report: June 17 | Buffett Indicator - Is there a cycle?
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00:00 Intro
10:25 The Buffet Indicator shows an overvalued US stock market, with a peak expected in October/November.
16:45 Cycles analysis reveals a dominant 180-week cycle, indicating a potential shift in the market.
21:10 Extending the analysis to include the 360-week cycle provides additional confirmation of timing predictions.
29:50 Timing aligns with historical US election periods, suggesting a possible change post-election.
In 2001, Warren Buffett told Fortune magazine that "probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment" is the total market cap of the stock market divided by the the gross domestic product (GDP). This metric has become widely referred to as the "Buffett Indicator."
Today we'll analyze the Buffett Indicator and see if we can find any cycles.
Lars von Thienen hosts Market Cycles Report, a weekly session that reviews datasets using cycles analysis methods. Watch live on Mondays at noon ET.
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18 июн 2024