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Market Cycles Report: Sept 26, 2022 | Cycles in New Home Sales & Timing U.S. Recessions 

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Market Cycles Report: September 26, 2022 - Live!
Cycles in New Home Sales & impact on projecting US recessions
Presented by FSC Board Member Lars von Thienen, this weekly session reviews datasets using cycles analysis methods. Live session incl. Q&A.
Today, we review the composite cycle model in U.S. new Home sales statistics.
Referenced sources:
1) New home sales data series from FRED
fred.stlouisfed.org/series/HSN1F
2) Original data published by U.S. Census Bureau
www.census.gov/construction/nrs/index.html
3) U.S. business cycle expansions and contractions (after the fact)
www.nber.org/research/data/us-business-cycle-expansions-and-contractions
A large slice of American wealth is directly tied to the housing market. Plus, a strong economy is reflected by increased demand for the goods and services that complement the housing market. Can we create a cyclic model which is in alignment with past U.S. recessions and that is able to help us in timing the possible next U.S. recession? Join this session to learn more!
Link to article:
beyondmarkets.substack.com/p/slow-down-in-housing-market-can-it
More from Lars: cycles.org/lars
FSC Website: cycles.org/
Share this video: ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-McRjUQautKc.html
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Playlists:
Cycles TV:
ru-vid.com/group/PLQFZhqmSOlq8tNp5Uvz3pmozRo1sj8_IX
Market Cycles Report:
ru-vid.com/group/PLQFZhqmSOlq8-da2EybawwXaA-vRNxjkR
Highlights:
ru-vid.com/group/PLQFZhqmSOlq-wOu2fC4PGR1eZSNm-kZLd
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Do you have questions or comments? Leave a message in the comment section below.
Subscribe to get regular market- and investing-related content: ru-vid.com
Connect with the FSC:
Twitter: studyofcycles
Facebook: StudyofCycles
LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/foundation-for-the-study-of-cycles/
#stockmarket #technicalanalysis #newhomesales #recession

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26 сен 2022

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Комментарии : 9   
@BryanBrey
@BryanBrey 2 года назад
Wow. 😮 Incredibly accurate and predictive.
@alextrujillo6225
@alextrujillo6225 2 года назад
Great session. Thank you for sharing.
@FSCtv
@FSCtv 2 года назад
Glad you enjoyed it!
@nikolaussoundso
@nikolaussoundso 2 года назад
How does this fit with the 18-year real estate cycle that's pointing to a major top in 2026-2027?
@nokomisbeachdude1996
@nokomisbeachdude1996 2 года назад
Last week Eliades said that if the S&P closed the week below a certain line on his chart that a fall to lower lows would be triggered. So, did the S&P close below that line? Please update us. Thanks.
@FSCtv
@FSCtv 2 года назад
The video is still there. Feel free to check the levels.
@Sing620hff
@Sing620hff 2 года назад
When I download from Fred it doesn’t upload.
@FSCtv
@FSCtv 2 года назад
This is not enough information to support you. The upload format must match the CSV file format. So you might need to ensure the upload format is correct as outlined on the upload page.
@francisbacon2401
@francisbacon2401 2 года назад
Big cycle bottoms in about 2037