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[Monday] Idalia Strengthening; Major Impacts Expected in Florida and Southeast US Beginning Tuesday 

Tropical Tidbits
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00:00 Tropical Storm Idalia
12:55 Hurricane Franklin
Website: www.tropicaltidbits.com/
You can support Tropical Tidbits on Patreon: www.patreon.com/bePatron?c=65...
Follow my Twitter for more frequent updates: / tropicaltidbits
Please note that these posts do NOT necessarily reflect the official forecasts of the National Hurricane Center (NHC), and should not be interpreted as such. While tropical storms exist in the Atlantic, official NHC information is available at www.hurricanes.gov. Please refer to the NHC when making decisions, and heed the advisories and evacuation statements of your local National Weather Service Office and emergency management officials.
Dr. Levi Cowan creates videos and blogs pertaining to tropical cyclones, primarily hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean. Posts occasionally concern other, non-tropical weather events around the world. Dr. Cowan has a Ph.D. in meteorology from Florida State University.

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4 июл 2024

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Комментарии : 150   
@ProVelvetX
@ProVelvetX 10 месяцев назад
Thank you for being informative without pandering.
@TexasTimelapse
@TexasTimelapse 10 месяцев назад
Ryan Hall Y'all! 🤮
@neobailey5268
@neobailey5268 10 месяцев назад
Exactly
@atlflgirl9634
@atlflgirl9634 10 месяцев назад
@@TexasTimelapsehe’s more of a commentator
@TexasTimelapse
@TexasTimelapse 10 месяцев назад
@@atlflgirl9634 Click bait
@anaibarangan4908
@anaibarangan4908 10 месяцев назад
Never underestimate how dangerous and destructive, how long life disrupted by hurricanes. Even if nothing happens to home and family, can be forced to live like camping for who knows how long. Even if I don't practice camping, I've had to buy almost everything as if I do, and can't have the best kind of permanent automatic generators in condo complexes, because can't have anything permanent that runs on any kind of gas or gasoline, for safety reasons why. Everything electric powered, and up on concrete reinforced stilts even into the ground surrounding the wood poles. Literally hurricanes can blow away the building and the concrete reinforced stilts would remain. That's what hurricane shutters prevent from happening, because prevent impacts against the windows. Broken windows, means roof flies off. I wish we had protection of the water facing garage areas, because as it stands, everything down there could be washed away with storm surge. That's why I was checking out what using to protect hospitals in Tampa FL. It's as if lift to keep water out, but could be solar panels, because just white pebbles stones and sidewalk in front of the garage area wall that faces the water.
@boldasalion6436
@boldasalion6436 10 месяцев назад
Getting ready to hang on in Florida, here we go again!! Be prepared, we got this!! Help your neighbors, especially the elderly, prayers up!
@IVector377
@IVector377 10 месяцев назад
Thanks! My wife and I typically vacation to Hilton Head in September. Your excellent work has been very helpful to us for several years.
@Tropical-Tidbits
@Tropical-Tidbits 10 месяцев назад
Thanks a lot for the support!
@PropaTraxx
@PropaTraxx 10 месяцев назад
I nominate Dr. Cowan as the leading weatherman for this country. Gives it to us straight with no nonsense. Recently noticed that other weather channels use data from Tropical Tidbits. Thank you sir.
@RandallLowetx
@RandallLowetx 10 месяцев назад
Seriously, he's consistently the best source of information, and because he's explaining the effects of the weather patterns on the storm, I feel more confident in what he says than main stream news. I wish he had a bigger national platform to share his observations and insight.
@Ty91681
@Ty91681 10 месяцев назад
​@@RandallLowetxno doubt if he had a bigger platform his delivery and style would also change to cater to that larger crowd. Be careful what you wish for. I have no problem finding him on yt.
@RandallLowetx
@RandallLowetx 10 месяцев назад
@@Ty91681 I know you're probably right, but my idealist mind hopes it wouldn't.
@sanautin
@sanautin 10 месяцев назад
Thank you, Dr Cowan. Your calm, matter of fact, approach is very much appreciated. Sending best wishes to Florida from the Mississippi gulf coast!
@rogueone8194
@rogueone8194 10 месяцев назад
Glad to see folks from the Mississippi Gulf Coast watching! Grew up in Long Beach, knew too many people who got caught off guard in dangerous situations.
@raydemos1181
@raydemos1181 10 месяцев назад
Best forecaster with no hurricane hype, he tells it like it is,
@reneesheppard1901
@reneesheppard1901 10 месяцев назад
Good afternoon Levi I live in Ormond Beach Fl Praying for everyone on the west side and all of Florida. Thank you for all you do Levi❤
@ityree
@ityree 10 месяцев назад
All of us in Bermuda thank you for your great work!!
@k.c1126
@k.c1126 10 месяцев назад
Levi has grateful fans all around the ATL... 😊
@suehuff8065
@suehuff8065 10 месяцев назад
Always appreciate your expertise, Dr. C, thank you for everything you do to keep people informed! :)
@PALup13
@PALup13 10 месяцев назад
Thank you, Levi, for keeping everyone safe. Love the content.
@kevinkibbe2679
@kevinkibbe2679 10 месяцев назад
Thank you for all you do Dr. Cowan! Been watching your page for several years now and it’s been even more important since my move to Florida almost 3 years ago
@gulfgypsy
@gulfgypsy 10 месяцев назад
Hopefully folks in Cedar Key are taking this seriously and have evacuated or are doing so now --- We're about 50 miles due east of there and I'm having a difficult time convincing my neighbors to button down their things outside --- Spent yesterday and today securing my outside --- Please safe everyone!!!
@weaponxreject
@weaponxreject 10 месяцев назад
Been watching your storm updates for years Doc, if/when the time comes for you to hang this part of the job up I am going to cry an atmospheric river over the loss. Thanks for taking the time and for being you, here's to many many more seasons of the best tropical weather content on the internet.
@CaptBirdBrain
@CaptBirdBrain 10 месяцев назад
Thanks Dr. Levi. You've been our go-to for hurricane forecasts for the past few years. We live just south of Sarasota, so we're watching this closely. I'm comforted by the model concurrence, but I'm still nervous given the propensity for storms coming up the west coast to turn early, a la Charley and Ian style. We're prepping nonetheless.
@QGJohn
@QGJohn 10 месяцев назад
I think Ian was originally going to Big Bend, but as it progressed, that kept moving down the coast. Until it finally settled on Charlotte Harbor. The official forecast track was more like a delayed actual track.
@gamingwitharlen2267
@gamingwitharlen2267 10 месяцев назад
Great Video! This is way better than any other news coverage. You give such good information that is understandable, unlike the other news outlets. This is how weather forecasting should be done.
@mahomeymike
@mahomeymike 10 месяцев назад
You’re the best for a reason Dr. Levi
@genehauser3913
@genehauser3913 10 месяцев назад
All facts, no fluff; exactly what we need to keep us informed and therefore safer.
@marshatrent5053
@marshatrent5053 10 месяцев назад
Thank you from southern Belize for your continued expert analysis on storms over the years...I only pay attention to you and YCC...
@k.c1126
@k.c1126 10 месяцев назад
Yes... Going to check in there (YCC) this evening to see what's happening with preps in FL and Bermuda.
@QGJohn
@QGJohn 10 месяцев назад
Thanks for your explanations. Even NHC's info is mostly just "this is what we think it will do". Your explanations give a lot of the why this is trending a certain way. Depending on how the rest of Monday goes, any chance of doing a second video today? An Update, late tonight. Is there anything that could make it take a few big zigs to the east, early, like cross Cuba and go into the Florida Straits?
@Tropical-Tidbits
@Tropical-Tidbits 10 месяцев назад
Unfortunately I work full time, and past midnight eastern time, so next video will be around noon tomorrow eastern time
@elle7899
@elle7899 10 месяцев назад
Thank you so much. I'm cleaning up the yard listening to your info. I'm a little north of Tampa
@k.p.1139
@k.p.1139 10 месяцев назад
Thanks Levi! I'm here in Central Florida and the clouds have been screaming from the NE to the SW all morning. But, now, it's still! Nothing is moving and the clouds have just stopped! Not even a whisper of a breeze. It's interesting watching this.
@theojjuiceisloose
@theojjuiceisloose 10 месяцев назад
Central Floridian here too, it seems like it would be a nice night for a picnic! Very calm and not so unbearably hot for the first time in a while 😅
@deepquake9
@deepquake9 10 месяцев назад
Looks like we will be seeing quite a bit if you this season. Thank you Dr. Cowan! Excellent work.
@BrettL250
@BrettL250 10 месяцев назад
Always give the bad news first. Lol. Once again thank you Levi for this report. You’re the only guy I really trust on this because you don’t hype it up.
@WilliamPozo
@WilliamPozo 10 месяцев назад
Excellent analysis. Thank you Dr. This area of Florida is certainly less populated. Especially compared to the cities on the coast. Hoping for minimal damage.. less intensity on idalia.
@foDAN248
@foDAN248 10 месяцев назад
Hey levi, I live in Apalachicola, this was very helpful thank you. I've seen your graphics in a many of EOC AUX dashboards. It is concise and always clear. Your GIS kml pipeline is by far the fastest for end-user products once published. Why no CIMSS Intensity Products? AI-RI, D-MINT maybe? Also their new ARCHER product is interesting.
@cheapercharlie
@cheapercharlie 10 месяцев назад
You are always the go to channel for frank information.
@atlflgirl9634
@atlflgirl9634 10 месяцев назад
Levi your so awesome to so many of us and I wonder if you know how many other meteorologists rely on you and follow you 🥰👍
@shivermetimbers4102
@shivermetimbers4102 10 месяцев назад
These like to move to Port Charlotte sometimes, so we are prepared. Good luck everyone.
@chrislevisay6951
@chrislevisay6951 10 месяцев назад
Thank you for your insight and updates!
@katrig1257
@katrig1257 10 месяцев назад
Thanks for the update. Heading to Pensacola. Be safe everyone.
@henrye7483
@henrye7483 10 месяцев назад
Dr. L., Your analysis of IDALIA is both informative and fascinating. Living here in Florida, I relied on your hurricane forecasts for years. You are my go to source for accuracy, minus the hype. BTW, GO NOLES…😂
@TheMississippiboatma
@TheMississippiboatma 10 месяцев назад
Thank you, Dr Levi!
@Aries61
@Aries61 10 месяцев назад
Thank you Dr.!! Always great reporting!
@elizabethwilliams-wx4sq
@elizabethwilliams-wx4sq 10 месяцев назад
Thank you for the facts!
@SquirrelRIP
@SquirrelRIP 10 месяцев назад
Fantastic insight, thank you Levi 👍
@RiverDocs
@RiverDocs 10 месяцев назад
Thanks Levi. Appreciate it!
@flthom1980
@flthom1980 10 месяцев назад
That time of year again, Thanks from SW FL for just the facts :)
@ThrupleQuashimodo
@ThrupleQuashimodo 10 месяцев назад
Really appreciate your thoughts
@heidimccarthy5127
@heidimccarthy5127 10 месяцев назад
Thank You Dr. Levi!
@oneofthem1070
@oneofthem1070 10 месяцев назад
Thank you sir. Been following you since 2018.
@lochmoigh1
@lochmoigh1 10 месяцев назад
Thank you sir.
@hurricaneheather1420
@hurricaneheather1420 10 месяцев назад
Thank you Levi for the update 😊
@joecct77
@joecct77 10 месяцев назад
Thank you.
@stanjohnson8040
@stanjohnson8040 10 месяцев назад
Thanks for the update. Your forecasting has been spot on.
@peggyfeeler7971
@peggyfeeler7971 10 месяцев назад
Thank you
@orlandocano4211
@orlandocano4211 10 месяцев назад
appreciate the tidbits, cheers!
@pinkpearl8130
@pinkpearl8130 10 месяцев назад
Amazing, thorough content as always. Thank you 🙏
@joydambrosio1502
@joydambrosio1502 10 месяцев назад
Thank you so much for the information and explanations.
@cherylconnell6945
@cherylconnell6945 10 месяцев назад
Thank you..
@brendaz9222
@brendaz9222 10 месяцев назад
Thanks Levi 😊
@karlfair
@karlfair 10 месяцев назад
Thanks
@savvycha
@savvycha 10 месяцев назад
Thank you Levi!
@mikeshumate1840
@mikeshumate1840 10 месяцев назад
Best insights out there are right here.
@wickedgood7549
@wickedgood7549 10 месяцев назад
Incredible report.
@vaderjones357
@vaderjones357 10 месяцев назад
Thanks Levi!!!💜🌀
@182QKFTW
@182QKFTW 10 месяцев назад
Thanks, Levi
@tampabaystormchaser
@tampabaystormchaser 10 месяцев назад
Thank you very much
@kennethwolkens6251
@kennethwolkens6251 10 месяцев назад
Thanks for the straight forward information. No spin or drama here. Liked and subscribed.
@toolman9081
@toolman9081 10 месяцев назад
Thank you so much for sharing this very well explained information, we're preparing here in Wilmington NC
@susanmusser9629
@susanmusser9629 10 месяцев назад
Thank you for great info. Of course, we here in Florida always look for Jim Cantore.
@S0nyToprano
@S0nyToprano 10 месяцев назад
Thanks so much. Keeping a very close eye on this being in Wilmington, NC. Idalia keeps defying all expectations and not in a good way.
@tacticallance
@tacticallance 10 месяцев назад
Me too!
@ljhoats
@ljhoats 10 месяцев назад
In Outer Banks watching too
@jonmoceri
@jonmoceri 10 месяцев назад
I really enjoy your matter of fact, based on science approach to this hurricane prediction field. Scientists like you will save lives and save $$$. But only if the politicians and the people heed your warnings. I'm now a paid subscriber.
@lawrencetaylor4101
@lawrencetaylor4101 10 месяцев назад
Merci Levi.
@AudioGuyBrian
@AudioGuyBrian 10 месяцев назад
You are the man Levi! Keeping us informed and much appreciated. Do you sell any T-Shirts?
@Tropical-Tidbits
@Tropical-Tidbits 10 месяцев назад
No swag yet! Maybe in the future 😉
@ashlingofAsh7580
@ashlingofAsh7580 10 месяцев назад
With that sheer or low comin from Louisiana it shows it pushing and if this storm starts to go it looks like it would be pointed more into Tampa Bay. As you just showed basically too. The farther out numbers least a few hours ago showed it at a high 3 cat as it gets close to land up in Fla. Ugh. I'm so close to Tampa bay..
@dobee961
@dobee961 10 месяцев назад
Thank you Levi! EOCs are standing by
@robhill8197
@robhill8197 10 месяцев назад
Here we go again....another forecast Cat 3 that looks like it's going to rapidly intensify and blow past that....That small tight center of circulation 2 days ago had this written all over it.
@anaibarangan4908
@anaibarangan4908 10 месяцев назад
Everything should be built to code, but rising moving waters, and whatever happens to power utilities, is where life threatening danger lies.
@LiveeyePhoto
@LiveeyePhoto 10 месяцев назад
I am in Gainesville, we have had a few storms come in but nothing like this.
@heatpumpman
@heatpumpman 10 месяцев назад
you the man
@peacepantherproductions
@peacepantherproductions 10 месяцев назад
Everyone on the gulf side: pls take your animals with you now. Especially if on a barrier island. Just evacuate and take your animals. I’m hoping it’s not going to be too bad..
@TheNickhammond
@TheNickhammond 10 месяцев назад
The angle of approach reminds me of tropical storm ETA which had a surprising level of coastal flooding. This will be much worse.
@scottanno8861
@scottanno8861 10 месяцев назад
Came from Yale Climate Connections site
@stampeek
@stampeek 10 месяцев назад
Would anyone on here keep their trip booked to Bermuda this week (Tuesday to Saturday) or cancel due to Franklin ? We are bringing our 7 month old daughter and don’t really want to risk it but I’m curious what others think
@cherylschneider6903
@cherylschneider6903 10 месяцев назад
Ca'nt believe they haven't issued evacuations. Crazy!
@sandrabentley8111
@sandrabentley8111 10 месяцев назад
Well where would they issue evacuations, other than some flood prone areas? It's coming ashore in a less populated area and will be gone by late Wednesday, early Thursday. It's not a cat5 like Ian.
@bocca7789
@bocca7789 10 месяцев назад
​@@sandrabentley8111defo a 4
@s550Dom21
@s550Dom21 10 месяцев назад
I know we are a week out but can you provide some update to possible impacts of Idalia to Bermuda after it pushes off the coast of the US? Thanks, appreciate your updates!
@XxSEETH3RxX
@XxSEETH3RxX 10 месяцев назад
I live in SWFL. This thing has got me jumpy. They said Ian would go north to Tampa too. It instead took a right turn and slammed us
@reginaangell5327
@reginaangell5327 10 месяцев назад
I heard last night Tampa has protection from Indian burial grounds that protect it. Not scientific but it could be.
@XxSEETH3RxX
@XxSEETH3RxX 10 месяцев назад
@@reginaangell5327 I highly doubt that
@marydupureur1947
@marydupureur1947 10 месяцев назад
all you can do is get prepared because there's no telling what mother nature is gonna do.
@TheCarlson25
@TheCarlson25 10 месяцев назад
Don't worry I know it isnt easy but if you watched the progression of Ian last year the euro never budged from where it was. The gfs unreliable ones said panhandle but euro always stood pat where Ian landed a few days ahead. Now the euro is standing pat in the big bend area
@TheXxswordsxx
@TheXxswordsxx 10 месяцев назад
Thank you Dr. Cowan! Always highly informed videos, and its much appreciated. On the topic of Idalia, what are the odds of that storm pulling an Ivan, and swinging back down to the tip of the peninsula before going back into the gulf? I guess the real question: was Ivan incredibly unique in hitting the US 3 times?
@runmyfadegaming
@runmyfadegaming 10 месяцев назад
Hey is destin florida area safe
@walterclements8976
@walterclements8976 10 месяцев назад
I've got a question i've noticed a pattern where initial cones put hurricanes in this big bend region and then as they get closer the suddenly shift and almost seem magnetized to charlotte harbor what do you think are the chances of that ocurring here?
@woofwoofdoggo
@woofwoofdoggo 10 месяцев назад
God protect the people in the path 🙏
@miamianz
@miamianz 10 месяцев назад
I think it's going to hit north of Tampa and south of the bend
@BiaMaria_777
@BiaMaria_777 10 месяцев назад
Impacts are really coming...my way.😩🥺😢🙏🏻
@bloggerccc
@bloggerccc 10 месяцев назад
Why is this on my screen only NOW, six days late??? (I open this tablet every day with my mornng coffee.)
@munzenheimer9264
@munzenheimer9264 10 месяцев назад
Levi, will the full moon play a role in the level of storm surge?
@alanwelsh749
@alanwelsh749 10 месяцев назад
Is the POSTING time about Noon (11 AM - 1 PM) or about 1530Z on Monday? (Would be helpful to also post the time, date, as well as day.) I wish RU-vid showed ALL video posting times, i.e., an "ABOUT" of each video.
@Larry.Luciano
@Larry.Luciano 10 месяцев назад
Dr. Cowan, what about the theory of Idalia turning right because of a down south push and the northern front?
@virgiljohnson4260
@virgiljohnson4260 10 месяцев назад
Storm Idalia LIVE: Florida preps for Cat 4 hurricane as DeSantis tells 1.5m 'get out now'
@matthewk8379
@matthewk8379 10 месяцев назад
I’m very curious Levi, as to why the NAM 3km model is always bullish when forecasting hurricanes?
@Tropical-Tidbits
@Tropical-Tidbits 10 месяцев назад
It has a shortcoming that leads it to cause an unrealistically large heat flux off the ocean, fueling hurricanes too much in that model. It is not useful for hurricane forecasting
@matthewk8379
@matthewk8379 10 месяцев назад
@@Tropical-Tidbits how can a shortcoming like that potentially be fixed?
@whterabbt1405
@whterabbt1405 10 месяцев назад
Levi only states factual information while keeping calm. That said, even slight intensity in his voice and verbage should be heeded. I feel pretty confident this one will be a doozy.
@polarvortex6601
@polarvortex6601 10 месяцев назад
what are the chances of this doing a loop later on per GFS?
@atlflgirl9634
@atlflgirl9634 10 месяцев назад
It’s still days away
@roseforyoubabe
@roseforyoubabe 10 месяцев назад
models are trending even stronger
@sandrabentley8111
@sandrabentley8111 10 месяцев назад
Doesn't have time to strengthen too much beyond cat3. It'll be zooming.
@roseforyoubabe
@roseforyoubabe 10 месяцев назад
@@sandrabentley8111 cat 3 at 111 or a high end cat 3 that is a huge difference i still think this could be a low end cat 4 there have been examples of storms going from a tropical depression to a cat 4 in less than 24 hours
@roseforyoubabe
@roseforyoubabe 10 месяцев назад
@@sandrabentley8111 it will be getting stronger right until it makes landfall as water temps are extremely hot in the gulf
@kend3900
@kend3900 10 месяцев назад
👍
@tgherman3619
@tgherman3619 10 месяцев назад
Could it pull more eastward if it intensifies quickly?
@TheNickhammond
@TheNickhammond 10 месяцев назад
I wondered that but it appears the models are taking that into account.
@tgherman3619
@tgherman3619 10 месяцев назад
@@TheNickhammondBecause up till now the models kept it weak. Even the track now says only 3. But if it reaches 3 or more shortly after passing Cuba then maybe more eastward. That's what happened with Ian.
@risa_sh.youtube3244
@risa_sh.youtube3244 10 месяцев назад
Nam myoho rengekyo 🙏 pray 🌍 peace be safe***+
@marymarshall4750
@marymarshall4750 10 месяцев назад
GOVERNOR GAVIN NEWSOME, DID YOU FIND JUANITO DIEGO???
@tshafer007
@tshafer007 10 месяцев назад
goat
@kathleencraig3804
@kathleencraig3804 10 месяцев назад
thanks for update. We're in north port. are we ok/safe? what type of wind could we receive? power outages? was thinking 70-75mph winds/heavy rains, is that correct?
@Tropical-Tidbits
@Tropical-Tidbits 10 месяцев назад
I'm not a good source for details on local impacts. You can find the information you seek from NWS Tampa: www.weather.gov/tbw/
@roseforyoubabe
@roseforyoubabe 10 месяцев назад
the dreaded i storm will be retired again
@BinarySk8
@BinarySk8 10 месяцев назад
I’m betting Miami gets a surprise attack
@atlflgirl9634
@atlflgirl9634 10 месяцев назад
Miami is on the east coast
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