With all due respect, while he might have been an expert 20 years ago, but speaking about China based on their limitations of 20 years ago is not a realistic view of today. Furthermore, as he himself admitted, he's speaking based on Western views, which have been based on fabricated disinformation all across the globe, especially with China. So, I would suggest to the Straits Times, unless you have become a mouthpiece of the West, then please interview someone who's an actual expert of both the Western and Eastern world, someone who would provide realistic views of the world today, and not a biased one.
ST, always has been the mouthpiece but more pronounced last few years . Just look at the op-ed pieces and commentaries on China are mostly sourced from western news media renowned for its bias. The worst are always featured- Bloomberg, NYT, FT, WSL etc. News agencies Reuters and AFP are no longer impartial like before. Even anti-China think tanks like Hudson Institute are given a platform. ST own China correspondents (one in particular) write like western correspondents, picking faults and highlighting the negatives.
Agree 💯%! The problem with self-proclaimed Western "experts" is that they are actually quite ignorant when it comes to China. Edward Luttwark is no exception. These Western ostriches should get their heads out of Western education, culture, mentality and philosophy to fully understand China! It is foolish naivety that these Westerners think that they know and understand how Chinese think without studying Chinese language, culture, philosophy and way of life!
Not true. Today China still cannot build military jet engines with the required efficiency and durability needed for a war. As far as China navel ships, the majority of them are converted civilian craft. True; the number of the China navy ships surpasses that of the US, but they are of very little military advantage. China needs to cross the Taiwan Strait to invade Taiwan. The ships during that invasion will be extremely vulnerable to attack, and not enough will survive to be a threat to Taiwan.
Some things that this man speaks about history are strange to me. Wasn't Napoleon defeated by Russia? It seems to me that his understanding of history is too anglocentric.
Did I hear wrongly? Vietnam allied with the Americans to contain China? I hope I made a mistake and I am not really inclined to listen to the interview a second time to confirm.
@@geoff9858 LOL it's sad that Americans don't even know their own history, let alone the World history, all they do is twist it to fit the white supremacy agenda.
@@geoff9858 most of asean countries want the balance, make friends with both giant and benefit from both. He simply mentioned because Indonesia army participating with USA in Garuda, Indonesia is an ally. There are also many cooperation between Indonesia with China and with Russia. He cannot be not knowing that.
@@geoff9858 not an ally, USA always thinks the entire world prefer to be their allies. Vietnam has some dispute and thought to get some US support to push China. But they today do not have very big dispute as western press lines to portray. They prefer to find the path where they could work together like trade.
Those western experts talking on US have the capability to fight China in this region if the American can't even defeat the Taliban in Afghanistan after 20 years of war and to make matter worse they escaped in the middle of the night... Where those western experts got their confidence from ?? Which make no sense . . US had never won a single war as the Nazis was defeated by the Russian and the surrendered of Japan because the Japanese don't have Atomic bomb during the WW2 ..The 1950s Korean War which the American were humiliated by the outdated Chinese voluntary Army if we remember their encountered with the Chinese was started from Yalu River to the 38th parallel.. UN intervention with 16 countries saved the American from more humiliation by the Chinese..
Taliban don’t fight like Ukrainian that’s the difference That’s why US left and let taliban rule Afghanistan because Afghanistan don’t have will to fight!
@@_SamUSA_ If US is so strong why they don't setup military base in Taiwan ? Why selling outdated F16 to Taiwan instead of F35 ?? We want US show us the sincerity that they not scare and prepare to die for the Taiwanese ..
Appearance can be deceiving! This Edward Luttwak sounds and appears to be very authoritative, until you take a closer look at what he is saying... full of confirmation biases hidden in some truths. This may or may not be intentional, but the narrowness of his logic leaves alot to be desired.
The English Baird, William Shakespeare's bias against the Jew. Read the "Merchant of Venice". There is little compromise in Jewish culture, it has to be a "win-lose", quite foreign to some other cultures.
Mr Edward Luttwak doesn't have ' intention ' in detail out about what he called " kinetics war " & to its ' preparedness ' ( career / fleet ), besides most/all that's reflect to how strong d individuals countries in their economy & technology. * Jst opinion. ** Thanks to Mr. Luttwak.
He is right about many things. Include China needing importing food, energy, and needing foreign manufactures. These companies have left China or are planning to leave: Nike, Apple, Samsung Electronics, LG Electronics, Adidas, Puma, Zoom, Sharp, Hasbro, Kia Motors, Hyundai Motor Group, Hyundai Mobis, Stanley Black & Decker, Dell, HP, Google/Alphabet, Microsoft, GoPro, Intel, Sony, Nintendo, Under Armour, Steve Madden, Old Navy/Gap, Superdry, Space NK, The New York Times, Naver, Quanta Computer, *and countless others of lesser known names*. No bullshit.
UPDATE: Nuclear war unlikely despite Russia's threats, says military strategy guru Edward Luttwak. ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-W1pCBimLF50.html ST Asia Future Summit 2022: ru-vid.com/group/PLnK3VE4BKduM4TPPL1FV-6PrSodtxmmN4 For the latest news and videos follow ST on RU-vid: bit.ly/FollowST Turn on notifications 🔔 to stay updated.
Did Russia capture Kiev? No. Did Russia capture Luhansk? No. Did Russia capture Donetsk? No. Did Russia capture Zaporizhzhia? No. Did Russia capture Kherson? No. Who is saying rubbish?
Not long ago, China with without all of these imports was doing okay......they did not perish.......Do you think U.S can stop all imports and survive as long as China?
I don't think so, the naval capability of China is now unmatched even with a combine russian and u.s force, they got hypersonic missiles, and 5th gen air superiority, I think this old man is still entangled ( common with his generation or contemporaries) by the mindset that the U.S is the "best" and the "only" superpower.
@@geoff9858 westerners think a single western soldier is like Rambo. I've seen tons of comments laughing at Russia and the Chinese army like they're weak and useless. Idiots don't know what they're up against.
For more Conversations on the Future: str.sg/conversations For the latest news and videos follow ST on RU-vid: bit.ly/FollowST Turn on notifications 🔔 to stay updated.
Moscow horde´s war record :- 1856 defeated by Britain and France 1905 defeated by Japan 1917 defeated by Germany 1920 defeated by Poland, Finland, Estonia and all Baltic states 1939 defeated by Finland 1969 defeated by China 1989 defeated by Afghanistan 1989 defeated in the Cold War. 1996 defeated by Chechnya 2022 defeated by Ukraine WW2 won USA/Britain , meanwhile Stalin's officers were shot or sent to the Gulags. Millions went to the Gulags, including Solzhenitsyn Moscow's only victories come from invading smaller countries :- a) Hungary 1956 b) Czechoslovakia 1968 c) Moldova 1992 d) Georgia 2008
Angmohs' genesis: Long, long time ago, a man was taught to build a big boat to save himself and his family when the land was flooded. Chinese genesis: Long, long time ago, a man led the people to dig canals to divert water away during the time of massive flooding. Chinese sure win! Ha ha ha!
Putin has not accomplished even one of his goals: Did Russia capture Kiev? No. Did Russia capture Luhansk? No. Did Russia capture Donetsk? No. Did Russia capture Zaporizhzhia? No. Did Russia capture Kherson? No. The recent mobilized Russian soldiers are going to fight in Ukraine without training and almost no equipment. Putin has already lost the war, it is just a matter of time.
OMG, this guy's ideas are outdated and probably didn't research China enuff' .. and, don't forget how the Chinese fought in the Korean war with a starving army
By unnecessarily creating and maintaining the crisis in Ukraine, the US is now facing two nuclear superpowers instead of one. This perfectly demonstrates the current intellectual depth of American policy makers.
Remember it's one-third of fallen angels that followed the devil = doer of evil. 🤮 But still got two-third angels that obey n worship ALMIGHTY GOD in spirit n in truth. 😇🧐
Why does ST choose to interview and broadcast the view of a person so misinformed. If Indonesia is in the anti-China camp why would Widodo visit China and China is to build the high speed rail in Indonesia. The China had laid claim on the natuna island? When di that happened? Why are we in Spore so "concerned" about China? It seems that we are very worried and fearful of a successful China,
Indonesia is neutral and friend to China.Russia.US.Japan. India .etc. even will open diplomatic rep.with Israel.if Israel accept one country two states with Palestine as UN proposal. Military drill can be with any country.
sanction on china is not possible. Sanction on Russia has the world paid the price. China is bigger scale than Russia's economy. it is the biggest trading nation and factory of the world. Trade is two way, you stop exporting from China, your own countries will face both shortage and inflation. My guess as non-expert, the US sanction on China will be ignored by most of the countries and spelt clearly the death of US dollar hegemony. Other countries can continue to trade with China with Yuan, just like what Russia do with Ruble, there is playbook here.
China is no longer the factory of the world. Proof: The companies have left China: Nike, Apple, Samsung Electronics, LG Electronics, Adidas, Puma, Zoom, Sharp, Hasbro, Kia Motors, Hyundai Motor Group, Hyundai Mobis, Stanley Black & Decker, Dell, HP, Google/Alphabet, Microsoft, GoPro, Intel, Sony, Nintendo, Under Armour, Steve Madden, Old Navy/Gap, Superdry, Space NK, The New York Times, Naver, Quanta Computer, *and countless others of lesser known names*.
To be honest, China can fight war, but no need to waste $ n manpower to fight recklessly! China's victory is: Quick to listen, but slow to speak. A slow answer turns away wrath n a gentle tongue 👅 breaks a bone. 👍👍👍👍
He’s probably talking in the context of world war meaning all us allies will rally behind it (eu Canada uk and Australia…ß now whether it can persuade the ASEAN countries, Japan, Korea and India to war or help out is another question seeing how they kinda failed for the Ukraine war.
@@kweiyongtam309 As wise as Chinese leaders are, I see no reason or rush for them to fight on their core interest - Taiwan, unless pushed to and if pushed or compelled to, it would be suicide to succumb and endure another century of humiliation.
Edward Luttwak is an amazing man - be thankful to hear his approaches because he has the experience and understands the effect of political actions. A great video.
IMO, 21st century China will NOT resort to kinetic war. Using it's economic might can crush any nation in the world. The world will be very different when China's GDP is 2x the US. No war is needed at all. Meanwhile, hope that China will NOT learn all those tricks shown by the incumbent powers.
- “IMO, 21st century China will NOT resort to kinetic war. Using it's economic might can crush any nation in the world.” Economic power of a country doesn’t exist in isolation from other countries, no matter the size of the country. All countries are dependent on other countries, and China actually more so than many others. As a result it can’t start to “crush” other countries without hurting itself, especially if those other countries approach the matter the most sensible and easy way, and confront the bullying country together. In other words, this is not a China vs USA thing, and China’s economic influence dwarfs in comparison to the coalition countries which China has caused to form with Xi Jinping’s expansionist ambitions. Anyone who thinks that China can “crush” economically the coalition of India, USA, Japan, Australia, Canada, United Kingdom, France, Indonesia, Vietnam, Philippines and growingly also the European Union is delusional. Those countries together have so much economic power and influence that rest of the world will follow their wishes, not China’s, if they have to choose (and in a tight situation, many of them would have to).
@@adoatero5129 , I'm just saying what i see how China handles Australia. Looks like the coalition countries that you are talking about do not matter. Some even benefit from Australia's miseries.
@@lenkiatleong - "I'm just saying what i see how China handles Australia." You said in your earlier comment that China's "economic might can crush any nation in the world". Has China's "handling" "crushed" Australia, or what do you mean? If you realise that you have exaggerated something or in some other way said something that actually isn't so, it's better to admit that instead of moving goal posts.
The last part is a little confusing. How can Indian submarines be there to counter China harassing of fishermen? By this, I suppose he was referring China and Phiippines dispute over SCS. The right of naval passage doesn't give a non claimant country the right to interfer in others dispute.
Not having "the right to interfere" doesn't mean that it will not do it for other "indirect" strategic interests. For eg., India is happy to join the Quad, even though she's not unaware that she isn't in the inner circle of the more exclusive club, AUKUS (where nuclear-sub tech is shared. BTW, US has only ever share this tech with one cntry in the past, ie. UK, and now Australia). But India isn't stupid, she is also feigning her endearment for the US because she wants "something" from US. ps. U wont want to know what the "something" is bcos I would then have to kill you!🤣🤣🤣🤣
He said "and coast guard", I think he meant instead of a carrier they should of built frigates. The Philipines have to understand they too are an "Aircraft Carrier' too. Our old friends in Vietnam understand they are one too. The Chinese think the SCS is their lake.
china is buying this food because it want to trade with other nation in commodity and agrculture while advncing in high technology. smart thinking. i bet once there is a war, there would be full area ready for harvest and planting.
There's a no win situation for all sides this is the reason why we still must use diplomacy to soften the blows of harsh actions used against each other. We need a strong leader that will make engagement a tool for both parties because there are no clear winners all will suffer by a few blunders.
Largest army in the world largest navy. Eleven nuclear subs hydro sonic missiles. Latest fighter planes in space can track military move ments woof woof alright and wold largest exporter surpassing Uncle Sam
Moscow horde´s war record :- 1856 defeated by Britain and France 1905 defeated by Japan 1917 defeated by Germany 1920 defeated by Poland, Finland, Estonia and all Baltic states 1939 defeated by Finland 1969 defeated by China 1989 defeated by Afghanistan 1989 defeated in the Cold War. 1996 defeated by Chechnya 2022 defeated by Ukraine WW2 won USA/Britain , meanwhile Stalin's officers were shot or sent to the Gulags. Millions went to the Gulags, including Solzhenitsyn Moscow's only victories come from invading smaller countries :- a) Hungary 1956 b) Czechoslovakia 1968 c) Moldova 1992 d) Georgia 2008
Similar views to Peter Zeihan. China is a net importer of energy and food as mentioned by Zeihan and Edward Luttwak, hence if India can prevent the flow of oil from the Middle East into China, there will be huge disruption to Chinese society.
i hope anyone could challenege both with question. if thats true why do you care about china in frst place. interveiwer nowadays seem motivative by ngos. \
And China hold Aksai Tsin a High plateau just above New Delhi. It's like holding a gun on India's Head. An Embargo it's a act of War, and blowing New Delhi with just few rocket also. IN 2050 China will be carbon free and Russia Provide oil as well.
I am shocked at the number of ad hominem attacks on Edward Luttwak in the comments. Rather than criticizing the points he brought up, the critics are simply dismissing everything he says because they think he is too old or because he is an American. Personally, I have not heard of him before, but I am very intrigued by the points he made as many of them are novel to me that I have never considered. I just wiki him, and apparently, his book "Strategy: The Logic of War and Peace" has even been translated into Chinese and Russian and is used as a textbook in many war colleges around the world. I think I will read this and some of his other acclaimed books as I find his perspectives on war to be very compelling.
I wished the US would protect intellectual property better in china. All electronic companies should pull out and just leave some manufacturing jobs for the little chinese kids.
Probably the most valuable asset to anyone trying to understand grand strategy. Even those who don't like what they hear. Study him, understand where why and how he makes his points. Those that listen may or may not be surprised with their result to those aforementioned questions.
Luttwak is wrong on many aspects.... e.g. China won't fight a conventional war with India because of their one-child policy, this is his assumption (not fact). Regarding food, soya is feedstock and meat is less important than rice, which China is growing in abundant with high yielding hybrid rice, also salt-water rice, mountain rice, etc.: besides China's population is decreasing and one child policy is dead. Submarines have their own problems and limitations too. Nuclear weapons are a waste of money, tell that to the North Koreans. If not for it, North Korea would most likely go the way of Iraq. In war, many sacrifices will be made. Many things that are not necessities will be sacrificed, people will eat less, use less oil, not eat meat, forego luxuries, wear more warm clothing during winter, walk or cycle, no vacations, etc.
I hope so. The first thing the good Chinese people must do is replace the CCP who are TODAY destroying the good Chinese people. Taiwan is proof that Chinese people can have a very happy and prosperous life.
The term nuclear war needs to be fine-tuned in today's understanding. There's strategic nuclear and tactical nuclear weapons. What's the difference? For easy understanding, strategic nuclear is 100 times greater than the Hiroshima bomb. Tactical nuclear is 100 times lesser. When Medvedev said Russia will nuke Ukraine if it loses the war, he's talking tactical weapons. Even so, it'll be opening the pandora's box if Russia does so. China is clearly not in favour of Russia nuking Ukraine. It's been publicly stated.
It's not Russian threats, you fool. Listen clearly when Russia speaks - there is specific nuclear doctrine that Russia stand with. #1 if Russian territory is attacked with nuke and #2 if Russia facing existential threat as a nation. THAAAT'S IT! Nothing more, nothing less.
Don't know why India is so so interested in China, not only in this issue but also in others world issues as well! Is she thinking of having a war with China in the future or is she trying to be a US! Or being a patiently peaceful rising star than a devious, troublesome, fighting country in the future! Does she want to be highly wise and respected country; and to set a good example on how to coexist with her neighbours when her turn to become the next super power after US and China era?!
Guru says that a nuclear war is unlikely but not impossible. My take is that if the nuclear weapons were used in Japan, it is still possible that could happen in the Europe or in the Indian subcontinent or in any other places. Please don’t think that all people out there are rational and more or less gentlemen or women. The nuclear war is very possible… As long as killings happen in this world, rationality to an extend is not fully there….
Back then only the USA had nuclear missiles, The Russians only began testing their weapons four years after. There was no risk of retaliation at the time thats why they were used. As of now the scenario is catastrophic and would simply end humanity. Nuclear weapons are used as a scare tactic now nothing less.
Thank you thank you for your insight to world security. I had to watch this twice as well as downloading so I can watch again later. Very insightful with a clear commonsense approach so beautifully put together. With a view that I haven’t heard of or thought of.
Largest army in the world largest navy. Eleven nuclear subs hydro sonic missiles. Latest fighter planes in space can track military move ments woof woof alright and wold largest exporter surpassing uncle sam
Why are we always talking about war? Why can't we all cooperate to make this world a better world? America went to war with Vietnam Korea, And when the war in Afghanistan and left. Didn't prove anything. Million people die. Million people lost their home. Keep your war .
