The Russians have exhausted their offensive potential(!) But Ukrainian forces remain under-trained and under-equipped for succesful counter-offensives.
@@sinoroman How about they focus on their whole military now, considering they are literally acting like Nazi's in Ukraine? Maybe then can move onto their government after that? You would have to be ignorant to think this had anything to do with Nazi's. The presents of Neo Nazi's in Ukraine is no different to that of other countries, including Russia. A minority.
The video production takes time, while in the meantime, the war continues. Here's a sneak preview of some of the events that took place during the making of this episode (per Rochan Consulting): - 26.07 Russian and proxy forces captured Novoluhanske and the Vuhlehirska power plant about 20 km southeast of 20 km Bakhmut. The Russians again bombarded Odesa. - 27.07 Russian and proxy forces probably made some small gains near Bakhmut, but Ukrainian defensive lines remained unchanged. -28.08 Russian forces made small gains near Bakhmut and Soledar. The pace of Russian operations may begin to increase. Russian artillery strikes are also being stepped up. On the other hand, there are very few air strikes, suggesting a very low pace of air operations. According to various Ukrainian sources, the Russians are shifting some of theirs from Izyum toward threatened areas in Kherson and Zaporizhia. - 29.07 Moscow is shifting its forces to the south of the country, preparing for a Ukrainian counterattack in that direction. The shift may result in a reduction in ground attacks by Russian forces and proxies in the Donbas.
I suggest that RU-vid set limitation of your popularity. Because prorusshian Englishspeaking channels (like RealLifeLore) had a million subscribers for a small time and greater popularity. This channels call Crimea as rushhian territory (channel RealLifeLore do this regularly) and mark this territory as rushian. But youtube doesn't react on this abuse of international law and there haven't reaction from administration of youtube on this complaints. When war in Ukraine start RealLifeLore release a video in which they accuse Ukraine and West in this situation, and so more they gained a 16 million of viewers, although in that moment they had a 5 million subscribers. Some mistic situation with this channel and more apparent prorusshian RU-vid channels. RealLifeLore was created in 2016 but for a small time they had a popularity that no one RU-vid channels have(mean that channels who speaking on political themes)
DPR and NPR forces fighting for their freedom since 2014 - proxies. Current Ukraine goverment which literally eats out of West's hand - sovereign state. Yeah, sure, why not.
@@BlueHawkPictures17 It is, Denys Davydov also talked about it, there is no missing section in the bridge, there's only a zone where it looks like swiss cheese. So still not safe to vehicles.
You can see from the lay of the land and topography that Ukraine has all the high ground around the west of Izium. Dying on a hill is a cliche at this point but the strategy stands. Take the high ground. Great tactical, operational and strategic analysis. You and your team are doing fine work.
yea I was getting worried almost lost faith but they have a plan and great opportunity to hold and push back Russia now since they got the himars :) hope never dies!!!
Imagine being Russia, who is depleting their gold reserves at a rate it will be at 0 in 2 years, who has a mostly over 50 population, who has already lost billions of dollars and thousands of wealthy and intelligent people from expatriation since the war began, who can't make their own advanced weapons systems due to sanctions, whose gas infrastructure is only built out to supply China with 2% of the sale of its production, who has already lost 10s of thousands of their youth as KIA, and then hear someone like Rochan Consulting suggest you'll endure this for "many years."
I guess your source is the ghost of kyiv Russia firedmore artillery shells in 1week than the entire british stockpile.2 years arent enough to deplete russia.2 years without any production can deplete the russians,but infantry and rifles still exist...so your comment is horribly guessed and assumed
I agree. However, during this crisis I believe all countries are going all in. The gold standard and other institutions may become a thing of the past truly this time around. I doubt it, but it’s Russian roulette, eh?
@@tomilindemann730 1. Gold is worth a lot of money. And it's used in every bit of modern technology. 2. The Brain Drain so many are talking about isn't necessarily just about people studying at university. It's also about the skills of normal craftsmanship. It's about the knowledge about how to build stuff. And I know, you're likely just a Russian Troll trying your best to show how good of a country Russia is. But when you bring arguments this weak, you're just telling everyone that our perception of Russia as a poor, underdeveloped country run by corruption and a wanna-be Tsar is correct
This Russo-Ukraine conflict will cost Russia so much money, man power, political...that it will make the the Plunder US war on terror (afghan/iraq) pale in comparison. While America had the economy and the military to recover from such a plunder; Russia, for a lack of better expression, is screwed. It even reestablished US dominant as the world again look to America for future global stability. There is no world where Russia will recovered from this, they took more damage to their country economy, politically, militarily, in six months than any other country in modern world conflicts after WWII. They effectively armed all their entire whole neighbors surround their whole country to the teeth (even the Stans countries to the south fear of a Russo invasion now). Even by some miracle they'd win and annex the whole of Ukraine; the destruction paths they took to accomplished their goal ensure all the destroyed cities will never be rebuilt since Russia can't afford to rebuild it, and Russia will have to deal with a huge population of potential terrorist cells who had lost everything and have no hope of a future for themselves. It's like having the Taliban right next to the US border that speak English and look like any regular Americans. Russian people will have to deal with the instabilities next door for decades to come, Kherson will not be an isolated phenomenal. This is like watching a dumb predator eat a dangerous prey then imploded in on itself and dies. Ironically, in trying to achieve his ambition of enlarging his country dominant, Putin will effectively cause the destruction of his country. Mark my word, Russia will disintegrated as their provinces and local powers will cede to form their powers as they're not all want to cut ties with Europe and be underlings of China (especially the main population centers near the west).
Excellent post. Putin has instigated the beginning of the end of the Russian Federation. It is inevitable now. Especially if Russia cuts off the gas to Europe. After that, there's no turning back for anyone in this conflict. Europe will want nothing to do with Russia for generations to come. I think we're well past the point of no return.
May it be, like you said. I wish Russia to break into many independent states as possible. Only then the russian people will be free from their own tyrants.
I think time is on Ukraine's side. As long as the west continues their support the training and equipment issues can be addressed. The fronts may seem stalled from a map view but Russia is losing a LOT of men and material every day of this conflict. Russia might be able to hide the losses in the short term but the longer the war goes on the more families will see their brothers and sons not coming home.
@@sinoroman No, The west wont stop giving ukraine more weapons. This is a unique opportunity to destroy Russia’s military and the west wont throw this opportunity away
Most Russian soldiers are from rural and remote regions and poor families - basically places so economically depressed, military service in an army so shit-tier as Russian becomes a viable career choice. This means people from big cities (where they can organize protest) don't get to see a lot of "their brothers and sons not coming home". As inhumane and cynical that system is, you can't deny it's clever in its own way.
Russia can keep blasting Ukraine for 20 or 30 years. "The west wont stop giving ukraine more weapons" The flow will stop after 10 or 20 years, it won't last forever. Russia will keep at it since it is to secure the Russian borders
They have basically been stopped now. Now comes the bit where Ukraine has its big test. The really hard bit. Every person and country seems to have a big test at some point in their lives, this is Ukraine's. After this they will be able to hold their heads high. For all time.
Ukraine should take it easy with the counter attacks and not rush things. There's still more western hardware on the way and Russian advances have stalled just recently. Ukrainians need to prepare the counterattacks properly. Like for example it might be a good idea to defend for another couple of weeks while the HIMARS could focus on counter battery fire in an attempt to reduce the number of Russian artillery pieces, of course while keeping an eye on ammunition depots and hitting these as soon as new ones pop up. However to start with the Kherson front is a good plan imho, especially after cutting supply lines by destroying these bridges.
Dude, have you not seen the Ukrainian fortifications, they had 8 years to make them and optimize them, is difficult to break through, the channel seem a little bit bogus, cuz you can't advance that fast with those fortifications in Donbass, i really advice to follow a military channels. They've been boasting about the counter-offensive since one month, still nothing happened
@@a564-c3q I was told by Ukrainian that they wanted to draw Russian forces to the front before winter. I think the timing of true counter attack would be next year by March or May when old munition and artilleries of Russian would be starting to waste away and have to be replaced by newly made one basically limiting it (can’t use it as much as possible but have to limit to replacement capabilities)
This channel is making a huge difference. Thanks for all the great information and analysis. Blessings, strength, safety and hope to all Ukrainian citizens and army. Love from Australia 🌟🇺🇦🇦🇺🌟
I don't think Russia will be able economically. China seems to be hyping itself up though. Which is worrying as Chinese tend to hide capabilities while russia tends to exaggerate
@@Yaaacar Lol ! That ain't gonna happen. China has already surpassed the legacy of the Soviet Union. They are stronger than Russia since last decade. They know that nobody can save Tiawan at this point because they have the world's largest military.
@@ajaykumarsingh702 That isn't really decisive here. You can have world largest army, yet to invade island you still need to load it onto delicate ships... and China cannot use most of it's armed forces there. It's just not possible. Maybe they can support around 50-70k soldiers in Taiwan, and use like 1/3rd of it's overall airfoce, and almost entire Navy. Anything more is impossible due to physical limitations, since soldiers need food, oil and ammunition while aircraft needs runaway that allows it to spend some time over target, and it's not possible to fit them all on airfields in proximity to Taiwan - worse still, if Taiwan hit such crowded airfield with criuse missiles it would be a disaster, so it's likely these wouldn't be packed anyway. Russia actually has it easy in Ukraine. If China had long land border with Taiwan like Russia does with Ukraine - Taiwan wouldn't even try to fight back. But having that strech of sea between them and China makes all the difference. Taiwan for sure can be saved in case of Chinese invasion - but costs of doing so may be significant for US or any coalition, and make them pause. For China, larger concern would be if it was cut off from Western markets. It's still an export economy that produces far more than it consumes. While Russia can sort of handle sanctions because it's economy was always rather isolated and small, China wouldn't. It would be pandemonium out there, without any missiles actually hitting them. Rare earth minerals China produces aren't actually that difficult to replace - a lot of countries have deposits, it's just that China was delivering these at fraction of price and with no regard to natural environment - that can change. Obviously as it would destroy Chinese economy, rest of the world would be plunged into dark ages as well. We shall see.
You have some of the highest quality videos and reporting in all of the platform. Thank you for all you do! Слава Україні! 🇺🇦 Свобода Навіки.💙💛 Prayers from America! God bless all those helping my country.
If you are primitive and think nationalistic oppression is better than freedom, then you also think that using nuclear power plants as ammunition depots is a good idea.
From what I heard from guys on the Donbass frontline, there was no pause. Russians just killed to many of their cannon fodder capturing Severodonetsk and Lysychansk. They are now moving forces from Donbass region to Kherson, anticipating Ukrainian offensive. May be they want to launch a couter strike on UAF, mb they want to strenghthen their defenses, it doesn’t actually matter. Interesting thing is that Kherson front and Donbass front are two separate operational areas with different command. And russia hasn’t yet moved it’s forces between different fronts. They redeployed units within one operational area but moving brigades for 500+ km from one front to another is something new. (Nobody does that unless one really lacks forces and means)
Sometimes attack is the best defense, Kherson front is still large, and Russia could conduct offensive operations in some areas forcing Ukranians to stop their own offensive. In my opinion demoralization of both Ukraine and US would be a goal of potential Russian Kherson offensive, and making sure that Ukraine can't do much during summer.
so essentialy the war will defacto end when Russia will succesfully transition in to NorthKorea level of ecanomy, and Ukraine will reach that of Southkorea
no they wont the money going to ukraine is leaving just as fast as it comes in they have money laundering down to an art and while potato binden their biggest customer still exists the good times will roll
very funny comparison, but it won't happen. The ukrainian economy needs a lot of investment, but it also needs a stable state. Ukraine still has lot's of catching up to do in regards to democracy, rule of law and corruption. Also, even if Ukraine manages to fight off the russian invasion, it still as to fight the enemies within their own ranks. Don't believe that Ukraine will have a wonderful economy in the next 10 years. The struggle continues after the war.
Thank you for continuing to make these in-depth videos. In my circle, each time someone asks about the invasion of Ukraine, I point them toward your channel.
Excellent content . Well done. May the Ukrainians receive all the ammo, equipment, training and intelligence she needs. Glory to Ukraine and eternal memories to its heroes! Support from Seattle, USA 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇦🇺🇦
It’s a pause, Russia has been grinding on the fronts for a long time for mixed results. Russia as it is today has been on a clock before the war and this was a desperation move to stay as a major player on the world stage, each month this continues makes this less likely. This would either revitalize Moscow or see it go the way of last century’s sick man of Europe
Then that was the most stupid play in modern history. That move mostly affects his citizens too as I for one cannot look at them as civilised as a result of what is going on there
I'd argue Russia has already failed in its strategic goals and have only further eroded their ability to be a major player in the world. No small territorial gains or phony referendums will change that.
@@nooboftheyear7170 The civilized world is the world that the United States and Europe have created with their own standards ? Should everyone adhere to these rights ? Funny😂 Who are you😂 The world does not end with the USA and Europe, everyone has their own interests in this world. In addition to the USA and Europe, there are also China, South America, India, Iran, Turkey, Russia and other more significant players than the collective West. Temper your pride)
@@rusus8028 please look in the mirror when making that statement. It is one thing to be a citizen in a country that has an evil government, it is a totally different thing to be a true supporter of that government's policies. Anyone with an amount of sense should realise that your history with the rest of eastern europe has been really bad and to be trying to do the same thing again under the guise of democracy and enforcing a democracy is fooling noone else but yourselves. So yes, I trust my standards. Actually, yours are the same standards that you used to help liberate the african nations even while had your own slaves in the ussr. I don't call dragging people off to the gulag or siberia to die in some work farm or to be shot for speaking their mind very civilised but then, I suppose that's just the russian way...
I think we should look at this war with a historical perspective from Ukraines largest supporter - the USA. The US had to fight a war against its yolk England. The war dragged on over 7 years. The US military suffered almost entirely from defeat in the first years of the war. General Washington and his army spent much of their time in complete squalor, freezing cold and camps that spread disease. The US did not have any international support for the first few years of the war and barely convinced France to help towards the end. England was the greatest, by far, military power in the world at the time. By this comparison, given Russian goals, this war is going better than we could have dreamed for Ukraine. This war is going to take at minimum five years. This war isn't about our generation - it is about the next 1,000 years for Ukraine. This generation of Ukraine must become experts at fighting, experts at resistance and experts of war. Ukraine will likely not be rebuilt for another fifty years but that is the price a nation must pay for the ultimate, sacred prize - the right to make its own decisions, the right to the pursuit of happiness and the stability of their children's futures. We are watching the Ukrainian equivalents of the American founding fathers before our eyes.
I think what's especially sad for Russia is at first when you were talking about the US's isolation and near total defeat in the beginning, I thought you were sympathizing with Russia 😅
@icky Vicky Crimea was annexed with very little resistance. Not full scale war. The Donbas War was regionally limited and Russia was only involved enough to maintain a stalemate, not trying to conquer the whole country. Not full scale war. In February**** (I said March earlier, mb) Russia invades with intent to topple the government from three fronts, bombarding the rest of the nation in missile fire. That's full scale and it's very recent
@@3seven5seven1nine9 Lol, no its meant to show that Ukraine has far more support than historical revolutions to the Western alliance. I see your point but Russia is not fighting for a revolution
As Ukrainian, I'd say there's another frontline. More important. And, unfortunately, it's turning in the Russian favor. I'm talking about moral. Russian constant bombing of our city is making its dirty job. Unfortunately, I no longer see that spiritual upsurge that we had at the beginning of the war. People are tired, they're angry. In the first few weeks I saw quite impressive heroism and unity. I mean, we're still much more united than before the war, but I don't like the motion vector. More and more I hear "there's no good Russian", "all Russians are blamed for the war". I'm afraid we're turning into animals mindset such as those people who bring the war to our land have. Anyway, I want to express my sincere gratitude towards people from Europe, North America and other parts of the free world❤️ Who knows, maybe me, my friends and relatives were already dead without your help. Thank you for another day❤️
This is absolutely natural. This is good. The ideas such as "But there are good russians!" circulating in Ukraine are decreasing its effectiveness. Imagine the morale of WW2 soldiers that would hear "There are many good Germans!" all the time. They can become friends again after the Moscow terrorist state is fully demilitarized.
Stay strong. The free world is with you. Soon you will be on the offensive and regaining your territory. This will improve the morale of the valiant citizens of Ukraine. Slava Ukraini 💙🇺🇦💛 Heroyam Slava 💛🇺🇦💙
@@theodoredy, мене турбує не стільки доля тих росіян, скільки нас самих. Ця ненависть, відчуття фрустрації від несправедливого зла, руйнує людину зсередини. Я це відчуваю на собі.
Thank you for the content! I have been watching and staying informed since February 24th, and will continue until the inevitable Ukrainian victory, whether in 3 months or 3 years.
Why is the claim that Russia will have the advantage if Ukraine does not launch a counter offensive by end of September? What is the reasoning here? In my opinion, without question, the longer this war drags on the better the situation for the Ukrainians. People defending their homeland do not simply bend at the knee due to the war dragging on especially when they have huge international support and the number of martyrs Ukraine has. My examples would be Vietnam, Afghanistan, Russia in WW2, etc. If Ukraine can continue training enormous numbers of troops, continue receiving steady supplies from the West and continue bleeding out Russian forces/supplies; it seems the advantage is all in Ukraines favor. It also gives the sanctions more time to become entrenched globally and effect Russia domestically (although sanctions are mainly a long term attack).
IDK, many sources say that winter will favour the Russians but nobody explains why. If anything, I'd guess it would be the other way around, we've seen how well Russia cares for it's soldiers.
They need to start offensive to get further support in weapons, they are not going to get much if US thinks that Ukraine is not capable to go on the attack, they probably want to see what Ukraine can do. If you look at the map the area is hard to defend, there are only small villages and a river behind Russians.
@@sogerc1 Right. I am not sure either why winter would help the Russians. Maybe due to heat insecurity domestically in Ukraine due to infrastructure destruction? The West should relatively easily be able to prepare Ukrainian troops for the winter with the correct gear. I think people overestimate winter conditions as detrimental to forces - everyone always quotes Stalingrad or Napoleon but for Napoleon by far the summer was worse for his troops due to disease and for the Nazis the main thing was the lack of logistics. If we apply that to today I do not really see either side not having the capability to provide their troops with the basic winter gear... if anything frozen ground should be easier for armor movements.. but sadly I am not expert and might be missing key points in this
@@1GTX1 I really doubt that. The West has stated its intentions to stand by Ukraine in the long term and I believe that... I have been saying from the beginning that this war is not going to be over any time soon and that it will likely take a decade to complete. The end game for Ukraine is to 1. Hold current positions 2. Make some offensive gains and 3. Wait for domestic upheaval in Russia to make large sweeping territorial gains. Its a waiting game. If we give ourselves a decade then most likely at some point domestic turmoil will occur in Russia due to the external pressures - at that point Ukraine could sweep up all of the lost territory. I fear Putin, if Ukraine were to say seize Crimea or huge swaths of land, would threaten to either destroy a nuclear plant or use a nuclear weapon to halt Ukrainian advances. If Putin were to drop dead of a heart attack in six years (Western espionage should be able to kill Putin over a decade timespan) that would be the moment to seize all of the territory.
It’s my understanding that much of the fighting since the pause has been Wagner the Chechens and the Separatist with the Russian army in the rear for Rest and resupply also there have been reports of Russian troops massing in Russia northwest of karkiv,
Chechens actually mostly left Ukraine with sone units only in the rear. Wagner is only active in the middle of the front and where the ones that captured the coal power plant. Most of it is Russian's or separatists.
There's not enough of those to do the majority of the fighting. It does look like Wagner is being used on some specific, difficult fronts, which doesn't say good things about the Russian military if your most competent assault troops are mercenaries. And not because there is some moral argument to be made, but because they are an expensive and finite resource, more so than your regular army (should be).
@@marnixbrugmans4181 imo private contractors are superior warfighters to general infantry seeing as though the vast majority of them are all former professional soldiers but I do get your point. As far as the chechans there isn’t a lot of them and their methods are extreme but they are highly effective and very criminal seeing as though they love torturing prisoners
Praise: Really like the new logo and intro for Mapped :) The maps are on point! Love how you overlay the map with footage from the ground, it nicely fuses the macro and micro perspective. Criticism: In the beginning your voice sounded like through a tube. It improved during the video. Idea: I have no idea how much work it would take, so you will know better if it is worth it. It would be great, since this is an ongoing series, to animate how the front lines changed since the last video - for example around Sievierodonetsk or Kharkiv. It would help to understand better how things have changed. Also there was a nice map showing fires and explosions on the Russian side suggesting that it was there where ukranian rockets hit. Would be nice to include as well. In any case, great work as always :)
Certainly great production value and commitment, but unfortunately there is not the slightest effort to provide a balanced analysis. One can hope for an Ukrainian victory (... that there still is a state that can survive on its own), root for them because they are real victims of Russias aggression, but that isn't helped by painting a picture where Ukraine is always winning in the long term ... with the 'Wunderwaffe' of the month (from Javelin and NLAW to Bayraktar drones, next to M777 howitzers and now the "V2" HIMARS systems) ... and Russia is constantly losing by taking more and more territory. Russia pays a heavy price, it is WILLING to pay this price - in lives of soldiers and with economic hardships. But they still keep going and is not near as incomptent as the GTBT quite regularly suggests. This videos would provide a far greater service if it tried to present a neutral view on the events, showing what Ukraine is doing wrong and where they are on the back foot, as well as Russian successes and plans that pan out. That doesn't condone Russias actions or gives them any legitimation, but would show how hard it really is for Ukraine to win this war. For example: By destroying the bridges over the Dnjepr river, Ukraine shows that is willing to accept the loss of the territories east of the river. We have seen how hard it is to do a contested river crossing, especially when the defender has local air superiority. That should at least be mentioned in a piece that tries to be an analysis of the war. Also there is a severe lack of context concernig the attack on the Crimean bridge - this would amount to a significant on (for all intents and purposes, at least for Russia) integral Russian soil, with the potential to allow the Russians to mobilize for an all out war with Ukraine. If it is the intent of GTBT to offer an exclusive pro-Ukrainian perspective on the war (which is their right to do), than they should state that clearly. Otherwise it could be seen as an attempt to manipulating viewers by posing as balanced and factual analysis.
@@chrishieke1261 Dude, you criticize the lack of a balanced perspective while repeating Russian talking points lol, “Russia losing by taking more ground”, I bet you also think Kyiv and Kharkiv were great successes for Russia. Anyways, there’s no need to be balanced when there is clearly a side you should support and one side you shouldn’t, evil doesn’t need to be portrayed positively
@@eeeertoo2597 No - Kiew and Charkiw were far from successful. The Russians sought that the Ukrainian government would crumble in a few days when Russian forces where within the city. All the western countries thought the same, hence the great flight of their diplomatic staff in the weeks prior to the war. The Russian plan might have worked in the first few days, but no one (except for the Ukrainians) had thought that the resistance would be so fierce. If the Russian army would have expected a 'real' war in the first days, they would have attacked in the way that they do currently in the Donbas ... massive artillery barrages and slow but steady advance. Instead they tried precission strikes and armoured spearheads. You don't seem to understand the argument: an analysis is not about moral questions or 'to portray one side positively' or not, it is about presenting facts so that everyone can come to a realistic conclusion. I hope that Ukraine survives the war, I hope they can keep as much territory as it is possible and that they can achieve this without being totally ruined and in need of decades of foreign life support. But just because I hope that something should happen doesn't mean that it will happen. And it doesn't help the Ukrainians when they are portrayed as still winning when they clearly are not. It's a war of attrition and Russia with its much greater resources has the longer breath ... all the while when the Ukrainians fight for their very existence, their country is destroyed in large swathes, their economy is wholly crushed and half of the population are internally and externally displaced. When Russia loses, it retreats back into its intact country, weathers the storm of the sanctions, licks its wounds and takes a decade to regather strength. When the Ukraines loses, they lose everything ... country population, idendity and independence. Even if they do not lose or could theoretically push back the Russians to pre february 2022 borders, their country is still destroyed, their economy totally crushed and fully dependent on Europes aid to survive.
I have decided and therefore declare all Russian land west of Moscow has been annexed by myself and are part of DrawingDeadia.....just as valid as Russia's annexations.
The war will not became cold. We will not stop until liberate our territory occupied by russia. Until last russian soldier leave our country, no matter by his legs or in garbage bag, war will remane hot. 🇺🇦🇺🇲🇬🇧💪
The map hasn't significantly moved for the past 2 -3 months with zero movement around Kherson for 4 months.There doesn't appear to be any unanticipated or surprise moves. Life in Kiev appears to be going back to normal What is amazing is to see cars driving about in Kiev with no notion of fuel shortages. The only way Russia could win is to block or control the western border of Ukraine but they seem to have not done so since the start on Feb 2022.
🇺🇦 must send 150.000 younger soldiers to NATO countries for 3- 6 months training right away, and than send 50.000 soldiers every month to NATO training for the same purpose This war is unfortunately not going to end soon!
@@ajaykumarsingh702 Full power on Ukraine??? Hahaha... because that would be a dumb move. That would make Russia vulnerable if other countries attack Russia. They would have nothing to defend themselves 🤣🤣🤣
@@donovan8747 That's true to some extent but I highly doubt Ukraine would be able to hold off Russia more than few days if Russia truly goes all out full scale war.
This is the beginning of the end for Russia. They are struggling hard. it will take at least 74 years to take Ukraine at this pace! Not long until Ukraine goes on the Offensive. 💛💙🤘
the longer this goes on the better ukraine will be. theyre training pilots to fly f16s right now, britain is training tens of thousands of infantry. theyre training on more himars and other equipment. more drones coming in. once ukraine has a sizable fleet of f16s they can use anti radian missiles to take out russian air defense. and be able to use their drones more efficiently. theyre just holding the line until they get enough trained tank crews, artillery, fighter jets etc. once they have enough it will be turn to them. us generals already said the only real way to win is air superiority. if they can give ukraine anti radiation missiles and atacms they can saturate russian air defense systems and its game over from there imo.
I think one thing I greatly disagree with the consulting here on is that this will last "many years", I dont expect this war till end at the earliest till winter, but, there is no way Russia can keep this up for more than 2-3 years. After 3 years, they will be such in a financial hardship that they wouldn't be able to keep funding this war, especially since its not like they gain anything financially from this unless they somehow took all of Ukraine which I do see as being possible (and even then it would takes years to get the financial benefits from the country
I think it's a smart strategy to avoid targeting anything in Russian territory proper. The Russian propaganda would run wild with that and could legitimately call it as Ukrainian aggression.
Until land lease starts - yes! When big guns arrive to Ukraine, then Ukraine should shell the sh*t out of all military object inside ruZZia it can reach! Until Land lease arrive and many of Ukrainians are trained to use Western equipment - just hold the line!
At this point, I don't think many people supporting Ukraine would view an attack in Russia proper as Ukrainian aggression. It has more to do with the Russian threat of nuclear retaliation. : )
@@unworthy42 The west already wished away the ru nuclear arsenal , only ucraine has the right to do stupid things . Killing Ru in Donbass was definitely not a smart thing to do , especially after Kosovo .
Russia is fighting a war in the 80s Ukraine is fighting in mid 2000s. But if Russia just wanted to lay waste to Ukraine they could. Mass artillery, cruise missile, and carpet bombing. But whatever they destroy they have to fix and repair so they are fighting a selective war.
To do that, they’d also have to go to full mobilization, which makes Putin’s lie about the invasion being a “special operation” and not a war too obvious, even for Russian propaganda. It would also cripple their economy worse than the current sanctions are and make their losses even harder to obscure. Word is, people in the outer territories are starting to kick up a fuss over their missing sons. Full mobilization escalates that problem and, more importantly, moves the protesters closer to the central Russian states. A scattered group of hicks out in Siberia are fairly easy to ignore/obscure. Riots in Moscow or Saint Petersburg, not so much.
@@captainmcawesome7908 you know I would've thought that russia should've went for the river dnieper and blew the bridges, consolidating their eastern advancement They thought seriously that Ukraine wasn't going to fight back. Russia seriously dropped the ball.
@@Muljinn putin really underestimated Ukraine or natos willingness to lend arms and aid. Putin now is in a gamblers predicament. He's to far vested to walk away. Only by capturing everything east of the river dnieper could he explain anything to the russian people. If he packs it up now he's finished, he's betting all in on this. Germany and the rest of western Europe need their oil and gas. Putin is going to see whos going to break first.
The only way for Russia to save it's economy is to change government system, return all territories to Ukraine, negotiate peace, pay for damages, get sanctions removed, and start to develop relations and their economy.
🇳🇴 should support 🇺🇦 with €250M every month. 🇸🇪 🇫🇮 and 🇩🇰 should do the same! That would secure Ukraine economically with €1 B monthly which would keep the state more robust.
If I were in charge of the US government I would immediately send the following to Ukraine... Is there anything else you would like to see donated to Ukraine? M270 30 M142 30 M109 Paladin Howitzers 400 M1 Abrams 300 Bradley Fighting Vehicle 300 Various Oshkosh Tactical Vehicles - Logistics 1,000 SAM System 30 S400 - Anti Aircraft Missile 600 km Range 10 Humvee 400 / IFV JLTV 400 Drones Unlimited Javelins 10,000
March to Moscow is not on the table for now until war doesn't get bigger and Belarus is not involved which could trigger uprising to overthrow Lukashenka and Russia to mobilise people which also could be dangerous for its government.
Please don't quote this russian agent Yermak. He is responsible for the appointment of pro-Russian figures from Yanukovych's time in the current government (like Tatarov, who actually controls the entire judicial system of the country and sabotages all reforms in this area). Through his brother, he was engaged in selling government positions for money. All this is on video, but the courts are controlled by him, so nothing actually happens. He has close connections with the Russian special services, his own father Boris Yermak is an employee of the GRU (Main Intelligence Directorate) of the Russian Federation. He is one of the main sources of corruption in the current government, although according to the constitution he should simply prepare papers for the president and help with everyday matters. Instead, he practically usurped international relations instead of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and most of the appointments on the main government positions in the country are made on his instructions. Last week Zelensky even revoked the citizenship by a secret decree of several citizens with whom the American congresswoman Victoria Spartz (who suspected Yermak of working for Russia and openly stated this) spoke during her visit to Ukraine.
Looks like your Viktoria Sparts is a James Bond level super agent if noone else from American intelligence can't see shit about what is up with Yermak. Otherwise he wouldn't be in the office right now. Or maybe she is just stupid enough to play on russian (or should i say Poroshenko's) side dividing ukrainians with that fake spy bullshit you talking here
@icky Vicky He was directly asked about this during one of the press conferences. He said that Yermak will leave only together with him. Yermak, probably, has some very serious compromising information on Zelenskyi, otherwise he already would be gone by now.
In the long run, regime change will not help. Sanctions will be lifted from them, they will recover economically and militarily and a new war will begin, because Russia is the last empire, and the empire needs a war to delay its own inevitable collapse. Only the deconstruction of Russia into independent national states + a small European nuclear-free Muscovy will be a guarantee of peace and prosperity in Europe.
Hey, remember when Putin thought Kyiv would fall in three days, believing no one would be stupid enough to fight to remain Europe's poorest and most corrupt nation? Hilarious, ain't it?
Shelling, probing, more shelling, more probing…and so on. That’s WW2 tactics. They literally trying to win a war in the 21st century, with tactics (and equipment..) from the 20th.
"Why do you think they are having an opperational pause?" "They are no longer gaining ground every single day." "So.... they're not winning fast enough?"
@@shanerooney7288 Russians use their strategical powers to reach operational or tactical goals. It can help them in a short perspective but will lead to a collapse as a final result.
MIG-29 of Slovakia are in negotiations... maybe F-16 in a conflict for years will come too, they are talking about training ukranian pilots with NATO fighters, F-16 probably...
1. unfortunately the UKR Army did not manage to perform any counter-attack on a meaningful size . They could not use the situation around kiev to encircle RU units. the counterattacks in Kherson since months did not happen or failed. 2. Its said that the next RU objective is around Donetsk and Bakhmut, south and east of Bakhmut wagner mercenaries made progress the last days, capturing the power plant and forcing UKR troops to leave the south pocket and pushing further west capturing nearby villages. Up to today the RU did not made any gains around Donetsk. RU is not able to attack on multiple fronts they need to concentrate forces in one rather small part of the frontline. 3. Kherson the Bridges are damaged and the "blood flow" is restricted but not cut off yet. If the UKR manage to further damage the bridges the situation for the RUs could get very bad and they are forced to retreat but do not expect a combined mechanized deep attacks of UKR forces in the area, I expect similar scenario like around kiev if it happens. 4. Vyskoplia is UKR propaganda, the RUs have not been so rounded nor are there 1000 men, after the claim a couple of days ago this topic gone totally silent.
Just on point 1 - Ukraine did not encircle RU forces around Kyiv because the Russians pulled back to avoid exactly that and had no major barrier to do so. The situation in Kherson is slightly different as RU may not be able to retreat across the river if the bridges are damaged enough. Whether or not these circumstances are different enough to result in a different outcome is yet to be seen.
your info is actually outdated. those bridges as an example are only usable for light infantry, no vehicles can cross and this is all on purpose by ukraine to give the russians a way to retreat otherwise the battle would be extremely bloody
1. There have been little, yet successful counterattacks by the ukrainian army, they chew up some territory back from the russians, most notably near Izyum in the latest news. The counterattack in Kherson isn't planned for at least the end of August, more probably September, Ukraine is still waiting for the better half of the american weapons they were promised, as well as training their units which also takes time. What is unfortunate though is that Russia wants to send 10k extra troops near Kherson, delaying the counterattack even further. Either way, the battle in that region will be damn bloody. 2. People should stop believing the "elite army" myth. No "elite" soldier has ever been a game changer in modern warfare, This isn't the middle ages anymore. 99% of your job is to use heavy machines by pushing buttons and pulling levers. This is why I laugh every time I see videos of chechen warriors breaking boards, or north korean soldiers doing their tae kwon do gimicks. Your 7th dan black belt isn't going to save your life from a 155mm howitzer shell coming at you. If anything, "elite soldiers" are more like "overpaid soldiers". They still die from the same bullets and shrapnels, and Wagner group is no exception. In fact I am glad Russia uses them, makes their war efforts even more expensive for no particular reason. The progress made by Wagner in the South East could have been done all the same by the regular russian military for cheaper. 3. Like I said in my first point, RU wants to send 10k soldiers in reinforcements. But honestly this is suicide, the bridges are heavily damaged, the currents of the river are very strong, making pontoon bridges very unstable. I just don't understand what Russia is planning, they are doomed to fail in that region, even with 25k soldiers, especially when their supply routes are busted. 4. This isn't really a claim that UKR made, it's a myth that popped out of the hopes of people. They simply see a village about to be surrounded, so they hope they can get a "reverse Mariupol". Some UKR youtubers have admitted that this is actually a myth. Still, the RU soldiers there are being shredded to pieces, and it's only a matter of time before they must retreat.
Its simple biological facts .... in war men are disposable. In theory 1 man with 10 women is 10 babies .... 10 men with 1 woman is 1 baby. No ammout of feminism or Red pill bull.sh.it is going to change that.
Firstly not females but women what is with this weird words are you American? Secondly women are fighting and dying a lot because they are more put on dangerous positions that not require physical strength like machines driving ect.
the Kherson bridge attack was overhyped same as Russians overhyped the missile strikes on the bridge in Odessa months prior. you need a way way more strikes to really disable the bridge and besides people pretend like pontoon bridges don't exist
Damaged bridge might be inadequate for massive transport of heavy equipment, plus as we saw, pontoon bridges can be a death trap. It's a mostly propaganda success, but I would not downplay it as insignificant
Then why isnt their 52 pontoon bridges over the river ? Oh ya because they are not the same. Difficult to build ..night mare to maintain for more than a week and very easily knocked out.
Can't move heavy vehicles over a prestressed concrete bridge when the some of the steel has been blown up. That is now a weak bridge. The locals can still use it but the Orks can't . Seems like a perfect strike to me.
The carry capacity of those bridges is reduced to lighter vehicles, they won't get heavy stuff across. Some have suggested this may be the extent of damage Ukraine will deal to the bridge in order to allow a way for Russian forces to withdraw (minus their heavy equipment). So if the damage will stop large amounts of fuel, ammo, and equipment then we likely won't see the effect of this for maybe a few weeks. Ukraine has to force Russia to use up their stocks at the front line and that is not an enviable task for any soldier.
the goal isnt the bridge destruction but to make it unusable to heavy equipment. the ukrainians want the russians to have a way to retreat otherwise they will fight to the death and thats always costly
Much less biased today. What is missing is the likely escalation by Russia to counter the HIMARS. Also a prediction of when or if the Russian offensive will restart.
So far the Russians have been totally unable to counter the HIMARS which leaves one to suspect the abilities of their anti-missile systems . Also with the shoot and scoot tactics it makes them not very susceptible to counter Battery fire . In the Gulf War the Allied forces had great difficulty in locating Saddam Hussein’s SCUD missile systems and they had to deploy large amount of assets in this task . This is something the Russians are clearly unable to do .
@@User-he6zd there seems to be opposing views on that. The current slow progress by Russia seems to suggest that the counter strikes by Ukraine are having some effect.
Nevertheless, it would be a war crime. War crimes are better left to the enemies of humanity from the terrorist state of Russia. The Russian leadership and the Russian supporters will have to pay bitterly for their crimes while Ukraine will be rebuilt.
Putin should challenge Zelensky to a fair duel, mano a mano. I heard he knows Yudo, blackbelt or something. No troops needed and no innocent civilians died. But that won't happen, right?
The civilized world is the world that the United States and Europe have created with their own standards ? Should everyone adhere to these rights ? Funny😂 Who are you 😂 ? The world does not end with the USA and Europe, everyone has their own interests in this world. In addition to the USA and Europe, there are also China, South America, India, Iran, Turkey, Russia and other more significant players than the collective West. Temper your pride)
When will you learn that turkey is in nato? How are countries like India and brasil more significant than the Us. They can not even control the cartels or pakistani backed Terrorist.
07:08 This area is completely flat and easily traversable by a tight net of small country roads. To me it seems control of this larger road T1302 is of little significance.
Small country roads present ambush opportunities, whereas a large highway allows for multiple columns and more visibility. It's really more about trucks than it is tanks or bmps
Taking an operational pause during a war of attrition probably a good decision since soldiers are still a human and they would be mentally exhausted during a prolonged hostilities, Considering their most battle hardened soldiers from Mariupol/Popasna/Severotdonetsk have been working really hard to make Lysychansk encirclement happened, i'd say they deserve some rest while the high command would revise their future offensive plans
![Operational Pause or Russian Impotence? [War Mapped]](/img/logo.svg){kind=logo}
