As a physicist, I completely agree with you on preferring to see hard numbers. Options can be so... artistic sometimes :P It's great to see there is some mathematical sense behind it. Thank you again for these very informative videos!
I just subscribed. Been trading 0-DTE SPX for a while. Interested to see how this helps my decision making. Question: Where do you describe your gamma exposure and delta exposure charts?
Bryan, another excellent video and you've got a new subscriber to 8-ball for sure. What struck me about this video is the "accuracy" you're referring to is about the suggested trades to be placed for a given time and predicted close, what's profitable, what's not, etc. But to me that's almost a secondary concern -- of primary concern to me is how accurate is the predicted close price vs. the actual close price? Your database surely has the predicted close prices at each 5-minute interval for as long as 8-ball has been live. What's been the accuracy? I realize that while you have all the data, you may not have taken the time to crunch it to test the accuracy and establish an accuracy stratification (e.g. how accurate is it as 11 am and what's the standard deviation of that accuracy, vs. the accuracy at 3 pm and corresponding SD). I'm going to be signing up today and will join the general chat. I would be happy to help you with this -- happy to crunch the numbers and run some basic statistics so we can gauge how well 8-ball is performing (not for trades, just for close price prediction).
Did you ever get your question answered? How accurate is the predicted close generated by magic 8-ball? Does it really have any predictive power or is it total BS?
If you do condors at tiny deltas, you're gonna see a lot of green. Narrow butterflies are opposite in win rate. It's obvious why you see red. I'd like to see p/l after fees and commissions.
exactly, had to tune out when 16:15 was shown - wtf that's 15 min after the market closed if east coast (he must be west coast) and the most important time gone by? I'm confused with the time also and should be pointed out what time zone.
So you're saying you guarantee I'll become rich if I just blindly invest based on this tool? I'm in :) It does look very cool. I hope you figure out those pesky butterflies, whatever those are!! Using words like Iron Condor also make me feel like this is some LotR's magic you're working on here.
