According to military stategist Denys Davydov it is for Ukraine easy to get out of this difficult situation. Denys knows because he got easily away from the Ukrainian army.
To be fair he did an honest video on the Ukraine situation in Pokrovsk region, I was surprised. I don't think he said it was easy, even he said he expects Pokrovsk to fall
@@Filippirgosyes I also saw denys video, I could not believe it, he is acknowledging the disaster... This means the situation is really really bad for Ukraine, if the king of cope is accepting reality.
Forgot to mention that a lot of settlements that Russia captured in Prokrovsk direction are intact. Russia can use those buildings to hide their equipments.
@@brianrasmussen2956 That's because ukrainians didn't defend many of those settlements so they are intact. That's actually suspicious because ukrainians usually defend every village until the last man so or they are in a really dramatic situation or they are making russians advance and then attack the flanks on all the area from Avdivka to Pokrovsk.
There's a lot of analogies in your comment. I think I get what you're trying to say, but it doesn't quite work. Like what does stabbing yourself have to do with chess?
@@teru797You make a good point, but an army (the Ukrainian army) can't just abandon over 1,000 square kilometres of land they just fought over and "won." It's also a matter of pride and Zelensky's best troops are in Kursk and may still have aspirations to do more damage, even reach a large city...
for those who doesn't understand the significance of Pokrovsk: go to ukraine deepstate map, change map settings to standard map (instead of satellite), zoom out, and you will see.
@@HuESC essentially, all roads leads to Pokrovsk for the Donetsk frontline, having it under Russian control will make it hard for the Ukrainians to hold on to the area around it
@@emunozq actually, making Pokrovsk a front line city would destroy its purpose as a supply/logistic hub. even before it is captured everything is fucked already.
The biggest mistake the Ukrainian command made was not constructing robust defense lines after the capture of Avdiivka. They had many months to do it but instead they lied about it and now they will pay the price for it
I told my daughter to start making Russian Flags to help her pay for college as there are still hundreds of villages left in Ukraine for Russian Forces to liberate..🎉🎉🎉❤
The idea that this attack in any way hurts Russia SMO is difficult to accept. Ukraine has not taken the city of Kursk; they have merely taken some, mostly rural, parts of the oblast, or region of Kursk. The largest town they have taken is Sudzha, which has just over 6,000 people. Much of the territory they have captured is empty fields. Even if they manage to take Kursk proper -which isa highly unlikely, it is a city with less than 500,000 people and one that is not significant to the Russia’s plans. The idea that Russia will break down and negotiate with Ukraine is a fantasy; Russia needs not to rush to such ends. Russia has plenty of volunteers, whereas Ukraine is running out of them. They will simply wait and slowly take their land back, inch by inch, throwing as many troops into the field as necessary. When they’re done, the situation will look even worse for Ukraine than when it started: Ukraine will have lost men, used up arms, and gained nothing. Russia will, in the meantime, have slowly continued chipping away at Ukraine’s territory in the south, as it is now doing.
@@whitefalcon630 The Germans were not defeated at Prohorovka. That's an old (Soviet propaganda) myth which is since many times disproved. For the Germans this battle was just another day of fighting at Kursk. While the Soviets lost one of their main reserve mechanized / tank force. It's no politic just military history. You can look for the newer articles if you are really interested.
My guy idk why all the hype of Kursk offensive, Russia is geographically a mega country its hard to block every hole, throughout history everyone invades and enters Russia but what matters is how they leave Russia. And True Ukrainian soldiers are trapped in treelines and villages.
I think the situation is more critical then you stated unless the Ukrainians retreat from the zap front they could lose all troops south of s river due to being encircled with no major supply lines. Unless the Ukrainians do something major. This is gonna be a major disaster…
Kursk was initially a surprise for Russia. As professionals (not experts) said two weeks ago, Russia is tying the Ukrainians to the Kursk front for several weeks. Since the Ukrainian/Western KsK PR show is enormous, the clever🤣 Selensky cannot withdraw his troops from the Kursk region and is forced to keep sending new troops to the Kursk region because of the enormous losses. Then there is Belarus, where the oh-so-clever😛 Zelenskyj is forced to station troops on the Ukrainian/Belarusian border. All the troops are missing on the Eastern Front. In principle, the West has lost the war since Bakhmut, and the Ukrainians should have laid down their weapons long ago.
@@ZappyOh He was already there in the beginning of the SMO. Once things get too hot he will flee to Warsaw and then further to the US, Israel or probably UK like Zaluzhny did
Because zelensky tried to copy paste Putin strategy, just like how Putin did in northern front by opening new war front and fool zelensky fall in his trap and diverted most of his forces from east and south to North, he again tried to copy putin and did same by opening new front thinking Putin will do same , but Surprise Surprise Putin was ready for this 😂
Preston Stewart: Ukraine is most like setting up a trap guys! Srsky: All attacks in around Pokrovsk have been repelled. I legitimately want what these Ukraine supporters/bloggers are on. Also what the High command is on too.
@abdelrahmanmohammed9405 Honestly, I've never watched the dude either. But his videos keep popping up in my feed. Just like the chubby dude who looks like Peter Griffin but with curly hair.
Zeihan used to be fantastic. His two connected books "Accidental Superpower" and "The Absent Superpower" are some of the best and most educational books that a person can read. With the third book you notice something has changed. And with the last fourth book, the complete change has been completed. Just as an example, he no longer uses "AD" and "BC" to describe the years. Instead, he fell into the radical rabbit hole of the horrendous nonsense of "Common Era" and "Before Common Era". Note, when he wrote his first two connected books, he was still basically an indie operation with a couple people working with him. Afterwards, he has been invited to talk to the CIA. That's not a conspiracy theory, he repeats having gone to talk to the CIA repeatedly during his stage presentations. Covid is what changed him. 2016 has a ruined a lot of brains thanks to TDS. But Covid broke his brain. This is when he started talking about things that have nothing to do with geopolitics, and started talking about vaccines and vaccine policy. While also talking about current Russian military operations. Which annoys me to no end. As it has nothing to do with geopolitics. Before Covid he was able to distinguish what was in his field and what was not. Not anymore. Again, his two first books are absolutely phenomenal. His two last books shows that his brain broke.
@@brianrasmussen2956 Brian "brainrot" Rasmussen. This war started when 8 years of negotiating peace (minsk accords) got thrown into the trash by request of the UK and US. Don't want to be diplomatic? Then be ready to be streamrolled into submission. And what democracy? Why are there no elections in Ukraine? Silly man, saying silly things.
Siege of Pokrovsk could start by the winter if Russian units continue to move toward that direction consistently. Meanwhile in Kursk inside Russian territory, we known what could happen to the attacker
@@whitefalcon630 I know ppl are going to comment "wht bout Lend Lease?" So I'm just going to leave this out here for them: The thing is, 80% of Lend Lease arrived after the battle of Stalingrad according to The Collector and it only made up 4% of RU's machinery and 5% of the $0viet GDP. The thing, the $0viets produced more ground hardware than the US.
Politico: Ukraine is short of men and desperately short on ammunition. It’s now fielding a largely volunteer middle-aged army - 43 years is the average age of its frontline soldiers - and there’s also mounting evidence of draft dodging. The BBC reported that 650,000 Ukrainian men of fighting age fled the country in the past two years.
Lol..there are more just here in Czech republic and few other millions in Poland, Slovakia, Romania and other countries. Many illegal without valid passport so they are not in official stats.
I’ve saying that the Dniepro River has been the goal throughout the campaign. It is a natural barrier and will certainly define the outcome of the conflict.
I think Ukraine is making the same mistake Poland did in WW2. They're so desperate trying to defend every last sqkm of their territory that they set up defenses in areas that are not very easy to defend, instead of retreating to somewhere they can defend very easily, like the Dniepr river. Russia did retreat from Kharkiv and Kiev when their attacks failed there, which was a smart move. I know that it is a very tough decision to just abandon a third of your country, and it makes you look very weak, but I think that Ukraine would have had a fighting chance had they done that. This way, they're guaranteed to lose eventually in a drawn out attrition war, unless NATO actually joins the war, which is not entirely off the table either, and I think Zelensky is putting all of his money on that.
@@TamaMochi678 dude, Ukraine will leave third of it's economy, people and territory if will move to Dnipro. It means that many people will leave the country again, and it means less money in the budget. And where will Ukraine find money for war?
@@ArturMysiuk It's a tradeoff. A significant portion of the Ukrainian war economy is provided by NATO members, so losing a part of its population and economy is not as big of a deal as the advantage they would get from fortifying the Dniepr. Also, most of the population-dense areas are in Western Ukraine, while most of the population-dense areas in the east are already under Russian control. Their biggest loss would be Kharkiv, so alternatively, they could defend the Dnieper river up to Dnipro city, then build fortifications up to the Donets river and fortify that and Kharkiv. As the war is going right now, the frontline will eventually arrive at that point anyway.
Or maybe, at the very beginning, Ukraine could have pledged never to be a member of Nato nor a military asset of the U.S. and also sign the Minsk accords. Then a half million or so Ukrainian men would be alive today and millions would not have had to flee their homes.
@iank.2162 Poland '39- paid for their actions in the Danzig Corridor in the West and their adventurism in the 20's to the East into the Border Lands (including Kiev - with the correct spelling as of Kiev Rus of which the Rus Mir was born (Belarus/Malorus/Russia)). They were egged on by the West though and then thrown under the bus for the usual suspects. An alternative might have been to stay on good terms with neigbours and not listen to those far away with no real skin in the game. Not hard to comprehend and easy to do.
@iank.2162 literally the only difference is that Poland was attacked from 2 countries, everything else is pretty much the same, including being tricked by western countries into provoking a war they couldn't possibly win
I think the Russians can push to dnipro, infact they could use a diversion attack towards dnipro which would pull out forces from Donetsk etc and they will allow the front to fall easily
I think they might actually push toward Dnipro to keep the pressure up while at the same time pushing south to flank Zaporozhye and north to flank Sloviansk-Kramatorsk line. The push to Dnipro however won't be straight there but in relative proportion to the other prongs of attack to avoid being pincered.Or maybe it will be different, they will have a lot of options. Also Ukraine's Kursk position is bad since if they stay, they just keep losing lots of people and gear while being squeezed out and having less reserves, but if they leave kursk voluntarily so they can redeploy to other critical sectors, then Russian forces could expand the front again in more northern border areas. And then there is the deployment of forces along the Belarus border to consider, who might again push from there to put pressure in that direction and tie up even more reserves while a general offensive is occurring. Ukraine has no good cards it can play.
Если украинские националисты решат убегать из Курской области, русские их просто так не отпустят. Они следом зайдут в Сумскую область, преследуя отступающих нацистов и наказывая их за все военные преступления, за страдания русского народа. Такое тоже вполне возможно. Ну .. если там вообще будет кому выходить. Может этих нацистов и европейских наёмников сразу в Курской области и закопают. Чтоб далеко не ходить😂
With how the war is going in the east i dont think its crazy to think that the pokrovsk-myrnohrad area will fall by new years, unless ukraine realizes the kursk offensive isnt going to draw any russians away from the pokrovsk frontline and actually bother to reinforce it with what little resources they have
Yes RF need to be careful not to over-extend their penetration and be vulnerable in the flanks. Pokrovsk is a strategic supply chock point, if taken then it should be consolidated and pressure brought to the South of it IMHO to reduce the Ukr positions there.
Any "protruding" success (Kursk, Pokrovsk - doesn't matter) - obviously - becomes volnurable to cutt-off from the sides. Not much is known on the situation on these "sides", except that no information comes from there... Hence the value of "predictions", not knowing the whole information...
Russia can from Pokrovsk go city hopping to acquire the rest of Donetzk without needing to leave cover over large agricultural tracts. Fewer casualties and less material loss...
@@erikvynckier4819 Donbass has a lot of natural resources. If Russia can occupy the whole region then they can easily get those natural resources while denying it to NATO. NATO should have seen it coming.
well kursk went up like belgoroad disaster same as porkrovsk lol recently zelensky wants to invade belarus they may had a small army but the can fight for defence well that will end like this too if that happens
there was a video with col. Douglas McGreggor and some other guy, not sure his name, anyway, they used some footage of weeb unions maps and history legends ( alex's ) channel.
No defense or any fortification at all. They never considered to build them in case IF the 2014 line of defence collapse l. Beyond pokrovsk just flat land similar like kurks
Does anyone remember how this cascading Russian advance started? Back in mid fall of 2022, Russia made an organized withdrawal from the west bank of the Dnieper river and abandoned the city of Kherson. They did this because the newly arrived UA HIMARS were attacking their main logistics line, the Antonovsky bridge. The Russian forces couldn't hold the bridgehead on the west bank and their High Command ordered them to withdraw. Admirably, they managed it while inflicting casualties to the advancing Ukrainians and losing the minimum amount of their own forces. That was when General Surovikin took command of the entire SMO. He ordered the construction of the titular defensive line to protect the land corridor to Crimea, Mariupol, Melitopol and Berdiansk. In the meantime, the Russians led by Wagner PMC decided to liberate Bakhmut (Artemovsk), starting on summer of 2022 and ending in May of 2023. This assault on this massively fortified city, a modern day Stalingrad, pinned large forces of the UA there. All the while delaying the much advertised Summer Counteroffensive of 2023 to cut the land corridor to Crimea and take the peninsula from the Russians. When said counteroffensive begun, it crashed and burned on the meticulously prepared Russian defenses and it didn't have its full strength because the UA had spent their forces defending Artemovsk. The result from the successful Artemovsk offensive for the Russians and the failed C.O. from the Ukrainians was the irreplaceable loss of dozens of brigades and thousands of western-supplied materiel. After those 2 events, the Russians started their Adveevka offensive, another meatgrinder to exhaust the UA. When that city fell, Krasnogorovka came next. Then, they attacked north of Kharkiv as a diversion using minimal forces, mostly infantry. The UA was forced to send heavy forces there, keeping them away from the Russians' real goal, the total liberation of the Donetsk region. They key to that, as your video demonstrated, is the liberation of Pokrovsk and the Russians are not showing any signs of slowing down. Why? Simply because after all those consecutive defeats of the UA, there isn't anyone left there to fight or anyone who has the will to be forcibly conscripted by Zele's goons.
What do you think about some russian analysts saying that the quick fall of pokrovsk sector might be a trap for russian armies. It would be interesting to get your opinion on this.
@@apostolosderakis9840 is ukraine giving its all to defend pokrovsk? I see that they're giving ground very easily. It could very well be that ukr forces have lost morale but in any case russia shouldn't be overconfident. Russia has always overestimated its abilities.
@@Dimension37 why are you getting so triggered. i never claimed to be a military analyst. I just asked to get an educated opinion from an expert. I am neither russian nor ukrainian and i care for neither of them.
może mają linie obronne ale nie mają najważniejszego - ludzi do ich obsadzenia , "produkcja żołnierza " trwa 18 lat , od urodzenia do posłania na front by zginął
Russians will go PROSYANA will they secure their flank. From their not only will behind the Ukrainian lines but also dominate the elevation of the entire region until Dniepro. They also head north once they take Porkros'ke, they flank the major cities and head to Lyman
With the experience of the Maginot Line, French could provide invaluable advice to Ukraine on how to handle opposing army showing up from rare end of defense line.
I really thought the Russians would go straight for Pokrovsk asap and not allow Ukraine to get defenses organized. Instead they turned south to create a big cauldron and make a new shorter supply line from Donetsk City. Who am I to say this great Russian general is wrong???