Predicting Who Will Be President in 2024... (Political Machine 2024) 

imagine New Hampshire went blue anyways.

I’m from new hampshire

@@ConnorBrunelle how was ted cruz's visit

@@bighillraft actually Ted Cruz is disliked in New Hampshire 😂

The man was on a MISSION. Must have personally visited every single voter in the state 😂

@@KingAnarchist that thought is HILARIOUS

This is why Cruz is not on the shortlist

@@KingAnarchistFr

if ohio votes biden I'll eat my shoe. Im an ohioan and I bet my shoe on it forsho

Kentucky voted for Beshear thoughZ

@@theacroway2056and Vermont voted for Scott

@@defaultusername1145 Scott is a very different Republican than MAGA folk. He's a libertarian basically, while Beshear is a centrist akin to mainstream democrats

@@theacroway2056 the point is governor elections are much different than presidential

yeah lol as an Iowa democrat Iowa will turn blue when pigs fly

Yeah Ohio not gonna vote Biden. I should know

@@evanwillett1635probably my first experience of Iowa politics is at a Hawkeye game the governor came out and the entire stadium booed him!

Honestly, outside of Kentucky I see this being a what if dems won 2004 map

@@oscarhess1376 which governor? The current one is a woman

yea he didnt say but this is the play test version

Not rly they have a dem govenror

@@Wataru-Endo-Dragon I specifically meant on the Presidential level, where KY typically votes R+ 25+.

Polling has consistently underestimated the Democrats for the past few years.

@@rangergaming8316 umm… that may single handedly be the most incorrect statement I’ve ever heard💀 Trump over performed in the last two elections by so much. Look at Wisconsin and Michigan’s polling vs voting last two cycles

@@willcampbell2485look at NY polling. Biden was over projected by 6 points last election.

@@willcampbell2485 what on earth are u talking about, a democrat just swung an alabama district 25 points left, polling has DEFINITELY underestimated democrats, just not to the point seen in the video

​@@nolananderson6139every poll in the last two ejecting had trump losing by a lot

I’m always impressed by how neutral Drew’s comments section can actually be. Even on divisive issues like this.

This is a no spin channel

@@KingAnarchistSwitzerland is the spirit animal of this entire channel

@@gs-8279 Yes

Why does the likes button just say "twenty"

New Hampshire does have a lot of Libertarians though.

@@octaviusmorlock I said cursed already my dude, no need to double down

LOL

Not to mention trump supporting environmental protection...

Georgia was red for a long time, I’m not sure why it’s cursed

I think the reason why it’s viewed as a swing state is because it had enough democrats to have elected a democrat as it’s governor.

I have a feeling people will be saying the same about Georgia in the 2020’s and 2030’s. The urban growth patterns of the NC cities are similar to that of Atlanta, but you never know which is why we have the elections.

NC was very close in 2020.

No I disagree. NC is a swing state in my opinion. Democrats can win NC in the near-future

I am so done with this country if trump wins

That’s why this game isn’t that accurate like they say it is.

​@@williamlambert5929nobody says this game is accurate it's just a game.

Well I mean it's also the priorities all favored Biden too

Womp Womp

Trump lover

Yep

He already had it backwards on accident lol he fixed it as to not draw controversy

It's incorrectly displayed now. The red is always on the right when displayed vertically, even if that means that when you rotate it, red is on top.

​@@neuzieGuys, Drew Durnil's cam is always MIRRORED.

​@@stargazer-elite the Philippine revolutionary flag is different. It has three Ks in it, hence the controversy

u sure?

@@jonathankimkful YES

same bro... I live in SE OH... and we are SOLID red. Not going back either 💪

Look at what is going on in America. How are you liking 5 dollars a gallon and all illegal terrorists pouring through illegal in the US? ​@@jonathankimkful

Everyone I know in Ohio is leaning blue

the most important thing i learned in school

Me feeling an absolute nerd since I knew what a Mitochondria is..😅

@@YashvirHoodaYeah the powerhouse of the cell :P

@@YashvirHoodayou aint a nerd. Just a student who was not supplied with the education to pay taxes and only taught the mitochondria.

School has failed you all, mitochondria is a plural. The mitochrondrion is the powerhouse of the cell.

He's 29..

he’s Californian so no >:(

@@germancat429 no he comes from Alabama but lives in California

@@CenixNenix1 ik but i consider anyone who lives in California willingly a dirty Californian

@@CenixNenix1 We have never had a president from alabama

EXACTLY

It's probably the right way but the camera flips it

The camera is not flipped because the bracelet attached to mic arm is not flipped by looking at the letters

drew just supports phillipine going to war

No, it’s right. The blue supposed to be on the top. The triangle is on the top in this vertical position but when it’s in, it’s normal horizontal position. That means the blue is on top

He certainly seems to love the Delaware beaches more than the electric city lol

@@nargaflarga yep.

I know this is a joke, but a home state for a presidential candidate is the state they choose to file with.

It’s a simulation game designed to predict things like this designed with the actual system in mind and last two times he did it. It worked out pretty well. It predicted Trump would win it predicted Biden would win.

I have serious doubts Biden can win the vote anyhow except for some cheating

In your factual opinion

@@chillmemes5865 Yes

@@m00nx_boi_ what makes you think that? biden is *extremely* unpopular, and trump is attracting tens/hundreds of thousands of people in his rallies in the deep blue states of new jersey, new york, california, etc. the game is a randomizer, a simulator, not an accurate tell of reality

Na that's trending more Republican I think it will be Gavin newsom vs Ron desantis in 2028

@@58twrightgavin might lowkey have that in the bag though bcuz ron is way more right leaning for most places

​​@@58twright depends on how this election plays out. If Trump loses, which it's looking like he will, I think the GOP has a lot of soul searching to do, they took this Populist turn after both McCain and Romney got crushed and Trump did good in 2016. I think they'll finally realize that it wasn't really Trump's populism that won voters but Hillary being an awful candidate

​@@notpigeonnuwu5158Not just that, but he's deeply uncharismatic and pretty unpopular outside Florida. That's why all republicans are rallying behind Trump, any other choice would ensure a democratic presidency until 2032

@@incompetence10881 I agree Hillary was not a good candidate I liked bill a whole lot better & Bernie would have been a much better candidate

He seems to be pulling a *lot* of moderate dem voters and even some of the never Trump repubs.

Yes!

& KFC

Yes 🙋‍♂️👨‍🦳

He literally has like 5 rallies a day and Biden goes to bed in the basement right after lunch

Yeah, New Hampshire won't go red

I will hold you to this

@@rb98769 New Hampshire has a much higher chance of going red than Ohio, Iowa, Kentucky or Florida to go blue.

You simply have a different view of Oregon than I do presumably also as a resident. It’s definitely lost being independent and centrist since the turn of the century. Calling it purple hasn’t been accurate since 2004. Now Democrats reliably win elections here. We haven’t had anything other than a Dem governor since the 1982 election. Dennis Richardson was the only Republican Secretary of State since 1985. Thee hasn’t been a Republican Attorney General since 1993. There hasn’t been a Republican Treasurer since 1993. So Democrats have lost a statewide executive branch election exactly 1 time since 1993 that doesn’t seem very “purple” to me. Republicans haven’t won a US Senate seat since 2002, haven’t held a majority of US House seats since 1954, haven’t won the electoral votes for President since 1984, haven’t had a majority in the Oregon House since 2006 or a majority in the Oregon Senate since 2002. Your view of the state is stuck at minimum in the early 2000s and in reality even earlier than that.

The last time Oregon was within 10 points in a Presidential election was 2004. Last time they voted for a Republican President was Ronald Reagan. Similarly that's the last time they had a Republican Governor. Both State houses have been Democrat since 2012. So why again is it Purple?

@@incompetence10881 Are points the same as percent of the vote? If so, you got bad reporting, as it's been consistently within no more than 4% in favor of a presidential candidate until 2020 when it hit 6% (which still is a tiny margin). If you had taken the time to read my response to Tyler Daniels, you'd see me clearly explain how and why Oregon has always been purple, and how reliably voting in a particular party does not = a stronghold to that particular party, nor that the state is "solid blue" or "red".

​@@TheCriminalViolin So that's just not correct, election results are super easy to find online, love to share a link but I believe Drew has them banned. 2020 was 56.5 - 40.4, 2016 was 50.1 - 39.1, 2012 was 54.2 - 42.2, 2008 was 56.8 - 40.4, and then finally actually competitive, 2004 was 51.4 - 47.2. I agree just because a state reliably votes one way doesn't mean it's safe, but the points say it's safe

@@TheCriminalViolin that's just not correct. Election results are super easy to find online, would love to share them but links seem to be banned?

Well, it's boring and pointless. Anyone would fall asleep.

@@libertylovin2359 wow is that a dumb thing to say but thanks for advertising your ignorance..

@@libertylovin2359 no in fact any normal person would be extremely awake during that trial if anything they wouldn’t be able to sleep at night when you’re life is on the line like that when you could be put in prison for due to your age the rest of your life you’re going to be pretty anxious and that’s just an understatement “adrenaline is one hell of a drug”

😂 Imagine getting triggered even by a video game representation of Trump.

@@KingAnarchistthey know they will lose and lose real bad, they have to cheat just to have a chance at “winning”😂

Hi, You are here too

good

Great. NH might be in play.

I went to New Hampshire for the primary and I saw more Dean Phillips signs that Biden signs 😂

NH is probably like a mini Illinois where everything is controlled by Concord instead of Chicago

Yeah maybe well get the egotistical to try and coup the government again

Yes typically that'd be correct, but like you said, they're full of Libertarians, not conservatives, Trump is bad with libertarians, especially New England libertarians. There is a reason why that was Haley's 2nd best performing state. Hell there was a poll recently showing if it was a 2 way race between Trump and Kennedy he'd lose.

I think New Hampshire will flip soon, maybe not 2024, but soon

But then you have gerrymandering

The problem with that is the gerrymandering in this country.

and ww3!

Biden didn’t cause any of that. Technically it was Trump that caused that because of his meddling in the economy (well I mean, he personally didn’t do that. He used his presidential power to influence Congress to do that, but still ) and also because of his lack of care for the Covid pandemic which caused global inflation

Red Texas is going to happen wdym

Texas is going to be red. The polls show Texas as like +9 for Trump and the polls always underestimate republicans.

He's still up only because a few Republican pollster have put out polls with him up like +12 leading to the averages getting skewed towards him. Biden has consistently been leading in most polls in the last month or so.

315 now if you consider that Nebraska's second district is polling red

@@rangergaming8316 Most polling averages don't account for outliers and the polls historically have underestimated Trump

@@geochonker9052 ever since the 2020 elections the polls have consistently underestimated the Democrats who have won races that they had no business winning. Polls are also a snapshot of the current day and the results will be vastly different.

Especially the first three, they aren’t even swing states or close to swing state territory

RFK wont win, its pretty much impossible. Although I agree he will probably have an effect on the outcome by taking away blue votes

This should be fun

This should be fun

good

In most states there are laws against unfaithful legislators

The Democrat governor recently won re-election

this game is so biased that it rated bidens intelligence as “sharp” and trumps as “average” 💀

It’s not biased at all. It’s literally a simulation it predicted Trump would win somehow and it predicted Biden would win somehow seems like you’re the biased one for believing this is biased

@@germancat429ah yes, because the man who has 81 years to his name and 50+ years of political experience is less intelligent than a man who is younger, although by not much and has way less political experience makes total sense to me *not*

@@stargazer-elite ive got a couple questions, which one has dementia, which one let multiple major wars break out, which one fucked the economy, which one trips over sand bags and falls down stairs, which one forgot how his son died, which one makes ice cream jokes while addressing school shootings, which one has spent 1/3rd if not more of his presidency on vacation and which one responds to the largest threats in the world with the word “dont”

​@stargazer-elite you saying "50 plus years of political experience" as a flex, is crazy ☠️ get those 🤡 out of office.

Its a dumb game its not supposed to be an actual prediction

Nah, it probably isn't as accurate as 2020's game. It doesn't really account for the influence of foreign issues on Biden's chances as well as the various criminal charge against Trump, many of which he was just found guilty of

It went way different than expected