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Shocking Truth: Tesla's Deliveries Are Falling 

Asymmetric Investing by Travis Hoium
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Tesla reported quarterly auto deliveries that exceeded expectations on Tuesday and Tesla stock jumped 9% on the news. What's getting less attention is that Tesla's sales were down 5% from a year ago, production dropped 14%, and the company is losing market share. Travis Hoium digs into the trends in this video.
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00:00 Tesla's Impressive Q2 Numbers
00:27 Analyzing Tesla's Declining Margins
01:23 Production vs. Deliveries: A Deeper Look
04:06 Industry Trends and Market Share
05:12 Impact of Financing on Margins
06:33 Free Cash Flow Concerns
08:13 Conclusion and Future Outlook

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12 июл 2024

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Комментарии : 16   
@knet0008
@knet0008 10 дней назад
Did you double down on your short position?
@asymmetricinvesting
@asymmetricinvesting 10 дней назад
No short position, sorry. I may double down on my GM stake though. GM's deliveries were up 1% in Q2 and they said prices are going up so FCF should be strong.
@mlab8
@mlab8 7 дней назад
So, unjustified rally? Are you expecting a reversal?
@coldspring22
@coldspring22 10 дней назад
Musk fanboys: Tesla is AI and robotics company, EV sales don't matter. Also Musk fanboys: Tesla sold only 5% less cars than last year. HUUUUGE WIN!! All Hail Musk!!! LOL
@asymmetricinvesting
@asymmetricinvesting 10 дней назад
I LOL'd.
@Teslafan9519
@Teslafan9519 10 дней назад
The Tesla fanboys aren't excited about the vehicles though. It's the institutional investors that are sceptical about other parts of Tesla and those are the ones celebrating over the vehicle delivery numbers. Also you seem to have missed the fact that Tesla energy deployment grew about 130% Q over Q and if the margins are similar to Q1 that means energy division profits should go up from $400m to about $900m in a single quarter. Meaning in the next 12 months Tesla will most likely make $4B profit from their energy business alone which means it'll become harder for wall street to argue that Tesla is only a car company which it isn't btw. Can't believe were half way to 2025 and people still don't see the obvious lol.
@jimmcintyre1966
@jimmcintyre1966 10 дней назад
When was the last time Tesla traded on fundamentals? I don't think you can separate humanoid robots, robotaxis and the new low-priced model, which I agree with you will not help margins, from its share price. Even though Tesla is a somewhat mature car company it's still a speculative dream stock. I won't be surprised if the share price drops to 100 bucks or well below in the next year but I also won't be surprised if it stays elevated.
@asymmetricinvesting
@asymmetricinvesting 10 дней назад
This is all true.
@1radar
@1radar 10 дней назад
😂😂😂😂😂😂, ignorance is bliss😊
@Chris-8.9
@Chris-8.9 8 дней назад
😂.. Comon when did Tesla stock have anything to do with logic or reality! Just buy and enjoy the ride .. lol. This is crazy
@TomasWatchReviews
@TomasWatchReviews 7 дней назад
Tesla stock price should be analysed the same way as Bitcoin. With magic and shrooms. It is all just hype.
@Agent77X
@Agent77X 8 дней назад
End of 2024 going to hit $400 a share!😊 Elon Musk alway comes through at the end! 😀
@Teslafan9519
@Teslafan9519 10 дней назад
Not sure why people still think you should be comparing Tesla with other automakers. Other automakers have like $50-200B debt and they aren't moving quickly enough towards EVs & on top of that they're making massive losses from their EV business. Interest rates are high & Tesla has not come out with a cheaper model yet and Tesla grew too fast for a few years so it's inevitable that their growth slows down at some point. Same will happen with NVIDIA as well. If Tesla grew in a linear way then the stock would go up in a linear way. Technological advancements don't happen linearly either especially not when it comes to AI. Robotaxi will be a dream for a while like it has been until it isn't when Tesla can show real revenue & profits from it on their balance sheet and that's when the stock will probably 3-10x in a matter of few years if it's as profitable as Musk expects it to be. Model Y is the best selling vehicle even though only approximately 10% of the new vehicles sold are in that price range. When Tesla begins to produce & sell a vehicle for around $25,000-30,000 their TAM will be like 5-6x larger than it currently is. That's when they will begin to grow 20-30% YOY again with EVs. Obviously some years could be closer to 40-50% while some other years maybe 10-30% but on average I'd expect it to be +20% for the next 5 years at least.
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