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Should Investors Buy Super Micro Computer Stock on the Dip? | SMCI Stock Analysis | 

Parkev Tatevosian, CFA
Подписаться 101 тыс.
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Super Micro Computer disappointed investors with falling profit margins and negative cash flow.
Fool.com contributor and finance professor Parkev Tatevosian updates his recommendation for Super Micro Computer stock.
A portion of this video is sponsored by The Motley Fool.
Visit fool.com/parkev to get access to my special offer.
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor returns are 767% as of 7/5/2024 and measured against the S&P 500 returns of 163% as of 7/5/2024. Past performance is not an indicator of future results. All investing involves a risk of loss. Individual investment results may vary, not all Motley Fool Stock Advisor picks have performed as well.
DISCLAIMER:
All content on this channel is for entertainment and should not be taken as professional financial advice.
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11 сен 2024

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Комментарии : 134   
@GravelRacer1
@GravelRacer1 Месяц назад
Stock dip was a huge overraction. Analysts do not have a clue how companies actually run. Great video and well explained.
@shaunjames2221
@shaunjames2221 14 дней назад
Have you seen today?
@GravelRacer1
@GravelRacer1 14 дней назад
@@shaunjames2221 Ridiculously cheap now
@ronmatthews2164
@ronmatthews2164 Месяц назад
I made a bundle from Super micro computer. As soon as Parkev recamended taking profits i sold all my shares right away. Of course this Professor was right on the money because shortly after this stock started to crash down. ❤😂🎉
@pardoilga4940
@pardoilga4940 Месяц назад
This company is going to make me rich. I love this company so much.
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Месяц назад
Thanks for sharing.
@goncalosanto1479
@goncalosanto1479 Месяц назад
😂😂😂😂😂 good luck with that
@jgonz69
@jgonz69 Месяц назад
@@goncalosanto1479so what is good stock to buy genius?
@bobd7038
@bobd7038 Месяц назад
Falling in love with any company is foolish and will make you poor.
@user-cm8br8kj5y
@user-cm8br8kj5y Месяц назад
all in at 800 , is time to sleep at public park ,yeah
@alexng7977
@alexng7977 Месяц назад
I was watching SMCI from when it was at $270, watched it go all the way up to $1000 and then finally decided to buy in... just before it crashed. Now im DCAing down, ACB is at $700 now, but still a little worried since it keeps breaking new support levels.
@goldengoat4938
@goldengoat4938 Месяц назад
hold strong!
@geolykos
@geolykos Месяц назад
That’s called FOMO. Been there done that. Doing it less nowadays. You live and you learn.
@bryanmclaughlin1048
@bryanmclaughlin1048 Месяц назад
I was buying it when it was 50 dollars 💸 💵
@mattyp8435
@mattyp8435 13 дней назад
Ouch
@neskorock
@neskorock Месяц назад
I can always count on you to get update. Thanks bro
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Месяц назад
Always
@guidogold1
@guidogold1 Месяц назад
Great insight into SMCI - I own only 45 shares and always wanted to bring up my share count to at least 100. Should I expand my position before or after the split?
@donkushner3044
@donkushner3044 Месяц назад
My default thinking was just the opposite, so I appreciate that your perspective is more thorough than mine. Cheers!
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Месяц назад
Glad it was helpful!
@jaaz5531
@jaaz5531 Месяц назад
Thank you Prof. Own SMCI and bit down for now but i am long. Could you please do an update on LLY.
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Месяц назад
Request noted.
@jaaz5531
@jaaz5531 Месяц назад
@@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Thank you. Appreciate that.
@jnkoa33
@jnkoa33 Месяц назад
Yes. LLY needs to split. I’m long with LLY
@jaaz5531
@jaaz5531 Месяц назад
@@jnkoa33 agree, waiting for the LLY spilt
@yolandazaragoza5965
@yolandazaragoza5965 Месяц назад
@@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@Jay3rd313
@Jay3rd313 Месяц назад
Appreciate your insight.
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Месяц назад
Thanks!
@killerrabbit2693
@killerrabbit2693 15 дней назад
Parkev, what do you make of the recent report from hindenburg?
@RajShah202
@RajShah202 Месяц назад
On time help thank you so much for your help ❤❤❤❤
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Месяц назад
You are so welcome
@TheTipsyTurtle
@TheTipsyTurtle Месяц назад
Airbnb next please
@jasonr2171
@jasonr2171 15 дней назад
Any thoughts on Q&A in the last earnings call? I think management is unsure how to handle analysit questions, probably lack experience since they just gained so much attention in past year. Definitely need to see margin expansion and perhaps shorter cash conversion in next quarter.
@pepperthe-fb3hq
@pepperthe-fb3hq Месяц назад
I've hit the button subscribe. the company you mentioned today is one of my preferred stock to buy!
@AJOliva-wy1ub
@AJOliva-wy1ub Месяц назад
Professor, I own a few shares with a cost basis regrettably in the mid 7's. Would you recommend dollar cost averaging with it's current price or hold my current position until things improve?
@sbdftw1702
@sbdftw1702 Месяц назад
I’m not nearly as knowledgeable as our good friend Parkev but I’ve been dollar costing down share by share. Mine is a bit higher than yours, around $800, but I would love to get it in the $700-780 range. I think with the projected numbers they presented, this stock will rebound as it’s p/e will continue to hold low at a higher price
@AJOliva-wy1ub
@AJOliva-wy1ub Месяц назад
@@sbdftw1702 appreciate the insight! Makes me feel better knowing I’m not the only one. I’m relatively new to investing and looking back I would definitely have some things differently regarding this stock, but these types mistakes are necessary to learn
@vasyapupkin5405
@vasyapupkin5405 Месяц назад
Thanks for the update! What would make this stock a buy instead of borderline buy?
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Месяц назад
A forward 1-year p/e in the low 50's. Or continued excellent performance with the same valuation.
@AC-jk8wq
@AC-jk8wq Месяц назад
Interest rate cut will help.
@vasyapupkin5405
@vasyapupkin5405 Месяц назад
@@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Thanks for the quick answer!
@SoulfulMole
@SoulfulMole Месяц назад
I almost bought some today... will be buying the dip, trying to catch the bottom
@elitecodmgaming8467
@elitecodmgaming8467 22 дня назад
If you bought on the day you made this comment you'd be rich bro
@edwardstone9056
@edwardstone9056 Месяц назад
Thanks!
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Месяц назад
Welcome!
@ksmi1091
@ksmi1091 Месяц назад
The best channel for clear, honest, and fact based analysis of companies. Thanks Parkev! Everyone subscribe and like so we Lee getting these solid insights. Cheers
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Месяц назад
Appreciate you very much.
@suhail2009
@suhail2009 Месяц назад
Unfortunate timing to upgrade on August 6 and it goes down 20% August 7.
@Xae479
@Xae479 Месяц назад
what is borderline buy?
@ossurskarp8517
@ossurskarp8517 Месяц назад
Skywater´s earnigs were not too bad last night, It would be very interesting to see what you feel about it now. Is it perhaps a buy?
@emelmasini6781
@emelmasini6781 Месяц назад
Appreciate it so much ❤
@ericexcaliber623
@ericexcaliber623 Месяц назад
I bought at 810 and I bought 500 shares. Using all my cash I had from my house sale. But I need my cash back by December as I bought a smaller house they are building and they will finish it in December. Do you think it will be back in the $800s by December. Or really the 80s with the split. Really risked my family here on this stock. Was trying to make $100k off of it. Before December so my house would be cash buy. Very worried that I cost my family our new home and we will be homeless as I am down over 320 points.
@shrimadhyhariharan689
@shrimadhyhariharan689 Месяц назад
Bro never put all your money into one stock. I feel for you!
@piermarioperetti7318
@piermarioperetti7318 Месяц назад
If what you're saying is true I really suggest to avoid the stock market or at least avoid single stocks. You can't gamble on $40k if that's all you have. At least you had to put a stop loss.
@ericexcaliber623
@ericexcaliber623 Месяц назад
@@shrimadhyhariharan689​​⁠ it is actually 400k which is all of our savings and profit from the sell of our house. I do not know what a stop loss was. So I missed that. So what do I do now with 500 shares at 810. Hold ?
@ericexcaliber623
@ericexcaliber623 Месяц назад
@@piermarioperetti7318​​⁠ it is actually 400k which is all of our savings and profit from the sell of our house. I do not know what a stop loss was. So I missed that. So what do I do now with 500 shares at 810. Hold ?
@bryanmclaughlin1048
@bryanmclaughlin1048 14 дней назад
Dang dude, you might as well rent for a year or something and hope it recovers.
@jaredk3200
@jaredk3200 Месяц назад
Parkev can you please evaluate MU at the moment given its big price downtrend over the past few months?
@christianagius6293
@christianagius6293 Месяц назад
Maybe do a focus on Luxury companies - LVMH and/or Kering?
@Ukc892
@Ukc892 Месяц назад
Hey Parkhev, Astera Labs is too down to 36$ per share and I just want to know if it's a buying opportunity ??
@danielfilipe111
@danielfilipe111 Месяц назад
Hello professor, can you please do the Novavax before earning? Thank you
@FortunePharmacy
@FortunePharmacy Месяц назад
I'm all in with Margin at 830's :( do you think if i just hold it out and wait 1-2 years I'm certain to have recovered most if not all losses? Or is it still speculative even at these prices? please and thank you
@azrielshacham6829
@azrielshacham6829 Месяц назад
Acquiring market share pays its Borden in profitability, and this is the case of SMCI. Investors are less impressed from the company revenue and are seeking to see higher profitability. This is the main issue that SMCI will have to handle in the coming quarters
@lakers-1
@lakers-1 Месяц назад
Got me some @$485. Lets go!!!!
@multanisandy
@multanisandy Месяц назад
I bought smci on 800 $ what you think how much time need to recover ..
@googi2003
@googi2003 Месяц назад
Re SMCI can someone tell me, how much tech is required to make motherboards and server racks? Hard to imagine they have any sustainable moat, and they are just riding the AI wave from Nvidia which will be shortlived as new entrants come into the market with server racks and motherboards. Players like HP and Dell. Am I missing something?
@christianagius6293
@christianagius6293 Месяц назад
In agreement, you can see the lack of a sustainable competitive advantage from the profit margins that they have. A gross profit margin of around 14.13% and a net profit margin of 8.09% as at year end of 2024 does not suggest a MOAT. Mean reversion will also take its place as they have gained a lot of market share and were extremely profitable for the past 2 years but this type of economic profit tends to attract other companies who will enter the market with the hope of making similar profits and reduce SMCI's market share. They have successfully riden the AI wave but hvae ammounted tons of debt and can barely manage to generate enough FCF to pay it down. Looks like a hype stock on AI. Once all of that growth dissipates, they will have a hard time staying on their feet.
@matthewhoward1958
@matthewhoward1958 Месяц назад
Great video! Would love to see a KLAC video sometime if you get a chance :)
@Jaans17
@Jaans17 Месяц назад
Nice content, so is it recommended to buy on dips ?. From here
@jasonfrancisco1541
@jasonfrancisco1541 14 дней назад
Moderate ouch!
@marcoviniciogarcesstein11
@marcoviniciogarcesstein11 Месяц назад
Thanks for the information, could you see the case of Airbnb?
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Месяц назад
Yes, soon
@Jeet-Kulkarni
@Jeet-Kulkarni Месяц назад
Thanks, can you please evaluate DELL.
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Месяц назад
Yes, soon.
@Jeet-Kulkarni
@Jeet-Kulkarni Месяц назад
@@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Much appreciated!
@Jeet-Kulkarni
@Jeet-Kulkarni Месяц назад
@@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 thank you, kindly.
@Jeet-Kulkarni
@Jeet-Kulkarni Месяц назад
@@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Thank you, Kindly!
@judyodonnell878
@judyodonnell878 Месяц назад
Thank you
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Месяц назад
Welcome!
@elcachirulodeltiempo
@elcachirulodeltiempo Месяц назад
Hell no.
@shoalins55
@shoalins55 Месяц назад
I like how they are focus on AI and also building state of the art water cooling servers. All these VMs and cloud services are gonna be heating things up ... get it, lol.
@jos5525
@jos5525 Месяц назад
Thanks for your contant
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Месяц назад
It's my pleasure
@yolandazaragoza5965
@yolandazaragoza5965 Месяц назад
@hongnamle7036
@hongnamle7036 Месяц назад
SMCI will go down to 400 before come back again
@matthewallman3500
@matthewallman3500 Месяц назад
That would be awesome, but I doubt it.
@masonthemason5914
@masonthemason5914 Месяц назад
@@matthewallman3500 you think lower ? Or won’t reach 400
@uropy
@uropy Месяц назад
@matthewallman3500 Things overshoot. All the time. So def possible
@WanderMindChronicles
@WanderMindChronicles 17 дней назад
He was right
@ownziadat7094
@ownziadat7094 14 дней назад
Damn how’d you know
@EgwPaliegw
@EgwPaliegw Месяц назад
Dip is the new High.
@peterjones1218
@peterjones1218 Месяц назад
What price should i buy in?
@jnkoa33
@jnkoa33 Месяц назад
He said NOW
@mikev9578
@mikev9578 Месяц назад
Under $300 at this point lol
@sydneymav
@sydneymav 25 дней назад
I like it
@chinchowpowpook
@chinchowpowpook 14 дней назад
Dip n dip deeper…I know is undervalued but I know what is buying on hype.. it will go further down to 280 level..graveyard for many holding at higher value
@the_starlinkway7821
@the_starlinkway7821 Месяц назад
Can you do $SMTC?
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Месяц назад
Request noted.
@the_starlinkway7821
@the_starlinkway7821 Месяц назад
$TSM upgraded to $250 by Oppenheimer..
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
@parkevtatevosiancfa9544 Месяц назад
Not surprising.
@GIDOlaitan
@GIDOlaitan Месяц назад
I really like your unique kind of company finance/Performance analysis... hopefully I can learn from you more and deploy a tool for personal use to analyse companies on other exchanges where I also invest.
@HossamaldinAbdulhady
@HossamaldinAbdulhady Месяц назад
GTC plz
@naoyot2777
@naoyot2777 Месяц назад
pls do vertv.
@ajk.659
@ajk.659 Месяц назад
Over the past few months, announcing a stock split would trigger rabid buying. Now you lose a few hundred points. What a shit show. The market sucks right now. Too much volatility and the S&P Oscillator is just staring to go negative meaning there is more selling on the horizon. Stay safe out there.
@NajmGhaleb
@NajmGhaleb Месяц назад
Im down $2500 I have 20 share for $595 Should I sell or wait please help
@ChrisE8
@ChrisE8 Месяц назад
If you can DCA, I would. You may have to hold it until the market catches a bid. I’m in with an average of $541 with 30 shares and I may DCA around $475 if it gets there. Next time around, go lighter on your share sizes or follow a stop out price. I have to better it as well. I hope this helps. 👌
@tjurostas3704
@tjurostas3704 Месяц назад
What is DCA?
@mikewu9483
@mikewu9483 Месяц назад
sell me for $480 a piece
@ChrisE8
@ChrisE8 Месяц назад
@@tjurostas3704 Dollar Cost Average. This way, you can lower your average on the trade, but you’ll have to put more capital. Search it online. If SMCI trades around the low $400s, I’d say it’s a good time to DCA in with 30 or 40 shares.
@GeNo8252
@GeNo8252 Месяц назад
If you gotta ask you cant afford it... All jokes aside, it means dollar cost average ​@tjurostas3704
@diamondballz8955
@diamondballz8955 Месяц назад
I heard 10-1 stock split
@INXIETE
@INXIETE Месяц назад
Stock is going to drop to below 400$ wait for it. There’s going to be a massive correction this whole month. Won’t be surprise if levels are half of the lows during Pandemic by the end of the year. Stock market is in Delulu land, too idealistic. I’ll follow Buffet the dragon.
@jokerrhe
@jokerrhe Месяц назад
there's no way.. if it drops below $400 then they are done,, no one will touch it
@ownziadat7094
@ownziadat7094 14 дней назад
Damn how’d you know? Do you think it will recover?
@bigboybennython
@bigboybennython Месяц назад
what a terrible company
@orianna1220
@orianna1220 Месяц назад
I bought calls ar Open like a dummy im down 1600.... Think it rebounds by next friday to marlet close yesterday @600? That's my strike i am big fuked
@OrpiAktar-g1y
@OrpiAktar-g1y 15 дней назад
Williams Jessica White Mary Jackson Jeffrey
@bobd7038
@bobd7038 Месяц назад
Too much volitility. Stay away!
@banumathylakshmikanthan2542
@banumathylakshmikanthan2542 Месяц назад
I have bought at a leverage of 600. Is it worth to hold or should i sell it at a loss now ? Rather thah increasing the stop loss ? How low can it go ?
@jacobfocusview2402
@jacobfocusview2402 Месяц назад
How low can it go ?? .. The botton should be somewere between $493,00 and $203,25, pivot = $348,13 .. note: everything is possible, it is "safe" above $629,53 .. if you want to buy the bottom do dca .. hope i helped you
@ericexcaliber623
@ericexcaliber623 Месяц назад
I bought at 810 and I bought 500 shares. Using all my cash I had from my house sale. But I need my cash back by December as I bought a smaller house they are building and they will finish it in December. Do you think it will be back in the $800s by December. Or really the 80s with the split. Really risked my family here on this stock. Was trying to make $100k off of it. Before December so my house would be cash buy. Very worried that I cost my family our new home and we will be homeless as I am down over 320 points.
@NajmGhaleb
@NajmGhaleb Месяц назад
Im down $2500 I have 20 share for $595 Should I sell or wait please help
@sbdftw1702
@sbdftw1702 Месяц назад
Dude, hold.
@jamtheradio
@jamtheradio Месяц назад
Wait it out 595 isn't bad. I'd say buy a little more in the 480s
@SamAlharbi-b3k
@SamAlharbi-b3k Месяц назад
انشالله تربح لا تبيع
@SamAlharbi-b3k
@SamAlharbi-b3k Месяц назад
انشالله تربح
@NajmGhaleb
@NajmGhaleb Месяц назад
@@SamAlharbi-b3k انشالله 😊
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