Stop playing public teams in sports betting

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Опубликовано:

2 авг 2024

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Комментарии : 51

@trevorbird9907 Год назад

Love your knowledge MGcovers you the man

@mgcovers Год назад

THanks for watching, Trevor! Support is greatly appreciated

@RiddleGalaxyExplorers 2 года назад

Def will look into it content. Great job thanks so much for the content

@mgcovers 2 года назад

Thanks man. Love teaching this bizz.

@slickktravelzz 2 года назад

Great info McCovers..

@aleksandarjovanovic7329 2 года назад

Great lesson. You are a great coach. I learned a lot from You. Thank You.

@mgcovers 2 года назад

Thanks man! Great to hear from you. Thanks for watching.

@kevinwilson3337 2 года назад

@@mgcovers betting public team or not , most people will still lose money betting either way. If betting against the public was that profitable, why aren’t anyone rich from fading the public.

@mgcovers 2 года назад

@@kevinwilson3337 First comment is correct. 98% that wager on sports lose money long term. Extremely small percentage of us that can profit long term. Also, to increase those chances of profit, you don’t want to be on the public side - not only because it’s usually the losing side, but there’s little value left in a game on the public side and more value in the opposite side.

@kevinwilson3337 2 года назад

@@mgcovers point spreads and totals are completely random . Most people who are winning against the spread are on the lucky side of randomness.

@Luiz-uc5ln Год назад

Very helpful content 👍🏼

@mgcovers Год назад

Greatly appreciated! Thanks for watching.

@michaelmiles2305 3 года назад

Hey love your videos. Do you factor in sharp money when lookin at ticket %?

@mgcovers 3 года назад

Yes. Especially with reverse line movement but I never use that as my sole reason for playing or not playing a team. If my model show a team with value and sharp money is on that team good sign I will place that wager. Thanks for watching. 🙏🙏

@codywilliams2368 Год назад

Ive been telling people for years they adjust the lines according to who they think people will be on and the people I told didn't believe me

@mgcovers Год назад

U r correct!

@andrewsuares3765 3 года назад

Do you offer training for NBA as well? That’s what I am focusing on

@mgcovers 3 года назад

Yep, several coaching videos on NBA handicapping and of course access to the stat model.

@kingzagu Год назад

Hey is there a website you use to check the money %? Or do you only look at the bet%?

@mgcovers Год назад

Shoot me an email and will send you several links MG@mgcovers.com

@BlazinAzn86 4 месяца назад

Hello, sir! What site are you using to see the % of wagers?

@mgcovers 4 месяца назад

bookmakerreview dot com

@morganlindsey6713 Год назад

So nba nhl and mlb focus more on line movements in the direction of the bet? What about ticket vs money distribution?

@mgcovers Год назад

Yes!

@morganlindsey6713 Год назад

@@mgcovers thanks for the reply working like a charm when models and line movement on the same page

@beachboy4 Год назад

@@morganlindsey6713 Yes! Doing a video on this very subject tonight.

@morganlindsey6713 Год назад

@@beachboy4 awesome cant wait to watch your my go to guy for learning thanks for all you do

@eddieflores1802 3 года назад

Coach are these #s base on opening odds line or closing odds

@mgcovers 3 года назад

Eddie, always closing odds or close to it. It’s what I call waiting for a line to be “seasoned.” Obviously, you will lose some value maybe by waiting to play a favorite later as opposed to early. But, with a seasoned line, you have much more valuable information to make a good educated decision on the game.

@mgcovers 3 года назад

Same concept in poker if you can watch other players play their hand before you play. The later player has the advantage in being able to see more “action.” Or in sports betting line movement.

@eddieflores1802 3 года назад

@@mgcovers thanks coach really appreciate look foward working with you

@chanceKP 3 года назад

So if I see 65+ percent or higher from the public I should bet the other way everytime? How often does that work? Maybe 60-65 percent of the time?

@mgcovers 3 года назад

Never make a wager on one situational angle. Here's the way to factor it. If I find a team with value and we have several situational angles in our favor, but when i check the line and see they are heavy public team - it would simply be a no play. Last night, Rutgers had great value and several situational angles but line showed they were heavy favorites so we passed. MSU blew them out.

@chanceKP 3 года назад

@@mgcovers Thanks for the advice! I’ve been looking at different sites to find where the public is betting and they all show different percentages. Which one should I use that is the most accurate?

@mgcovers 3 года назад

@@chanceKP sportsbookreview.com and a new site that shows some of these obscure college basketball games. Oddstrader.com

@expeditingwithbruthamarc618 5 месяцев назад

What percentage should you bet on

@mgcovers 5 месяцев назад

Non plublic team gets 52% less of the ticket count.

@expeditingwithbruthamarc618 5 месяцев назад

@mgcovers right but would you wager some 1 that is all the way down to like 30 02 %

@mgcovers 5 месяцев назад

@@expeditingwithbruthamarc618 For sure.

@raywilliamsjr.4725 Год назад

Is this for every sport or just football

@raywilliamsjr.4725 Год назад

Nvm

@mgcovers Год назад

Great question. For NFL football extremely applicable but not as much for NHL and MLB.

@raywilliamsjr.4725 Год назад

Say one team has above 53 percent or 53 percent but sharp money is also on that team do you still pass or take that into consideration.

@mgcovers Год назад

@@raywilliamsjr.4725 Tough call but it happens. Safe play is too pass and play a game where line moves and non public team is on our side.

@henryyoung2361 2 года назад

I’m confused sir. So are you saying sports are rigged? Like how do you know the outcome of the game?

@mgcovers 2 года назад

Public teams lose more than non public teams. So advantageous to stay away from a public team.

@henryyoung2361 2 года назад

So you’re saying I should stay away from unc 2.5?

@henryyoung2361 2 года назад

Lol

@timetowakeup6302 Год назад

Of course it's rigged. Watch an NFL game and count the number of BUSH LEAGUE plays you see in just one game.... These are the best athletes in the world... It's rigged. Tonight's Dolphins/Bengal game had overwhelming $ on Miami, as well as the Over... Bengals won and the under... NFL and NBA are absolutely rigged. Not every single game, but especially the ones where there's extremely lopsided betting happening. My two cents.