Strategic Assessment 1: Russian manpower inside Ukraine, and the intensity of Russian attacks

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This will be a series of videos covering different strategic areas of the war In Ukraine. This episode talks about Russian manpower.
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Опубликовано:

3 окт 2024

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Комментарии : 25

@paulyoung4422 23 дня назад

Thank You, Slava Ukraini.

@stormeaglegaming5395 23 дня назад

Great Assessment

@nikopa66 23 дня назад

Very good reporting

@HoTrEtArDeDcHiXx 23 дня назад

She’s brilliant in Norwegian 🎶

@hobrosture3537 23 дня назад

I really like your strategical analyses! They are quite unique and I find them insightful! Thanks!

@shaler950 23 дня назад

Thank you.

@marklinlionel7163 23 дня назад

Your presentation is direct and academically insightful and profoundly farsighted. Many thanks for the efforts you put into your reports.

@jmsww2 23 дня назад

Thanks mate!

@Robert-sd1iz 23 дня назад

An insightful analysis, thanks. References to the elite units no longer being ‘elite’, and to the degradation of materiel support to Russian infantry forces are highly relevant. The rate of territorial advance of Russian forces is not dependent solely on Russian numbers. Also of relevance are Ukrainian numbers and combat capability, and with the increasing availability of Western aid and the newly mobilised brigades coming on stream, that will work in Ukraine’s favour. That assumes, of course, that the Russians do not mobilise. Also of relevance is the aerial component, both manned and unmanned. Here too, the pendulum is swinging in Ukraine’s favour. Looking forward to your strategic analysis.

@jmsww2 21 день назад

That is definitely true. I think, while manpower is important, and more so for Russia considering what tactics they use, they will not decide the outcome of this war. Logistics will, and as long as the west stands behind Ukraine, Russia will lose. Oil price has gone down, that will hit Russian revenues. Kuwait is pushing for increased production, that will put additional pressure on the oil price.

@thebean3463 23 дня назад

JMS question ? Since the Russian forces are being degraded at a high rate how would they be able to contain a counterattack if Ukraine launches one with in the Potkorsk direction? Would a gap open up for Ukraine to attack or would the enemy culminate due to the fact they have little resources to fight a defensive battle?

@hobrosture3537 23 дня назад

@@thebean3463 Ukraine is also struggling and had to move forces from Kursk to Pokrovsk to stabilise the front there. They also struggle and loses important position in Vuhledar I think at this point the best way is to struggle on an inflict maximal damage on Russian army and infrastructure. The tipping point where Russia can’t afford to struggle on for both economic, political and human hardship reason is close!

@bobflatman278 23 дня назад

Fwiw the numbers in an Russian squad has moved from 10 men to 8 men are now considered a full squad.

@QuizmasterLaw 23 дня назад

circa 1000 kia/mia/wia in total Per Day.

@jmsww2 21 день назад

Possibly. Very hard to judge casualty figures in real term. Russia is in any case sustaining significantly more casualties than Ukraine. And it is pretty clear that Russia is suffering more permanent casualties than replacements, and that is significant.

@shaunarmstrong8594 23 дня назад

None of this analysis is of much use if you don’t compare to Ukrainian losses.

@PappaTom-ub3ht 23 дня назад

ofc it is.

@shaunarmstrong8594 22 дня назад

@@PappaTom-ub3ht Well to a degree but what if Ukrainian forces are degrading faster than Russia's? If we are following a football game and I tell you how many points one team has but not the other...well...how do you know who is winning?

@PappaTom-ub3ht 22 дня назад

@@shaunarmstrong8594 The things is that losses for ukraine is not the same as for russia. Ukraine will keep fighting until they loose. As ling as nothing catastrophic happens and the grind is as slow as it is they will have enough troops. Russias losses on the other hand will degrade the will and ability of the country to keep in the fight. Ukraines ability to keep on the fight is dependent on aid from other countries.

@PappaTom-ub3ht 22 дня назад

So, what i mean is that an analysis of Russia losses is like a countdown to the end of the war. Ukraine just have to keep up the fight until then. and with support it easily will.

@shaunarmstrong8594 22 дня назад

@@PappaTom-ub3ht But what happens if Russia stops offensive ops, digs in deeper and say ok Ukraine your turn to lose 3 - 1 casualties and try and push them back?