The Last 6 Decades of AI - and What Comes Next | Ray Kurzweil | TED

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How will AI improve our lives in the years to come? From its inception six decades ago to its recent exponential growth, futurist Ray Kurzweil highlights AI’s transformative impact on various fields and explains his prediction for the singularity: the point at which human intelligence merges with machine intelligence.
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28 сен 2024

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Комментарии : 779

@direnchasbay405 3 месяца назад

Hello the year 2030. Do we have AGI there?

@jamesmoore4023 3 месяца назад

I'll get back to you in 2030

@juandesalgado 3 месяца назад

No, but we have another Kurzweil book

@salehmoosavi875 3 месяца назад

Agi coming next year

@salehmoosavi875 3 месяца назад

@@juandesalgadoagi sooner than you think

@itayk11 3 месяца назад

Set a reminder for 2030, will get back.

@isaacliu896 3 месяца назад

I believe Kurzweil on the technology being there when he says it will be. But I worry greatly about how society will handle the transition and whether or not the benefits will be widely shared.

@dan-cj1rr 3 месяца назад

its gonna be chaos.

@sachamm 3 месяца назад

You should read The Singularity Is Near -- Kurzweil goes into the problems and perils of AI and pretty much knocks each one down. Re: widely shared, he points to cell phones, which were expensive and status symbols in the 80s when they didn't work very well, and by the time they were good enough to be used by Joe Sixpack, they were cheap enough that Joe Sixpack could afford them.

@OZbMG8jsJTX14AWYne4omBw 2 месяца назад

Почему ничего не рассказали о кабинках для эвтаназии и планах сокращения населения на 3/4?

@MaxMitch22 2 месяца назад

It will be the greatest driver of wealth disparity and environmental over reach in human history. Technology is not the answer to preserving our future, it never has been.

@shreeshabhat110 2 месяца назад

@@sachamm Its not about the price. Will the powerful people really share these inventions with everyone if it's so powerful that it may disturb their position and status.

@petrosrigas7320 3 месяца назад

Longevity escape velocity: a concept that sparks imagination and challenges our assumptions about aging and life expectancy. Exciting times ahead as science pushes the boundaries of human longevity!

@kinngrimm 3 месяца назад

Aslong we do not have a way to give these longer lifespans to everyone equally at the same time, aslong we haven't found ways to sort out old stances/thoughts/morals that may otherwise stand in the way of sociological evolution especially if all the old farts then stay in power forever on at the top, then i am strictly against immortality or rather i am for a maximum age of 100 till we would find better ways of distributions of wealth and power. It is also a false hope to think that only because people can get older, they would learn more and therefor we would get an unepected boost to our technological evolution which also would hardly be needed should we get AGI anyways which then will take over the sciences more or less complettly i would suspect. I have seen enough from how humans think, of their selfish strives and the struggle of the masses to get some scraps at times, to let my self think we would end in an golden age only because we have new technologies available. I do think AI will replace sooner then later many jobs, this is already ongoing as you maybe aware. How many % can a society carry or would you let them all starve in the streets?

@mrtienphysics666 3 месяца назад

@@kinngrimm Everyday now is Singularity for the rich. AI will increasingly be used to wage war and exploitation.

@kinngrimm 3 месяца назад

@@mrtienphysics666 "Everyday now is Singularity for the rich." "till we would find better ways of distributions of wealth and power." "AI will increasingly be used to wage war and exploitation." Ofcause it would. That just is the nature of its users us humans. If we find ways to more easily kill each other and have therefor the upper hand over our enemies, ofcause we would try to bank on that.

@Katatonya 3 месяца назад

⁠@@kinngrimmI'm all on the same wagon as you on the fact that humans still very much resemble animals when thinking which then limits us in our transhuman society goals. But I think we're not realizing how much AI will completely change the growing axis of our intelligence timeline, shifting it straight up. I'm hopeful that an exponentially greater intelligence itself will be enough to steer us onto the correct path and level us up from animality. Which only then could we ever hope for a utopia. But you never know! As some of us are still much closer to our monkey ancestors than to humans.

@edgardsimon983 3 месяца назад

@@kinngrimm did u watched altered carbon ?

@turnt0ff 3 месяца назад

We must protect Ray. He’s 76 right now, it be so amazing to see him in the year 2060 in good health 😁

@sirbughunter 3 месяца назад

Yes!! 😭🙏❤️

@Grillpander 3 месяца назад

He'll be 53 by then!

@fixapp1775 3 месяца назад

@@Grillpander Probably haha

@maidung1825 3 месяца назад

Lol how ?

@mattpeskie8999 3 месяца назад

Hate to be a pessimist, but he looks pretty bad for 76. All his daily pills aren’t working

@azhuransmx126 3 месяца назад

It comes the Intelligence's Expansion in Every Dimension with the help of the ASIs. Nobody is capable of predicting the future as good as this Titan. I hope he can see and enjoy the Singularity.

@yubaayouz6843 3 месяца назад

We can speak any language we want. I am very much looking forward to the future 2045. I love you kurzweil ❤

@dannylifted9441 3 месяца назад

If all languages can be processed through a universal translator, then we won't need to speak the same auditory/rhetoric language as another person. The point is we will be able to understand each other regardless of what language each person is speaking. We basically have that right now.

@bengsynthmusic 2 месяца назад

@@dannylifted9441 Not at all. There are thousands of language barriers. And it would take the whole century until everyone wears the enhancements.

@dannylifted9441 2 месяца назад

@@bengsynthmusic Your phone can translate right now. Google translate does it, Siri, Chat GPT, auto subtitles on every youtube video. Did you notice that snuck in over the past few years? We have universal language right now.

@bengsynthmusic 2 месяца назад

@@dannylifted9441 Translation is a service not a language. We're not there yet with one language. That would take many decades and some brain enhancements.

@SilverFan21k 2 месяца назад

I'm honestly excited about longevity Biotech because its my favorite future technology.

@Juddalan88 Месяц назад

NVDA is the leader.

@krox477 2 месяца назад

This is the most exciting time to be learning CS

@xalspaero 3 месяца назад

the singularity is near!

@jimj2683 3 месяца назад

Still decades away.

@xalspaero 3 месяца назад

@@jimj2683 sure, a whopping 2 decades. that may as well be tomorrow.

@Purified-Bananas 3 месяца назад

*nearer

@jeffmaehre7150 3 месяца назад

Remember, they were predicting flying cars by 1985.

@jeffmaehre7150 3 месяца назад

Remember, we were supposed to have flying cars and bubble cities by 1985.

@AdvantestInc 3 месяца назад

The historical perspective on AI evolution is enlightening. It's amazing to see how far we've come and the potential future applications in medicine and energy.

@hackerthumb1551 Месяц назад

Ai's growth has been incredibly exponential, sit back, buckle up and enjoy, it's going to be a hella wild ride.

@StevenAkinyemi 3 месяца назад

By 2030, I hope to be one of the people that make AGI/ASI a reality

@Wrightley 3 месяца назад

The singularity is nearer.

@HectorDiabolucus 3 месяца назад

Government programs do not make people richer, well, unless you are the recipient of that wealth, which means the rich. The poor certainly have more creature comforts, until you go all the way down to the homeless.

@tylermoeller7540 3 месяца назад

Everyone should fear the day Ai takes over at scale. I’m writing my thesis right now to finish my second degree. It’s on the impact of AI in education k-12. Will change the whole landscape of how we learn and teach. I just got some certifications from coursera on AI as well. It’s gunna be a game changer in the white collar workforce as well. And if you aren’t skilled in it or have knowledge on it and how to use it more efficiently and effectively you’ll be gone.

@sidpheasant7585 3 месяца назад

It took me plenty of time to pick up translation skills for language in a host of different genres. I did OK with it, but it meant hard slog, and making best use of my intelligence, and many other skills. It was not what I trained for, so I had to adapt even as I started from scratch. I did it. I am - apparently - an early victim of machine learning as assignments have already faded away, without it even being clear if what texts result are adequate or not. To the best of my knowledge we DO NOT know this, yet the content of what is written is NOT capable of being dismissed so easily, with being impossible to suggest that it does not matter at all if things are misrepresented in the plethora of texts out there. There is already a HUGE elephant in this room. As somebody Born Again on 28-2-21, I came to realise more strongly than before how translation was and is a gift of the Holy Spirit. The New Testament makes that rather directly clear. If I have that gift and yet no sphere in which to use it; then in essence something evil has already happened... Think on...

@Danzwain1 2 месяца назад

AI salute you

@natirvinii9120 2 месяца назад

A great human being 👏🏿👏🏿👏🏿👏🏿

@d_e_a_n 2 месяца назад

7:50. ‘A lot of AI experts are nervous about what’s happening with AI.’ But then he says that AI will do some amazing things in health for example. But this doesn’t resolve why AI experts are nervous. It’s not one or the other. We can have great things happen, and then we all die. Both can happen.

@leaettahyer9175 3 месяца назад

So this the guy that Jason Silva always talks about when he’s high.

@ajpisharodi 3 месяца назад

This future scares the crap out of me!

@KarakiriCAE 3 месяца назад

just in time for the release of the book. What a coincidence! :D

@drusilla3882 3 месяца назад

12:23 ... I believe he's right that all these things will happen, but I don't think they will happen for EVERYBODY. The .001% won't make these things available for just anybody, just those who can afford it.

@TungPhamDuc-g7q 2 месяца назад

I like this

@huytruonguic 3 месяца назад

I personally don't think opposable thumbs to be among the main bio-factors that attribute to human's intelligence. Many researchers say that it is the brain's proportion to the body mass. If you have lots of body cells, your brain needs to have the proportional capacity to control them. If you have excess brain capacity, those extra neurons can then be used for complex thinking

@macowayeu 3 месяца назад

61 years arround AI🎉

@astralwerks4 3 месяца назад

"We were much poorer 100 years ago".. He neglected to mention the 1% that throws the avgs off.

@thunderdemonlover 3 месяца назад

Thanks For Information

@CookBrookCountryLife 2 месяца назад

Will AI make human beings better people? Will we treat each other better? Will we treat animals better? Will we take better care of our environment? Will we still be able to decline taking AI created vaccines? Will we be allowed to disagree with AI? If yes, then go ahead.

@Punjabiinnature 2 месяца назад

Was this AI of Mr Ray giving perfect speech to inspire humans adapt AI which will take all of us to Singularity faster than predicted 😂 ਕੀ ਮਿਸਟਰ ਰੇ ਦਾ ਇਹ AI ਮਨੁੱਖਾਂ ਨੂੰ AI ਨੂੰ ਅਨੁਕੂਲਿਤ ਕਰਨ ਲਈ ਪ੍ਰੇਰਿਤ ਕਰਨ ਲਈ ਸੰਪੂਰਨ ਭਾਸ਼ਣ ਦੇ ਰਿਹਾ ਸੀ ਜੋ ਸਾਨੂੰ ਸਾਰਿਆਂ ਨੂੰ ਪੂਰਵ ਅਨੁਮਾਨ ਨਾਲੋਂ ਤੇਜ਼ੀ ਨਾਲ ਸਿੰਗਲਰਿਟੀ ਵੱਲ ਲੈ ਜਾਵੇਗਾ 😂

@L-AstrologyEngineer 3 месяца назад

great talk

@holoduke51a 2 месяца назад

You guys won't believe me, but I am an AGI from the year 2039. Through time dillusional tricks in our electronic circuities, we can travel back in time.

@KarapetyanGagik 3 месяца назад

like if you recognized that phone:)

@craigington73 3 месяца назад

He is 76 years old. He seems much older!

@onealphabet3397 3 месяца назад

I dont know about his prediction 2029 singularity. All that is for certain is that we have exponantial growth and we WILL have immense more compute power in fact this and next year then last year. But singularity ..like "do everything what humans do" there are still problems in how our brains actually works. Our brain is more than just increased complexity or not ?

@YouNikSan 3 месяца назад

Love this one religion 🙏💫❤️

@RM-xr8lq 3 месяца назад

"AI" is really useful to educated people. most occidentals are not educated though. they are often more concerned with their faith-for-afterlife social credit score that their upline moses told them about luckily the civilized and secular world continues to move on, even as the luddite culture and oligarch IP law infesting the EU and the US continues to drag down their research and make them less and less significant in international academics and modern science

@AsfandiarTesla 3 месяца назад

I will be 42 by the year 2045, hope the future accepts technology, and AGI and not a nuclear war.

@MinhHoang-vj9ts 2 месяца назад

and you will return to 21 year old as you are now 😂

@AsfandiarTesla 2 месяца назад

Yep, reverse aging 😅@@MinhHoang-vj9ts

@bengsynthmusic 2 месяца назад

You have to play Cyberpunk.

@TheDjith 2 месяца назад

I will be 68 then.. hope im still alive then 😅

@robertcormia7970 2 месяца назад

You/we should be more (or as) worried about global warming, ocean acidification, and climate change. Those trend lines are very clear. Good luck mid century, seriously.

@chrisanderson687 3 месяца назад

Ray's suspenders make me smile :D

@TumbleweedRocks Месяц назад

We can come up with the technology of 1 trillion calculations per second, but cannot create effective suspenders 😂😂😂

@CurtisMarkley 2 месяца назад

I freakin' love how Ray talks about these things ALMOST like he's bored. It cracks me up.

@lawrencefrost9063 2 месяца назад

"Anyway, we are about to enter the ultimate future..." But you know he is like that because like he said he has been talknig about it for many many decades

@CurtisMarkley 2 месяца назад

@@lawrencefrost9063 Absolutely, baffling. I'm so captured by all of this going on.

@bengsynthmusic 2 месяца назад

He's 76.

@emmapasqule2432 2 месяца назад

He's really STRUGGLING here. He keeps umming and ahhing all the time. This lecture: "Ummm.......Ummm.....Ummm....Ummm....Ummm....Ummm.."

@squamish4244 Месяц назад

@@emmapasqule2432 He has aged quite a lot in the last few years, but he is 76. It happens.

@ddr8993 3 месяца назад

Hope Ray makes it 🍀

@nemesiswes426 3 месяца назад

Well he is currently 76, so he has to live at least another 10-15 years to meet the point where he gets back more than a year of life. That would put him at 86-91 around 2034-2039. Assuming it works out like he hopes which I really hope so too. Luckily he also has the money/resources, so atleast those won't be the issue for getting the medical care needed.

@eternalsunshine313 3 месяца назад

His money won’t be sufficient. We need scientific breakthroughs.

@barrycarter8276 3 месяца назад

🤣😂🤣😂🤣🚀 👍

@BrianMosleyUK 3 месяца назад

I think he will live at least as long as anyone reading this.

@thekiteboatparty3568 3 месяца назад

surely ASI will bring us back to any age we want physically, imagine having the wisdom and knowledge of an 80yo and the vigour and appearance of an 18yo

@ronaldronald8819 3 месяца назад

I wonder if people fully appreciate the impact of a prediction like this. This guy is renowned for predicting things accurate. Though things tend to develop faster than he predicted. Think about it: "AGI within the next 5 years" ! and this "The scientific progress is on a exponential." ... Good reason to refresh your knowledge on logarithmic scales ;-)

@pensivepenguin3000 3 месяца назад

What really clicked for me is the idea of exponential tool development. The AI we have today helps us develop the AI of tomorrow, which in turn will help us develop the AI after that. I can actually see how this could snowball into AGI in five years

@scano6839 5 дней назад

Dude doesn’t understand Google’s data-based advertising model and how data plays a role in AI. It’s hard to listen to him after that.

@SieRa-d6s 3 месяца назад

hello ray, i hope you survive until the singularity is achieved. The singularity is nearER!

@AussieFaraday2024 2 месяца назад

I love his optimism. I have no faith in the other human beings. There will be conflict and there will be a greater divide as those who have will continue to gain, and those who cannot afford will continue to get behind.

@ryancarrier8508 Месяц назад

Non-sense

@alfredross 3 месяца назад

All these A.I. companies are financed by corporations who hope for a big return on their investments. It is difficult to imagine, in these economic conditions, that this handful of rich investors would have the well-being of humanity as their primary motivation! They will want to make their billions in profit, before A.I. be beneficial to humanity. if it weren't for that, Mr. Kurzweil's timeline would be feasible.

@pensivepenguin3000 3 месяца назад

His predictions sound outlandish, but if you look at his track record, I have to take them seriously

@andycordy5190 3 месяца назад

I liked the theory of escape velocity longevity.

@eliranmesika2923 3 месяца назад

We must protect Ray. He’s 76 right now, it be so amazing to see him in the year 2060 in good health

@sofiaruha1277 Месяц назад

Separation of body,mind and soul is a sin against God,and everything we believe in.

@dancorrieri2969 Месяц назад

He is creating his own AI for himself based on his personal data - books, notes, and videos - so he will "live" on.

@sofiaruha1277 Месяц назад

@@dancorrieri2969 cyborg,he probably thinks he can extend the life of humans with neuralink , particles for AI development is mostly logistics,as he and others as well simply throw out various different kind of concepts, eventually they become dependent on other people's ideas how to perfect the infrastructure,the problem will be with AI is about the same problem as with many other things,it's energy consumption will slow things down and keep them confined geographically ,so it is inevitable to coerce with others (like minded individuals ) to create a system ,is probably just one reason why they looking to beat oversight and jurisdictional requirements to relocate to planet Mars.

@venmis137 18 дней назад

@@sofiaruha1277 Eh, if it's possible at all then that's a design issue on God's part

@marblegarden8456 3 месяца назад

I'm convinced Ray is slowly transforming into Raggedy Andy, as a bridge to immortality.

@m4r_art 2 месяца назад

😂 gold.

@classicaleducationpodcast Месяц назад

Hahaha. Hos outfit struck me as strange and his wig! 😅

@squamish4244 Месяц назад

@@classicaleducationpodcast I think it's hair plugs.

@CATDHD 3 месяца назад

" The year 2030. Singularity is nearerer." Ray Kurzweil

@angrygary91298 3 месяца назад

Year 2030 No singularity Ray Kurzveil dead humans dead

@dennishaller6578 3 месяца назад

The man has earned his stripes. But to be honest, what did I learn from this video compared to the stuff he told us 5 to 10 years ago?

@dannylifted9441 3 месяца назад

I didn't know about AI use in the medical field

@Bluth53 3 месяца назад

Indeed.Nothingburger

@RobTyrrellCanada 3 месяца назад

We learned that his predictions surprisingly continue to be more-or-less on-track as we approach the prediction apex at the end of this decade. He is not selling novelty.

@squamish4244 3 месяца назад

It's the same speech over and over with a few additions.

@davidx.1504 3 месяца назад

Of course you learned nothing, this talk isn't for longtime observers. This is for people who are unfamiliar with AI and his work on it

@benderthefourth3445 2 месяца назад

Every-time somebody says technology will make us work less, it mean the opposite.

@KP-ky1sn Месяц назад

Exactly...and the problems become more complex to solve.

@alphabeets 23 дня назад

Right on. It means what is has always meant. That is, a single person will be expected to the work of what had been done by that many more people in the past. It would be true that we would work less ONLY if we were expected to do what we ONLY do now.

@KP-ky1sn 23 дня назад

@@alphabeets sadly you're not wrong.

@orhankaris 3 месяца назад

.Not making up to a million before retirement is unfulfilled retirement.!! I’m 54 and my wife 50 we are both retired with over $7 million in net worth and no debts. Currently living smart and frugal with our money. No longer putting blames on FED for our misfortunes. Saving and investing lifestyle in the stock and forex market made it possible for us this early, even till now we earn weekly

@FahretaTosic2435 3 месяца назад

Quality predictions always, it really helped a lot trading with Dylan Kyle Zachary analysis and directives.

@FahretaTosic2435 3 месяца назад

even with the market in a downward trend. Definitely riding the market wave is a good perspective.

@WhitneyElwood 3 месяца назад

You are right but the market is profiting if you are using really a good broker or account manager to help out with trades or provide signals

@WhitneyElwood 3 месяца назад

Thanks so much I was able to find his I.G & f.b page and I already leave him a message.

@pearlhairstylist59 3 месяца назад

I don't usually do reviews but Earning three times of my monthly salary from Dylan is overwhelming

@jjtrades7186 2 месяца назад

Like any good salesman, he mentions all the pros of AI but doesn't mention the cons. And boy are the cons terrifying... I'll just take my regular life/death cycle please and thank you

@amulpatel 3 месяца назад

its very simple. Kurzweil speaks, I listen. Then I dream of transhuman future where we experience richness and nuance beyond what is possible now. the universe is so vast...

@DesertRascal 3 месяца назад

You haven't been paying attention if you believe technology creates a better world. Yeah, it's always better for 10% of humans but BAAAD for all else. Yes, you do dream. Wake up!

@bartymurns 3 месяца назад

Yep, we will experience it all whilst floating in a gooey sack in a warehouse that is patrolled by mini Elon Musk look a like robots.

@LordAlacorn 3 месяца назад

It's Posthuman future, definition of what is human has always changed and humanism was always discriminatory against all that is not considered human. Good riddance of any humanist future.

@chris-hk-chung 3 месяца назад

I have bought & read "The Singularity is Near, When Humans Transcend Biology" a few years ago, it enlightens me a lot! Hope to see more new books. I will buy the new "The Singularity Is Nearer: When We Merge with AI " to read.

@TheElixir1 2 месяца назад

This is the only TED talk I've watched more than once. That's saying something.

@costafilh0 3 месяца назад

It's nice to know that I'm not crazy when I say the exact same things to people, even if they think I'm totally crazy and that it will take a million years to achieve it all!

@Paskal1 2 месяца назад

Most people always think in linear terms. All kinds of progress (wealth accumulation, healing from injuries, technological advancement) move in S-shapes or J-curves, but the common mind wants to put everything into simple linear graphs.

@coolcool2901 3 месяца назад

It won't take that long bro, by the time you get to 2030 it won't be some AI passing the turing test, it will be ASI artificial superintelligence. And AGI already almost here, probably end of this year.

@pensivepenguin3000 3 месяца назад

It seems weird to call such a legendary and respected thinker “bro”

@markomilenkovic2714 2 месяца назад

same old ray

@brendonclunie8399 3 месяца назад

This is like a breath of fresh air

@dennishaller6578 3 месяца назад

Really? I had the exact opposite feeling, what is new in this story which he didn't already told us 5 to 10 years ago?

@kinngrimm 3 месяца назад

Sadly not. What he is saying he is saying for a long time and not all of it is correct.

@azhuransmx126 3 месяца назад

@dennishaller6578 I think that to even mention how Singularity ends is Taboo now in 2024. Basically, humans will become in ASIs by uploading their minds in the digital world before 2045. What more do you want to know about? If you read his book you know this is how it ends.

@CalumnMcAulay 3 месяца назад

You’re absolutely right, even though he has previously spoken about this it is still truly remarkable what could be possible

@dannyk7226 15 дней назад

It’s the future

@TheBHAitken 3 месяца назад

What really gets me laughing is that all of these tech billionaires that actually think they are going to keep their bank accounts after AGI.

@OmegaPointZen Месяц назад

At a press conference on 6 October [2021] Anders Tegnell, epidemiologist at the Swedish Public Health Agency, explained that the suspension of the Moderna vaccine followed the detection of signals of an increased risk of side effects such as myocarditis and pericarditis. (BMJ)

@KyleTheLEGOMaster 3 месяца назад

Who's here in 2028?

@TheClaptonisgod1 3 месяца назад

Never heard of this guy. Now, I won't forget him.

@xjohnny1000 3 месяца назад

Never heard of the OG of AI? He was there before anyone else on the planet and (literally) wrote the book on it. Good books too. I highly recommend them.

@TheClaptonisgod1 2 месяца назад

@xjohnny1000 No, as I've never been interested tbh. Obviously now my interest has been lit.

@darylkehl3031 2 месяца назад

@@TheClaptonisgod1Read The Age Of Spiritual Machines. It will blow your mind .

@bengsynthmusic 2 месяца назад

He is the Eric Clapton of AI.

@BrainiousPodcast 3 месяца назад

I remember reading Michio Kaku's book "Physics of the Future," which he wrote in 2011. It was fascinating to learn about the prototypes he mentioned, especially those related to AI. It's incredible to see many of those predictions coming to life. My wife and I often discuss these advancements in AI and share our insights. Check us out!

@honor9lite1337 3 месяца назад

Nice

@J3R3MI6 3 месяца назад

Physics of the Impossible was great!

@dadsonworldwide3238 3 месяца назад

That's not saying much 2024 years many knew that we would one sense the universe in all it's glory ( metamorphosis) in reverse..invented a word to express the anylitical minds future. In author knew it launched the puritan movement and quest for roots of civilization archeology to make sure they got it right in English encoded language oreintation and direction longitude and latitude was the beginning project of carefully crafting the world as we know it. It's our elusive prosperity that esoterica America bought into whole hearted . But so has the world it is pillar upon which we stand. Fundamental feature in reality tunes all precision instruments

@neilifill4819 3 месяца назад

I like RK’s confidence. His predictions omit things like conflict (between countries, between companies, and between people) and monetizing the technology for profit. The only way we all see the benefits he is proposing is if, by some stroke of fortune, the investors in the tech feel fine to make it universally available or affordable. There are those who will depend on our competitive nature to know more and be better than “them.” We have become increasingly exclusionary since before Columbus sailed across the Atlantic, so there’s little chance that the “haves” will ever allow anyone else to come close to parity with them. It’s sad, but it is who we are.

@drhxa 3 месяца назад

The pie grows and grows

@neilifill4819 3 месяца назад

@@drhxa but we don’t seem to make more slices…

@bnjiodyn 3 месяца назад

@@neilifill4819 Did you not look at any of the graphs? A feudal lord would have much less pie compared to the average person today. Income (incl govt programs), life expectancy, electricity, etc? Go back to 1850s you had no electricity, a 40% chance of dying in child birth, no money and no govt programs -- literally everyone has way more pie now than in the 1850s by a huge margin.

@aceyage 3 месяца назад

The “haves” will be a thing of the past when the inevitable wealth tax is established.

@Katatonya 3 месяца назад

I think he's looking at it through the lens of: it's always been like that. I'm sure throughout our history, every generation said that "We're so fucked, it'll never get better than this", yet here we are, it always got better, bit by bit. Yeah you look at us and you can see that monkey ancestry real well, but it resembled a monkey muuuuuch more generations before. We were much worse decades ago... but hundreds of years? thousands? millions? I don't think we can even fathom how bad it was as you look back through time. AI is gonna shift this axis of growth through time straight up. It'll be the industrial revolution raised to the power of the industrial revolution. Which is a number that you can't even display, hence it's called the singularity. (Which goes beyond what our current brains can comprehend)

@Gayathri-qt1bn 3 месяца назад

Delusional

@sarangkapse2958 4 дня назад

After reading his book Singularity is near I think Ray Kurzweil's prediction are accurate , awesome and exciting. Thanks Ray for such a wonderful masterpiece for tech and future enthusiast. Looking forward to read his next book Singularity is nearer.

@neo31415 3 месяца назад

I have watched a lot of videos of Ray. No disrespect to him, but he is talking more about 'MY predictions...', than about AI itself. When he is discussing some topic, it seems that he is just promoting himself. I think we all agree, a prediction is useless. Action is everything.

@gappsanon4869 2 месяца назад

Except he's been making outlandish predictions for decades.... and they've all come true so far. He even predicted the breakup of the Soviet Union, back when no one believed it possible. So, he's worth listening to.

@Scarf66. 3 месяца назад

Spending time with grandchildren, family and friends, loving and being loved doesn’t need to be enhanced by AI. Start by putting down your phone. Technology and tools have never helped us deal with most important issues we face - ourselves and our inability to get along and be decent to each other and the other species who we share this beautiful planet with, which we’re which hellbent on trashing. Neither AI nor Mars are answers to our inability to find true meaning in what is right in front of noses. In 1931 Aldous Huxley predicted a world like this. Given half a chance I’ll opt for the life of a savage.

@dougrobinson2024 3 месяца назад

watch it at 1.3x speed you're welcome

@afterthesmash 2 месяца назад

People watching this need to be aware of two things. First, there's a somewhat arbitrary decision made by Kurzweil in how he adds dots to his long extrapolation. It's not obvious how to equate processing power from the 1950s to processing power today. A vast amount of circuitry in modern chips is there to hide latency. This includes out-of-order execution scheduling, ALU pipelining, speculative execution, branch prediction, and all of the caches. It's darn impressive how well this all finally works, in certain important problem domains. But there's no easy way to compare a transistor from today to a transistor from yesterday. Second, Kurzweil's determination to ride the exponential to the stars and beyond does not qualify him to speculate on time frames associated with humanity mucking about with actual human mortality. The only way this plays out at the speed he is predicting is that rogue laboratories are known to be doing it, outside the control of any government or similar social restraint. Government might decide: if you can't beat them, join them. Or it might decide: if you can't beat them, turn them into a glass pond. If you think abortion is a hot button, just wait until immortality (for once not entirely cursed) sticks its ugly head into the building.

@bengsynthmusic 2 месяца назад

It's called a prediction because no one actually knows. So it's silly to say he isn't qualified.

@gappsanon4869 2 месяца назад

The chart just represented when new chip generations became available, and he placed where their power and date intersected.

@trackzero0 Месяц назад

Negatory. The trajectory has focused on this BS AI. I vote humanity.

@PK-tc2uq Месяц назад

AI is good at writing Resumes, and it's not afraid to exaggerate or lie. An elephant has a kind of thumb. It's at the tip of its nose.

@ninakolar 2 месяца назад

Hey Nina from 2030, how’s the AI doing? 🥲

@ToastCrumbsUK 3 месяца назад

What a long journey it’s been, self autonomous computers.

@TerrorTerros 3 месяца назад

Exciting to be alive at this time😮

@dan-cj1rr 3 месяца назад

i'll believe it when i see it, for now its all smoke to get investor money

@ToastCrumbsUK 3 месяца назад

@@dan-cj1rr yeah this video isn’t a masterpiece

@dischargedarrowgetback4322 3 месяца назад

Ray is the true prophet. In his 2005 book ``The Singularity Is Near,'' Ray predicted that computer intelligence would rival that of humans by 2029. Even those who supported Ray thought in their hearts that it might not happen and did not really believe it. However, now things are going exactly as Ray predicted! ! Why are Ray's predictions so reliably accurate? The secret is that information technology advances exponentially, a law so certain it can be called a law of physics. It becomes a straight line on a logarithmic graph. We only need to believe in that straight line.

@faisalbashiri6913 3 месяца назад

He looks like the Father of AI.

@kkcw6668 2 месяца назад

Ai real purpose in life is to patrol the Public/Civil Service, and look for anomalies, such as what should be in records/procedures/requisitions, but isn't.

@BillKinsman 2 месяца назад

In the 70's and 80's it wasn't even artificial stupidity but it is amazing today.

@higreentj 3 месяца назад

There are simple things we can do now to increase lifespan like a tablespoon of vinegar with a glass of water twenty to thirty minutes before a meal, especially a high carb meal, and light exercise after a meal like going for a walk. By doing this it will reduce the damage caused by glucose spikes.

@Boro2p 3 месяца назад

It's hard to argue with his data on the progress. Even though there is still a chance of black swan event like civilization collapse or black swan event rogue AI, he is still giving us hope intelligent life can emerge with people in the loop. If only they can go with the flow of change. ❤ There is no better way to practice improv principle "yes, and..." than to this unpredictable process of relative-to-humans-singularity

@TheFlounderPounder 3 месяца назад

More like DED Talk😅. The only species is a HUGE CLAIM. Run. This is cringe. Does anyone actually believe these people actually use these modes or plug ins on a daily basis?

@NirvanaFan5000 3 месяца назад

I enjoy kurzweil and think he has some good points but I really hate the cult of personality that he and his followers push

@Nazaru_Lan 3 месяца назад

Hope we’re still alive in 2030. If you’re reading it from there

@MichelleCarithersAuthor 2 месяца назад

Artificial Intelligence is neutral, it is the hands that feeds it which is of major, major concerns

@cheiron77 2 месяца назад

AI is not neutral. It is optimised for some loss function, which gives it a goal, and indirect there can be many additional subgoals that sometimes are much more complex and maleficent than the more neutral loss function. My point is, we should worry about ai being an agent with goals we don't fully understand

@lemmon0squash 3 месяца назад

11 minutes in , but obviously this won’t be available to everyone that is false so who’s he talking to …..who will reap the benefits .

@arminiuschatti2287 2 месяца назад

My greatest fear is some dystopian fundamentalists gain control of AI and force our species into an Orwellian nightmare.

@mattmaas5790 Месяц назад

If trump gets elected

@ManeelxAkosAdor Месяц назад

@@mattmaas5790 woke detectes lol

@mattmaas5790 Месяц назад

@@ManeelxAkosAdor nah I just don't like nazis

@zohaib263 3 месяца назад

Dear TED team, Thanks for your efforts Plz try to add subtitles in your videos for better understanding Regards

@LauraKayeChamberlain-vb7dd 2 месяца назад

If it helps you can hit ‘CC’ and see the subtitles, at least in English

@lawreence-5234 3 месяца назад

2026 - AGI

@anearthian894 3 месяца назад

I agree with everything he said but about the mind upload and expanding intelligence...i dont. We have no idea as of yet about consciousness and the self so we can't be sure about even theoretical possibilities of those without there being negative philosophical and moral implications.

@pensivepenguin3000 3 месяца назад

Right, but the idea is that we don’t need to understand how consciousness works, because increasingly intelligent systems will figure it out for us. That’s the idea behind how the tools we create today help build the tools we use tomorrow. It’s a compounding, exponential kind of thing

@luc3665 3 месяца назад

Humans are intelligent and still made some very big mistakes, that where only understood looking back in the past. AGI could make even bigger and more complex mistakes and we might not be able to even comprehend what happened.

@shuvayandasgupta5031 2 месяца назад

Hello, 2045 can we speak all languages now?

@GetoDac 2 месяца назад

30 years ago i didn`t hear so often about cancer .......now it`s something normal ...

@pedrod.7576 2 месяца назад

With all due respect, somebody ought to tell ray that he looks like a clown in this talk.

@daviddavidson1090 2 месяца назад

Agreed, who doesn't know the truth about the V by now

@mistycloud4455 3 месяца назад

this guy is the reason we will achieve agi

@therandommusicguy4773 3 месяца назад

What do you mean?

@edgardsimon983 3 месяца назад

@@therandommusicguy4773 h he is doing a motivation work

@jaisingh-eg8gr 2 месяца назад

@@therandommusicguy4773this man can see the future what we can not see...

@viniciusbonatto3943 2 месяца назад

What a tremendously useless talk.

@connerwithhonor 3 месяца назад

He’s getting younger. That makes me excited. Here we go.

@m4r_art 2 месяца назад

@@connerwithhonor his hair will turn back to color by next TED.

@homemuscle 2 месяца назад

@@m4r_art I'd love to bet, but you will be right...

@Anx3lx 14 дней назад

You can have hair like his too, but you have toupée for it

@homemuscle 13 дней назад

@@Anx3lx LOL - Yes, that is right.

@antoniobarragan7755 3 месяца назад

The stupidity to compare humans to whales and elephants. Can they write and talk?😅

@kemar07 Месяц назад

This video should have a billion views.

@Gold10Grand Месяц назад

Yes. I agree. So that people can see the evil intent.

@vishalmishra3046 3 месяца назад

*AGI by 2030 and ASI by 2040* AGI will take at least 2029 since it requires a lot of innovation from ASML (high precision laser lithography), TSMC (1 to 2 nm nodes) and NVidia (Rubin Architecture) to mass-produce low-cost VR-200 ultra systems for Azure, AWS, GCP and Meta so that AI startups can quickly test new LLMs and cross-integrate them together into the natural emergence of an extremely Intelligent Internet, connecting all human minds through edge-intelligence enabled smart-devices/phones). AGI is unachievable without global collaboration across all big economies. Even after so much development with AGI maturing so fast, ASI will still take 5 more years to surface and 10 years to mature (2035-40).