I love the fact that peter should have 100m+ subscribers yet only has 100k+ . The best stuff in life is not so popular, and it makes me feel like I'm ahead of the curve
Yes - You probably see the point of jobs being taken over by automation along with it comes the ending of or should come the ending of poverty, war and exploitation.
It's really amazing how fast this industry id developing. I remember a few years ago when Elon Musk announced the beginning of Optimus project and everybody thought it was a publicity stunt.
It was, but other companies that actually make and ship products are actually releasing some. Are we giving Ketamine Nazi credit for inventing humanoid robots, like he invented the idea of a self driving car, or a subway?
Been a day since I watched this video and still trying to wrap my head around the explosive and revolutionary impact on society in only 2 1/2 to 3 years. Forget agi (or dont) but i believe this will have far more immediate impact when people start seeing in fact how easy it is for humanoids to replace them. If not managed correctly in a democratic way where EVERYONE benefits i don't think its hyperbole to say it will be revolutionary.
17:57 That's nearly impossible... When you get a robot, it increases your income, which boosts your purchasing power. As your neighbor buys a robot, his purchasing power increases as well. When everyone starts using robots, collective purchasing power rises, leading to inflation. Eventually, owning a robot and having it work for you will become essential just to afford daily necessities so that you can live. As an example, in today's world you need to incomes to make ends meet.
It all depends if we as humans want to have what others don't or if we want what is difficult to obtain, then YES, it will be a tragic world. But live simply with the robot doing basic work... I.E. grow food, cook, clean. (Maybe 3D print solar cells... ) we can get by.
@@rolandgibson-murphy2853 Many people might just want to use it for basic work at home, but there are always people who want to have what other`s dont...which will definitely start a sort of competition of how people use their robots most effectively to generate more income for themselves. People who have more money can buy more robots and so on... It is a really interesting thought experiment. I really dont know what would happen, but I am sure that without certain regulations, this will not go as well as said in the interview
However there might be a deflationary aspect when you add an AI and automation. What happens when you have the robots doing most of the working manufacturing robots and then the price of those things come down? What if you have robots that can build solar farms and batteries and also desalinations facilities and vertical farms?
Its clear that there will be at least 20 humanoid companies, 1 huge winner (Tesla probably), 3 low level winners, and Figure can be one of them, but the point is capturing the correct niches that the winner isn't addressing. For example Tesla does 1 billion generic supply chain robots per year and 1 billion home robots per year, but Figure does 100 million special home robots per year, but with a unique soft outer shell texture for being a babysitter or helping the elderly (like having soft skin for when the robot has to touch a person, like to pick them up if they fall and so on). And the other 18 humanoid companies can focus on making the robot indistinguishable from a human, so it can be used for entertainment or relationships. Tesla will do mass scale, so they might not be able to do these niche ventures, but who knows, maybe Tesla will participate in some of the niches. But there is always room for more specelized niches which are required in low volumes, so Tesla won't really be interested in doing such low volumes.
Thanks for another excellent episode Dr. Diamandis! Robots being able to assemble more robots and function autonomously will significantly decrease the cost of goods and services (in theory). But don’t forget the implicit greed factor! The greed variable which can’t be measured by economists will largely determine the cost of robots and what they produce. Basic supply and demand dynamics independent of greed is quite clear. It’s the non-measurable factors such as greed that will cloud the forecast. What is greed? I’ll let you ponder on that.
Guys, robots and flying cars or none of these… doesn’t matter! Having AI’s understand my questions and talking to me in human voice, answering my questions is beyond what I expected in my lifetime. So, tomorrow is here, already 😊😊😊😊!
Something I haven't seen in any of these wonderful futurist blogs are the many ways that Murphy's law could raise it's ugly head. What stops someone from telling their robot to steal or kill or indeed keep the robot from seeing stealing or killing as a viable course of action to carry out innocent instructions? Who is to be held accountable? The robot, the owner, the manufacturer, the maker of the neural net, the group who trained it? Will there be fail-safe safeguards against tampering with any guardrails (like accessing/tampering within those areas results in permanent demobilization)? What I'm saying is ponder for a bit about the range of potential CREATIVE (mis)uses such helpers could be put to and then whether we'd actual not want an army of door to door sales-bots interrupting our meditation? Would you really want an item following you home threatening suicide if you don't buy it? Would/could they be used for stalking or harassment? Frustrated that my personal robot constantly refused to do (or understand) I casually tell it to "Take a hike" or "Go jump off a bridge". Would it (without regard to the drivers below)? I say this as someone who has worked many years on designing the perfect robotic rope. I have reflected long and hard about how this novel ability could be used in nefarious ways (they are many) and could any of them out-weight the potential benefits from this invention. Ultimately all of the ways to hobble it decrease it's utility significantly and none seem to be beyond being circumvented. I hope this opens a dialog to explore these things in more depth.
I saw this interview in my feed and am so happy I came across your channel in my shorts again since I really wanted to listen to this. I’m subscribed but for some reason your channel got pushed outside my regular feed and it seems like that always happens. Unfortunately I couldn’t remember any identifying details about your channel to do a search
It's really comforting to think that humanoids will eventually be sold for materials & labor + profit margin, but history indicates they will be sold for their value to consumers. A device that will take care of most household chores is worth quite a bit of money. If the maintenance cost is reasonable, the purchase cost could be in the range of $28-35k. Granted, in 10 yrs, you’ll probably buy a humanoid at Walmart.
Correct, phones are cheap to make YET they charge 1400-1900 for the newest model because of its VALUE to consumers. There's little chance they sell a humanoid robot that can EARN 1000s a week for less than $300 a month.
Who decides what job is undesirable? Some people like repetitive work where they don't have to worry and think too much. Most of these people going on about getting rid of undesirable jobs are pen pushers(office work), To me those are undesirable jobs but to them they want to get rid of my type of work, Hands on blue collar jobs.
Industry will consume entire production as the need to have or not compete plus the return on investment will make an individual won't be able to outbid those highly motivated buyers.
These robot builders are underestimating the value of eyes, gaze direction, expression etc in our communication. The face is a massive communication tower. Imagine explaining a complicated task to a robot and at the end it says, i dont understand. A frown while you are talking works a lot better.
Age of abundance can only be brought by free energy or energy so inexpensive, it is free. Robots could cause an economic collapse. If then, how do people buy robots?
Humanoid robot companies are going to stop once all the undesirable jobs are taken by robots. They are just trying to help us out, they won't take the jobs we actually want. Not sure why they can't be honest about this. The sooner we come to terms with the fact that robots and AI will take all the jobs, the sooner we can prepare ourselves to adapt to that world.
I am only being a little flippant, but i envy kids in some ways today. On another hand i feel sorry. There were seminal moments in my life that i just dont know if they are gonna really be real in a few decades. I spent my vacations from school camping, catching crawdads in the rivers around here, helping with the garden. Hanging out with my grandpa in yhe wood shop, cooking with my grandmother. Learning to write in cursive, fixing cars. When i was teaching myself computers in the late eighties (i think) id walk eight or ten blocks to the Springfield public library, say hi to the librarian, and check out books on BASIC. Mix tapes were a thing. Mowing lawns for money id use to blow on junk food, hanging out at the community pool, county fairs. Not all of it was great, some parts really sucked. And there's no reason why ya cant go down to a river or creek and learn how to fish. Robots, AI, and ridiculous abundance? Im not afraid, im lookin forward to the Singularity. But if i ever have kids (heh, hey there, How You doin'? :D) there are some anachronistic things they will learn. NOW, i will NOT be showing them the Civil Engineering section of the library. And if they want to learn about that, they can buy their own vice grips, copper, solder, and tooling. In cash. Better yet, have a pats--I mean friend do it 🙃 But my robot? Yeah, it will be named Jeeves and speak exactly like Stephen Fry. The second will sound like Rowan Atkinson, the third will be Winston. Winston Churchill. And to round it off, Maggie Smith. And Kirsten Schall. Im gonna have a lot of robots.
Robots will be trained not to harm their owners but the military is training them to kill humans. How do you guarantee the training wont cross over? Robots only need a few seconds to cross train and they wont forget.
If robots will make labour optional then we will have mass unemployment which upends our current economic model. UBI is necessary or we will have mass social unrest
That's unknowable. Several things are in play now that will impact the future that will counter such notions. First, many nations are facing demographic collapse. Second China as the worlds factory will go away. It's only a matter of time now. Third because of the current and near future economic realities inflation Won't be solved by any programs or political action. With high inflation the idea of mass purchases of robots will be a hard sell. Fourth reason is that if nations dig themselves out of those problems no one can be sure just how much industry will be in space exploration or if mankind might want to attempt to colonise the oceans or make the world over into a paradise. If we short change our imagination or give up striving by looking for a nanny state solution we run the risk of falling into states of degeneracy, ripe for losing freedom, and autonomy to those that have become power elite. Maybe even AGI itself as described in many SCI FI media.
Elon musk talks about not just Ubi but universal high income. In other words, a people can are going to be able to afford whatever it is they want. Pretty much renders money useless.
Abundance is NOT having anything you want. Values and physical space will be limiting....at least if humanity is only on earth. What if everyotn wanted a private jet?
What also 'Scales' with population is : Problem solvers, motivation to work on solving problems, (one such problem is opening the solar system to development to address pollution, energy demand, traffic congestion , species extinction....
Figure robots will go down every time OpenAI services go down. Bad idea to use OpenAI. OpenAI will also be free to control every robot and do a full Skynet if we let them into every bot.
I was thinking that... all AI goes down pauses and makes mistakes, glitches etc imagine having a bot and glitches with a lawn mower or up on the roof or in ur kids room ... or the other way around 😮 virus, hackers, or the company going evil or broke getting bought . So many things and now there is a weapon in ur home ... I mean tesla cars are melting and death traps when accidents happen...so tesla bot in ur home ?
I will be on the list to buy the first consumer robot with AI good enough to have a chat and walk with you. im 45 .. hopefullly by my retirement!I dont care if it cost 15K ill be there.
Capitalist/debt based society transitioning to ai/robotics society will be very painfull. We'll go beyond finger pointing before the necessity of ubi has reached enough people. Not having to work for money won't be accepted by some no matter what the circumstances.
This is what is so frustrating. Why can’t the little guy invest. By the time this goes public much of the capital appreciation is already in the rear view mirror.
going public too soon can kill a private company before it gets going, the ceo would have less control, face more scrutiny with investors/regulators/media, and be expected to meet quarterly earning targets ... pretty much it halts growth by introducing additional complexities and distractions
Listen Diamandis, you can take your fountainlife memberships for the wealthy and shove them into exactly the same hole you crap from, you want to help the world like you claim, figure out a way for these things to ACTUALLY be for everyone...... otherwise, you're pretty much just helping yourself, which is fine, but dont try to color it as something ANY DIFFERENT than that.
Why expensive battery and weight wen you want eficiency and low cost for restaurants, etc could be cables... the outstanding part is that each update of software make it better. This is crazy good.
But will they implement UBI before 2030!? Many pioneers including billionaires, scientists, Nobel Prize winners, engineers, architects, analysts and so on and so forth... almost all agree that we will have AGI in 2027 and ASI in 2029 and looking at and evaluating the exponential technological acceleration curve I wonder why they have not yet implemented universal basic income to anticipate the trends that will come. Just to name one, Elon Musk says that we will have AGI already in 2025 and ASI 2029.
Elon Musk sings the tune of Full Self Driving coming next year for the last 10 years. There's 0% of AGI coming in the next 10 years. The architecture is not right.
To do UBI in the US they'll have to print 1 trillion a month starting out and have to increase that quickly to keep it useful. So if they do it the timing is very important because it will cause runaway hyperinflation. The economy will fail in less than two years, unless the economic growth is exponential and on trend to surpass the hyperinflation effect quickly. Everything has to be ready to go and all planned out for an entirely new economy and the huge societal and cultural shifts it will bring before they can make that move. It's a big gamble
@mostlyfoldersabitofeveryth1989 why they are killing by the masses with weather and wars etc... it's all a big plan . They know the world isn't going to be working and homeless and starving ..C19 was a prep I believe to see if this would work 😢 so the AI is getting pushed and robots now and drones with lasers. .. trying to solve the civil wars that will happen . Keep us in, threaten with ammunition, and a check to eat and survive 😢 but my theory lol
Every retireee that can afford one will have one. I have been banking on robots being a reality by the time I retire. Looks like I will be able to have a couple.
I think of Figure and Optimus head to head. Awesome but possibly wasteful? I know two similar personalities can’t work together and competition is awesome, but imagine Figure with Tesla’s machine that build’s the machine manufacturing experience! Wow!!!!
My safety concern is it falling in the home into objects and people. If a human trips and falls onto someone else it is soft but these robots are hard.
how long until 100% safe level 5 autonomous driving! and what level of autonomous driving are we at now? Has Tesla reached an advanced level 3? or are these shades of a level 4? (I mean the beginning)
The question you should ask, what is the reason to be level 3? Either level 4 & 5 or nothing. Level 3 doesn't add value except liability to the company.
@@xsuploader I think Figure is closer to that category with offloading most AI tasks to the cloud. Also heavy listing isn't always required in industry, sometimes speed (almost twice as much in the Unitree) is important. I don't think it's fair to say the Unitree is not a real robot though.
Thumbnail: "Robots are comming to homes this decade" My only question: who will pay for them? The unemployed who's work those robots took? So correction: "Robots are comming to rich homes this decade"
Prototypes are easy, production is hard. Especially if your Prototype doesn't even use the actual software it has to have. Every single AI/Robotics Company gives the same spiel. I guarantee 9 out of 10 will fail or never scale. Will be interesting to see which. Edit: 59:26 is where the money shot is for investors. Listen to what he says here and then use your own brain to tell me that that is a Tesla Competitor.
Dreams and reality will meet sooner than expected _ the ethics, control and abuse of such I believe needs as much attention as we give ‘the 4th generation robotic hand’ - I’m excited, just hopeful we do something with this that looks to save the earth we are living on. Prioritising what best serves humanity. I’d love some agriculture bots. Like one with chainsaw / one that just does post holes for fencing or planting trees. How we create this bots is what service they will highlight.