"We will make the whole universe a noise in the end. We have already made great strides in this direction as regards the Earth. The melodies and silences of Heaven will be shouted down in the end."
In the book "Spares" from Michael Marshall Smith is a future described where absolutly every household item has AI on human intelligence level build in because it became very cheap to do so. Including guns which deside based on the situation and the crime you maximal want to commit if it fires the round or not. So everybody switches the AI for all household items off because it is just annoying when your fridge nags at you for eating to much and everybody sets his accepted gun crime to "murder" so it works like a regular gun. :)
My dad said his uncle converted all the vans for his grandfather clock repair business to run on propane to save money during the 1970s oil crisis. He always says he’s surprised that wasn’t more common whenever he tells the story.
The notion that advancements in financial tech will in any way help consumers not spend money they don't want to is INCREDIBLY optimistic, and goes against all evidence, and every historic trend. Every advance in financial tech has always and only, in practice, resulted in the opposite and I see zero indication of any inclination to do otherwise. It's an arms race between financial tech finding new ways to convince people to give up their money and cultural knowledge building up to act as counters.
Well. Can our ancient monitary systems continue to provide any form service today? We dont think about it often but thousands of years of dedocated thought to manipulating money has been taking place with more and more vunerabilities found. And no I am not promoting Crypto. Thats another vunerability found not an advancement
@@AnonymousAnarchist2 oh. I think I misread you. Rereading, yeah, our system is pretty seriously flawed, and full of a mass of vulnerabilities. And I agree that crypto isn't in any way an improvement, rather it's significantly worse. I don't foresee that problem being solved anytime soon though, since it's those who benefit from the exploits that exist that have all the power over how the system works.
@@PazLeBon sorry, but the reasons for currency go FAR beyond trust (and require trust in the system supplying them, not because you distrust other people) - also, you cannot scale up the economy if you rely solely on barter. It's not even remotely feasible if you want a ton of different objects and services in the market.
While I'm having an ok week i can certainly emphasize, when I've hard extreme weeks, the weekly Arthur's day is a welcome escape to the respite of futurism and imagination. Hope your next week is better!
The lesson from history is its not one thing (despite what every new Tech venture capital cycle tryes to convince us). It's many technologies, across any fields, synergising towards a better future.
The biggest game changer is going to be Acoustic Lasers. Similar to how Light based Lasers changed everything. They currently exist but like lasers people dont see the potential. I have been studying it for about 2 decades now and am convinced it will without a doubt change everything as Xrays become a thing of the past and the equivalent of a CT or MRI scan can fit in the palm of your hand. This is not even to mention their abilities to levitate objects around ones self. Its a sleeper technology but its going to explode fast and hard like lasers did and totally take over the landscape as I suspect they will have far more uses than even lasers. Hell, they can create plasma dots in the air allowing holograms that many thought lasers would give us.
Use multiple and trianglate. Couplee it with voxel based computer imagery and a half decent manifold wrapper and you could get a colour mri of a whole body, live. Feed that in to an LLM like AI system at internals (like in the shower) and it'll be able to detect changes over time, like the growth of 'dots' and cancer cells will be able to be passively detected while they are still grains. Again, triangulation can focus a hotspot the way computer DRAM memory flips bits. A few 'warn to hot lines' and a burning hot centre point. Way out side idea. I wonder if this is the techused to produce the 'scoop marks' we see prevalent in megalithic structures around the world.
Better idea: Augmented Reality ad-blockers. Anything you can see that's showing an ad gets blacked out, or better still, replaced by the texture of the surrounding wall.
Regarding printing and additive manufacturing this is why Aluminum was such a revolutionary material, you can make decently light/strong parts out of it and melt down the chips easily to make more stock material. Selective laser sintering (SLS) has similar advantages and can make some truly wild shapes, but 99% of the time a mill/lathe is going to get the job done faster and will produce a better surface finish. I don't see this dynamic changing until we can grow things out of crystal of biomass.
(Haven't watched the whole video yet.) If we look at the whole, It looks like only one revolution imo, starting at the renaissance, really gaining steam (pun intended) with the industrial revolution, and carrying on with a steady advancement. Looking up close, there are several key advancements, like aluminum, that took us further in spurts. But the peaks in the graph smooth out over time, and we see an steadily steepening curve in our tech level. I wonder if it's the new norm. Or will it plateau at some. Can it even slow down?
The real hidden gem of 3d printing is otherwise impossible to create shapes. There are some things Subtractive mfg cannot do (and some additive cannot do).
Well your just looking at heat based additive metal manufacturing. You can also use speed. Slam metal or most ceramics fast enough they will deform and fracture against the part and the atoms wont know where one part of the lattice ends or begins they stick together. Although for some ceramics you do need some heat as well, it uh. Actually can be faster then producung a billet and then machining. Its not faster then either one alone, but together it is. In addition you can use electricity, although this is limited to just metals. Electrodeposition and electromachining are already mature techs that can be easily used for 3d printing, and with the bonus that recyling using electrodeposition usually takes less energy then any heat based manufacturing and you can control the excat crystal growth and shaping, and surface finish control down to nanometers as well as accuracy and precision that so far on hobby units has reached under 100 nanometers.. at the disadvantage of taking longer to produce, often by orders of magnatude longer, but it is a tech that is slowly taking over certian metals recycling. And then there is of course chemical and direct atom manipulation. Chemical uh. Well its part of the electrochemical formula already mentuoned for metals but of course can be used directly as carriers and part of reactions, like in UV resins but also you can just dissolve plastics in a solvent and evaporate the solvent, or nanostructures such as nanotubes, or nanoparticles of metals etc and disolve the solvent for secondsry processing. This has shown promise of mirror finishes and near nanometer accuracy and precision. And direct atomic manipulation. This is actually shockingly mature ... and inexpensive tech. An auto mechanic might actually have everything needed if they work on head gaskets. The Atomic Force Microscope is the bases for it, and it is sometimes used to measure surface roughness. Its a more specialized tool but hobbiest have made the critical companents for as little as five dollars. Then slapped them onto frames and mounts and over engineered vibration damping solutions, and bought way overpowered computers just to read and operate then for 300 dollars. It used to be thought that you needed near absolute zero temps for it to work. Room temps are fine so long as your not working with gasses or room temp liquids. But the important bit is just an acid or electro sharpened needle attached to a pizeo-electric actuator of some kind. You can make an actuator from the speakers used in those annoyingly loud birthday cards, and a lenth of tugnston wire. Tungston so that its a bit more durable then steel being that its a point that measures and caputures individual atoms. And why bring up something that obviously is so slow? Because it works at room temp, and if someone gets clever they can make a gang set up with them to speed things up making more and more of them. Im not that clever; or I am and I havent found the time. And you can use them with chemical depositing as well. Its not atom perfect, but you dont need to be atom perfect in everything. and then use them to make machines that make other nanoscale machines. Atoms are suprisingly forgiving, especially if they dont really want to bond to each other. Its kind of shocking. Nano structires are orders of magnatude more forgiving then macrostructures. Also orders of magnatude harder to inspect. Either way, I am sure someone will come up with a liquid terminator sort of smart material thats.. much dumber then a Terminator and forms much stronger structures then metal ever could be using Atomic Force Microscopes as mold makers. And fairly soon its just a matter of time and spreading the word that its possible and how. And when that happens manufacturing is over. Just done. There is no more manufacturing when you can download anything you want and have it
Financial apps - one obviously needed app today, is one that would have hundreds of people "shop" for the item you want, to see whether the retailer is skewing prices based on who you are, what other activities they know you're engaged in, etc. Even just letting you know how much they're doing that to you would help squelch that practice, as people mysteriously stop buying when the retailer has boosted the price of something.
35:35 - in Japan, all the medium/large hotels I stayed at with a laundry room had a TV channel showing you status of every machine. Japan has already found a way lol
Another thing 3D printers help with is that we are probably overpaying for a large number of items we buy, because we don't have access to the means to construct a screwdriver ourselves from raw iron and rubber. But by knocking down that barrier, and making the production of thousands of widgets accessible at home,products made by bulk manufacturing possesses would need to either stand out in some way through quality or features, or be much much cheaper.
Check out my company, we offer a whole 3d printable tool set. You could print our 3/4 inch wrench using a carbon fiber reinforced filament for less than $3 in material. A Craftsman 3/4 inch is like $22 at the store.
20:57 Safe voting includes only you knowing how you voted and you knowing that the vote you made was counted in the right pile of votes you wanted it in.
This is _possibly_ doable with a block chain. It's honestly one of the few real uses of block chain tech that had been proposed that don't revolve entirely around the joys of speculative investment. You having a unique personal identifier that only you know means you can check the block chain to see your vote is counted correctly. No one else knowing your identifier means no one else can know what you voted, despite everyone being able to see every vote. The big issue that is non-trivial to confront is making sure there's a one to one correspondence between voters and votes, while preventing a central authority from having a nice handy list of every name and their id.
You also want your vote to be anonymous, so people cant threaten you for your vote, or condition things like employment or housing on the way you vote.
@iriswaters the question is how soon a data breach exposed your vote to the public. I honestly don't trust much electronic voting, especially with blockchain.
Another great overview of future technologies and their potential civilizational changing impacts. If even a few of these happen later this century... I hope to be around for it. Fantastic work, Isaac.
While time/cost of delivery may be a reason for 3d printing, especially for more extreme situations like orbital infrastructure and early colonization, I believe in the private sector that won't be even show up on a list of positives. Instead, I imagine the single most driving factor would be customization. The ability to get pants in two-toned purple and yellow no matter how much sales reps and market research denies its marketability, to have 3PO breakdancing on a miniature Star Destroyer engraved in the back of your smartphone protector, or to get shoes that perfectly fit your feet while leaving extra space to avoid irritating your ingrown toenail would be the reason for 3d printing to take off in terms of private use. I think people don't care about next day delivery enough in comparison to being able to get it to an exacting specification, especially if it's something esoteric, at an easily affordable price, especially if all you have to do is load some raw materials into your home 3d printer, and tell your the AI what you want made with some reference photos to help it.
We were supposed to have Immersive FullDive VRMMORPGs with a free, preset series of program packages that can be used for creating Virtual Reality (VR) worlds as well as control the input and output of the five senses of the players, allowing players to FullDive into the created world game and an engine that allows conversion of one account in a VR world to another by now! Where’s my NerveGear!?!?
something else too that I see tied together that most dont, is the ability to use a 3D printer with the right tech for other printing applications, enabling it to also reclaim or even refine needed resources almost on the fly. (like the half watt laser I used to convert rust back into raw pure iron metal, combined with an oxygen extraction system enabling the same of say titanium dioxide or various aluminum ores to print out solid aluminum, iron, titanium or even alloy mixtures of metal oxides rather than having to refine a giant amount then cut away what we dont want losing a lot of it to oxidation all over again. This process of extraction I have also enables sorting of ablated vaporized material for later use from a pure material source, regardless of how many different materials in the source being refined or recycled.
@@seanhewitt603 I’ve worked in the pharmaceutical industry in the trials and production of an immunosuppressant used by organ transplant recipients since 1998. The age of genetic editing is in its early gestation, 20 years is the usual time for research and development, with good reasoning. Those new covid vaccines were actually 20 years in the making and were ready coincidentally for the last pandemic. A lot of life saving medications will hopefully become obsolete sooner rather than later.
I see a future where the government will know what web sites you visited, who you make phone calls and emails to, and what your daily travel schedule is. Anyone else see a problem with this ??
Smart Cars: Ford filed a patent that can monitor cars around you then report speeding, etc. to the DMV to issue a citation & fine. An upgrade to this technology will monitor your own driving and report infractions to the DMV.
i doubt it will actually be rolled out - people break the speed limit all the time, and its that usual breaking that causes anything issues - its the excessive speeds or, in fact, driving a lot slower than everyone else.
@@xBINARYGODxif all cars communicate and move at the same speed……this will remedy both the expensive punishment of rule breakers as well as loss of life. Not to mention insurance will be largely unnecessary.
@@iriswaters Nah, deducted from your government credits account. If the account goes negative it'll be authorised to repo assets, like the car you are driving.
@@andrasbiro3007 This is my biggest gripe with AI driven cars. The corpos who make them will lobby for exemptions for liability, or just run a cost benefit analysis on how many lethal accidents are still profitable.
For additive and 3d printing... I was surprised you didn't touch on some of the best examples of it revolutionizing modern production, especially with the arguably best being one that I figure you'd stay on top of. One of the key advantages is, you aren't limited in attaching individual parts together, or somehow drilling/removing material from inside of something in areas you might not be able to reach. So this allows for new types of designs with major improvements for some types of parts. The best examples arguably being some newer types of rocket engines, like the Raptor engine v3, compared to the old v1. The thing looks naked, incomplete almost, not covered in parts. But it's just got all it's extra pipes, cables, sensors, power, cooling, etc... running inside of it's shell with little holes and stuff running everywhere . This is something you can't really do with older manufacturing methods, those parts would just be bolted/tied onto the outside and run between areas. It all being built inside makes it weigh less, cost less (raw resources, manufacturing they haven't I don't think released confirmed info on this yet but likely is the case here too), able to have higher performance, and be more durable and reliable. Now obviously this wont matter for making a fork, just get a plate, stamp out the forks, and you're good via conventional methods, but for more complex shapes and structures it opens new option we never really had before, or in some cases we could do it before, but for much more expensive methods. And as 3d printing does get better, faster, more reliable, etc... we can expect that the number of these areas it allows improvements in, or becomes the cheaper option for, will increase. Now how far will this go, will this majorly revolutionize modern society with new designs people come out with that rely on this for stuff? Or will it be relegated to ya, mostly some new medical and space stuff? But even if limited to those few fields... the effect they might have could still be huge, event if it just makes for much more cost effective and safe space travel, the knock on effects of that could be massive.
Thats super cool I hadn't thought about the inability to access different places inside of a larger item having such an effect on how you design something. I Love how that rocket engine looks
0:17 We'd like to see digital paint that forms a screen with just four applications even on irregular surfaces and with one pass of a hand held electron circuit printer between layers.
The craziest part is even if some of these pop up, most of the general populous won't be able to afford a smart home with an artificially intelligent companion, let alone various "quality of life" improvements. Kinda surprised the idea of an AI driven market didn't come up in Economics
I work at a Maker Space as part of their 3D printing team, but we also do robotics, laser cutting, metalworks, smart home automation, and cybersecurity. I've shared this video with our board of directors.
I always thought self driving cars are insanely stupid you want a specially made road that can efficiently move people without them being in danger? They figured that out in 1804 it’s called a train
Heads up, fdm 3d printing is already viable at scale or exceeding injection molding. As is, unless you are making 10 million plus units, the cost is well within 1%. There are some limits on total throughput but that is because there are still few fdm factories, mostly because people still think you can't do the scale. At scales below 10k units, it is way cheaper already. There are also significant steps that should be able to drop the cost by about another 25%. The other fact that makes it even better is that the machines don't need to be hyper-specialized for a single part so the machine can make parts "on demand" at the factory and only need a small stock. Keep in mind injection molding is about building a stock and storing that stock until it sells.
Can you cover the technology we will develop in different gravity? I find it fascinating that every single planet we may visit will likely have foreign forces that we have to engineer around.
Not much difference. Cars and planes would be affected mostly. Higher gravity means more traction, and harder flying. Too low gravity makes wheels impractical, but flying easy.
@@andrasbiro3007 What about industry on a different planet? Any heavy industry would be completely different in both higher or lower gravity. We would have to change a lot of how we approach everything because just shipping stuff to colonies takes too long and would remain too expensive.
@@jessegilbert8623 I don't see how. You need some level of gravity to make things move as we are used to, especially liquids, but the exact number doesn't matter much. Extremely high levels would make a difference, it would make flatter factories ideal, but I don't see other issues. Very low gravity would make a big difference though. That completely changes how liquids behave, and can impacts some chemical reactions and crystal growth too.
When you come here for the shiny future gizmo - and end up yelling "Heck yeah!" as Isaac says "Super-apps!" It's a pet peeve of mine, but because the modern world is so complex - I'd LOVE one (customisable) streaming services APP that automatically talks to the others and can sell me shows I want at 20 cents per episode (or whatever it breaks down to.)
Excellent video. As for me the technology I'm looking forward is life extension! Would like to see what the world is like in the 26th and 31st century.
I doubt we should still be humans at that point, healthier science and genetic engineering will get us farther but I wouldn't count on being able to live thousands of years within the next century.
Wow. Great content. Over the years I Listened to this channel across 3 continents and 18 airports, lots of taxis. Thanks for the years and many hours of "Rodenberry meets Sagan" content. 👍
I would vote on wearable technologies being the next game changer, at least when it comes to personal quality of life. I use hearing aids and the amount of progress made in the last 5 years was amazing. Now I am able to listen to someone speaking with a slight speech impediment, in a language which is not my native, and understand most of it, while five years ago I couldn't hold a phone call with anyone not in my closest family circle. However, I would argue that advancement of wearable tech does not bury augmentations and implants. There are use cases where externally worn tech does not cut it or where the power draw is too big (unless someone figures out how to transfer more energy to that wearable). Furthermore external tech can be lost or stolen, or damaged more easily than internal implants.
I have a 3d printing RU-vid channel, i focus on home 3d printers and there is so much potential moving forward with the tech, it can't defy the laws of physics but still so much potential.
At work we 3D print small prototypes when previously we would have sent it to an engineering company to manufacture. The difference is typically between $1 and $30 and a couple of weeks saved
Dear Issac Arthur - I’m a big fan of space. I’ve been watching your videos for many years and I love it. Keep them coming. On this technical revolution? I’m still waiting for the virtual reality for call of duty( Rick-Flair voice )-“Whoo”!!!!
I sorta see the phone itself as the “super app” because it kinda does already have everything you described, by adding another app to combine all other apps means just one extra step to do the same process as opening your phone and then looking through your phone for RU-vid, messaging but instead you’re having to open the phone then open the app and looking in the app for the specific service you want.
Little point about additive manufacturing: it doesn't eliminate waste. If you 3D print something, very often it requires you print support structures that have to be removed once complete. It'll certainly cut down on waste for some designs, but for others it won't be any improvement over a subtractive approach, and might even be worse. What might be a revolution would be a machine that can do both and switch between them on the fly. It would, of course, require software to figure out which parts of the design are best handled by which approach, but once you've got that, you could have a manufacturing system that would be more efficient in terms of waste than either alone.
That is because 3D printers are generic, they can make a wide range of things. A more specialized machine could include the support structures in the actual machine, not print them out each time it makes a thing.
@@ScienceD9000 Support structures in the machine? I suppose you could have a print bed of extendable rods to provide support without waste. Would probably be an engineering nightmare to actually make, though.
I was excited about this episode but I did t expect this would be one of my favorite episodes because pound for pound it might be the best as far as things to consider and think about. Would highly recommend this ep for youngsters to watch.
CNG*(Compressed natural gas) is probably cleanest way to power cars presently, also if use with Free-piston linear generator in hybrid cars you can combine best from both ICE and EV cars.
Electricity is cheaper. Especially from your own solar panels. As for hybrids, they are outdated, except for a few niche applications. Batteries are big and cheap enough, and the charging infrastructure is pretty good in most of the world. At least if you drive a Tesla.
@@andrasbiro3007 I want my car weight bellow 1 tone. Electricity cost now 0,5 Euro per Kwh that make Tesla cost travel 2x higher than my small diesel car that do 3,6 liters per 100km
@@Bobboby-v9t It doesn't take several hours. At least, not from a fast-charger, which is what you'd use on a long trip. More like 20 minutes. Perfectly reasonable time. Go to the loo, get a snack and some coffee, and by the time you're done, the car will be charged enough for another couple of hours of driving. It'd be good for road safety, as drivers who get more breaks are less likely to be tired and make mistakes on the road.
Speaking of the Retail section, personally I do not have my groceries delivered. I can see a day coming when I will for things like milk, pasta, my brand old cat food or such things where one package is the same as another (at least of the same brand), but I’m always going to want to choose my own meats and fresh produce. Where quality is variable I trust my own judgment.
Supermarket s will fill your delivery bag with items that they are trying to get rid of. The very items you'd reject if you were picking them yourself. I've seen such bags waiting for delivery with things on the verge of spoiling.
A nice overview. Multipurpose humanoid robots, adaptive giant telescope like the ELT, life extension and cryopreservation would seem relevant. As a MD, I am going to Berlin to Tomorrow biostasis to get trained for example.
Well, regarding heat, I have a heat exchanger which is using the heat in the ground from the garden. That's not new. However, getting the heat energy necessary for electricity generation with turbines require very deep holes in most locations. The new method of drilling at large depths using microwaves is promising but I suspect we need a new material for piping in those cases, as mentioned in the video. But if we can solve that - the rest is cheap and "simple".
@Isaac Arthur what specifically about soft robotics do you see being good for agriculture? Is maneuvirability something that would be so much better than a classic robot with joints or whatever. I Guess I'm asking why not just a robot with a mechanical hand because I don't know about these things.
I kinda disagree on the automated fret transport not coming as fast. Sure the driver might not be the main cost but if you can have an ai that doesn't need vacation or breaks and reduces accidents by a significant margin that would probably be incentive enough to get rid of the drivers. And it would also cost less probably.
Safety and reliability will likely be important factors. But cost too, no matter how little the driver costs, it's a cutthroat business, every penny counts.
For the safety angle in the autonomous vehicles section. Breathalyzers can be mandated to be installed in vehicles by a court order already, I've seen it.
This episode kinda invites a version of "technologies we take for granted but could rolled out / evolved completely different" - i.e. automobiles, WWW, etc.
Not quite smart cities and smart homes, but the way we house people I feel is a big area for revolution. Some kind of low mass modularity, or expanding housing zones or changes to standards are things that specifically impact our day to day life. Do we stack homes like shipping containers? Are high rise apartments the way to go? What revolutions can be made in the construction of homes sector? Whether we live in pods of mass produced mansions is a question for the future.
Check out the papers on HBC, Human Body Communication. Some guy has figured out that the human body acts like a monopole antenmae at 50 MHz and with a high permeability core around the ankle , it can work like a transmitter/receiver.
Additive manufacturing generates lots of waste for prints that require scaffolding, the scaffold is waste,for some materials it might be recyclable. Also printers may need to waste materials during purge and cleaning cycles.
Thats true for FDM and some forms of SLA, the popular print forms because they where the simplest to build at home useing commonly avalible parts from other common household devices like paper printers. But those are really just first generation tech. It has gotten good but thats like compalining that cars have disadvanteges because the steam engines require water in the 1900's. It is true but theres also better tech already here
In body augmentations will still probably require a lot of development in energy efficiency because i would not want a 90 degrees celsius processor in my brain. Let alone multiple all around my body. I am already sweaty enough as is.
I agree fully. Plus the human body is only operating on about 100 watts. My computer uses a more to do a lot less. But we have a lot of room for improving efficency.
Artificial friends might become big. Perhaps everyone will wear the same jumper but how we perceive it might be different as augmented reality allows us to transmit what we are wearing to those around us. We also could change the color or style on the fly. There will need to be some way to influence people to have children.
Isaac Arthur, if you read this, I would like to know your thoughts. 1. What is your favorite scifi technology? Antimatter, antigravity or post scarcity/matter replicators? 2. If antimatter was a common power source, would you want only the military to access it?(Not civilians)
