The Wisdom Of Crowds | HOW TO WIN THE LOTTERY | Derren Brown

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Derren and his group of volunteers try and predict the lottery for the first time as a group…..but are they successful?
#DerrenBrown #Lottery #HowToWinTheLottery
Welcome to the official Derren Brown RU-vid channel. Be sure to subscribe and catch all the amazing moments of magic, suggestion, psychology, misdirection & showmanship!
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Derren Brown is a British mentalist, illusionist and author. Since his television debut with Derren Brown: Mind Control in 2000 he’s produced multiple series and specials, winning two Laurence Olivier Awards. Derren doesn’t claim to possess any supernatural powers and his acts are often designed to expose the methods of those who do. He often claims his impossible effects are merely achieved through "magic, suggestion, psychology, misdirection, and showmanship".
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Website: derrenbrown.co.uk/ #DerrenBrown #DerrenBrownMiracle #DerrenBrownShowman

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Опубликовано:

20 ноя 2013

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Комментарии : 80

@prakhar35 10 лет назад

the method explained worked well with the cow's weight because people already knew what cow's generally weigh but there is no way a person has any idea what a random number would be so please Mr brown don't fool around

@mithramusic5909 9 лет назад

The logic is flawed here. "The Wisdom of Crowds" means that if you have a jar full of jelly beans, most people are likely to estimate the volume of the jar slightly incorrectly, the volume of a jelly bean slightly incorrectly, etc. However they're making an educated guess and over a large enough crowd their personal incorrect estimation will settle close to the middle. The lottery on the other hand is random. There's no educated guess to be made. Before anybody says "Well then how did they get three numbers correct?" I'd like to remind you that this is Derren Brown.

@Necrophadez 2 года назад

While I agree with your comment. There were two mathematicians that used probability and previous numbers to figure out the most likely numbers to next appear, and they won the lottery. I forget their names though.

@fathertedczynski Год назад

@@Necrophadez Sheer coincidence. The lottery is random; there is no dependence on the past, so anybody that claims they predicted the numbers through past results is simply mistaken.

@willmueller3637 8 лет назад

if this had actually happened, then everyone would have had to guess around 1 or 2 for the first ball (which was actually 02) since there cant be negative numbers. this would be highly unlikely if peoples guesses were truly, or at least a little, random. also the thing with the bull happened because the bulls weight was not random, people were able to at least have a range that the real weight must fit under, so some people guessed up, some down, and the average was the answer. but lottery numbers are random, so there is no range to narrow them down, nobody can get close.

@11deempje 10 лет назад

Love this!! Just amazing how it's done! Can't stop watching derren!!! XD

@danielmackay4362 10 лет назад

It's not real. What he said makes no mathematical sense. It's quite clearly a 'misdirection'. He even admits in his books that he is an entertainer and so much of what he does is fake.

@Fredthe99th 10 лет назад

I do think Derren is really impressive but this video is madness! So I may be wrong here but surly with this method you are just going to get closer and closer to the middle number. For example, unless everybody said the number one then the chance of number on coming up would be zero (not taking into account rounding error.) However the chance of one coming up is equal to any other number. In the example with the oz the method works because people are aiming for a set weight (mass) but in the lottery there is no set target, any number can be picked. This video makes no mathematical sense!

@ParawhoreLoL 10 лет назад

Misdirection

@the-brick-train 10 лет назад

that's what i was thinking! it would be impossible for them to predict '2' in that method because it would require the 6 guesses to be some kind of combination of '1,1,2,2,3,3'. All the guesses are generally gonna be towards the middle, like, it'll be like an upside down quadratic graph.

@ParawhoreLoL 10 лет назад

People don't understand this because thats how Derren wanted them to be. The numbers are an orchestrated game in order to keep you thinking about the wrong aspect of the trick.

@Tamiyaviolin 7 лет назад

Freddrick son of Dermott I

@michaelreyes464 6 лет назад

If you want a super easy method for winning the lottery then visit this site here: HotLotto.xyz

@alijames7697 9 лет назад

Does anyone know what the piano song is being played in the background round about 2 mins 30

@dpgboss6209 4 года назад

Amazing

@jonathangangbadja9953 4 года назад

I admire your vision my dear, so make me a lottery predilection from my country Benin he plays 5/90 every day

@somethingtosay1119 4 года назад

This video is only making me angrier! I had 5/6 of the numbers I had a 44 instead of a 4 and lost 377 million dollars. Thank u for pointing out how rare that is and how it will never again happen. pour more salt in my wounds

@forecastinglottery6153 4 года назад

The wisdom of the crowd and 296,000,000 combinations

@neoaeonmusick 2 года назад

I believe this whole thing about the wisdom of crowds is actually misdirection and he often adds these narratives to his magic tricks to misdirect you from how he really does it and I think a lot of times he's got people paid off I can think of several things where he actually does pay people off.

@EnoYaka 10 лет назад

You're awesome Derren!

@charlie55860 10 лет назад

no one likes you batman

@EnoYaka 10 лет назад

Charlie Kew You're Wrong. I liek me.

@charlie55860 10 лет назад

Bwuhaha i just got you to reveal your secret identity

@davidwhitfield7864 6 лет назад

Guessing the weight of an ox is completely different to predicting lottery numbers. You can have a rough guess at the weight of an ox. Some people will be a little too light, some people will be about right, and some people will be a little too heavy, so averaging it out to get a reasonably accurate answer makes sense. But a ball coming out of a machine could be anything from 1 to 49 and there's nothing to base your guess on, so it's pointless. It's just people guessing and then some maths.

@joedeshon Год назад

Absolutely true! The people at the fair were not "guessing" the weight of the ox; they were making predictions based on knowledge of the appearance of the ox. But with a lottery, everything is completely random. Picking the "average" of 24 random numbers will, of course, give you numbers that approach the mean of all the available numbers. If they had repeated the experiment a thousand times, they would have found that the predictions for all six balls were the same number!

@laurafujii5540 8 лет назад

please show us how many times you won lottery????

@madvoice3703 2 года назад

SUPER SIR 😇🙏 I KNOW SOMETHING THAT YOU NEED TO KNOW 😇🙏

@farhad198 10 лет назад

Around 2 years ago I saw a video with a similar concept with "Guess the Jellybean" and the result was only 3-5 jellybeans off or something. I then went to my school and told around 50 people to guess a number from 1-100 and the answer narrowed to 50, exactly halfway which was quite amazing. I then said I would try the lottery like this when I'm 18 (was 13 then, Now 16) and I can't believe Derren beat me to it xD

@rachaelday4709 9 лет назад

I know we all pick middle numbers - always more in the 20s than any other number - you don't have ppl picking 1/2/3/5/40

@elisegod 10 лет назад

Second and please put this on 4od

@bethwilliams9933 10 лет назад

You are so clever. I love the logic in your brain.

@danielmackay4362 10 лет назад

No amount of cleverness can allow you to predict something that is complete chance. The hook at the beginning was clever: all the experts would be close so it is likely that the average would be the weight of the cow. There are no educated guesses in lottery. There is no logic in his brain that would permit such a prediction.

@luxe.8419 10 лет назад

Daniel Mackay I completely agree, but there is still genius in the premise. He is using suggestibility to make people believe in things that are crazy, and that's still amazing in itself.

@danielmackay4362 10 лет назад

Cayleigh E. I suppose. He does, of course, seem to be able to manipulate people in a rather extraordinary way, though I am not sure how much of it is misdirection rather than psychology.

@sterlthepearl1000 9 лет назад

Interest social experiment Derren. Just remember guys the safest plan in life is not to depend on luck. What is luck? Laboring under correct knowledge.

@SpookyFan 10 лет назад

I look forward to the passing of this How To series of videos. I thought I was okay with patter in general to disguise tricks, but these rub me the wrong way for some reason. I've been trying to put my finger on it; the closest I've come is that they bring to mind "psychics" who brazenly tell customers their knowledge or memories are wrong and that they'll discover the real meaning behind the "psychic reading" in time (when in fact the fraudster is hiding her/his work/failings and putting blame on the customer who may be cajoled into saying "Oh, now I see what you meant"). Lying at best; insulting to intelligence at worst.

@forecastinglottery6153 4 года назад

human intelligence and artificial intelligence can predict balls if fantasy and machine logic work

@gertrudereed2798 8 лет назад

what is the number

@humzaashraf321 10 лет назад

being 1 number away is no different than being 10000 numbers away

@kevinpalmer620 8 лет назад

The last commenter is either American or Canadian.... caught the accent right off the bat.

@BomB_Don 2 года назад

My guess is you have to take it further..the question is what is keeping people from winning.ha

@HelmetBlissta 10 лет назад

Oxtail soup eh?

@nofacee94 10 лет назад

Nope. The ending was disappointing Derren. Does he think we are really that dumb?

@DrCash7 4 года назад

Shut your face. I am that dumb.

@mrcrab6085 8 лет назад

This is impressive

@tvbenguisimao6908 7 лет назад

Show My how to win

@charlie55860 10 лет назад

derrens only goal in life - predict the lottery

@EpicBunty 8 лет назад

accomplished!

@MTCoblivsicas12345 7 лет назад

Why choose 24 people Derren? This is part of the calculation as well.

@DarthScosha 10 лет назад

Time to kidnap myself 24 people. *rubs hand together*

@vinnievincent85 9 лет назад

You already have enough gil Cloud...

@MRAMAZRBALLZZ 8 лет назад

this wouldnt ever work as it would be nearly impossible to get 1 one. Yet the number in the middle wouldnt be a lot more commen

@dianarose5864 8 лет назад

all i can say is , what ?

@OGjimbo 10 лет назад

Derren, you know Captain Disillusion busted your terribly corny explanation for how you did this already don't you?

@thegreathadoken6808 5 лет назад

So much for "no camera tricks".

@forecastinglottery6153 4 года назад

only artificial intelligence AI can predict or predict part of an event

@Feralol1 10 лет назад

first

@laurafujii5540 8 лет назад

IT IS ALLL BLAH BLAH.....

@FB0102 8 лет назад

Cool idea. But lottery drawings are completely random, meaning that there is no pattern to figure out, so it's complete BS.

@TheDerpiestSir 8 лет назад

+FB0102 There is a pattern, some balls gets picked a lot more than others even though it is completely random, I like the call it the predictability of entropy

@TheDerpiestSir 8 лет назад

+herp Derp Though the problem with the group is that they needed to put numbers from smallest to biggest which they haven't since all averages were around 30

@JoshSideris 7 лет назад

It would still be completely random, but with a biased probability distribution. If that's the case, the only valid strategy would be to pick the numbers that appear most often. Your chance of winning using this strategy would still be so astronomically low, on average you'll lose far more than you'll make.

@nofacee94 10 лет назад

Absolute bullshit 1:40 in. But I am expecting Derren to do something far deeper and more intelligent, it is a facade for something incredible... I hope.

@iamk_tty235 7 лет назад

Omg. I can't believe it, but I actually just won the lottery with this trick! 😊 I'm so happy!! Just kidding

@tryalkkristian8221 7 лет назад

I also tried *4WinLottery .Com* and this is a great website to learn how to win Lottery....

@jameswallace5209 7 лет назад

Jalil Akando

@dulguunbeemenu8508 7 лет назад

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@JoshSideris 7 лет назад

Man, I have to say I respect the art, but I have zero respect for perpetuating false information like this. I have family members who blew their entire fortune and ruined their lives (and the lives of everyone around them) via gambling. All this video is doing is taking advantage of the average uneducated person for the sake of TV ratings. Crap like this should be banned, just like we retract fraudulent medical research (and hold those responsible for it accountable).