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Things Are About to Get Absolutely Crazy… (SP500 Breaks Down) 

Game of Trades
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9 сен 2024

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Комментарии : 101   
@ShapeshifterOS
@ShapeshifterOS Месяц назад
I think it'll be a bad idea to invest anything right until the stock market divergence between the S&P 500 and GDP shrinks. In the meantime just trade the charts and take advantage of the drops.
@Liam_Mac2
@Liam_Mac2 Месяц назад
The Buffet Indicator is currently 195%. Warren Buffet does not see much worth buying "unless things change" AKA stocks are clearly over-valued and will inevitably correct.
@McBain-qe2jh
@McBain-qe2jh Месяц назад
Am I an idiot for thinking we need a painful drawdown to keep a healthy market.
@Daimajin696
@Daimajin696 Месяц назад
The VIX spiked above 65 this week.
@dantheman909
@dantheman909 Месяц назад
VIX normally spikes like that in market bottoms, so it's a weird world right now
@mattyk6188
@mattyk6188 Месяц назад
@@dantheman909 I think it usually tops before the market bottoms, like an early indicator
@awwfishsticks
@awwfishsticks Месяц назад
Insane, right??
@jackinsonpablanes760
@jackinsonpablanes760 Месяц назад
@@dantheman909 it left a bottom august 05th
@chenterios5099
@chenterios5099 Месяц назад
Had no money for the spike 😢
@klaudiak6615
@klaudiak6615 Месяц назад
Holding stock, buying etfs and alts
@DonaldWarner-mq8iq
@DonaldWarner-mq8iq Месяц назад
The unusual reason for the spike in vix was the carry trade in yen that was 20 trillion. Many people were liquidated when japan did a surprise rate hike. But this might have been just a warning shot that something far worse is coming so much risk exposure out there. Im happy to hold bond etfs and gold which should preform very well during rate cuts. Then when crash looks likely too happy and euphoria is over that soft landing wont work ill sit on cash and buy puts on the S&P500
@blueknightcraze6766
@blueknightcraze6766 Месяц назад
Japan only increased rates by 0.25% and US hasnt cut rates yet. You think theres more people that havent dropped the carry trade yet? Me personally i think the markets got plenty room to go down, and ill be buying SPY leaps when i feel its dropped a good amount.
@TheBooban
@TheBooban Месяц назад
@@blueknightcraze6766and they raised it from zero, so Japan is at 0.25 and US is over 5%. So carry trade continues. I’m doing it now. Everyone in the world invests in US stocks.
@bikoastal9203
@bikoastal9203 Месяц назад
The macro picture is so awful there's no way I can see the bull market continuing.
@mattb383
@mattb383 Месяц назад
The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
@twisterli9177
@twisterli9177 Месяц назад
What's so awful?
@mandoughbeats
@mandoughbeats Месяц назад
The fact that everyone EXPECTING a recession is good for the market , I don’t see it dropping
@nationsnumber1chump
@nationsnumber1chump Месяц назад
Show us the war vs market chart
@GameofTrades
@GameofTrades Месяц назад
Sure, we can do that in a future episode (geopolitical risk index has risen a bit but nothing too alarming)
@MartinD9999
@MartinD9999 Месяц назад
This artificial holding up is gonna tank hard. HARD. Greedy ones will hurt the most. I’m just holding what I got and saving cash for the massive drop coming. Gonna be shopping spree.
@cvrart
@cvrart Месяц назад
I think this vol spike may turn out to be just the appetizer - a shot across the bow. You see this with other rate cutting cycles, where there is an initial spike right around the end of the rate plateau and as the cuts are about to start. But, as the rate cut cycle gets underway, we eventually see the main spike, which likely corresponds to capitulation and weak hands being washed out of their positions after HODL'ing for as long as they could, and as the economic slow down really starts to bite and put broader strain on the financial system.
@swellz210
@swellz210 Месяц назад
With it being an election year this is normal for this type of correction… historically speaking, sp500 is only gonna go up..
@HistoricalWeapons
@HistoricalWeapons Месяц назад
Just hold efts and wait 10 years
@jordantanner240
@jordantanner240 Месяц назад
I love a good eft
@Dxriz1
@Dxriz1 Месяц назад
Just started investing into 6 ETFs 2 days ago and will continue growing each one, you got any good advice when investing into ETFs?
@Stinkstiefel69
@Stinkstiefel69 Месяц назад
Pick one, not six​@@Dxriz1
@thesunstep
@thesunstep Месяц назад
@@Dxriz1 Yes. After buying, forget you bought it.
@TakeAhikee
@TakeAhikee Месяц назад
@@Dxriz1 i just drop 500$ every month, i usualy dont look at the price but if it is down the same day i sometimes pu 650$ but if it is up like 8% i usually wait for next day to invest when its down a bit...
@alekseygerbyn69
@alekseygerbyn69 Месяц назад
next unemployment rate report will show us was it a weather problem or a crash xD
@christianberg114
@christianberg114 Месяц назад
I think the Fed has made it pretty clear that an emergency rate cut is not on the table right now. So some further pressure may be needed to change their mind. It won't prevent a recession from playing out though.
@GameofTrades
@GameofTrades Месяц назад
Yes, a sustained bounce may be difficult without that type of development.
@martin.isakzay
@martin.isakzay Месяц назад
Super quality content from Game of Trades! Love the channel and the analysis, did not skip a video in the last 2 years. Keep up with the great work!
@Electrocutioner-1
@Electrocutioner-1 Месяц назад
What do you think about investors just not wanting to hold cash?
@MartinD9999
@MartinD9999 Месяц назад
Huh? Who doesn’t want to hold cash right now that it’s paying a decent 5%?
@AlecOnline.
@AlecOnline. Месяц назад
I see future rate cuts, potentially quantitative easing along with the election subsiding boosting the economy and then sometime next year inflationary pressures alongside expensive pricing for living catching up with everyone therefore igniting a recession. The way things have been going with current macroeconomic conditions isn't looking pretty. What are your thoughts?
@B312XC
@B312XC Месяц назад
I yolo'd some MNST puts and made a ton this week, gonna use those gains to buy subscription to GoT, well worth it
@jackpaperhands
@jackpaperhands Месяц назад
your macro analysis is the best on yt. just don't touch btc.
@KR-zn9tk
@KR-zn9tk Месяц назад
What about bitcoin pls can you do a video on that my friend appreciate everything you do ❤
@philyogaeveryday321
@philyogaeveryday321 Месяц назад
Take some profits then T-Bill and chill.
@handlemonium
@handlemonium Месяц назад
So....yes stocks (and by extension crypto) could peak at another all-time-high next summer before capitulating into huge sell off into a recession.
@wadej769
@wadej769 Месяц назад
If CPI / PPI is anything but perfect next week it’ll be a bloodbath 😅
@JRPLAWOffice
@JRPLAWOffice Месяц назад
AJ Monte thinks we're likely heading to the Covid 2020 lows. Any thoughts?
@GameofTrades
@GameofTrades Месяц назад
Very possible that we reach those level at the heart of the next recession.
@ClaudeLi-y5y
@ClaudeLi-y5y Месяц назад
😳OMG! That is 61%drop.
@Buboes1
@Buboes1 Месяц назад
Great video. Clear and excellent information. Thank you
@philiparundel2148
@philiparundel2148 Месяц назад
Excellent market analsys as always on GOT! Keep up the good work!
@kiaser21
@kiaser21 Месяц назад
Every single metric before a heavy recession or worse is currently triggered or even at historical record levels, except for one: Fed raising rates. They'll raise rates, we'll have a 10% improvement temporarily, and then we'll head directly into a crash. The Fed has never fixed anything.
@Liam_Mac2
@Liam_Mac2 Месяц назад
So they are sitting it out unless the S&P500 breaks through the downtrend channel (shown at 7min 50sec). Most of their trades were removed during July and what trades they have now are "tilted towards a recession".
@BraydonBlanchette
@BraydonBlanchette Месяц назад
Keeping an eye on TLT now
@monawoka97
@monawoka97 Месяц назад
I love watching this pretending I understand any of it
@lmtr0
@lmtr0 Месяц назад
sell in the relief, get the profit, buy back in the bottom. At least in theory lol 😅
@justSTUMBLEDupon
@justSTUMBLEDupon Месяц назад
<a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="85">1:25</a> It also could go higher like it did in the 90’s
@HashimKhan-qu9oh
@HashimKhan-qu9oh Месяц назад
🙂 This is wonderful, I've subscribed. I am curious, what do you use for your motion graphics? I would love to use it for my other tutorials. thanks for sharing!
@keithroberts5539
@keithroberts5539 Месяц назад
SVIX trade had to be quick
@mrbirgaming2384
@mrbirgaming2384 Месяц назад
trump said he doesnt want bad economy, he wants it to happen fast before he is elected
@bacool
@bacool Месяц назад
This will truly be epic and historic
@italianoemigrato8245
@italianoemigrato8245 Месяц назад
New ATH.
@sonnyandreotte5721
@sonnyandreotte5721 Месяц назад
no soft exit for boomers
@ridetilldead3164
@ridetilldead3164 Месяц назад
Hi can do a charts on BTC thxs🎉
@Balthazar-r1c
@Balthazar-r1c Месяц назад
Excellent thanks
@98musty
@98musty Месяц назад
Thanks dear
@william2chao
@william2chao Месяц назад
Sahm rules?
@JasonAmir-qo4uo
@JasonAmir-qo4uo 17 дней назад
Energy’s decline is expected, given the shift towards renewable energy sources.
@tmc4832
@tmc4832 Месяц назад
Time to cash out and run, this stocks market is manipulated by fed and wall street big funds....
@lilfrank1114
@lilfrank1114 24 дня назад
Thanks bro, made good enough of profit. Love your video 3xETF 🎉
@gvdkdjb
@gvdkdjb Месяц назад
New ath incoming.
@mikep509
@mikep509 Месяц назад
Left to right always higher over time... there will always be a rescue operation...
@wittiza2102
@wittiza2102 Месяц назад
Also constant inflation of the monetary supply so of course its always will go up. ..
@snky1987
@snky1987 Месяц назад
We would be scraping the BTC off the $2k level if it happens.
@bismuth7730
@bismuth7730 Месяц назад
cant wait.
@PainandSorrow
@PainandSorrow Месяц назад
Wheather?
@TurnkeyTrading
@TurnkeyTrading Месяц назад
the vix is messed up due to 0dte
@qinpra
@qinpra Месяц назад
Wasn't Powell has been signaling a rate cut during his last speech?
@lionelcliff
@lionelcliff Месяц назад
Sounds like a Bull market atleast untill Election day ;)
@nobsinvesting
@nobsinvesting Месяц назад
I definitely think we are heading into a recession, so I think your caution is very smart!
@seancsnm
@seancsnm Месяц назад
My two cents: The AI bubble began to pop with the Crowdstrike disaster. You can see it with this market correction. You can see it in the technical damage done to the semiconductor stocks charts. Trends breaking down everywhere. I think the market will rally to near ATHs but will fizzle out at some point and just grind sideways until another bear catalyst shows up. What happened to the VIX has never happened before though and it has already fallen significantly. So another big selloff in the next month or two seems unlikely.
@globalfun7803
@globalfun7803 Месяц назад
btc chart plz
@-Nick-T
@-Nick-T Месяц назад
this nation seems heading to war
@mathieucharroisaerialprodu6161
@mathieucharroisaerialprodu6161 Месяц назад
Arent you opening a door to a soft lending?
@mattk1358
@mattk1358 Месяц назад
A melt up has always been on the table from the insane money printing.
@user-mb3mf2og9k
@user-mb3mf2og9k Месяц назад
soft landing with 35T debt and ww3?😂
@Youcanatme
@Youcanatme Месяц назад
still don't get it why is everyone expecting a recession?
@scottsimpson7381
@scottsimpson7381 Месяц назад
Did you watch the video or pause it and head straight too the comments?
@zorilaalaviniuu503
@zorilaalaviniuu503 Месяц назад
I think we need it.We need a personal reset from our current life style ! We need to change ,grow ,develop personaly and spiritualy!
@SheepyG-DGV
@SheepyG-DGV Месяц назад
Cause prices are up and spending is up, but buying is down, if that makes sense. People spend more on general stuff, food gas and amenities, people are buying less for themselves like household white ware, cars ECT, that's how recession starts, things get to expensive through trade, world wide conflicts disrupting shipping routes
@KierzolSLU
@KierzolSLU Месяц назад
Told ya that bull run is over. Slowly for now, but let's wait few more months.
@lqcnfinancemore4602
@lqcnfinancemore4602 Месяц назад
imagine the goverment + fed let the inflation goes so high, that the national debt will be nothing. the possible inflation of asset esp the stock market longterm!
@huh0123
@huh0123 Месяц назад
You need to look at countries like Argentina, Venezuela, or Zimbabwe to understand exactly why hyper inflation is really REALLY bad.
@My-Nickel
@My-Nickel Месяц назад
Thank you sir 🙏
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