5 global deceptions of modern demography
We all know that there are about seven and a half billion people in the world. But is that really the case? Let's look at the 5 facts of modern demography, which lead to a stupor even the most hardened skeptics
Russia
Recall the story of this scandal: in 2010, Catherine Ulitina, an employee Of the Central Analytical center of the Registry office, told the world that according to the registry office on June 1, 2010 - in the Russian Federation according to the documents listed the living population of 89,654,325 people, not 142 million, as stated officially in the census. Ekaterina Ulitina even gave the real statistics, about 5 million people died in 2009. And over the next half-year in 2010, 4.6 million deaths were recorded.
Moreover, for 10-15 years in Russia, according to the forecasts of this analytical center, the death rate of about 40K million people was expected.
Ekaterina Ulitina told about it in 2010, data are officially published in the newspaper "For Russian business". Immediately after that, she was fired, but this information is neither a formal structure nor denied.
Here are the statistics of deaths for all of last year in Lipetsk region:
uzags.com/otdel/statistika/144...
But the Voronezh region:
vrnzags.ru/informatsiya/stati...
And this-Tula
docs.google.com/document/d/1E...
Everywhere we see figures, mortality, almost 2 times higher than the birth rate.
But the official figures of Rosstat: in Russia in 2017, the number of deaths exceeded the number of births by 9.2%
There are also calculations on the so-called grain index. The estimated rate is about a ton of grain per year per person, this, of course, does not mean that every Russian eats a ton of grain per year, but according to experts, such volumes are needed for the food industry, it is not only flour, but also feed for meat and milk production, and alcohol, and much more.
Based on these figures, 147 million is also not typed.
100 million tons were produced, one third of them are exported. It remains just about 70 million tons of grain.
Well, maybe it's only in Russia such a mess with the numbers? Let's look at the most populous countries in the world.
India and China
A large number of facts indicate that the celestial Empire is not home to half a billion people.
Based on historical data on the number is not possible, the numbers there do not converge from the word "at all". Otherwise, we will have to assume that every Chinese woman in the middle of the last century gave birth annually to 5 children.
Let's go to Wikipedia and sum up the population of the 20 largest cities in China. And get an impressive number of about 250 million people (including the population of districts). Where's the rest of the billion? In the countryside? But the same Wikipedia reports that the share of the urban population in recent years was more than fifty percent! It turns out about 500 million people. Of course, this is an approximate figure, but here are the figures for food. How to feed one and a half billion people? According to published data at the beginning of the century, China produced about 500 million tons of wheat. About the estimated rate - about a ton of grain per year per person, we have already said. Part goes directly to food, and part for cattle fodder and other needs. If you believe that the country is home to half a billion people, China is clearly not self-sufficient grain. But if we accept that the population is two or three times smaller, then everything falls into place.
Compare: in the United States collect about 500 million tons of grain per year. And the population in the United States is only about 300 million people.
You will say that wheat is not the main grain crop in China, they mainly eat rice, and indeed, rice is produced there about 200 million tons per year, but the figures that we have already cited show that this is still not enough to feed 1.5 billion people.
How can you not remember about the famous Chinese Ghost towns. By the way, one of them, Ordos, as independent researchers have dug, was one of the ancient centers of Tartary, read a series of articles on the links under the video, it will be interesting.
The situation is similar with India.
The population of 20 largest cities of India is about 75 million people. Where's the other two hundred million billion? The territory of the country is a little more than 3 million sq. km. apparently, they live in the fresh air with a density of about 400 people per 1 sq. km.
2 сен 2018
