Unless Sandhagen wins 4-1 CLEAR, the judges will give it to Umar. That’s the issue. Sandhagen will have to have perfect td defense. In Abu Dhabi they will choose control over damage for sure.
I agree with your analysis, I think Umar will be able to take him down but Cory will be able to get back up and land the better shots on the feet. I think it will be a close fight and will come down to damage vs control. I would probably pick Umar to win, but I think the line is too wide and there's value with Sandhagen ML at +250
Interesting that Sandhagen has not faced a wrestler/grappler since Aljo. I don’t think Sandhagen has the base or boxing to stop the TD and it will be very difficult to get back up. He will need to make Umar bleed.
