Under/Over Football Betting Strategy to Win Repeatedly - Football Betting

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Here I reveal an Under/Over football betting strategy that mathematically wins repeatedly. See how and why in this video as the strategy is shared over a 30-day sample.
Simple advantage software: bit.ly/3r55vkb (OddsMonkey)
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Premier League betting strategies are rare, this video explains why. Taking value is the only way to win long term, although sportsbooks won't tolerate it for long!
This video explains a football betting strategy for informational purposes. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Always do your own due diligence. Some links within this description are affiliate links. If you click on one of them, I may receive a small commission.
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For more sports betting tips, subscribe to Caan Berry Pro Trader: / caanberry

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21 авг 2022

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Комментарии : 640

@CaanBerryProTrader Год назад

See a follow-up video about football accumulators here: ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-IeyoU4uJuMM.html

@UKisFK Год назад

Mate is a company called WHG (White Hate Gaming) they ban all gamblers on small spending special slot players they play on 20p 40p and they only keep high spenders, streamers they represent their casinos can bet £1000/£2000 in one spin in Roulette and do £10 to £40 a spin, but low stake slot players they get banned as problem gamblers.

@ezekielchinaegbomkpa3140 Год назад

Do you have a betting site or website

@princegarvey6634 Год назад

Bro create a vip sportbetting group ill pay to join

@TeorijaZavera Год назад

Open 1xbet

@tagbonwogu2683 Год назад

I want to ask, how do you easily scan the sportsbook to find these overpriced odds, scanning the entire market for these odds is time consuming.

@diogorodrigues9595 Год назад

I know you said that you can find this opportunities in the lower leagues, but is there a more specific method or were you just going through the different leagues and different games until you found something?

@connormccluskey9602 Год назад

Any advice on how to find these opportunities? I'm finding it difficult to actually locate these on sportsbooks

@squareeyes9540 Год назад

This is a fantastic video. For a long time I always thought about how I could use low liquidity markets to my advantage, you may just have solved that! Looking forward to getting gubbed by the bookies now!

@jackinthebox6876 Год назад

Hello Caan, thanks for the video and strategy. What is the most common way to find the matches? Thank you

@bodegabay76 Год назад

Could betconnect be used to avoid account restrictions in the long run?

@victoreke8551 Год назад

I’ve seen a team H2H being 3-3, 3-1, 2-1 and I bet over 1.5 That day they played 1-0😂 The beautiful game!

@pushpakumarasubasinghe6548 Год назад

Me as well😂

@amanthegreat23 Год назад

The day I bet , match gets cancelled !

@brunolopes2205 Год назад

that isnt a great indicatior. You need to get bigger trends to justify an over /under bet. Check for that trend both home and away that specific season throughout the entire season. If the trend is good you should also check to see if it is still observed in the most recent matches (last 5 or so). Then check if the usual goal scorers are all playing (usually only possible for more popular leagues). Betting for consistent wins requires hours of chasing value.

@Full-Moon1 Год назад

Lol

@suleymanmuhammed4936 Год назад

@@amanthegreat23 😂😂

@samsonyahaya Год назад

Does backing with small stakes (like 10 pounds or less) or laying (expecting someone to back my lay odds also with less than 10 pounds) make it sure that I'll get matched?

@tomdior93 Год назад

Even though the downside is sports books restrictions, it's great to see these videos where you actually find value bets and give a step by step guide....throwing money at rebel betting etc removes thinking for yourself . Best video yet in my opinion!

@CaanBerryProTrader Год назад

Glad you enjoyed!

@lll.636 Год назад

What are the restrictions?

@bailey6143 Год назад

@@lll.636 I did this for nba player props, ladbrokes limited my stakes after about 2 months, PointsBet same

@bailey6143 Год назад

@@lll.636 went from betting around 100$ to 22.38 and they wouldn’t accept the rest. Dogs

@elyesgabsi1998 Год назад

I have not understood could u tell me what is the strategy?

@tex5587 Год назад

Can't i do this strat on other bets than Overs/unders, if i just find odds over the midtponit of the back bet and the lay bets on the exchange?

@norev143anciens6 Год назад

Caan, did you have min odds in mind here? Can't see any odds on bets in your sample.

@andreicosta3078 Год назад

Do you use software to get the matches? I saw they are hard to find even in the Asian competitions.

@MrAlexFrame Год назад

Hi Caan, would this strategy work with the Over/Under Corner kicks market?

@relaxengine8786 11 месяцев назад

Does this apply to live bets? If before the match the odds for over goals is 2 for example, if during the match we bet on 3 odds. Is this a value bet?

@James-lq1po Год назад

Very nice Caan, heart sank when I realised you were using sportsbooks though haha.

@daxter224 Год назад

You could just leave an order in the exchange the price you see with the bookie. Okay, a chance it may not get filled if a game develops quickly, but it’s another potential angle. It would also allow full automation with software such as Fairbot or BF bot

@testsubject5029 Год назад

will this work on money line too. i see signals more often with moneyline then over unders

@robinnoren7208 Год назад

Is this only possible with the Exchange? or could i abuse it with other bookmakers offering higher average odds? Can you ELI5 all of this?

@davidedwards209 Год назад

Great video caan. Im in a tricky position where I don't have many accounts that aren't open or limited. How would you go about getting more accounts?

@olympiakoschrysler8201 Год назад

Hi, Please advise the money side of the strategy. Do you start at a particular stake and increase when there is a loss or level staking ? Thats where i think the profit is made, what is the staking method. Thanks.

@MrMichaeljhinde Год назад

Always so sad to be reminded that ultimately there is no way to beat the bookies for more than a short window, unless you have the ability to grow an unlimited farm of pets :(

@catup8669 Год назад

I had rangers on a 15 game slip.only scored 1 goal,needed 2 on the match. Theres no way of knowing

@TheMerchantOfTruth Год назад

@@catup8669 Rangers 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

@kg7767 Год назад

There's only one way of beating the bookies............................................. do not give them any of your money

@MrAndrewFarrow Год назад

If I offered you 11/10 on the toss of a coin, would you take it? Even 21/20?

@ScottishGoldHunter Год назад

⁠Don’t agree at all. I have made profit from the bookies the last 3 years since I started properly started studying football. Not much but I was up £435, £800 then £250 last year and I am up £270 this year so far. As I said, it’s not much but well better than being down to the bookies and it can be done.

@angelolyrtzis Год назад

good evening, I've been admiring your work for a long time and I thought I'd try one of your tactics. I started with over/under betting strategy to compare the odds from Betfair exchange and I have a question for you if you want to help me. What are you doing when the odds at exchange are wrong and its to low? I play the bet on my sport book as a value but odds from exchange goes up and their is no value at all

@testsubject5029 Год назад

i see signals are happening often with basketball pre game instead with 3 odds. do you think its worth of shot

@Rdoyle01 Год назад

Thanks for the video mate👍 any chance in the future you could show a day showing all the bets you pick for examples ?

@astreakabove642 Год назад

Could you not also try to get matched for the higher odds on the exchange Instead ?

@charlesmoko2086 Год назад

Dear Caan, thanks so much for the video, my question is how do you stack per team. Or the minimum and maximum of stack .

@bubz3t136 8 месяцев назад

Hey, let me ask you a question. I recently discovered coupons in William Hill, on which you can predict which teams will score at least one goal in their matches. I used to gamble a lot years ago, and I never saw these coupons back then. How long have these coupons been around? Are they a new thing, or have they always been around? I wish I'd discovered them ears ago.

@ninjo9895 Год назад

So you just find anything over the true odds and make the bet? any rules you would suggest? like nothing past 75th minute for example

@piratox1095 Год назад

What do you think is a much more stable way to find true odds using betfair exchange values or pinnacle values?

@sure_thing Год назад

So if you do it at 50 pound stake say odds of 2.6 over 2.5 goals and its nil nil at half time are u leaving it or cashing out for a loss

@strzelba8254 Год назад

i have just found one game with odds applying to this criteria. It's not easy, but it's there, i suppose it's not there for long, so best to get when market forming. I wonder if same applies to other sports hmmm

@user-kr3lt7tu4r 8 месяцев назад

Great video, I like the way ou explain the content detailly. Is easy to understand and put into practice my everyone.

@333wheeler Год назад

How about watching match live and wait till price lifts to hit the value mark then place it on the exchange.. Might miss a few winners I guess ..

@lpk2343 Год назад

Do u need a minimum liquidity in the Betfair market

@simong4882 Год назад

Great video. Liked the content and production. I’ve been doing value betting for a little while now but starting to get the stake restrictions coming through now so looking into trading as more of a longer term prospect. Any recommendations for trading strategies that don’t require you to be at your computer during races/matches? I like the relative time flexibility and speed of value betting, not sure can achieve that with trading though? Thanks

@kokibenjamin347 Год назад

How do u do it please

@stevenwalker2297 9 месяцев назад

Share please 😂👍

@ChouanB Год назад

Do you choose at random the number of goals ?

@TheBenchPressMan Год назад

This is fascinating to someone who’s studied statics and decision analysis. You are exploiting a long run market asymmetry between the real odds and the better value odds. It is endless also as the discrepancy is there and you bet when it’s in your favour, as you are always consistently getting better odds that’s the book maker who you are competing against. Basically you are both taking the same bet, but you are going in with the probability of you beating them higher than the other way around. So over the long run you will come out on top! This is great!

@jasonkay9569 Год назад

I’ve started using this technique but am struggling to understand when to place bets as the odds are always changing so one second they are a value bet next minute they aren’t

@greighamilton7335 Год назад

Bet when you see the value early

@firstvisual5404 Год назад

Hi, thanks for your videos. I am having a bit of a problem understanding, you place two or three bets a day with a 50 pound stake. with an average of 2.6 odds? And if you win 40 percent of the bets in 30 days you make profit?

@brunolopes2205 Год назад

Its bc when you do win, your stake is more then doubled. So even if you win less than u lose in the end ehat you win still covers the stake losses. Its simple math

@hoheshaus2097 Год назад

Did you always bet the same amount or did you alter your stake that the winnings will always be the same? Or did you just staked randomly?

@roberthancox7616 Год назад

in your video you mentioned that you could set up alerts for this so i presume that there is software you use as a time saver for yourself since your obviously doing your daily betfair trading etc and videos so can you give us a clue as to what your using to do this cheers for all the time and effort you put in to do all your informative videos and content

@konstantinos3424 Год назад

Can you Tell us the software maybe?

@leonardoteles9236 9 месяцев назад

I dont get it, do you take your bet before game? or do you leave like that till the game ends it?

@tlawengmophosho4848 Год назад

I always thought you guys held back information on RU-vid, but this is gold.

@CaanBerryProTrader Год назад

See the new upload we just added too!

@leonjohannesen1205 Год назад

Did you only bet overs or did you bet the under as well

@khalidqawdhan3265 2 месяца назад

is there an altarnative to betfair because its restricted in the netherlands , how can i know the true odd. informative video this

@Coconutisi 14 дней назад

My English is not very good can please tell me if it’s possible on win or loss of a team and if yes how much do you win for example if you bet 100€

@darrenferguson3283 Год назад

Hi Caan, Did you select the bets based on value alone or did you check the expect goals per game?

@CaanBerryProTrader Год назад

Value, always value.

@j.forcegaming635 Год назад

Me am among a group where I receive 350odds daily and I make a lot of money from it if you are interested to join comment or like

@pierdelduca4706 10 месяцев назад

i did not understand how this strategy works. would you mind to explain it to me ? @@CaanBerryProTrader

@dispatchcourse Год назад

When I should play over 4.5 or 2.5.. I only saw over 2.5... How to know that? Regards

@michaeleast1949 Год назад

yet another excellent video Caan - can't see it working on Sportsbooks though - no chance of getting decent stakes on minor football especially if taking value - would it not be better suited to the exchange?

@CaanBerryProTrader Год назад

Exchange means commission, and premium charge for me. Wont get mental stakes on any sportsbook to be fair unless a total degen. Can work for a limited time on reasonable stakes.

@HeadstoneRestorer Год назад

@@CaanBerryProTrader I use the exchange to place my bets. I just factor in the commission (2%) and add it to the odds I want to reach. Not every bet gets matched, but I find it the best option due to being limited by the sportsbooks.

@user-jr8en7cg2f Год назад

@@HeadstoneRestorer It would be better to use Pinnacle...

@galaxybrainclips Год назад

Does this work for other markets too?

@Arankevin 15 дней назад

How did u make those stats in excel? Like strike rate etc?

@jacquezsheppard107 Год назад

What’s the formula you was using on your spreadsheet

@wilfredtours3858 Год назад

For me I know very well how I win. Every day and big amounts and I'll start teaching my strategy soon

@wildcatchamp7354 Год назад

Good video, however when the exchange spreads are that wide, you can't automatically say the mid point is the correct price. It just doesn't work like that. If it was, say, 2.4 - 2.48, it would be reasonable to assume 2.44 is right. But when it's 2.3 - 2.6 with £2 traded than there's no way you can be sure 2.45 is the true one.

@jnxythemouse Год назад

Can you explain this shit in American odds 🤣

@shadowwarsshadypeople6299 Год назад

American odds are as complicated as fractional to me

@alexhall27 Год назад

@@jnxythemouse for odds over 2, just minus 1 then multiply by 10, for odds under 2, good luck. 2.4 becomes +140, 2.44 is +144, 2.6 is +160.

@CaanBerryProTrader Год назад

A fair comment, the problem comes with creating videos here though. I have to keep it simplistic for everyone to understand. If I start going harder on finer detail and exchanges the majority aren't interested and don't get it. There could have been better examples for sure but this was the first one that I looked at for the recording, will keep that in mind for future uploads!

@wildcatchamp7354 Год назад

@@CaanBerryProTrader Thanks for the reply. Enjoy your videos, and get the point you were making in general. As you say, maybe not the best example here but good luck for future ones 👍

@roberthancox7616 Год назад

another well explained and presented video as you keep saying got to keep taking the value to profit over the long term

@davespruce1771 Год назад

Hi Caan, quick question if you wouldn't mind answering..... I prefer the fibonacci method of staking as opposed to level stakes, only problem is tho is finding a type of bet that provides around a 50% strike rate.....youhave just given me that I think?!! Do you ever use fibre? Many thanks mate.

@davespruce1771 Год назад

Fibo not fibre that's another subject entirely 😆

@cjkir8512 Год назад

So for this strategy are you just placing one bet with the sports book?

@oliverszalontai7694 Год назад

How can you find these matches on the exchange? I couldn't find low quality football in the exchange

@stevehamilton5430 Год назад

I want to see a video on the esoccer battles. I won over £2000 and then got my account restricted, don’t know what I was doing wrong?

@antskilu1354 9 месяцев назад

if u take multi 2.29 and 1.25 is it same when u take single2.66?

@DusanOravectravelandearn Год назад

hi, which staking is for you most profitable in long run for betting on value? is ok to use proportional staking 2 percent from recent bankroll?

@willswan8896 5 месяцев назад

yes if u want to spend that

@LoversGrief 5 месяцев назад

I have a real problem understanding what he says. Hhahaha

@ronena2476 Месяц назад

Well he is British, all the Hollywood movies made us get use to American accent😂

@jacobharris5575 Месяц назад

He speaks very clearly actually

@ZoroRorono-pq2iv 25 дней назад

He speaks very fast

@norev143anciens6 Год назад

OK I might give that a go on some gubbed/stake restricted accounts with small stakes to see how I get on. Nice one. Time to get scrolling through the Algerian 2nd division ;-)

@kingsfordkofintiboateng5819 Год назад

So we should bet on lower teams ???

@timlindars8072 Год назад

Have you tried any sites for value betting like rebel betting?

@Harp00nX Год назад

Is there a maximum odds we should be looking for using this? Like 5.0 should mean the backed outcome is highly unlikely to happen... are we looking for something no higher than 3.0 or is there another strategy to picking which bets to make?

@CaanBerryProTrader Год назад

No not the odds that matter, its the difference between the odds shared that matters. The bigger the better.

@testsubject5029 Год назад

i think live play is more better. you remember what odds must be and then wait ?= because i cannot see signals at all at pre game. today for example there no games that fit into this criteria

@adobe3910 Год назад

Love my weekly Caan Berry Monday morning vid 😂 Another good one sir

@Proudtobeirish000 Год назад

Hi Caan, just found your page and finding it extremely helpful. Just wondering does this strategy work just as well with other football outcome bets? E.g. Arsenal 2.0 to win, exchange odds being 1.9 to 1.92?

@henryt9731 Год назад

I think this works best in situations where there is only 2 outcomes

@jay4022 Год назад

Everything went over my head and that's fine. But I don't understand you can give prices what type of bets but your list had for. Example over 4.5 under 2.5 over 3 .5 ect. How do you know when to go under as high as 4.5 or as low as 2.5 and who to pick? So much left uncovered and surprised no one has picked up on this.

@strzelba8254 Год назад

There was some game in Bolivian league yesterday, I backed overs @3 and highest ISP was @2.80. i've read somewhere that in order to be profitable you need to beat closing odds. Is that case beating closing odds? My understanding is that Bookies odds have no value, so would beating them odds still guarantee to be on top?

@CaanBerryProTrader Год назад

Beating the SP wil leave you out ontop eventually.

@nudgexs 5 месяцев назад

This has stumped me for some reason, can't get my head round out ! It is basically, if the odds are higher than the mid point between back and lay you back it on the Sportsbook / 365 etc?

@hemanth.h3769 2 месяца назад

bro can i bet on two team of same match ??? and bro i have betted on one team and the match started then can i bet on same team again?? pls any on clear this two ...

@testsubject5029 Год назад

thanks for sharing the strategy. but if bookmakers may limit you, what if you place bet only at exchange by typing that middle odds before the game if it will arrive into that spot. will this work also

@shadowwarsshadypeople6299 Год назад

He's using the exchange to find value bets in bookies. I've done that with the AI beth for horse racing, and it worked well..but I think they went under already. As the cost of the beth subscription meant that the ROI from beth had to be substantial in order to justify the membership

@multitablez7825 9 месяцев назад

what about using one of those betting brokers? and as you say, it is only finding odds in sportsbooks bookies? so you can't just set to bet be matched on a exchange p2p ? @@shadowwarsshadypeople6299

@r.antony485 Год назад

Ciao scusami su quali basi usi over 2.5 grazie mille

@panoschris9117 Год назад

What about two results overpriced which should i select??

@11111aaron11111 Год назад

Would love a copy of the spreadsheet if available please?

@David-ue6iq Месяц назад

Do you use Software to identify the odds or do it by yourself?

@roberthancox-mj3wl 6 месяцев назад

if your completely restricted with your bookmaker accounts but you have an exchange account then try offering the bookies value price on the exchange with the stake you wish to use as obviously prices move both before and during a match so it may suprise you how often you can get your bets matched even if like me you add a couple of ticks more to the bookies value price to increase your value on that particular bet as well. Just a thought

@Alexandertygreat Год назад

Using kelly criterion to work out bet sizing could maximize said profits by alot. Obviously more variance. But when your edge is higher, betting more relative to odds must be advantageous.

@tamasnemes8033 Год назад

I understand that it's good to place it higher, than the market margin, but what guarantees that at least 10-12 out of 30 events will come in for me to win?

@CaanBerryProTrader Год назад

You don't need to worry about which event does what. Eventually probability plays out, you just need to make sure you get payed more than the probable chance - making you a long-term winner. Its the only way to win in sports betting.

@jedlabe Год назад

could it work with greyhounds racing?

@kevinjanosik2604 Год назад

Caan, wouldn't be easier to bet on selected value bets in exchanges once the match starts after 10 -15 minutes if no change in scoreline this way you'd get much higher odds so 2% commission wouldn't matter

@davidfield7810 Год назад

Interesting video but again penalised for being successful by the bookmakers which makes it difficult to make it pay long term. Looking forward to more racing website and tipster videos maybe a live Q&A would be good 👍.

@phantasm9 Год назад

Whats the starting budget? To see earnings

@RiPPeRZ Год назад

Any chance we can get the excel file please?

@12345calvin12345 Год назад

I watched video for seveal times. Is it a "must" to bet above average for long term profit? What I mean - if you have 2,2-2,44 on betfair so the middle is 2,32. What if bookie has 2,24odds - is it still considered as a value bet?

@richfps7965 9 месяцев назад

thats what i want to know either

@danielphil4976 Год назад

534£ is huge over here mate 😂 Good video!

@marktimeny1488 Год назад

Do you take into consideration weather or think an edge can found with weather , i think bad weather generally favours unders , although it can make for more scrappy play and sontimes make things more difficult for keepers / defenders , , i also think artificial pitchs v turf , And day games v night games can have an effect on overs / unders , i would like to find some good stats on how much these things have on an effect , i would like to find some good stats on elevation effects on over/ unders for South American football as well , always looking for any edge can find to beat the bookies

@markreynolds7890 Год назад

yor missin the point bruv

@____REX Год назад

@@markreynolds7890 what point?

@KamranKhan-lx9sc Год назад

I only bet on over 2.5 goals. This video helps a lot!

@CaanBerryProTrader Год назад

Cool, glad it helped. We just added another that might be of interest.

@jamesndungu2741 Год назад

Help a brother

@justsomeone9267 Год назад

It's Harem for you Muslims to gamble, hope your mum don't find out & beat you.

@simulki7108 Год назад

Same. It is only a matter of goalkeeping bettint over/under 2.5. I’ve had games with extremely many shots on goal but it won’t simply score because their goalkeeper is a monster. I once was one game away from 1500 euro. Each team had 7 shots on goal with ZERO goals. My previous game the scoreboard was 2-2 after 35 min when both teams had each 2 shots on goal. I do not look at the odds because of this reason. I have won on over 2.5 goals where the odds were 2.90 but lost on odds 1.70 despite statistics. All.About.Goalkeeping. All.

@paulwaboso3945 3 месяца назад

Yeh bruv thats the best market but they fix games alot so its getting harder to win

@spencetv5210 Год назад

If want to work with you bro...can i get participated?

@gicupope298 Год назад

Hello, could you tell me how to find the matches more easily with the value of what they show? It is better to enter pre-match or live. Thank you !

@CaanBerryProTrader Год назад

You need to stop looking at arbitrary values like before and during play. Its about the odds difference and nothing else. The other factors just help where is most likely to be found - generally speaking, the least popular events and markets.

@gicupope298 Год назад

@@CaanBerryProTrader Yes, but I am interested in finding out how to find the values you are talking about more easily. Is software or a program needed? It is very difficult to find manually.

@Paul_314 Год назад

I thought exchange betting on betfair was against other people and betfair just take a commission on winnings?

@malcolmwasher9915 Год назад

I love when bookies did 2 dollar favs in afl was easy to get a free bet

@darshakfaria1938 Год назад

Hello any idea where can I lay in horses (Betfair doesn't work here anymore) so can you help me with it thanks

@CaanBerryProTrader Год назад

Smarkets? Matchbook?

@amanikamana1287 Год назад

Thank you so much brother for everything you've been doing for us thank you for telling the truth I was realizing why we are losing so much money. I'm really appreciate. I am thinking using over and under it's more better than saying winning.

@keng4560 Год назад

Send odds

@hrishikeshmeena7521 Год назад

Whatsapp number

@barongradel6822 11 месяцев назад

@@keng4560We see these things easily spiritually.

@Stephenphillips29UK Год назад

Isn’t there some analysis which needs to be done first to check if a team is going to score or concede less than the over/under in team selection first?

@CaanBerryProTrader Год назад

Nope, its based on maths and probabilty. Its a misconception that people win becaue they predict the future, they dont.

@eichkater6928 Год назад

@@CaanBerryProTrader hey Caan Berry, do you consider the 3.5 Goal line also to be sharp on exchanges like bf or mainly 2,5? Or should I wait till 4-5min prior game to get bigger limits and thus sharper odds @ 3,5+ goals?

@brunolopes2205 Год назад

@@CaanBerryProTrader Prediciting the future sint a misconception... is straw man. What people do is assess whats most likely to happen or even stuff that is more likely to happen then the odd suggests. I dont think any bettor claims to know the future.

@ezekiel6946 Год назад

how do you find the bets so easily? because whenever i check . have never still found anyone where the medium odds is lower that the odds of the betting platform

@CaanBerryProTrader Год назад

Its about looking at the right times before the event - and automating it where possible.

@ezekiel6946 Год назад

@@CaanBerryProTrader what do you mean by automating it? with a script ?