Well, DELTARUNE Chapter 3 & 4 Are Releasing Soon? 

Heya! Thanks for watching, I'll be back with something familiar soon. ('Read more' for corrections) ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Support on Patreon: www.patreon.com/harrybutharry Tip on Ko-fi: ko-fi.com/harrybutharry Join the Discord here: discord.com/invite/MyHM8wq4UW ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ At 10:16, I say Chapter 1 released in 2019 when, in reality, it released in 2018. I must've been looking at the Nintendo Switch release date, which was in 2019. This makes the calculation for the amount of days in between the chapters incorrect - instead of 687 days, it is 1052 days (around 3 years). Still, I think my point stands that a 3-year development cycle for Chapter 3 & 4 is a reasonable estimate.

we better not get GTA6 before chapter 3

Y'know what's one of my favorite things about Toby Fox? he communicates, even when there's nothing to say. his last several newsletters have just been like "we're still working, it going to be a while, but its coming." I guaruntee the Hollow Knight community would be in way less restlessness and disarray if Team Cherry would communicate at all, even if there isn't really much to say

actually (idk what you were thinking) chapter 2 took 2 years AND 11 months to finish. but thats only because toby's wrist broke and they spent a lot of time changing engines just to find out their initial engine was fine

7 Developers,seven human souls, OH MY GOD!

Haven't finished watching yet, but Toby just tweeted that his friends had played through an unfinished but fully playable Chapter 4! (and they enjoyed it, but that was always a given) This could mean that we get the next two chapters this year, likely after the usual fall release window, but we could easily get a release date this fall if nothing else!

my prediction for the release is December. not only is it the perfect amount of time for toby and the team to finish and polish the chapters, but the month itself is also relevant. and I think we're definitely going to get more Dess related lore in the next two chapters.

my prediction is that by the time we get the summer newsletter, chapter 3 will be complete, while chapter 4 will be nearing completion. my predicted release date was either November or December 2024, but yours sounds possible too. either way, great analysis dude. hopefully you're right though, because the wait has been dreadful for me

chapter 3 is DEFINITELY done now, if not, 99.9% complete. Toby also said a couple of days ago that he had some of his friends play the unfinished chapter 4, so im betting that chapter 4 is atleast 65-75% done in general, and 85% content complete.

We love Toby Fox

My prediction is, Toby Fox is psychic and is waiting until I leave to go camping for two weeks and he will release then

Also wanted to mention that Toby underneath the twitter post talking about the new newsletter this month, he mentions that some of his friends played through Chapter 4, meaning the entire chapter is in an at least playable state. That means the team could already have started work on steamrolling for quality control and bugtesting.

I'm so glad I get to experience Deltarune blind, unlike my experience with Undertale, which I learned about from the internet and had just.. relentlessly spoiled for me despite literally everyone warning me not to watch stuff about it without playing it first. No one to blame for that one but myself honestly. I'm happy to play through Deltarune as it was meant to be played though, it's refreshing and wonderful.

My autism can’t take this

So basically we're getting it in the next 3 - 6 months

After he gave one of the last progress updates for Chapter 3, I have thoroughly believed that Chapters 3 and 4 could come out by late this year or early next at the LATEST. Their development has only been getting more and more efficient, and it seems like they've found an extremely good stride in development and a really good team size. You can't have too few or each person gets burnt out fast, but too many cooks in the kitchen spoils the broth too. Having a proper manager with a moderately sized team seems perfect for this.

While nothing has been directly confirmed by Toby Fox, a well-known member of the GameMaker community, Shauna Spaulding, has recently stated they've been hired into the team. The exact time period when she was hired is unknown to my knowledge however. EDIT: A few other things to note- Chapter 2 is the most content heavy chapter in the game, with several factors that played into the start of its development which made it take longer than anticipated. These issues, like what game engine the rest of the game would be made in, have been sorted out. So not only do they have the base engine to work with figured out for the rest of the game, they're also working on smaller chapters, with more people on board, which could re-frame estimates for when chapters will be releasing. Really good video by the way!

October 31 2024 for Ch3-4, December 25 2025 for Ch5, September 15 2028 for Ch6-7 and I will stand by it.

honestly, my biggest hope for the chapter is just that it has the same level of impeccable attention to detail as the first 2 (with obscure interactions like when you re-encounter the first Rudinn and it says "Presumably a different Rudinn from last time appeared!" which made me laugh way harder than it should've) if it does I swear I'll spend hours just exploring every tiny corner of the game to find all the random easter eggs and it's gonna be SO FUN

I am betting BOTH kidneys this next newsletter is gonna be a good one. No, you can't have my kidneys.

As a story teller and making my own stories as a kid. I always had the ending first. I believe chapter 7 in terms of script or ending is already set and everything is carefully being places in motion for toby to get to the ending HE wants (not the ending we want) because he said that he had the ending to the game already so thats a given. Nothing ofc has probably been work on for any of the kater chapters other than script/story purposes in my speculation as a small time writer

I don't even care were not getting 3 more chapters and instead getting 2. I just want SOMETHING atp 😭

i had a Divine Vision back in january that it WILL be out by the end of 2024, so theres your answer right there !

Christmas 2024, take it or leave it.

I think we're definitely at the point where the fans are allowed to be frustrated with the slow progress. Honestly that point was a year ago. If it isn't releasing in this year I might actually go crazy.

3:25 Also a new programmer, Shaun Spalding.

4:49 I love this little detail you added, just to show your appreciation for Toby’s hard work!

I think it's pretty likely that we are going to get it this year, and while I personally am thinking more December to fall into that hot button release window, I am aware Toby and his team aren't money men so it is anyone's game. I feel like the two chapters will likely release for $15 USD as it's price point, but I'm almost certain that with it we're going to get major sales or even a discounted final package when the game is fully complete. Overall it seems like development is decently smooth sailing now that the major hurdles were crossed during the initial development of Chapter 2 and now there is more framework in place to allow for future development to occur without having to overhaul. And if I want to go out on a major limb I think chapter 5 will be done by late 2025 - early 2026 and the final game will be fully released at 2028, though this is major prediction and simply based off the facts outlined and the likelihood of more people being hired on as things develop. Overall cool video which lays out all the info in a succinct manner and it's good to hear another person with more laid back ability to discuss potential release dates, when around all the people apparently losing their minds over a pretty reasonable development time for a smaller team. Keep up the great work and have a lovely day :D

I’m calling it Here and Now. They’re both releasing in September, just like chapter 2.

i honestly have no idea where the idea of chapter 4 not having a dark world came from, toby literally stated that chapter 4 will be "a more standard chapter"

Chapter 3 and 4 will release in a bundle along side silk song

All these talks about the launch of the game makes me happy and hopeful for Deltarune again I'm just praying for a Holiday 2024 release pleaseeeeeeeeeeeee

1:45 my American brain was like “14/02/24…? There’s not a 14th month! Oh.”

I know it’s probably not going to happen, and not to sound impatient, but I really hope that chapters 3-4 get released for pc *&* switch on the same day. I don’t want to go through waiting a whole *week* just to play it on switch like last time, but I’ll do it if I have to! 😭

I feel like the earliest they can release is early to Mid fall

I heard there will be a July Deltarune Newsletter. Looking forward to that.

Here's my prediction: Chapters 1&2 are getting small glowups in terms of quality standards to match 3&4 (nothing crazy). We will probably get that update before 3&4, since toby says he's waiting for the next GameMaker update to release the newsletter (it makes no sense for him to wait for an engine update to release a newsletter otherwise). This GameMaker function is about changing what game you are playing on the go, which they will use in the chapter selection screen, every chapter will be a different "game" to put it like that. Also probably we will not get a release date in the July 2024 newsletter, but rather in september with some anniversary event. As for when we are getting 3&4? Probably november or december. Gaster still has to contact us for this "Third connection"

10:16 uhh, actually it released in 2018

As of recently Shaun Spalding has also joined the dev team! They helped out a bit with Chapter 2 and announced recently that they got hired full time to help with the game on their channel!

Ok but imagine this... Chapter 3 & 4 - October 31th 2024 Chapter 5 - DECEMBER 2025

starting highschool, and then graduating before chapter 3, and 4 is crazy

Oh Friend. I'm so excited to get Inside those new Chapters in some months. And hopefully we'll get the Newsletter in some days, it's a great day to be quite Me self!

Friend inside me

we live in a world where there is a real possibility that the producer is fucking masuhiro sakurai

i cannot say how exited i am for the new chapters, ive been itching for new undertale/deltarune content for sooooo long

I don't think it's weird to think Chapter 5 may release standalone. The initial plan was to end the first paid release with Chapter 5, so there's clearly something in it that made Toby think it will be a good stopping point while we wait for the rest of the game to be completed. It might end on a really juicy cliffhanger, for example. So I definitely agree with you. On top of that, if C4 *is* feature complete and they're already moving the feature team to C5 in this month, I think late 2025/early 2026 is a good assumption of when we might be getting it (not that I'm getting my hopes up until we have full confirmation from Toby of course, this is just speculation).

"I think a larger development team is likely to mean a faster development cycle" very funny thing to say about someone who used to work on Homestuck

This video reminded me that Toby changed his plans toward the release of the next few chapters. When I read his recent tweet I was like "Really cool that chapter 4 is technically playable all the way to the end but I don't really expect it to release this year, after all we don't know how much progress was made with chapter 5!" but now I think we might see the next 2 chapters relatively soon. Of course it's not concrete but we are seemingly getting closer than expected. Perhaps not necessarily this year (although the 4th quarter isn't too far fetched) but the beginning of 2025 is a pretty safe bet. So basically just like you speculated

I think we will get chapter 3 and 4 in 2024 or early 2025. But i also think that Chapter 5 will be the quickest chapter to come out of the rest. Since chapter 5 is somewhat being worked on already but i also believe it will still take over a year to make... Though with the team getting bigger and getting used to each other i think we will get Chapter 5 Before 2027

the best possible time for it to be is christmas day. perfect game to buy and have a cozy christmas

I have a feeling that we will know that Chapters 3&4 will release soon when Toby Fox’s twitter gets hacked / acts weird again lol (For those who don’t know what the heck im talking about toby fox posted weird tweets the same day chapter 2 was planned to be released. It has been theorized that whoever made the tweets is gaster due to the person who made the tweets writes in a similar fashion to how Entry 17 is written/spoken(?). This also happened back to 2018, when Chapter 1 of deltarune released.)

I'm losing my mind I'm losing my mind the wait is making me crazier than spamton please Mr. Fox I beg I need more deltarune copium

Thank you for putting all the info together - from someone who hasn't had the time to follow as closely

conclusion: i guess i can safely tell you guys the probable progress of chapter 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 in a way, so here you go. chapter 3: 100% complete. chapter 4: 99% complete chapter 5: 10% or 25% depends if it is the knight's chapter cuz toby has the knight meeting concept sketched out. chapter 6: 0% or 1% same reason as ch. 5. chapter 7: 1% or 2% same reason as ch. 5, and also cuz deltarune's endiing comes from toby's fever dream, thus, he tecnically made it.

I was in middle school when Undertale came out, and by the time chapter 5 comes out I’ll probably have graduated college. I am willing to wait because I believe Deltarune will be a masterpiece. I truly hope it’s seen through to its best.

something that's very unlikely but would also be pretty cool is chapter 5 releasing on Undertale's 10th anniversary next year (sept 15)

i'm gonna turn 30 before this game fully releases (I'm 19)

I’m so excited for Chapters 3 and 4. The entire world is gonna feel like it changed

this is one game i’m not waiting to go on sale to buy

Considering how smoothly things are by the may newsletter we might be very close but we need this month's newsletter to confirm that.

We’ll get chapters 3-4 in late October/early November, no console release until Christmas-ish, then chapter 5 coming out in q4 2025.

I like to imagine toby watching these videos like Miguel from Spider-Verse 2 wanting to say something but knowing he can't

Both ch1 and ch2 released around fall, so maybe ch3 + ch4 would release around fall this year or next year.

Yo does anyone think that we may get Chapters 3 & 4 on this year's Deltarune Anniversary? That's my prediction as that will be 4 months from when Toby said it was "quite far" in June, and at least for me, 4 months is "quite far." Edit: just finished watching the video and noticed that what I said was Harry's prediction. Well at least one person agrees with me lol Second Edit: Maybe if the chapters themselves don't come out on the anniversary, then the release dates for them will be shown on that day.

didn't follow the news for the game for quite some time, thanks for updating me!

I mean I am very excited for Chapters 3 and 4 but once I finish them it's gonna be another 2 year wait for the next chapters. That's gonna be disappointing

Toby for the love of God, we're getting a full international release of Ace Attorney Investigations 2 before Chapter 3 & 4, we are fully into Gigapause mode. We're starving

As nice as it is that Toby plans to release multiple chapters at the same time, I'd much rather just wait in between each chapter. But either way, I hope things continue to go smoothly and we get Chapters 3 and 4 as soon as possible. No rush. Just excited

I think it will be released between October 2024 and February 2025

we’re all gonna die before deltarune is finished

this would in fact track with the pattern of Fox et al releasing a broader-UT/DR thing every 3 years

chapters 3 and 4 release february 1st, 2025 just trust me

thanks for making a video like this, it doesnt really matter if it releases on octuber but i needed to see SOMETHING related to development and get my hopes up :'D

Don’t break the three year cycle Toby!

watching this video with an inverted filter on (drawing challenge) and every time toby pops on screen I’m like “omg evil toby fox”

I honestly think this is for the better. I fear Chapter 4 could have been overshadowed by 3 and 5 if they all released together as the weird middle arc.

My guesses for the release dates are late 2024, and at the latest, early 2025. Whenever it is, I will no doubt be jumping around the house in excitement when it comes out- Take your time, Toby and devs!

At this point I just wonder if I'll be around to see it completed

I’m predicting that chapter 3 and 4 will release this year or like near the end of the year. Orrr it will release next year. Like in April or may.

Deltarune team making sure to take theyr time and drop the most perfect chapers ever (i love deltarune)

I wonder if there are only 7 chapters, because in the game files there are up until 10 chapter intro animations, which could imply more than 10 chapters

Sooner than we thought? It's been 3 years.. it'll be another more..

random prediction, some deltarune chapter(s) will release in december at some point consider the importance of Dess.

Havent watched all the way through the video, but i predict that the next chapters/the internal deadline mention in the newsletter will be September-October 2025 *_-the ceo of 💀_*

The fact i replay chapter 1 and 2 everyday

It's this year or next year my guy, chapter 3 is done so 4 can't be far. So this year could work, IF THEY GET CHAPTER 5 DONE NEXT YEAR. Undertale turns 10 next year so 3&4 coming out this year or next year is basically confirmed. You see my logic here?

Oh nice . Another prediction video that I'm going to re-watch when the chapter will be released. :D

my theory is that it will release in september or october of this year (before 2023 my theory was this or last year) and my evidence is that every single tobyfox release date was 2-3 years apart and in september or october

If you take notes from the newsletter, you can say that in the summer chapter 3 was likely in the same state as or at least close to how chapter 4 was portrayed(with the steamrolling state) and it took more 3 newsletters for toby to reveal that the team only needed to finish japanese localization to complete chapter 3, and considering that we are gonna have a newsletter by this month, and that usually newsletters come by 2 months, we can wait for it to likely drop on october/november? Remember that chapter 3 was really hard developing at first, but also don't forget that may be surprise factors for chapter 4 Hopes up nonetheless!

I’m personally pretty unhappy about the fact Toby finished chapter 3 already, but just refuses to sell it because he wants to bundle it together with 4. I already can’t make any of my friends play Deltarune, because of how long the gaps between chapters are, and now we are delaying a chapter on purpose? It’s one thing when the game just isn’t ready - not much can be done about that. But when you have a finished product and go “nah, let’s wait for a second finished product before I publish it” does rub me the wrong way. At this point pretty much only hardcore deltarune fans are still playing the game, everyone else either completely lost interest or wants to wait for the whole game to be finished. And the problem is the “full game” will be like 50 hours, of a game that requires multiple replays for a full experience - these aren’t really chapters, these are full on sequels misnamed as chapters

If we’re still going by an autumn release date for the chapters i’m thinking the chapters to be releasing like this: 3,4 2024 5 2025 UT 10YR Anniversary 6,7 (they could also be separated) 2027

Considering all factors, I’m also guessing that Q4 2024 is a likely window, maybe Q1 2025 if things take a bit longer.

Don’t give me hope Man

My theory is 3/4 will be released on Christmas, or around Christmas time.

nah watch they're gonna clutch and release on my birthday next week!!!

toby fox is the slowest dude on the planet but its so worth it

Yes. Yes we are. Chapter 5 as well.

The more i near thr more excited i get for thr upcoming chapter's

I'm thinking October is a bit too soon. I think we will Definitely start getting marketing around that point, possibly even news that it's mostly ready, or even that its finished, but I think you're closer to the release date with December. however I also think there's a chance that might be copium talking and we aren't going to get both chapters until january at the earliest

I imagine seeing one of those yt poll thingies (Yk what I mean)saying something like “which deltarune chapter is your favorite?” and having 4 options 😭