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What is a p-value? 

Cassie Kozyrkov
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Demystifying one of the trickiest concepts from statistics: p-values!
This video is part 1. Find parts 2+3 here:
bit.ly/quaesita_randomplaylist
Same topic in blog form: bit.ly/quaesita_puppies
My other articles to help you understand some of the preamble:
How do you form a null hypothesis? bit.ly/quaesita_damnedlies
What's the main idea behind hypothesis testing?
bit.ly/quaesita_fisher
All of statistics in 8min:
bit.ly/quaesita_statistics

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3 мар 2019

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Комментарии : 136   
@technicalmachine1671
@technicalmachine1671 4 года назад
Oh, it's a puppy value. Got it now
@haejinl463
@haejinl463 3 года назад
I sat down for 2 hours reading/watching about p-value thinking how this is so counter intuitive...then I watched your video...EVERYTHING MAKES SENSE! You're my hero (and Fido)!!
@naevan1
@naevan1 3 года назад
4 years of math degree and i've never heard a better explanation. thanks
@ewhulbert
@ewhulbert 5 лет назад
This is fantastic, please continue this series. Also, I have an 8 year old and you are correct, the entropy increases dramatically.
@omarnasser9065
@omarnasser9065 3 года назад
i think many people wont realize actually how brilliant u explained ... thank u
@timhoward6742
@timhoward6742 3 месяца назад
you're right. I still don't understand
@michal9775
@michal9775 5 лет назад
Thank you :-) You're always a true inspiration. It's clear you're new on YT, but please, keep going and polish the videos you're providing. Your previous articles were amazing. Please translate them into video lectures and build your brand here as true decision scientist. This is gonna be a revolution! :-)
@modakad
@modakad 5 лет назад
Wow !! What an simple way to make even a newbie understand what's p value ! And the way you've described, it also allows the educated audience to infer that the magic lies in constructing the null hypothesis world !! Thanks for the video ..
@cementhaiku
@cementhaiku Год назад
I have no formal education but that's only because the Grateful Dead used to tour. Now that they're long retired I have a bit more free time to flail about in many advanced fields. What I've discovered is there are certain teachers that can make the most fascinating, mind blowing subjects as engaging as watching paint dry. Then there are teachers that can take a subject that, at first glance, has the appeal of eating mouthfuls of dirt, but after a few moments you realize you're gripped with increasing excitement. You are the latter. I know I'm late to your channel and blog, but I hope you continue on. You are very helpful, illuminating and funny! You had me at puppies but I lost it at "8 year old are evil." Who woulda thunk statistics could be so fun? THANK YOU.
@madabhushichari6808
@madabhushichari6808 3 года назад
So clearly explained. Never fully understood the explanation even in "reputed" books. Thanks!
@marloscruzeiro5687
@marloscruzeiro5687 3 года назад
Wow! Explained this way it gets soooo easy to understand. Brilliant video!
@karimnaufal9792
@karimnaufal9792 4 года назад
Most amazing p-value explanation ever!
@travel.tales.official
@travel.tales.official 3 года назад
Albert Einstein had it right: “Education is not the learning of facts, but the training of the mind to think.” And this series prove it. Keep it on. I would like to learn how to think.
@kartikkalia01
@kartikkalia01 3 года назад
NERD!!!
@travel.tales.official
@travel.tales.official 3 года назад
@@kartikkalia01 You are goddamn right
@vintechtalk1094
@vintechtalk1094 4 года назад
Brilliant explanation. I wish I could tell you in words as to how confused I was about this till I found your video. Really liked your example.. thank you so much :)
@evelynepriestman3830
@evelynepriestman3830 5 лет назад
Thanks Cassie......i was struggling with the p-value......it just turned out that I had not thought of it in the right way
@ryanchapman7845
@ryanchapman7845 3 года назад
Great video! Your tone, and cadence and voice is a nice change of pace to listen too as well!
@EnRouteToMoon
@EnRouteToMoon 5 лет назад
Bravo Cassie, I like your style of narration :-)
@porfiriolima9963
@porfiriolima9963 4 года назад
I adore your explanations! Period.
@iyedghedamsi3016
@iyedghedamsi3016 5 лет назад
Thank you for these ! please keep them coming
@Rainavina
@Rainavina 3 года назад
Finally made sense after watching 5-6 videos... thanks so much Fido!
@gabrielpontes5163
@gabrielpontes5163 4 года назад
Completely amazed about you! Very great work!
@ebertolo100
@ebertolo100 3 года назад
Amazing explanation! Thanks for sharing it! You made my world better!
@keshavfarmaha249
@keshavfarmaha249 5 лет назад
Very well explained, thanks a lot Would love to see more content on statistics basics
@yuryhrytsuk4560
@yuryhrytsuk4560 4 года назад
Simply incredible. I can't find words to express how I am grateful for this explanation!
@laryneskridge-williams7200
@laryneskridge-williams7200 Год назад
OMG! You simplified the explanation of a p-value beautifully. I love the puppy example, metaphors help. Thank you so much 👃
@davidduranp
@davidduranp 3 года назад
Hi Cassie, greetings from Dominican Republic. Great video, a lot of people struggle to understand some stats concepts, but then someone like you show us the light at the end of the road. We really appreciate your effort. Ah and the next time we run out of cookies, i´m going to applied p-value, but guess what? P-Value=my 4 year son. see you...
@shauryasingh9553
@shauryasingh9553 Год назад
OOOHHH MY GOOODDD..... I have been trying to understand p-values for such a long time but I was not able to!! THIS IS A BRILLIANT EXPLANATION
@roberto2912
@roberto2912 3 года назад
One of the best 3min vid I have ever seen.
@randalllionelkharkrang4047
@randalllionelkharkrang4047 2 года назад
I love your explanations. they are brilliant.
@mario0riam795
@mario0riam795 Год назад
This was such a good explanation. Thank you!
@RawanAdawi
@RawanAdawi 2 года назад
Thank you for explaining it so easily!
@vijaynagaonkar9087
@vijaynagaonkar9087 3 года назад
Thats the most brilliant and closer explaination found on youtube till now...... 👌👌👌👌👍👍👍👍🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹
@dominikschlegel3767
@dominikschlegel3767 3 года назад
Very neat explanation!
@diegobarrientos6271
@diegobarrientos6271 3 года назад
the explanation that i was looking for, thanks!
@Natykn
@Natykn Год назад
I love your explanation!
@aditya4974
@aditya4974 5 лет назад
Thank you so much for the wonderful explanation! Please keep sharing :)
@user-pg7pz1gx2e
@user-pg7pz1gx2e 29 дней назад
holy sh this is the best video i've watched im taking ap psych and i had no clue what this meant. thank yo uso much
@mikhailgolubtsov5541
@mikhailgolubtsov5541 3 года назад
Great explanation, thank you!
@manueldamora
@manueldamora 3 года назад
I just loved this video! thanks a lot for sharing x
3 года назад
Everything in this video is just beautiful.
@kabalyan
@kabalyan 3 года назад
Awesome video! Love your explanation. I didn’t know stats could be funny :D
@TejNarayanan
@TejNarayanan 3 года назад
Wow..that's the simplest way to teach p-value. thank you
@hongbozhou2599
@hongbozhou2599 2 года назад
Wow. Some inspiration there. Good Job!
@barbarasilveirafraga5692
@barbarasilveirafraga5692 3 года назад
It's amazing!!! I loved!
@UCKszbcV
@UCKszbcV 3 года назад
Very good explanation and lovely accent
@bhavesh655
@bhavesh655 2 года назад
This is real intelligence, defining complicated concepts in an easy manner.
@ahmedelsabagh6990
@ahmedelsabagh6990 2 года назад
Great video!
@swamynyc
@swamynyc 2 года назад
Loved everything abt the video except your boss trying to throw ads before I can actually watch it! Seriously - if someone’s willing to watch a video on p-value spate them the ads! Can’t believe you have an 8 year old either-well done!
@mynettepotgieter1866
@mynettepotgieter1866 5 лет назад
I have started a course in Data Analysis and p-values are, of course, involved. And the past week I struggled to fully comprehend p-values and the entire analysis thereof, but your explanation has helped a great deal. Thank you so much!
@UTJK.
@UTJK. 3 года назад
Very clever explanation.
@summerscoming123
@summerscoming123 4 года назад
You mate just earned your self a sub!
@tracihopper6715
@tracihopper6715 10 месяцев назад
Thank you so much! Great for my students.
@raphaeldayan
@raphaeldayan 3 года назад
i love your videos!!! Thank you
@historia_tego_swetra
@historia_tego_swetra 5 лет назад
Someone's starting a vlog ;) Thanks, Cassie!
@uzairdadabhay5231
@uzairdadabhay5231 3 года назад
beautiful explaination
@narekgevorgyan9782
@narekgevorgyan9782 3 года назад
Thank you. You're great!
@pj5855
@pj5855 3 года назад
I love you... Finally I understand p value
@gustavovalencia556
@gustavovalencia556 3 года назад
best explanation ever!
@videopostrrr
@videopostrrr 3 года назад
the puppies did help! thanks!
@johneagle4384
@johneagle4384 Год назад
Thank you very much! Now, I understand it!
@J_The_Colossal_Squid
@J_The_Colossal_Squid 3 года назад
... constructed as to what was learned from putting to use statistic(s) testing of a sufficient sample wrought from the whole of that world, as held out to exist, arbeit while not necessarily having been in a reasonable position to access and assess the whole of all possible words of all sizes beforehand. :)
@johannortje1594
@johannortje1594 21 день назад
Thanks for this.
@loganwebb5449
@loganwebb5449 Год назад
I'm years late to this but wow, this was helpful.
@tanmayjagtap78
@tanmayjagtap78 5 лет назад
Damn now I have to calculate p-value every time when my dog messed up my room. Gr8 explanation loved it.
@pedronakada4483
@pedronakada4483 3 года назад
You can't never know for sure
@rmcgraw7943
@rmcgraw7943 3 месяца назад
Low pvals means low entropy, low surprise, ordered and expected distribution of reality?
@Vintagetube310
@Vintagetube310 3 года назад
Couldn’t wrap my head around the puppy concept. However, it included puppies, so it’s a win for me.
@CodeEmporium
@CodeEmporium 2 года назад
Amazing!
@Hawkgoulet
@Hawkgoulet 3 года назад
Are you serious??? I just spent so much time trying to understand what the heck the p-value was. You broke it down so easily.
@hafsteinneinarsson5462
@hafsteinneinarsson5462 5 лет назад
That's a great contribution, I will steal it (with a reference 0:)).
@snowblossom6984
@snowblossom6984 28 дней назад
Thank you for saving my brain cells that were about to be destroyed by watching several other videos on p-values 〒▽〒
@alexmash1353
@alexmash1353 3 года назад
Rarely leave a positive comment, but it was a very nice video! Thumbs up for you and (not) innocent Fido.
@ferreirafk
@ferreirafk 3 года назад
Super I have done something similar to it to explain students. BRAVO Cassie!
@ferreirafk
@ferreirafk 3 года назад
I have not known your classes before, so it will be very useful for me.
@user-mh3vg3tt3t
@user-mh3vg3tt3t 5 дней назад
Thank you very much! I suppose I've finally got it.
@akiekdeshmukh817
@akiekdeshmukh817 2 месяца назад
thank you
@hagarali5009
@hagarali5009 3 года назад
I didn't fully understand it yet, but she has a reaaaaally good voice and sense of humor and yea I can hear her voice all night long
@robertsarhanmd6433
@robertsarhanmd6433 3 года назад
Excellent
@bambooook
@bambooook 2 месяца назад
Great!
@livingbyheart8510
@livingbyheart8510 Год назад
Thanks ❤
@hussambachour6068
@hussambachour6068 10 месяцев назад
You have a beautiful mind
@BhargavVelamala
@BhargavVelamala 5 лет назад
Awesome!
@username42
@username42 3 года назад
dunno why but her voice is kinda mesmerizing
@mahsaabidbid5775
@mahsaabidbid5775 Год назад
Great 👍
@bizzonchik
@bizzonchik Год назад
спасибо!
@tori6681
@tori6681 Год назад
THANK YOU!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
@Sagar13iffy
@Sagar13iffy 3 года назад
Wow! You think you were taught p-value badly. I was just told a formula to calculate it and compare it to 0.05 for some reason to accept or reject the null hypothesis. I am glad I don't do stats for a living. However, it would be worth wondering that with the base knowledge that I got, could I ever be a statistician in my life!? I think my course's name should have been "How to pass the stats course but fail life 101"
@bandui4021
@bandui4021 Год назад
unbelievable. thank you :=)
@davidestradacordova2260
@davidestradacordova2260 Год назад
Genious
@123shainz
@123shainz 3 года назад
Thanks
@jessamaeabrina2663
@jessamaeabrina2663 24 дня назад
I love youuuuuuuuuu
@PersonalNotPrivate-rl8dv
@PersonalNotPrivate-rl8dv Месяц назад
Chicken or egg problem / Dealer's choice I reckon, oh yes I do, because, duh, duh, duh -- If you understand the purpose and use of null hypotheses before attempting to convey p-values vis-à-vis to them, _and_ have some basic understanding of probabilities then it seems to me you're well on your way to estimating something somehow.
@tobyreinhardt9022
@tobyreinhardt9022 3 года назад
This is how we learn...through story.
@nano7586
@nano7586 6 месяцев назад
Okay, you said the p-value is a probability that the result is that ridiculous in a world where the dog didn't do that. But I hear statisticians tell me all the freaking time that the p-value is NOT a probability. So what am I getting wrong here? There are so many conflicting statements about that goddamn p-value I don't know where to start. I just see it as a tool to distinguish the signal from the noise with some sort of confidence, not more, not less.
@PersonalNotPrivate-rl8dv
@PersonalNotPrivate-rl8dv Месяц назад
But, also, no, I'm swilling down my third cup of coffee today. Sleepy would not be the word for it. Assertion denied. 🤪
@BANKO007
@BANKO007 6 месяцев назад
The p-value of a dog alone in the house for a long while is probably quite high.
@mitya7068
@mitya7068 2 года назад
yeah, the puppies helped indeed :)
@ravishmahajan9314
@ravishmahajan9314 4 месяца назад
Well it's said that if you want to know how well you know a particular topic. Just try to explain to a 5 yrs old kid, if he understands it well, you know the topic well. And i must tell you, you know what p- value is???? ❤
@PersonalNotPrivate-rl8dv
@PersonalNotPrivate-rl8dv Месяц назад
Ah, I edit, therefore I subsist in persisting.
@lalalafamille
@lalalafamille 3 года назад
OK, it's like when the doctor told me I had been diagnosed as a total paranoiac... OK, OK, OK... so, that does not mean someone is not following me and trying to kill me... Conclusion, Fido is innocent. PS, I love your presentation
@catirerubio
@catirerubio 2 месяца назад
Thanks for the effort. The null still makes no sense to me. At all.
@emremokoko
@emremokoko 3 года назад
p(D|H0). This is p-value :) There is nothing mysterious about it . It's just that it doesn't fit into the definition of frequentist probability, so they dont call it "probability".
@vimalchandran7810
@vimalchandran7810 3 года назад
👏👏
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