Chapters (Powered by ChapterMe) - 00:00 - Coming Up 00:12 - Intro: What is ZIRP? 01:51 - Why ZIRP 03:39 - The Corn Analogy 04:20 - Startups & Stocks 06:06 - Money ≠ Success 07:53 - Unicorns 09:55 - Winter Was Coming 11:15 - Lucrative Lending 12:56 - 3 Types of VCs 14:09 - YC Was Part of the Problem: Build for Endurance 15:24 - The Aftermath 17:45 - Outro
1 minute summary of the video: ZERP, Zero Interest Rate Phenomenon, affected the startup world by flooding it with cheap money from the Federal Reserve and Banks. This led to an increase in VC funding, with investors eager to pour money into startups without much knowledge or experience in the field. Startups started focusing on scaling quickly and raising huge amounts of money, leading to inflated valuations and unrealistic expectations. Many companies struggled when interest rates went back up, causing the cost of capital to rise. Some founders built enduring businesses by focusing on building a great product, while others spent money unwisely and faced challenges when trying to raise more funds. The key takeaway is to balance optimism with realism and build a business that can withstand different economic climates. By being optimistic but realistic, founders can navigate through hype industries and create sustainable businesses.
A summary: a lot of easy money is poison because it kills creativity, the Zero Interest Rate Phenomenon (ZERP) created easy money, most startups were taking that poison in industrial doses without having the antidote, now they are dying in flocks ..
I imagine a lot of startups, scale-ups, and the likes are essentially worthless to the founders and employees after raising massive rounds during the ZIRP. Maybe some founders were smart enough to negotiate less stringent liquidation preferences, but I think the vast majority are sitting on worthless shares.
So true ) we are doing more now with $15k/mo more than we did with twice as more, with higher automation and better software, instead of hiring 5 assistants like a big company. Thank you!
The (un)ironic thing is, the message here is broadly the same thing people like Warren Buffet say: "Ignore the ups and downs, don't time the market, focus on the intrinsic value."
I look forward to working with you guys; I'm optimistic but not overly optimistic... "Now, let's upcycle 500K homeless & poverty-stricken people!" ♡Darrell (Human-Upcycle)
Great topic, it's great to occasionally step back and observe the broader cosmic forces that influence us all, reminding us to stay grounded and focused on creating genuine value rather than getting caught up in valuation hype.
The other thing to talk about in b2c is how much money is spend by the average person on software vs other stuff. The numbers scream that software b2c IS WAY overrated
Hey @Ycombinator , I’m in the early steps in creating my startup and eventually applying to yc. Im in desperate need ,or more so curious, to know YC’s thoughts of creating a business plan for a startup. Im aware the likelihood for a pivot or change to happen is high but in my instance I feel as though creating a business plan could better outline my vision as well as gaining me , or increasing the probability, of early investments. Thank you (also loved the video on startup websites , would love similar more in depth/focused videos on the topic)
Don't think it poisoned startups - just created bad habits for a while. But it also made startups possible that would otherwise not have been possible. It's sad that the startup world's VC return on investment is apparently not high enough to attract money vs the federal interest rate.
The sad thing is there were a bunch of smug dumbasses who thought because their dogwalking startup got VC money that they were some kind of smart person. So glad Powell is discplining the market right now and all these companies are finally going bust so that real businesses can thrive.
Takeaway from this episode, ZIRP means slow economic growth. YC can 'poison' us, they have infinite amount of it, can be useful if used wisely for business growth. Some business only worked when there was nowhere else to invest in the world, they are lucky to be funded but on the other hand it is sad that they didn't create stunning product or they dropped it.
Michael can you please stop fucking saying "Yes" whenever Dalton says anything?? It's like you are trying to assert your dominance over him. Let him say what he's saying without you feeling that you have to approve it all piece by piece.
