Joe Biden lecturing at the UN about imperialism and condemning countries taking land from other countries was one of the best comedy stand-up routines I've seen in a while.
While I am a liberal American, I agree with your observation. We Americans are delusional, exceptionalist hypocrites. When the dust settles after putting putin in his place, we need to apply these values to ALL nations, including and especially the USA.
@@theobserver9131 It would help to have applied the moral values *before* demanding them from Russia. Saying we'll apply it after we force Russia to comply doesn't work imho. Crying about how terrible Bucha is rings hollow when Americans cover up war crimes all over the globe and arrest the journalists who expose the crimes.
He didn't threaten with nuclear weapons He said No need to threaten us with nuclear weapons I want to remind the West we have the same nuclear capabilities. Why all western propaganda misinterpret his words ?
Why is this guy never objective? You must be living in a dream. Your analysis is pretty rich because of your experience in government and politics yet far from impartial.
@@debralea5330 impartial is _not_ unobjective. One can objectively look at aspects of a situation and arrive at the conclusion that one side is right and another is wrong. Just because they, and _many, many, many_ more of us have decided that we think Russia is very much in the wrong does not make any of us unobjective. Doesn't make any of us _actually_ objective, either, im just making the point that you still haven't raised a valid complaint.
I am disappointed that you failed to provide any factual analysis , Russia's desired outcomes have dramatically increased after Ukraine pulled out of peace negotiations under the direction of their NATO puppet masters. You should give Ukraine all your money and volunteer to fight rather than talk rubbish with your Scandi accent.
Is Putin THAT unpredictable? He said many times over many years what he intended to do with Ukraine. This partial mobilization was written all over the walls for some weeks, and unavoidable since the successful counter-attack of the UAF. If one puts himself/herself into his shoes (and most importantly his mind), then what he does makes sense and is predictable. What is more unpredictable is what the people around him will do or not do. I think that not even Putin himself knows...
..Hes growing more and more desperate, a cornerd and desperate animal can become highly unpredictable... yes thers been a mobilsation of volounters for about a month...volunnters that would sign up freely for return pay to thir famillies in case thay didnt survive... about 100 000 was sent to the front...a front that collapsed the 20st.. now reservist forces are activated (home def units), that doesent even want to fight...the only wich thay had was to defend russia if ever attacked....the motivation to go fight in another country is below low, and we se signs of it on the streets of russia, the airport, the borders, and train stations...tens of thousands flee russia in panic., I doupt it will have any effet at all on the outcome besides more Russian deaths. The threath of weaponds of mass destruction is faar more serious, not that it chenges anything, thers a slight possibility that in desperation a limited number would be used, but it would also effectivy destry Russia as a nation. Alex: we will ofc defend Finland once again if nessesary...u know who...
On what the people arround him will do there is a simple aswer. He took care of that on februari 21 just before the start of the invasion. It was televised and completly misunderstood by western "Russia specialists". He invited all the people that could pose a risk to him. Heads of intelligence, army, political figures, oligarchs,.... One by one they were asked by Putin basically the question if they supported the upcoming "special operation" or not. There responses were all televised. So no one could show up later to say that they were against it from the start. Here is a short clip of this event. ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-o9A-u8EoWcI.html
Hi Alex.. how about evaluating the events up to feb 24 and critiquing zelenskis behavior. What was Bucharest 2008 all about. How about Minsk agreements. Zelenski could have avoided this easily. Why no talk of peace right now.
“Do not negotiate with Putin -- any time you show any weakness for his demands, he will just push forward”. Absolutely! Any negotiation he has ever done is just to further his other aims: identify assassination targets amongst negotiating teams, buy time to reposition and rearm his forces. Allowed Crimea, he had to have Donetsk & Luhansk. Allowed those, he had to have all of Ukraine. Once having Ukraine, he would have rolled over all of Moldova in a day. And so on.
Well, how much do you know about the current situation? From an interview with Columbia University Professor Paul Christie in 2014: Question: "That is, the West does not intend to give Ukraine to Russia?" Paul Christy: “And what does Ukraine have to do with it? Whether a united Ukraine will remain on the world map or fall apart, it has absolutely no significance for solving the main problem. The main task of the events in Ukraine is to separate Europe from Russia so that the Europeans completely refuse cooperation with Russia and reorient their economy towards full cooperation with the United States. The main goal is to tie the European economy to the US economy. And what will happen in Ukraine in general is of no interest to anyone. The agreements of February 21, when the leaders of the Ukrainian opposition and representatives of France, Germany and Poland signed an agreement with Yanukovych on early presidential elections in Ukraine, were doomed to failure in advance. - Why? Yes, because if this agreement were implemented, the discord in Ukraine would subside, and then there would be no question of any severance of economic ties between Ukraine and Russia. Therefore, it was necessary to grossly violate the agreement, which was done. Both Russia and Europe were to become hostages to the complete unpredictability and illogicality of the actions of the new Ukrainian authorities. In order to break the economic ties between Europe and Russia, it is necessary to intimidate the Europeans with the Russian threat so much that they themselves wish to do it. The media must constantly talk about the growing tension in Ukraine, about the violence and brutality perpetrated by the Russians, so that Europe is ripe for a break."...............
@@rosemarin4750 my god, you callow , shallow child! I was in the Baltic in the early 1990s when Putin, fresh from being sacked from the mayor’s office in St Petersburg for corruption, was appearing all over Russian TV stations, being grovelled to by their TV news anchors (a period where he now claims he was a taxi driver!). Everyone knew the prosecutors would have to be suicidal to proceed with their case. He was already infamous as someone who had his enemies assassinated. He was making such hawkish noises on TV that people in Latvia & Lithuania thought invasion was imminent. (Ironically,mhe was part of what propelled them so enthusiastically into the EU and Nato.) He was already, not councidentally, said to be the richest man in Russia. Take your cut and paste irrelevancy and shove it!
Narrowing his agenda? All Putin ever asked for is some form of autonomy in Eastern Ukraine and NATO out of Ukraine. With a suggested “annexation “, sounds to me like a widening if anything!
Could you do a video on how Europe is getting on since the conflict started too and the outlook for public support in the long term? The price Europe has had to pay is quite high and it may get higher. Re Nuclear, I can see the “Hiroshima” defence argument being used - like the Americans did in Japan (I.e. we had to do it to bring the war to an end). Hopefully not.
That only worked the first time because noone else had nuclear weapons. If Putin pushes the button it has a not insignificant chance to start a full on nuclear war with the rest of the world.
Europe is more or less in a unified opinion on the war, pro Ukrain and anti Putin. The main problem has been the increase in gas and electricity price, but we are slowly getting the deficit from Russia replaced.
just to add to that, you observe this very sane, insightful, cool former Finnish politician and then you compare to what a paranoid, delusional, unhinged little maggot-ridden cretin Tsar Putin is, it really makes me angry to hear pundits say "Putin is not crazy and he is not stupid" - well I beg to differ, he is crazy and he is really f*****g stupid., a geo-political clown who got more NATO not less and wrecked his country's economy for his demented views on the world! 🙃
Do not negotiate with Putin? What happens to Europe in Winter? We'll find out soon enough I guess. Edited to add: My prediction is that Europe faces a terrible winter and support for Ukraine will diminish a lot. Cold and food shortages will put a lot of pressure to just end the war. Many deals for Russian Oil and Gas might be made under the table.
Interesting video. Could you make one about the US involvement with the Ukraine uprising in 2014? Specifically the actions of Victoria Nuland. It seems that this is viewed entirely through the scope of a western lens.
And maybe he could do a video on the members of the DPR and LPR who started the annexation process. A lot of attention on Azov but none on the men who are behind the push to secure new territory for Russia.
Why? We don’t need to hear conspiracy theories that feed into Russian propaganda. It boggle the mind that anyone thinks that the events of 2014 were somehow orchestrated the US. And it doesn’t matter any more. Putin has now ensured that Ukraine will never be pet of Russia.
@@veronicamaine3813 It isn't conspiracy. The origins of war don't matter? Your last sentence is a conflicting statement. Russia always wanted Ukraine to be neutral, which is was, it was only when the US pushed them into taking their position Russia reacted. It isn't rocket science. Would the US allow Mexico to keep russian nukes in it? Don't be silly.
@@magpiegirl3783 well, you can do it yourself. There is plenty of information about the whole situation in the beginning. Check out Graham Phillips channel for example, he is an independent British journalist who was covering this situation from the inception in 2014. You can find the interviews with civilians from both sides and see how it all unfolded.
No one is even talking about what caused this war in the first place all I'm getting here and there is power, just to let you know what Putin is doing now has been discussed in SCO meeting so don't think he's losing international support, they all know what US is up to
People have stopped talking about what caused this war because it's common knowledge, russia didn't want to lose its influence over European countries.
Who cares why criminal/corrupt states do what they do, we are simply free democratic countries, with acces to all information, try it once, you will never go back, no one should fear Putin and his corrupt regime, Russia will be history, if they try any nuclear action and Putin knows it, IT IS BLUFF !!!
Russia never said they will organise a referendum. Rather they said they will support any referendum that will be organize there. Another academician listening a lot from MSM. No objective view points from him. Just because Ukraine recaptured 2% of lost territories doesn't mean Russia will lose the war. You fail to understand Putin. Russia army was planned to move in full force during winter
TC: 02:43 (1) What did Putin say? 04:24 (2) Why did Putin say it now? 07:00 (3) How should we react to Putin's speech? 09:09 (4) Why is Putin in trouble? 12:10 (5) What will happen next?
Your degree your position and your knowledge about Ukraine war is zero why do you lie to the people this is not unpredicted war this is going on from 2014 the people of LPR,DPR fighting since 2014.
Great video. But it's a little bit naive thinking that someone will be training russians before sending them into the hell. In Ukraine we are now mocking this mobilization, calling it могилізація (mogilizatsya), which is some game of the words "mobilization" and "grave". It seems to be the best description of what will be going on for the next months
Now they are 'drafting' arrested protesters for combat duty . It will be sad, but we can predict the kind of performance from these poor lads when they toss a gun in their hands against furiously motivated Ukrainian men!
@@alexsalemo9137 before russia invaded Ukraine for the second time, I had heard many times that Ukraine would not be able to defend itself against such a huge and powerful war machine. But today, after 7 months of a large-scale warfare, they decided to announce mobilization. The question is: what is the point of engaging 300k people when officially russian army has more than 1 million men. Let's make a presumption which rests on the information available in the Internet. According to these sources approximately 250k men are being engaged in this war. Let's take the highest possible death toll and add 50k killed. There is rule in military science, which points out that the ratio of wounded and killed men is 3:1. So, we need to take into consideration 150k wounded russian soldiers. 250k+50k+150k=450k men, which means that there are more than 500k available. But it looks like these brave soldiers exist only in documentation of russian generals, if mobilization is needed to keep fighting. That is how russia works. Its system is corrupted and unable to function well. And it is not said only by me, but by the russians themselves. For example,igor girkin says that mobilization is being conducted awfully and inefficiently, which can be proved by huge number of videos with drunk mobilized russians, complete lack of discipline and etc.
For some of us who despise russia and ukraine equally, I can honestly say, beofre you laugh at russia you should look in the mirror. How's your seventh mobilization going in ukraine? Drafting 65 year old men and how's your politicians saying and doing everything possible to instigate this war. Ukraine is the same garbage as russia. You're not victims. You are just as responsible for this war as russia.
If Russia reports it's KIA's as less than 9K why would they need to mobilize? Maybe that number is much higher? Too little too late. Thanks for the great vid.
RUSSIA NEEDS to mobilize to secure a new 1,000 km border. The entire Russian force, including allies is about 130,000 soldiers. The professional soldiers in theater are on 6 month contracts. The mobilization is for another year. The Russians lack the manpower in the field to advance and address the terrorism. More manpower is needed to deal with NATO DEPLOYMENTS AND SUPPORT.
Well, how much do you know about the current situation? From an interview with Columbia University Professor Paul Christie in 2014: Question: "That is, the West does not intend to give Ukraine to Russia?" Paul Christy: “And what does Ukraine have to do with it? Whether a united Ukraine will remain on the world map or fall apart, it has absolutely no significance for solving the main problem. The main task of the events in Ukraine is to separate Europe from Russia so that the Europeans completely refuse cooperation with Russia and reorient their economy towards full cooperation with the United States. The main goal is to tie the European economy to the US economy. And what will happen in Ukraine in general is of no interest to anyone. The agreements of February 21, when the leaders of the Ukrainian opposition and representatives of France, Germany and Poland signed an agreement with Yanukovych on early presidential elections in Ukraine, were doomed to failure in advance. - Why? Yes, because if this agreement were implemented, the discord in Ukraine would subside, and then there would be no question of any severance of economic ties between Ukraine and Russia. Therefore, it was necessary to grossly violate the agreement, which was done. Both Russia and Europe were to become hostages to the complete unpredictability and illogicality of the actions of the new Ukrainian authorities. In order to break the economic ties between Europe and Russia, it is necessary to intimidate the Europeans with the Russian threat so much that they themselves wish to do it. The media must constantly talk about the growing tension in Ukraine, about the violence and brutality perpetrated by the Russians, so that Europe is ripe for a break."..............
you think yielding to an imperialist dictator's first steps will lead to less wars and deaths? History teaches us the opposite. You either stop him at his tracks or figth a bigger empire tomorrow, closer to home.
@@vasileios9086 the mathematics is simple: you give more weapons for a hostile country, more people will die. It is naive to believe that by providing guns to Ukraine they will win this war.
I have always said this. I don't see the logic in giving weapons to Ukraine when it's fighting a militarized and power country like Russia who also happens to be it's neighbour
@@michaelopoku4837 because it's less expensive both financially and in terms of human life to fight Russian aggression by providing training, finances and intelligence to a motivated opponent.
Thank you for these updates Prof. Stubb’. Would you possibly touch on the Minsk Agreement or Accord? Why is it not being followed? Do you think this war can be negotiated to peace or has it gone to far & also what will the world be like after this war is completed. Thank you for & time & attention to this matter. I’m looking forward to your opinion on this matter.
Well, how much do you know about the current situation? From an interview with Columbia University Professor Paul Christie in 2014: Question: "That is, the West does not intend to give Ukraine to Russia?" Paul Christy: “And what does Ukraine have to do with it? Whether a united Ukraine will remain on the world map or fall apart, it has absolutely no significance for solving the main problem. The main task of the events in Ukraine is to separate Europe from Russia so that the Europeans completely refuse cooperation with Russia and reorient their economy towards full cooperation with the United States. The main goal is to tie the European economy to the US economy. And what will happen in Ukraine in general is of no interest to anyone. The agreements of February 21, when the leaders of the Ukrainian opposition and representatives of France, Germany and Poland signed an agreement with Yanukovych on early presidential elections in Ukraine, were doomed to failure in advance. - Why? Yes, because if this agreement were implemented, the discord in Ukraine would subside, and then there would be no question of any severance of economic ties between Ukraine and Russia. Therefore, it was necessary to grossly violate the agreement, which was done. Both Russia and Europe were to become hostages to the complete unpredictability and illogicality of the actions of the new Ukrainian authorities. In order to break the economic ties between Europe and Russia, it is necessary to intimidate the Europeans with the Russian threat so much that they themselves wish to do it. The media must constantly talk about the growing tension in Ukraine, about the violence and brutality perpetrated by the Russians, so that Europe is ripe for a break."...........
He never will talk about that, that’s is reason why i thinks is another propagandist Russophobic, he only focuses on Putin, this Putin that, but he never brings the reality of this conflict, I don’t buy it, in west we start this campaign to demonise Putin, since 2007 after Munich security congress, only just because Putin isn’t Gorbachev or Yeltsin, is someone different with different views of history and he’s country, the arrogant behaviour of western kindergarten leaders is the real reason why Putin become what we are seeing today, after Cold War , they keep humiliating Russians and provoke them with NATO military facilities on their border , surrounded them the mean time they keep saying NATO is peaceful alliances which is faking bullshit, now all this propagandist sitting down keeping their fake news even provocation.
I honestly think that Putin's stubbornness is leaving only 3 possible ways to end this war: * his death * the collapse of Russia because at some point it simply cannot continue anymore * nuclear war, which would be the end of Russia as a country, as well as the end of millions of people around the world I really hope that the Russian people understand the consequences of these three options, and will choose the one that their country will be able to survive.
Trouble is, whereas the majority of Russian citizens probably realise that the nuclear option is to be avoided at all costs, a few crazy people in the Kremlin would be all for it (and the Kremlin crazies control the button).
Well, how much do you know about the current situation? From an interview with Columbia University Professor Paul Christie in 2014: Question: "That is, the West does not intend to give Ukraine to Russia?" Paul Christy: “And what does Ukraine have to do with it? Whether a united Ukraine will remain on the world map or fall apart, it has absolutely no significance for solving the main problem. The main task of the events in Ukraine is to separate Europe from Russia so that the Europeans completely refuse cooperation with Russia and reorient their economy towards full cooperation with the United States. The main goal is to tie the European economy to the US economy. And what will happen in Ukraine in general is of no interest to anyone. The agreements of February 21, when the leaders of the Ukrainian opposition and representatives of France, Germany and Poland signed an agreement with Yanukovych on early presidential elections in Ukraine, were doomed to failure in advance. - Why? Yes, because if this agreement were implemented, the discord in Ukraine would subside, and then there would be no question of any severance of economic ties between Ukraine and Russia. Therefore, it was necessary to grossly violate the agreement, which was done. Both Russia and Europe were to become hostages to the complete unpredictability and illogicality of the actions of the new Ukrainian authorities. In order to break the economic ties between Europe and Russia, it is necessary to intimidate the Europeans with the Russian threat so much that they themselves wish to do it. The media must constantly talk about the growing tension in Ukraine, about the violence and brutality perpetrated by the Russians, so that Europe is ripe for a break."...................
Nice and clear, rational analysis, thank you for sharing. I have to agree that Putin doesn’t know when to stop digging his hole and perhaps sees no current option but to dig further.
Go Russia 🇷🇺. The world is watching you that you are right, and fight against evil west, corrupted by evil leaders. Russia is serious of their words. They have the word of honor. unlike the liar western countries who posted fakes news.
Western leaders and Nato should be prepared to confront this guy militarily with full force that's the only way to shut im off . He definitely respects strength He's not suicidal he loves life and he loves is money he will definitely stop this war if Westerners confront him with force Russian army is depleted. He is a fragile scared monster just watch him how he seats across that long table with his Generals is scared to die or to be poisoned
Yes Putin is desperate. That is why he adopted a new line of action and more assertive/menacing language. Yes, the world is consequently entering into a different and dangerous geopolitical environment. But, (this is a big but) would'nt it be at least unfortunate if we forget why Putin came to this point? After all, as per conventional wisdom not forgetting the past, especially the mistakes of the past is a must/necessary/useful in order to avoid making new ones. Why Putin came to this point? It suffices to remember just two momentous occasions: The first, Putin's speech at the 2007 Munich Security Conference, and the second, Russian proposals for constructing a new European security architecture presented to the U.S.A. and NATO in December 2021. Both of these constructive Russian initiatives were ignored/rejected by the West.
Likeable, but wrong. They analyze Putin's frustrations, motivations, fears and thoughts instead of listening to what he SAID. "I am not joking". It's ridiculous when an educated person says, "Russia is losing this war." Try simple math. Ukraine had 24 well-trained brigades in February. They lose 2-3 brigades per month plus 4 brigades to the Pointless Offensive, which didn't change anything except PR and a new check from Blinken. There are still with the healed, so 5 brigades left. Then they are the new, badly trained ones, who unfortunately are only good as cannon fodder. After 26.09. Novarussia becomes Russian territory. And when that is shot at, the Russians will take action against the infrastructure and administration for the first time. It is obvious that Russia is achieving all of its goals. And Professor, if you can't be honest, get back into politics.
thats why it needs to be made clear to Russia that any use of a nuclear weapon will result in a retaliation by the West and destruction of the Russian forces, there can be no ambiguity about this
Anyone who studies and talks about geopolitics is a nerd. This guy is off the charts articulate, in one his second language and on the topic. Love it! What a time to love geopolitics.
this dude doesn't know geography, history, law - basically he's a professional career runner, good for Marin's cocaine parties with Zelenski. It is shocking the EUI hired him in any position. He's not even good to swipe the floors.
@@lawEUI Oh really?! I've just pointed at a little mistake, but you commented it like he doesn't know anything at all, providing no argumentation and showing that u'r just either a kremlin troll, or u'r just don't get what's going on. BTW, how much do they pay you in Lakhta centre? :)
@@levmartynenko5199 why, what did this genious ever publish, other than no-one-cares newspaper pieces? Do you even know his reputation in Finland? Are you a CIA or Zelenski troll - or is ot the same thing anyways? And if so, I hope they pay you well! Coz the Kremlin is so broke these days that its poor trolls only get sanctions breakfast, lunch and dinner ;)
Sorry, Sir, but your assessments ARE TOTALLY CRAZY, reflecting your personal views but NOT based on facts!!! 🤔 Putin is REALLY NOT desperate, NOR in panic! 😂
I think it will be better to tell all a brief history of Minx treaty and NATO expansion to Ukraine and also regular killing civilian in Donetsk by Ukrainian Army.
I bet this Finish guy had relatives fighting Russians during the WW2 conflict ( in a Waffen SS Battalions uniform) as Finland was fighting on Nazi Germany's side during the war, and they did field Waffen SS Battalions of Finish men, just curious?? as there were many European countries that fielded Waffen SS Battalions Finland Estonia Belgium Netherlands etc.. and here we are again, there seems to be lots of hatred towards Russia in the European Union, maybe History repeating its self. This thing did not start in February it has been going on since 2014 when with the help of America Britain European Union overthrow the democratically elected Government and President in Ukraine, along with Nationalist Nazi groups and what we see today is the end result of that action back in 2014. Don't take my word for it, it is well documented by the BBC SKY News etc etc the whole sorry story is out there,.....
Impressive analysis, Alexander really did his homework. Finland, not only its military but just as much its political capabilities will be a great new asset to NATO. Welcome in the family, Finnish sisters and brothers, together we are stronger in our strive for a more peaceful world.
Finland is a nice looking cake, but inside it is a piece of shit. 1. Look at us now, we are the only european country letting Russian tourists in, because we can't make a simple decision. 2. The whole world was praising Finland, how great prepareness it has for pandemics. Reality was a total catastrophy. 3. And then the corruption level in Finland, it is said it is least corrupted country in the world. Let me tell you a secret, we are the only country where corruption is not measured. So of course there is not much corruption, visible. 4. Oh I could continue this list of hidden flaws of Finland like country sized casinos (Highest addiction level gambling machines in grocery stores) or our bad elderly care or our fucked up school system or kindergarden where kids gets only water. THESE ARE ALL FACTS.
@Lars, welcome in the family, together we strive for a more "peacefull" world, as NATO illegaly invaded, and bombed the hell out of villages and cities of: 1945-1948: South Korea 1945-1949: China 1947-1949: Greece 1948: Costa Rica 1949-1953: Albania 1949: Syria 1950-1953: Burma and China 1952: Egypt 1952: Guatemala 1952-1953: Iran 1954: Guatemala 1956-1957: Syria 1957-1959: Indonesia 1959-1963: South Vietnam 1959-1962: Cuba 1960-1965: Congo-Leopoldville 1960: Laos 1961: Dominican Republic 1961-1964: Brazil 1963: Iraq 1965-1967: Indonesia 1970: Cambodia 1970-1973: Chile 1971: Bolivia 1974-1991: Ethiopia 1975-1991: Angola 1975-1999: East Timor 1976: Argentina 1979-1992: Afghanistan 1980-1989: Poland 1981-1982: Chad 1981-1990: Nicaragua 1983: Grenada 1989-1994: Panama 1989: Paraguay 1991: Iraq 1991: Haiti 1992-1996: Iraq 1994-1995: Haiti 1996-1997: Zaire 2000: FR Yugoslavia 2001-2021: Afghanistan 2003-2021: Iraq 2005: Kyrgyzstan 2006-2007: Palestinian Territories 2005-2009: Syria 2011: Libya 2012-2017: Syria 2014-2022: Ukraine So sad, so distorted and so psychotic!!!
Spoken like a true dictator Stubb: "Putin understands only force and we cant give him an inch." Under the safety of NATO you went from logical pragmatic person to a USA HAWK.
I don't always agree with Stubb even though I follow him, especially militarily I see a different picture (I follow some retired US military people too). Economically, I am very suspicious of Ukraine, we are pouring billions into a corrupt country with no control. Should we contribute financially to the reconstruction, YES, I think that is our duty. Also, I have a hard time seeing Putin as a desperate man, I think we underestimate Russia. Just think that a country has managed to steer the EU towards economic ruin and a possible disintegration of the union and an incipient de-dollarization of world trade.
I am thankful that you were not my lecturer. I would have failed. He never once said he would use nuclear weapons to attack. He did say if Russia was attacked and could not defend itself fully with conventional weapons he would then use nuclear weapons.
This has been informative to me, but not the way you are hoping. I would like to hear both sides and make my own educated opinion. I understand that your leader in Washington, who seems to be running NATO, has also made it plain that he isn't going to lose this so-called war either. Matter of fact, it seems that the neocons in the US want to expand the reach of NATO around the world to include China, Taiwan and the South China Sea. Can Finland really afford this new drive to recolonize the world all over again? We are no longer living in a Unipolar world with the West trying to gobble up all the earth's resources. If you think I'm wrong about the West's ultimate intentions, then convince me how so. I can see the US abandoning the Ukraine and leaving it in shambles like it did Afghanistan, Libya, Vietnam, etc. Let history speak for itself.
Alexander, I truly loved your series and your ongoing work. Please translate all your videos in Russian and get it out so Russians can try to understand what value driven liberal democracy actually means. They all indeed fall for political realism and see no other explanation of Putin’s actions.
As a Russian who dreaded this war before it even started, I have to agree this type of content is actually inspiring. There is gravitas in the analytical and rational approach Alexander shows to the conflict. Whyle there is tons of misinformation flying around from both sides, it's extremely important to have this kind of reliable analysts and public educators who show that the situation is being carefully studied and is actually well-understood by the policymakers. Keep up your great work, and deep appolagies for the crisis the shortcomings of our political culture has created. Also, I can answer some questions if anyone is interested in what's going on from our side.
Russians will not understand it, unfortunately, our society is a lost cause. Today when i saw messages about “what to take to the protests”, listing “water bottles, charged power banks and a photocopy of passport” - then i have lost any illusions that i had for our people. We have created this madman with all of his wrongdoings, and we deserve what’s coming next.
I read your comment with its reference to 'political realism' As a novice and a newbie in the discipline of international relations I am curious to learn more what p.r. means. I have watched Dr. Mearshimer, advocate of the 'realism' school of international relations defend Putin's position in the current conflict. Putin has stated that NATO's steady encroachment and encirclement on Russia's border is an 'existential threat' to the people of Russia. I would say that the UN's 'encroachment' is simply sovereign nations choosing to join a club and if Ukraine wants to join it's none of his business. In fact, the liberal democratic values held by NATO represent an 'existential threat' to Putin's kleptocrat autocracy. I would appreciate any instruction you may have regarding 'realism' in ir.
By what I understand Russia in 2021 was making about 15.6 billion a month in oil sales, now it's about 20 billion a month in 2022. China, India, Turkey, Africa, most of Southeast Asia and most of the Middle East do seem in one way or another to be in support of Russia. Saudi Ariba is buying Russian oil and using its own oil to export to international markets. The comment he's getting desperate as he's calling on more armed forces doesn't make sense. He started out with a small fraction of his military against the Ukraine's entire armed forces which includes mandatory conscription of every man in the Ukraine. Russia is also building a lot of new global markets, especially with BRICS nations, while in the west and Europe everyone is now suffering high energy and inflation costs because of sanctions and protests are breaking out because of it. I personally think Russia is doing fairly well, considering also that half of the countries in the world abstained from sanctions, and about a quarter didn't support sanctions when sanctions were passed at least half the words countries said not going to vote on it, a clear message they don't care or partly still want to do business with Russia. Prices for many food stuffs in Russia haven't gone up much but compared to the West and Europe Russia is cheaper for food stuffs. Anyhow, I guess we will see how it all plays out when winter comes and millions in Europe are cold and protest forcing a change of government and I think that could mean sanctions being dropped.
The narrative Dr Stubbs presented here is not only deceitful but very troubling. This is the same garbage (propanganda) that is being distributed in the west unfortunately making most westerners so ignorant of the real situation. Before you guys pounce of me and start to spew uninformed comments, why don't you take time to research on the following: CAUSE OF NATO EXPANSION, MINSK AGREEMENT, PUTIN'S SPEECH (MUNICH SECURITY CONFERENCE) Also take time to watch & Listen to the following people irrespective that you may consider them to be Russian propagandists: John Meishemer, The Duran, Redacted and a whole lot of others. We are in dangerous times and all need to be fully informed and aware of what truly is going on. Wishing all the best outcome.
As the Indian Foreign minister has said, and I’m paraphrasing, the EU’s problem is not the world’s problem. It is quite naive to think that EU can participate in the Ukraine war through financial and military support, without incurring risks of Russia’s retaliation. And nobody is talking about the ‘cost or indebtedness’ that Ukrainian government is incurring by receiving the enormous aid from the west. C’mon there’s no free lunch in this world. EU is brain dead.
Thank you very much for your very insightful analysis. I would like to add a few more thoughts. One of the first UN secretaries-general, Dag Hammarskjold, said: "The UN was not created to take mankind to heaven, but to save humanity from hell". Given that the UN was founded after the end of the Second World War in order to prevent humanity from falling into such a catastrophe ever again, it seems to me that now is the time when it should react. Unfortunately, the Security Council is a toothless tiger because of Russia's expected veto, and I also don't see any sense in repeated condemnation of Russian act in the General Assembly (I highly doubt that China, who has its own interest would condemn this latest act of Putin, and it would be very likely remain abstained again). The whole thing is strongly reminiscent of Hitler's times, when a lot of people died and suffered because of one man. How many more will have to die? If the UN was created to save humanity from hell, I think now is the time to do much more and prevent a catastrophe. We can't just wait on the reasonable behaviour of one dictator and asking would he use a nuclear weapon or not.
Please think also of the people in the Donbass, of the 8 years of war and since the US coup by the Kiev regime murdered 14,000. They wanted accordingly Minsk treaty to be Russians, free from fascists in Ukraine. Well now it's different.
World war 2 certainly didn't happen because of one man, just like this war hasn't happened just because of Putin. There's no "good" or "evil" sides in the real world. It's all complex geopolitics and history, gambles, alliances, betrayals, calculations... If you were Russian you wouldn't consider Putin evil, if you were American you wouldn't consider NATO expansion as a problem. That's why I try to have an objective view, and then decide which side is more in the wrong. If you put yourself in the Russian government, NATO expansion is definitely a threat and a problem. Just like Soviet nuclear missiles in Cuba were a problem for the US, and understandably so. Sadly people are viewing Russia as an evil imperialist empire led by a mad dictator, which is so far from the truth. There is no reason to impose sanctions on Russian civilians and their culture, that's a violation of human rights in my view. Trying to make the common folk in Russia revolt by specifically targeting their basic human rights. And lastly I want you to consider this fact. There were peace talks back in April and almost an agreement, but western governments discouraged Ukrainians from signing the deal. Why? If they truly cared about the Ukrainian people they would have solved this diplomatically, especially before the military operation started, because it was much easier to negotiate back then. Now with the partial mobilization, Russia is going all in, and all peace talks are thrown out the window. Why do NATO and EU have to decide the faith of Ukraine, isn't Ukraine supposed to be a sovereign state and not a puppet of the west? This is all so ironic and twisted, and Ukrainian people are paying with their lives.
The speaker scoffs at the idea of referendums and talks about Russia invading Ukraine. I wonder if he reacted the same way when the following happened: Invasion of Iraq,Afghanistan and Syria. I would like the speaker to explain what right the US has to invade and occupy part of Syria ,as well as also stealing Syrian oil. The speaker is a sanctimonious hypocrite.
Tnx Pro.Alex,I learned good academic way of understanding events.But you mostly side to say (...lost this war).Geography is a power to win some how/what in any aspirations.How be it managed to gain more profite through time? we will see more than to days news.
Evening Sir from South Africa 🇿🇦 Thank you for your analysis of what is happening. I watched people being hard-handedly being searched and arrested last night and it was very shocking to see.
HIS ANALYSIS. Is there a problem? Can't you read English. Go and watch Mr.P's speech with subtitles to get the full speech, and watch his body language? ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-RJZkTudSAkE.html No panic or histrionics that this muppet would have you believe? So what else has he lied about?
Well, how much do you know about the current situation? From an interview with Columbia University Professor Paul Christie in 2014: Question: "That is, the West does not intend to give Ukraine to Russia?" Paul Christy: “And what does Ukraine have to do with it? Whether a united Ukraine will remain on the world map or fall apart, it has absolutely no significance for solving the main problem. The main task of the events in Ukraine is to separate Europe from Russia so that the Europeans completely refuse cooperation with Russia and reorient their economy towards full cooperation with the United States. The main goal is to tie the European economy to the US economy. And what will happen in Ukraine in general is of no interest to anyone. The agreements of February 21, when the leaders of the Ukrainian opposition and representatives of France, Germany and Poland signed an agreement with Yanukovych on early presidential elections in Ukraine, were doomed to failure in advance. - Why? Yes, because if this agreement were implemented, the discord in Ukraine would subside, and then there would be no question of any severance of economic ties between Ukraine and Russia. Therefore, it was necessary to grossly violate the agreement, which was done. Both Russia and Europe were to become hostages to the complete unpredictability and illogicality of the actions of the new Ukrainian authorities. In order to break the economic ties between Europe and Russia, it is necessary to intimidate the Europeans with the Russian threat so much that they themselves wish to do it. The media must constantly talk about the growing tension in Ukraine, about the violence and brutality perpetrated by the Russians, so that Europe is ripe for a break."..............
I would be very interested in what smart people would say on the fact that Ukraine has been attacking the Donbass since 2014 but have never taken it over. Now Ukraine can suddenly defeat Russia?
Awesome content- subscribed and thank you. We saw a vote… not specifically on the invasion, but on allowing Zelinski’s ability to address the assembly in absentia. Quite interesting results…
A nuclear option could include a missile strike on a nuclear power facility, giving Russia more wiggle room. Can the UN do more to ensure these sites are designated off-limits to participants?...
Glad to hear your take on this. The series felt like so long ago... And I agree, we must not budge one inch! He has far and beyond anything that can be accepted internationally!
Such a shame that a professor at an European University doesn't understand that Putin said he will use nuclear weapons only in retaliation, US translation "responding in kind". Maybe Eu universities should study more tangible things because it seems geopolitics are over their heads.
First video I've watched from your channel. Very impressive. Well thought out, organized, precise, and comprehensive. I look forward to watching more videos with your knowledgeable insight and perspective. Thanks!
I agree that the mobilization will take time but ultimately Russia will win even if he has to overrun all of Ukraine. A good solution would be recognizing breakaway regions as Russia and part of Ukraine becoming a demilitarize zone.
How is Putin desperate when it's the European economy crumbling and their citizens paying 10 times more for energy. Now some European countries are coming up with hush punishment for a citizen who use too much gas. Russia has time, and energy on their side. Stop talking nonsense about Putin desperate.....Numbers don't lie Alex, the European politicians gotta start telling their citizens the truth and get ready for poverty.
Well Mr Stubbs I have never heard so much garbage uttered in such short a time. Your biasedl and highly inaccurate interpretations as well as your emotional responses to Putins speech cannot pass as political analysis. Perhaps you can fool some of the mushrooms who respond to your rhetoric but those of us who take the time to research history and geo politics understand that your comments can be easily dismissed as biased personal opinion.. i would have expected far more serious comment from you than this trivia you present.
Wonderful, a new series! Good to see you again. I've been stocking up on books, bought a lot of the books you recommended for the Summer. Love them so far!
Other than your priors, do you have reasons to believe the referenda will be staged? In other words if the people present in the regions voted freely what outcome would you expect? That's a different question than whether it's a fair or valid way to change borders.
I enjoyed the format. I hope this series continues. Easily digestible. I am currently in gobal studies and our topic has been about russia and the Baltics.
In his speech he devoted almost half time on fact that Ukranians where killing civilians since 2014 and how important that was and Minsk agreement , you didn't care even to mention that. Very unprofessional from your side
You can actually start seeing frustration signs on pootin's poofy face. He'll be lucky if 1/3 of that amount make it on the grounds, only to become fresh kill. I agree, the only way to stop a bully is to take him down, otherwise he will just continue on his rampage.
Англосаксы--мы видим,что вы там отупели от вранья ваших СМИ и глупых правителей ,,евростада,,!На самом деле Россия расширяется новыми землями,население которых с большим желанием хочет в Россию!!!А что касается Путина!--кого вы можете поставить рядом для сравнения из вашего,,евростада,,?НИКОГО даже близко нет!!!Все---жалкие,,шавки,,а ОН личность независимая и историческая-глыба ---мы его очень уважаем!!!Он взял на себя ,,миссию,,борьбы с мировым злом!И за ним ,и за Россией ---правда!А значит и Бог с нами!Если Бог с нами---кто против нас!!Все старания НАТО и ,,евростада,,---мы видим уже,как волна об камень!!!И вообще--прислушайтесь,победный конец известен,!--у России миссия--опять наводить ,,правильный,,порядок,,в Европе,как и было это всегда!!!Вспомните историю!!🇷🇺👊🪓
Considering annexing lands as a sign of desperation is rather creative thinking. Winners annex lands, a Finn should remember. Well maybe this dude has had too much education in USA and UK🤗 If 150 000 russians were defeating ukrainian 1 000 000 man army, albeit slowly, 450 000 might do it a bit faster vs 350 000 that is left. That is actually what India and China begged Russia to do...and it obliged. USA is impotent in land war. Their only option left is to wage limited nuclear war in Europe, they have been equipping for atleast 30 years now. Our only hope is that they believe when Russia says, they will not tolerate that. But USA thinks nuckear war will not escalate to their home and Russia will response only in Europe. Will we see that🙄
@@kimuvat2461 Really well said . Absolutely agree with you . By the way this DUIMB so called Pro. is a bias , liar and hypocrite as other Western biased . I listen the full speech of Mr. Putin , what Mr. Putin said totally different and this Dumb Pro. is trying to mislead people with hate which is already over running specially these days s in West about Russian which by the way Russian don't care at all about west anymore .
He is no way professor, he is a noin-elected rep of Finland in the EU parlament With tax free salary of 50-100k eur, British wife (conflict of interests) lobbing EU cliptocrats interests and making decision on behalf of poro finns. Finns have no respect for him.
Russia and Ukraine: We tried to avoid the painful subject of war in Ukraine, but there are just so many comments and questions coming. We are forced to comment the subject. First, the war did not start 3 days ago, it started back in 2014, at Maidan Revolution that was sponsored by the Western Powers to topple pro-Russian government. Most of the People do not know the history of Ukraine. Today's Ukraine is made of 3 groups of People. The first are central Ukrainians, who were neutral and had mixed feelings about both west and Russia, most of them speak Russian. The second group are southern and eastern Ukrainians, who speak Russian and consider themselves to be Russian mostly. They live in Odessa, Crimea, Donbas, Kharkov. The third and smallest group are western Ukrainians with their center in Lvov, they are extremely Russophobe, and they are not Orthodox Christians, they are mostly Roman-catholic Uniates or Latin rite, and they do not speak Russian. They speak Ukrainian, which is so similar to Russian, that many think that it is more about different dialects. These Western Ukrainians, they are the left overs of once powerful Poland that competed for Ukraine with Russia. This unnatural union of 3 different minded groups of People was created by Lenin for the first time 100 years ago, and therefor we have a civil war for the last 8 years, and it is not the first one. Millions of Russian-speaking Ukrainians were killed by the Western-Ukrainians during HItler's occupation of Ukraine. Historically Ukraine was only Kiev and lands that surround it. Ukraine in both Russian and Ukrainian literally means - border land. So to be Ukrainian would mean to be Borderian. And indeed, Ukraine became border of many competing super powers. But it is a historical fact that Russian Christian culture started in Kiev, but Russians failed to spread to the west, so they did to the East and moved their political center to Moscow and St. Petersburg. During the Second World War, Western Ukrainians for various reasons, joined Hitler to fight the USSR, and to this day, Western Ukraine remains a lair of neo-NAZIsm and Banderisam (Bandera - Ukrainian NAZI Leader). The New pro-western government that was established in 2014, has banned Russian language in public and has unleashed neo-NAZI Banderists across Kiev, and Russian-speaking Eastern and Southern Ukraine, they even managed to burn 39 Russian Ukrainians alive in Odessa's Trade Union Hall. These events triggered a war in Eastern Donbas Region and Crimea's separation. For 8 years war in Eastern Ukraine lasts, killing 14 000 People, mostly Russian speaking civilians. In 2018 Ukraine ends strategic Partnership agreement with Russia and says it wants to enter NATO. Russia being the super-power does not want US-NATO troops and missiles in Ukraine, and that is why we have this tragic invasion. Both Ukraine and Russia belong to the Jurisdiction of the Russian Orthodox Church. Patriarch of Moscow Cyril is in very bad position, because both Ukrainian Orthodox Church and many Ukrainian Soldiers and Russian Soldiers are under his spiritual care. If he condemns the invasion that could end the 8 year war and russophobe and anti-Orthodox Government, he does no good to his People in Ukraine and Church. But if he embraces war, and western Ukrainians who are loyal to the Moscow Patriarchate, but are willing to defend current Ukraine, and also many who are just conscripts. Picture - Ukraine, the Port City of Odessa, far-right Western Ukrainians burning 39 Russian-speaking Ukrainians in the City Trade Union Hall, 2014. Let us all pray for the speedy end of this 8 years long war. President Putin has taken a population from 70 years of Soviet Communism which isn't easy. Russia never was a democracy. Before Communism it was a Monarchy. I truly think you might do with a history lesson. I lived this history, and have watched this unfold, you have not. I have also watched our country become a globalist vassal state. Are you unable to understand that because Russian is a CHRISTIAN COUNTRY and refuses to allow open borders and the gay lesbian agenda, sex change etc. the globalist hate him. Why do you think Hillary so badly wanted a war with Russia. NATO has Missals, terrorists and bio-labs on her border WHY?? And have murdered 14,000 Russians in Eastern Ukraine, Donbass region. Surely you are able to figure this out. And why can't Russia be out ally?? Instead we have made her our enemy, she won't comply with the globalist agenda, so we force Russia toward China. Can't you understand?? God help us, why don't we stand up to the satan worshiping, child molesting, baby killing, sex driven, debauched, bio-weapons creating, death loving globalists?
Thank you for spending the time to create and share this content. Sometimes temporarily lose track of how much of a powerhouse Stubb really is, he’s up there with the worlds upper echelons such as but not limited to: John Kirby, Bill Clinton(referring to intellectually/etc in his prime, not all the other baggage obviously), Stoltenburg, etc
Should exclude Bill Clinton. Speaking as an American, Bill Clinton is not in the same league as Mr. Stubb. Bill Clinton cannot be trusted nor does he have the geopolitical understanding to be heard as Mr. Stubb. Both Bill Clinton and his wife are habitual liars and fakers. This man is a true, honest intellectual, a statesman who understands what he is talking about. America has no leaders in office currently who are capable of speaking as Mr. Stubb did in this video.
@@Hervast1 I totally agree with you my friend. I'm not polish but his series aren't sharp or special or anything as other listeners might think. It is shut like talking in circles and not giving real answers.
Alex is using Russian information war terms "lets not get hysterical". Russia started to use this word "hysteria", saying west is hysterical already 2015. Why you Alex think that your analysis are so great that you publish them here? You have been wrong earlier, and you are wrong now. Ales Stubb 2015: "Stubbin mukaan keskustelussa on korostunut liikaa hankkeessa mukana olevan venäläisyhtiön Rosatomin rooli. Stubbin mielestä päätöksessä on kyse vain energiasta" "Se, joka minua eniten häiritsee tässä keskustelussa, on tietty asenteellisuus, jopa russofobia, joka ilmenee muutamissa puheenvuoroissa" You were so wrong, you are wrong again, and you are repeating obvious things. Useless analysis, from a guy who fucked up Finland and escaped to EU. What will happen: Russia will use tactical nukes, but under water of black sea.
Putin is s mediocre tactician and a bad strategist. He was just lucky and picked on so weak opponents that no one noticed all the deficits and mistakes.
Russia must not turn back in this world I think you must be powerful to survival they must use nuclear atherways the weaste will destroy Russia like USSR at this time nothing to loose for Russia
