Iran attacked Pakistan recently, also some time back the taliban even started building up forces on the border with Iran using US Hummers and other US vehicles that were left behind. If Iran's not careful, they'll end up having to fight everyone.
My cousin played Backgammon with rich Iranians from the Shaw's day. He was in debt within a week. They were very clever and ruthless people, even toward their own family.
Except Russia, China, Yemen, Syria, Lebanon, Iraq will be on their side, with other gulf, African and SE Asian states probably neutral (and certainly not joining in western strikes). Israel is conducting an ethnic cleansing of Gaza and Times Radio, their audience and guests are complicit.
@@mrsillywalkNobody can be as ruthless as the west, They used to use and abuse Iran to get to India in the past and since oil was found have not left it alone for one day !
@t1n4444 Yes and no. The Argentine Junta initiated military action, which worked well for Thatcher. But note the Argentine Junta initiated the military action.
@@heycidskyja4668 Allow me to first advise you not to be so idle and do your own research. And secondly, in relation to the above, do the Google thing. If you are dumb enough to expect spoon feeding on "anything" then perhaps you should reflect on the reason for your existence? . Hope that helps.
Ben Hodges still never articulates how this war would actually end. Like most people he somehow believes that there is a military “victory” here. Logically speaking, the only way this ends is if there is some kind of negotiated settlement. There is no possibility of Ukraine militarily defeating Russia, at least how so many feel is possible. None of the content here (or elsewhere) wants to discuss this issue. If this is an essential stalemate now, then what would change even if you increase military support significantly? Russia has demonstrated that they don’t care about their population. That won’t change and ultimately Ukraine is going to run out of soldiers. Many people know how this will end….. even Ben Hodges.
Chapman was quite credible regarding MENA. Those doing business in the region know this isn’t about Gaza. Iran’s chief aim is to thwart Saudi prosperity & prevent/ delay the modernization of the region which is benefiting Sunnis. Unfortunately the Houthis disregarded our warnings, so it is necessary to take them off the map, or other militant groups could turn to piracy to try to affect geopolitics. The West’s vulnerability to shipping disruption is a consequence of globalization of the manufacturing sector. Europe will be badly impacted by the reduction of Red Sea traffic, as will Saudi since they will have to charge more for their oil. Iran wants to be a 7th century theocracy focused on policing women’s clothing, but most of the region wants to join the modern 21st century & stop squabbling over sand. The media acts like Israel-Gaza has setback Saudi-Israeli trade. Anyone in M&A can tell you that our deals are still getting done & investment is flowing. The negotiations seem like a formality. Arabs may never publicly embrace Israel, but the wise factions will engage in commerce. Israel is a thriving democracy with a $500B economy, 1 of the biggest tech industries outside of the US, & a top-10 military, so it’s not going anywhere. That’s why not 1 Sunni nation has lifted a finger against Israel in Gaza, nor will they
Who are you to dictate Houties? Are you applying the same posture you maintained in Vietnam without any understanding of their language, culture and aspirations? The result will be most likely the same. Let's go Brandon 🤠
Thank you Chip. Your knowledge of geo politics in Europe and the Middle East are second to none. As a non military guy your analysis always makes me just a little wiser on these matters . 🇦🇺
I feel like it got a lot worse during the worst of the Syrian war - 'not independently verified' clips constantly on the MSM - and now the UK media basically just tells (relatively comfortable, middle class people) what they want to hear/what is convenient to the Foreign Office@@sha29i
Iran is in no danger of collapse. I am not a supporter of Iran, but we keep having these retired UK military officers engaged in talking about political issues of which they know little. Where is the factual analysis of the matter, where is the corroborating evidence, where is the evidence from inside Iran. Well nowhere, to be precise. Just propaganda from retired military talking-heads. Your listeners demand better than this to be fair.
Agreed. Old Brit farts with a scarcely concealed racist condescension still mired in their imperialist mind set. The Ayatollahs survived Saddam 👹 and 40 years of sanctions. The regime has widespread support from its overlapping security infrastructure so it cannot be dislodged!
It’s heavily skewed and in some quite key details flat out wrong - I was amazed.. Frankly, after channels like this got Ukraine Russia conflict so hideously wrong, to the point of convincing people that Ukraine might even win (!) I’d have thought they’d have try to claw back some credibility. As it turns out, apparently people don’t mind being lied to.
Whilst I agree on your criticism of the Times swings and roundabouts on these conflicts I don't think you can knock Chip Chapman for his outstanding knowledge on the war in Ukraine and a big supporter and now the Middle East. Don't shoot the messenger mate.
Fascinating historic framing. In the here and now though, major powers such as China, India, Saudi and other European countries need to get off the fence and stop hoping the US and UK will sort the problem out without their involvement. So Iran can play games without consequence, and does.
Wow, that was such a brilliant report on the various 'problems'? in the Middle East, Thank you Capt. Chapman. I also watched a post regarding the Shipping Lines, which explained how this was such a detromental attack on the Cargo Ships; and which could lead to disrupting World Economy, and how that would put most Countries of full alert. I also listened to a report saying some of the people of Iran are supporting Israel in the Gaza Conflicts, indeed there were Iranian flags and supporters at the London Isreally Support Rally this past weekend. There are Muslim Atheist posting on RU-vid as well. I am a very mature woman and have lived with the many situations in the MiddleEast throughout my life, all of them difficult to follow, and many many of them horrific, I would love to see Peace for all there. My heart goes out to the civilians, who just want to live their life away from such complicated politics. I will be saving this post to watch again later, and learn more from it regarding the many aspects of that is going on.
If the UK and USA weren't in the region none of this would happen. Israel is the USA biggest military base in the region, fully exploited by the USA Military Industrial Complex War machine, which supping weapons, to both Israel and Palestine. STOP YOUR OCCUPATION of the Middle East, pack-up your War toys and go home!! 🇬🇧🇺🇸
4:42 I'm sorry UK has been neglected in the Yemeni slogans. __ At least 🇬🇧 remains 🇷🇺's mortal nemesis and private school provider. Those are large & commendable responsibilities.
I really appreciate this in-depth analysis from such an expert on this very important topic. I've listened to it once but now feel I need to listen again to make sure I fully follow the facts!! 🙂Thank you Gen. Chip and James!
totally agree. many other subjects and one viewing is enough. the middle east and the thousands of years of issues, the Sunni/Shia side, then the domestic Iran issues, and the Syrian issues I believe is the most complex issue. By comparison the China/Taiwan, and Ukraine/Russia situations are pretty straight forward by those of us who try to understand from the few people in the West who have a grasp of the middle east.
If that part of the planet didn't have oil, the rest of the world, Israel would have got all they wanted and left the rest of the region fighting their squabbles on camel back.
The West was told not to create the Israeli terror state but they did. ✡️👿✡️ The West was told not to topple the Iranian government in 1953 but they did. The Soviets were told not to invade Afghanistan in 1979 but they did. Allowing Muslims to exploit their oil wealth WAS a mistake but that's an unconnected event.
More analysis from Major General Chip Chapman please. He appears to be one of the very few guests who is not an ideologue of any particular hue, or a reflexive Israel-basher-scapegoater, or an advocate on behalf of the US-UK's Military-Industrial Complex
I am curious about China. The Houthis blocking Suez must be affecting China more than any other country. Until now I don't think the CCP understood that their economy is affected by the health of the West and their access to Western markets. As far as I know, they have been silent on the Hoihies. That will be interesting to watch.
I wouldn’t expect too much here. China is an ally of Iran, but can also just sit back and let the west solve this. Inaction is the Chinese course here … and then probably telling everybody how evil the west is and that they should take some Yuan credits from China. It was different with Somali pirates as then China and India tried to show some global power projection. But neither China nor India were allied directly or indirectly with those Somali pirates. That’s at least my expectation.
Great interview with this guest very educational. You inspire me to think and ask similar to the Houthis in Yemen how is this compared to Hesbollah in Lebanon and the objectives to be achieved as proxies of Iran.
world war 1 and world war 2 and Cold War were not by islam but christians to biggest war interms of sheer destruction people being killed so you have to take that also in accout my knowledge brother whenever there are humans there will be wars it doesn't all about religion so even if islam perish there would be always wars
You're Absolutely right about #Islamic_Republic, not to be stable for several reasons, most of all, the regime in Tehran from Iranian nation perspective has no legitimacy, the regime unable to tackle existing financial, economical crisis, having all existing crisis, how would it be possible for the regime without any legitimacy, can continue to go ahead with major confrontation with super power, like #US.
...for a heavily sanctioned regime, they are doing ok...Ps. US stopped being a super power long ago, hence thwir reliance on proxies to fight thwir enemies
You need to come out of the hole you are in, Why can't you just watch a video here on RU-vid about Iran today many of them show you there are no crises or whatever crises they have it's the same as everywhere else, Since the revolution in Iran, the US and Iran have been in this cold war BS this has nothing to do with oil and Gas this has to do with Islam the US intelligence knows that any country that applies strict Sharia law is a threat to the US system, especially debt and interest, those that don't deal in interest can't buy US debt, Iran and the sharia is a threat to the Ponzi scheme, the war on terror is a scam.
You're an Iranian exile who longs for the bad old days of the Shah when Iran was a tool of Western imperialists and the rights of Iranians mattered not.
He doesn't mention who the Saudis used to fight them on the ground in Yemen. As a general he should be asking why the UK armed forces are such a shambles relying on "allies" to supply the navy. You have been so spot on with Ukraine, I am glad I wasted 33 minutes listening to this. (sarc)
Your interviews are well done and you continue to bring in different views and ideas about some of the most complex issues of our time. Thanks for your hard work and dedication to true investigative news reporting.
Israel is going downhill in our planet, nowadays is just an insignificant country , Europe support Palestine, and the rest of the world exactly the same. Greetings from the greatest country and most beautiful diverse nation on earth, Spain. And good luck your future is very very dark thanks to Netanyahu
@@cancermcaids7688 jajajaja one of the biggest empires in world history ~ Spanish is the primary language in 20 countries worldwide., it is estimated that about 486 million people speak Spanish as a native language in more than 21 countries , the most touristic country in the world ~ wholly bordered by sea and ocean, it’s one of Europe’s most mountainous countries, and it has the second largest forested area on the continent. Spain has about 8,000 kilometres of coastline and an extraordinary diversity of landscapes, from deep, dark woods to arid deserts and fascinating places where you could imagine you’re on another planet. From The Balearic Islands, or the The Canary Islands in the Atlantic ocean, ski resorts or Spanish cities like Ceuta and Melilla in Northern Africa near Marruecos , made Spain the most culturally diverse country on the planet . Learn a bit looser
@@Viaje_Interestelar'wholly bordered by sea and ocean', Spain? You might want to take a quick look at a map of Northern Spain, Google 'Pyrenees' if you néed a clue 😂😅
When the damn Sunnis and Shia muslims can not get alomng amongst themselves, there is pretty much no chance of getting along on the long term with the rest of the world.
Decisive Storm? What was decisive about it? Only hubris. Simply ' let's go Brandon. And why none speaka about Ukraine? Has Ukraine lost its glamour in the global US politics?
I have a hard time understanding why the western allies allow this to continue. Yemen cannot have that sophisticated military that the west couldn't turn it to dust in a morning's effort.
Historically it has proved really hard for powerful conventional forces to neutralise opponents who, on their owm territory, can continue to conduct asymetrical warfare.
My guesses: 1. The impact is not that big; not many direct hits, direct hits aren't doing much damage, going round Africa for a few months is not that bad. (Plus this is not really a to/from US route). 2. The first strike may have significantly deteriorated their capacity anyway and the attacks are forecast to slow or be easier to defend. 3. The optics of civilian casualties would be very bad at the moment. 4. Assessment that it would be better if this was resolved by a broader coalition of countries and waiting for them. 5. Strategic advantages to let this slowly burn i.e. distracting attention and resources, or diplomatic leverage.
@@russellpengilley5924 What? We know that's not the case. Not only do we have satellites that can give us the exact coordinates we can work backwards from the trajectory of the missiles to figure out where they were launched. Your analysis such as it were, is 100% outdated and inaccurate.
For one - the Hothi's are battle hardened from Saudi Arabia's bombing campaign that didn't work. They moved all of their missiles underground. The second is when the US goes to war we really don't go to war - we watch out for civilian casualties and only use a portion of our capabilities. Vietnam and Afghanistan - we held back and use measured responses., The US only goes to war in earnest when the American people are behind it. THe start of the Iraq war showed that but the ending didn't
The Indo European that is Iranian never wanted to be occupied by Islamic' Most of them were slaughtered by the invading force in the 60s. Did they get them all? How many were forced to cave in to the hostile takeover?
The best policy on Iran is what is now being pursued. Push back without proactive escalation! That leaves Khamenei and the regime facing the Iranian people and its policies seen for what they are: the strategy without which remaining in power becomes impossible!
This gentleman is tripping. Iran was never a province of Khorasan. It was the greater Khorasan that was a province of Iran, which to this day is the name for one of Iran's provinces in the east. I guess if you say anything with a British accent and a fancy suit, people would just take it as facts.
With long history of fighting between different Sects of Muslims,could all Muslims unite together: against Israel just for example, a real possibility? Or would they never truly Unite & fight together?
All you commentators are always saying this country or that country “could collapse if…” but it never seems to happen. I don’t think any of you really know what you’re talking about; you’re just saying it to get more clicks.
Dispense with the clickbait titles. Merely bringing up the existing dissent in Iran neither posits an Iran collapse nor did you even ask the question, "Why".
