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What Steven Pinker missed is there are repeating patterns in stock charts proven by certain times of the trading day. The stock market has a memory because it it based on price, how many players, and how much money is flowing into the shares. He is welcome to debate me, and if he would like proof I could show him live during market trading sessions.
The gambler's fallacy and how we are easily noticing it in others, but not in ourselves is a very interesting phenomenon. However, I don't think the recipe for shielding societies against it could be as easy as freedom of speech. While I totally support open debate, it's not like the experts', or the wisest, or most balanced opinions win it. Likewise, it's not the thorough, critical studies that are read most. People are largely governed by emotions - another interesting phenomenon in a species that called itself "sapiens" (knowing/ knowledgeable/intelligent) - and it makes matters quite complicated.
Could u check this reasoning. As an example For 60 people in a room, each one of them can have 365 birthdays. There are 365 to the power 60 possible birthdays. And the number of ways two people not sharing birthdays is 365 x 364 x …. for half the people in the room which would be 30 Divide this by 365 to the power 18 and subtract from 1 The answer in %age would be the chance two people out of 60 in a room share a birthday. Thank u