and on the point that we are all computation so have no emotion. yes but we have energy systems and chemical reactions that different from electrical circuits that we don't understand yet - so can't possibly program into a computer. A simulation is just that, it's like the game of chess they were talking about, except with unlimited combinations. A simulation is not the real thing, it might be able to fool humans but that doesn't mean it is self determining/intuitive etc..
On morality and the example of only 1 in 100 million kids being bad. It's not a good comparison. A kid/adult is extremely limited in most cases in it's reach. A universal computing machine, might have infinite reach. So the probability of being bad is not the issue, it's the size of bad that's the issue. It would only take 1 to destroy the world.
I'm amazed that neither of these remarkable and prominent scientists know that subjective intelligence is created by the process of selection that creates our individual patterns of continuity.
About the Great Stagnation, @1:38:58 Deutsch explained current culture seems to be: it has to be incremental rather than anything fundamental. And @1:45:22 Pinker said many people reject the idea that search for truth is even possible and desirable. Is pessimism the main theme of this era?
Her goal was to make therapeutic medicines - the same as Dr. Frankenstein....and what the Pharmaceutical company she helped set up called Moderna created a horrid, GHASTLY MONSTER!
Forgot to research whether the mRNA in the jabs would distribute itself through the entire body, gravitating towards lipid-loving tissues such as the cardiovascular system and gonads and causing inflammation, cell destruction and auto-immunity wherever it pitches up. Nightmare. Forgot to research whether the mRNA in the jabs would persist for longer than the stated 48 hrs (all studies so far have found it persists for MONTHS, post-jab) - effectively, no 'off switch'. Nightmare. Forgot to research the effects of using synthetic mRNA, or pseudouridine, which we now know to be carcinogenic. NIGHTMARE. Humanity will be suffering the horrifying effects of this Nobel-Prize winning technology for decades to come.
I'm an economics professor also. Dr. Caplan failed to mention that immigration DOES NOT "work" if immigrants show up and immediately get welfare. When this happens, they cause a type of negative productivity. Immigrants are good for the economy if, and only if, they show up and start working.
History rhymes ...and once upon a time, there was no need or incentive to MOVE at all. THIS is when we saw true quality of life. Now largely replaced with debt peonage to service the over priced housing and food manipulators. Pumped up from people "passing thru" to a better life. Yeh, right.
If there's a limited amount of space in the high productivity area, then it makes more sense to use that space on high-productivity workers than on low-productivity workers. Having high-productivity workers displace low-productivity workers is what's supposed to happen if we cannot create more space in the high productivity area (e.g. due to zoning).
That would strengthen them and make them a threat, plus most dont want help or are corrupt and need military intervention and thats not easy short term, its better to invite them in to grow your economy
@@ashishpatel350 It depends on how the housing got cheaper. If the government is forcing the price then that would obviously lead to bullshit. If the housing got cheaper because that is what the market naturally dictated then I would say that it is a good thing.
@@ohmaramusic for housing to get cheaper we need more automation and pre built homes. We also need more energy efficient homes. The government won't do either as the unions will cry about it. Cheaper homes means less people required to build them and more labor efficiency
"Developing" countries are trying desperately to get their population to and average income of US$5K/year so they can start to develop properly. USA is experimenting with widespread poverty and self imposed depravation for a bit of a chuckle.
These statements remind me of History and Philosophy of Science - that is when large sets of experimental data are found that refute the core hypothesis, auxiliary hypotheses are generated to save the core hypothesis instead of coming to the conclusion that perhaps the hypothesis isn't really supported by the data collected in the real world (see the Vulcan hypothesis to explain Mercury's orbit).
Glass & steel megaliths are now built because its fast and cheap. Past buildings of interlocking iron and masonry is beautiful but costs more money and time. Real estate billionaires now, dont care about the future, they want their turnaround money now, asap.
Very interesting interview. But the professor's direct correlation of higher pay to higher productivity is an assumption he takes for granted in every situation.
Caplan has no understanding of how real-world economics works. By his own admission, he's occupied a sinecure for the last 25 years. He's also incredibly arrogant and solipsistic, precluding his ability to analyze anything properly.
Bryan definitely needs to be injected into the Aussie housing crisis debate! The LNP are doing a terrible job of making a market case for deregulating, opting for yet again demand subsidies!
Great interview! I think the only objection to his position of taking a car always being faster than mass transit is that’s usually true on an individual level but if everyone in a large city wanted to drive, there is just not enough space in the city for everyone to be on the roads at the same time which leads to mass transit being a more space efficient option in more densely populated regions. I’d still say America is super pro car even without congestion pricing because most density laws are to manage traffic as well as they enforce all these stupid parking minimums. In a city like NYC, not only is there limited street space but something like 6% of the urban land is dedicated to parking. In the densest areas of Dallas, the roads are designed much differently for higher speeds, larger streets for more capacity, and I believe 33% of downtown Dallas is dedicated to parking. In Tokyo, I’d say it’s much more of a free market for housing than most American cities and rather than enforce parking minimums, they actually ensure before you buy a car that you have a place that can fit it at your residence. I strongly believe in Bryan’s belief in congestion pricing, I wish that was one thing that isn’t so politically unpopular as it’d increase productivity of all streets including the collective forms of mass transit like buses. Thank you for the great interview!
David Deutsch has a way of presenting perspective which is difficult to contravene. If one remembers that he is a Popperian at core and understands what that means then the picture becomes clearer. Of course, anyone is free to be critical of this comment.
What amazes me is how much agency we project onto things like pets, stuffed toys, cars, boats and the rest. It's hardly a surprise that we project that onto chat-gpt or our replica agents.
