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Welcome to the SCM Prof Rutgers Channel!

This channel was created to help students through homework problems, but over time it has been used by professionals and others interested in forecasting techniques developed in Excel.

If you are interested in learning more about Supply Chain Management, please visit business.rutgers.edu/scmonline.
Supply Chain of the Future
10:31
3 года назад
Supply Chain Management
7:09
3 года назад
Moving Average Forecast in Excel
3:47
12 лет назад
Cumulative Mean Forecast
4:36
12 лет назад
forecasting naive
3:13
12 лет назад
Комментарии
@shivachiotieno4666
@shivachiotieno4666 4 месяца назад
good stuff
@chukwunonsoamaikwu9621
@chukwunonsoamaikwu9621 5 месяцев назад
Thanks for the goal seek, helped me a lot today 🙏
@_EricaKeyz
@_EricaKeyz 6 месяцев назад
I really appreciate this breakdown. The videos within my textbook were not as helpful.
@Ewok847
@Ewok847 10 месяцев назад
literally can teach better than my NCSU professor, thank you
@mendellauron1614
@mendellauron1614 11 месяцев назад
WOW
@vishalsejpal6018
@vishalsejpal6018 Год назад
Thanks you so much
@hoaiannguyenle602
@hoaiannguyenle602 Год назад
there is a problem that the alpha value may be bigger than 1or smaller than 0, how can i tackle?
@kenji2342
@kenji2342 2 года назад
Thank you Professor Leudi. I should try the go seek tool
@usmankaimkhani3719
@usmankaimkhani3719 2 года назад
i tried the goal seek method but it started using negative values of alpha after a while to calculate the lowest possible MSE value. How do i prevent that from happening?
@waelsh4963
@waelsh4963 2 года назад
Thank you professor for uploading and sharing on youtube they are really easy to learn and helpful
@waelsh4963
@waelsh4963 2 года назад
Thank you for explaining cumulative mean forecast on excel sheets it is very helpful PS: for quick learners 1.25x play speed would suit you
@waelsh4963
@waelsh4963 2 года назад
thank you for explaining naive forecast using excel formatting. and for those who are in hurry just adjust play speed to 1.25x
@skillsandresearch2485
@skillsandresearch2485 2 года назад
Hello, really it's great videos. sir could you suggest to me any sophisticated and accurate method for forecasting.because I am new in this field
@ambertalha6027
@ambertalha6027 2 года назад
what is the reference for the formulas used in excel? can you please provide the link?
@wendywen24
@wendywen24 3 года назад
you talked so fast, I can't catch up with.
@cristiancamiloramirezlopez8811
@cristiancamiloramirezlopez8811 3 года назад
What a wonderful way to find a better alpha changing some parameters using goal cell.
@deepkotak8087
@deepkotak8087 3 года назад
For a more accurate result, you should give input 0.000001 into the value cell instead of zero while using goal seek.
@lsubandtrumpet2014
@lsubandtrumpet2014 3 года назад
Also why did u put, '0)'
@aymuratatayev1458
@aymuratatayev1458 3 года назад
it is for the digits on decimal numbers, i guess
@gadagbemavi5534
@gadagbemavi5534 Год назад
Mine isn’t working
@lsubandtrumpet2014
@lsubandtrumpet2014 3 года назад
Also why did u put F4 on 3:22?
@aymuratatayev1458
@aymuratatayev1458 3 года назад
it is for making that number constant so he can use it everywhere
@lsubandtrumpet2014
@lsubandtrumpet2014 3 года назад
What does =round actually mean?
@Thunderin11
@Thunderin11 3 года назад
The title of the video is misleading. This video only shows how to compute the moving average, it does not show how to forecast or how to use the moving average for forecasting.
@IndraneelBapat
@IndraneelBapat 3 года назад
we can also use the solver and set the MSE value to minimum to find best value for alpha
@tamalsaha8837
@tamalsaha8837 4 года назад
I'm looking for an exact equation for "Linear Regression Extrapolation on Time-series spatial data". can anyone help me?
@TheJohnmariana
@TheJohnmariana 4 года назад
Such a simple method and so well explained. Thanks for sharing!
@88spaces
@88spaces 4 года назад
Hi, Nice way to round numbers. You can do it in different ways, but I like your solution. Thank you.
@cray0308
@cray0308 4 года назад
you said that this is to show solver but instead showed goal seek.
@MasterofPlay7
@MasterofPlay7 4 года назад
that's more complicated than python....
@shubhamgupta-xy6tz
@shubhamgupta-xy6tz 4 года назад
AT -0.065, I am getting the lowest MSE. I know it's not practical but how do I prevent alpha from going below zero
@RaviKumar-mk4mj
@RaviKumar-mk4mj 4 года назад
So, the forecast Column you added right beside Seasonal, Is that for those months or for 25th onwards? If not then should we just drag the forecast data from 24th onwards to forecast till 36?
@Dret4288
@Dret4288 5 лет назад
This was VERY USEFUL in explaining what the naieve forcast is and proper excel formatting.
@arzamas1826
@arzamas1826 5 лет назад
thanks for the vid. background noise - sounds like overloaded PC, probably due to heavy formulas in excel :)
@greencable2222
@greencable2222 5 лет назад
wow so complicated for nothing (excel, not video). most people only want to know what the future value of something that has been growing or decreasing steadfastly is like a savings account or mortgage.
@GulshanSaini3
@GulshanSaini3 6 лет назад
how to forcast days wise sales
@davidevercellone636
@davidevercellone636 6 лет назад
hi does anyone have the excel file? thanks
@shwetapejathaya858
@shwetapejathaya858 6 лет назад
If I need to provide a 4 months forecast of the demand, what changes should I be making to the above? Would just taking M = 4 be sufficient? Once I reach the period 24, how do I forecast for all future periods until period 28? By replacing M by 4 would the rows for the period 21-24 hold the forecasted values for the period 25-28?
@sinisasavic4152
@sinisasavic4152 6 лет назад
Nice
@humparepatta
@humparepatta 6 лет назад
Please take out this video, it is hurting my eyes and ears
@andrewbollers6685
@andrewbollers6685 6 лет назад
useless
@chandarpoorna9656
@chandarpoorna9656 6 лет назад
ok, next jan, what is your expectation value ?
@funhitch2925
@funhitch2925 6 лет назад
This way how can I forecast for next 12 months as next 12 months there are no actual demand. So how can I get trend seasonality and forecast for next 12 months?
@IMaybe911
@IMaybe911 4 года назад
Hi Fun Hitch! Have you resolved your problem? Because I am wondering the same thing as you now! 😅
@MrJimmyJammers
@MrJimmyJammers 6 лет назад
Very helpful!! Thank you so much
@clivewilliams3596
@clivewilliams3596 7 лет назад
How are you interpreting your U-Statistic?
@lovelyaltisin9107
@lovelyaltisin9107 7 лет назад
It is actually helpful.
@Bigboy_T-1000
@Bigboy_T-1000 7 лет назад
This was good but when do you actually forecast?
@gauthierdebonnefoy2764
@gauthierdebonnefoy2764 7 лет назад
Fantastic, thank you!
@jennychen4881
@jennychen4881 7 лет назад
can alpha be a negative number?
@javiervatcky
@javiervatcky 6 лет назад
no, from 0 to 1
@DaltonHBrown
@DaltonHBrown 7 лет назад
Thanks
@Buckeyes202
@Buckeyes202 7 лет назад
Ive been spending so long trying to figure out how to initialize trend, finally find this video and then this dude just puts a guess in.... wtf
@mjk2426
@mjk2426 4 года назад
Welcome to University Lmao
@MasterofPlay7
@MasterofPlay7 4 года назад
that's more complicated than python....
@mohammadshadan8137
@mohammadshadan8137 7 лет назад
Thanks a lot :)
@skilzs1974
@skilzs1974 7 лет назад
I can't see the formula!!!!