18-year property cycle: When will the market crash? | The Property Podcast

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When is the market heading towards a crash?
This has got to be our most requested topic ever and honestly, we’ve lost count of how many times we’ve been asked ‘where are we in the cycle?’.
But it’s finally the moment you’ve been waiting for…
Rob & Rob are revealing where we are in the cycle, what they think is going to happen, when the crash will be and sharing how they plan to invest between now and then.
This is going to be a whopper of an episode and definitely one you won’t want to miss.
Want to scrub up on your 18-year property cycle knowledge or find out Rob & Rob’s 2022 hotspots? All the links you need are below:
Where are we in the 18 Year Property Cycle?
• Where are we in the 18...
Has Coronavirus broken the property cycle?
• Has Coronavirus broken...
The 18 Year Property Cycle
• The 18 Year Property C...
The 18 year property cycle, year-by-year: Part 1
• The 18 year property c...
The 18 year property cycle, year-by-year: Part 2
• The 18 year property c...
Is the 18 year property cycle a scam?
• Is the 18 year propert...
The 18 year property cycle explained
propertyhub.net/course/the-18...
2022’s hotspots to invest in
• Top buy-to-let propert...
Play our boom phase simulation game
propertyhub.net/boom-phase-si...
Property Hub news
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If you missed the news, everything you need to know is right here in last week’s episode and if you’re ready to pre-register your interest you can do that here!
In the news
This week’s news is coming straight to you from the leader of NRLA and it’s a bit of a warning…
Speaking at The Property Investor Show Ben Beadle has warned potential investors of ‘too good to be true’ rent-to-rent schemes.
Rent-to-rent has always been popular, but with the power of social media the number of ‘get rich quick’ videos popping up has seen an alarming increase.
You can find the full story here.
Hub Extra
Even in our downtime we can’t help but want to learn more, and if you’re a lover of start-ups stories we’ve got some cracking recommendations for you.
WeCrashed reveals the epic story behind the incredible rise and dramatic fall of WeWork. If you’re keen to learn how a brand worth $47 billion managed to, in less than a year, lose $40 billion this is the show for you.
And the start-up dramas don’t end there. The Dropout follows the incredible story of Elizabeth Holmes and her business Theranos. How did it go so wrong for this self-made billionaire?
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Subscribe to Any Other Business now: / anyotherbusiness
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Опубликовано:

10 июл 2024

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Комментарии : 24

@supersonicboy75 2 года назад

Rock my world why don’t you!! By far one the best video on property in years. Bravo bravo 👏🏽 Clear, deatiled, backed by data and drawing from the past. You guys are amazing. Free and high quality advice. Be proud of yourselves. You are a contrast to the get rich quick sell you my course that floods RU-vid.

@michaelmallal9101 4 месяца назад

I'm bombarded by ads for Real Estate courses on the pc.

@rikardsaje 2 года назад

Your best episode yet and you've made plenty of good ones. Keep up the great work, thank you.

@l32789 2 года назад

Thank you for the great video. I learned a lot!

@jollymilly2624 2 года назад

gents love your work, watch all your work and i live all the way out in aussie

@becks8341 2 года назад

I usually agree completely with your analysis but there were a couple of critical factors that I would have liked to have seen covered; - interest rates are still sub 1% so can only really stay the same or go up, and the cost of living crisis / inflation. Do you think either of these will have a notable impact on the cycle?

@user-fn2oy1rq5p Год назад

The cycle doesnt work in Germany, does it? Is there a way to easy buy & finance real estate in UK as a foreigner and also have someone take care of renting it out?

@yume816 2 года назад

Do you think immigration could push the 18 cycle further out?

@DylDeyfingOdds Год назад

Would like your input on this guys, please let me know if you’ll address this in a later episode. So to start off, I understand what you’re saying regarding human psychology, and it’s tendency to repeat with people becoming extremely greedy later in the cycle. But psychology and actors within real estate take different forms. This is just me speculating here, but ‘08 crash was in part catalyzed by shaky loans and very hyped RETAIL investors. What if you’re looking for the wrong actors? Instead of looking at retail, look at all the crazy speculative hype from institutional money that has flowed into real estate over the past year or so. BlackRock, OpenDoor, etc. I think that maybe it would pay dividends to look at these actors and maybe re-examine the thesis. Thanks!

@freedom9611 Год назад

2008 crashed, recovery from 2009-2015, 2016-2022 explosive phase, 2023/2024/2025 recession phase. Am I doing my math wrong?

@edj4240 Год назад

08-12 4 yrs down. 12-19 boom in stock and primary tier land markets. 2020 mid cycle slowdown stock market crash, land prices not generally affected greatly. Then 6 yrs of craziness to the peak ending in a 2 yr winners curse phase where speculation goes to another level.

@strikingmediallc8269 Год назад

No I thnink youre spot on and its showing greater signs of strength now as housing is turning over and rents are dropping. When you have homes go up 250-300% in just 2 years you cant say that were heading into a mid cycle pullback. esp when the masses are convinced were going to keep going up. were in the denial phase right now imo.

@drwinklepecker9298 Год назад

2008 was the top. 2012 was the low (start count from 2012).

@julianmustoe985 2 года назад

I don't understand your sales logic. The template you show while listening to your podcast has an 18 year cycle. I recall the 2008 Wall Street sub prime crash, if I add 18 years to 2008 according to the template I come to the year 2026 as the time we move back into the recovery phase at the beginning. If I minus the 4 year recession phase that would mean 2022 as the beginning of the recession??!! Have I missed something?

@matthewsokalski1969 2 года назад

2008 crash. 4 years before recovery begins, to 2012. 14 years of recovery and ultimately growth, to 2026.

@AdrijusGuscia 2 года назад

@@matthewsokalski1969 Very convenient excuse it seems, to add those 4 years... then this cylce model is missing thing - missing that ''pre-recovery' phase.

@TK-gd9td 2 года назад

Recessionary phase is beginning be patient it’s only hit the bond and stock market so far, the most forward looking market. Wait til it hits credit default and real estate and car repo markets. Yield curve even is remaining inverted as of a week or two ago.

@matthewsokalski1969 2 года назад

The 4 years isn't added. Julian simply counted 4 years of recession BEFORE the crash. The model indicates 4 years of recession AFTER the crash.

@edj4240 Год назад

@@AdrijusGuscia 08-12 4 yrs down. 12-19 boom in stock and primary tier land markets. 2020 mid cycle slowdown stock market crash, land prices not generally affected greatly. Then 6 yrs of craziness to the peak ending in a 2 yr winners curse phase where speculation goes to another level.

@BaliBrit 2 года назад

Im planning to start selling our 2 bedroom places in 2024-2026 (use capital gains allowances), then probably invest the cash in properties again until the monies gone lol

@truth952 Год назад

Sell before 2025 mate

@BaliBrit Год назад

@@truth952 yep, Im starting when tenants move out, I live overseas and cant get mortgages anymore...even though I can afford it....country has gone mad and it will negatively effect all(more homelessness, Landlords no profit, government less revenue)

@najib1 Год назад

Didn't age well...

@oneworldcafe Год назад

I think you have some interesting content. However on this I think you painted an over optimistic picture bordering on a complacent viewpoint. You appear to be blind to the effect of rapidly rising interest rates, 'hyper' inflation and stagnant wages. Why would you do this. Well you are selling shares in your property company. That should raise alarm bells with viewers.