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2024 Ohio Derby Analysis and Picks 

Mystery Handicapper
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Analysis and picks for the Ohio Derby at Thistledown.
Featuring the Louisiana Derby winner Catching Freedom
#horseracing #horseracingtips #ohio

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17 июн 2024

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Комментарии : 43   
@perfecttrip586
@perfecttrip586 Месяц назад
Love Catching Freedom who WAS a lock before all the scratches. Now Batten Down is going to be loose. Going with Batten Down and Copper Tax exacta box for value in a small field.
@andrewcarpenter687
@andrewcarpenter687 Месяц назад
Who got scratched, ty.
@mysteryhandicapper
@mysteryhandicapper Месяц назад
The race sets up perfectly for Batten Down with the scratches. Catching Freedom will need to be closer to the pace. Good luck!
@mysteryhandicapper
@mysteryhandicapper Месяц назад
@@andrewcarpenter687 1,6,7 and 10.
@andrewcarpenter687
@andrewcarpenter687 Месяц назад
@@mysteryhandicapper ty.
@FastHorsesToday
@FastHorsesToday Месяц назад
Best of luck on your selections today in the Ohio Derby. We are not on the same horse today and that is what makes horse racing great, we can wager on our opinions. Hope all is well.
@mysteryhandicapper
@mysteryhandicapper Месяц назад
With four scratches, it became a different race. Batten Down had the lead all to himself and won easily. He's well bred. Definitely a horse to watch. My four horses made the superfecta.
@FastHorsesToday
@FastHorsesToday Месяц назад
@@mysteryhandicapper I agree with you the scratches changed the field. I wish those horses did not scratch since it would've helped the price on Batten Down. I'll take the 3-1, he won so nicely. Congrats on hitting the Superfecta. Yes, he is a horse that will have a say down the road.
@ronpagliaro3442
@ronpagliaro3442 Месяц назад
Hi Mystery Handicapper, I’m going with #2, #8, #9, also two tickets on Mugatu to win. Thanks for your insight, Ron Pagliaro, Have to try to make a comeback from the Belmont.
@mysteryhandicapper
@mysteryhandicapper Месяц назад
Hi Ron, several scratches make this only a 6-horse field. Good luck!
@austinthomas9068
@austinthomas9068 Месяц назад
I’m going with the 9 horse Batten Down w/p light 💡 bulb angle
@mysteryhandicapper
@mysteryhandicapper Месяц назад
He's well bred. Good luck!
@LABoyko
@LABoyko Месяц назад
Tricky spot for this fav. Gould's Gold, Who's the King, Batten Down are the only semblance of pace. Everyone else is a closer/deep closer. Batten Down ran 10 Fs a full second faster than Mystik Dan a week earlier on the same track. Another dog walk on the front end could get this Tapit to the wire first at a square price. Betting the #9 horse WP.
@mysteryhandicapper
@mysteryhandicapper Месяц назад
I agree, not much pace in the race. Batten Down is well bred and could be trouble on the front end. I'm using him. Good luck!
@trtraveltips
@trtraveltips Месяц назад
it is hard to figure out what junior will do with batten down...he allowed 5 horses to get in front of him around the first turn at keeneland on april 20, then brought him up to an outside pressing position in 3rd mid backstretch and turning for home was tied for the the lead and had no excuse not to win but was just outrun by the 2 horses on either side of him ... in the last race he got lucky on the inside when the 3 outside horses collided out of the gate putting the 2nd favorite in next to last place 6 wide after just 1 furlong ... batten down was given 3 straight 8's on the thoroughgraph chart for his last 3 races which doesn't really give me confidence that he will move forward vs better competition from an outside post... I think it will take a 2 or 3 on the thoroughraph to win this race ...hard to figure
@andrewcarpenter687
@andrewcarpenter687 Месяц назад
Nice call morpheous, this colt is a confirmed front runner going into the 2nd half, clearly he doesn't want to be rated...noticed they cleaned out the show pool with CF...the trend for this crop is everyone is going to beat each other...Haskell and Travers should offer value as Bob baffert, Mr. Baphomet himself will be a factor 2nd half...I expect the pace to be quicker with all these confirmed front runners 1st half, tc.
@mattbutler4763
@mattbutler4763 Месяц назад
Appreciate the show. Think I am going to key the 8 over 2 4 9 EX for a few units. Thanks! 👊🏼
@mysteryhandicapper
@mysteryhandicapper Месяц назад
Thank you! Good luck!
@paulv7554
@paulv7554 Месяц назад
Batten Down had everything his way up front. That race looked over from the start.
@mysteryhandicapper
@mysteryhandicapper Месяц назад
Couldn't ask for a better set-up. Lone speed in the race (especially with all the scratches). He's well bred. A horse to watch.
@andrewcarpenter687
@andrewcarpenter687 Месяц назад
Cox is tough in these minor derbies...batten down getting juice again?
@mysteryhandicapper
@mysteryhandicapper Месяц назад
No juice for Batten Down this time. Interested to see how he runs without Lasix.
@andrewcarpenter687
@andrewcarpenter687 Месяц назад
@@mysteryhandicapper I read Ohio still allows it...?
@mysteryhandicapper
@mysteryhandicapper Месяц назад
@@andrewcarpenter687 Might not be allowed for stakes races. I went to drf.com entries and notices none of the horses competing in stakes races were on lasix.
@andrewcarpenter687
@andrewcarpenter687 Месяц назад
@@mysteryhandicapper ty.
@kevinmixon7988
@kevinmixon7988 Месяц назад
I like the #5 ,I guess I'm a sucker for his aquaduct win, I sawer it( said like how Boston people say it)
@mysteryhandicapper
@mysteryhandicapper Месяц назад
Good luck! Maybe he can find his winning form again in this race.
@gretafields4706
@gretafields4706 Месяц назад
Catching Freedom for sure. Hope he goes on into Haskell or Travers. i like Batten Down too, and he was my longshot in a big race... I cant recall if it was Derby or Preakness, but he didn't make the entry.
@mysteryhandicapper
@mysteryhandicapper Месяц назад
Catching Freedom has been one of my favorite horses all year. Batten Down is well bred. Good luck!
@bnegs521
@bnegs521 Месяц назад
This is the first race Batten Down will not be on Lasix. He will also be carrying 8 more pounds than last race. Deposition was on lasix last race and won and now comes off it.
@mysteryhandicapper
@mysteryhandicapper Месяц назад
Let's see how Batten Down does without lasix. If he wants the lead he should get it with all the scratches.
@bnegs521
@bnegs521 Месяц назад
@mysteryhandicapper agreed although with all the scratches Copper Tax will also be going. 6 horse field. It is very hot and humid at the track
@roblegg3983
@roblegg3983 Месяц назад
#6 will finish in 3rd or 4th.
@mysteryhandicapper
@mysteryhandicapper Месяц назад
I think he'll be higher than 12/1. Nice trifecta or superfecta payout.
@magapatriot3740
@magapatriot3740 Месяц назад
9 w 4 w 8 w all Superfecta Thanks 4 the PP's
@mysteryhandicapper
@mysteryhandicapper Месяц назад
You're welcome. Good luck!
@artneljohnson2447
@artneljohnson2447 Месяц назад
I like catching freedom
@mysteryhandicapper
@mysteryhandicapper Месяц назад
I like him too. Good luck!
@nolinrogers
@nolinrogers Месяц назад
9/5 on #8 where can i bet him? more like odds-on on race day this race not paying much if #8 wins so 8/4-9 ex.better to key him in multi-bets.
@mysteryhandicapper
@mysteryhandicapper Месяц назад
I agree, he's not 9/5 out of the gate.
@alcw625
@alcw625 Месяц назад
Catching Freedom is the cream of this crop...a lot of meh horses...8/9/2...let's hope for a clean trip and we see him again against SL , Fierceness and Muth in the Grade 1 races to come.
@mysteryhandicapper
@mysteryhandicapper Месяц назад
He is the cream of the crop. Hopefully he has a good race. Good luck!
@alcw625
@alcw625 Месяц назад
Nice wire to wire …looked at the far turn 8 was ready to make the move but didn’t have that extra gear the last few furlongs. Batten down ran a sharp race .
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