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As always, expect at least 1 non-English language film to pop up in the Best Picture lineup. Some possible contenders I think include ALL WE IMAGINE IS LIGHT (which won the same category in Cannes as THE ZONE OF INTEREST last year), EMILIA PEREZ etc. What do you think?
As an Indian, I pray that the selection committee this year doesn't fuck up like usual and send in All We Imagine As Light. The kind of reviews we're hearing about the film, with the right marketing it could just make it to the Oscars.
but it was directed by yorgos lanthimos, and had a ton of oscar-worthy techs but, as a counter-counter argument, the academy nominated the florida project, which means they’re at least familiar with sean baker’s work to some extent and are willing to watch his films
And Poor things is a fantasy film so the sex working has something funny and easy. I could imagine some voters don't want to see a movie about sex workers. Not a nice topic to spend a nice eavening in theater.
Top 5 feels solid... the rest? Well, it's a dart throw year... especially with the lukewarm international slate at Cannes (so much for capitalizing on the strikes... hopefully Venice/TIFF brings some more noteworthy stalwarts to the table).
I've seen The Seed of the Sacred Fig, and while it definitely has that vibe of an important and urgent movie, I think it might turn out to be more respected than loved. There's a shift in the last act that I don't think will work for everyone.
Emilia Pérez and All We Imagine is Light should be above Sacred Fig and Apprentice. Those were the runner ups for the Palme and have way more positive buzz around them.
A Real Pain is being distributed by Searchlight, not Focus Features. Searchlight might campaign hard for it if Nightbitch and Kinds of Kindness turn out too polarizing for the public, although I’m still rooting for an Amy Adams and Jesse Plemons nom this year.
As someone who’s seen it, I think you might be sleeping HARD on Emilia Perez. I thought it was a total knockout in terms of being an Oscar worthy film with its relevant social commentary being done in such a unique way. But I could be completely wrong and biased cause it was my favorite film at Cannes
@@Sharpe1502 it’s a very ensemble based film so that’s the hardest part of it for me. It kind of alternates between Saldana and Gascon for who’s the true lead. But I kind of see Gascon as a Lily Gladstone type candidate. Just as impressive of a performance but she doesn’t have a prolific director like Scorcese backing her. Saldana and Gomez could also both make a run at supporting actress for sure.
I'm sorry, but what are your thoughts on the will smith return with bad boys 4? can it do better than its projected 30-50 mil opening weekend? i really want to see a redemption for smith. please talk about it. ty
i'm skeptical of sing sing because of that release date. I think it ended up hurting past lives. while obviously eeaao and oppenheimer came out earlier in the year, they both made a big cultural splash so sing sing would have to do that.
THE HURT LOCKER is the opposite case. It quietly released in June 2009 and won in large part thanks to huge push from the critics (with David vs Goliath aspect with respect to AVATAR also playing a role, but still).
I still don't get why everyone is predicting Sing Sing to win picture. It premiered last year at TIFF and didn't even win any awards. I don't get it. Can someone explain?
I’m rooting for Anora. Sean Baker needs to be recognized. I’ll go ahead and predict: 1. Anora 2. Sing Sing 3. Emilía Perez 4. Blitz 5. Juror No. 2 (I believe in Toni Collette and Nicholas Hoult) 6. The Seed of the Sacred Fig 7. Nosferatu (I’m manifesting this) 8. Dune: Part 2 9. Queer 10. Nightbitch I don’t see The Apprentice getting more than acting nominations and I kind of feel like the sheer amount of musicals being released this year, The Joker, The End, and Wicked might cancel each other out. I think Emilia Perez is the current international film front runner and it got picked up by Netflix, so that might be the sole musical getting a best pic nom. Edit: I’m also secretly hoping The Substance miraculously sneaks in but I have zero faith in Mubi’s campaign skills.
*If I Nominated for Best Picture 2024 Today Without Giving an F:* (ordered alphabetically out of 50+ new releases seen as of comment) - _Abigail_ _Cabrini_ _Challengers_ _Civil War_ _Dune: Part Two_ _Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire_ _Hit Man_ _Mars Express_ _Miller’s Girl_ _Sasquatch Sunset_
I’m predicting 1. Sing Sing - which I saw at Miami Film Festival 2. Dune Part 2 3. Gladiator II 4. Blitz 5. The Piano Lesson 6. The Nickel Boys 7. Conclave 8. A Real Pain - which I believe is Searchlight not Focus 9. Anora 10. Here - I’m putting my faith in Eric Roth I don’t have Joker 2 because I don’t know if the academy will go for three sequels in best picture. Two from Warner Bros. I don’t like that I don’t have any female directed films in here but I couldn’t find one to back. I’m not sure about Nightbitch. It gives me Girl on the Train vibes. Personally I would love if no films from international feature are in this year’s 10. That way all 5 films in that category have a chance to win.
The director is more well respected and the book isn’t a mystery/thriller. It’s a body horror/feminist dark comedy about a woman learning to be a better mother by not repressing her urges or instincts. The ending was the most pretentious shit ever but I could see an adaptation fixing it and having it land.
sacred fig isn't gonna happen. its entire gimmick is based on the director fleeing his country where he's wanted by the law & escaping to show it at Cannes. The movie itself is said to just be good and not great. Plus NEON will be busy pushing Anora and bury it like they buried La chimera.
A lot of reviews called Sacred Fig a masterpiece and it has a higher rating on Letterboxd than the other films you mentioned. Plus the themes are much more in line with the Academy's taste than the other two films, based on how they've been described.
Strongly disagree with this. The film actually probably didn’t win Palm bc this fear. But it is truly a masterpiece and deserves much more recognition for the film itself.
