@@Ry-vh3js More like a dystopian version of the future scares them. Like Tom said in the video, it's not *THE* future,just *A* future out of the infinite possibilities there are. Who knows,maybe,just maybe, humanity will not screw up as predicted by almost every sci-fi work ever and instead create a _good_ future for once?
Good luck with that. RU-vid comment section was deleted in 2025 when telepathic communication to the google super hub was installed in all Brain chips. Anyway am wasting time on youtube comment section, time is short, i must stop Hillery Clinton the future is at risk.
"Yes, knowing the identity of every face in the mob is devastating knowledge, but that won't stop them from storming the gates of your palace if they're already there." *Damn* now there's a good line.
Actually, it might. You can call out to each person and address their concerns, then remind them why this isn't the answer they need. It's not a sure thing, but a whole building being able to pick apart a crowd and personalize the action, saying "I've already called your mum. What do you want me to tell her?" can have a lot of weight.
"Wait, there's no privacy policy?" "Never has been." Seriously, people need to read those things more carefully because it's usually just companies admitting that they sell your data to advertisers and you must accept that to use their product
can you imagine stephen hawking coming up with anything as batshit insane as the idea of people communicating through what seems to be telepathy via mumbling quietly into a 'throat microphone'? comparing this absolutely nuts ted talk to one of the smartest men of our generation makes you sound almost as crazy as tom does.
@@MultiCheeseLouise the whole point of this is to see what the future might resemble and give commentary on the present, not to actually be accurate lmfao
Dude no, it's just one Chinese company trying to determine their users' trustworthiness on a second hand selling platform, and no it doesn't spy on people's social media, only their selling records and qualifications are taken into account. I'm shocked on how twisted this news had became.
Many of the teenagers of 2030 are ALREADY ALIVE! Update: Now that it is 2018, we are less than 12 years away from 2030. Anyone born after 31 December 2017 will not be 13 until 2031.
LordFennel 2030 is now less than 14 years away. In fact the last teenagers of 2030 will be born next year (2017). babies born in 2017 will turn 13 in 2030. I heard one that made me feel old. High school freshmen of this year were not alive in any part of the 20th Century. "Time keeps on slipping slipping slipping into the future...."
"Yes, knowing the identity of every face in the mob is devastating knowledge, but that won't stop them from storming the gates of your palace if they're already there." *welcome to 2021*
Almost 7 years have passed since this video was posted --- just a little algorithm bump here. Tom Scott, I've only discovered you in the last week and am amazed at the vast majority of your videos. This one is going in my Favorites folder.
I've taken it as a personal challenge to download this to my computer and to try and preserve this until 2030. Then I'll look back on it and see how naïve we all were (maybe).
Tom Scott predicted Tiktok: “You still need an editor to package up the highlights… and put it together for consumption. Powered by measuring attention responses and constant A/B testing. Everyone is providing a life log for their friends, and if they’re good at it, an audience beyond that as well. They’re the ones getting sponsorship and product placement.”
Applies to tiktok as well as youtube and really any platform that delivers video content. Though RU-vid is the main one who will actually let you see those analytics.
2006, spell one word wrong and never find what I need 2016, misspell most of my search terms and google still knows what I want. I'm afraid for what 2026 holds, let alone 2030.
@@tengentopka727 This is actually very annoying to me. I like Hardcore Punk, but guess what search term gets automatically stricken from my search history for being explicit?
I love how the there's this... horrified silence in the crowd. The silence when someone tells you that in 15-16 years the end of the world is coming and it may be good, it may be bad, but it's coming. And about the smartphones thing? He's absolutely right. I suddenly remembered that no, I didn't always had an iPhone, before that I had the Nokia 3310 brick. Before he mentioned that specific part I never really thought about that...
When I grew up, phones were attached to the wall with a cord and when we went to the cabin, there was no phone at all. We talked with each other, who were actually there sharing our experience in reality, not some imaginary “Black Mirror” meta life.
Me in 2030: "Kids these days! And their fancy Mind Reading! Back in my days, you'd get to chose which parts of your opinions you'd yell at people on the internet!"
Meanwhile back in the InfoCapital those who disliked your opinions would selectively edit and subvert your message by massaging your body language and facial expressions. With prolonged experience the recipient will learn to recognise and interpret those edited visual and audible tags, leading to the misinterpretation of telepathy as those skills would be used in face-to-face contact.
People can't handle others freedom of speech as it is. And with how many speaking mistakes we all make in a lifetime - there is no cost to speech that is affordable for anyone. They'd lose their sanity attempting to share free thought. Don't let totalitarianism take away the only things you actually own - choices, like what you share with the world, and what ideas shooting about your head are worth indulging - because everyone gets screwy thoughts, its how your personal identity filters them and ranks their validity and importance that matters - and that is entirely for the individual to weigh and decide. Because you can't learn otherwise, and nobody starts at the finish with no learning. All these modern movements are nothing but thoughtless emotional knee jerks free of any kind of logical assessment of whether we can even actually live that way. Modernists believe we haven't figured life out a LONG long time ago, they think this "age of technology" changes things - it doesn't change anything at all in the base make-up of the animal we are. Evolution is physiological - not behavioural. And you can't just turn a switch and say "know our minds will work like this" - its just braindead nonsense purported by fools and the control class to keep the sheep asleep at the trough.
Everybody values ease, instant result and instant gratification now unfortunately. Once you taste ease and comfort, as a human being it’s difficult to go back. Also the deed was already done from when these apps started many people do not just care anymore.
Its incredible how well this story is written. Everything that is being said, is being said with a purpose and makes you reflect on our current time and just how much it makes sense. Tom Scott you are a freaking legend.
"Teenagers are becoming telepathic" & people laugh. Yet, 4 years later, we have inventors and financers, like Elon Musk, talking about neural interfaces.
Seven years later and all his predictions are wrong. The change has arrived, we do live in a dystopia, the revelation that everyone is a criminal increased crime because it exonerates everyone. Everyone has accepted that our lives are not going to get better which is a paradox in that its a self fulfilling prophecy of society as a whole as we have duped ourselves into thinking we have to accept it. The only possible next big change that can make things better at this point is a solar flare that wipes it all out and forces us to once again interact as human beings.
15:01 Tom, I would like to inform you that Wellerman by the The Longest Johns is currently #37 on the UK’s top 40, and that I hope your predictions on privacy go as well as your insight in sea shanties
I used to work in IT and I can say for certain I’m going to retire somewhere in the middle of nowhere on a farm. Most people won’t be able to survive this when the engine turns evil.
But I use the GNU engine, the engine that respects my freedom and privacy, it uses a federated decentralized data set, the only downside is that it never has the data I need and can't communicate to other engines' users, but who needs that anyway?
@@taliakellegg5978 It won't, because user adoption would be minimal compared to the mainstream engines. Much in the way of how Linux has a very very small % of marketshare in PCs, adopting the decentralized engine will prive you from many features the mainstream ones (windows in Linux's case) can offer, which in turn will be it's downfall since the average user simply won't give those up or know better. Much like how Tom says on the video, the mainstream engines share data amongst themselves so decentralization in terms of competition won't do much because if there are additional engines they'll be either sharing data and be mostly the same thing or be irrelevant in the grand scheme of things.
@@depression_isnt_real It changed. Mobile apps for open market - mostly gone, less and less wants them. Apps ordered by clients for their internal needs only - booming. Apps are now easier then ever to make, therefore they went through super customization.
the only "private connection" is one that uses protocols that are completely new and only known to you and whoever you connect to. So either you start coding your own encryption algorithm, or you'll never have that.
+starilie It's rational, that's true, but I think it's more about the details Tom provided. He's always been a master of presenting "fake" material of hard-to-imagine scales and making it sound believable (like his "the day google stopped checking for password" or something video). And while that doesn't say anything about the probability of any such scenario happening, I believe it comes down to a believable presentation, not necessarily the content itself.
I have for a while. Have you seen CPG greys videos on humans need not apply and digital Aristotle? Combined with this its all pretty terrifying at least for me. I know change inevitable but I think we have a decent thing going as it is and this will completely change what it means to be human. It doesn't seem worth the sacrifice to me.
This is not what will happen, but something like this must. Someone someday will figure out how to use all of your data, and that will be the end of privacy
At the sponsored lives section, I was about to scoff but then... snapchat. Instagram influencers. We didn't have to wait for 2030 for this one. It's here right now in 2020.
Wow! This got me so immersed into the year 2030 that I really had trouble bringing myself back to 2014 at the end… I had to rewind the video several times to catch the point where Tom shifted back to the present day.
The future is somewhat here already, but only for the Western (Russia+Some Asia). Try it in other large states Africa and Rural Asia, not that the technology wont catch up, but the death by starvation, famine, natural catestropy, how will that be avertered , does anyone care, do they want to care ?
God, the memes will be wild 10 years later, won't they be? ^ That phrase is gonna sound more dated than "Wow, everyone will be using the same BBS System won't they?"
Great talk, but disagree about the keyboard becoming niche. My prediction: until a reliable BCI (brain-computer interface) is made, keyboards will remain pretty much exactly like they are right now. Typing is the most comfortable way to get precise data from your brain into a regular PC. Think about it: would you write a novel, blog, or computer program using your voice? No. Even if it is "faster" to speak than type, it just doesn't feel as natural or comfortable when you're trying to choose your words carefully.
can you please tell my brother that? he uses the voice to text feature on his phone for practically everything, even in the middle of other people having a conversation or watching TV
its the future, we now have throat mic's that listen to your humming and translate that into text. loads quicker than using your hands and leaves your hands free for other tasks. until we get BCI :)
I made that reply as joke, but if you keep your mouth closed and hum the sentence (or anything you can read) it works. I can tell the diffrrence in the hum's so I computer would be able to too. why is this not a thing!
people probably said the same thing about using smartphones. Although I do agree that talking won't replace keyboards. In things like school or work you often spend several hours typing at a time, imagine talking for that long everyday.
Benjamin Hershey Sorry no. My 15 year old dictates anything more than a line or two into the Chromebook we bought that is required at her public high school. She's trained herself to how it works and it to how she works so that now together they are amazingly effective. Quite something to watch really.
main problems: - complete filter bubble: inability for the engines to display content you would dislike, but that would be helpful to you and create novel viewpoints/makes you grow - manipulation of political positions and enforcement of the companies views /gouverment views - locking out of "undesireable" people - loosing the ability for manual problem solving and data analysis, making the people dependant on assistents The death of independant thought, and therby freedom. I would use all my influence to prevent such a brain network. The only thing i would endorse would be a completely decentralized system with a weak proposal system that lets trough unfiltered input, a social obligation to still teach independant thinking basics and strict encryption, no involuntary position tracking and anonymous ad profiles.
It is stunning to think how similar the current AI boom is to what Tom said, and it is less a reflection of Tom's genius than it is a stunning indictment of tech's utter predictability.
even a year ago this would’ve been seen as largely fictional, though certainly possible in some not so near future. now in may 2023 i say it proved to be extremely prescient.
+Jacob Thomas read "Ready Player One", its not exactly like this but it has a similar idea of everyone being connected to an engine (or as its called in the book "the Oasis")
One thing I recommend to check out is Shadowrun. Its not a traditional book, but instead a Role playing game. A traditional one, played with pee and paper. But the concept of the world is that its 2075, and magic is back in the world, and coexists with technology, world is ran by megacorps, and privacy is dead in another way. Its an very interesting concept, and if you forget the magic on it, it doesnt seem too impossible.
While plenty of people listen to podcasts and audio books, and there are plenty of benefits of audio media, I believe books will never die, books just have something special about them that demands to be loved.
Honestly? Podcasts have plateaued. Meanwhile, the audiobook market has **exploded** in recent years. The big 4 publishers (Penguin, Macmillian, Hatchette, and Harper Collins) are investing millions into audio books and it's only growing.
Even if Tom retires from content creation in this decade... I would wait with great interest for his retelling of this entire talk, in 2030, seeing just how much of it is true then.
One development in the predicted direction is that we don't own the files and programs anymore. We pay subscription fee to use software, to stream music and film, while the tech companies own them and have every access to our data.
HarryLillis98 It more so is now a days, but it used to be plain and simple a video sharing platform. And a *lot* of us still don't use website like RU-vid for social media and remain anonymous.
@@gg1k No, they can't send me a personal message based on my data. They select some things about their target demographic then Google, Unity and other advertising companies show their ads to me. They don't actually know who I am, and they don't have my data.
@@wheezel55 ok but it doesn't matter if they can see your data personally they know you're in a demographic that they sent their ads to and that's the same thing
@@corbinbarron8772 false. i'm not even going to entertain the dumb argument that every information about yourself is rewarded with information about everyone else.
@@corbinbarron8772 taking back what i posted, chances for a future where your lack of privacy awareness is rewarded with information is reasonably believable. but to assume that you can get every information about everyone else by sharing your own sounds ludicrous. You won't be able to obtain information about everyone, especially for people in power. You won't obtain government secrets, trade secrets, military confidentials, etc. police becomes even more secretive than today, maybe going as far as government sponsored identity forgery. information will be tightly controlled & moderated, inching closer to China's surveillance technologies. corporations becomes even more paranoid of guarding their own secrets. the most information that you would probably obtain are the normal, average civilians who can't protect their privacy because it has become an essential need to live. hell, that information is probably accesable depending on your social score. my point being that you give up every bit of information about yourself, but only to gain little about everyone else's. only the few people with special privileges will be able to lookup everything about everyone, almost like a real panopticon.
Doesn't stop more leaderless movements though. In those events, governments just resort to shutting off entire sections of the internet. China is the only one who has (mostly) mastered this, but no other government has been able to replicate their success in the same way other developing nations couldn't replicate China's state-controlled economic growth.