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43% Of Businesses Can’t Pay Rent: ‘We’re In Recession’ Says Economist Adam Kobeissi 

David Lin
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Sign up for an IRA with iTrust today using this link: itrust.capital/David
Adam Kobeissi, Founder and Editor-In-Chief of The Kobeissi Letter, discusses the challenges facing the real economy, and his outlook for stock markets.
US Small-Business Rent Delinquencies Rise to a Three-Year High (Bloomberg): www.bnnbloomberg.ca/us-small-....
*This video was recorded on July 1, 2024
Listen on Spotify: open.spotify.com/show/510WZMF...
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*This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates.
0:00 - Intro
1:17 - Bond market
5:05 - Fed policy
7:05 - Inflation outlook
9:27 - Labor market
15:14 - “It’s a crazy world”
16:35 - Stock markets
20:10 - Recession vs. Soft landing
23:20 - Small businesses can’t pay rent
26:14 - Banks
27:46 - Asset allocation
28:43 - U.S. dollar
30:00 - Bitcoin
#stocks #economy #investing

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24 июл 2024

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Комментарии : 399   
@TheDavidLinReport
@TheDavidLinReport 21 день назад
Sign up for an IRA with iTrust today using this link: itrust.capital/David Are you noticing a rise in small business shut-downs in your city? Comment below and don't forget to subscribe. FOLLOW THE KOBEISSI LETTER: Website: thekobeissiletter.com Twitter (@KobeissiLetter): twitter.com/KobeissiLetter Instagram (@kobeissiletter): instagram.com/kobeissiletter/ Facebook: facebook.com/KobeissiLetter RU-vid: www.youtube.com/@KobeissiLetter
@issenvan1050
@issenvan1050 21 день назад
David, how should your BTC perform during a recession?
@wisdoma4860
@wisdoma4860 21 день назад
LOL, MOST PEOPLE WORK REMOTE, WE DONT WORK FOR SOME COMPANY, MOST OF US WORK FOR OURSELVES. DYOR.
@user-dh6jb6tz4g
@user-dh6jb6tz4g 21 день назад
I have been in retail real estate in Canada for the past 5 years. Industry: quick service restaurants. Since Feb 2024, I have been approached by multiple restaurant operators asking for help in getting the rent reduced. It has not been easy.
@888strummer
@888strummer 21 день назад
This is a very good guest who has a lot of common sense, which some guests don't have. But for more credibility, a link to the claim that 43% of small businesses did not pay their rent in full in April; should be provided
@TheDavidLinReport
@TheDavidLinReport 20 дней назад
@@888strummer Thanks for watching. The article that was cited is from Bloomberg: www.bnnbloomberg.ca/us-small-business-rent-delinquencies-rise-to-a-three-year-high-1.2065864#:~:text=The%20Small%20Business%20Rent%20report,full%20due%20to%20economic%20headwinds. It's now also in the description.
@elsegreve9455
@elsegreve9455 21 день назад
The job number is manipulated. Full time job is down, part time up, does a person who have 2 jobs count double? Government is hiring private companies laid off. Average Joe is hurting
@ChadGriffith-sm5dn
@ChadGriffith-sm5dn 2 дня назад
The current global economic situation has everyone on edge, especially with the rising concerns about inflation.
@kalimhebert9930
@kalimhebert9930 2 дня назад
With all the recent economic turmoil, I'm really worried about inflation.
@DiegoPatrick6274
@DiegoPatrick6274 2 дня назад
Yeah, it's definitely a hot topic right now. The pandemic caused hiccups in supply chains and led to increased government spending, which could contribute to rising prices.
@JackMadison-gl7jr
@JackMadison-gl7jr 2 дня назад
Exactly, with prices seemingly going up on everything, I'm just not sure how to protect my finances.
@JacksonDavis-dw3we
@JacksonDavis-dw3we 2 дня назад
That's where a genuine financial consultant can really be of help. They can analyze your financial situation and recommend strategies to hedge against inflation
@BrettPeters-hq6wn
@BrettPeters-hq6wn 2 дня назад
Please how can I find a reputable consultant?
@user-oy4vx8zt8k
@user-oy4vx8zt8k 21 день назад
When It Is Deemed A Recession It Will Be A Depression When It Is Deemed A Depression It Will Be A Collapse
@benstanley37
@benstanley37 21 день назад
Read the book “When Money Meets History “ eye opening
@user-oy4vx8zt8k
@user-oy4vx8zt8k 21 день назад
@@geocam2 For Decades America Has Hemmoranged Great Paying Manufacturing Jobs To Canada, Communist China Mexico At The Same Time Importing European Vehicles Japanese Vehicles Televisions Radios Electronics Shipping American Jobs To Communist China Importing 10s Of Millions Of 3rd World Legal And Illegal Immigrants America Was Transformed From A Solid Middle Class Manufacturing Economy To A Service Industry Economy. Years Ago Many American Families The Fathers Went To Work The Mother's Stayed Home Raised The Children Middle Class House Vacation 1 Time A Year And Still Saved Money For Retirement
@user-oy4vx8zt8k
@user-oy4vx8zt8k 21 день назад
@@geocam2 Millions Of American Adults Are Trying To Feed Their Families Housing Vehicle Insurance Fuel Maintenance On Service Industry Jobs That Were Meant For High school Kids Or College Kids Trying To Buy A Vehicle School Tuition
@user-oy4vx8zt8k
@user-oy4vx8zt8k 21 день назад
@@geocam2 Inflation Is Rising Faster Than American Workers Pay Checks
@user-oy4vx8zt8k
@user-oy4vx8zt8k 21 день назад
@@geocam2 Millions Of Americans Working Full Time Jobs And Have Children They qualify For Food Stamps Subsidized Healthcare 50% Divorce Rates
@mme4211
@mme4211 21 день назад
labor market numbers is a joke. These jobs do not provide a livable wage. My father was a high school drop out in 1954 and was able to walk in to a career in sales, built a 4 bedroom house at age 25 and had 3 kids and a stay at home wife by age 30. He retired with lots of money from riding the real estate magic carpet. This was the AMerican Dream. It is now dead.
@5dc61
@5dc61 21 день назад
I think the American dream is alive and well, except that it has evolved. Many are still trying to figure it out, including myself.
@richardhobbs7107
@richardhobbs7107 21 день назад
@@5dc61 - You are still trying to figure it out because it does not exist as it did in the 1950's. That is @kali542 's point. Our economy has been eroded by the 'Fed's' intentional inflation (2% being optimal) since 1913. Yup, an once of Gold was $20.00 back then. Going for $2,300. now. Ouch ! Yes it has 'evolved' . . . . it's called 'theft' .
@tinaevans825
@tinaevans825 21 день назад
We are at the end ofva 100 year cycle if our fiat currency. The birth of the federal reserve in 1913 has done nothing but slowly erode our currency, this soon to be hyper inflation will be shocking to many Americans. Our currency is worthless, and businesses can't keep up with wages to hire staff. We are in a planned demolition. Few will greatly profit, most will lose everything. Great monetary reset ahead
@RealROI
@RealROI 21 день назад
Dead a few decades ago and now the empire is imploding
@RealROI
@RealROI 21 день назад
No need to worry. The Defense (Offense) budget for death. Division and destruction around the world will still increase.
@roegoleg
@roegoleg 21 день назад
The stock market has finally reached Ponzi Scheme status.
@prolific1518
@prolific1518 21 день назад
Bingo
@RetardedApe69
@RetardedApe69 21 день назад
So has th dollar! Lol
@5dc61
@5dc61 21 день назад
Even a bigger reason to sideline your money until everything corrects significantly. There is a reason WB is holding more cash than he ever has before. Great buy in opportunities coming I think. Waiting is the game.
@keyisersoze
@keyisersoze 17 дней назад
Only the stock market? Have you tried to buy a house or bitcoin? Tried insurance? The economy is just a reflection of the money, not vice versa.
@krishuntzeroable
@krishuntzeroable 15 дней назад
Always has been. Politicians turned a blind eye because they benefited from it and inside trading. Hold them all accountable.
@phillB
@phillB 21 день назад
The loss of full-time employment is way more critical. I think than most people realize. Many people without a full-time job will have either minimal health insurance, or no health insurance at all. This is going to squeeze both the medical system and bankrupt many of the people holding multiple part-time jobs. This will not play out well.
@tmo8385
@tmo8385 17 дней назад
I own a nail salon and YES we are not making enough to pay rent these days, fortunately we have cash reserve to maintain our business for now. Many of our regular customers only come in every few months now - instead of every 2 to 3 weeks. Another thing I see is that nearly all customers are now using credit card instead of cash. If things don't improve soon I will have to sell my business... Good luck to all small business owners out there that are struggling....
@TheDavidLinReport
@TheDavidLinReport 17 дней назад
Best of luck to you
@moneyobsessed
@moneyobsessed 15 дней назад
Sell now, you will have to lower your price if business slow down even more
@AUDIO2AUTO
@AUDIO2AUTO 14 дней назад
Or change your business structure and lower your expenses.
@Lacewing_Metatron
@Lacewing_Metatron 13 дней назад
Maybe try doing home visits? Close down your location and have a schedule posted online so customers can book in advance. Get ahead of the curve while you still have savings.
@MbisonBalrog
@MbisonBalrog 13 дней назад
Best to get out while you have cash. The rent and overhead eat it away.
@nw6091
@nw6091 21 день назад
Wall Street has no idea what Main Street is.
@eponaepona
@eponaepona 21 день назад
It is getting ridiculous the extent to which the whole economy is staged 😂
@eponaepona
@eponaepona 21 день назад
@geocam2 don't jump to conclusions. I'm not American and I am not thinking American economy. Center of the universe is not in America
@user-cc8gv2hk6m
@user-cc8gv2hk6m 14 дней назад
Actually, yes it is. At least it has been for decades. Why? Because we are the strongest country on earth. Prove me wrong. Biden's handlers are working on that. ​@eponaepona
@vineshnaidoo9402
@vineshnaidoo9402 21 день назад
They want all small to medium businesses, farmers and manufacturers so huge corporations own everything
@woodendoors9532
@woodendoors9532 16 дней назад
Small hats want to kill small business.
@AUDIO2AUTO
@AUDIO2AUTO 14 дней назад
​@@woodendoors9532 What you know about them small hats lol
@level1life79
@level1life79 21 день назад
I'm the Controller for a midsized manufacturing company, trust me when I say we're barely scraping by......
@onetruecalling
@onetruecalling 20 дней назад
The cost of commercial rent is so high, it's hard to imagine how any small business can stay afloat. The next domino to fall will be the commercial landlords, then the banks
@jonvonderhaar7060
@jonvonderhaar7060 20 дней назад
Small business owners are not employees so they cannot file for unemployment if the business goes under.
@JorgeOrpinel
@JorgeOrpinel 19 дней назад
If businesses can't pay rent that's only proof of the overpriced real estate, not of a recession.
@SuperPowderpig
@SuperPowderpig 19 дней назад
If they can't pay rent then they can't pay wages without cutting staff hence climbing unemployment rates and a oncoming recession.
@joeysocks5718
@joeysocks5718 21 день назад
There were lots of analysts calling the market strong and unstoppable in 1929
@theunbearablebull
@theunbearablebull 21 день назад
This dumbass kid pulled out 1929 haahahaaahha
@PianoMatronNeeNee
@PianoMatronNeeNee 21 день назад
Small business is exactly what corporate America wants to fail . This way they have complete control.
@logantcooper6
@logantcooper6 21 день назад
​@@geocam2 never heard of economies of scale?
@AUDIO2AUTO
@AUDIO2AUTO 14 дней назад
What you think the whole cv 19 was about. Close small businesses but it's 1000 people in Walmart up the street. Yeah it's for your health alright lol
@DelKshares
@DelKshares 20 дней назад
I spoke with three senior consultants at three different recruitment agencies in the last few months and they all said we’re in a recession. The job market started slowing in Q4 2022 and has worsened considerably since Q3 2023. That’s a UK-based experience but the slowdown is global.
@moneyobsessed
@moneyobsessed 15 дней назад
China is already in a depression, they are the engine if global growth
@dank3823
@dank3823 21 день назад
Thy economic collapse is starting to gain speed. Job segment is snowballing. A rate cut isn't going to help. Too late. Thanks feds.
@prolific1518
@prolific1518 21 день назад
The Political Reserve will hold off on rate cuts because of what it signals until after the election. They're doing everything in their power to help Biden get reelected.
@theunbearablebull
@theunbearablebull 21 день назад
lol
@charlespatton4470
@charlespatton4470 21 день назад
Why are you blaming the Fed for consumer behavior and government unlimited printing. We deserve what we are about to get.
@theunbearablebull
@theunbearablebull 21 день назад
@@charlespatton4470 Because he's another dumb citizen who just wants to point a finger, just is too stupid to know who to correctly point it at.
@ovrskr
@ovrskr 21 день назад
@@charlespatton4470 FED kept rates at 0 for a decade, fk fed
@Bdjjddjdjdj
@Bdjjddjdjdj 21 день назад
Guest says there is a disconnect between the data and reality and I agree. Yet he keeps quoting the data. People please.
@adamc2320
@adamc2320 21 день назад
And he's long the market lol
@crooklyncat3223
@crooklyncat3223 18 дней назад
EXACTLY. He's a toolbag.
@adilnajmuddin
@adilnajmuddin 17 дней назад
​@@adamc2320he's not long, he's playing equities trend, which is up. Likely until October/November
@shadowbanded
@shadowbanded 21 день назад
If you would just turn the TV on you would find out that we have the best economy ever
@richardhobbs7107
@richardhobbs7107 21 день назад
YES ! ! Just turn on our 'News' . . . . errrr . . . . 'Deception Media' !
@annetteringo6544
@annetteringo6544 21 день назад
Where is inflation going down...I'm waiting. 😮
@crooklyncat3223
@crooklyncat3223 18 дней назад
His numbers told him so
@christinasmith9154
@christinasmith9154 21 день назад
People are working two jobs because they can't get a full time employment..... In order to get 40 hours a week you need to get two jobs - 20 hours each -to actually make the income of one full time job ....Its not a choice .... It's the only option you have when companies are not offering full time employment
@CygnusX1123
@CygnusX1123 21 день назад
Not sure why you guys didn't mention the yen losing value correlating with the bond market selloff. We know that the Japanese are selling treasuries to buy the yen. The senior citizen debate argument sounds like a cover for that honestly.
@johnsordillo6338
@johnsordillo6338 21 день назад
I'd argue, equity is not rising. That it's a very consolidated bubble. The lack of expansion is what worries me about equities
@HH-bc2bv
@HH-bc2bv 21 день назад
Every day two great interviews! Wow! 👍👍👍
@trevordowney6425
@trevordowney6425 17 дней назад
Assets have NOT gone up in value David. Assets are assets. The dollar has depreciated.
@prolific1518
@prolific1518 21 день назад
Hooters is closing up shop soon. Guys can't even afford wings and sights smh
@louistan7560
@louistan7560 21 день назад
Small and medium enterprises(SME) employ more people than large corporations of white collars. The "higher for longer " interest rates are killing them, adding to unemployment numbers. The greater issue is that the employees are highly income -vulnerable.
@hurcell1
@hurcell1 21 день назад
Yeah, I spect the market is artificially pumped up. Huge credit card debt and folk living check to check and barely making it. Food costs (and etc.) at outrageous levels. This frothy market doesn't make any sense.
@faithsrvtrip8768
@faithsrvtrip8768 21 день назад
The market has split. Wealthy people doing well everyone else suffers. It's harsh. I'm out here in an RV and it's brutal. I'm not poor but too many people are and barely hanging on. I'm blessed.
@prolific1518
@prolific1518 21 день назад
​@@faithsrvtrip8768 it's simply the Treasury. 401ks are getting emptied. This media narrative of a split economy is peak gaslighting. Congrats you bought it.
@prolific1518
@prolific1518 21 день назад
I'm with you on that speculation. I believe the US Treasury keeps the market stimulated when any signs of negative pressure appears on the stock market.
@richardhobbs7107
@richardhobbs7107 21 день назад
@@prolific1518 - @14:00 into the interview I enjoy how the guest is trying to avoid at all cost saying, 'They are lying!' concerning the official employment 'statistics' we are being given. Our 'News Media' is adjusting statistics to support the agenda of the current administration in order to continue the mutually agreeable financial support they both receive. 'News' = 'Deception'.
@hood6854
@hood6854 21 день назад
Lots of debt in a debt based economy makes things frothy. What doesn’t make sense?
@J.Smith-rc6wh
@J.Smith-rc6wh 21 день назад
good luck trying to sell your portfolio once it starts . . . riding the last of this up could cost you everything
@scrambledganglia6946
@scrambledganglia6946 19 дней назад
Inflation can go to 2% but it is over the dead bodies of the middle and lower classes. The economic life is bleeding out for everyone except financiers and government. This does not end well.
@kiyoshitakeda452
@kiyoshitakeda452 21 день назад
Every month official data is revised down. People can tell from from daily experiences what is happening. "Experts" are in their own world only listening to one another.
@moneyobsessed
@moneyobsessed 15 дней назад
Economists are in the business of writing papers for other economists
@kiyoshitakeda452
@kiyoshitakeda452 15 дней назад
@@moneyobsessed Very, very valid observation.
@AndrewQuinOneTake
@AndrewQuinOneTake 21 день назад
Good interview
@user-pj6lu9lh1y
@user-pj6lu9lh1y 19 дней назад
What happens to the landlords when their tenants can't pay rent? Will the landlords go bankrupted not able to pay their bank loans? So both tenants and landlords simultaneously go bankrupted?
@sokratzmmf
@sokratzmmf 21 день назад
The rent is too dang high!
@michaelwillis5040
@michaelwillis5040 20 дней назад
Add to that the number of full-time workers who have had their hours cut to the bare minimum. Remember too how companies, particularly the restaurant industry, shed full time workers for part-time help to avoid paying healthcare. This is not what a healthy, growing economy looks like.
@issenvan1050
@issenvan1050 21 день назад
David, how should your BTC perform during a recession?
@tonyh1345
@tonyh1345 19 дней назад
It’s a risk asset that people will liquidate to pay debts. It will go down just like stocks and real estate will in a recession.
@issenvan1050
@issenvan1050 19 дней назад
@@tonyh1345 So RE is a risk asset?
@tonyh1345
@tonyh1345 19 дней назад
@@issenvan1050 absolutely
@SaveManWoman
@SaveManWoman 20 дней назад
All market tops are made at new highs. Here comes to crash of the century. 35-85% job losses guaranteed with AGI, I work on this stuff. Cash will be king. The deflation of the century about to hit in all things starting with real estate.
@adilhakam887
@adilhakam887 21 день назад
The small businesses are 80 % liquor stores gun stores mechanics and strip clubs and restaurants 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😢😢😢
@iancormie9916
@iancormie9916 18 дней назад
And book stores, and stationary suppliers and air-conditioning techs. When the trades don't work, the whole economy gets stuffed including that realestate moguls who are stuck with properties that are either empty or behind of their rent and yet, these properties still have to be maintained and taxes still have to be paid.
@timothylarson4587
@timothylarson4587 21 день назад
I love it,, wait till we are in the middle of a resession to admit we are in one.
@MicMacMec861
@MicMacMec861 21 день назад
"43% Of Businesses Can’t Pay Rent" - would love to get the source of that!
@sunpark9195
@sunpark9195 20 дней назад
I WOULDNT BE ABLE TO. luckily i paid off the property in time
@mechannel7046
@mechannel7046 21 день назад
4:25 mkt volatility btw July and Nov during election year
@superadvisorsorokin
@superadvisorsorokin 20 дней назад
90% pointing to huge correction now and fund "smart" managers telling we are positive on stocks ??? who will buy your AI ??? if whole World economy struggle. I think silly fund managers will be replace with silly AI -)
@easternhair
@easternhair 21 день назад
Hi David, can u please ask your Guests why some businesses do really Great, large caps or even mega caps, but their Stock performance been dead for a long or so. examples: nike, abbot, cisco, etc, is it worth investing in this super huge companies with dead stock performances (
@user-ow3ni2zd2x
@user-ow3ni2zd2x 19 дней назад
The biggest employer is the Federal Government,we are in a deppression
@alardroitirand6252
@alardroitirand6252 21 день назад
Thanks Adam for your analysis of the markets. Some acoustic tiles on your bathroom wall will do wonders for your audio 😁
@capmarketer5038
@capmarketer5038 21 день назад
I assume that 43% figure does not include CMBS loans? Each borrower is technically a business, but they collect rent, not pay rent...
@edshannon5406
@edshannon5406 21 день назад
FJB!
@mjbucar
@mjbucar 21 день назад
An excellent insightful guest speaker - thank you.
@altondrew
@altondrew 21 день назад
One of your clearest, most straightforward and insightful guests.
@MenniMennola
@MenniMennola 21 день назад
Fine guest! Heading for a hard landing..
@st.george007
@st.george007 14 дней назад
Looks like the speech therapists have already gone under.
@eurekalogic
@eurekalogic 21 день назад
If your currency inflates by 30% the value of everything is now 30% higher or you lost money.
@jackwalsh1468
@jackwalsh1468 21 день назад
David, "UPS to Close at Least 200 U.S. Locations in Automation Push" The parcel delivery giant's $9 billion "Network of the Future" initiative will involves 63 sortation sites with major automation projects. Source cited, MDM Distribution Intelligence.
@drinno8900
@drinno8900 19 дней назад
Software rent is a killer
@reincarnated96
@reincarnated96 21 день назад
Target has problems with their sales that are not economy related.
@RobertojavierSilvaharth-ub3pz
@RobertojavierSilvaharth-ub3pz 20 дней назад
If half of US can't pay rent, I say we're broke, bankrupt, not depressed!!!
@alphaomega1351
@alphaomega1351 21 день назад
No worries 👍. The government will turn on the printing press. 😳
@userjoe4321
@userjoe4321 21 день назад
Print baby print
@4hartrich
@4hartrich 20 дней назад
We are in a recession: remove government spending gdp is severely negative
@APC_Trades
@APC_Trades 16 дней назад
What should I do with this useless information? It's like saying "We are in a recession. Remove consumer spending and GDP is severely negative."
@godsservant2835
@godsservant2835 21 день назад
Phenomenal interview
@sherriehunter-henry6245
@sherriehunter-henry6245 16 дней назад
Unfortunately, when a small business owner, goes belly up The Owner and everybody he was paying with a 1099, which is traditional his family because he can’t afford to pay the payroll taxes that is required when you pay someone with a W-2 so the family members that were supporting the business by working pretty much for free, half the time and the owner do not qualify for unemployment and that is a huge hit financially for the family that have invested everything back into the business to keep it afloat their entire retirement money is in that business and now it’s gone; they’re completely wiped out.
@nickw3867
@nickw3867 21 день назад
How you gonna be bullish S&P, and also bullish DXY to 110 😂
@richardeastman9846
@richardeastman9846 21 день назад
The Fed perpetrated this crime behind the deceit of misnaming "inflation" the rising prices brought on by, first supply shocks (sanctions, lockdown, net-zero deindustrialization) and then by deposit deflation in the domestic real economy from higher borrowing costs, reduced borrowing and increased debt-payment burden on all variable interest rate loans outstanding. Yes, less buying, sales, revenue forces firms to raise price of units sold even as fewer units are selling in order to maintain locked-in fixed cost payments (e.g., rent) and rising input prices. POWELL HAS BEEN POURING GASOLINE ON HOUSEHOLDS AND SMALL BUSINESSES WITH THE LIE THAT EVERY ELITE BANKER KNOWS IS A LIE, THE HIGH INTEREST "FIGHTS RISING PRICES." Thank you for pointing out that the crime is continuing.
@iancormie9916
@iancormie9916 18 дней назад
The problem started years ago by artificially low interest rates. - all this did was cause massive imbalances in the economy. Interest rates should never be lower that the real consumer inflation rate. The chickens are now coming home to roost.
@richardeastman9846
@richardeastman9846 18 дней назад
@@iancormie9916 before the Fed. Res. Act the US has no interest. The rate was set between borrower and lender and you could shop around on both sides of the transaction. The Fed is a monopoly price setting scheme and the reserve requirement is a cartel profit distribution scheme.
@droubal
@droubal 20 дней назад
"May added 277k jobs." When will you stop trusting the Establishment survey? It is revised every time, multiple times.
@billthelion6102
@billthelion6102 20 дней назад
What data, the revised data of revised data of quantum revised data to the lower side? . The whole stats coming out either show the actual trouble or either are that mixed that provide confusion. Banks will go bust with only including the commercial real estate fiasco and the vacancy rates.
@TurielD
@TurielD 21 день назад
What happens when the Fed raises rates? 1: loans become harder to service 2: money flows to bond holders, who re-invest that into the best returns: real estate. This raises rents Can anyone guess why every. Single. Time. The fed raises rates we go into resession 6-24 months later??
@lawrencesmith9059
@lawrencesmith9059 21 день назад
The big question is whether there will be sufficient demand for Treasuries as the issuance increases.
@Joe-nj8py
@Joe-nj8py 21 день назад
Smallest amount of retail traders in 8 years. They didn’t get a bonus last year at the banks and they won’t get sh!t this year either. Fed ruined a whole investor class.
@AndrewQuinOneTake
@AndrewQuinOneTake 21 день назад
The US is a grasshopper looking for a Mack Truck.
@jessebfly
@jessebfly 16 дней назад
We’re the cleanest dirty shirt. But we can’t cut rates because we’ve printed so much money
@user-ek5yn4zr8g
@user-ek5yn4zr8g 21 день назад
Great Econ stat noted by by Adam re the US 36 ma Unemployment rate being crossed!
@5dc61
@5dc61 21 день назад
Sure, but what percentage of businesses are considered small businesses?
@802Leith
@802Leith 21 день назад
45%
@jskins31
@jskins31 21 день назад
@@802Leith That's the percentage of GDP that small businesses create. I believe over 80% of businesses have less than 50 employees.
@5dc61
@5dc61 21 день назад
Google says closer to 90%. That is quite alarming!!!!!
@drewstead316
@drewstead316 16 дней назад
The US uses subjective rental prices in factoring inflation data while Realpage is propping it up with price fixing, we're already in Deflation
@johnlay3040
@johnlay3040 15 дней назад
The US must stop spending money on wars but help their businesses instead. Such a corrupt government. 😮
@chriswhittall5565
@chriswhittall5565 21 день назад
Aren’t many of the small business closures being offset (in the economy) with new online businesses?
@DONKALLSONG
@DONKALLSONG 21 день назад
If they dont start cuting by September im getting nervous for the economy.. clearly getting weak right now imo..
@robd5257
@robd5257 14 дней назад
Market has no idea... blasting so hard its ungodly..
@christopherleone2996
@christopherleone2996 21 день назад
Said every analyst in 1999, 2007.
@anonymous7egend
@anonymous7egend 21 день назад
This channel seems to bring bearish people. When will any of tneir predictions come to fruition? Been following David Lin since Kitko
@janetmalcolm3403
@janetmalcolm3403 17 дней назад
😢😢😢 The downfall of Wall Street.
@superbassbreaker
@superbassbreaker 21 день назад
Ive noticed your microphone has a tendency to modulate your voice. It’s making it sound extremely robotic like a skipping record or two recordings on top of each other. It makes it difficult to understand what you’re saying at some spots.
@saulm2007
@saulm2007 20 дней назад
We are screwed
@NicholasBall130
@NicholasBall130 11 дней назад
More and more people might face a tough time in retirement. Low-paying jobs, inflation, and high rents make it hard to save. Now, middle-class Americans find it tough to own a home too, leaving them without a place to retire.
@TylerJamestown
@TylerJamestown 11 дней назад
Rising prices have affected my intention of retiring at 62, working part-time, and building my savings. I'm worried about whether individuals who weathered the 2008 financial crisis found it less challenging than my current situation. The stock market's volatility, coupled with a reduced income, is making me anxious about having enough for retirement.
@StacieBMui
@StacieBMui 11 дней назад
This is precisely why I like having a portfolio coach guide my day-to-day market decisions: with their extensive knowledge of going long and short at the same time, using risk for its asymmetrical upside and laying it off as a hedge against the inevitable downward turns, their skillset makes it nearly impossible for them to underperform. I've been utilizing a portfolio coach for more than two years, and I've made over $800,000.
@LiaStrings
@LiaStrings 11 дней назад
My portfolio has been in the gutter for the entire year, so I started researching new ways to profit in the market, but everything I tried just seemed to miss the mark. Please let us know the name of your financial advisor.
@StacieBMui
@StacieBMui 11 дней назад
I've shuffled through investment coaches and yes, they can be positively impactful to an individual's portfolio, but do your due diligence to find a coach with grit, one that withstood the 08' crash. For me, Sonya lee Mitchell turned out to be better and smarter than all the advisors I ever worked with till date, I’ve never met anyone with as much conviction.
@Beatricegove733
@Beatricegove733 13 дней назад
I foresee a recession lasting 2-3 years, and if inflation continues to surge, the Federal Reserve will likely raise interest rates soon. Inflation is causing various issues worldwide, such as food shortages, scarcities of diesel and heating fuel, and significant spikes in housing prices, leading to a potential financial market crash. This global downturn could have long-lasting repercussions. Given the current inflation rate of approximately 9%, my main worry is how to optimize my savings and retirement fund, which has remained stagnant at around $300,000, yielding almost no gains for quite some time.
@KaurKhangura
@KaurKhangura 13 дней назад
Numerous opportunities exist to achieve substantial profits at present, but executing high-volume and nearly flawless trades requires the expertise of real-time professionals with an ISDA Agreement. This agreement allows investors to participate in sophisticated trades, exclusive to seasoned individuals, and unavailable to amateurs. Attempting to be a high-stakes trader without an ISDA is akin to trying to win the Indy 500 riding a llama.
@brucemichelle5689.
@brucemichelle5689. 13 дней назад
I’m sure the idea of an invstment-Adviser might sound controversial to a few, but a new study by Motley-fool found out that demand for Financial-Advisers sky-rocketed by over 42% since the pandemic and based on firsthand encounter I can say for certain their skillsets are topnotch. I've accrued north of 580k within 16-months from an initially stagnant Portf0lio worth 85k.
@foden700
@foden700 13 дней назад
Inflation is over 5% here in the UK, but as we know it's definitely way more than the Government would like to admit. My plan is to earn more passive income and ride this out, can your Investment-adviser assist?
@brucemichelle5689.
@brucemichelle5689. 13 дней назад
Certainly, there are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘’Aileen Gertrude Tippy” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive.She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
@foden700
@foden700 13 дней назад
Thanks a lot for this suggestion. I needed this myself, I looked her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
@planetdank
@planetdank 12 дней назад
That really is to bad, because im going to need more money if i ever join the workforce again lmao 🤣
@johnnybgood3909
@johnnybgood3909 12 дней назад
Not all businesses pay rent. Many own the premises they operate from.
@iancormie9916
@iancormie9916 18 дней назад
One need only look at payrole (tax) submitions to gage where the econmy stands. Jobs are irrelevant since some have 3 part time jobs that cumulatively pay a none living wage.
@user-ow3ni2zd2x
@user-ow3ni2zd2x 19 дней назад
When people text great interview they must be under contract with the plunge protecters who look out for the stock markets
@rnish2958
@rnish2958 21 день назад
I've been spending money. Retired in 2018, a lifelong saver turning into a spender. However, there are only so many new toys and services (e.g., camera, laptop, landscaping), I will buy.
@alphaomega1089
@alphaomega1089 21 день назад
Saving was silly. Investing is smart. You clearly don't need the money. Others would spend it on food. Enjoy your retirement. You earned it. I mean that. Who'll inherit what you leave behind needs to be on your mind. A nice gesture to give them.
@rnish2958
@rnish2958 21 день назад
@@alphaomega1089 Thank you. My point was there is only so much a narrow, and getting narrower, portion of the population can do to prop up the economy.
@prolific1518
@prolific1518 21 день назад
@@rnish2958 you'll be back working soon
@alphaomega1089
@alphaomega1089 21 день назад
@@rnish2958 Please understand not having a go. I take your thank you seriously. I understand there is so much you can store at home. I got 5 TVs, two game stations, and multiple phones. I try to renew my white and black goods yearly. You prop up the economy by investing and reaping the dividends given from the profits. Who needs you to be charitable? Even then, see it as an investment (you deserve that money back). You need protecting. A wise spender! We can waste it for you. Rather not. Who do you think helps us all? Invest it there!
@Slim333yBoi
@Slim333yBoi 17 дней назад
Store in Bitcoin
@userjoe4321
@userjoe4321 21 день назад
Bitcoin going down down down 😅
@faithsrvtrip8768
@faithsrvtrip8768 21 день назад
BTC down to $58K as I write this on 7/3/24 at 8:30 MST
@userjoe4321
@userjoe4321 21 день назад
@faithsrvtrip8768 the btc fan boys ate so feral.. they deserve for btc to keep going down.
@prolific1518
@prolific1518 21 день назад
​@@userjoe4321 US stock market would be doing the same if the Treasury wasn't active buying
@userjoe4321
@userjoe4321 21 день назад
@@prolific1518 the stock market and btc will roll over together - big time!
@eponaepona
@eponaepona 21 день назад
It's expected. We buy the dip. 🎉
@user-nt1zv8ic5m
@user-nt1zv8ic5m 21 день назад
technically did not the FED loose credibility in 1913?
@williamrink4851
@williamrink4851 19 дней назад
Fed started in 1913
@user-nt1zv8ic5m
@user-nt1zv8ic5m 19 дней назад
@@williamrink4851 that is the joke. It was worthless from day one.
@grandmastertrader
@grandmastertrader 21 день назад
Fed , risk losing credibility This bloke works for a bank ? Who owns the newsletter ?
@stylin12123
@stylin12123 21 день назад
Answer this. Why are the markets going up if we are in so much trouble?
@asclepiushermestrismegistu7489
@asclepiushermestrismegistu7489 21 день назад
Look no further than M2 Money Supply. Fed is the Market. Reverse REPO is still in effect. That may change shortly.
@MySteamChannel
@MySteamChannel 21 день назад
Greed
@mme4211
@mme4211 21 день назад
nothing should surprise us in clown world freak show bizzaro land
@prolific1518
@prolific1518 21 день назад
The Treasury has the largest pocketbook in the world and its daily activity in the market is without oversight.
@eponaepona
@eponaepona 21 день назад
Because they still printing
@MbisonBalrog
@MbisonBalrog 13 дней назад
Never got passed GFC. It just kept evolving.
@kandasamys7981
@kandasamys7981 21 день назад
Yes My Family 25 Years Rented House
@boknows3841
@boknows3841 17 дней назад
Businesses are ran at their break even point . If you cannot pay your bills you are taking too much out of the profit. You need to quit robbing the till and take a cut in pay and lay people off.
@Jesusistheonlywaay
@Jesusistheonlywaay 20 дней назад
Stop this just didnt start!!!! Its been like this for the last 3 yrs!!!!
@jakec.4356
@jakec.4356 21 день назад
‘this the top of the equity market…?
@kennethwylie8377
@kennethwylie8377 17 дней назад
9:02 - he's clearly not paying attention to the housing market. The crash has already begun. Airbnb owners are selling because renting is not as profitable as other investments now. Builders are putting record numbers of homes on the market. Folks are selling their 3rd or 4th homes now because taxes and insurances are dramatically increasing. We have a record number of homes for sale, and because the rates are so high and the down-payment has increased, first-time buyers are unable to buy. The housing market is a mess. The next step is foreclosures and bks.
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