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Canada’s real estate correction is far from over: Oxford Economics 

BNN Bloomberg
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Tony Stillo, director of economics for Canada at Oxford Economics, joins BNN Bloomberg to discuss housing affordability in Canada. After the country hit a record worst level of unaffordability in Q2 of 2023, he believes that house prices will fall another 10 per cent by early next year, but says home ownership will likely not return to an affordable range until 2027.
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7 сен 2024

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Комментарии : 351   
@nicolasbenson009
@nicolasbenson009 10 месяцев назад
It is difficult to make exact projections for the housing market as it is still unclear how quickly or to what degree the Federal Reserve will reduce inflation and borrowing costs without having a substantial negative impact on demand from consumers for anything from houses to cars.
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@KarenLavia 6 месяцев назад
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@ScottKindle-bk3hx 6 месяцев назад
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@Suleferdinand 6 месяцев назад
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@taoliu2920
@taoliu2920 Год назад
My painful experience during the past 15 years: if you trust those so called experts or economists or institutions forecast of a monster crash or deep correction, you will never ever materialize your dream of house ownership. It is very painful. It hurts me economically and emotionally.
@Lemariecooper
@Lemariecooper 11 месяцев назад
I wonder if individuals who went through the 2008 financial crisis had a relatively less challenging experience compared to what I am currently facing. The current market conditions are causing significant distress for me. Specifically, my portfolio has suffered a loss of over $27,000 in just this month, and my profits are diminishing. This situation is raising concerns about the potential impact on my retirement plans, as I am unable to increase my stagnant reserves.
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@JanetHynes 11 месяцев назад
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@Lemariecooper 11 месяцев назад
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@Nothern_King
@Nothern_King Год назад
Massive immigration and investment buyers will ruin the standard of living in Canada. Canadians need to realize 400,000 per year immigrating is not sustainable. And this is coming from an immigrant.
@NCE-b2k
@NCE-b2k Год назад
So true! Think about pressure on the healthcare system and housing. Little is done to mitigate the impact of immigration on these 2 critical areas of society. I am an immigrant too and do not oppose immigration but room must be made to accommodate newcomers into this country, so they don’t feel disappointed or deceived. Honestly! Canada right now is survival of the fittest. Wish all our new Commers good luck 😉
@Moonchildstargazer
@Moonchildstargazer Год назад
Many immigrants leave Canada because they sold all assets from where they moved from to have nothing here but stress and debt.
@stevegaspar5191
@stevegaspar5191 Год назад
400,000????? You must stop believing the Liberal lies. Official 12 month numbers released by Statistics Canada in May show population growth of 1,200,000 approx with 96% of it from inflation. Much, much worse than we are led to believe with promises by new Immigration minister that he will beat the last ministers number by a country mile. We are in a race to oblivion. I should not care as I own a bunch of rental properties clear title but I care about what is happening to my country.
@nbasingh
@nbasingh Год назад
Issue is Canada birth rates are extremely low. Well below replacement value therefore immigrants are needed and they're needed badly. However it's not a black and white issue. I can't say whether 400,000 is enough because one needs to breakdown that number much more to determine if it's beneficial or not. It's not as black and white as people would say.
@Nothern_King
@Nothern_King Год назад
@@nbasingh low birth rates are a function of an issue but not the issue itself. When polled most women say they want more children but cannot afford it. If this was addressed there would be a natural increase which is more manageable. However the immigration system isn't natural, it's a wave of hundreds of thousands who immediately require services which means it unsustainable. In this way, government is failing their people.
@kaitlyncranwick
@kaitlyncranwick 10 месяцев назад
I remember in 2007 when I was working in real estate seeing people buy homes new from builders with the intention of selling before close of escrow to a new buyer for profit. The crash was so brutal and fast that I remember seeing a lot of these units foreclosed on with the builder plastic still on the carpet.
@maryHenokNft
@maryHenokNft 10 месяцев назад
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@hunter-bourke21 10 месяцев назад
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@ryanwilliams989 10 месяцев назад
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@Moonmaster85
@Moonmaster85 Год назад
Having a 6 figure income like myself where I basically take years off my life doing rotating shift simply isn't worth the time or money in this country when basic home ownership is out of the question. The societal contract here has been broken and will lead to more ppl leaving the country
@donm2067
@donm2067 Год назад
MAD shifts take an average of a decade of your life.
@Moonmaster85
@Moonmaster85 Год назад
@donm2067 yup figure I'll stick it out for 1 more year been doing it for 8, I work with guys who have done rotations for 20 years, no idea how they managed it
@artwelld1235
@artwelld1235 Год назад
Hi Guys, Please let’s gather this coming Wednesday August 9th for our regular outdoor soccer practice Starting Date : May 21st Ending Date : TBD Time: 6pm Venue: 500 THE EAST MALL ETOBICOKE, ON The Team Manager Habib to update you on the summer program with the tournaments and friendly games. Stay tuned!!!!!! NB 1: Bring jerseys, outdoor balls & soccer shoes NB2: Bring any refreshments you’ll like to share with the rest of the team *Please be on time due to early sunset* KapiHi Guys, Please let’s gather this coming Wednesday August 9th for our regular outdoor soccer practice Starting Date : May 21st Ending Date : TBD Time: 6pm Venue: 500 THE EAST MALL ETOBICOKE, ON The Team Manager Habib to update you on the summer program with the tournaments and friendly games. Stay tuned!!!!!! NB 1: Bring jerseys, outdoor balls & soccer shoes NB2: Bring any refreshments you’ll like to share with the rest of the team *Please be on time due to early sunset* KapiHi Guys, Please let’s gather this coming Wednesday August 9th for our regular outdoor soccer practice Starting Date : May 21st Ending Date : TBD Time: 6pm Venue: 500 THE EAST MALL ETOBICOKE, ON The Team Manager Habib to update you on the summer program with the tournaments and friendly games. Stay tuned!!!!!! NB 1: Bring jerseys, outdoor balls & soccer shoes NB2: Bring any refreshments you’ll like to share with the rest of the team *Please be on time due to early sunset* KapiHi Guys, Please let’s gather this coming Wednesday August 9th for our regular outdoor soccer practice Starting Date : May 21st Ending Date : TBD Time: 6pm Venue: 500 THE EAST MALL ETOBICOKE, ON The Team Manager Habib to update you on the summer program with the tournaments and friendly games. Stay tuned!!!!!! NB 1: Bring jerseys, outdoor balls & soccer shoes NB2: Bring any refreshments you’ll like to share with the rest of the team *Please be on time due to early sunset* KapiHi Guys, Please let’s gather this coming Wednesday August 9th for our regular outdoor soccer practice Starting Date : May 21st Ending Date : TBD Time: 6pm Venue: 500 THE EAST MALL ETOBICOKE, ON The Team Manager Habib to update you on the summer program with the tournaments and friendly games. Stay tuned!!!!!! NB 1: Bring jerseys, outdoor balls & soccer shoes NB2: Bring any refreshments you’ll like to share with the rest of the team *Please be on time due to early sunset* KapiHi Guys, Please let’s gather this coming Wednesday August 9th for our regular outdoor soccer practice Starting Date : May 21st Ending Date : TBD Time: 6pm Venue: 500 THE EAST MALL ETOBICOKE, ON The Team Manager Habib to update you on the summer program with the tournaments and friendly games. Stay tuned!!!!!! NB 1: Bring jerseys, outdoor balls & soccer shoes NB2: Bring any refreshments you’ll like to share with the rest of the team *Please be on time due to early sunset* KapiHi Guys, Please let’s gather this coming Wednesday August 9th for our regular outdoor soccer practice Starting Date : May 21st Ending Date : TBD Time: 6pm Venue: 500 THE EAST MALL ETOBICOKE, ON The Team Manager Habib to update you on the summer program with the tournaments and friendly games. Stay tuned!!!!!! NB 1: Bring jerseys, outdoor balls & soccer shoes NB2: Bring any refreshments you’ll like to share with the rest of the team *Please be on time due to early sunset* KapiHi Guys, Please let’s gather this coming Wednesday August 9th for our regular outdoor soccer practice Starting Date : May 21st Ending Date : TBD Time: 6pm Venue: 500 THE EAST MALL ETOBICOKE, ON The Team Manager Habib to update you on the summer program with the tournaments and friendly games. Stay tuned!!!!!! NB 1: Bring jerseys, outdoor balls & soccer shoes NB2: Bring any refreshments you’ll like to share with the rest of the team *Please be on time due to early sunset* KapiHi Guys, Please let’s gather this coming Wednesday August 9th for our regular outdoor soccer practice Starting Date : May 21st Ending Date : TBD Time: 6pm Venue: 500 THE EAST MALL ETOBICOKE, ON The Team Manager Habib to update you on the summer program with the tournaments and friendly games. Stay tuned!!!!!! NB 1: Bring jerseys, outdoor balls & soccer shoes NB2: Bring any refreshments you’ll like to share with the rest of the team *Please be on time due to early sunset* Kapi
@donm2067
@donm2067 Год назад
@@Moonmaster85 the old timers are fvcking idiots, but they also go paid more and had better pensions/benefits.
@cdnhey
@cdnhey Год назад
Well said that’s the truth right there
@Headinavise
@Headinavise Год назад
I worked in Northern Alberta and met newcomers to Canada. About half of these workers I met were from mostly India. They all live in houses with other families. Often 2 to 3 people contributing to a mortgage that use to be one family. Canada is gone and we will never get it back. I never thought this would happen in my lifetime.
@marksmith6787
@marksmith6787 Год назад
Yes and this is one of the reasons why the prices rise. Because 3 families can afford to buy the 1.5-2 million dollar home with the 6000 a month mortgage. Long time Canadian citizens do not live like this. If an individual doesn’t own a home now they will be forced to live like this in the future, unless they take proactive measures for their kids now, and buy into the market and get them a home for their future. Instead of paying for college or other things, buy them shelter so they can have a good place to call home.
@marksmith6787
@marksmith6787 Год назад
@@oz6123yes. I have seen it being done in Kelowna bc now for 10+ years. Gotta buckle down and be smart to secure your future. If prices drop what this guy says I will be buying another home.
@dougreed736
@dougreed736 Год назад
When Trudeau got in, I was fairly sure canada was on its way out.
@Mehmed317
@Mehmed317 Год назад
Three families per one household, 35% percent Canadians don’t have mortgages, 30% have mortgages but 20% of those have locked in mortgages till 2025. Must have been good Mary Jane you had before the interview
@johnnycroat
@johnnycroat Год назад
@@oz6123 plus the older family members receiving Pension from the govt
@harrisonopare4851
@harrisonopare4851 Год назад
These were the same people who said a year ago we would see Rate cuts close to end of 2023...these people have no idea what's going on
@JonnyZuccs
@JonnyZuccs Год назад
Cope
@sharinglungs3226
@sharinglungs3226 Год назад
We’re not in recession yet. Playbook is to cut in a recession to pull us out but they’re not done fighting inflation.
@danawc5595
@danawc5595 Год назад
Media and government CAN’T BE TRUSTED PERIOD!!!!
@montrose699
@montrose699 Год назад
That's for sure. It's crazy low rates for a historical long period of time that put us here. Investment purchases have never been so hi as the last 10 years.
@stevegaspar5191
@stevegaspar5191 Год назад
This guy must be a Trudeau Liberal advisor because he is so dead wrong and off base it isn't even funny. No mention of 1.2 million population growth the last year and even higher numbers to come. Housing inflation has to continue based just on immigration policies vs housing starts which will fall even more with higher rates for longer. People who can - will pay for a roof over their head somehow. Rents are so high that being a landlord is very lucrative and rents will get even higher and people will move even more than in the past for economic survival.
@petera155
@petera155 Год назад
I'm thinking of leaving Canada, and I'm far from alone. I'm an Aerospace Engineer, but housing is still out of reach for me. Canada wants to be bring in more talent but it's just not an attractive destination anymore.
@3rayallen
@3rayallen Год назад
Then leave lol, more housing for the rest of us :)
@mikhailgolichenko495
@mikhailgolichenko495 Год назад
Leaving Canada to go where? Housing prices go up everywhere. If a country/city is doing well, the price of living grows. Only places where live costs nothing and you can get shot for 50 cents don't grow...
@grildcheez1504
@grildcheez1504 Год назад
Spin a bottle. When it stops, hop into your car and drive 300km. You will find homes 50-80% cheaper. No need to leave Canada the 2nd largest country in the world.
@user-gr6pu3nw2e
@user-gr6pu3nw2e Год назад
@@mikhailgolichenko495”get shot for 50 cents” LMAOOO cant stop laughing at this comment omg
@touringthecitywalking9209
@touringthecitywalking9209 Год назад
@@3rayallen A bit rude comment but hilarious nonetheless. 😄
@Jthelong
@Jthelong Год назад
I have been watching this situation continue to deteriorate across Canada. Bad governance and corrupt politicians enriching themselves at the detriment of fellow Canadians. High taxes that punish productivity, a broken healthcare system, and on and on and on. I have to justify staying in Canada every single day. I have family and friends I care for deeply, but 1 Million dollars for a house is insane. I can buy an apartment in Pattaya Thailand for less than 200K overlooking the ocean. With A beautiful beach minutes from your the Condo. A 10 year visa only cost 10k to 20k, for 10 years of continues stay. I think its time to leave and come back if Canada ever digs itself out of the mud. Highly unlikely.
@2007Lynx2007
@2007Lynx2007 Год назад
Meanwhile home prices in Calgary are skyrocketing because people are moving to Alberta from unaffordable parts of the Country.
@shauncameron8390
@shauncameron8390 Год назад
Namely British Columbia and Ontario.
@ryancraig2795
@ryancraig2795 Год назад
Same thing in Halifax, from what I hear.
@TheSweetswed
@TheSweetswed Год назад
Yep I was trying to get over there but couldn't afford had to go to a different part of AB
@truth5761
@truth5761 Год назад
To pay a 1 million dollar home today even with 20% down and amortization 30 years you need $200,000 of family income... Its scary unaffordable. 32% i don't agree with. Thats maxing out the GDS ratios at 39%
@donm2067
@donm2067 Год назад
Considering houses in the sticks are 1m$, I don't understand wtf is going on.
@kakayou546
@kakayou546 Год назад
This is why rental income from 1+ suites is essential
@Azel247
@Azel247 Год назад
People are using the bank of mom and dad. Rich families help their children get rich, and others seems to fall behind.
@stevegaspar5191
@stevegaspar5191 Год назад
Terrifying is more like it!
@truth5761
@truth5761 Год назад
@@marc37921 why ? Explain
@stevegaspar5191
@stevegaspar5191 Год назад
Most people don't get it. Economics 101. The laws of supply and demand. As long as there is this insane rate of immigration which by the way is going to substantially increase in the coming years - real inflation on everything we buy will be there. Inflation in rents especially, housing in general is not going away. Neither will inflation on all sorts of goods and food. Demand has outstripped supply for quite a while now and it will be getting bigger because of demographics and monstrous immigration numbers. The manipulated government numbers will be what they want it to be. Reality is another issue. Renters will be the worst off with many dropping into homelessness whether the types that are seen or the unseen doing couch surfing. We are following the trend of Japan on the homeless front but they do not litter the streets with tents. Most are working poor who rent a space behind a curtain in what used to be internet cafes and sleep there. This is a trend which can get a lot of traction here too. Some really good RU-vid videos on this trend out there.
@notastone4832
@notastone4832 Год назад
a civil war would halt the flow of immigrants immediately.. for what thats worth..
@stevegaspar5191
@stevegaspar5191 Год назад
Just heard today on the Michael Campbell show since June 18 to Friday statscan announced that 251000 new immigrants have been added to or population. In 2 months. 1.5 million annual pace based on the latest numbers.
@CarlosLiberated
@CarlosLiberated Год назад
I agree with you. I would add two additional factors that add to the issue. One, record low interest rates leading to rampant speculation in the market and total lack of moral hazard and two, the stunning level of financial illiteracy among Canadians.
@john_doe_not_found
@john_doe_not_found Год назад
There are no concrete plans in place to increase supply. There is no labor to build additional supply. Loans are in a place where developers are unlikely to take on new projects unless they have government backed low interest loans. So, his long term chart is completely pie in the sky.
@jimsouthby2224
@jimsouthby2224 Год назад
Supply won’t outstrip demand with record levels of immigration.
@XAUCADTrader
@XAUCADTrader Год назад
I find it funny that no one realizes that the gov is just trolling us and still getting support hahah. Of course they'll overrun supply. I would just tell people to plan to leave, almost anywhere in the world would be better. It didn't have to be this way at all...Also, record level of migration suppresses our wages as well.
@russulpeter8724
@russulpeter8724 Год назад
How is possible to have affordable house in the future? Cost of building and labor is going up. Wages is not goin up accordingly.
@markhirstwood4190
@markhirstwood4190 Год назад
Easy - I think housing will lose 95% of its value. Then you'll begin to find good values, bargains.
@sharinglungs3226
@sharinglungs3226 Год назад
Would start with letting the market crash. We have enough investors in the market a crash will bring back affordability. Unfortunately the government keeps bailing out mortgage holders and the banks. Tighten lending on investors from the banks so developers need to sell more to the end user market. Local govs need to cut back on development charges so when prices fall developers can still make money. Reduce all forms of importing people in the country to a level where supply can catch up. Our population would decrease if we stopped all forms of importing people. Unfortunately the boomer gen will hold up the affordability of houses as they don’t downsize and basically need them to die out.
@ponzitizen
@ponzitizen Год назад
And still an open buffet for domestic and foreign "investors"...
@shauncameron8390
@shauncameron8390 Год назад
And the population is increasing, thus higher demand.
@YoBoyMarcus
@YoBoyMarcus Год назад
Easy to answer: It's impossible (Unless WW3 happens).
@ryancraig2795
@ryancraig2795 Год назад
This type of long term correction in home prices is what is needed in Canada. I live on the outskirts of Hamilton, which is on the outskirts of the GTA, but my little townhouse is worth something over $500k, nice new ones nearby are going for $700k+, and decent single family detached homes are$900k+. Almost no single family can afford these any more. That's why so many of them have extended immigrant families living in them, with 4+ working aged adults to help pay the mortgage. I'm single and while I make a decent salary (more than the median Canadian family income), I'm not sure I could afford to buy the house I'm living in today. Glad I bought 10 years ago, even though I thought prices were in a bubble then.
@TheSweetswed
@TheSweetswed Год назад
Ya I sold 7 yrs ago in Whitby thinking how crazy could it get. Wow was I wrong. Never seen it getting this bad where u gotta make 150k to afford most places along the 401 n GTA
@zochbuppet448
@zochbuppet448 Год назад
You couldnt not afford it. Most people cannot effort to buy a house as a single person or on a single income, even with a bit of above average income. 10 years ago around 2012 - 2013 was the last time homes were a bit affordable in the GTA hamilton area
@richardramfire3971
@richardramfire3971 Год назад
My house is worth 1.8 million. I most definitely would not qualify if I was trying to get it today
@TheSweetswed
@TheSweetswed Год назад
Yep i dont even know how people qualify in GTA and VAN. I wish i held my house in durham longer shit went crazy @@richardramfire3971
@Chima4289
@Chima4289 Год назад
My son is in University, studying Applied Math .., and I am advising him that he must look at opportunities in the US, because he will not have decent life in Canada.
@ronbonora7872
@ronbonora7872 Год назад
he can do the math and figure that out himself! LOL
@RBBBBBBBBB533
@RBBBBBBBBB533 Год назад
5:58 looking at supply to outpace demand? Based on what forecast was that conclusion made?
@stevegaspar5191
@stevegaspar5191 Год назад
the guy is a rwit.
@XAUCADTrader
@XAUCADTrader Год назад
Think that bro hit up my fentanyl-crack pipe a bit too hard...
@antoniopalumbo5356
@antoniopalumbo5356 Год назад
This guy is so out of touch With Reality
@stevegaspar5191
@stevegaspar5191 Год назад
One of Justin's economic and housing advisors?
@SecretEraser
@SecretEraser Год назад
He doesn't mention that we import 1 million newcomers each year, but only build 200k more houses, so 800k per year will be homeless and jobless and with record low pay due to the oversupply of cheap workers, which will break Canada. i.e. Each day we inch closer to nothing but with no happiness in sight. 💀
@markb8360
@markb8360 Год назад
Because each immigrant buys a 1M house? You’re delusional. They live 10 per house with 4 names on the mortgage
@SecretEraser
@SecretEraser Год назад
​@@markb8360 They are either stuck renting forever, or they bring in a sizable downpayment (and credit score) or full payment before arrival. But in all cases, you entirely missed my original point... I didn't say anything about house prices, but since you brought it up: The more people brought in, the higher the demand, which pushes the house prices higher and higher. Soon it will be $2-3million for an average 1 bedroom apartment or $20,000 a month rented but there won't be any jobs left because those are all taken, flooded and valueless. (Except for maybe house builders and farmers). The inequality and unaffordability will skyrocket, and so will the price or scarcity of food. It will bring the middle class to their knees, which is exactly what the elites want. The hunger and desperation will make us agree to anything they wish to impose without resistance or a second thought. I know exactly what's-up. Trudeau cares more about Barbie or multiple private jet island vacations per year than he does Canadians, not even his wife likes him. (No idea why! sarcasm)
@ArleneMonzar
@ArleneMonzar Год назад
The total residential home price average in the city of Toronto (not GTA) is down by over 10% in July from the 2023 year-to-date high in May. We shall see if The BoC increases or holds rates on September 6th and how that further impacts the market during the fall months.
@notastone4832
@notastone4832 Год назад
housing needs to drop 70%.. 10% is fuck all.. average home doubled in price like 4 times since i was a kid, im only 25..
@Metalchica-tl6ve
@Metalchica-tl6ve Год назад
There's a typo in your graph. On the x axis for the years you have 2010 instead of 2020 at 5:48
@OGForEverProd
@OGForEverProd Год назад
This summer? It’s almost fall my guy
@AK-ki2os
@AK-ki2os Год назад
How are house prices going too fall when the gov is bringing in so many people 🤦🏻‍♂️🙄
@parkerbohnn
@parkerbohnn Год назад
The U.S. election is next year in November and with the 6 to 8 month lag in interest rates the Fed will start to cut interest rates around March 2024. Home prices will enter a new bull market in Canada starting around March 2024 and no later than June 2024.
@saty.7
@saty.7 Год назад
Interesting!
@WilliamBang
@WilliamBang Год назад
Toronto prices are already rising.........
@joeissac3934
@joeissac3934 Год назад
I will have whatever you're smoking !!
@WilliamBang
@WilliamBang Год назад
@@joeissac3934 He is accurate in his assessment. What makes you believe he is inaccurate?
@stevegaspar5191
@stevegaspar5191 Год назад
I see the same thing happening.
@zeroceiling
@zeroceiling Год назад
Telus just laid off 6000 employees…and Rogers is doing the same. Bell is asking the feds for regulatory relief….and this is one of our biggest economic sectors. Mortgages were stress tested based on two incomes where applicable….so if one income falls to a layoff…I just don’t know how a family with a $1 million dollar mortgage…renewing…can go from $4,200/ month to $6800,/ month with the new rates that are bound to be going even higher. There is bound to be a crack in the system somewhere one would think.
@ronbonora7872
@ronbonora7872 Год назад
YUP
@BowtieJDP
@BowtieJDP Год назад
They will kick out the Canadian that lived there for years and replace them with an immigrant.
@esparda07
@esparda07 Год назад
Great. Moving out of the Country in 2 weeks. Might think about coming back in 2027 as this person says.
@YoBoyMarcus
@YoBoyMarcus Год назад
You won't come back. You'll be so happy away from Canada.
@ratonautonomo8963
@ratonautonomo8963 11 месяцев назад
The issue with a lot of people ( at least in the Americas) is that they see something coming and they believe it'll never happen to them. I've lived in Mexico, The US and Canada. Every time that I say something about how bad things are getting people laugh. I'm a single man, own 2 properties in Canada and 2 in Mexico, at the beginning of this year, when I noticed how Canada's economy was changing I decided to get a second job THAT I DON'T NEED. Why? Because why not?
@user-ub1gz8lx8c
@user-ub1gz8lx8c Год назад
Affordable range lol right. Another million people next year you think their coming down? Dream on.
@doinitforfun888
@doinitforfun888 10 месяцев назад
Sellers are still trying to get 2021 prices when interest rates were 2%. The new listings coming out on the MLS in the Toronto area are way overpriced.
@micrasystems
@micrasystems Год назад
I stopped watching when he said this is all dependent on supply out pacing demand 😂
@montrose699
@montrose699 Год назад
My son works in construction, mostly residential and doesn't make enough as a carpenter to live on his own. They can't hire and I wonder why when the average is 25 an hour with no benefits
@micrasystems
@micrasystems Год назад
@@montrose699 sorry to hear. Hopefully your son’s income will grow as he progresses through his career in carpentry to a red seal. Maybe start his own business.
@stevegaspar5191
@stevegaspar5191 Год назад
Well we all know that ain't going to happen now is it?
@citizenm9590
@citizenm9590 Год назад
I was living in USA when last house market crashed in 2008 and it took until 2012 to bottom out. Rral estae us lagging in indicator don't buy now like reql estate agents are telling you they are hurting now because no transaction. We will bottom out in 2025 as BoC said thats ehy they expect inflatuon to come down to 2%.
@kevinbarr9933
@kevinbarr9933 10 месяцев назад
Chief economist of Canada David Rosenberg Canada was housing was "the biggest Bubble in the Universe" and he thought a 100 basis point hike would Pop it, yet in the past 18 months it's been 500 basis points perhaps somethings at the low end of a rational estimate it's going to Pop gradually then suddenly!
@cosmiccometchichi
@cosmiccometchichi Год назад
we are in a global depression
@ronl1633
@ronl1633 Год назад
Justin Trudeau, has broken Canada!
@masterstacks2030
@masterstacks2030 Год назад
Not yet, but soon enough
@shauncameron8390
@shauncameron8390 Год назад
But this is a made-in-Canada problem.
@rikro6067
@rikro6067 Год назад
Housing prices are one thing, Canadian affordability is going to be the major issue as inflation will eat up savings and capital growth, and BoC interest rates will reduce the capacity for most as Canadians will not be able to qualify or afford mortgage payment amounts.. this forces most to rent, producing more opportunity for government controls.
@dslboiz
@dslboiz Год назад
If this is an issue why is the government imposing carbon taxes until 2030
@rikro6067
@rikro6067 Год назад
@@dslboiz carbon tax does nothing in terms of actual emissions reductions and forces more offshore labour, further impacting employment as inflation increases and government spends more tax dollars they're collecting under the guise of social responsibility. Utter sham and form of corruption, just surprised more haven't fought against this, but maybe they don't see it.
@TheRealDanielDavid
@TheRealDanielDavid Год назад
Yeah. People are deemed “unable to afford a mortgage” while they pay even MORE for rent in most cases. It’s ridiculous.
@shaylareynolds8676
@shaylareynolds8676 Год назад
Supply is not coming online. Investors are not buying and construction lost 45000 jobs last month. New construction permits in my area alone dropped 30% year over year.
@user-uo7vy9jm2o
@user-uo7vy9jm2o 11 месяцев назад
How is it that the few continue to thrive at the expense of the many in a country where everyone gets to vote, do we hate ourselves?
@gigachad_6862
@gigachad_6862 10 месяцев назад
Today etobicoke home that a person bough last year Jan at 1.28 MN was sold at $ 9,50,000. My friends new home bought last year in Feb at 1.4 MN in Mayfield Brampton is not able to sell at 1 MN now😅 So real estate is that down. Now I have seen streets where half of homes r for sale at last year peak prices but nobody is buying and they r reducing 100,000 listing price every month 😅 Ppl bought homes at exaggerated prices while at low interest rate now everyone is trouble due to recession. Recession in USA is also coming so Dark days for Canada ahead😅
@tony--james
@tony--james Год назад
"It Now Costs $1,296 To Rent With A Roommate In Toronto, $1,455 In Vancouver" Property-rich Canadians/foreigners, NIMBYism and sky-high immigration have destroyed this once great country. It's so sad to see.
@thierry1026
@thierry1026 Год назад
Did it even start? Houses kept going up in my region for sure.
@johannndsouza
@johannndsouza Год назад
Same and I travel thru burlington, mississauga, brampton, oakville and all I see is 1 mill++ for anything (Even online) half decent so I don't know where they got their 500k mark in Q1 on that chart lol unless they averaged it out against windsor.
@chriswhynder8311
@chriswhynder8311 Год назад
same here
@stevegaspar5191
@stevegaspar5191 Год назад
Depends where you are. BC and Ontario already were hit hard and immigration will put a floor in
@thierry1026
@thierry1026 Год назад
@@stevegaspar5191 Im in QC, the median house went up since January 2023, it dropped like 5% last year, its almost back up to where it was. And what makes it look worse, is the houses that dropped last year were mostly the 1 million $ house in the city. Out in the region what hapenned is those 200k$ houses completly vanished, now it starts at 300+k It definitly kept going up in my region. I bought 1 last August, I was looking for 1 for my sister about 2 months ago, and they straight went up.
@WilliamBang
@WilliamBang Год назад
This guy is wrong. That's all you need to know.
@Azel247
@Azel247 Год назад
Very bold to forecast to 2027.... and downright arrogant to think you can predict 2035. Just look at the past 5 years. How many things were you able to predict back then?
@thepaintedlady4637
@thepaintedlady4637 Год назад
I think a crash is imminent and there will be a massive humanitarian crisis that follows, when no one can afford to pay housing costs anymore. There is no way Canada can sustain the current prices in the rental and housing market, the average persons spending power is being eroded and debt rising to pay for these extortion rents and mortgages. A few get rich, whilst the majority get further and further into debt and ruin. Also, anyone hear that Michael Bury just took another big short position, betting on stock market crash? You gotta wonder what that guys sees right now that no one else does...
@batralawgroup6354
@batralawgroup6354 Год назад
There is nexus between many layers of authorities, developers, builders, investors and media etc. All they are minting money, will never let the prices come down by using all buttons.
@Prairieshutterbug64
@Prairieshutterbug64 Год назад
How is supply going to outpace demand with housing starts down and record immigration?
@adam.vision
@adam.vision Год назад
6:03 how can supply outpace demand when we're growing in populating at such a rapid pace
@KM-sr9cc
@KM-sr9cc Год назад
Like food and water, Home is a "Life's Basic Necessity" and should NOT become an "Investment Commodity" and the coming Housing Crash in Canada will settle this harsh reality, once and for all. Stillo is right about affordability being improved in a decade but it comes with a catch, Russia ends the War in Europe and China does not invade Taiwan, If they do so, the housing crisis in Canada & affordability crisis will continue throughout the 2040s.
@JjJj-ev8pe
@JjJj-ev8pe Год назад
Housing price should come down 50℅ to make housing affordable in Canada.
@CanadianJourney97
@CanadianJourney97 Год назад
I have done my own assessment. Similar thoughts. Banks are ignoring trigger rates, keeping more houses on the market. They are extending original loans to 105% of outstanding. When renewals come up, (stress test is 2%) The original home owner will be under water with equity due to high interest rates, stuck with the loan they agreed too, while ALSO being unable to afford their stress test at the higher fixed or variable term. This is going to be a huge correction & bankruptcy's. Unless rates come down, which they can't unless liberals control their spending.
@chrisklugh
@chrisklugh 11 месяцев назад
I live in Canada. I seen this effect was going to happened some 20 years ago. I saw it coming. Nobody wanted to talk about it because they just did not want to believe. Or we'd deal with it later. Well were way past the point of not fixing this. I recommend everyone with a problem with the cost of living in Canada to move out. And Canada really needs to stop this immigration stuff. 1 Million new people in a year or so? WTF!!! Something like lets invite people at a rate 5 times more then we can build new homes in. F Canada!
@wayneho71
@wayneho71 Год назад
The coming economic collapse will be an once in a century opportunity for home buyers who are debt free with cash on hands. As per current crude oil price trend, inflation will soon tick back up and BOC will continue to raise interest rate in order to save the loonie (just look at the bond yield). Mortgage rate will reach high single digit by the end of 2023, and double digit by Q2 of 2024.
@parkerbohnn
@parkerbohnn Год назад
Interest rates will fall in 2024 and should peak around February 2024.
@wayneho71
@wayneho71 Год назад
@@parkerbohnn What makes you think interest rates will fall in 2024? I am many reasons to believe interest rates will continue to rise due to the depreciation of the Canadian and US currencies and rising energy cost. On August 22-24, BRICS nations will likely to make announcement to the world on their new gold backed digital currency. This will send shockwave to FX and energy market.
@YoBoyMarcus
@YoBoyMarcus Год назад
In your dreams maybe.
@wayneho71
@wayneho71 Год назад
@@YoBoyMarcus CPI went back up 3.3% in July just as I predicted CPI will tick back up due to crude oil price. Looks like my dreams in becoming reality. However, believe whatever you want to believe.
@BlueToronto
@BlueToronto 11 месяцев назад
The yield curve is inverted in the US. That means a recession is coming, so it'll be pretty hard, if not impossible, to keep raising rates.
@pennyhenny6144
@pennyhenny6144 Год назад
What a joke! Housing correction…..haven’t seen it yet.
@colinsellers1143
@colinsellers1143 Год назад
Wanna know why people cant afford a house????? They dont goto work and are super lazy
@lapraxi
@lapraxi Год назад
They are social media artists, they deserve to be rich because their content is healing the world
@BowtieJDP
@BowtieJDP Год назад
Housing prices will keep rising 20+% for the next decade. Immigration goes BRRRR awhile housing starts are less than 1/5 the number of annual new Canadians coming into the country.
@darrensmith6782
@darrensmith6782 Год назад
What will the mucky mucks do when they have to walk around the tents? Where will they buy their Grey Poupon? Lol. All the big raises in the public sector. The delicate genius of buying a house 20 years ago. A society is no fun without the middle class. It’s only going to get worse.
@animeloverfan18
@animeloverfan18 Год назад
😂 “I am not sure that is right ..” I am still looking for affordability , maybe it will never come in my lifetime .
@parkerbohnn
@parkerbohnn Год назад
Apartments in Edmonton were selling for 30 to 40 thousand in 2021. None were leaseholds. Country Club Estate near the university and West Edmonton Mall was selling in the $65,000 range for a stacked 2 bedroom townhouse just under 1,000 square feet from around the end of last year to just recently. I owned 4 of the bottom 3 bedroom end units bought back in 1990 when they were the same price as today.
@stevegaspar5191
@stevegaspar5191 Год назад
Stop crying and move to Alberta. Imagine no sales tax, no property purchase tax, low personal income tax, cheaper gasoline like 60 cents a litre cheaper than the lower mainland in BC as of today and even cheaper compared to Vancouver. We also found a family doctor with a couple of months of moving here. Sure there are some negatives but not nearly as many as the positives. That is why Alberta is seeing the highest population growth in its history right now.
@shauncameron8390
@shauncameron8390 Год назад
Not for as long as the population keeps increasing and people still insist on living in the city.
@marksmith6787
@marksmith6787 Год назад
10% fall from 1 million dollar average in bc. Hahaha that’s 900000 average home. Imagine all the people that bought homes at 1.5 million and in 2027 it’s worth 750000 like this guy is saying. That is a very poor decision 😂😂😂😂
@markmorgan5031
@markmorgan5031 Год назад
I love it..go bankrupt people .serves u right greedy bastards I say
@darrensmith6782
@darrensmith6782 Год назад
Are you my dad?
@kabirrai472
@kabirrai472 Год назад
LOL
@mrladidah82
@mrladidah82 Год назад
I rememeber some clown say budgets ballance themselves 😂
@leinad5243
@leinad5243 Год назад
But my agent says houses only go up...Why...ur not my friend any more
@dhj1182
@dhj1182 Год назад
What correction? Calgary prices just keep going up
@louiskwaku8879
@louiskwaku8879 Год назад
If the rate cut takes a while to kick in, then why is this fool keep raising the rate and not waite for a while?to see the effects.
@WTF_Over
@WTF_Over Год назад
Oh well I’m sure the profits in the family court circus will help
@ChrisMCP2
@ChrisMCP2 Год назад
Muahahaha, after they showed the graph, it was rather embarrassing for Tony. Nobody is taking either oxford pseudo economics, nor various permanent-renters circlejerk clubs like better dwelling. Prices will keep going up. Deal with it.
@sharinglungs3226
@sharinglungs3226 Год назад
So when is the bank starting your power of sale?
@markkkkitoooo
@markkkkitoooo Год назад
When can I book a showing?
@Andrew-hp1jk
@Andrew-hp1jk Год назад
The graph is incorrect too. There is a 10 where there should be a 20.
@rcana5803
@rcana5803 Год назад
Canada is welcoming roughly 500k immigrants as well as huge number of International students and I am not sure if the prospective immigrants and students are told about the severe housing crisis in 2nd largest country in the world. These people are leaving their good jobs and homes to come to Canada and only to realize they are stuck in a housing crisis and most of their earnings will go towards paying for their housing. According to officials, immigration levels can only go up and not down. Question is how are they are going to provide housing for desperate people when people are living in the parks. Elementary or kindergarten math can help for sure.
@rcana5803
@rcana5803 Год назад
everyone came to Canada to get residency .@@itsmealex588
@MrPatrick1414
@MrPatrick1414 Год назад
We're in for a correction are we? Important to keep people in the market whether affordable or not...hmmm
@danh1532
@danh1532 10 месяцев назад
I sold my half burn down house for $3 million in Vancouver😂 🖕 and I took all my money out of Canada.
@JjJj-ev8pe
@JjJj-ev8pe Год назад
Its time to pop the housing bubble.
@johndefalque5061
@johndefalque5061 11 месяцев назад
I'm born-to-lose autistic-there are millions of invisibly disabled like me-poverty best nipped in the bud-should have been left to die at birth. Death with dignity for all. This could free up millions of units for everyone. Extortionate rent exiled me from English Canada in 2016. With our high rents we should be easily able to get non-smoking apts-but no, you have to fight to live in a f-cking ashtray FFS!
@bdawg333
@bdawg333 Год назад
It’s just getting started. This is marketing spin.
@joeposteraros
@joeposteraros Год назад
Far from over? It hasn't happened. A 10% fall in prices means nothing when prperty value is overvalued by 100%
@925inder2
@925inder2 Год назад
The immigrants have to either have great jobs or money or possibly pull together to afgord the houses. Just saying it will not go down because of immigration is nonsense.
@user-zt6gu1ph7c
@user-zt6gu1ph7c Год назад
😮thanks for sharing 😊
@Chima4289
@Chima4289 Год назад
The correction is even haven’t started
@JacobPaula
@JacobPaula 9 месяцев назад
A crash in real estate markets has less of an immediate impact on people's standard of living than inflation or currency devaluation. That the market is so negative at the moment shouldn't be shocking. If we are to survive in this economy, we need assistance right away. The ETF and stock markets are still quite volatile, just like the property market. Now all that's left of my $370K portfolio is ruins.
@Dave_East
@Dave_East 9 месяцев назад
Many people are still getting fantastic returns on their investments during this time. Simply maintain a strong sense of reality or ask for professional assistance.
@Brodin-id8re
@Brodin-id8re 9 месяцев назад
The effects of the U.S. dollar's increase or fall on investments, in my opinion, are complex, but it has never been simpler to learn how to build your money than it is right now, when you may discover and experience a genuinely broad market passively by working with a successful Financial Consultant. Under her tutelage, I diversified my $400K portfolio across multiple markets and have been able to generate over $900k in net profit across high dividend yield stocks, ETF and bonds in few months.
@Brodin-id8re
@Brodin-id8re 9 месяцев назад
I've shuffled through investment consultants and yes, they can be positively impactful to an individual's portfolio, but do your due diligence to find a coach with grit. For me, ‘’Stacie Lynn Winson” turned out to be better and smarter than all the consultant I ever worked with till date, I’ve never met anyone with as much conviction.
@Agatha.wayne0
@Agatha.wayne0 8 месяцев назад
That does make a lot of sense, unlike us, you seem to have the Market figured out. Who is this consultant?
@KennethYimHomes
@KennethYimHomes Год назад
Smoking that hopium
@mickfoley1413
@mickfoley1413 Год назад
I read somewhere we need to build the same number of homes built over the last 30 years in the next decade just to catch up with the existing demand. I don't believe this guy. I don't have an economics degree but get the basics of supply and demand. With immigrant numbers going up, I highly doubt affordable housing will ever be a thing in Canada ever again. With the new 90-year mortgages, people will inherit their parent's mortgage debt and be happy.
@NCE-b2k
@NCE-b2k Год назад
Where is this guy living? In a bubble or what? Calgary home prices are up by at least 5%
@joeissac3934
@joeissac3934 Год назад
Alberta has no diversified economy. It's a frozen tundra where most work in the oil fields. BC, QC, Ontario are going green so no one wants that dirty oil. All of Canada's higher paying professional jobs are located in Ontario, Quebec and lower mainland BC.
@stevegaspar5191
@stevegaspar5191 Год назад
I just moved here a year ago. It is the total opposite of what you inaccurately spew in your derogatory statements. You have been drinking Trudeau's kool-aid for to long. It cause sbrain damage because of what he puts in it. He ppppeeeessss in it.
@stevegaspar5191
@stevegaspar5191 Год назад
Do you know what else is green? Snut. I warned you about Justin's kool-aid.
@shauncameron8390
@shauncameron8390 Год назад
@@joeissac3934 That's because they're too busy importing it from Saudi Arabia.
@wildbill6366
@wildbill6366 Год назад
The most ridiculously overrated and overpriced real estate on the planet.. When it does crash it will be epic .
@riderssolutions6228
@riderssolutions6228 Год назад
keep voting liberal
@samgabriel2360
@samgabriel2360 Год назад
Ludacris report, the analyst has no clue of the tectonic changes happening in Canadian demographics and demand.
@daiseman
@daiseman Год назад
Good!
@Justaguyyoutubin
@Justaguyyoutubin Год назад
I remember that all the experts were calling for a crash to Vancouvers housing bubble in the early 2000s. My buddy chose not to buy a condo for 350k. Its been 20 years and that same condo would be worth about 1 million dollars today. That friend was priced out of the market loooong ago, and his choice to wait has forced him to rent for the rest of his life. We will see booms and busts but the market will continue to trend upwards. This is especially true over a longterm investment horizon, 20+ years. Houses wont be cheaper in 20 years. Especially not with the quantity of immigrants we're bringing in
@Headinavise
@Headinavise Год назад
why stay there ?
@Mehmed317
@Mehmed317 Год назад
It’s not worth listening to these jokers of economists. Especially these claiming 20% falls. If he said 5-6% would have believed. 30% of Canadians only have mortgages and how many of those have fixed rates
@brightlight3520
@brightlight3520 Год назад
Exactly 100% agree. They keep calling a crash like chicken little but housing is the one thing that never expires, goes bad or is consumed in any manner. And yet its a necessity for everyone that is in constantly limited supply. Its the one thing guaranteed to go up as we ' import' more people into this country than we have houses for.
@Mehmed317
@Mehmed317 Год назад
@@brightlight3520 before anyone defaults on mortgage, will first pile up credit card and line of credit debt to try to cover mortgage payments. And after they pile up on those they can declare personal bankruptcy which allows them still to keep their home. They buy time till rates are normalized.
@irinab7524
@irinab7524 Год назад
@@Mehmed317Canadians don’t have fixed rates - they have to renew their mortgages every 5 years. 30 years fixed is American thing
@treaty8631
@treaty8631 9 месяцев назад
Let everyone pay interest only and accumulate penalties due to not paying off principle.....extend mortgages to 100 years....then youll bever have a collapse
@jimmyhat3438
@jimmyhat3438 Год назад
Finally some realistic prospects
@robynhood9663
@robynhood9663 Год назад
This guy is reading script written by BOC 😂
@danielluciano9001
@danielluciano9001 11 месяцев назад
A lot of hopefully
@joeycmore
@joeycmore Год назад
Seems like a good plan!
@pejdaddy3
@pejdaddy3 8 месяцев назад
Wow this guy has quite the magic 😁crystal ball.
@LatinOz23
@LatinOz23 Год назад
The future looks dark...I mean bright 😂😂😂😂
@donairsauce2496
@donairsauce2496 Год назад
start saving for 2032 baby
@chrispaul3778
@chrispaul3778 Год назад
Investing in alternate income streams should be the top priority for everyone right now. especially given the global economic crisis we are currently experiencing. stocks, gold, silver, and virtual currencies are still attractive investments at the moment.
@cassiejacobs4197
@cassiejacobs4197 Год назад
Everyone needs more than their salary to be financial stable. The best thing to do with your money is to invest it rightly, because money left for saving always end up used with no returns.
@maxiecharles2842
@maxiecharles2842 Год назад
If you don't find a means of multiplying your money, you will wake up one day and realize that the money you thought you had, had been exhausted. Investment is a ladder to climb the financial wall.
@chrispaul3778
@chrispaul3778 Год назад
cryptocurrency investment, but you will need a professional guide on that.
@chrispaul3778
@chrispaul3778 Год назад
Facebook 👇
@chrispaul3778
@chrispaul3778 Год назад
Evelyn C. Sanders
@stickmanfinance6789
@stickmanfinance6789 Год назад
Lol this is commical
@PatrickHood-ww3br
@PatrickHood-ww3br Год назад
Bubbles are most certainly archetypical. However look at bitcoin, that didn't end up bubbling.
@StirlingAckroydDenia
@StirlingAckroydDenia Год назад
This undoubtedly secures its spot as my top favorite. The way this story connects with me is genuinely unmatched!
@markhirstwood4190
@markhirstwood4190 Год назад
I can't listen to this woman's voice... I do think housing is going to crash hard.
@jimmyhat3438
@jimmyhat3438 Год назад
Summer is almost over like September is in a few weeks in 2 months snow will be flying
@stevegaspar5191
@stevegaspar5191 Год назад
Last year nov 1st it got cold and snowy. Until then very nice and then boom
@chrisskyllas1309
@chrisskyllas1309 Год назад
Fundamentally flawed forecast. Given that our genius PM is bringing 1M people per year, a tight housing supply, and housing starts are at historic lows. Supply and demand says otherwise.
@yurameshi5189
@yurameshi5189 Год назад
It doesn't matter if he's bringing in a M every year, it won't matter if he brings in a B every year. The immigrants coming in can't afford the prices. So really the demand isnt actually going up, because there aren't enough viable buyers. Next couple years Canada housing will collapse as interest rates go higher and people start renewing mortgages. The Ponzi scheme has run it's course 😂
@rok1475
@rok1475 Год назад
Where did you pull that 1M per year from?
@chrisskyllas1309
@chrisskyllas1309 Год назад
@@rok1475 StatsCan. 500k permanent residents, the rest are temp workers and students. They all need a roof over their heads.
@chrisskyllas1309
@chrisskyllas1309 Год назад
Oh and forgot asylum seekers too.
@brightlight3520
@brightlight3520 Год назад
​@@rok1475main stream media quoted 10 million over 10 years. Do the math
@mariadavis3797
@mariadavis3797 Год назад
Once Trudeau is out!
@masterstacks2030
@masterstacks2030 Год назад
housing denominated in hard money like gold or bitcoin is going down, denominated in worthless fiat currency it is going up. Careful which asset you use for your denominator
@touringthecitywalking9209
@touringthecitywalking9209 Год назад
The Canadian housing market is going through a correction, which means that home prices are dropping. This could have a big impact on Canadians, including the possibility of a recession in 2023. The Canadian Real Estate Association predicts that home prices could fall by as much as 25% by the end of next year. However, experts believe that the housing market will eventually recover. If you're an average Canadian, there are a few things you can do to prepare for this situation. First, be careful when buying or selling a property. It's important to do your research and talk to experts before making any decisions. Second, consider renting instead of buying a property. With falling home prices, renting may be more affordable and provide more flexibility. Third, be prepared for a potential recession. This means having an emergency fund and reducing debt to help you through any financial hardship. Finally, keep an eye on the housing market. Knowing what's happening in your local market can help you make informed decisions about buying or selling a property.
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