Don’t expect a soft landing. We know inflation still far from its 2% destination - the FOMC didn’t raise rates now, we can never fortell their moves these days
I agree It’s always good to have a balanced fin-plan. I work with a professional planner multi mrkt and fixed-income strategist in NY. the fixed income portion of your portfolio won’t simply serve as a buffer to the volatility of the equity portion of your portfolio, but will provide legitimate income.
THE FOMC IS OVER - Still no change on the market. We are already in the big crash, Inflation is a catastrophe. This CPI report is a colossal failure. To bring the housing market to a halt, the FED will have to pull all the stops. The unfortunate issue is that other markets are being decimated. If you want to stay green, you have to rely on a lot of diversification. Currently up 14% and being careful. Still a better deal than leaving it in a savings or checking account yielding 0-1 percent interest
People believe their currency has the worth it does because they have no other option. Even in a hyperinflationary environment, individuals must continue to use their hyperinflationary currency since they likely have minimal access to other currencies or gold/silver coins
If you are not in the financial market space right now, you are making a huge mistake. I understand that it could be due to ignorance, but if you want to make your money work for you, prevent inflation from eroding your savings, build generational wealth, and cultivate good habits and financial knowledge, you must be in the market
Certainly, there are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've been stuck with Larry kent burton for about five years now, and his performance has been consistently impressive.
The economic crisis and downturn are all the signs of 2008 market crash 2.0, so my question is do I still save in the US dollar or is it okay to move all emergency and savings to precious metals?
In light of the ongoing global economic crisis, it is crucial for everyone to prioritize investing in diverse sources of income that are not reliant on the government. This includes exploring opportunities in stocks, gold, silver, and digital currencies. Despite the challenging economic situation, it remains a favorable time to consider these investments. Nevertheless, seeking guidance from an investment planner might be necessary if you desire a more assertive return.
Investing in gold is a reliable choice, and I plan to keep buying more to make up for my losses. While silver is also a good investment, my collectibles are not as similar. It's important to have clear investment goals and educate yourself on the type of investment that interests you. I work with a financial consultant regulated by the SEC, and started small, but eventually accumulated almost $820K.
I've been thinking of going that route been holding on to a bunch of stocks that keeps tanking and I don't know if to keep holding or just dump them, do think your Inv-coach could guide me with portfolio-restructuring as i wouldn’t mind a recommendation.
‘’Marisa Breton Dollard’’ is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Excellent share, just inputted Marisa Breton Dollard on the internet, spotted her consulting page ranked top and was able to schedule a call session. I’ve seen commentaries about advisors but not one looks this phenomenal.
The inflation of the last 4 years was driven by excessive government spending not Fed interest rates being low. Until we cut off the govt spending we can't fix it.
@@NutshellD-sm3qc….Ah….🤔……inflation devalued the money supply so a depreciated dollar means you need to pay higher rent to compensate for a depreciating dollar value. Mortgage costs loans to banks on financed apartment buildings pay higher costs due to higher interest rates….. this increase’s payments to banks during inflation because interest rates put pressure on housing profit margins. This drives rent increases.
With Most Regional Banks at the risk of failing it could be an indication of an economic Recession which could be devastating .I feel investors should be focusing on under-the-radar stocks, and considering the current rollercoaster nature of the stock market, Because 35% of my $270k portfolio comprises of plummeting stocks which were once revered and i don't know where to go here out of devastation.
I think the safest strategy is to diversify investments. Like spreading investments across different asset classes, like bonds, real estate, and international stocks, they can reduce the impact of a market meltdown
A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850K
This is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation
Certainly, there are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with Jessica Lee Horst for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive.She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
certainly. Those getting the premium rates on CDs have just received the last call before the bar closes. who wouldn't? what good would it do to act after a rate cut?
Okay, so when the market starts dropping after the rate cuts start, I guess it's not related. How is it the anticipation, cause these people been expecting rate cuts to start since the end of last year. They don't believe it til they see them start. I think you confuse these people who will pump the market no matter what happens, and these rate cuts are just their excuse. They were going to pump it either way and make another excuse if they didn't have this one. Just like when the recession starts they will declare it's over, so buy. Oh, but the anticipation of the recession don't matter, does it? Cause they don't care about the actual economy. It's all a confidence game, and they won't stop until the system is literally collapsing around them and shuts down.
@@RichardTN when you throw a ball in the air and if falls back to earth at some point in its travel the velocity is zero. This is when the ball is at its maximum height. you know rates are as high as they are gonna go when you have anticipation of rates going down. Its the que that we are CURRENTLY at 'zero velocity' and that its your last chance to invest in high yield low risk assets.
With price inflation at 2.9 percent, cutting rates soon would just be an admission that they were lying when they said that they were super serious about getting it down to 2 percent.
Exactly beidelman, exactly. The Fed have just admitted that they are impotent, and that in their battle against inflation, inflation has officially already won. And people haven't even noticed that. People and investors too are so stupid they think that inflation has been beaten 😂😂😂. Compare today's prices to january 2020, in the West we are living with 100% inflation and people are so dumb they don't even notice.
The inflation of the last 4 years was driven by excessive government spending not Fed interest rates being low. Until we cut off the govt spending we can't fix it.....Hey Lovelies! I have a side hustle I do just a couple of hours a day as a retiree And I absolutely love it because it's no selling, no inventory, no bugging family or friends, and no shipping! There's really nothing out there like it and I'm happy to send you more info if you are interested! 🥳💖😀
Curious though, what use is a rate cut if there are no buyers? The corporations are laying off many staffs who may never get a job again whether or not there is rate cut, a large chunk of buyers get wiped off the economic scene.
Things Mr Snider has been wrong about over the past few years but isn't man enough to admit: Oil: He has zero understanding of the Oil Market, WTI, Brent, RBOB, Crack Spread, Contango/Backwardation etc. He tries to sound smart talking about Contango, while falsely stating "The IEA's entire job is to sell oil to the world..." IEA does NOT sell oil. US Treasuries/Interest Rates (The Bond Market): Often referring to USTs as "safe and pristine collateral", Jeff and his partner Steve rode the TLT Bond ETF down from the 170's before finally capitulating below 100/share. Inflation/Deflation: "It's not that inflation is a small possibility, it's near impossible because we're in deflationary depressionary conditions...people think there's going to be inflation, but there never is..." The CPI was 0.1 YoY when he said that on 5/11/20 and he still, to this day, maintains "It was never inflation". Gold: On 4/18/23 he stated "You can't use Gold..." Recession: Multiple times Jeff has stated "summertime is the time for recession"; despite the fact that only two of the last ten recessions occurred/started during summer.
unfortunately george gammon also agrees with him. I follow the 10-2 yield curve, once uninverted from inversion, it is assumed to be recession until proven otherwise.
The recession started when RTX tanked earlier last year. Oct 7 was the catalyst that's held the economy for the last year. When all else fails, they take you to war. Expect a depression followed by CV19.2 and a world scale war and possibly a civil war in the next 12-18 months. Eurodollar tracks with many other signal callers not affiliated. Keep up the great work!
Interest rate cuts dont do anything until the interest rates are cut below inflation rates. That will be the next key inflection point! In a recessionary economy, inflation rates fall so the interest rate cuts that the Feds implement are trying to catch up with it as it falls.
A looming recession has been predicted for a couple of years now. There are no signs that this economy is doing well and a beneficial one for consumers and the average person.
From £10,000 to £48,000 that's the minimum range of profit return every week I thinks it's not a bad one for me, now I have enough to pay bills and take care of my family .
YES!!! That's exactly her name (Patricia Jean Williams) so many people have recommended highly about her and am just starting with her 😊 from Brisbane Australia🇦🇺
Are there any theories relative to the difference between a consumer economy and a production economy and the differences that fiscal policy could have on them? Seems all the data is targeted on a meta and historical scale, but we have never had a recession with such a large part of the economy shifted towards consumption; as it is in the US. Ty!
I wonder how behind the curve they are. It seems like they're just giving exit liquidity to top brass from retail investors at this point, like they always do. And that's before you consider retail being blocked from selling weeks ago.
The IT industry is laying off many people and without new businesses in which they people can return to apply their skills, they will be unemployed for years
"If you predict everything to be right something will stick" Me looking gold going up in 2024 so far: 28.20%. So the guy in the video maybe knows something 😉 Meanwhile bitcoin is down 😂😂😂
Snider on Gold 4/18/23 Video Titled "The Go(L)d Ratio Here are a few quotes from Jeff's complete lack of understanding of Gundlach and Mayberry's Copper/Gold Ratio: "You can't eat Gold, you can't use Gold. Gold is nothing more than a financial instrument...Gold is a terrible inflation hedge"...etc etc. The guy in the video is a failed investor turned RU-vid grifter.
If you ignore everything eventually you'll have to see it. The purpose of the goverment is to prevent problems happening. The portion I, Geoff, and everyone were wrong is in just how great the goverment is at pretending and covering up problems.
There ain't no such things as a god or soul. You do know that men created religious mythology and associated things, places, rituals, and characters. 🤓
@@alphaomega1351 God and the soul aren't things, your argument is already defeated. Men wrote down ideas in their head. Do animals have ideas? @thekangaroo42 God is probably also worried whether 20 year bonds will go up or down during this particular recession.
"Emergency rate cuts"(?) What's the emergency, when the markets are at record highs(...?) Maybe[...just maybe] because 'consumer' sentiment is at record lows, but they are just realizing the reality of what's really going on(.)
Maybe I am understanding you wrong, but I feel like you are talking from both sides of your mouths. You said interest rate cuts don't do anything (which I totally disagree from a business owner who has a line of credit), and then you say the fed cut interest rates too late?
Rate cuts don’t do anything, at a macro level. They are a reaction to the economy. Therefore, they will always be late, because once again, they are a reaction. Yes, lower rates might be better for your business, but what if the banks stop lending? What if your sales plummet? Those lower interest rates no longer mean anything.
I'm not sure why Jeff says rate cuts and hikes don't matter. The fed hiked in 2022 and the damn stock market crashed. Same in Canada. The top 10 stocks are doing fine, but then you look at stocks like Telus and BCE and it's an absolute massacre. Those two are telecom. Magna makes parts for car manufacturers, and it's near the covid lows. Many or most stocks are getting hammered for the last 2 years
The interest rate in the US pretty much defines "investment risks". So when the rate is low Startup investments explode. Sure 90% of those fail, but the 10% that succeed, create jobs & a lil-bit of an economic turn around. Since stocks follow hope, a handful of "to the moon ideas" drive value. Renewable energy, AI, the Internet, etc. bubbles.
No. Here is some of that video description: "The rate cuts are still coming. So, that means interest rates around the world are about to go...UP? The fundamentals haven't changed - the calendar has." . The fed can cut short-term rates while the long-term rates rise. Do you even watch this channel?
Most ppl normal workers on the ground knew recession started last sept/october... major full time layoffs since that time has been huge. .. so we been in recession for almost a year now
I am so tired of hearing that the economy has been good. Putting a piece of tape over your check engine light does not mean that your car is good. The economy has been objectively bad for several years, not just since October.
Playing devil's advocate here: This is a binary analysis. What about the degree of this recession? Perhaps it will be a soft landing, where yes, technically we are in a recession, but it's not overall bad. The stock market will continue to be volatile, but we will just see a slowing down of growth, not negative returns. There is no way to tell if this will be another great recession like 2008 or more of a flash crash like in 1987.
I recently sold some of my long-term position and currently sitting on about 250k, do you think Nvidia is a good buy right now or I have I missed out on a crucial buy period, any good stock recommendation on great performing stocks will be appreciated
I managed to grow a nest egg of around 120k to over a Million. I'm especially grateful to Adviser Bruce Murdock, for his expertise and exposure to different areas of the market.
My colleagues had a good laugh at me when I told them I started my journey with $50k capital and how I accumulated over 6 figures within a span of 7 months. They never believed me until I pulled out my P&L. I know that learning the ins and outs of the market isn't for everyone, that's why personally, Bruce Murdock oversees my investments.
Without a doubt! Bruce Murdock is a trader who goes above and beyond. he has an exceptional skill for analyzing market movements and spotting profitable opportunities. His strategies are meticulously crafted based on thorough research and years of practical experience.
Anyone in Australia with a small business and no economics degree could have told you that there is a recession last year. I often wonder if there is a correlation between suicide and interests rates. Businesses that have landlords or large mortgages are often up the creek without a paddle. I have been watching my land lorded competition die. I get irritated watching overpaid, over privileged recession proof public servants saying that "WE" will have to suffer a little longer. {Some of you are about to die, but it is a sacrifice that I am willing to make}
I see the rising interest rate as a very big problem, as more investors will definitely pull out more money from the Stock market. This might have worked when I was still invest-ing with a couple thousand dollars, but it is more difficult now to decide whether to pull out more than $365k from my port-folio. I know some inves-tors still make that despite the strong bear market. In wish I could pull that feat
I think the whole thing about holding stocks for long term will always apply. So I think you should get a quality broker who is able to analyze and pick stocks that will do well in the long term, else you will be in a long bear ride.
You have a very valid point, I started investing on my own and for a long time, the market was really ripping me off. I decided to hire a broker, even though I was skeptical at first, and I beat the market by more than 9%. I thought it was a fluke until it happened two years in a row, and so I’ve been sticking to investing via an analyst.
Certainly, there are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘’Melissa Terri Swayne” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive.She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
I challenge your assertion that noone thought they would cut rates. All of the Austrian school economists expected it. Peter Schiff is on RU-vid and other platforms, on record, expecting them not only to cut rates (which Austrian school followers are against, it is just the type of a stypid response they expect from the Keynesuans) but also to start new QE, to start throwing more new money at the problem, which is, by the way, why I have hundreds of thousands in gold bullion and gold mining stocks - inflation is what governments do by printing.
I'm not starting paying on my student loans, like I kept paying on all my bills on unemployment in late 2008. Reason I have them was to ameliorate all the homelessness afterward! It doesn't make sense to throw good money after none. Sure hope more of you come to understand we are falling into a Depression. Why send these lying incompetents more of our money to keep them employed when we'll be destitute anyway.
Ok Jeff so inflation is not a problem according to you and George Gammon, deflation is the problem. So why not just send every citizen $1 million straight to their bank account? Your argument falls apart
Oh you know we are playing chess because of BRICS and their money system and the possibility they could freeze currency values soon. And so you know chess, so attacks on currencies to try to slow that down I already advised them to back date their currency freeze if this happens. BUT lets not jump to conclusions. If a currency drops, does that allow for better trade opportunities? Does it create jobs? So this is certainly an experts game. I did advise them to make rate cuts and the reason is we are not playing the same old FED game. The soft landing and the restructuring of banking using user fees has changed the way the game is played. Its a psychological move. It will create jobs and of course they were complaining I had no strategy, well that's the strategy.
Heavy on cash, heavy on gold mining ⛏️ lightening up on crypto a bit. Hanging out with Warren Buffet till we see the panic selling. God willing, we will get some good deals on crypto miners, tech stocks, banks? ? ?
Just once I'd like to hear some truth from all of you expert Fed watchers. There will NOT be a rate cut in Sept. Yes, you heard correctly. Despite not one single person saying this out there, I'm saying it and here's why. Why would you think the Fed is going to immediately react to a condition (spike in unemployment) that they said they wanted to create over 2 years ago? They NEED unemployment to go up. And I don't track the ticks in inflation up or down, but I know that they want to keep it higher for longer. The Fed has changed. Powell talked about it in 2021. They are fulfilling their mandate. We still have relatively low unemployment and stable prices. What they need is the neutral interest rate to continue to rise and nobody has a clue about that. The Fed is ecstatic where things are right now. They are getting their ammo back which they lost when the Fed funds rate was at or near zero. They would much prefer to raise rates further than lower them, but they won't do that. They are not going to lower rates until they say definitively that they are lowering at the next meeting. Mortgage rates came down just at the thought of them lowering, so why is there a need now? The only tool the Fed has that works is jawboning. And they are using it to perfection. They've got the markets and all the talking heads 100% convinced of a rate cut and the market is acting accordingly.
