The athletes who are on top of their game at the trials will be the ones who make the team. There is always a great deal of speculation, but injuries and nerves also play a factor. What I know for sure is that I'm super excited to see who will execute when it counts. Courtney has as good a chance as any. Great commentary as usual!
I'm rooting for Courtney, he's having a great transition after college - in the past we've seen collegiate athletes have one or two dead seasons directly after but he's fully hit the ground running even after changing camps. I think he was entering his physical prime right as he was graduating which may have helped. I think that if he makes either the 100m or 200m team then he has a nonzero chance to individually medal in at least one. I hope we haven't already seen the best of his season and that his peaks are timed well. The USA 100m climate is completely unknown right now. We have no clue what kind of form Cravont Charleston, Trayvon Bromell or Marvin Bracy will be in, Coleman, Fred and Noah haven't solidified their presence in the 100m this year yet, meanwhile Lindsey and Bednarek seem to be the most impressive currently. I really wanted Trayvon to win the Olympics in 2021 so if he gets back to 9.7 form this year I'll be happy for him, really have no idea what he'll look like this year though. It's almost impossible to predict the 100m team but I might wager a "way too early" prediction for Lyles, Coleman and Lindsey (not in order). What's scary is that Kenny making the 100m team and not the 200m team seems somewhat possible, but he could also make both or just the 200.
Agree that if he makes the team, he is basically a medal threat at that point. I think his chances are much better in the 100m than the 200m, as its tough to see him beating Tebogo in Paris + 2 other Americans (unless he already won USAs). Like you said, the 100m is very very wide open, both in the USA and globally. Though Lyles and Coleman arguably look the best, there is a world where Kerley, Bormell, Lindsey, Bracy, Baker, Charleston finish ahead of both of them. Also agree that Bednarek is on pace for something special in the 100m. His 9.91 slightly windy was a big performance IMO. I think his 9.89 PB is going down sooner than later
Those Trials are going to be hot...🙆♂️😭 The 200m and the 100m The 200m i see Lyles,Knighton,Lindsey The 100m Lyles,Coleman,Bednarek yes i said Bednarek...i actually see him making that 100 team ...
I can respect that 100m pick for Bednarek. He has run 9.89, he's already run a windy 9.91 this year, he has the potential to do it. But You think Kenny B would make the 100m team but not the 200m team?
Kenny knows how to run rounds. Toss up between him and Lindsey honestly. Need to see some repeat performances from Lindsey in same ballpark, otherwise I'm going with Kenny (200m)
@@jacobdoyle420 Courtney ran a whole indoor and outdoor ncaa season managed the rounds and still made the use season, it would be insane to say he doesn't k now how to run rounds.
I should be afraid for Knighton, but he will be running on fresh legs unlike Lyles, Lindsey, and Bednarek who are doing the double. It would be very smart for Kenny and Courtney to just run the 200m. Those 100m rounds don’t leave you the same. It might give someone not doubling a chance. Someone like Laird.
Good point about Knighton not having to worry about the double and going into the 200m fresh. But I'm not too worried about the other guys considering most of them have always doubled. Lyles doubled at USAs in 2021 and won the trials. Kenny B doubled in 2021, and 2022 and made the 200m team both times. Kerley Doubled in 2022 and made both teams. Even Lindsey doubled in 2023 and made the 200m team So I would say most of the athletes mentally and physcially prepare for the double. But its true Knighton may have a slight edge on some guys.
Was just telling my bro the USA Men haven’t had THIS much depth in the sprints where the line between the Top & The Top 7-8 is thin! Nevermind fact USA Men are on a 20-year Olympic gold medal drought in the 100/200. Longest ever in U.S. history. The right marketing circumstances are brewing for the hungriest.
20 year gold medal drought is true. but to be fair, they still have maintained a strong presence on the podium winning 2 medals in Tokyo and 2 medals in Beijing. But between then, they had a big drout not winning a single medal in 200m in 2012 and 2016. Bolt really shifted the landscape of the sprints though denying anyone a gold medal once he came on the scene!
@@TheFinalLeg No diss. But gold remains the standard for American men’s sprinting. Just saying the current Olympic gold drought combined with the golden opportunity for the guys who make This team heightens the stakes of this quadrennium’s storylines
@@TeeDominique0675 so hard to pick. If I had to pick right now? I would say Lyles, Knighton and Kenny B are the top 3 in the 200m. But damn the field is so deep!
Could be like Kenny. People thought Kenny wouldn't do what he did in 2021. He progressed to a 19.68. And I have a strong suspicion he will go sub 19.7 if not sub 19.6. that means Knighton or Kenny will have to sit out the Olympics.
Crazy that ppl are talking about the 200m depth & Norman (19.70 PB) rightly isn't in the conversation which shows how deep the event is! Kenny B is 6-1 in the 200m vs Lindsey with his only loss back in early '19 when he unfortunately pulled up very early with an injury. Kerley has been a non-factor in the 200m in the 3yrs since stepping down to the short sprints, don't think that'll change this year! Top 4 @Trials will very likely be Lyles, Knighton, Kenny & Lindsey, Gregory probably 5th with Coleman, Kerley & Laird making up the Top 8. Laird opened up last wkend with 20.26 (-1.4) which is encouraging for him, just good to see him healthy, Kyree King who won that race in 20.11 (-1.4) also looked good. Kerley's place on the 4x1 IF his form doesn't improve is possibly up for grabs. Coleman & Lyles are locks on Legs 1 & 4, leaving 2 & 3 up for grabs between the likes of Kerley, Lindsey, Knighton, Kenny etc. Speaking of Relays, Gabby better LOBBY HARD to run on both 4x1 & 4x4 Teams @World Relays next wkend with all the big names missing if she plans on running on both in Paris!
Agreed that Norman with his 19.70 and multiple 19.8s is barely in the conversation! But he should stick with the 400m this year hopefully and put all his focus there. It's really cool that Lindsey and Kenny competed in Junior college back in 2019 and are now training partners together pushing each other to fast times. I still can't wrap my head around Kerley in the 200m. He has the talent and has proven himself at Diamond League, Continental tour, and even at USAs. He finished 4th last year, Lindsey only beat him by .01 to make the team. It still wouldn't surprise me if Kerley found a way to make the 200m team to Paris. Laird is essentially faster than where he was at last year and Kyree King is arguably in PB shape. But this is all without even mentioning Josephus Lyles who, if healthy, can also be a sub-20 20 guy which won't make a team, but makes it hard for everyone else when talking about making the USA final. Also, did you see that Naser ran 50.98 this past weekend in the Dominican Republic? Her 3rd fastest opener ever I think.
@@TheFinalLeg Norman should only run the 400m @Trials but very much want to see him run 2-3 200m races on the circuit. Yeah that's a nice bit of history between Kenny & Lindsey. The last 3yrs has shown that Kerley's essentially a low 19.8 guy at best, so Lindsey who's clearly ahead of where he was last yr should respect Kerley but definitely not fear him! I'd be surprised if Kerley somehow finds a way to beat one of a healthy & in-form Lyles, Knighton & Kenny to make the Olympic 200m Team! Hope Laird only does the 200m @Trials instead of the 100/200m double that he attempted last yr that resulted in him having to pull out of the 200m. Kyree is definitely in shape to run faster than this 9.96/20.00 PBs - with so much talent available, wish they would take 9 ppl through to all the Sprint Finals @Trials like WA recently announced with the WC. Pls don't set me off on Josephus moving up to the 400m as he should be planning on making the Olympic 400/4x4m Teams this summer with training partners Bryce Deadmon & Champion Allison instead of inevitably failing to make it out of both 100/200m Semis @Trials :( Everything ppl have been rightly saying about Boling moving up to the 400m also applies to Josephus who ran faster in the 400m as a Junior (45.09) than Boling currently has (45.17)!
@@AllInTheGame01boiling also tan 20.03. This past weekend. He wouldn’t make the team even if he improved. To 19.85. His pb. Is 19.92 . He might qualify in open 400 and long jump.
@@yennox5338 Given how relatively weak the US LJ is atm, he'd actually have a very good chance of making the LJ Team as an 8.02m jumper outdoors if he'd spent the winter doing specific LJ training that would ensure he's consistently jumping 8.25m+ outdoors!
Honestly if he's going to run the relay at world's I think he'd be first or third leg in the heats and second leg in the final (if he were to actually run in the final). I really can't see Coleman/Knighton being replaced on 1/3 but 2nd leg is always open for the US for some reason
I think 3rd leg makes sense for sure. If he ran the final, ideally he would run the same leg so they can stay consistent and not have to switch things up. Coleman is a lock on 1st leg as long as he is on the team. But I hear you, I think 2nd leg and 3rd leg I think would be the most open as I see Coleman and Lyles as locks for 1st and 4th legs, respectively
@@TheFinalLeg with the relays in Florida I do think Knighton should be a lock for the third leg. Now that the second leg is open, we got it for people like Kenny B, Kerley, Pjai, Lindsey, or frankly anyone else that's in the pool
This is somewhat irrelevant, but I think Courtney has established himself as a global contender for years to come. What I mean is that we usually have those one of unknown names who make the teams in the US trials. Now I don't mean any disrespect to those guys. They still ran fast but didn't replicate it. Let's take Curtis Mitchell for example. In 2013 he managed to get a bronze medal at Moscow Worlds behind Warren Weir and The Legendary Super Saiyan Himself, *Usain Bolt* . Mitchell basically hasn't been seen since then. Another guy us Charles Silmon. Ran a very quick 9.97 for 3rd at the trials in 2013, but didn't even make the finals in the 100m. All I'm seeing is a see Courtney being a global contender for years to come, because of his consistency in the collegiate circuit and making the us team last year. Now yes he didn't make it to the World finals, but neither did Kenny in 2019. Granted Kenny was injured, so was physically incapable of making the finals, but look where he is now. He'd established himself as a medal contender. He medaled in his first Olympics, got another medal the next year in world's and even though he didn't get a medal. He still made finals at worlds. It's going to be one HELL of a 200m final come US trials. I think we might see one or the fastest 200m races in history. Heck it could be the fastest 200m in history outside a world or Olympics. I think it'll play out like this. 1. Noah Lyles 2. Erriyion Knighton 3. Courtney Lindsey 4. Kenny Bednereck I think it'll very close between 3 and 4. One might even run 19.6 and watch the Olympic games from home 😂😂
Good references back to history then. You also reminded me of Chris Belcher who made the US 100m team in 2017 and 2019 but never made a final and never did anything after that. I think for Lindsey he very much is different in that he has been running consistently fast around the country and world the past 2 years and is showing he can compete with the best. So I agree with you on his potential. but man...you think hes going to keep Kenny B off the team! Thats going to be tough!!
It’s tough because I think Courtney is better in the 200, he’s already beaten Kerley and Coleman in the 200, but taking out either Lyles,erriyon or Kenny is gonna be a tough task
I have no idea because all of those contenders are insane with high schoolers so I do believe that they are going to punch their tickets in Paris at least the top 6 if that is feasible; Lyles is considered racing for the 400m dash: he did it at Indoors Worlds Championship so he is extending himself for the relays, and we also know that Fred Kerley was a 400m dash sprinter too so the question is is Lindsey and B are also 400m sprinters as well: are they versatile to make it to the relays because unfortunately those international sprinters have gone to the university and trained with international coaches and some are NAAA champions so am I missing something?!! I believe that it's going to be the top 6 or top 8 because this is the Olympics far better than Worlds Championships: it would be basically depending upon what they had done internationally too so he and his partner would be in the running and I would be surprised 😮 if they don't make the USA team of athletes ( we even have alternates just in case) and consistency is the key 🗝️ and can they step up under pressure and of course prayers to ask God to bless your efforts,,, and I believe that our men are FIERCE competitors than the American women for the 100m and 200m dash respectively except for a selective few unfortunately: top Sha-Carrie Richardson, Aleia Hobbs, Briscoe, Gabby Thomas, Abby Steiner, T.T. Terry and the anchor for Formula Kersee and if you can think of more please comment! Thank you!!!
You made some good points and have some good questions! Will be interesting to see how the landscape of the sprinting world plays out this summer across the board! Appreciate you!
@@solomoncooper6491 I know he does, but will he have the nerve to jump in on the super contested 200m (maybe even 100m) or do the smart thing and just dunk on some noobs in the 400m.
I think Norman is focusing on the 400m this year assuming he is healthy. But yea its true that despite his 19.70 PB and multiple 19.8 times he is getting lost in the deep 200m field right now!
Norman tried to get cocky and do the 100 and 200 double after becoming 400m World Champ but there's still unfinished business in the 400 as he has no Olympic title.
Agree that if he makes either team, his chances of medaling in Paris drastically increase. I would say that He has slightly better chances to medal if he makes the 100m team, only because I cant imagine him beating Tebogo in Paris and 2 other americans (unless he won trials). The 100m is as wide open as ever. And if he made the 100m team, that means he essentially beat out someone who is a medal threat. Kenny looks really good and focused on that 100m. 9.91 slightly windy is no joke. His 9.89 PB is long overdue to be chopped down a bit!
I would disagree. In the 200m he would have to beat one of the 2 yanks plus Tebogo. In the 100m it’s the same plus 3 Jamaicans, likely oblique, Kisha be and Blake. Tall order with numbers against him.
Its a conversion for the purpose of comparison. Yes the time stays the same, but for example Tyson Gay and Yohan Blake both ran 9.69, but Yohan's (-0.1) is technically a better race than Tyson's (+2.0). Again, yes they both have the same time offically on the books, but the wind and conditions give us a better indication of the races. Also comparing races in different conditions gives us a better indication of what may happen later in the season. Another example is in 2009 when Bolt ran 19.59 in Lausanne and Tyson ran 19.58 in New York. Bolt's race was in cold and pouring rain into a headwind. Tyson's was in very warm weather with a tailwind.
Crazy just because he inched out Tebogo...people say he is better than Tebogo...😂 aight have it your way What about that botwana 4x400m team Ndori-44.10 WL Tebogo-44.29(march) Scotch-44.54..?
@@aodoemelaall of those guy actually ran a 4x400m just before kip keino....and tebogo and Ndori split was decent ... But I think they can make the podium...even though we have RSA,Zambia,Usa...
