@@tafadzwamanzini5463 Oh no, did he say something you don't like. That totally makes him a propagandist. Don't look now, but results of the 2016 and 2020 elections are still out there in RCP's archives, flagrantly propagandizing against the Clinton+10 and Biden+12 polls of the time with Clinton+3 and Biden+4.5 reality. I mean, what could be more right wing propaganda than the actual results of real life elections? Better outlaw those pesky elections quick before they endanger "democracy."
Some of the funniest polls to me are the favorability polls, 3 months ago she was the most hated VP ever and now she's a god descended down from heaven🤣
Why are the rankings that have her has the worst vp ever "correct" and yk. Just about every list ever for president's is "wrong" when Trump is always ranked at the very bottom
@@BillyBall35because she lost the presidential primary with 0 votes and JB picked her due to her demographic attributes. And Trump has at least a 48 % favorable rating his votes prove it. Anyway, stop being obtuse she’s not likable even when compared to Trump she’s awful.
Pennsylvania vote for Trump He has very very good policies and he is a good human being and he is Fighting for our country and our children and grandchildren As citizens of the USA we want our children safe Go Trump 2024
Silver's model is the original 538 model. He took it with him when he left (he had a good lawyer, he says). The current 538 model is the product of G. Elliot Morris, who used to run The Economist's model.
D Ginger, I like your optimism, passion, delivery - all the work you put into your content What scares me is the illegal immigrant vote, fraud vote,early vote , Trump getting shot at & however.else they are able to cheat
Trafalgar Group embarrassed themselves re. the "Red Wave" expectation in 2022 all the way up to their final polls: PA Senator Poll: Oz up by 2.2 on Fetterman (Fetterman won by 4). PA Governor Poll: Shapiro up by 4.3 on Mastriano (Shapiro won by 14). WA Senator Poll: Murray up by only 1.2 vs. Smiley (Murray won by 13). WI Governor Poll: Michels up by 1.6 vs. Evers (Evers won by over 3). CO Senator Poll: Bennet up by only 1.5 on O'Dea (Bennet won by 11). MI Governor Poll: Dixon in a dead heat with Whitmer (Whitmer won by 11). NY Governor Poll: Zeldin up by 0.8 vs. Hochul (Hochul won by 5). GA Senator Poll: Walker up by 3.2 over Warnock (Warnock finished 1 point ahead in initial voting before runoff). Something went badly wrong with this polling company in state-wide elections in 2022. Let's see how they do in November.
Trump better start talking about policies and not dogs and cats. Please, " I hate taylor swift", what good does that do? Sometimes i think he is trying to lose!
He does at his rallies. Nobodies fault people ignore them. They are televised mostly. Plus his policies are all over his website. They arent secret. People just dont care enough to look.
@@dominiccastro6483 oh yeah cause polls that only take in a 400 range amount of people are totally gonna tell the race compared to the polls that has thousands.
Please dude, I'm begging you, my autism. Bias is a noun, something you have. Biased is an adjective, something you describe someone as. Kamala has bias. Kamala is biased.
An extremely so massive Republican party's victory for sure and sometimes,I would feel that the Democratic party would only gain a vote number of just two digit numbers,good friends!!!👍🏾
also for you gov polls i believe some of them have this app you must download they post a poll off the results from that poll, so that’s why they’re heavily skewed left
You also should look at how these polls performed at this particular moment in time. It's one thing to predict the outcome a week before the election. It's another to be realistic in September.
Are these inaccurate pollsters accurate back in the day like if you are looking at 12, 08,04,00,96,92 etc where they can justify their claims of being accurate even if it wasn't the 2 most recent cycles or have they never been accurate?
Things peoplebin good faith should consider: Two elections is not a big sample size. Assuming that the polling error will favor trump again cause 2016 and 2020 did is similar to assuming a coin will flip heads cause it did the last two times. The reasom that r leaning pollsters were more accurate in 2020 is that they look good when the polling error compared to the median pollster is right leaning. If the polling error goes to the left the r leaning pollsters look attrotious as they will be 8-10 points off.
If you look at the data from most of these pollsters, Trump is one of the only Republicans doing well in most swing states. It's actually pretty interesting.
@DarthVader1273 I'm just concerned where being fed hopium again. This Is obviously a pro trump echochamber. Things can't always be positive for us. I mean ginger isn't even taking into account the fix they're planning
Rasmussen just went into kamala favor post debate😀. It flip she was 44 to 50 trump sept 12. Now she 50 to 44 to trump on sept 15. He might go back up after this whole thing yesterday but still that is the current poll from it.
The moving average is in question. The sample sizes are too small and the previous poll they did had Harris down by 6 (which I believe was post-debate as well).
