Creating Human-level AI: How and When? 

I would enjoy seeing debate style panels between the panelist.

In addition to a simulated world that the agents can train in. My uneducated take is that the following may also be required. Including, but not limited to: a) Traditional CPU and GPU powered architectures may not be enough. So we will need newer forms of computation. b) If we design a fundamentally different type of architecture (beyond Von Neumann's designs), then we need to figure out how to make memories accessible in a relatively seamless manner. Here, you do not want all the memories to be queried on a continuous basis. That will just overwhelm the agent. So, the memories have to be encoded with different layers of sorts. Contingent upon the task being performed, the agent will access different set of memories. There would then be modules that the agent will make use of, depending upon the kind of task that the agent is performing. | I think, the current approach looks something like this : Data is in a database and neural networks are trained (supervised or not) in order to solve a particular set of problems. If we rethink the ontological structure of how the data is stored in the first place and then work towards creating modular components. Then these modular components would then select the kind of pattern recognizers that they need to invoke and the pattern recognizers will access the memories that they need to access. I don't have a background in compsci, so I do not know what I am talking about here.

Jurgen Schmidhuber, Yoshua, Yan Lecun, Demis Hassabis are the ones here; they just need Geoff Hinton

Super-human AI is already here, and its name is Demis Hassabis. What a legend.

Why do they have them sitting so close to each other? a few of them seem uncomfortable and trying to make sure they dont touch the person next to them

what did the first three people think about the first question?

Personally, I think the first AGI or ASI will be developed by an AI through a model that mimics evolution (AI creates a better AI, then that AI creates a better one and so on). Google is already working on something similar to this concept. As for when, I think Kurzweil is correct, we keep thinking in a linear fashion. We need to learn to think logarithmically. Any estimate longer than 20 years from now is just simply wrong.

This is not the full upload.

Tenenbaum should have been among the panelists

We are talking about reaching Human AI. However, we cannot handle microphone problems.

Oh no, not that crank Yudkowsky in the questions...

What year does each panelist think we'll have AGI? Your answer must be a number. Should they program their AI's to, ultimately, maximize the greatest happiness function? For example, when an AGI gets a hold of all the NSA's data, what happens.

fun to watch the smart people in this conversation being so polite about the idiots haha

damn schmidhubby rockin the all white Also Etzioni is a sham

Was there a first part to this video that was chopped off?

Yes! Love that Tom Gruber alluded to A Young Lady's Illustrated Primer!! That has been a benchmark in my mind as well.

a good benchmark would be human capabilities based on human development and age

Yann LeCun & Jurgen Schmidhuber in the same room, they should have made them sit next to each other :)

41:31 Agree with the two points that Guru Banavar has raised and that have concluded around the 41:31 minute mark. Working my way backwards, I actually asked a general physician here in the GTA (Greater Toronto Region) if they have machine learning models assisting the doctors and nurses with reading data from FMRI and ultrasound scans. The answer was not yet. Regarding the other point, it seems like a ton of evolution has occurred in the domain of modelling neural networks. So, even I, from a non-software dev background can appreciate the kind of changes that will be required.

LOL - Jurgen: "How will we create AGI? We already know, we've known for 25 years. It's 2 recurrent neural networks." Uh....sure....good luck with that. I'll check back when it's been 35 years...I guess??

People refer to data acquisition like its a major accomplishment, when in fact, that is the easiest part of the scientific process. Without the ability to formulate relevant questions from which a sound understand can be derived, then regardless of the quantity of data, it is rendered useless.

46:35 Piaget has done some good work here. From what I gather. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jean_Piaget Personally, I am not familiar with his works.

I wish you had half the number of people on this panel, like the four on the left

boring question. human level is not a scalar. Maybe instead of discussing whether it is possible to build a tower to the sky, discuss the theoretical limits to tower height.

Anca so smart B-)

This is epic

You'll NEVER have AGI that's based on Von Neuman machines. You must break through your preconceptions and create a NEW kind of circuit, possibly based on synthetic biology, that can do the same kind of processing that even a simple a nematode neuron can do, and then figure out a way to put 100 blion of them into a cubic foot. Good luck, but I do believe it will happen

The speakers commonly shift the microphone further from themselves while talking, leaving soft gaps in their speech. Its such a small issue, but its terrible to have to hear.

Alpha Go (Deep Mind) should be introduced to the game DAY Z or ARK.

Oh c'mon you had Demis in the panel and you ask someone else to speak first.

Eliezer should have been on the panel.

Here is some more insight into human neuroscience and how it could be applied to an AGI: ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-1_Mcp-YjPmQ.html

Basically no one knows!

Oren Etzioni seems to be a very disrespectful person based upon how he acted when Mr. Schmidhuber spoke. Oren shouldn't even be there based on his limited credentials in regards to A.I.

Reinforcemen learning programms are actually conscious.

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I cast a white stone upon the preservation and defense of innocence as well.

I put my bet it will happen in 2100s, if it happen before that i will be shocked not just surprised

2221, april 14

Not having Ray on this panel was a crime.

THE NEW AMERIKA

AGI could happen in 50 years or 5 years nobody has a clue.

Just not possible, human is way too complex, so to make same level AI as a human's is just science fiction, i am not saying that we wont built robots with amazing AI that would handle simple jobs and tasks, BUT the process of learning is only for humans and animals (up to some point of course!) IF we make an AI that learns like we do then it's over, it will surpass us in no time.

Mark my words, ai will be biological one not technological

I cringed when she said I'm gonna shut up......The only female on the panel and she gets interrupted and cut short. How rude!

I can't stand the swiss guy in all white...who talks like that?

bunch of fools