Does your Mario Mystery Boxes choice really matter? (Super Mario 3D World Mystery Box Rewards) 

If there are any common clarifications in the comments/ updates/ corrections/ more information, I'll edit this comment to include more information! The majority of these tests (the ones at the beginning of the video) were done in the first Toad House of the game! You might also enjoy: I added more Cat Shines to Bowser's Fury - ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-196AXWk8f0M.html What happens if the World Map has items and enemies? - ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-8hHdSqc4568.html Captain Toad levels in Bowser's Fury - ru-vid.com/video/%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BE-Xhd4GLCjyCc.html

now i know not to anxiously stare at the 2 presents and just dash in and hit one randomly

Actually, not every toad house has 2 mushrooms, world 3 onwards swap a mushroom for a tanooki, then world 5 onwards have a boomerang replacing the second mushroom Though the bad reward never changes

What a sneaky way to teach us basic probability. Math teachers be sleeping on Super Mario 3D World.

"Happy Birthday to you!" "Open your present!" "Aw, just a mushroom?" "That's weird, let me give you another present." "Just a mushroom?" "Ok, you are the most unlucky birthday boy I've ever seen."

Just when I've been drafting ideas for another troll level you release this video. You're digging your own grave :)

I kind of assumed that both boxes gave 75% good prize because of the amount of times I guessed it right

Me: there is a 50/50 chance to get the good and bad reward ZXMany: well yes but actually no

This shouldn't surprise me, as I've seen how chances work in other Nintendo games, but when you see two boxes for the first time, your mind ends up thinking it's a 50/50 chance. Thank you for trying this and also showing how they work in Spotlight!

You owe Toad for all of those boxes you borrowed.

I find it funny how the first thing I see in this video is just the fact he has 69 lives.

This video: cool The music in the background: I W I L L M A K E Y O U E A R S B L E E D W E A T H E R Y O U L I K E I T O R N O T.

-wait the 2 boxes are independent? *draw a gun* -always has been

I honestly thought that, during my second playthrough on the Switch, that if you alternated boxes each time you enter (small box, then big, then small, etc.) you would get the good reward every time. Turns out I was wrong.

This just confirms that I’m super unlucky since I seem to mostly get mushrooms 😅

I think ZXMany has probably memorised the Super Bell Hill land by now, he uses that land in nearly every video Edit: Omg thank you so much for 7 likes in 40 mins 😱

“It’s a 50 50 chance” Famous last words

I still think the AllDeadWatcher object sounds super threatening and terrifying lol

2:00 Everyone when they see the lifes. "Nice"

Actually, I'm pretty sure that the 4 power-ups that appear aren't always a Super Bell, 2 Super Mushrooms, and a Fire Flower. I think that as you progress through the game the Super Mushrooms get replaced by a Super Leaf, and a Boomerang Flower. Also I think this is also how it works with the roulette blocks in the gambling machine thing.

When I first played the game, I assumed the boxes were pre-set.

6:28 Don't give them ideas, one morning they'll see your video and do it.

This is like the most generous casino ever lmao. Really cool video! I'm *extremely* surprised that the two boxes are independent of one another, I would have almost certainly thought one was always good and one was always bad. Though it is a bit disappointing that you can technically get scammed and not get the good reward from either box :/

I’m learning about probability in math rn and this video is just what I needed. Thank you so much, ZXMany for making this. Now I understand how probabilities work and I’m gonna brag about what I know in class tomorrow LOL 😂 Edit: I meant to say Monday because it’s Friday and I accidentally forgot LOL 😂🤣

Wow thank you! This video really got my brain going for school lol😀🧠

I did the math with a calculator, there is a 56.25% chance of getting both good rewards, an 18.75% chance for the big to be good but not the small (and vice versa, meaning there is a 37.5% of getting both) and a 6.25% chance of getting two bad rewards.

This is really interesting! It's like the illusion of luck.

"One super bell, two mushrooms and one fire flower" I believe the prizes get better as you complete more levels, because by the end of the game the boxes used to give me one super bell, one boomerang, one tanooki suit and one fire flower

Petition to switch Plessie and Mario’s Sprites

These kinds of videos are simply amazing. They give a huge amount of clarity on how certain things work in this game. I hope you continue to experiment with more official things!

Me doing maths before the vid: Oh boy this might be great for my break! Me after the vid: damn more math*headaches* (jk its gud)

Love your videos and channel! This was quite surprising to learn lol

Love these experiments exploring how the levels work, thanks for the great videos!

This game is just so fun to mod because of how much possibilities there are as well as cut content. Makes me wish Nintendo actually incorporated these ideas in 3DW on WiiU or add them to 3DWBF. This is why I feel DLC could be a thing in 3DWBF. Hell, I can imagine a Super Mario Maker 3D from this! Nintendo did have some editor for SM64 that felt like it be possible for that.

Noted so when I next play the game I'll just go for the small one as its quicker as it doesnt matter

Using an illusion is a great way to set player expectations low so the good reward is much more satisfying and the bad reward is not as bad.

This makes sense. I beat most of the game and I never got a single Mushroom from a Toad House

Nairo shall be pissed when he was discoverers that it wasn't a 50/50. Unless he already knew that and was playing a loosing game.

For speedrunning, we actually recommend opening the box that corresponds to your size (Small Mario/Big Mario) Through our experience, if you have any Powerup, you are more likely to get a good reward out of the big box.

what's happen to the music my god

Throughout my playthrough, every time I did a toad house I only got the bad presents. I thought that the mushroom was the good prize until I saw red falcons playthrough

I choose the big one at the first toad house, and keep alternating between big and small and always get 4 powerups.

6:13 Bowsers Fury made by EA confirmed

Very interesting findings! This isnt what I expected

i just *L O V E* the earrape in the toad house music. its got a nice *t o o c h*

Love that you explained how it works.

I’ve never failed this lol. I didn’t even know about only getting one mushroom until I saw videos

I've been wondering this for ages! Finally someone tried it

It's designed that way to keep the player playing the game I think, since to the player it would feel like they chose correctly and got lucky, and the other box disappears so they don't know that both boxes actually had the big reward, so they feel good about it and continue playing. When something bad happens in a game a lot of players will see that as a good time to stop, so the game is trying to make the player feel lucky. The small reward only exists so that the player will think that they really did choose correctly because they know there is a small reward too and they will think the other box (that disappeared by now) had that reward in it

I like the educational bit! Keep up the work!

Bad Reward: Mushroom Good Reward: Bell,2 Mushrooms And Fire Flower

Pretty common, it's just the matrix trick. Believe in freedom of choice, make it look like you're just good at making choices but it's just an illusion. Lot of games employ tactics like that as players like games they think they're good at. It's why a lot of people have disdain for player vs player because you often have to face other players are better and you're losing. Lot of people actively avoid that.

What if you make a level using present boxes that you use as platforms (like wall jumping between presents)

I always thought it was just Oh well first time it’s random, then it’s a pattern swapping between the two

The present boxes in Bowser's Fury look like something out of a collectathon type game.

Thanks so much for going behind the scenes & showing us how these games are designed. Thanks also for keeping the content "clean" and kid-friendly. I'm thrilled that my 7yo is learning about video game design from your videos.

I remember i thought it was little box ,then big box,then little... This video killed my childhood😂😂😂

Pretty sure the way it works is that if you chose the small one last time and it was the good one, the big one will be the good one next time, then the small again if you keep the streak

I figured this out when i was little but if you choose a box and it has a bunch of items in it, the other box (small/big) will be the one with the items in it the next time. I dont know if this is true on nintendo switch but it works on the wii u

You know the good prize just goes back and forth between the two sizes

So sorry I'm late I couldn't use this device for 2 weeks! I actually thought it was a 50/50 I always pick the big box lol You are the best youtuber ever! I love your content and modding and just everything is amazing keep it up please!

I legit did not know you could get one mushroom. On mine I always get the good reward and I thought the cat suit, fire flower and two.mushrooms was the bad reward and the one that included the boomerang and tanooki suit were the good rewards. This has widened my knowledge.

Can you add an AllDeadWatcher for the characters (Captain Toad, Mario, Luigi, etc.) and npc characters (Lumas)

I have always picked the smaller box and I usually got the grand prize like 90% of the time.

Wow a 75% chance of getting a good box and here I am learning there even was a good box.

So far i got the good reward on the big box every single time & the bad reward from the bad box from a small box every single time

From what I learned they just alternate each time so the first toad house will just to see which one to go for next

Omg thank you 😭😭 I've been dying to know this

I’ve always hit the small present and it’s most of the time worked 😂😂

My only suggestion would be, can you just edit in any items into those gift wraps lol

I was always wondering how they worked.

on the Wii U version, they're predetermined. you'll always win on w1-1's small box for example

swear for me, I've gotten the 'bad' boxes 90+% of the time when I do the toad houses, to a point that I just never visit them, and just go to that bob-omb cave level for easy super leaves instead, yep. least there my odds of getting what I want is 100%!

Interesting. I thought it was just a set outcome and every world, it’d switch which one is the good one.

I find this very interesting too!

5:08 imagine that all of the boxes in that room contained a bad reward

"How many lies have I been told by the council ?"

I actually found out that you can switch between each box every time (I'm not sure if this is the case) but for me I would get the good reward 95% of the time

I always just predicted it, big box not work? It’ll work next time, vice versa

As far as I knew the good and bad boxes alternate between toad house visits. I've never had a first toad house visit have all of the good items in the small box. Similarly, I've never had a second toad house visit that that had all of the good items in the small one. Either putting a bunch of boxes in one house breaks that, or I'm just extremely lucky and have kept running into _extremely_ predictable RNG.

i assume this means the result is calculated the moment you hit the box and it's not predetermined when you enter the room whether a certain box has the good reward

I always choose the small one and I get the prize most of the time

But does the present watcher work on ? blocks? Would be neat to make a level with two paths where two ? blocks with different powerups spawn a door when you hit them, while deleting the other.

Outro Mario: "wait Wait WAIT WHY IS HE DOING THE OUTRO Come back ZXMany I don't want to be stuck here this isn't fun you can't do this to me! It's a-me, Mario, the Number O--" *_video ends_*

I haven't watched the video yet, but I am pretty sure the answer is no. Commonly when I play through Super Mario 3D World (In both Switch and Wii U versions) the first mystery box you can go to has the better prize in the biggest one, and the second one has the better prize in the smaller one. But maybe only those two are scripted, and the rest are random? I'm not sure, but I will add an edit if I am wrong. Edit: I was wrong.

I always thought that it was back and forth like if you chose the small one and then the second world would have you hit the big one

Just before I watch the video, I am going to predict. Based off of my experience, they alternate. I have personally never had it be the same prize in each box twice in a row before.

Can someone acknowledge his *noice* live count?

Are my headphones broken or is the sound (especially at 3:10) crispy?

Okay, this comments section has a ton of people with Mario profile images and I’m here for it.

I swear the good reward was a cat bell, a boomerang, a tanooki leaf and a fire flower, is it different for certain toad houses?

Hey Many I have a video idea: "How fast can you make the conveyor in Shifty Boo Mansion"

I thought it was the big box until yesterday, I hadn’t got a bad reward a single time from the big box until then

What about the boxes in the later Toad Houses? Are they the same object with different rewards, and if so, could you add custom rewards or custom chances for certain rewards?

Dude I love your videos

I thought it was just: one good first time, will be bad next time, good the 3rd time

In 3D Land, every time I ground ponded the box, I got a fire flower.

Acholy there is a chance in SM3DW+BF Bosses wich luck give u:bell Bumering flower tabuki leaf and fire flower

I always thought that the different toad houses had different rewards like W1 being the small box and W2 being the big box as a joke

Can you change the reward of the present? For example lucky bell, maybe mini mushroom, or a mega mushroom