@@Dee-o5k not even that only cards are beating him there pair of jacks of kings and queens or another ace so he'making a call against around an 8/1 on chance there. Bad fold for what's in the pot
@@richardkent2014 so 4 Queens 4 Kings 2 Aces 3 Jacks 13 Cards and other than the aces the others would have to be paired. I see what you're saying. What about the 2 other 10's? Doug could have had one of the two remaining 10s along with a Queen or a King so that would bring it up to 15. Then all of the sets that would be a full house would have beaten him as well. Overall I think the bet sizing by Doug was good. If he had bet more in might have looked more bluffy. The 30 some odd thousand look like he wanted a call. Tom probably thought he had an Ace. Thanks for the reply though. The 13 card thing had me confused, never really seen anyone write it up like that
It is a call against someone as capable as Polk, but it is too easy for armchair commentators to say 'such an easy call'. The way the action played out it is very difficult to put Polk on a range: Polk 3-bets pre, checks flop, bets turn big and bets river small. Not many opponents can show-up with enough bluffs here.
So he has to be right about 1 in 4 times. Does Doug have him beat over 25% of the time? KT, QT, TT, KK, QQ, JJ, and if we are going to bellow about him having 87s in his range, then we need to acknowledge he'll have 55 in his range....what are all the bluffs? QJ, J9, K9(maybe?), 78s, 65s, but he's not bluffing at same frequency as his value bets...Tough spot for Dwan...how often is Doug bluffing? Do this against micro stakes and they're never folding the JT
No. I think that when Tom checked the turn Doug pretty much figured the best Tom is going to have is a small pocket pair or maybe a Ten. Doug could have JJ, QQ, KK, QT, KT, AT, or any other Ax hands that beat Tom (he did 3-bet Tom to start with). Tom respects Doug as a poker player, so I think he made the nitty fold for this reason.
Before the river bet Polk tilt over some of his stack. I would have called bc of that. To me it was a sign of hesitation. Add to that that I like to see rivers. Clear call.
All these poker pros in this comment thread saying it’s an easy river call doesn’t even have 32k to play with… easy call when you can see the cards, isn’t it?
@@MarkusG91 I'm here to learn tell me why reraise preflop, check the rainbow so he catches up. Bet when there's no action on the turn, and then bet EXACTLY ENOUGH TO BE CALLED isn't how it could be played.
no i dont think it mattered. was a bad runout for tom. but it still feel he should have called taking into consideration doug betting. it never felt like he hit one os the A or 5. felt like doug was trying to buy the pot
hey Mr Little can you make a video on how to use the new piosolver? you know more about using it and I can't find any videos on how to use the up to date version. thanks
Can a strong Tx really value bet on the river? Because what are you getting called by since you should probably bet 75% when you do bet. You also block a T which is most of oop calling range.
Come on Tom, you know that's a fold pre. Out of position against a world class player with a mediocre hand without being the aggressor? Yeah totally sounds like a +EV strategy to me.
I'm not even sure what the solver says when you're '500bb+ deep in a cash game. Maybe JTo is a call for Dwan preflop in that spot against an aggressive button?
I'm not even sure what the solver says when you're '500bb+ deep in a cash game. Maybe JTo is a call for Dwan preflop in that spot against an aggressive button?
@@jimduggan8382 So you're saying Dwan doesn't know what he's doing? He's been playing super deep stack nose bleed stakes for almost 20 years. I think the reason he's calling a 3 bet with JTo is they're playing 1000bb deep and every straight Dwan can make is the nuts.
I like you a lot Jonathan,but since when folding JTo CO vs BU is nitty??? xD JTo is a standard fold here,even not considering that we are against a super competent player...What are we looking for calling with JTo OOP there against Polk? hahaha
@kaitlynblount7683 Lol..Calling a 3B OOP CO vs BU with JTo is clearly -EV.If someone does'nt see that just needs to review very basic stuff preflop.. Doing it against Polk is just retarded..You may rather call with pps,some SCs,and 4B with some frequency A5s/A4s and some suited brodways.. Calling 3Bets OOP with offsuited brodways is that kind if dumb play that only live players justify... You won't ever see Polk or any of the best players doing that kind of calls...
shuffling chips is not a perfect science. sometimes a stray chip or two falls out. if you think that indicates a bluff every time then i think you will lose money.
I think Tom thought that he had a read on Doug, indeed because of his chit chat. But Doug was playing him. That is brick & mortar poker at it's finest!
I almost felt like Doug was too nonchalant up until he had a decent shot at bluffing. As long as Tom isn’t folding too often in that spot, it’s not the worst.
Love watching poker video's on youtube but as soon as Johnny Little pops up I can't watch it, his voice is so annoying and his persona comes across as though he thinks he knows everything or believes he's better then everyone else. So bloody cocky and annoying...
When Doug checks back on the flop, he probably doesn't have AK. Doug would bet the flop if he had a 5. When the ace hits the turn, Doug is less likely to have top set or an ace in his hand. The river 5 means nothing because we know Doug doesn't have a 5 in his hand unless he has quads. All this put together plus the price to call equals.....how the fk can Dwan fold to that river bet?
