@@diceman199 true and worse still most of those dividend payouts were made by endebting the water companies to the point that today they have little capacity to improve infrastructure. Something like 30% of Thames bills go to paying interest on debt took out to pay dividends. They should be taken under public ownership without compensation.
@@gamingtonight1526it takes a minimum of 12 people to protect a small area (building/home/property). Guaranteed that those wanting what you have will be willing to risk life & limb …either yours or theirs and travel without boundary to get it
@@gamingtonight1526 Depends where you live and how resourceful the people are. You just know that if the big food corps can't get the usual they are going to find SOME crazy alternatives to continue making profits. Perhaps not very nutritional nor palatable but if they have to mix sawdust with 10 carcinogens and some unusual grain flour, you know they will... Wouldn't want to be in a mega metropolis that's for sure... but towns, suburbs and even some smaller cities have land to spare that could be converted for home grown food. There are lawns galore, parks... heck there's probably some way of converting those endless parking lots. Maybe not in places like Texas where the heat is going to dry the land to a crisp though...
The problem is that the entire global financial system absolutely demands infinite growth on a finite planet in order to 'work'...and the only possible way out (apart from the nightmare of system collapse and a mad max world) would be to make it financially worthwhile for people to share the jobs we would almost unanimously AGREE we definitely NEED to have done and work much less. It would then no longer be an infinite growth system. It would no longer demand 'growth' in order for the system to 'work' and collapse couldn't happen because we would be doing everything we NEED to do.
Or , we could just dismantle the idea of capitalism of infinite growth , because for those who are unaware , stop growing does not cause a crisis , is what the capitalists do to keep growing ( massive lay offs, pressure on goverments for bail outs and neoliberalism practices as a hole) that cause a crisis.
Lots of folks still encouraging traveling even though planes, cars, and cruise ships are horribly polluting. Food waste, meat production, and plastics use are all done without any thought. No one wants to change anything until they are starving or drowning and then they'll blame the govrnment.
@duncanmacleod7287 I grow most of my own produce, keep the heat down in the winter (63 F) use the car once a week, buy used clothing and repair it when I can, use library books for entertainment. Yes, it wastes energy to be online; mea culpa. No dogs or cats.
In Ireland farmers are looking for the government to bail them out. Cattle that were wintered in September last year are still in sheds, with farmers running out of silage to feed them. The fields are saturated and won't support the weight of machine used to cut the silage! Tillage farmer have the same problem of equipment sinking into the wet ground, prevent the sewing of crops. It's reported that it has rained somewhere in Ireland every day since last July!
Look to where the WEATHER is coming from. It's tropical evaporation driven by the sustained El Nino. What part the massive Hunga Tonga volcano is playing no-one seems to know with any certainty. It's WEATHER and weather doesn't come with guarantees that it will be :"average" or close to it.
@@johnm838 Weather takes it's cues from climate, so as the climate heats up that tells the atmosphere to suck up more water, the winds, and the rotation of the Earth decide where that water comes down. That's weather. Being able to differentiate the two, and understanding that they influence each other in very complex ways, is very important to understanding that it isn't business as usual anymore.
It’s annEl Niño year.. we have had wet winters before.. don’t make the childish mistake Olof think that you understand climate change by looking observations based on one winter.. please. Open your eye.. It was warmer in the medieval period and the Roman period and there was no co2 being emitted. Open your eyes people and research the facts. Look at the Dansgaurd oeschger oscillations and the beryllium 10 isotope proxy data that coincides perfectly with the mini ice age.. it’s the sun that controls it all and it co2.. in fact the co2 on the atmosphere is natural, being out gassed green the thousands of thermal vents in the ocean.. the keeling graph in Hawaii measures co2 in isolation from humanity this it gives good responsiveness to base line change’s without suffer fluctuations yet in 2000 it didn’t see a spike in co2 up ramping when china and India suffer led massive growth l not did the keelings graph see and reduction in co2 output when the world wide lock downs started.. co2 is a scam.. cop on..
Agri business lobbies in Ireland are scratching their domes over why rain and water saturation in soil has been so consistently bad from Sept 2023 up to April 2024. It's not like anyone was warned about a record warming Arctic bringing more precipitation wreaking havoc on tillage and livestock farms?
Ireland needs a nuclear power plant but I think Ireland should focus on economic growth because realistically Irelands action will have no significant impact on climate no matter what we do, if we can afford to import food we will survive if we can't we wont
@@domista123with all due respect, you're talking bollocks. Ireland's economy has been focusing on nothing but growth - a growth in wealth inequality I was talking about how lobbyists of wealthy Agri business lobbies with a direct line to our media this week called for government help despite years of backlashing against the Nature Restoration Law in which restoring hedgerows and ponds would have helped against waterlogged soils in massive barren fields, particularly those owned by wealthy farmers/landlords with +700 cattle in a herd swamping fields in E-Coli. They contributed handsomely to the demonisation of nature protection and emissions reduction for their own gain and now are acting cute and surprised at the miserable growing conditions affecting their yields and CAP incomes. (70%of the EU CAP budget goes to 20% of farms, the largest and most "productive"). That doesn't help the fact that vast majority of Ireland's domestically grown food by the tonne is exported while fruit and veg is mostly imported. It's a deeply unbalanced pro-market economy and Irish farmers for decades have been pushed into famine, debt, destitution, addiction and suicides while the big and successful farmers buy everything up. And about Nuclear - we're grid tied to France a nuclear juggernaut we don't need our own necessarily. We're still running gas and coal plants that are perfectly convertible to an array of different energy types Just Have A Think have covered for years. We have more than enough potential with wind a solar, we just have near zero grid storage and inflexible grid management held back further by private for profit energy traders.
Some near retirement farmers are giving up the farm this year. Mostly sheep farming but the continually rain, never been a dry 24hrs since October 23 to April 24. Just worn down by depression.
@@caterthun4853that's the terrible thing since the intensification of farming. It destroyed the social fabric in rural Ireland all because supermarkets and traders can squeeze that extra bit of profit in and manipulate CAP rules and regulations in their favour
When John Kerry resigned his position after COP 28 we had to know that solving the Global Warming problem was politically impossible under the current world political environment !
Yeah, look at it. Really, do. Very closely. The data is telling - the impact is almost non-existent. It's just CEOs crying about not being able to exploit even more, and trying to get more government money and tax breaks. On the other hand... Germany, despite its tons of "green" legislation, sucks at being green. It's still way above European average at per capita emissions (including accounting for imports/exports). Sure, there are European countries that are even worse (usually oil & gas producers or resellers, or countries with very small populations like Luxembourg or Estonia), but... Germans still live large. And while the electricity production is now almost entirely covered with renewables (letting other countries on the grid pick up the slack when renewables are down, so not exactly sustainable yet at that)... there's still the _massive_ consumption of natural gas. And still a lot of car-centric design, and car use, and the huge chunk of the economy propped up by car and fossil fuel industries.
yeah, Germany has really nice demos. but nothing up to scale required. And the demos are what they are - demos. not cost-effective. Actually they harm the situation as they do overselling and market their tech as functional while it's not.
I'm 68 and we have been extolling the virtues of renewables for nearly 20 years. Our house more-or-less pwoers itself and the car. We aren't affected by the skyhigh price of energy. And yet, when I talk to a lot of my peer group about solar and heatpumps etc, the usual question is "how long will it take to get my money back." They don't appear to care about the prospects for thier children and grandchildren. I just don't get it 🤔
@@efthimios1917 There should be more financial help for those willing to have them installed and more effort directed at training the electricians and plumbers who are needed to carry out the work !
Ditto. I have solar+storage, and generate more energy than I use each day. This is when the sun is shining, which is most days of the year. (Winter is kind of rough.) That's why I don't think one can completely get rid of fossil fuels. (And they won't let me put a nuclear generator in my back yard.). Still, it's a great way to reduce one's need for fossil fuels, have some degree of energy independence. The clean energy sector is severe need of its own version of "firm power". It has to be low carbon. The other big problem is that it is hard to beat the convenience, energy, and power density of fossil fuels. And nuclear takes forever to build. And while I think one can go a long way to individual self sufficiency (or close to it), with solar+storage, one has to take into account large manufacturing economies, with power intensive industries, such as China. Also, some of Europe. And increasingly the US as more manufacturing (which includes chips, battery plants, ...). And the whole situation has gotten worse, with the advent of AI, data centers that essentially have to run 24/7. In the US, one can theoretically address this with renewables and transmission lines. But getting permitting and interconnects have been roadblocks to IRA's full potential. This seems almost intractable. I see a lot of possibilities with technology. The weakest link, seem to be getting human beings to agree. The more that this is required, the less likely it will happen. It seems we are our own worse enemy.
Only humans in the top 0.5% of the worldwide income distribution can afford stuff like that if they are to have money left over to buy food & pay their mortgage.
I too am off grid , totally independent from the Pocos greedy grasp, I am continually asked about the "payback" period , why oh why is that the criteria ? We need to focus on self reliance not profit .
Lol they're already doing something - it's called "demand destruction", C19 (and vaccing) etc. 😂 They're reducing but people just aren't picking up on some of it
I suspect that if we were happy after watching one of Dave's videos we would have missed the point. We need the concern and perhaps some fear to motivate us out of apathy and into action. Sadly I notice that even our green politicians are more concerned about the use of pronouns than our abuse of this planet.
I wish I could say that my country, Canada, has anything constructive to contribute to the climate crisis, but it looks like we are going in the opposite direction. Our largest oil producing province outlawed any new renewable energy projects for months, and now are limiting them based on some very dubious criteria, while oil projects can proceed as always. Several provinces have banded together to challenge the carbon tax and, along with the anticipated next federal government, will eliminate any consequences for the damage done by carbon emitters and leave the cost of climate change to the average tax-payer. We have long been among the world's worst carbon emitters on a per-capita basis, and there seems to be no change in that fact on the horizon.
I weep for our children's future here in Canada. Saskatchewan and Alberta are keeping their heads firmly in the oil sand. It's an embarrassment, but it's my home. The ridiculous conservative base here makes it difficult to have a voice. Climate denial on tap everywhere you look.
Mass immigration is an even larger contributor to our emissions increase than the oil sands. The current immigrant stream sees its per capita ghg emissions increase by a factor of 4 when they come and live in this extreme climate. Add that with the oil sands production increase and also include the stunning forest fire emissions (which we actually can't do much about) and Canada almost qualifies as a planet killer. - at least on a per capita basis. We have no strategy to achieve sustainability or ghg reductions as the oil and immigration lobbies basically own the media corps and call the shots.
@@devons2381Yeah, this is where EVs are going to be fun. As oil prices crash, the fossil fools will be left with stranded assets. Ideally, you should ensure that this hits the investors.
Would you mind mentioning the fact that the mining sector and other related industries and going to need to 10x in order to move away from fossil fuels? Apart from the increased pollution in producing renewables its just not feasible when its hard to keep up with the mines demand as is.
Not to confuse weather with climate but I live in Latvia - today I there was 20+ degrees outside and now a night it is +14 degrees and I am sitting with window fully open. The normal temperature for us at this time of the year is barely positive and it is normal to have snow here in march.. All the monthly national temperature records got smashed today and tomorrow it is forecasted that there will be even more records together with powerful thunderstorms which normally can happen only in summer..
@@squa_81 It can and it will be the norm, but it will require a new economic model. Eternal growth is not physically possible, so we will have to produce stuff that lasts. The good news is that this is possible and will require a lot less work. We will therefore have less stress and more free time. The future will be less bling and more living if we do it right. Or not at all if we screw up.
At the same time 10 humans in China and Indea etc., transitioned from poor to relatively wealthy state, and now use more cars, eat more food and purchase much more goods. So it's like you reduced your effects on Earth by -1, but everyone else added +10. And this transition only started.
@@squa_81By the way, I'm planning to build my first house closer to work. At the moment, I have decided on a frame house with hempcrete walls, which, due to the amount of CO2 absorbed by hemp, will have a negative carbon footprint. Also I want to heat it with summer heat using a technique called AGS (Annualized Geo Solar), which stores heat for winter.
I just love all this! I mean... not this news of course, mr. Messenger of Doom. But the way you dig in these papers and technologies and provide us with quality material to understand the depth of this crisis and ways to cope with it. Thank you so much! I multiply the reach of some of your content using it to prepare physics classes for my hundreds of high school students. Cheers from Brazil! P.S.: RU-vid is allowing dual audio or something. I haven't checked the details, but I'd be willing to help translating stuff to Brazilian Portuguese. I don't think we have material or such quality around here. And it's useful in classrooms: the youngling need to be aware of what's coming up...
@@AlanField-q5b hello! I don't know if I expressed myself properly. Usually I use the videos to get into the latest news and technologies myself. Then I am more prepared to inspire the students towards innovative solutions, and to show them possibilities on how to help cope with the crisis. I expect them to feel confident to pursue careers in engineering and research, for instance. That in the classroom. On RU-vid... I see your point there, indeed. Maybe focusing on the innovative initiatives is the better approach, instead of the critically alarming ones. You gave me something to think about, thanks.
@@AlanField-q5b OS you can access unpoliticised dedicated scientists here Clintel org such as Nobel Prize winner Dr. John F. Clauser whi signs the Clintel World Climate Declaration. There is No Climate Emergency, a Message to the People.....clintel.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/M2P-v3.pdf
I about spit my coffee out laughing @ 1:38. I do appreciate you switching between existential dread and hope. However, my favorite part is the humor in your presentations. Between the terrific British accent - Yank here - and the humor, it's a great start to many a Sunday.
@@derkeniry2008 Could not agree more! I like Kiwi, then Brit, then Aus. accents for English. Can't say I'm a fan of my own accent, but way too much work to fix after so many decades ;-) Cheers!
I am from India and we are used to hot weather and getting hotter as we speak, but what surprised me was how hotter European summers have become, I lived in Germany for a while and saw how summers have become prolonged and hotter and drier. Heatwaves are common, my friends from Germany tell me how snowfall is reduced and snow season is shorter than ever. What surprised me personally was how the landscape looked dry and brown like dry straw when I visited last October which is Autumn season. This phenomenon we see in India outside of monsoon season, everything is green in monsoon and then couple of months later plants get dried out because of evaporation due to heat, I couldn’t believe I would see that in country like Germany so farther up north months after summer was over. It is going to be rough for Europe especially when people and ecology is not used to hot weather like us in tropical parts of the world
Yeah, it's getting worse and worse. Meanwhile, I was feeling really bad for you people in India, when I saw that temperatures were up to 37 degrees Celsius this Easter. That's about as hot as it gets here in Germany mid summer. When it's that hot in India now, how are you going to survive the hot summer months? Must be like 50 degrees Celsius in the warmest cities! How do you even breathe in that? How do you get any work done? People with illnesses, injuries and old age must be dying so fast in such awful temperatures. I'm really worried about you!
We don't see a backfall in general precipitation in Western Europe during this warmest winter on record, it was also the wettest winter and as I'm writing this it pisses down again!
I have to report to you Dave and the current audience that I've just remarked to my wife what late / early night temperature she would expect here in Belarus on the last day of March! I've lived here for 15 years and usually it's still freezing but getting warmer! This evening it's still 20C outside at 11:15 and forecast to be 24C tomorrow too! Unbelievably warm! 🥵
IT was 30C today here in my town in central Serbia .In 80s when i was teen we would always had 2-3 months off snow every winter,this year 0 ,none .But i not complaine the more i get older the more i hate cold weather
I'm so sorry. I made a joke when meeting you at the everything electric show on Saturday. I said your video is the highlight of my Sunday, and the low point of my wife's. It was a terrible joke and your face told me it didn't come across as I meant it. I'm so embarrassed and sorry. She's not as into RU-vid videos on the climate crisis as I am, and that is no reflection on you personally. I was just trying to make a joke by comparison, but it was bad. Your videos are incredible, thank you for making them.
Literally just turned nearly twenty degrees Celsius yesterday in ireland with torrential rains. This is unheard of in april. The rain has been non stop all spring, last winter and last autumn. My area is flooding month after month and we dont have the infrastructure or homes to do ANYTHING. Im just watching my area fill with water, it’s pooling around our ankles while we’re twiddling our thumbs. And it’s not like it’s isolated, this is happening the whole way across the county and the surrounding counties along the coast. And yet they’re STILL BUILDING in my area. This is a floodplain!?! It’s actively filling with water and theyre not doing anything but build people who can clearly afford it new fancy houses.
In 1947 it snowed for three months. The European "Little Ice Age" happened between the 15th and 18th centuries approx. and even the climate "experts" cannot agree to what caused it . Extreme weather events are not unusual!
Thanks Dave for the 20% discount on my Everything Electric Show ticket. Saw one of your hosted sessions as well as lots of other good stuff. Highly recommend
My sister-in-law is an actuary at a company in Princeton. And indeed everything you’re stating is true. I’ve had several very deep dark conversations with her about this topic.
I have been listening to and reading about the changing climate and global warming for 30 years or so. I cannot think of any of my peers who consider the facts and predictions to be a problem, let alone take any steps to alleviate the issues. Newer bigger cars, multiple holidays by flying, bigger houses ……………. It’s a nightmare. The single worst problem is the organisation with the best information at their fingertips don’t even pay lip service to the climate nightmare. The British government.
If we were to go straight to carbon capture technology, it would cost almost 18 trillion dollars to simply hold us at +2C. Of course, we *do* give the fossil fuel industry $6 trillion per year in subsidies so... (and that's ignoring one off events like the wars for oil that cost 2 trillion and 4000 US Soldier's lives and hundreds of thousands of Iraqi soldiers and citizens) at the turn of the century.
We can't hold at 2C. There's 170 billion tonnes of carbon in the permafrost, and as mentioned at 0:30, it's already thawing. That's equivalent to 170-17,000 years worth of current emissions depending on what proportion comes out as CO2 or Methane. We either get back to near pre-industrial temperatures, or we shoot up to over 12C. Money won't matter if we are over 12C.
Imagine black oil as alive black blob in japanese anime,who is chased by the oil loby,and protected on the run by nature activist.And i do feel sorry for the oil,becouse it's most abused natural wonder and recource.
The temperatures we're experiencing in SE Transylvania (25-28 C) were typical for end of June, when I was a kid. Never ever have I seen such high values at the end of March. In the '80, snow used to melt in mid March. April's temps rarely reached 20 C.
Remember that big undersea volcano explosion in 2022 that increased global atmospheric water vapour by around 10% according to NASA? I'm just wondering why this is hardly mentioned in any global warming related video , as water vapour is a much more powerful greenhouse gas than CO2.
@@philipwright6617 It is not mentioned, just like how the Sun was in a grand solar maximum cycle from the 1950's to around 2000 and that most climate scientists only factor in Solar irradiance as a warming mechanism from the Sun, because it doesn't conveniently support the mainstream narrative of humans equal bad, we need much less humans on the planet, as believed and touted by folks like Bill Gates who come from wealthy families with a very long and powerful involvement in eugenics. (You better believe that those beliefs 1. didn't die 2. just went underground. 3. and definitely got passed down to Gates generation).
@@philipwright6617 that's an interesting fact that I never heard of (did check today). But it does not cancel the truth about the past 100+ years of artificial CO2 and methane rise.
@@thisisnumber0 The fact that it's a miniscule component of the atmosphere is exactly why our emissions are so important. If there was 5% carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, our emissions would have no measurable effect. But we actually managed to significantly increase the concentration, which is bad for _so many reasons_ , not just warming.
Never underestimate the need of an American to need someone with a funny British accent to tell them what's going on in front of their eyes, or the futility of it.
Climate change is the most over-exaggerated problem in history. These self-serving reports are a joke. What a coincidence, they find the EU needs more bureaucracies.
What a load of propaganda garbage! Love the way your graphs only go back to a point thats suits the EU. What about the Roman times when it was 1.5 degrees hotter than today.
@@designtime3469 Please enlighten us how the average global temperatures in late Antiquity invalidate the need to adapt to the rapidly progressing climate change we are experiencing right now.
Germany is in the upper-middle latitudes, and those are the latitudes most prone to summer heating. As winters weaken and seas become warmer, onshore winds that might mitigate the effects from summer heating will weaken. As an example, Berlin will go from having a climate like that of Boston to having one like Atlanta.
@@PaulBrower-py7tv It's going way too fast, our brains are still fueled&electrified by fossil fuels, humanity peaked in the 00's thanks to fossil fuels, depression, bad sleep, people tired all the name is the cause of renewables getting into the grid system.
I live in an old council estate housing project in the Netherlands and I have to get increasingly creative to keep the house cool in summer. From planting beans on the south facing wall to reflective window foil to alufoil wrapped pieces of styrofoam and chalk paint on the flat roof. I don't have money for sunscreens or letting the AC run all summer (neither do I want to) and as long as the temperature drops during nighttime I can keep it below 26. But many old people suffer due to the heat in these old, badly insulated houses with huge windows and often flat roofs. They're like literal ovens!
Meanwhile most Americans have central AC and have their thermostat set at about 21C. Once you become accustomed to central AC, you never want to go back to roughing it.
My first thought was - if he has flat roof, use solarcells and run AC on that. But "Most americans" is NOT who we need to be inspired by when it comes to the climate crisis. First of all, if the power for the AC is somehow renewable, it is most likely by coincident because they live close to a nuclear plant or hydro. Secondly, with how widespread AC is becoming now, we have to realize they themself contribute to the problem. The heat doesn't dissapear, it is just moved, it is moved outside. And in cities, more and more heat are moved, to a point where it is now measurable that cities is hotter. This leads to more people getting AC, and the ac having to run even more to combat all the heat your neighbours (and yourself) are pumping out. Just running a lot of AC and setting it to cold is not a good idea. We are most likely going to need heatpumps. but we might need to rethink them, and we might not want to go quite so hard on the cooling. Just like we don't go too hard on the heating in winter. @@stevenverrall4527
@@stevenverrall4527 I don't want to drive a SUV and I don't want to use AC all summer. In winter I have the thermostat at 16 most of the day, 14 or 13 at night. And I still pay €300 a month for heating. How the @#€& do you expect me to pay for running an AC all summer and use even more fossil fuels probably? American solutions are expensive and short sighted.
In North America our zombie forest fires also aren't being out out over the winter because there isn't enough precipitation to get deep enough into the ground to put them out so they will simply continue to burn and reignite the surface in spring. Wouldn't be surprised if it happened fairly soon.
Your optimism is greater than my own, in my 40 years of paying attention to this I note governments consistently take minimal action to abate climate change and maximum effort to protect and expand the profits of the fossil fuel industry. Sadly my own government in Australia plays this game consistently, whichever major party holds power they both continue to subsidise and expand fossil fuels without even having the sence to tax the activities. Meanwhile limiting funding of renewable energy and support for consumer change they ensure the profitability and survival of the planetary pirates.
It seems that the main thing the fossil fuel producers have learned is that eventually, people will get fed up with fossil fuels, yeah... so until then SELL SELL SELL PUSH PUSH PUSH!
The fossil fuel industries own the politicians so nothing meaningful is going to come from government, things will only start to happen when people start to starve and die in larger numbers from climate related disasters
For studies of drought patterns in Europe: Vincente-Serrano et al. 2020 “Our study stresses that from the long-term (1851-2018) perspective there are no generally consistent trends in droughts across Western Europe.” Oikonomou et al. 2020 “One of the central outcomes of this research is that there is little change in drought characteristics for 1969-2018. It also seems, no particular tendencies for more or less frequent droughts in the two major geographical domains of Europe are present.” What you're worried about are localised weather events, which is fine, but their is no crisis when it comes to the global climate.
Just to add the fossil Fuels allready burned have raised the average Co2 concentrations from 280 to about 400 ppm which has had a noticeable effect on plant growth as has the increased precipitation and the 1degree average increase in temperature
It's raining here (Ireland) and hasn't stopped raining since I can remember. Some might envy us but it means animals can't be put out to grass and potatoes can't be planted. Food is going to be expensive. Thanks and God bless (there's no other hope).
As a non-scientist, or journalist, seems to lay person me that humanity is not going to go on much longer, even if we made some big changes. Which, so far, we've mostly only talked about. Will summers become the dreaded season? Will mechinized agriculture be able to feed us? Or, will it be that photosynthesis itself slows way down??? I'll be gone, but our kids, and thiers will be here trying to survive. I've maintained forever the an economic system that worships, and has to have, endless growth...just isn't going to work on a finite planet. (See how smart I am?...lol...) We are fast approaching 'crunch time'...a time when basic survival supersedes decadence. Love the show, great info.
And Beavers.. do a lot of that stuff but they were removed from our isles centuries ago. Intensive Poultry and overstocking pasture land also causes problems .. this last year being a classic example.
I live near the Ebro river in Catalonia in Spain. Local people describe the disappearance of the regular autumnal and spring rains which they relied on for crops. A local reservoir is completely dry. Yet when the hydroelectric dam has to open its bypass due to heavy rains here and upriver, that water is just allowed to flow into the Med. There is no infrastructure to divert it to divert high volumes to that nearby reservoir. We do need a million smaller projects.
"Interesting that the IPCC cant find any trends on extreme weather events, let alone a connection to man made global warming" That's simply false: The 6th IPCC report lists plenty of such trends and effects. Try Table 12.2.
@@karlwheatley1244 But if you look at chart 12.12, there are no entries for the current time period for anything relating to Drought, Flood or Wind, they do predict what may happen post 2050. When it categorises historic changes in temperature in the tropics, there has been little to no accurate measurement in those area, because they don't have the same amount of weather stations that exist in the USA/Europe. Many of our weather stations were built in the early 20th century and located just outside towns, to avoid human activity, yet be close enough to travel to, in order to take readings. As our towns have expanded, since the early 1900's, those same weather stations are now well within our towns. Major cities such as London or Paris, etc can be 5ºC warmer in the centre than the outskirts, therefore that data is no longer reliable. Satellite data, that we have had since 1979 shows little global warming since they have been gathering data. The Global Warming industry has become a multi trillion dollar industry, creating millions of jobs, if CO2 were found no to be the main cause of climate change, they would all be out of a job, so it is in their interest to perpetuate the theory.
Sincerest thanks for the work you do researching, producing, editing and delivering these videos to whomever has the nerve to try and keep up. For my part, I have to be in the right mindset and it takes me several days to process (sometimes breathing into a paper bag) before returning for more. Nonetheless with your help I have started to get the first inkling of what settling into this new world view entails (but far from actually being settled, who could?). I keep returning to the old dictum “think globally and act locally” as I try to imagine local cooperatives mutually supporting each others basic needs as larger global, national or regional structures will likely buckle and collapse. The other part is the incremental nature of the experience which is clearly already upon us even though it seems many are expecting a stark dystopian shock in which the disruption reaches the wealthiest most insulated circles. Won’t that be fun, Crystal ball what say you in 2045?
Perhaps the heat sinks of the oceans & the ice, are filling up, so much more heat goes into the atmosphere? Post 1980 saw a sudden jump, by a 1.3 C rise.
The majority of global warming from CO2 has already occurred because CO2 is a very poor greenhouse gas. As you double its concentration in any given atmosphere you halve its ability to absorb heat. The hi gher CO2 goes the quicker and more abundant plants grow, pulling C02 out of the atmosphere at an ever increasing rate. So the hi gher CO2 goes the harder it gets to increase as the C02 sink is also increasing and you have to put double the amount of CO2 for every further increase in temperature so another 400ppm for a further 1 degrees C rise, then 800ppm for another 1 degree rise and so on.
"The majority of global warming from CO2 has already occurred because CO2 is a very poor greenhouse gas." Sorry, that's been disproven by lots of scientific research. As a non-condensing greenhouse gas that stays aloft for centuries, CO2 not only causes warming directly but CO2 levels also strongly influence global levels of methane and water vapor thus making CO2 THE main atmospheric control knob for global temperatures. Although CO2 produces less and less additional warming as its concentration levels increase, the best evidence indicates that at this point on the curve, doubling CO2 levels would produce an additional 2.7-3.0 degrees of global warming (4.9-5.4 degrees F of warming). "The hi gher CO2 goes the quicker and more abundant plants grow," That's true at first, but increasing CO2 levels cause hundreds of ripple effects for the web of life, and most of them are harmful. Thus, after some initial global greening has come the slowing of the global greening trend and the accelerating global browning trend as the hotter conditions increase the rate of evaporation from soils and foliage, leaving many places too dry to grow what they grew before. As a result, many of the great forests of the world are drying out, dying, and burning faster than before just as extreme droughts also intensify. In general, more CO2 means more sporadic precipitation, meaning there are farmers in Africa, the US, and many other places who can no longer count on the fairly-predictable rainfall those agriculture regions were built around. Long term, large changes in global CO2 levels have been THE main "kill mechanism" for most major and minor extinction events in Earth's history. So basically, either we stop rapidly warming the planet, disrupting the climate, and making the oceans more acidic (and with lower oxygen levels) or catastrophic ecological and societal collapse is inevitable. Take care.
@@karlwheatley1244 The only problem with that is that past CO2 levels have been much higher at 2,000 to 4,000 ppm, when life was abundant on the planet, if not more so then today compared to modern day 450 ppm. The Earth is currently in an ice age and is much cooler then it is normally, it is literally impossible to boil to death in an ice age. Forest fires are not increasing in fact they are at a 25 year low but are more reported due to the 24 news cycle that did not exist years ago. Greek forest fires have actually been put down to poor land management. It has been claimed that acidification of oceans is killing corals but in actually fact bleaching is part of their normal life cycle caused by changing their chemical structure resulting in the micro organisms that live in them which actually create the colour, leaving them. Later to be replaced by different micro organisms. In 2000 the words climate scientist supported Al gores campaign to become US President as he was running on a green agenda. They used the same inaccurate climate models as they do today and strangely enough every single prediction for the year 2020 failed to materialise and that was even with the world burning fossil fuels at an every accelerating rate. No country is following through on any of its climate objectives and hiving off your industrial processes to China and India do not count as the CO2 produced goes into the same atmosphere plus the gods must be transported back to the developed world. The Green party in coalition in Germany was so concerned it closed the nuclear power plants in favour of gas ones, which produce as considerable greater amount of CO2 and now they have opened up old coal power plants too. Fortunately I do not have to be concerned about winning the argument, since the people of the world are voting with their feet and ignoring most of this alarming nonsense. The world politicians can say what they want but their actions show what they believe and none of them are following through on their climate commitments.
@@stuartwilson7392 Thanks for your reply Stuart. Let's both agree that we are not in danger of "boiling" and public officials who say nonsense like the oceans are "boiling" are not helping anyone. They are too warm, yes, but not boiling. "The only problem with that is that past CO2 levels have been much higher at 2,000 to 4,000 ppm, when life was abundant on the planet, if not more so then today compared to modern day 450 ppm." That's not a problem at all: Those species and ecosystems were adapted to those conditions but all species and especially ecosystems NOW on Earth are well-adapted to very different conditions, and we get sick and die if you rapidly change the conditions we are adapted to. Many people who talk about how much higher CO2 levels were in the past don't incorporate the above into their thinking and often draw heavily on the Cambrian period without digging into the details of it. During the Cambrian period CO2 levels were much lower earlier on and the "explosion of life" happened as oxygen levels rose, but that explosion of life was almost entirely in the oceans--there was essentially no plant or animal life on land. Also, the biggest thing in the oceans was ~16 inches long. Thus, it didn't compare to the staggering biodiversity that was created as CO2 levels dropped--the Earth was perhaps the most biodiverse it has ever been some 100,000 years ago, when CO2 levels had been under 300 ppm for the previous 700,000 years. Also, CO2 levels did rise sharply at the end of the Cambrian period--but there was a mass extinction event then too. What people forget when looking at these CO2 charts is 1) WE are not dinosaurs, and we and the ecosystems that support us are not adapted to the conditions that they lived under, and 2) those timelines are dotted with numerous extinction events, and they happen whenever there's a big change in CO2 levels--or in the one-off example, when a big asteroid hits the Earth. This is getting long: I'll post replies to some of your other points separately.
@@stuartwilson7392 Part 2: FYI: I'm a senior university professor and researcher who has spent more than a decade studying these issues, and I'm currently writing a book about what we must do to save as many people and species as possible (industrialized civilization as we know it is doomed to "collapse"--with unraveling already visible and worsening in the coming decades--because it flies in the face of earth's limits and the laws of nature). With that in mind... "Forest fires are not increasing in fact they are at a 25 year low" Close, but not quite. Total global FIRE acreage burned has declined significantly since 2000, but that is largely due to increasing encroachment of human settlements and agriculture on grasslands that used to burn naturally, plus declines in use of slash and burn agriculture. However, as a University of Maryland study found using state-of-the-art data collection, global FOREST fire acreage burned has almost doubled since 2000. This is because man-made global warming and climate disruption is making the whole Earth warmer, much of it drier (faster evaporation plus a more absorbent atmosphere) and causing explosions in the populations of tree-killing bark beetles. "They used the same inaccurate climate models as they do today" As a researcher who follows climate science AND climate misinformation, when you write that, I immediately know that your sources for climate misinformation are untrustworthy. The usual suspects in climate misinformation and disinformation include Fox News, OAN, Epoch Times, CDN, Sky News Australia, right-wing talk radio, podcasts, and videos; and individuals such as Tony Heller, Patrick Moore, Willie Soon, and William Happer. Wherever you are getting your information from, the truth is roughly the opposite of that. In the real world, there are 14 different climate models, some dating back more than 30 or 40 years, that have quite accurately predicted how much warming our emissions would cause. Google "Geophysical Research Letters, Hausfather, 2020, Evaluating the Performance of Past Climate Model Projections,” and read about it for yourself. Similarly, you could also search for USDA Climate Hub, Basics of Global Climate Models, and scroll down to the chart, and there you can see that hindcast and forecast projections from the models in the 4th IPCC were very accurate through 2020-the model projections actually run a little COLD for 2023 and probably cold again for 2024. Heck, even Exxon's own scientists had a model in 1982 that quite accurately predicts how much warming our emissions would cause right up to now. It is a matter of public record that they wrote an internal memo to their bosses warning how burning fossils fuels would disrupt the climate and jeopardize our future. However, instead of paying attention the scientific facts and warning the public, Exxon closed their working group and then spent hundreds of millions of dollars spreading climate denier propaganda. Meanwhile, global ice melt, global sea level rise, loss of biodiversity, and the declining health of ecosystems are all happening as fast or faster than the majority of experts in those fields predicted back in the 1980s and 1990s. So-o-o-o, we’d better start taking the experts’ warnings seriously because through chemical and plastic pollution, direct killing of species, direct destruction of ecosystems, and man-made global warming and climate disruption, humans are steadily destroying the Earth’s ability to support life, including human life. I'd better get back to work, but I'll address some of your other points later. For example, a large majority of the world's adult population know the climate crisis is real and we caused it. Take care.
"Europe just had 2023-4 coldest winter in 50 years." Hmm, Germany had it's third mildest winter on record on average. Plus, chunks of North America barely had winter at all.
The world already has the technology it needs to produce all of its energy without fossil fuels and nuclear, and do it more affordably! Sadly, it seems to be taking a long time to convince many people that we don't have to burn stuff to have energy for a healthy economy and to stay warm. Thanks to you and your channel for helping to turn that tide.
Nuclear is the only reliable way until fusion is solved, You are kidding yourself if you think solar will save the planet! 400,000 panels were just recently damaged or destroyed in Texas in one hail storm, Those damaged panels are now polluting the soil and water, That used to be good farmland.
What is your best advice to keep a house heated in a sea climate? Not too cold in the winter and not too hot in the summer. Yet, temperatures do fall below zero degrees Celsius.
Thanks, Dave. I hate telling bad news, as well, but we can't change our fate until we see the truth. I'm alarmed at how little crop production scored. What will all those heat stressed people eat?
Its been cold and wet up in northern England for the last 6 months, bring on the summer and stop panicking about things you cannot change, its nature, plus EVs are rubbish and don't work.
The way we humans live our lives needs to change radically. However, any government implementing radical changes to people's lifestyles wouldn't stay in power very long. If wealthy countries stopped spending trillions on blowing things up maybe there would be more hope of a climate solution.
Right? I mean look at the US - southern border crisis with thousands of migrants a day flooding over, being shipped indiscriminately up to safe haven cities like Chicago and the city is being *completely* run into the ground because they can't afford everything, meanwhile the government won't take even 1% of their hundreds of billions allocated for war to just build a series of huge intake facilities across the border and humanely deal with the issue instead of using migrants as political pawns. Or the rampant over consumerism with having like 6+ tv's and 2 vehicles each adult in many houses. I hate that people look at me when I say I don't need "stuff" in my life to feel happy. I don't get it.
@@EdSurridgein England & Wales the Green Party are offering that. I suspect it will take conscription on the lines of Jury Service to make it work after a couple of years though.
@@alanhat5252 you lie. The green party wants proportional representation because that's more Green and Reform party political electable. Hippies & Fascists in parliament. Not quite but..
I'm french. The heat is scary. In some town in south they need to be supplied with tanker...like in California. The ski season was delay and not very good at start even in 1500m stations.
I estimate Western Australia just lost 10% of all flora and possibly 50% of all fauna in the south west this summer. The rain still hasn’t come to most of this region.
Australia is subject to the Indian Ocean dipole. One year it is rainy in East Africa and dry in Australia, a few years later it is dry in East Africa and rainy in Australia. A few years later this reverses again, etc.
Tx for the update. There are 9 planetary boundaries for a liveable planet - the globe has surpassed 6 and nearing the other 3. We've more- or- less known about the global warming since the late 1800s; the odd brainy scientist been warning us about it since the 1970s / 80s: the first international sustainable development conference was held in 1992; and there was an economist report in 2006 (the Stern Report). Several international agreements were signed in 2016 (including 2030 Agenda & 17 SDGs & Sendai Framework on Hazard Risk Reduction awa urban development via the New Urban Agenda (75 - 80% of people will live in cities by 2050'ish)) to plan a collective sustainable way forward into the next century. Progress made? Well no - we're going backwards in terms of human rights (esp for women), fossil fuel expansion (which is accelerating), decreasing democracies with more plutocracies, increasing incidence of extreme weather, food & water insecurity, awa more waste & pollution etc. Yet the enviro & climate crisis hardly registers on anyone's urgency list - being more worried about the economy & immigration etc - not realizing its all connected. And we wonder why scientists are increasingly frantic with their warnings and the fertility rate is plummeting just about everywhere (this is a complex issue with other socio-cultural, developmental, economic & political issues at play). While developed countries have the technical & financial resources to respond (rather choosing profit over people & planet), those in the developing world are getting left further & further behind. Humans are pretty resourceful, but many strategies, policies, plans & tech need a few years to implement. As the world kicks enviro & climate action further & further down the road, implementation gets more difficult & much more expensive. The next decade is certainly going to be "interesting" - good luck everyone!
I very much appreciate you bringing the financial side of the equation into the discussion. More and more, I think money is the only thing our governments and corporations care about.
The biggest problem is, that those capital and asset owners who decide policy, use these events to transfer even more wealth from the bottom to the top of the pyramid...it's called 'disaster capitalism'. Whenever there is a major catastrophe, whether environmental, financial, political or medical, these parasites find a way to turn it to their advantage. Take Covid, for instance. When the lockdowns happened, people were told to stay at home, and governments borrowed trillions from rich people to give to their populations. Those populations spent their furlough payments on rent, mortgages, food, etc. Now the governments are paying back the loans, with interest. So now, for ordinary people, costs have gone up, taxes are increasing, services are being slashed...and the rich get richer. The same will happen with the climate crisis, as it starts to bite.
Check out the big brain on Brad over here, can't wait for the next brilliant thought you are cooking up in that massive nugget of yours. Do you have a social media where you share your wisdom?
When the Beaufort Gyre fully releases and powerfully impacts the AMOC to slowing down greatly, folks in Europe, especially northern Europe, will be begging for it to be warmer again, especially during the cold season (and even more especially so after awhile after the sun enters a grand solar minimum). Not so far off.
This should be shared with everyone, though sadly, most will probably ignore it and say they have "no choice" but to use their cars 7 days a week and fly off on holidays 4 times per year, plus several week-ends! The message just doesn't get through to so many people.
Sorry but it doesn't work like this. The AMOC has already slowed down in the last decade and we didn't see ice advancing towards the South. So in a full stop neither. Too much trapping heat gasses and heat in the system. It will have other climatic consequences like maybe colder winters in Western Europe. I say maybe because polar cold air is losing ground year after year in front of the overall warming increase. And this is already seen in Eastern Europe where winters are already shorter and very warm. Precipitation in low altitudes in the last winters was mostly rainy. Snow only at high altitudes over 1500m.
chaotic systems have simple solutions they converge into but during their transition states their state cannot be predicted. that's why ALL scientists RAGE. They try to explain this over and over - taking the climate out of the metastable state will cause it to be unpredictable. Predictability is what species on this earth rely on and that's what another group of scientists RAGE about. Murphy's law says " if you fix something long enough, you will break it" .
The climate denier lobby has recently sverved into doomism ("too late, we can't do anything"). Don't fall for it!! It's bad, yes, but action is urgently needed and every bit we can do will make a difference.
As a somewhat ironic kinda thing, I'm SO close to acquiring an AC unit. Summers got me west facing condo absolutely cooking. Mostly windows in the living room, making it 30c+ in the afternoon, and concrete/brick wall in the bedroom holds that heat till like 6 in the morning.
In St. Louis, a new ordinance requires all new construction or renovation projects to include a specific number of electric car charging stations relative to parking capacity. I've been involved in designing installations for Level 1-3 EV chargers. This undertaking presents significant challenges and expenses for property owners in terms of financial investment, project timeline, and power requirements. However, as the industry evolves, we're discovering more cost-effective solutions and methods. Despite the progress, it's crucial to acknowledge the considerable burden these requirements place on owners, emphasizing the need for thoughtful consideration. It's a seemingly necessary Big Ask.
As usual, it is boiled down to econimics… The planet doesn’t give a f**k about economics. It is this way of reasoning that has brought us to this point. Economics will be rather meaningless, when the basis for life for hundreds of millions are destroyed!! To think that economics are more important than having a planet that supports its habitants, are nothing but BS. Sorry for the language
The significant statement in this video is at 0:30 where almost in passing, "thawing permafrost" gets a mention. There's 1700 billion tonnes of carbon in the permafrost. If it all comes out as CO2 that's equal to 170 years of current emissions. If it comes out as methane, that's equivalent to 17,000 years of current emissions. Against that backdrop, the idea that warming will follow the IPCC's most pessimistic scenario seems laughable. There's no way that European warming will be "just" 8 degrees. Nowhere with a continental climate will be habitable. It just won't. Even if we stopped emissions tomorrow, as it's pointed out at the beginning of the video, the permafrost is *already* thawing. We need to get the CO2 below 300 ppm equivalent and we need to do that *right now* to have the slightest chance. If we don't stop the permafrost thawing it's really all over.
It's still going to be released over decades, but yeah, it's a massive problem we should be doing a lot more to avoid. It's one of the killer bullets we're playing with. But hey, what is that compared with the convenience of spending your time stuck in a car, right? :D
@@LuaanTi love sitting in a car! But yeah, even over decades is not super comforting. Say it was over 10 decades, then that's 10% per decade, 1% per year. If it comes out as methane that's equal to 170 years of current emissions every year. If it comes out as CO2 then 1.7 years worth of emissions every year. It's going to be a mix of those two.
@@gasdive Yeah, it will still be more than enough to sustain itself even if we stopped all our emissions (fat chance)... and probably more than enough to trigger a few more positive feedback loops during that to boot. And then the denialists can comfort themselves with "See? It's not _humans_ doing this (anymore)." :D
I constantly remind people that Svalbard average yearly temperature increased 2.75 degrees in a century Pennsylvania has only increased 1.8 Fahrenheit Whoa Canada has increased by 3.1° Fahrenheit since 1948. They just shrug off such statistics
Depends much on the time of year you talk to them. In January (in the northern hemisphere) you get “climate change can’t happen soon enough”. You have to familiarize them of the statistic during a heatwave in July or August… at the risk of “yeah, the weather gets warm in summer”. Where I am in Canada we’re bracing for another terrible wildfire season. Next to no snow in the winter, smouldering fires left over from last year’s terrible fire season. Most exasperating: a populist political movement to kill the already-weak GHG-limiting measure, the carbon tax. Most in Canada have the attention span of a cat in a room full of catnip and laser pointers.
@@CarFreeSegnitz I was born in Canada. My daughter lives in Vancouver. I believe that the oil industry culture and the general mindset of the prospect of a warmer Canada glee is pervasive. Just kiln me now
Thanks Dave. Too painful, I could only listen to half of it. People aren't going to do anything, they haven't done much. My friends just bought a big gas van one person drives most of the time. If you ask them if they are concerned about the environment they'll swear they are! That's the thinking here in the states.
Given, farmers are going to be effected most by weather changes. It is kind of funny that the farmer protests are stopping governments from enacting the few climate policies they were trying to.
@@MarkRose1337Helping out farmers is a great idea. Watering down emissions standards is not. The two things are mutually incompatible, as the emissions impact farmers, on the whole, more quickly and more deeply than anyone.
Living in the Netherlands, I have this existential dread about how long our vaunted sea walls will protect us. It only takes one catastrophic failure, and sea levels only goes up for the next few decades. Not to mention more portion our GDP needs to go into keepin the water out.
Good point , your government should be introducing radical sea defences NOW , and take a broader view , stopping piddling politics and act now to save the countries future .
@@gramos9115looking from the outside it does seem that the Netherlands _are_ taking sea defences seriously though they may be being quiet about it because it doesn't appeal to their voter base.
I'm from London and my husband's from Cork in the Republic of Ireland, but we live in central Italy where we have 9 acres we're trying to regenerate. I've spent years worrying over whether to stay progressively baking here or whether to move back to the rainy North where the risk of AMOC shutdown and even colder weather puts me off. I don't think I could leave my life here though! And aside from fighting for emissions reduction policies, I think there's a lot we can do to adapt better...such as earthworks to better infiltrate the rainfall we do get, planting more trees, adapting our diets away from annual grains to perennials, and learn from the permaculture regeneration that people have done in even hotter places like North Africa and India.
Frankly, I think we're doomed. These kinds of videos always make me think of that Matt Damon movie, Elysium. The earth where you and I live is dry, barren and worn out. People are hungry always and scrabble for the bits and bobs of junk that they can recycle into stuff to keep them surviving, while the top 1% live on some space station that is top shelf technology with ample food and a wonderful environment to live in. Might take a couple hundred years, to get there, but like one of my grand babies once said to his mom, "It's a doom mummy!" (He was talking about a cartoon by the way, not what we're talking about here)