Eurovision 2023 | Results vs odds 

Do you agree with this year's results? Comment!

Never expected the Midfield will be so tight, especially from Czechia (10th) to Austria (15th) which was only 10 points between them.

At the beginning I was a bit disappointed that Estonia wasn’t getting enough attention, which made it unsure if she would even make the finals. But hey! In the end, 8th place ain’t bad . Proud of her👍

Good on Latvia for proving everyone wrong and almost qualifying instead of coming near last like odds suggested, people actually heard the song and recognised the quality instead of just tossing it off! Hopefully this close qualification doesn’t turn Sudden Lights off from continuing their career, they’ve got a huge amount of support (that 8 points from “rest of the world” says a lot about their reach). Also hoping Latvia qualifies one day again!

This is a crime that Malta is that low. I mean last place in the semi with 3 points??? poor Malta and The Busker. The song was so nice, and it had one of the best stagings of the year imo. I will never understand how that happened. honorable mentions of other things I'm disappointed and shocked about this year: 1. Spain, France and Slovenia finishing that low. Underrated legends, we won't forget y'all. 2. Georgia NQing, and Poland finishing 3rd. 3rd??? what were y'all thinking?

Estionia and Lithuania slaying those odds!

So happy that Cyprus sent the bookmakers home

So proud of Monika and Alika

I'm happy that Czechia and Lithuania ended up at the left hand on the scorebord. They were great, really.

I'm still salty about Georgia, Latvia and Malta not qualifying for the final 💔

The most suprising one for me was Estonia

Outside of top two, the results were SO WEIRD this year!!!! Like everything just felt so out of place :/

I was disappointed Georgia didn't qualify and how few points Austria got from the public

The winning odds aren’t something to measure placements though, it would be better to look at the top 10 chance

Oh Spain... it hurts

Spain and France so robbed

Czechia 2022 🤝 Spain 2023 Somehow getting only 5 televote points despite being masterpieces

SO proud of alika

First video of you i watched. Wanna say a massive thank you for putting JOWST in the outro, still my favourite song in eurovision!!

I think the odds are a fun metric but I think people tend to misinterpret and overvalue them a lot. First of all, the odds are for "who wins" or "who gets top 3" or "who gets qualified", which means that rankings are not showing a predicted final result, thus rendering 90% of this video a fun excuse for listening to all the songs again but there's not much more to it. But more importantly, people think that the odds are some kind of scientific prediction of Europe's opinion - no. The bookies adjust the odds solely to balance supply and demand for individual bets so that they make a profit regardless of the result. If a lot of people are betting on an entry to win, their odds will go up, i.e. the expected win for being right goes down. If there's too little people betting on an entry to win, the bookies increase the price for taking the risk, which means that the entry falls a few places in the odds ranking. This means that the odds are basically just the predicitions of British Eurovision fans who have enough money to bet.

Spain and France absolutely robbed, Portugal underrated

I'm happy that it ended like this and not as the people thought of. My favorite songs of the edition still didn't get the first positions, but in my opinion this is just the rightest order that i could get.

Why Germany last?! Ridiculous.

2023 was such a strong year! There were so many great songs.

Betting shouldn't be allowed in the first place, since it highly affects the results in of itself.

Spain was a skydive crash even though the oerformance was perfect 😢

My personal opinion about the final performances: 1. Austria - I adore this song and vote for it, but the live version still lacks something. Energy level also could be higher and Poe Poe part louder (maybe bad TV translation). 2. Portugal - it was a stronger performance than in Semi. Everything depended on personal taste, but Mimicat created winner vibes! 3. Switzerland - nothing special, catchy rhythm and easy meaningful lyrics. Wanted more vocal variety, because he is capable. 4.Poland - great visual performance and catchy song. She made the best she could do, still the vocal is weak. Song created for masses, expected a good televote result. 5. Serbia -good visual performance, but... in semi I heard him better, in the final was hard to understand the words. Maybe sound translation problem, but you can't vote for a song which you don't hear. 6. France - all the song I was asking what happened to La Zarra? It was good, but not so good vocally as I expected. She somehow sounded not enough powerful. And TV camera angles for visual part was also not perfect. 7. Cyprus - well done, but would be better to go not so safe - Andrew is good singer, too much himself backs are not needed. Still solid performance, just nothing new. 8. Spain - I expected more from visual part - more meanings and longer focus on Spanish culture accents, now looked as a little mess. Shouting and screaming was never popular between masses, still she is a great vocalist. Somehow got a feel, that it flop, actually liked her pre-parties performances more. 9.Sweden - in Semi and in her winning performance she sounded more sincere and better. In final one was too strict and not enough emotionally. Still one of the best entries of the night with winner vibes. Strange choice to put Sweden after Spain, I think it hurt Spain. 10. Albania - performance was good, the song itself not for everyone. Family label won some additional votes for sure. 11. Italy - I unexpected felt the 3rd time winner vibes and even vote for it, didn't plan that! Simplicity and extraordinary Marco work with camera angles won me over:) And vocally it was such emotional and impactful performance! Better performance then Sweden; Sweden song itself is more memorable. 12. Estonia sounded good, and Alika finally found her emotions:) It was a great performance, liked more than in Semi. 13. Finland - great energy, originality, charisma. Much better than in Semi, were the 2nd part sounded not well at all. He nailed it on time! 14. Czech Republic - one more great performance with catchy rhythm. So much improvement from pre-parties! 15. Australia - they were great, I planned to vote for Germany, but gave all the votes to Australia! Love the energy:) 16. Belgium - liked his semi performance more, but still it was impactful and the backs fantastic! 17. Armenia - sounded good, looked good, performed good. Got sacked down a little by Belgium and Moldova energies. 18. Moldova - sounded better than in semi, i heard the words this time, still some parts was not enough clear. Could have more energy still and some parts were too repetitive. 19. Ukraine - great visual performance, but the vocals wasn't the best - i heard them performing this song better. 20. Norway - better than in Semi, she managed to perform the best version. Very catchy song. 21. Germany - felt disappointed. Sounded not always as I expected, visual performance was too simple and lack some kind of energy...There was not the best performance as it could be. 22. Lithuania - liked her Semi performance more. She sounded not so sincere as always, too technical. Liked ethno visuals, wanted to see more. 23. Israel - great performance, but for me - I still want more meaningful lyrics. One of the best entries together with Sweden, Finland, Italy, Portugal, Australia of the night. 24. Slovenia- simple but catchy, energetic show. Got a little blanded by Israel and felt that they need to do something more crazy... 25. Croatia - not my cup, but they sounded better than in Semi. 26. United Kingdom - expected worse. The song is catchy, lyrics meaningful, visual performance was great, and she sounded not bad - huge improvement as Blanca, but for this song, we need stronger and more impactful vocal performance, to be on Blanca level is not enough, or you need to sing an easier song as Blanca.

Latvia is obviously 27th, of course 2nd semi got more points.

I'm sorry to say but this is extremely flawed. The betting odds rankings are only chances of winning, not the actual end position. So you could have a sing that is very low in the betting odds to win, but achieves a much higher result in the end.

All baltic states going from criminally underrated to almost qualifying (Latvia), almost Top 10 (Lithuania) and deserved Top 10 & Jury Top 5 (Estonia). That's crazy!

The fact the UK was top 10 in odds lmao. People are delusional.

It's a shame this show!😢😢😢😢

Jowst in the end 🔥

Not to bring back half-a-year-old discourse but man this was a weird year. Was expecting France top 5 and Austria top 10. Belgium and Australia were nice surprises though!

bejbas last odds place was 12thh 😂😂

Austria 😢

Que injusto lo de España

I dont know but how is it real, that the comeback artists like Italy, Sweden, Belgium, Lithuania got like their best result. Im not including Moldova, but Sweden and Italy were overrated!

Spain as my fave flop

Israel had 6% in 3rd place before the final not in 4th

For me, Spain and France will never win again Eurovision.

Sweden manipulated very well. This was the best ESC by songs and one of the worst by voting. Finland was robbed, others too. NO JURIES

😎🎧🎧🎧🎧 POLOGNE 17 POINTS. 🎧🎧🎧🎧 🇫🇷 FRANCIA 5 POINTS

So happy for Noa 👑❤️ 3 place 🇮🇱🦄

Congrats to Lithuania for proving everyone wrong

The best TOP 5 in ESC history

I miss last year’s ESC, it was so full of love and unity.

Norway had to be on top 3 at least

The party part in me loved Finland, the music-loving part in me loved Spain. Obviously, Eurovision spectators are very party people and not at all music lovers.

Seeing Sudden Lights crying after not qualifying was the greatest thing I’ve ever seen.

Copy paste

Underrated : - UK 🇬🇧 - Spain 🇪🇦 - France 🇫🇷 - Armenia 🇦🇲 - Austria 🇦🇹 Overrated (but I'm happy for them) - Australia 🇦🇺 - Lithuania 🇱🇹 - Albania 🇦🇱 - Belgium 🇧🇪 - Italy 🇮🇹

Georgia was robbed

Slovenia was robbed...

Queen Loreen ❤️❤️❤️🇸🇪🇸🇪🇸🇪🥇🥇🥇

I am impartial as I am in North America.. and dont care who won... but Sweden's song should not have even been in the top 10... This contest has not been about the best song for a very long time... they need to reduce the weighting of the jury votes as the same "close" countries vote for each other every year... and the juries trade one years votes for promises to vote in return if another country is in contention in the future.... its always funny how the odds are always 50% for the top country and the other 50 for the rest... so as to ensure that the bookies make their money.... its not about the song... not been for a long time.... its about the money

1st place so bad

I can't believe Belgium got 7th place, it should've switched place with Moldova.

But sometimes I feel that the odds are reflecting public opinion that’s generated on fan sites like wiwibloggs that are bias and promote acts they like personally promote shamelessly instead of being objective.