Austin is my man!!! I am HUUUUUUUUUGE Elvis' fan, and went to the movie with no much expectations because all actors who had portrayed Elvis before made a "cartoon" version of him: exagerating the lips gesture, and how he said "baby", and the southern accent... I mean, in some point, all of those performaces were even disrespectful, I'm sure with no intention, but in the end, they all made a halloween costume out of Elvis, and I truly hate them all. So, watching Austin performance was soooooo refreshing…he NAILED IT! The stuttering Elvis had when he wanted to talk faster, the movements, the accent, the laugh!! In the scene where they are at the Hollywood sign and he laughed...I lost it!! he WAS Elvis!! Mindblowing! He did it with love and respect, he really prepared for the role for three years; he made a beautiful and moving performance. Elvis got a movie that FINALLY made justice to him (I must confess I ended up crying at the end when the movie blends to the real Elvis' footage), and Austin was simply marvelous. He gotta have the Oscar! I'm praying for it!!
Austin Butler is 31. It's rare for young men to win Best Actor by their early 30s, but he could do it. The ones who did are: Adrien Brody (29); Richard Dreyfuss and Marlon Brando (30); Maximilian Schell (31); Nicolas Cage, James Stewart and Daniel Day-Lewis (32), and Eddie Redmayne (33).
@@arontamas5639 The Whale had a weak script and supporting cast outside of Hong Chau But I'd still much prefer if Colin Farrel or Fraser won the oscar. Freaking tired of biopic (especially singer biopic) wins.
If Fraser has that 'come back' narrative, then Butler has the narrative of 'never give up'. The story about him has been in this business for nearly 2 decates and there were times that he hadn't booked any role, he was out of job for several months many times. This narrative is really inspiring as same as the 'come back' one, this shows that it doesn't matter how many times he falls, it's how many times he gets back up!!! This story together with his hard work on Elvis for almost 3 years, should help him win the Oscar. However, if Fraser or Farrell wins, they are all well deserved!!!
Austin looks, talks, walks, stutters, dances, laughs and yells like Elvis and even sings some like Elvis and throughout three completely different looks and styles in three decades. It's not close
Mark my words: Austin Butler will win the Best Actor Oscar for Elvis on March 12. Everyone please respond later that evening to my comment here. I would love to have a great discussion about this
Austin winning just shows that he’s still in the race. And if he wins SAG then it’s pretty much game over. But Fraser could win SAG also and it could come down between Butler vs Fraser for the Oscars. Kerry Condon could possibly be the only Oscar win for Banshees if Colin doesn’t win along with original screenplay. And I feel best picture is still anyone’s game
I loved All Quiet on the Western Front so I'm happy it took all those awards! We were expecting Blanchette to win here and we also knew Banshees was a legitimate contender for many prizes so I wasn't expecting Bassett to win supporting. Having said all that, I'm not sure it'll translate into Oscar success. BAFTA doesn't have a great record predicting Best Picture and the Daniels just won DGA (and they're expected to also win WGA) so I'm still putting my money on EEAAO, even if something else wins PGA. But this definably shakes things up! And, I'm here for the shaking!! PS: Barry Keoghan was the true supporting performance in Banshees.
Is the vibe really that poor for Spielberg for director bc I think Spielberg can still win that Oscar. Maybe I’m hope-dicting, but the academy-wide will be voting on that Oscar, not just members of the DGA. I’m not sure yet if they would want EEAAO to win both picture and Director. I guess people don’t care now, but it is one of our most legendary filmmakers finally making a raw authentic portrait of their childhood when they are in their 70s
I also think Blanchett will sweep. She is the only one left who can. She is very popular with SAG. And if EEAAO wins Ensemble, they may not feel the need to reward Yeoh twice.
They would also want to celebrate Curtis and Hsu by giving EEAAO ensemble. But you're right. It's rare that a movie would win 3 SAGs, though it has happened.
Guys, it’s not like they “love” war movies in the UK, AQOTWF is honestly one of the best films this year along with TAR. And it’s not shocking that European festivals and award bodies see it and American ones don’t. Oscars have always been more blockbuster oriented and Europe (BAFTA, Cannes, Venice, Berlin etc) are more artsy.
@@coronaflo sorry, when I mean blockbuster I meant it in the European standard essence. Most American films that have a Hollywood feel are considered kind of blockbusters even if it’s not something like Avatar, Marvel or action packed feature. TAR for example from the list is one of the few Hollywood type films that is tend to be received well in Europe due to its European artsy feel.
@@da96103 the Dunkirk spirit, I agree. Brexit was heavily influenced by it. But in the films like the rest of Europe they tend to go for more artsy choices than the States.
It's just hard to imagine that Rami Malek would get an Oscar for a biopic, but Austin wouldn't simply because the Academy is less crazy about biopics these days and there are more established actors with worthy performances. Austin's performance was the standout of the year. Everyone left the cinema talking about it. It made Austin an A-lister overnight.
Only if he loses to Fraser. If Colin Farrell wins SAG somehow, Butler is still the frontrunner imo. The fact that Colin lost bafta with how well Banshees did overall here doesn’t speak well to his Oscar chances
Yeah, i think at in the end he will win, I hope.. if the fabelmans wins sag spielberg wins directing like Parasite... the second part of everything everywhere all at once is really really boring
@@christiangonella984 not a crazy thought on SAG. "Families" have recently won the SAG ensemble: Parasite and CODA. A smaller family in EEAAO of course fits that archetype, but is also a smaller ensemble (like POTD losing as a smaller unit of actors, and other smaller groups losing to larger casts). The Fabelmans just comes across as SAG ensemble-type favorite by their standards.
After the result of the BAFTAs, come some of the most interesting PGA and Oscars of all time: BAFTA: All Quiet on the Western Front Golden Globe: The Fabelmans, The Banshees Critics' Choice: EEAAO NYFCC, LAFCA, NSFC: TAR NBR: Top Gun: M
I know that many films have won the Oscar BP without BAFTA success. But isn't it fair to say that with a plurality vote, that EEAAO could've been as low as 4th with the Brits (behind AQ, Banshees, Elvis). With the notion floating around that EEAAO "could" struggle on a preferential ballot, does that make EEAAO look weaker (Brits aren't for it + preferential hurdle)? Also, If AQOTWF wins things like Int'l, Cinematography, Score etc. at the Oscars ... and then Screenplay ... how much of a nailbiter will it be to see if it actually pulls off Best Picture? That screenplay win would be crucial.
The guy from Talking Heads for EEAAO already won an Oscar for The Last Emperor decades ago, score, and Natu Natu could be like Falling Slowly from Once, beloved movie, one nomination, let's give it to them. IMHO
I can’t see this is a life being above 4th. The song does not have anywhere near the passion Naatu Naatu, Hold my Hand, and Lift me Up have. I don’t see passion for the movie translating that heavy to a song that is so forgotten over the memorable Naatu Naatu or two major stars in Gaga and Rihanna.
Top Gun is the most complete and professional movie of all. The other nominations are cliche and predictable. The Whale, Banshees and All Quiet are act-by-numbers cliches . Elvis is too far European-dark style for Hollywood. Bill Nighy is absolutely stunning.
Austin Butler won the The Golden Globe over Fraser (Drama) and BAFTA over Farrell and Fraser, as well as the Australian AACTA International and Catalonia Sant Jordi and the Satellite over Farrell (Comedy or Musical) and he's up for the Irish International category at IFTA. Fraser won his awards because of his melodramatics and feel good comeback narrative and it was all American bodies falling for that garbage. The Forgien Press, British Academy, Australian Academy international version and Catalonia Branch of the Public Spanish Radio Network all went with Butler over Fraser and Farrell. Austin's dramatics in Elvis beyond the amazing on stage performances matched both Farrell and Fraser when Elvis's mother dies, when Priscilla leaves and when he screams at Parker on stage and when he yells at him and his dad in the hotel lobby and suite. Austin did so many subtle things too that went over the heads of many who aren't lifelong avid Elvis fans. Also, The Golden Globes and BAFTA are too good to be seen as, and never were, traditional precursors to the agenda based Oscars. When they line up with the Oscars it is purely coincidental because of what each voting body primarily represents, that being The Golden Globes - International voters from around the world, The BAFTAs - voters from the United Kingdom and The Oscars - voters from the United States. The Golden Globes and BAFTA have always been prestigious stand alone awards. BAFTA's ceremony has only preceeded the Oscars for 20 years. For over 50 years the Oscars could be called a precursor to BAFTA. Critics Choice and SAG are more precursors because they are American voters. This explains why outside of the U.S. Critics Choice and SAG don't make a single list of important film awards on a world scale, because people only look to the Oscars for what the U.S. thinks, and that Critics Choice and SAG have only been around since 1995 and 1996. The Golden Globes (1944) BAFTA (1949) along with the Oscars (1929) all make every list of not only significant global film awards, but awards in general, including the Grammy, Nobel and Pulitzer. If you win the Oscar, and you also won Critics Choice and/or SAG for the same role or film etc, the Oscar is just a greater extension of those wins. But if you win an Oscar, Golden Globe and/or BAFTA, it's much more like winning multiple awards. Same as if you win Critics Choice and/or SAG but not the Oscar, you're far more empty handed in the eyes of the masses than had you won a Golden Globe and/or BAFTA but not the Oscar. In that scenario you've still won one or more worldwide prestigious trophies
this was the wirdest BAFTAs... Lets recapitalise. They gave best Picture to a fine REMAKE instead of a film that redined what narrative and script is all about (TAR) they gave Best actor to an extremely talented young actor instead of Frazer, or Farrell or Nightly doing the best performance of their carreer. I don't think Austin, no matter he deserves all the praises, was better than them this year... He might become a legend but it is about THIS year, and the list goes on... The only logic choice they made was Blanchett but it is not an excuse for everything else...
Have you seen the couple other All Quiets??? THIS is quite different, and Supremely distinct. If it weren't for awesome Parasite, I believe it'd win best film at the Oscar's this year. Faaaaar more than a 'remake.'
Redined? Refined maybe? Anyway - no. You clearly don't watch a lot of "festival movies". I love Tar, wish it could win best picture at the Oscars. That being said, it's really nothing groundbreaking. It's a very well made, fun and thought-provoking european arthouse film
It's not a remake. In the sense that the Germans didn't need to even watch previous adaptations of the book to make this one. It's another adaptation of the same book, but not a remake. And the Germans did such a good job adapting the book they won BAFTA for the best adapted screenplay.
@@Nobody-nv6ds first thing first. I apologise for the typo., I have dyslexia and i am not a native speaker but it doesn't mean i should give you hard time reading. I meant to write redefine. Apologies... I have no idea what you mean with the "alot" but for 16 years i have a permanent ticket in my city's film festival. Also about the meaning of remake, maybe its a linguistic misunderstanding. This version differentiates itself from the 2 previous. Of course this happens because the way we use texts is in a dialogue with societal and political needs of our era. And yet it is based on one of the most tremendous books ever written, already transferred twice on screen. I think what gave it a push is the momentum, like Ukranian war f.i. But it is not as genuine as an original script that on top changes or at least expands what film narrative is about. And imo there was such a script/film this year. The fact that you call it "fun" challenges me to use the same argument "you clearly don't watch a lot of art movies" but it will be unfair. We are entitled to our opinions
@@tharunvishal720 Some people play golf. Some people collect antiques. My interests include collecting films that have value as an art form, not as merely commercial enterprises. Oscars are meant to honor films of value, not just box office fluff.
Top Gun: Maverick winning would fall into that Best Picture category of Braveheart, Gladiator - epic crowd-pleasing movies that made a lot of money and we're generally loved by audiences. It's been a while since we had a Best Picture nominee like that.
Not that he doesn’t deserve it, but the BAFTAs this year don’t seem like a very good indicator of what to expect at the Oscar’s. They seem to have chosen less obvious winners in a lot of categories this year
Spielberg doesn’t deserve it this year. He was robbed last year with WSS, he did a phenomenal work and camera movement, framing and composition was unreal.
Fraser is unlikely to win Best Actor without Best Picture nomination, and the last 13 Oscar winners in that category are living proof. The last 8 BAFTA winners for Best Actor also won the Oscar. I agree that Spielberg is done and I'll be surprised if Fabelmans wins any award at all.
"TÁR" is, for all its symphonic structure and formalism, at many levels a satiric hoot, and the whole Act 3-dream argument is laughable. Butler now joins Blanchett as One To Beat, as DGA already pointed to the Daniels in that direction. Bassett and Quan are hardly likely to be derailed, nor are Polley and McDonough for writing. International Feature is "All Quiet's" to lose, unless enough of the membership see and fall to pieces over "Close." For BP, SAG and PGA seem the big final tells at this point -- the BAFTA upsets were only somewhat more indicative than not that this year's Oscars could be a Free For All, which would be great. "Navalny" is a major documentary contender, timely, entertaining and the kind of film AMPAS may choose to prove its social conscience bona fides after going science-y/uplift in recent years. Also, it shares with "EO" and "Banshees" this year's biggest trend: The Year of The Donkey. As ever, youse twose are the berries. More, please, thank you.
@@bruh_hahaha Yeah man. It's a shame deserving performance won't be recognised due to so called narrative. Performance wise Condon is the best in the category. Hope Academy has balls to recognise as such
@@rics1883 I think Condon was better, but not much more. It didn’t ring Oscar winner to me, and the fact that this is somewhat of a breakout performance for her doesn’t help her chances either. The yearning to correct her Oscar-less nomination 30 years back from especially the black voters would be too compelling for them to miss
Not gonna lie, pretty bummed about the results. War movie and biopic wins were boring;they are tired awards bait tropes. Barry Keoghan was the absolutely highlight though. Highly deserved win for an amazing actor and a beautiful role.
I understand what you mean with Ke being child-like, but he is after all Short Round and Data, so he will not be docked off points for that. But had it been Tom Cruise behaving the same way, we will never hear the end of it.
@@rics1883 Well, for its genre is a really good movie, messy, yeah, doesn't that reflect our era?- funny challenging... Do i consider it the best of 2023? no, do i like this genre the best? no, but we don't have to cancel the hard work of its team. Thank you for the discussion
No Brendan Fraser will win the next adwards. The SGA, and the Oscars. They love sappy Drama movies. Even though, Elvis had sad moments. It was not overall a sad movie.
The Academy loves biopics, especially when singing is involved. Ask last year's winner Jessica Chastain, as well as Zellweger and Malek in the last few years. Not to mention that Elvis Presley is a legend compared to the entertainers portrayed by the aforementioned Oscar winners.
I'm shocked. I mean he did a great impersonation of Elvis. Elvis impersonators are a dime a dozen in Vegas. But the movie sucked and was essentially just another Baz Luhrmann fever dream.
