I know it's not much on it's own but my family buys a live tree for Christmas uses it for 2 years then plants it in early spring after its second use. Repeat. More families should consider this approach. It also costs basically the same or even less per year as opposed to buying recently cut "live" trees.
I wish you were correct about California High Speed Rail (5:11) between San Francisco and Los Angeles commencing full service by 2033. Unfortunately only a third of the line, within the California Central Valley, will be completed by then. It will link two rural towns to each other. 2050 is looking to be the actual date of high-speed rail service between San Francisco and Los Angeles. A very sad chapter in American infrastructure improvements. Thanks for the video; a lot of food for thought.
I'd say a more realistic goal would be 2035-2040 with current construction pace. It will be awhile but the huge benefit I will provide will be worth it. Japan's HSR system saw delays and cost overruns when it was built, but no one ever thinks about that.
@@JayMcKinsey Unfortunately the northern leg, Merced to San Jose, is only in the planning stages currently. They're still seeking funding. All of the current emphasis is having the central portion up and running by 2030 but they've given themselves a three-year "fudge" timeline. That's 2033. I'm not optimistic.
A million planted tree twigs equals about one full grown Sitka Spruce. Don't be fooled by the numbers. The largest trees gather more and more carbon, like compound interest, year after year.
And planting trees to make up for cutting them down to build solar and wind farms is stupid especially when the wind farms are on mountains surrounded by forests lol. And people have known for years that too many trees in forests results in weaker forests so yeah. Plant more trees in forests lol.
Linking metro region to metro region? How many people NEED to travel from San Fran to LA in the first place? Or Houston to Dallas? It sounds like pork barrel.
As someone who wrote a 20 page paper researching high speed rail development, we absolutely will not have a national rail speed network by then. States suck at high speed rail planning and the federal agencies have shown little to no interest in nationalizing our transit system like they did the highway.
Trees not only help to sequester CO2, but they also help to moderate temperatures by evaporation. As the trees perform photosynthesis, they respirate and output water vapor, which is also a way they they moderate their own temperature. This water vapor in the air helps to moderate temperatures and ward off soil desiccation. Don't get me started on the value of trees. They are more valuable than they appear to be, especially as forests become mature with all associated undergrowth and plant material reclamation.
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I don't think that the US tree population is shrinking because of urbanization, but rather because of suburbanization. We take up so much space with our low-density suburbs that we build outward, and may have to resort going through forests.
Over-expansion of agriculture on land not as suitible for intensive crop production was a huge contributor in the last part of the 20th century... re-forestation of these lands in the midwest and plains could be a huge help to capture carbon in North America.
I think that most people who live in big cities love to complain about how much space we take up . Forest are shrinking due to wildfires because you city people want the funding from wild fire prevention to spend on other pet projects. I guess since trees can't vote you all don't care to ensure we properly fund prevention efforts.
Both, urbanization AND suburbanization, affect the tree population. As cities are rapidly densifying their urban core and replacing the single family homes with large multi-family developments, each lot that once had 3-4 trees on them are being removed to use the entire parcel footprint. Oftentimes these are very mature trees with a large tree canopy. Unfortunately, the replacement trees are relegated to small right of way strips and are generally smaller, ornamental-like trees.
Thank you for showing your views on future trends.Appreciate it. Personally, I am bit wary of putting faith in policy initiative like high speed rail and treeplanting panning out. This requires active citizen pressure and commitment from officials over a long period of time.
High speed rail is a fantasy of the Left. The USA may as well throw its money down the proverbial rat hole than spend it on creating massive boondoggles that will bankrupt us all.
We have “high speed rail”. The current locomotives and rail cars are capable of 100mph cruise. What we need is railbeds, routes and schedules that let us take advantage of that and keep the average speed over the route in the 60-70 mph range - and stay on schedule. Being consistently late is a huge problem for Amtrak and limits it’s ability to attract riders that need to be somewhere on time - which is most people.
You are correct. But the owner of this channel is an ideologue who thinks the world moves in a clear linear pattern toward progress, and that he and his fellow hivemind are the gatekeepers for it. The will for high speed rail has to exist among the people or it cannot happen. There is no evidence that such will exists outside of a few already highly urbanized places. Besides, do the high-speed rail advocates realize we're a single terrorist attack away from snuffing out what little demand there already is for rail travel?
It is what it is! During this austere times, protecting one's capital is much more important than making money. Basically because if one loses one's capital, making money is much harder. ''Missing the train'' vs. ''losing your money''. There are a lot of trains, but if your money is gone, it's over.
You need to invest in order to protect your hard-earned funds from inflation. You need to invest now because your money is more valuable today than it will be in a year, Bottom-line is that inflation is actually above 10% whilst interest rates is sub 2%. Cash is still trash.
$10,000 is worth more than it will be in the future. Investing in the stock market is the surest way of protecting your money from inflation and the best way to build wealth. The U.S stock market is the world's biggest wealth creator which always outperforms most economic realities in the long term.
@@kaylawood9053 You can't really know the full risk rate except you are a Pro. Reason I settled for advisory and guide from a stocks guru, “ELEANOR ANNETTE ECKHAUS”. Never been the same again with my holdings
The crazy part is that advisors are probably outperforming the market and raising good returns. I will give this a look up, lucky i stumbled on this thread..
The more I study trends analysis and predictions, the more difficult the task of predicting the future seems to be. There are just too many moving parts and unknowns for us to make any accurate predictions about much of anything. Changes in laws, public policy, technology, and cultural preferences can all have a dramatic effect in ways we cannot predict. Just as an example, up until 2020 very few people thought that remote work would really be a major factor in the job market, but now it is a major consideration just a short 3 years later. That is a combination of technological innovation and a shift in cultural values among workers. Big tech employers like Elon Musk can lament the change in worker preferences all they want, but if the best workers demand remote work, employers will have to bend the knee to what the employment market will allow. These kinds of changes in employment have the potential to significantly reshape human living patterns and city development plans in the future. The commercial real estate market in the USA looks like it may be about to implode over the next several years as a result of these changing employment patterns by workers and businesses. The dense commercial districts once epitomized by places like New York City may become a thing of the past. (That's why I'm not bullish on NYC over the long term.) These kinds of changes along with the rise of new technologies related to AI and robotics will have a dramatic effect on the ways cities are designed in the future. There is just no way for us to predict how all of this is going to play out over the next several decades.
Agreed I was just researching the Great Lakes area due to the info I’m seeing on probable rising sea levels and heat in the South. So much info, no clear way to truly predict anything.
"Big tech employers like Elon Musk can lament the change in worker preferences all they want, but if the best workers demand remote work, employers will have to bend the knee to what the employment market will allow." Perhaps you have this backward. The number 1 and 2 most desirable tech companies for engineers are (interchangeably) SpaceX and Tesla. Guess who demands workers to physically come "to work" (at least predominately)?
Agreed. The biggest changes will be much faster. Remote work, electric vehicles, artificial intelligence, telehealth, aging demographics are here NOW. Many costs of goods & services will plummet. Huge swap of human labor for automation. Values of land, property, real estate upheaval as citizens demand & civic government become "smart."Academia & Judiciary by A.I. Today will be " The Dumb Old Days."
Top ten things occurring by 2050: (1) White people become an absolute minority in their own country (2) Mexicans become the dominant majority race in the country (3) > 30% of the US population will identify as homosexual, bisexual, transgender, pedophile, or non-binary (4) > 90% of marriages will end in divorce (5) > 90% of children are born out of wedlock and in single parenthood units (6) America becomes a one-party state (controlled by Democrats) (7) Speech is monitored daily and controlled (8) 50% of the country live below poverty level due to inflation, unemployment, poor economy, and massive crime (9) America ranks #200 in terms of literacy rate and education level (10) The United States is replaced by China as the dominant country in the world
Assume you're in the medium. Assume you're not privileged enough to witness the beginning or the end, use that as a model to predict. It's an old methodology that might surprise you with how effective it is.
I love driving lol if I have to choose between a 12 hour drive and a 2 hour flight I’ll take the drive. I like seeing the scenery and having the option to stop and explore any area I find interesting. Being forced to travel with dozens to hundreds of strangers is awful lol but I realize I’m an outlier.
Public transit gets a LOT easier with smaller lot sizes and more quadplexes, because it means both shorter routes and more passengers (and trips) per mile.
@@huebeyduebey3493 The only way I'll ever get on a plane again is if it's going to Europe. Otherwise, I'll drive at my normal pace of 300 miles a day, avoiding interstates and places with a lot of traffic.
I remember one of my college professors back around 1990 predict that in 20 years we would all be a night-shift society because of the ozone hole. Well, 2010 came and went and we're still not a night-shift society. I just hope he lived to see the folly of that prediction.
Many scientists had similar predictions then... and it did not happen plainly just because: WE (scientists, governments, and leaders around the world) took action to remedy the situation then with "The Montreal Protocol" to protect the Earth’s ozone layer. Look it up. It's the most successful worldwide treaty (signed by every country in the world) that enabled the healing of the ozone layer by phased out 98 per cent of their ozone-depleting substances (e.g. the coolant CFC-11 we used in all of our automobiles, home air conditioning, etc).
@@richardnish6469 The Chinese, the Japanese, even the Americans, and many other governments around the world took action with their population control. The Chinese alone with their one-child policy had effectively reduced the Chinese population tremendously that they're now changing to a two-child (or even more) policy. The Japanese are now with an aging population that they have to immigrate the Filipinos into their country to take care of their elderly. Americans are now with less than 1.38 child per couple and with condoms, birth control pills, pregnancy prevention measures, abortions... even wars... have kept the population in check and under "the population bomb" catastrophe.
I doubt there will be widespread highsoeed rail - unless the setvice is profitable. With gowing givernment debt, public projects will face heavy funding scrutiny . If the U.S. Dollar loses its status as the global reserve currency. all bets are off on the long term of many givernment programs. Large citues could become hell holes of crime. Cities like Portland are losing retail because of crime and disresoect for private property. If the era of cheap debt is over., cities face growing violence.
I see more Bad things happening than Good. We will be poorer, less educated and more separated and divided. Thats the trend I have seen in the last 50 years. Dont see it reversing.
I live in El Paso, TX. I really wouldn't be surprised if in 30 years the population of this city is forced to shrink to half its current size. There just isn't enough water to sustain continued growth.
As a Texan born and raised, I will be moving to West Pennsylvania next year. The heat has really gotten to me and I'm sure it will only get worse as a year's progress. I just want to be able to enjoy a lot of time outside without sweating so much or me and at the rest of dehydration.
This is my exact scenario. I'm a native Texan in my mid 40s and just bought my first home in Wisconsin because I reached a point where the increasingly brutal summers were just too oppressive. I'll learn to drive in snow, lol!!
bad move as the winters are going to get worse each year from now on, more snow, summers where the snow never melts. A glacier in Chicago by 2032 great lakes frozen over all winter by 2030 snow and cold will make living impossible up northern US. I'm moving to Panama. It's going to be down right cold in Brownsville TX winters within a few years...lol
@liversuccess1420 I definitely think people make too much of climate change. We do have A/C nowadays. We'll simply adapt to the higher heat (if it actually happens).
Up until 6 months ago I thought by 2050 people would flock to Minnesota. But I don't think that today. I've lived in Minnesota my whole life. 72 winters. This past 6 months was ridiculously snowy and cold. Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar April. Cold. As long as that continues I doubt the masses will move to Minnesota. Brrr. Finally this week we have 7 days in a row of 70 plus degree temps. One commentator said people will move to mid tier states. Missouri Arkansas Kentucky etc. Seems liked a good plan to me. Stay away from Minnesota and let us die hard fools wallow in our cold misery for 6 months.
@@stepheng3667 We don't want them anyway . Being serious though I believe that there is going to be huge movements of people trying to find more temperate areas .
Ilhan Omar and her family moved to Minnesota, knowing full well (I think) how long the cold lasts there, because she did not want to spend the rest of her life in Somalia and quite possibly die of hunger there. She's been a great Congresswoman and I hope your state gets more immigrants like her. But you're right that people who just want to be warm and "comfortable" all the time would be much better off buying a house next to Sarah Huckabee Sanders.
What happens when all the baby boomers are gone? The birthrate has been below replacement level for awhile. People living longer doesn't help the problem of a dwindling working age population. Will there really be enough legal immigration to replace the jobs in the infrastructure that was built by soon gone boomers? Especially looking at current immigration policy and social views on migrants. The infrastructure is already crumbling all around the country. This assumes there will be no problem replacing the aging boomers with migrants.
Actually, American suburbs were *created* by mass transit. Long before cars were common, let alone affordable, developers would plat out subdivisions where land was cheap, far from city centers. To entice people who worked in those city centers (and thus had money) to move so far out, the developers would build electric trolley lines that ran from their suburbs into the city. But this was a bait-and-switch tactic: it costs far more to run and maintain a rail line than to build it, and eventually the private companies who operated these lines would go bankrupt. To keep workers from being cut off from their jobs, the cities would have to take over these lines and run them as public utilities, using a combination of higher taxes, higher fares and reduced service. As you might imagine, this pleased no one except the developers, who got away with it. If you wonder why America is so "car-centric," that's one reason. And we haven't even gotten to Jay Gould and the Rail Barons and the Pullman Strike and a whole folk-song album's worth of exploitation, violence and corporate welfare.
Yes, totally agree. The main reason railroads got built across the continent was the government gave huge swaths of land on either side of the right of way and paid them for every mile of track built. The rail companies made most of their money selling the land to settlers. When the money from the land ran out and highways were built for private cars, the passenger service was no longer profitable and the government created Amtrak.
Were trolley lines not profitable or was it because the car industry bought and then ripped out the competition? I think it was that GM wanted to push more product and removed mass transit options from our cities, but it's only part of the story. The other part is that car congestion started happening and made it impossible to keep on schedule. Mandatory 5 cent fares didn't keep up with inflation and the trolley companies were contractually obligated to maintain roads for (the competition) cars to drive on. Issues from 100 years ago are still causing us problems today with our traffic congestion and lack of mass transit options.
@@DanielsMTB White America largely abandoned mass transit after Rosa Parks. When the Feds told them they had to sit next to blacks on the bus they stopped riding the bus. The racists who stopped riding the bus are gone for the most part but their kids never used mass transit, nor have their grandkids. Once people have had the freedom of owning and driving their own vehicle they are very unlikely to willingly give that up and go back to using mass transit unless they move to a large city where a car is more of a liability than an asset.
man that bit about the trains was hella depressing. you're telling me that by 2050 all of the high-speed rail is mainly just gonna be 2 big cities in big name states being connected? we have 27 years until 2050. look at what China accomplished in less than half that time. the US is so disappointing.
@Norman Clαtcher oh man u must be drinking kool aid, if there's one thing we can give the chinese credit for is that their HSR network is probably one of if not the best in the world and tbh the US should look at china as an example to expand its own HSR
@@benchlaylaurent6518 I have seen people criticize Chinese HSR saying that they subsidized it 900 Billion! We did the same thing. We call it the Interstate Highway System.
Monoculture tree planting seems to be the plan currently. Mostly, evergreen trees that will likely be harvested when mature. I have heard nothing of planting for a multi-species forest, deciduous and evergreens.
Sorry to be negative but I'll be surprised if all 50 states are intact. Given today's political climate I expect a national divorce within 10 years. Do not be surprised if we split into 2 or 3 different countries. Countries change borders all the time within 25 years. I agree with you that there will be more trees, however I disagree people will want to live in more dense places. I think people will rediscover farmlands again.
Top ten things occurring by 2050: (1) White people become an absolute minority in their own country (2) Mexicans become the dominant majority race in the country (3) > 30% of the US population will identify as homosexual, bisexual, transgender, pedophile, or non-binary (4) > 90% of marriages will end in divorce (5) > 90% of children are born out of wedlock and in single parenthood units (6) America becomes a one-party state (controlled by Democrats) (7) Speech is monitored daily and controlled (8) 50% of the country live below poverty level due to inflation, unemployment, poor economy, and massive crime (9) America ranks #200 in terms of literacy rate and education level (10) The United States is replaced by China as the dominant country in the world
I think the estimated population of 400-450 million is way over what it will be based on trends I’ve seen. What data did you use to extrapolate for your prediction?
It's not unlikely for the US population to rise to 400 - 450 million by 2050. Continued immigration will likely ensure that the population of the US will continue to increase at a steady pace, when accounting for the number of people being displaced by climate change.
@@brandonn.1275 The sources of immigration are also seeing population growth flatten or drop. I also think it is very unlikely. They had to scale back 2020 and 2030 predictions.
@@erichamilton3373 perhaps not unlikely, according to recent projections of people being displaced by climate change, the number of people displaced will reach 1.2 billion by 2050.
Really enjoy your videos! You clearly put a lot of time and effort into them and they're always interesting. A small bit of constructive criticism: when you speak, unless you're posing a question, don't use High-rising Terminal (when a person's voice goes up at the end of every statement). That always makes people sound tentative and uncertain and they are taken less seriously. The stereotypical effect is Valley Girl Speak. You don't want to sound like that. When you make declarative statements, end your sentences with a downward inflection instead. That makes it more powerful and indicates you are confident in your message.
@@hankhillsnrrwurethra To the rest of the world. The US will no loner be able to force it's will onto the world since there is a growing counter-balance as seen during the days of the Cold War, except America is on the decline this time.
@@gannon3816 Did you see what the US did when Iran attacked Aramco, or when they grabbed that tanker three weeks ago? Nothing. You are on your own, and you'll be wishing Uncle Sam was still putting the fear into the mullahs and bone sawyers soon enough.
@@hankhillsnrrwurethra Empires don't fall overnight. It will be a long process over the course of a few decades or maybe a century. Either way, when the FIAT currency system implodes, that will spell doom for US unipolar hegemony.
America needs: "The better off low income living people are doing; The better off the entire economy will be doing." Type mentality -Think of it like a ecosystem in nature. The little things might seem meaningless and insignificant yet, if they crumbled away, the entire ecosystem would crumble. The last things remaining would be the top predators that eat everything else.. until they eat each other.. leaving just a few top sharks in the ecosystem.. the whales would all be gone once the plankton crumble away, the sharks would eat the whales. Then once all that's left is sharks, the sharks would eat the sharks. *(Think of this but as a analogy for our economy and our modern day society..) If we instead decided to support the lowest people in the ecosystem, there would be a beneficial systematic dispersion towards other aspects of society benefiting. All because the lowest people would be flourishing. I say flourish but I really just mean, able to obtain the most basic essential living standards... Yet even that would Vastly improve our current state of our economy & society *Also imagine this analogy in our economy. The more help we invest in the lowest level people, the more it would trickle into every facet of our economy. If poor people can pay their rent & not go homeless: landlords would get $, businesses would get $, banks would get $, local small shops would get $, mortgages & bills could be paid, insurance companies would get $, Taxes would get $, So essentially that $ would go out & filter right back in to improve our Country while simultaneously improving our quality of Life. Every bit of the economy would somehow find a way to benefit off of this situation... I don't get why we haven't even Given it a chance?? If it doesn't help? Then by all means stop it and figure out what problems we could be facing might be one's that run way deeper than expected and that would take drastic changes to improve that situation... (I hope we TRY something soon, before things get any more unstable. The worst thing we could do is continue on doing exactly what we are currently doing. It might get to a point where overcoming our struggles could simply become a pipedream. I don't want it to get to that)
Because it's not enough to just have it all, they need us groveling at their feet in despair. We've got some sick individuals in the upper class and in positions of power.
50% will not make it to 2040, let alone 2050 (80%), heck 2030 will be a challenge at this rate (expect a quarter to a third), with a massive drop off in new births, you can expect the world population to be as followed: 7billion - 2030(stabilize), 4 billion - 2040(minor decline), 1.6 billion - 2050(major decline)
Nobody is going to want to live in these large cities if they don't get the crime, homeless, drugs, and mental illness under control. The DAs need to prosecute. If they cleaned up the streets and I felt safe I would consider moving downtown.
Yep. LA, Chicago, Detroit and NY all have sections no longer livable and/or abandoned. This video I believe is 100% wrong. We face a massive population collapse.
I'd put money on it that the USA will have less population in 2050 than today. We'll also have a pretty rough fiscal system because Congress won't make social cuts till too late, when the dollar starts to fall apart.
My spouse and I actually talked about moving to Buffalo one day - we liked it was by a large water source, has public transit, and close to Canada if we ever needed to flee lol. Then that crazy snowstorm happened this past Dec/Jan. Scared us off lol.
As a lifelong Buffalonian, that storm was historic, it hasn’t been that bad since 1977 when we had a massive blizzard. Buffalo is a great place to live with warm and sunny summers and all four seasons to experience. Having Canada 20 mins away is a bonus, being just an hour and a half away from Toronto! Cost of living is cheap, and there’s so much water! Not to mention some of the best food in a city you could have!
Yeah that snowstorm was horrific. But being from Western New York you learn to stay inside until it stops snowing then dig out. No big deal. Just plan not to drive during the storm. BTW, summer in Buffalo is near perfection.
Portland is looking like a mental asylum at this point by 2050 who knows what will happen. SF is an example of another city with horrible ideas. California has lost something like 500,000 people in a year from people moving out. I will say I hope the high speed rail is actually done, that would be great if they ever actually do it.
Incorrect about the average age increasing - it is actually now decreasing mainly because of extreme obesity, poor diet, and a surge in diabetes and other health-related diseases. More population / expanse issues are the more recent dystopian problems in large cities - greatly affecting their local economies. States like California - if continuing their present course - could significantly shrink in population.
"Many of these newer Americans will be far more diverse than the current population". When ideology prevents you from speaking English correctly. It's not possible for a single individual to be "diverse", only a group can be diverse. So the population as a whole will be more ethnically diverse, not the individual immigrants themselves. A person's family background can be racially heterogeneous, but once again that doesn't make *them* diverse, only their ancestors collectively.
These blistering hot summers are going to have a lot of influence as to where one lives. I left Texas and moved to Delaware 5 years ago because of taxes and insurance costs, with insurance being the biggest factor. When I left, I was paying $6000+ for flood, Windstorm, Homeowners, and excess liability insurance.
Also by 2050 the American Serengeti will finally open in Montana returning native Bison, Elk, Grizzlies, and other Animals to land they once roamed, as well as an effort to revitalize the important grasslands on the great plains! Forest farming will also be more frequent moving away from our current big agriculture industrial farming.
As a farmer myself I don’t really see forest farming really going anywhere tbh. The main issue with it is that it lacks scalability and uses a lot more manual labor to manage than traditional fields and such. Given that a lot of farms are already short on labor, increasing the reliance on it is not really the best idea
Please God this should happen but I also think wild mustangs should be kept as part of the ecosystem. They don’t really do much damage and can be taken by wolves, grizzly bears and the young by mountain lions and wolverines.
The current interglacial period could end and a new glacial period begin. Global human population could plummet due to pestilence, pestilence response, war, large scale famine, and the emergence of a global totalitarian world government that places a high priority on population control. Global infrastructure could be systematically dismantled and recycled and vast regions of former human occupation could be remodeled into nature parks. Nuclear fusion may come to replace nuclear fission and thereafter all the old fission plants would be decommisioned and the highly toxic fuels and waste neutralized or securely embalmed to avoid further degradation of the plantary systems--in particular the oceans and ground water. The role of genetics could become hyper prevalent in all things related to health, reproduction, and social engineering. An asteroid could strike the planet and precipitate a global mass extinction. The possibilities are endless.
Your predictions are based on a number of predictions that have already been proven false. You need a better source of information thanks, unsubscribed
I disagree with most of your predictions. - By 2050 the youngest Baby Boomers will be 90, and they are the largest generation. Every generation that follows is progressive smaller. The population will decrease by this fact alone. By 2035 we will enter a "death boom", when the Baby Boomers start to die. - More recent generations are not nearly as healthy as the previous ones. Young people, pre-teens, etc., already have medical conditions associated with seniors. And, most of them are overweight. Many morbidly so. Their life expectancy won't be longer but shorter. - Cities are losing population. And that trend has been ongoing since 1950 in some areas. Without a centralized population, there is no need for a High-Speed Railnet. - Population growth (i.e. child births) are unequal. Areas (and states) that are conservative and more religious (rural/suburb) are outgrowing the more progressive and secular cities. - California, New York, Pennsylvania, Illinois have all lost population as proven by the 2020 census. Enough to warrant a loss of a congressional. And the trend continues. This completely contradicts your prediction. There are plenty more errors that you made and where your predictions don't correspond to current trends. It appears that you want to push a narrative rather than objectively assess facts and trends. This was a horrible and blatant piece of propaganda. Postscript. As far as "climate change" goes, by 1970s' predictions, we should be living in a new "ice age" today. And, yes, they blamed this "climate change" on industrialization and carbon emissions too. "climate change" is a scam and you are a fool to propagate and believe in it. THUMBS DOWN
I’m so happy to lived in northeastern Wisconsin on the thumb part of the state. There is a little bit of a climate change over the years. I remembered during the 90’s the water was very low for a long time. It went up in early 2010’s. Some winters get a little bit of snow and some winters a lot of snow. Past 2 or 3 winters had been pretty mild. In 2019 got a foot of heavy snow and did gradually melted during the month. In 2020 only 2 to 3 inches the rest of the winter. I hope this winter is mild again.
In Canada there are fewer safe choices. Too many forests and population living on waterfronts. I live in a small rural town in the mountains that has a river running by. No hurricanes make it this far. The river provides a natural break against forest fire encroachment. There are numerous towns and cities I lived in at one time in my life that have been flooded out, burned up, or struck by hurricanes / tornados. It is shocking to watch. But glad I made the move to a more climate protected area. Oh yes, Canada gets heat waves too. But not as hot as southern US. We saw dozens of seniors die in Vancouver in a heat wave. Few people have AC in Vancouver.
I'm not certain we will have denser cities unless by an authoritarian government mandate. One thing we learned during COVID is that many jobs can be done remotely (not in an office), so I actually seeing that becoming more common place as office jobs are seeing as a legacy model. I agree with the lower birthrate in America, but the immigration process is really broken so I don't see that many folks getting here by legal means. My friend is on a 75-year waiting list - I'm not sure how that is even possible. Sea levels will rise for sure but not that fast. The more likely scenario is that storms and king tides will push more water further inland, but that is temporary flooding. In 20-30 years, insurance companies will simply stop insuring properties on barrier islands or in the Keys - leading to only the uber-wealthy having access to them since only they can afford to "self insure." However, it will be hundreds of years before those islands are gone completely. Water issues in the Southwest could be solved with expensive, but possible desalination technology and lots of pipes. This is already used in the richer countries of the Middle East. Texas is less of an issue because they have a massive limestone protected aquafer. However, the high plains might run dry (Kansas-Nebraska-Dakotas) if they aren't too careful.
Yes. People who fantasize about America's "dynamism" but refuse to lift a finger to make immigration easier (everyone on CNBC) are fatuous hypocrites. Many Latin American migrants are choosing to stay in Mexico now: they've decided it's not worth putting up with the hate here, and they can find work there. I also think many of the now-empty office spaces should and will be converted to urban and suburban indoor farms. People need affordable food and we can't always rely on long-distance trucking from rural farms.
I think we could see a growing density of suburbs and towns, and the rezoning of certain city areas, but yeah no, work from home means we could see more little towns increase in size As for climate change induced sea level rises, yeah I don’t doubt they’ll happen, they just won’t be instant at all as you said. Desalinization is a good idea that’ll likely take off by popular demand
I believe that’s true. For every person coming in illegally push a person farther away from entrance to our country. We need to tend illegal immigration now! It’s probably to late but we need to send them back until they do it right!
@@Greenacres1958 Sure, but we need to fix _legal_ immigration at the same time otherwise, illegal immigration will continue - at least as long as the US is seen as a more desirable location. Building a wall won't solve it since half of illegal immigrants are simply overstayed visa holders.
As a person who lives in the Great Lakes Region, we are not going to be piping our water out to help other states. They need to be figuring out their situation and taking climate change seriously. Some states make zero sense to move to. They are not sustainable in the long term.
I actually like most of the predictions: city design and transit possibilities. However, I just don't see it really happening. I think these predictions are generally polyannaish. They've been talking about better public transit and downtown or more dense housing options for over 40 years now--as per my memory, and very little of it has happened. Overall, the US is pretty innert, and people are really really resistant to paradigm changes, such as what cities should basically look like. It's too bad, but it pretty much won't happen.
It will start to happen…and then the project will be abandoned. We just can’t develop fast and efficient enough. Cost overruns, budgets, political changes, cultural changes. I just don’t see it getting done.
"Oceans are steadily rising." Let me point out that there's only one ocean. We call it different names in different areas, but make no mistake, it's one big ocean. Therefore, if what was said in this video is true, the turrets from the sunken USS Arizona should theoretically be sticking out of the water at Pearl Harbor (an inlet of the Ocean) less and less as the years go by. Why isn't this happening if "the oceans are steadily rising?" Probably because the ocean isn't steadily rising. I visited Pearl Harbor in April 2001 and the turrets are still sticking out of the water exactly the same in 2023. Water finds equilibrium quickly. Hence the reason one can't fill up the front of the bathtub without filling the back equally. Where does one travel to find these rising oceans!?!? 😂
You are clearly very smart and understand where the water is coming from and why the - low lying - states of the Gulf Coast and Florida would be impacted by sea level rise the most.
@@JackReedGaming If you want to believe that, then by all means go ahead and run for the hills. I can't stop you, and I'm not interested in stopping you. But the fact remains that there has been ZERO rise in the sea level in mine or anyone else's lifetime. This fact is clear to observe anywhere that anyone can view a familiar shoreline. "Climate change" is an invented emergency created in order to create fear, panic, and therefore more dependence on a governing solution. Al Gore told listeners in 2000 that by 2015, "Global Warming" would cause the oceans (there's only one by the way) to rise 15 feet. Sorry, never happene. And, despite popular culture's dispensation of "truth," there are MANY scientists who agree with my espoused view. I challenge you to research that and then ask yourself how many politicians, businesses, and entrepreneurs are financially invested in "green" technology? Now there's some potential money, power, and control to be made and posessed in that lucrative little arena!
Geoff, I’m a fan of the channel and podcast. I just listened to your episode about wind energy. I’m a wind turbine technician and have worked in Iowa, Minnesota and I’m now working offshore in the UK. I’d love to connect and share some information about wind turbines and wind energy.
High speed rail in the US is about as reliable as Climate Change. Hey Geoff I’m a Geologist so I look at Climate on the correct scale. Why don’t you do a series on the periods when Climate didn’t change ( oh crap they don’t exist do they.).
I feel like there will be another change in how the cities will look like. In the internet age and WFH becoming ever commonly practiced, the need to live in urban areas will decrease as days go by. Sure people will still want to live near everything for a little longer but with this continuing trend(high cost of living and such) I think many regional cities will develop instead of mega-metro areas with more than a million. My personal experience of growing up in smaller cities was great. Although I think one town I grew up in with just 20,000 is too small for the majority of modern people, the other city I grew up in with about 500,000 was good enough and many will prefer this kind of city in the upcoming decades.
You know you bring up a good point. I thought to myself before: if we went from a very rural species to now a very urban one, what’s to say we won’t end up in a new balance between the two extremes?
Agreed that regional cities may/should grow but not necessarily metropolises. You still need to be close to services: hospitals, fire fighters, mail delivery, garbage collection. There are still reasons for density beyond socializing, work, and school. Heck, there are other reasons to travel beyond those.
But then a counter argument to that is what has happened in parts of Europe where Work from Home has caught on and people have chosen to ditch owning one or more cars in favour of living in or nearer city/ town centres and using the extra time and money saved from not commuting to spend in the local economy. It also stops that 'Cabin fever' of being stuck at home. Smaller and heritage cities within travel time of larger metropolitan areas have thrived greatly from this.
@@redwoodpartisan2433 I've been thinking this too. We've been going overboard on urbanization, Its becoming difficult to tilt the ship any other way. I think we're losing touch of things and not even realizing it
I didn't have an interest in geography. Not because I didn't like it. I just never thought about how fascinating it is when I stumbled on to your channel. Your content and presentation are great. Time to binge watch.
Growth in rural areas have been collapsing for a long time. Some places are like ghosts town now. Cities have been pretty level across the board and suburbs have grown.
@@DanteM17 rural Pennsylvania is the reason why my state is losing population. The middle of the state is hemorrhaging people while the areas around Philadelphia and parts of Pittsburgh are doing great
@@DanteM17 Portland, Seattle, SF, Chicago, Twin Cities, STL. NYC, Baltimore, Philly all losing businesses, population and revenues. You cannot raise a family in these cities.
You're way optimistic that space-hogging Americans will continue having families too large for an apartment, and discounting how migrants and immigrants often place a higher priority on time convenience over physical distance.
Home ownership costs are the primary factor driving people back into the cities, most of Gen-Z cannot afford a house due to rising interest rates and the costs of land going up.
Remote work isn't going to last long term. Hybrid will. Why pay someone in the US to do a job when someone overseas can do it for a fraction of the cost?
Remote work is horrible on creating durable social connections, and threatens to get you outsourced to much cheaper competition overseas. You're simply more disposable when you're only seen on a screen, and chances are you'll run out of remote-only job offers much sooner than you'd like.
@@doujinflip The days of outsourcing office worker jobs overseas are over. AI will replace a third of knowledge / office worker jobs in five years. Demand for offices downtown is not coming back.
High Speed Rail Transit Authority will NEVER happen 😂 Amtrak has a monopoly on the rail industry forever ♾️ 5:06, your very wrong Sorry 🥃🔥 Amtrak will never allow that to happen and they own they tracks along with Industrial 🏭 Conrail Maker of this video is living in dreamland, not reality
A. Florida and Texas aren't going to do well with climate change. They're already having issues with insurance and that's an early indicator. Their denial of climate change effects is only going to hurt them. B. High Speed Rail is wildly overdue. Gas prices or environmentalists will propel the shift away from short-distance flights. C. Denser cities are overdue. Sprawling over everything is just shooting ourselves in the foot. We need nature more than it needs us. D. Trees are good and everyone knows it. The best recipe for livable cities is density + trees.
I seriously don't know if any population projection have been correct over a 20-year period. We just had to update the Africa population max population projection, it was thought to be somewhere in the 2080s-2090s and now it's thought to be in the 2060s
yes, but to what degree? Africa is in a much greater state of flux since there has been so much agrarian to urban movement and the corresponding impact on desired family size is hard to predict by country, tribe, etc.
@Kevin Whorton more areas are affected by this than others. A lot has to do with the cost of families, you either have 10 kids and be generally poor or you have one or two child pour all your assets into your child,, have them become a doctor in which case they are pulled into the top 1% of the nation. But as a whole in the last 7 years there has been dramatic drop off in some cases falling to a loss of 1.0 children in fertility rates
I wouldn't bet on anything positive coming out of any passenger rail high speed or otherwise. It's too expensive, less flexible and frankly most of the people that are expected to use it don't want it which means they'll have to try to convince people at metaphorical gunpoint.
I've wondered for years now how wise these present day moves to FL and TX are? It seems their property is going to be worth a lot less as these climate issues get worse.
@@shawnallenlott if you Google, "best states to live 2023", you'll find Texas 6th and Florida 15th. The fact you think they are 1 and 2 tells me you have traveled very few places.
@@shawnallenlott and btw, many areas of coastal Florida are flooding daily at high tide. The governor is too busy pucking fights with Trans, gay kids and Disney to do anything about it, so it's just going to get worse rapidly there. Do you remember the after effects of Harvey? That scene will repeat frequently going forward and once entrenched, property values will plummet. It's an El Nino year which means more rain for the south, let's examine how much rain at end of summer to see how things changed from last El Nino year.
LOL the first high speed rail..... LA->SF..... 2033 (520 miles, $80billion dollars, take 22 years of construction) China built the Zhengzhou East-Wangzhou 500mile high speed rail for $13.5 billion and in five years they are building over 1500 miles of rail/high speed rail PER YEAR. just what are we doing?!!
The rust belt j gotta their economies on track. Most rust belt cities Alr have a stigma around them but w the right politicians their could be some real change.(PS this ain’t a party thing. It’s j that some politicians do their jobs better than others)
Instead of adding trees which usually has no diversity of species we should just let trees grow naturally on uncultivated land. That way wildlife habitat is also expanded. Just planting millions of pine trees does nothing for the other plants and animals that are endangered. Just let Mother Nature take over land that’s not being used.
1. More bankrupt cities. 2. More political violence. 3. Less middle class people. 4. A couple more overseas wars. 5. Jennifer Lopez will marry her 9th husband, breaking Elizabeth Taylor's record.
As a student of futureism and trends (John Naisbitt, David Houle) I enjoyed this very much, and agree with you. Two thoughts: In most US National Forests, and many state forests, that are logged for timber (salvation or not) the law requires the area logged or disrupted be planted with seedlings already. This large number ebbs and flows and could get all over the place in the future as we determine how to log for both prevention, and salvation, as the planet heats up. I have lived in several states, both coasts. In the last 15 years alone the weather in New England is now more like Maryland was 20 years ago. I've also visited the south and lived in Arizona, and both areas are also warmer than 20 years ago. As such, the deep south and SW by 2050 may be so oppressivly hot for half the year it could border on being unlivable.
A high speed rail from Cleveland to Cincinnati is too perfect… it would literally go directly through the states most populated areas in a basic line, that already exists and in I-71.
Another exciting proposal is the Columbus to Chicago rail project. It’d travel via Fort Wayne Indiana and Lima OH, and due to the lack of a direct highway alternative, the train wouldn’t have to be very fast to beat the driving time. Even at 110 mph, it’d slaughter the driving travel time, let alone true high speed rail 180mph +
Honestly, I've thought of this too: 1) The 1st line could also continue down through Lexington, Louisville and maybe all the way down to Nashville and maybe NE from Cleveland to Buffalo. From Buffalo you could extend to Rochester, Syracuse and eventually NYC and Boston. From Nashville you could consider linking up to Atlanta and the whole Southeast coast of the US. 2) A 2nd line could go from Columbus / Cincinnati, through Dayton, Indianapolis, Chicago and Milwaukee. 3) The 3rd line could go from Cleveland over to Pittsburgh in an Eastern direction (maybe continuing to hook up to the lines running through D/C, Baltimore, Philly, NYC, and Boston) and then going West through Toledo (with a small line heading North from Toledo to Detroit), and then West from Toledo to Chicago and Milwaukee. This line would basically connect the East Coast with Chicago. Basically, you'd have a triangle heading East/West in the North from Cleveland to Chicago, a NE/SW one from Cleveland to Cincinnati, and a NW/SE from Chicago to Columbus/ Cincinnati. These line would link up almost the entire Midwest with the East Coast while also covering a large segment of the population. From Chicago you could have lines going to Minneapolis and Saint Louis as mentioned in the video.
@@JohnDoe-lo1ufI agree. I would probably visit Ohio more often if there was train service from Louisville, as driving I-71 is not particularly pleasant between Cincinnati and Louisville. I think the key would be to build some mass transit that would serve a lot of tourist-centric areas so that someone who arrives by train doesn't have to turn around and rent a car or hail a taxi or ride share. The I-71 corridor would also connect to so many other high profile corridors like Louisville-Lexington, Cincinnati-Lexington, Louisville-Nashville, Indianapolis-Dayton-Columbus, etc.
High-speed rail??? B.S.! They can't even get one built in a single state, let alone a nationwide network. CA rail is a decade late and billions over budgets. And that's what's happened everywhere they've tried to put it in the U.S.. WE WILL NEVER QUIT ARGUING AND HATING EACH OTHER LONG ENOUGH TO BUILD A HIGH-SPEED RAIL!! If you think high-speed rail is even remotely possible it makes the rest of this vid suspicious at best.
We definite need more high-speed passenger rail, and commercial rail. I look forward to it. We should be sharing the same space as the highway network and investing the same amount of money. The more trucks we can take off the roads the longer they will last. We need local rail networks as well connecting to industrial parks, downtowns, airports, and seaports.
If we take seattle for example, and this is not out of the norm, it costs 511 million per mile for their light rail system where as the average freeway costs 10 million per mile
We once had an extensive high speed-electric Interurban/Trolley system across the entire country. That was until GM, Ford, Chevrolet, Greyhound and Continental Trailways conspired after WWII to purchase, then run into the ground all in the name of Eisenhower's Interstate Highway System. Now we have Caltran and Amtrak.
@@StillPlaysWithModelTrains1956 You don't need conspiracies. Automobiles are cheaper, more reliable, easier to reroute. Alsonote that there are fewer rail lines as time goes on, not more.
Considering many are likely to burn from temperature rise and that it takes years for them to grow large enough to make a noticeable difference we still need to largely focus on other areas as well. Trees arent going to solve the climate crisis, but yes they will help. Food is a big issue, plant based diets are not only statistically healthier but they reduce our carbon footprint between 50 - 70%. We use a ridiculous amount of our farmable land for cattle feed alone
There will be a high speed rail system that connects the major cities that have survived nuclear war which will end WW3 and the Second American Civil War in 2035. High speed rails will be the main form of transportation in the U.S. for interstate travel.
I am sure some of the good things will indeed happen. By the same token, some of the bad things will happen as well. Also, there will likely be several unanticipated events as well.
As a person who has spent 49 years in the transit industry (28 years as a fleet operator, and 21 as a federal transit consultant) I disagree with your assessments of the future of High Speed Rail in both California & Florida. Your predictions are wishful thinking. There is a huge disconnect between what elites who make policy think the proletariat needs & what normal people actually want. This disconnect has already killed public bus transit. High Speed Rail is a costly boondoggle that very few people actually want OR need. These are the same transit officials that allowed Uber & Lyft to go into business virtually unregulated, under the guise of decreasing the amount of vehicles in urban areas, only to discover that there are now so many ride-hail cars on the streets of many cities that there is constant gridlock. New York City had 13,000 Yellow Cabs at its height. Now it has more than 100, 000 Ride Hail vehicles. I am not suggesting Ride hail services are poor options, I am only trying to demonstrate the disconnect between transit officials & the riding public..
I’m hoping we’ll see more mixed use development and various types of housing, and a move away from traditional car-oriented suburbs which are money puts in many ways. For all their huffing, anti-density out nimbys (whatever the label is) will be on the losing side of history
Cities need to be dense and mixed use, to be efficient, it's kind of the whole point of cities. So these people that are anti-density in a city, really shouldn't live in a city. Those residential sections where it's just single family homes for miles is ridiculous.
I plan on staying in Chicago for the foreseeable future, and the only things i'm a nimby about are Spaceports (but they all seem to be in Texas anyway) and Vertiports (glorified helicopter pads for rich tourists afraid to ride the train). I love density, at least by US standards. And I love not having to drive past swollen hyper-patriotic car dealerships to get anywhere I want to go.
Hello Geoff, a little devils advocate here, there is a lot of new info available to combat this climate disaster stuff that could make your predictions seam a little Gore-ish. It's still an average 82 below 0 at the polar caps, CO2 is only at 410 PPM, not to high, 15% more plant growth has covered barren areas, there has been no measurable rise in ocean. Florida is at sea level and it's still there. California stopped forest management in the 80's, now they have fires, surprise. Droughts in the west have always happened, now there's more people using the water and California refuses to capture water running into the sea- because of a fish- that is an evasive species. People are currently moving from stupid states to smart states with law and order and free market capitalism, avoiding high taxed big government states.
I hope AZ starts getting trees. I've lived here my entire life and I absolutely hate the desert. But parents were here .. grew up here and no money to move so I'm stuck. I'm considering moving about an hour away from where I currently am because there are more trees up north but with my house right now I can't and it'll be a couple years before it can happen.. if it ever does.
@provobeats8105 I drove through Arizona back in March. I've been there a few times but this was the first time being in the Sonoran desert in spring. It was absolutely gorgeous. Wildflowers carpeted the desert floor. Everything was bright green. Granted, it's a short lived season, but it was awe inspiring nonetheless. Drove from Springerville in the high desert to McNary up in the tree covered mountains where it was still winter at 35⁰F with 2-3 feet of snow on the ground to Phoenix where the desert was in full bloom and nearly 80⁰ that day, all within a few hours drive. You get a chance to visit, spring is the best bet.
AZ resident here. We need to press for water supply from rivers that can provide to us when they flood... Mississippi or the Snake. I know, it'll be expensive. But AZ is is disaster-free state and helps cover the cost of hurricanes & other disasters elsewhere... so throw us a bone and direct some water here! I like the comment from Provobeats8105... those who can afford it will always bounce between the North in summer and AZ in winter :)
@@Nacalina007 I agree with this one cities will be so big in 2050 everything you possibly need would be in within the metro area at that pointThe only reason you’ve been traveling out side your match would be for visiting family evacuations moving out or vacations work wouldn’t really be a valid reason anymore unless you’re doing it from home then maybe
