Future Ernesto to Bring Significant Impacts 

@@edwardrichardson5567 Should you be ready to take action in Bermuda for Ernesto? Looks like it could directly hit there and possibly even as a major hurricane.

Its crazy how often you guys are hit by tropical cyclones,however,you guys seem well built for it.

@@tauceti8060Only Edward Richardson lives in Bermuda while me named Brandon Dunn lives in Pennsylvania. I was though in Bermuda while on a cruise with my family last month.

Sure thing! Email to hurrmark@gmail.com please. Thanks for offering - please shoot landscape 😃

2004 correct? 2010 is also similar so it could happen

Are you talking about total NS count or ACE count?

Yes. I was referring to named storms. 2004 & 2010 was like that, flip the circuit breaker and we have 1 or 2 storms a week.

The concerning thing is we have about 85% of hurricane season left. Peak is still a month away

I’m retired. I never know what day it is.

Not with that Cold Front pushing off of the East Coast.

@@edwardrichardson5567 As Mark did caution, the models are trending westward which is a trend I actually noticed last night. Therefore, there aren’t any guarantees yet of this not being a threat to the Northeastern US.

It definitely a Northeast threat 200-300 shift NE is screwed

Closer to South Florida

@@kevinf4606 With how the steering pattern is setup, no it isn’t a threat to FL.

@@brandondunn4562 Thank you Brandon

@@kevinf4606 Sure, no problem.

Yes at 5, do you see us in Barbados getting much effects from Ernesto overnight? In the south theres not really been much going on except overcast skies , and looking and how Ernesto is decently large in size maybe the bottom half brushes over us overnight? Unless convection collapses of course

@@Supernova-lc2yf We got a fair amount of rain accompanied by what I believe were tropical-storm-force gusts in Rendezvous last night.

Models are thinking we are in a El Nino.

So I guess, you forget that September and October exist. Every time, we get these comments saying this season will be a bust because the models don't show anything. Models are bound to change. Sure, we might not get any activity for a while after 05L, but once September (the peak season) approaches, the switch is flipped. We only had our C storm in 2004 by this time, and look what the season turned out to be...

@@Aweso-x4k With the high number of storms forecast one would think the conditions are ideal and have been for weeks, but few storms have formed given the seasonal outlook. We may end up having quality over quantity when it comes to development.

If the models were to be trusted like that 2 weeks out, then Beryl and Debby should've never happened.

@@MikeX3000 Fair point there. Quality over quantity may be the likely outcome here.