As a Muchova fan, I like that you put her in the semis. Although I think she has not reached her previous form yet since coming back from injury so I don't see her getting past the 3rd rd if she even makes it that far. I have Iga vs Paolini and Krejcikova vs Vekic in the semis with Iga edging Barbora in the final.
Unfortunately i think coco will loose in the third against svitolina, since her confidence is not there right now. Hope she proves me wrong but unfortunately it's unlikely to happen 😢.
@wilmtg-carter2796 Svitolina is a counterpuncher like Coco. Elena likes to make the extra shot with her opponents,but Coco is very fit and can run.down balls all day long.The encounter would be determined by fitness.
Thanks for the draw analysis, Cristian. I love the interesting and colourful draw table. Sadly, I also see Coco going out on or before the semis because of poor form. I hope Osaka can show her hard court capability and go far. I hope Paolini can get through her section, but it's a tough ask. It's Sabalenka for the title. She's rested, much too strong and hungry for this one!
If they both get to the final, i dont see iga losing to aryna. Cincy isnt at all the same as us open. And iga has much more time in us open to get comfortable. A comfortable iga can beat sabalenka any day
It will be easy win for Iga. Did you watch Cinci game ? Mirra won't be able to win single set against Swiatek. She break Iga in 1st Iga serve game but then Swiatek adapted, and all remaining serve games won very easy, with Mirra getting max 2 points. The only interesting stuff was happening at Mirra serve which was exceptionally good at this match, but it was way above her average. Swiatek always plays better when facing same opponent, but Mirra its opposite. She lost to Krejcikova this year even though she beat her in 2023. She still benefits from the fact that she is unknown for some players who never played her. But Swiatek as #1 for last 4 years is the most deciphered player on tour. Mirra played Gauff twice, she won also 1st set, but lost 1:2, and 0:2 to Gauff last year. Same against Rybakina, she won 1st set but lost 1:2. It shows that top players can quickly adapt and decode her game. I would not be sure that Mirra even will get to 4th round. She lost in 1st round of both Wimbledon and Olympic Games. She played well at Cinci but this was pre-grand slam tournament. Some top players like Swiatek treated it more like training, saving energy for USO. Mirra lost this year to 19yo Noskova and 17yo Fruhvirtova, it means that players close to her age and how know her better, can beat her.
Shnaider is getting 10 days off before her USO round 1 with very little travel (Cincy to NY)....she's only 20. I think she'll be ok (from a stamina standpoint).
@ChristiansCourt someone who has won this before.Between Iga,Emma Coco or Osaka.The winner of Cincy very rarely wins and just like a winner of Brisbane never wins AO.Its a hunch that Sabalenka is not winning...
@@Meikles888Osaka won’t win another major and coco still is not there mentally. Either will Emma. Emma is a one and down type of player. Osaka would have won more if she didn’t have a child
@@ChristiansCourt Sabalenka often can't handle the pressure in the late stages of a tournament, but I agree. She will probably win her third major title in NY.
I dont think Sabalenka will get another win over Iga,Iga will have learnt a lot from that loss and it won't be repeated,there head to head is still in Iga's favour
@@marionsmith4728 Aryna seems to make some baby-step progress each year: loss in SF in 2021, almost won SF in 2022, close loss in the final in 2023. It makes sense if she gets it this year.
Pretty sure it will be Sabalenka or a surprise champion. Swiatek has been terrible at grand slams out of RG for two years, and Gauff looks very low on confidence. Don’t be surprised if Pegula finally wins one.
@@ChristiansCourtthank you for reply, Christian! I’m a long term follower of many RU-vid tennis channels, I rarely comment. But I find your analysis less biased and more facts and stats vs feelings. Keep going and stay you!
When it comes to the Slams Iga always shows up and wins,and I dont see any difference this time,she has already said that she has used her past tournament as a practice for the US Open,and dont forget that she has already won the US Open
Osaka has won the US Open twice..what are you talking about.Its like Venus losing first rd at RG and wins Wimbledon.Sabalenka is not winning its going to be won by a former winner.
@ChristiansCourt I am picking Iga because once she gets to the final she won't let go.Sabalenka was lucky to get by Keys and this year lots of possibilities for many players.Any player can win because is no dominant hardcourt player.Its very rare to win Cincy and the Open.
@@ChristiansCourtI don't like sabalenka but logic does suggest she should be the favorite unless she proves otherwise. Though I think sun will give her a battle. Didn't underestimate noskova in her bracket as well
Rybakina definitely has something going on with her health so you’re right that she may withdraw or play but get defeated early. I actually think Coco has a good chance of winning her bracket and getting to the QF. Navarro would be a good competitor but she( Navarro) is currently playing in Mexico and if she plays in the Final of that tournament on Saturday then travel to NYC I think she’ll be pretty tired in the US Open. Also I think you might be underestimating Zheng quite a bit. She’s had enough time to get over the Olympics fatigue. But overall I agree that it’s really Sabalenka’s tournament to lose at this point but the US Open does seem to have a lot of 1st time GS winners lately so an upset might be in the cards. ( Paolini, Zheng, Pegula, Samsonova)
you made a great point and I didn’t realize she was playing Monterrey until i saw her playing on Tennis Channel tonight after i recorded. Ik she played a tournament the week before Wimbledon and still did well but i’ll be interested to see how she does here.
@@ChristiansCourt yes I just checked and Navarro has made the semis there today and actually has a great chance to win the tournament if she makes it to the final on Saturday. Maybe it wouldn’t be such a drag ( travel, etc) as Monterrey is just below Texas. As you mentioned she’d just played a tourney before Wimbledon and still made the QF there. We’ll see how she does and good analysis btw.
