4 million voted RefUK, 7 million STILL voted Tory despite Brexit, general Right Wing nastiness and the record of the last 14 years... God give me strength... 🤦
Congratulations to everyone, in the Labour Party, It's a great day, and shows, what you have to do, to win in a first past the post system, 😊, Perfectly played by Labour, Now the real job begins, as the Tory's have left the UK in a right mess, and nothing is going to be easy, Thankfully, I believe that, Labour can and will restore hope, enjoy this Victory, 😊😊😊😊😊😊😊
@@paddybarry9080 Lmao!! You are in for a rude awakening. Labour are the bringers of doom. You only need to look at the track record of Labour governments. Why do you think the Tories always get back in for so long? One Labour government is enough for most people to see what real harm can be done to a country!
Phil, a great huge 'Superthanks' from me, and no doubt everyone here, for your absolutely magnificent and invaluable analyses, insights, opinions, assessments, guidance etc etc these past few years!!! A huge hug to you and yours!! You deserve a skonking big medal the size of a dustbin lid, but made of gold. Have a great celebratory lunch, and get well ASAP - we need you running on 100% ! Love ya, ❤
I'm Cornish and utterly bloody delighted ! Our turnout was much higher than average . We turned out to be rid of them. The brittonic west removed them.. 75.25 per cent in Truro / Falmouth, 72.83 per cent in South East Cornwall, 70.11 per cent in Camborne / Redruth, 68.74 per cent in St Ives, 67.75 per cent in North Cornwall and 61.38 per cent in St Austell / Newquay.
👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏🖖🖖Congratulations to my Cousins across the sea. Here's hoping sanity can bring your congratulations to us here in America soon. You might have to take over as the lead democracy in the world, who knows? The amount of surprises I've had since 2016 leaves me to say anything could happen and that is a sorry state. Hate to bum you out but it's good to hear that there'll be some kind voices in the world speaking loudly somewhere at least . I enjoy listening to this channel to try and keep informed about the world around me.
Well said. I'm in Tucson Arizona and have been following this channel for years now, fantastic job Phil does. I'm very happy for the UK, hoping the same outcome for us.
I think Starmer should announce a whole raft of MP integrity reforms immediately. That's the DAY ONE "wow" moment that I think would really cement the tone of his premiereship. - The no lying thing that the Welsh assembly just proposed. - No (paid) second sources of income whatsoever. - Transparent finances for all MP's (and their staff). If it's good enough for every Norwegian citizen then our elected officials should be held to the same transparency. These would also force grifters like Farage and 30p Lee out immediately.
Cheers Phil! It’s been a pleasure following the election campaign with you, always going a little deeper with the analysis than most of the other YT political commentators. I look forward to seeing what you have to say now that the adults are back in charge.
deluded person you are... Again? They have never built the UK , always made things worse... Problem is that the media never tell you what is really happening!
You’re delusional if you think Labour will make Britain better… Better for the rich maybe… Strange how many rich celebs back Labour… If you want change then vote outside the establishment box otherwise just keep grazing
Labour have destroyed the Country every time and the Tories for the last 14 years have not been great either... But what do you expect with the same policies. Fact is though people did not vote for a Labour Government or Tory Government they have never had a mandate...
Thanks for all your hard work Phil. It’s good to see you in triumph mode. Such a marked difference to your video from the morning after the 2019 election where your customary intro had the tone of a eulogy 😀 Today is a good day 👍
I don't think you can overstate just how significant this majority is for Labour. Historically, it is VERY difficult to move from opposition to a majority government to an outright majority of your own. Especially in a splintered electorate! If I were Ed Davey, I'd be doing cartwheels! Feels like a breakthrough for the Greens too. Question I wonder is what strategy the Conservatives employ to deal with Reform? Do they ignore them, fight them or ally with them? Thanks to your videos, Mr. Moorhouse! 😎 You're a great politics communicator. Isaac Levido has to go down in history as the WORST (or BEST, depending on your perspective) election advisor of all time! 😍
A point on voter ID Agree with you Phil a woman outside our polling station saying you can’t go in without voter I D so no record of those turned away unless they fought their way inside to register that they were unable to vote!
Hopefully this nonsense will be repealed PDQ. I don't care how easy or difficult it is for someone to get photo ID. The fact remains that thousands will have been turned away for the sake of dealing with a non-problem.
So relieved my town Barnsley didn’t go reform in the end. A lot here were saying “they are all liars” & saying they weren’t going to vote and tarring the other parties with the same brush so I was worried
On the subject of currency designations, usually the first two letters are a country code and the last letter is a mnemonic for the actual currency name. So GBP, EUR, AUD, CHF, SGD, JPY, etc. CH is the country code for Switzerland.
Very happy LD outperformed the exit poll, sad Labour got hit by the Muslim protest, sad conservatives got as many as they did (and some scalps werent taken), happy Reform were nowhere near (but keeping an eye out 👀). But either way, let's get back to normal again 💪
Something is telling me Labour will say "PR was not in the manifest" and offer it in the next manifest to get another turn by small-party voters. If they don't Labour has to have a real good track-record or they are out again.
Difficult times ahead for labour due to they mess they inherited. Basically they cannot have their own celebration until the room is cleaned from the student party held before their booking. Plus there are still drunks hanging about wanting to cause trouble.
Exmouth and Exeter East was Labour or Lib Dem on Stop the tories site... tragically a ~100 vote margin win for tories over labour whilst lib dems had 11,000 votes. Also a very close one in Central Devon
How are you blaming Owen Jones for the Iain Duncan Smith thing? That's on Labour for sacking a good candidate and popular local candidate in Faiza for spurious reasons.
My god, the state of Truss at her count! She's always looked inhumanly peculiar but if there was a picture of "on the verge of a nervous breakdown", that would be it I almost thought of calling for a health check,.. then I decided anything she did would be just (and funny).
One thing about Labour's .'efficiency' is despite low share of the vote, Labour are largest party in all of Great Britain:England Scotland and Wales, someting the Tories never managed, even on their best results. Labour played the game well, they spread themselves thinly, which is how to win under first past the post.
i do not just want to see electoral reform i want to see full party cooperation in planning long term strategies for the counbtry to move away for the idiocy of short term vote gainers. i wish they cared about the country more than power fingers crossed
Voter ID was a non-issue. I was a Poll inspector in Scotland, and over 10 stations the total number of people turned away can be covered on the fingers of one hand, and most of them came back later with the relevant id. July definitely suppressed the turnout, by how much though i could not say.
So what do people think of an elected Lords based on PR. Being elected they can hold the government to task. Parties can choose from their current lords etc but only take up seats on a particular day based on the PR vote they got. There can also be no more members sitting than the 650 we have in the commons.
First thing we have to do with the HoL is decide what is the function of a second chamber, that will determine what type of people should be in the revised section chamber and will inform us as to whether they should be elected or appointed.
@@justinstephenson9360 The lords should be for people with expertise in a field that is crucial for this country. They would be able to inform government policy. Political lackeys , time servers and hereditary peers should be excluded.
@@rogerphelps9939 So you want the second chamber full of lifetime peers with specialised skills/experience? Electing a second chamber will not provide that expertise. So a small change to the current system
An interesting episode could be one that uses this result to build a hypothetical parliament and government if the UK had proportional representation. E.g. Tories + Reform are 10.8 million votes on the right wing. Lib Dems are sort of conservative light, so towards the centre with their 3.5 million votes. So who would Labour form a coalition with to get into government? Lib Dems could be the king makers who get to decide who the prime minister would be. Currently, using 650 seats and 28,704,284 votes, this is what I'm seeing, if you assume 44,160 votes/seat (28,704,284 votes / 650 seats). Labour - 219 Conservative - 154 Reform - 93 Lib Dems - 79 Green - 44 Other - 25 SNP - 16 Sinn Féin - 5 Plaid Cymru - 5 DUP - 4 Alliance - 3 SDLP - 2 UUP - 2 You need 326 seats to form a majority. Conservatives, Reform, DUP and UUP would have 253 seats. Lib Dems could bring that to 332 seats and a majority centre right government. Labour and Green would have 263 seats. Lib Dems could bring that to 342 seats and a majority centre left majority.
That is exactly how it works in the Netherlands and many other mainland countries. It has pros and cons. It's not perfect but I think it's a bit better than the UK system , which in turn is a bit better than the USA system, which is horrible
The Lib Dems tried coalition with the Tories and were shafted for their pains. Never again. There is far more commonality between the Lib Dems and Labour than between the Lib Dems and the Tories.
@@Blackadder75 Same in Denmark. We use something called the D'Hondt method to distribute seats. We have 179 seats in parliament. 2 are set aside for the Faeroe Islands, two are set aside for Greenland. That leaves 175 for the rest of the country. Geographically the country is then split into 10 large constituencies, primarily based on population. Those constituencies are then split further into a total of 92 districts. Those 92 districts are mostly single seat districts. Mostly, because those 92 districts split 135 seats, so some have two seats available. Those are the directly elected seats. That leaves 40 indirectly elected seats. Those are distributed by first dividing Denmark into three large geographical regions - again primarily by population. Those three regions then have 11, 14 and 15 indirectly elected seats. The rule then is, if your party or coalition of parties get 2% of the national vote, you are guaranteed a seat in parliament. The result is that your fringe party doesn't need to have massive support locally . We had a total of 14 political parties running in the 2022 parliament election. Of those 14, two failed to reach the 2% national cut off (0.5% and 0.9% respectively), and neither of them won a direct seat. That means we have 12 different political parties in parliament, with the smallest party having 5 seats with 2.6% of the vote. The largest party won 27.5% of the vote and they have 50 seats. 27.5%/50 is 0.55%/seat. 2.6%/5 is 0.52%/seat. The 2nd largest party won 13.3% of the vote and 23 seats. Compare that to two other parties that one 8.1%/14 seats and 5.2%/9 seats, and you'll notice that adding those two parties together you end up at 13.3% and 23 seats. It will never be a 100% fair distribution, but when the largest and smallest party end up needing the same amount of votes per seat, and middle pack parties are directly comparable to each other, it's difficult to argue that it isn't fair. In conclusion - even though Denmark has first past the post parliamentary seat elections, its use of indirectly elected seats allows it to balance out the "unfairness" of first past the post to the point that it's almost impossible to tell that only 23% of its seats are elected via proportional representation.
Norstat actually had the most accurate pre-election poll, putting Labour at 37% and Tories at 24%, with LibDems at 11% and Reform at 16%. I think that voter apathy and the compulsory ID thing will have hurt the Labour vote, give that Labour voters are much more likely to have neither a passport nor a driving licence. I think that Starmer's lacklustre performances in the TV debates will not have helped him; his lack of charisma will have put some people off. Many leftist voters opted to lend their votes to the Greens and this also lowered Labour overall votes. As for the Tories, the Zimmer frame brigade will have turned out in force, for sure! 😄 That explains the higher vote than many forecasted. Interesting to note that a progressive coalition of Labour, LibDems and Greens would have chalked up 52.7% of the vote, and that excludes nationalists and independents, so PR would definitely not have stopped Starmer from entering 10 Downing Street.
If Starmer hadn’t blundered with his Gaza comments so that Muslim Labour voters had stayed on side I wonder if we might now we looking at a more crushed Tories and Lib Dems as the opposition? It feels frustratingly like an unnecessary own goal by Labour that they failed to correct and underestimated the damage from.
Will you do the PMQ videos still? Even if the questions are dumb it could be nice to focus on the lines each party uses. Also remind me how the rules work with the party sozes
With the exception of LibDems & Greens everything has gone right wing. Starmer's Labour gone right. Tories gone right & lost all there moderates. Former Tories went in droves to Reform. Does not bode well for the future. Unless Labour govt actually make things better but it's going to be v difficult.
As a caulkhead, Isle of Wight East was impossible to call. It was projected as a Labour win, but Vix (Green) was a more well established candidate. Either way I don't think it'd have made much of a difference. Just default to vote your conscience at that point.
Here in Exmouth and East Exeter we had an independent who had been the Labour candidate at the last GE. He got 500+ votes and Labour lost by 121 votes. Hope he's proud of himself?
I feel somewhat smug this morning. I predicted Tories would get 110-120 seats (in a comment on one of Phil's previous videos) and it looks as though they will 121 seats. Oddly the GE results are really difficult to assess when you look at %age of vote. It does not look as though Lab have managed to expand their core vote much if at all. Even the collapse of the Tory vote looks less serious once you add back in most of the Reform vote. The biggest "shock" was the calamitous performance of the SNP. The SNP managed to lose an even bigger proportion of their Westminster seats than the Tories did - roughly 1/3rd of their voters deserted them. Independence should therefore be off the table for all of this Parliament. The good thing is that Kier has a large enough majority that he does need to be worried about the odd maverick MP. Kier can implement the policies he wants.
I think a lot of tactical voting in the 70 odd seats Lib Dems would likely have reduced the national Labour percentage but still helped overall. I think Labour underestimated the anger of Muslim voters too and their Gaza stances and poor communication cost Labour some percent of their traditional vote - I hope Labour rebuild bridges there by next election.
@@glyngreen538 yeah that's why they didn't win by 20% like the polls said but also the tory vote was a bit higher than expected. quite a few tories must have went to vote for reform and then put the cross in the tory box like the past 40 odd years lol
@@glyngreen538 labour would have 50 more seats if reform actually got close to the tories, there were seats reform only got 6k votes and so the tories held on to 121 seats in the end
I'm in IOW East, tbh the Labour candidate was pretty awful. It would've been nice if Labour hadn't stood but it was never going to happen. I did vote Labour anyway because even though it's not how the system works I wanted to vote for the winning party for the first time in my voting life. (My first election was 2010).
Alas there is very high probability that someone rich will see their own profit in screwing economical situation and causing one form of financial crisis or another. (when stocks are crashing somene is making off with huge bags of money every single time - either through buying companies that collapse for laughably low costs or other shady financial dealings, perhaps recieve financial relief package from panicking government?) Space monkeys may not invade sure but its the earth hairless monkeys that i am worried about.
Huge swing away from Keith in his constituency. Won on fewer votes than corbyn got in 2017 and even 2019. Reform and Tory vote beats Labour in many seats. Noone really voting FOR Labour. Very shakey ground.
We need to fix the NHS reduce nurses salaries buy 10% and doctors by 30%, and they should work weekends to get rid off the backlogs, time they did some work instead of standing around drinking coffee all day.
Folks, I congratulate you on your happiness. But the UK is the not the country that I lived in between 2005 and 2015. Many opportunities have evaporated, and the UK is a smaller economy. I really think that a lot of damage has been done and now it looks like sub-GFC performance is the new normal in the UK. Before reacting and wanting to rejoin the EU, know that the UK has made many of your neighbours feel unhappy. And you put yourself into a position know that many Europeans feel that their system works better without the UK. And let's be frank, the UK is broke, broken and underperforming compared to before very divided.
Yeah agreed that it’s a mess. I’m cautiously hopeful that in a way because things are so dire Labour can turns things around and show some improvement given it’s such a low bar. Time will tell though. Also the EU countries and maybe the US are veering towards the far right and instability while the UK seems more stable and sensible - maybe this will relatively encourage some more international investment here that will help the economy some.
You may talk about policies and changes that labour will make. But people want a return to normalcy and sanity in Govt. An end to lying. An end to toxicity in politics and a return to an expectation of honour in our public representatives. An end to chaos and a return to focusing on solid governance where the good of the country is put before ego puffing sound bite politics.
I hope Labour introduces mandatory national-ID for everyone like the rest of Europe to put a rest on this Voter-ID issue. Alongside automatic voter-registrating. And everyone who hasn't got the money gets a free one if not even everyone it's not that much of cost.
No. It is not a British thing and should not be. We managed very well before the Tories introduced photo ID for voting, an attempt to disenfranchise those they didn't like in the guise of fixing a non-problem.
@@rogerphelps9939 Why not? A national-ID would be your proof that you are who you say you are and your proof that you are a british citizen. And once Britain rejoins the UK it works as a passport. And with it all other Voter-ID stuff can be abandonded.
I am sad to say you are wrong that you can defeat populism with helping people. In my country populism won with culture wars. They could cannel their hatred with people that do not want changes in society. Simply because they are old and the electorate goes older and older so they become the majority.
The Labour party are celebrating the win as if it was McEnroe vs Borg rather than the other side faulting all the way through. I hope labour achieve something and that Starmer does not turn out to be as bad as I believe him to be. I do think this is a 1 term Govt. as next time there will not have the benefit of people voting to get rid of the tories who have been dreadful. Reform did very well better than i thought they would and it was amazing how often they came second.
Starmer will allow 16 year olds to vote. Also, the tory voting demographic is old people. Come the next election, Farage with his brown teeth and the tory A.N. Other will not be an attractive voting option. Labour could well be in for 20 years as the tories/Reform tear themselves to bits...and they're supporters turn to compost..
@@nadmakhtaras part of my job I meet quite a few pensioners who are very worried about......badum tish....their health prospects......not amazingly their pensions 🤔
PFI provides assets that the govt don't own so when the Tories get in again they can't sell them off as the contracts are long term and they don't own the assets
Phil said that not all the results are in. It takes time for ballots to be transported to counting centres in the Western Isles, Orkney and Shetland for example.
Not sure why you think we would want to know this about you Phil. Are you doing this on all videos uploaded by people named -Phil"? That is an odd hobby.
