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Have We Made ANY Progress on Climate Change? Here's The Data, You Decide 

PBS Terra
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RCP 8.5 has often been referred to as “business as usual.” It describes a world without action on climate policy and continued fossil fuel use expanding unchecked, leading to a truly apocalyptic future for our climate and everything living on our planet - including us.
For this episode we wanted to see where we are in terms of “business as usual,” and if we are still headed towards an apocalypse of sorts… or if, perhaps, all of the technological innovations in renewables and EVs along with new climate policy such as the Paris Agreement might have bent down the curve on global warming. So tune into this episode of Weathered to see where we’ve been in our race against the clock, where we’re going, and how the RCP scenarios can help us understand this story as well as our future on this planet.
Weathered is a show hosted by weather expert Maiya May and produced by Balance Media that helps explain the most common natural disasters, what causes them, how they’re changing, and what we can do to prepare.
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19 дек 2022

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Комментарии : 2,4 тыс.   
@beast_boy97
@beast_boy97 Год назад
We are so anthropocentric that we fail to realize even a 2ºC increase would be apocalyptic for so many other species and ecosystems on this planet. For many species it is already too late, but we could save so many more.
@fuxan
@fuxan Год назад
Agreed...we tend to only focus on the most immediate and closest to understand interactions and not how we are tied to even that of a native mosquito or the health of an underground ecosystem...it is ALL important...not just a single species.
@SophiaAphrodite
@SophiaAphrodite Год назад
IT would cause massive human starvation as well.
@joshpam23
@joshpam23 Год назад
AMEN!!
@lorenzoblum868
@lorenzoblum868 Год назад
Denying the elephant in the room aka the military industrial complex won't help...
@aiden359
@aiden359 Год назад
That loss of biodiversity could also collapse economies causing more damage to humans than we can considerably project.
@c.rutherford
@c.rutherford 9 месяцев назад
For some reason carbon pollution is a political issue you can choose whether or not to "believe" in, whereas all other kinds of pollution are just pollution. I never quite understood how oil companies pulled that off. It was genius from their own marketing standpoint, although incredibly stupid given the long term results.
@lestermarshall6501
@lestermarshall6501 7 месяцев назад
Read MERCHANTS OF DOUBT to find out.
@cdub9923
@cdub9923 4 месяца назад
The entire basis of modern industrial society is predicated on putting that carbon in the air. It’s not just pollution, it’s a way of life at this point.
@c.rutherford
@c.rutherford 4 месяца назад
​@@cdub9923 That's true and that makes the pollution an incredibly difficult problem to solve but still no less dangerous to humanity. When you raise the human population to a staggering 8+ billion..... all depending on a certain stable norm.... then perform what can only be described a reckless experiment with our climate by raising the average temperatures worldwide relentlessly. It seems the dumbest thing ever would be to just pretend nothing is happening. Its hard enough to deal with without so many drinking in the band room while the Titanic sinks, as it were. I don't know how else to describe what the deniers are doing. Though they were definitely primed in denial by the oil companies that started it.
@DrSmooth2000
@DrSmooth2000 3 месяца назад
@@cdub9923 bitnof a stretch to call CO2 as a Pollutant Maybe 'distortion' Can call water vapor a Pollutant too, why not? We don't attempt to control CO2 in airplane until 5000ppm. Our membranes evolved to be bathed in it same as Nitrogen Oxygen iirc is more irritating material than CO2.
@SevenEllen
@SevenEllen Месяц назад
Agreed. It's murdering their own and us all.
@kelly-bo-belly
@kelly-bo-belly 7 месяцев назад
I will not celebrate the absolute absence of effort from the world leaders and politicians.
@MultiBunnyhunter
@MultiBunnyhunter 9 дней назад
what are talking about… you haven’t heard endless European and American politicians grift off of the climate hoax ?
@Nihilism4U
@Nihilism4U 5 дней назад
True. We are in a terrible state and I don't think this video is being alarmed enough. We can not talk about cause to celebrate before wars STOP and politicians and corporate leaders spend more money on saving the planet, than they do on war.
@erinrising2799
@erinrising2799 Год назад
in regards to being too alarmist, I say hope for the best, but prepare for the worst. It's far better to be an alarmist and over-react than a denialist and so nothing
@maiyamay_
@maiyamay_ Год назад
I like this thinking!
@journeybug3050
@journeybug3050 Год назад
Realistically speaking, the covid lockdowns are likely the largest reduction in human in output we will ever see. So where is all the knowledge gained from the global lockdowns of 2020. It was a chance to find out exactly what a 30% lock down of humanity does for the environment. I have looked all over and found very little. I’m trying to find answers to the following. 1. Could a covid level lockdown drastically reduce CO2 if maintained for long period of time? 2. Was there a change in temperature during 20,21, or 22 resulting directly from the lockdowns? 3. Did the climate science community recognize the lockdowns as chance to acquire invaluable data? All the responses to questions like mine have been very uninformative.
@sungibesi
@sungibesi Год назад
Depends on your ability to pay the costs, and for poor people to suffer energy deprivation, while hoping nothing else really bad happens.
@unvaccinated6467
@unvaccinated6467 Год назад
OK chicken little, you live your life how you want ill live mine
@Bitchslapper316
@Bitchslapper316 Год назад
The problem is "preparing for the worst" often causes mass starvation and other calamities.
@DirtFlyer
@DirtFlyer Год назад
The problem is the tipping points. We don't know when or by what degree tipping points will affect climate change. We could see vast quantities of methane released from melting arctic tundra starting in a couple years, or maybe in a few decades. And those tipping points may slightly increase warming, or it may cause enormous acceleration in climate change. It's not included in the modeling, and it's like tinkering with a globe-sized bomb by not making radical changes to reduce emissions immediately.
@jordanfarr3157
@jordanfarr3157 Год назад
Okay this is now the third comment I've seen on this specific issue. PBS viewers are seriously astute. PBS, come on guys, you gotta follow up on this.
@RosscoAW
@RosscoAW Год назад
To be more precise, the issue is that modeling tipping points is not profitable: there's no significant shareholder equity to be made on a risk-adjusted basis (as the risk is not precisely quantifiable or known and cannot be by the nature of tipping points *being qualitative* tipping points), and so there's no reason within a capitalist economy for anybody to put serious effort into investing or innovating *for* or *against* the reality of tipping points, not without government subsidies and state-direction ensuring that such research and investments would occur. No individual capitalist or group of capitalists will under any conditions be able to leverage capital toward actually ameliorating the issue: it is far, far more profitable to sell therapeutics that require consistent re-purchase on a subscription schedule, for hiked prices, than it is to sell a one-off, cheap cure intended for mass consumption. The same capitalist logic that ensures our medical industry *does not* search for actual cures (or, when cures are found, they are priced according to "what would a life-time of therapeutic surgeries and treatments and medications have costed otherwise, both directly and in terms of labour for care aids and medical practicioners, for this one individual in a nominal case without the advent of a cure?" Such that any cure -- an analogue for a direct solution to a problem -- is not economically feasible unless priced to be consumed only by those already with immense wealth, or through state-directed insurance systems that effectively subsidize access to solutions by bending to the capitalist profit motive of the "innovators". TL;DR: Capitalism is the problem, and ain't shit being done about that problem by anybody other than China. Any optimism pertaining to the climate crisis is therefore entirely inept unless it's predicated almost solely on an understanding that Chinese socialism is an infinitely superior socioeconomic system in every measurable way relevant to this -- and functionally every other -- issue; real or potential.
@mateobareo4229
@mateobareo4229 Год назад
The climate has tipped many times and the earth has been fine. Calm down, Malcolm Gladwell lol
@Radianx001
@Radianx001 Год назад
@@RosscoAW Hello chinesse suporter
@jutru8782
@jutru8782 Год назад
@@mateobareo4229 the earth will be fine. Humans and other life on it might not be.
@swardinc
@swardinc 7 месяцев назад
i love how people no longer seem to celebrate meeting small goals and are only focused on the end goal, the fact that we dropped 2 degrees off the chart is very amazing considering how many people are involved. Now lets work on the next two
@Nihilism4U
@Nihilism4U 5 дней назад
This is also a way too optimistic video. For when you look at the war in Ukraine and Palestine is there anything to suggest that leaders are really trying to cut Co2 emissions? If we can not even prevent war to cut Co2 emissions how can we expect we can or will make much of a dent in emissions in other areas other than by lots and lots of people dying?
@swardinc
@swardinc 5 дней назад
@@Nihilism4U yep and on top of that look at all of us, looking at them saying oh you want us to cut back as you prepare for not one, not two, but maybe three wars?
@bobbiejwilbur8503
@bobbiejwilbur8503 Год назад
We are not doing enough! We need to change our mindsets in order to make change happen.
@kaijukid9644
@kaijukid9644 Год назад
I don't get how people are saying the lesson of this video is "Everything will be ok. " They're clearly not saying that. What they're saying is that while we still have a TON of work to do, lots of progress has still been made and that we need to keep fighting for it.
@davidsalo8397
@davidsalo8397 Год назад
We've taken three steps in a ten mile hike. We plunged head first into this mess. Making a U-turn will be in slow motion at best.
@kaijukid9644
@kaijukid9644 Год назад
@@davidsalo8397 ok doomer
@davidabbott9425
@davidabbott9425 8 месяцев назад
If you don't mention that we have been working for about 30 years on reducing emissions and yet co2 ppm continues to rise as rapidly as ever then you are ignoring the most important point. Pretty pathetic I would say.
@BlacKi-nd4uy
@BlacKi-nd4uy Месяц назад
and better fast. the video says we reached +1.1 degrees 1 year ago. but 2023 was already 1,45 degrees. and 2024 was already hitting 1,52 degrees in the first 2 month. so i think, the 2 degree target is already lost.
@lor3nz42s2
@lor3nz42s2 Год назад
One of the ways to address climate change that i havent seen many people talking about in north america is public transportation. The amount of infrastructure that cars take up is far more carbon intensive than public transportation.
@sagewidder510
@sagewidder510 Год назад
Yes, thank you! I'm not confident we'll be able to make this shift, but it's worth pushing for anyways.
@orchestraoverseer9426
@orchestraoverseer9426 Год назад
Most intelligent comment I've seen, congratulations. Tesla's aren't the future they are the same shit with a different colour
@raoulluijten5972
@raoulluijten5972 Год назад
This is super important, similar to diet change.
@donmcdougall4587
@donmcdougall4587 Год назад
Yes Fast, easily accessible for all, efficient, safe and affordable public transport is one of the solutions to global warming. Unfortunately the push to EV's both skewers government focus with subsidies to companies and and Tax incentives to consumers, that money available for PT will be even less. And of course, EV's are not the great savior of our planet, but are marketed (sadly albeit brilliantly) as just that.
@davidsalo8397
@davidsalo8397 Год назад
A lot of spoiled people that will hold onto their private transportation until someone pries it from their cold hands. Same with firearms. A society of entitlement. That attitude is starting to really catch up to us now.
@joey1160
@joey1160 Год назад
The problem with this video is that it is trying to solve the problem and save the world with the same level of thinking that created the problems in the first place. If we only look at “emissions,” we completely overlook, say, the loss of forest ecosystems which actually sequester and reduce atmospheric carbon. And forests are cleared in the name of the same “development” that makes countries apparently rich. Also, agriculture is among the largest, of not the largest, contributor to global warming, and it’s not mentioned once; and it’s a problem not because of tailpipe exhausts, but the loss of forests as they become tilled soil, and soil as it becomes inorganic dirt, the collapsing of insect life as it it killed to grow crops, and water as it it polluted to fertilize lifeless dust. Yet, regenerative agriculture, plus other ecologically-inspired ideas, have the potential to reverse climate change. The query goes so much deeper than new technology wrapped in delusions of old thinking.
@user-jd3pr8bm1p
@user-jd3pr8bm1p Год назад
It's because they want to make money through co2. It's just that.
@andrevinicius6040
@andrevinicius6040 Год назад
also the continuous genocide of indigenous ppl. they not only take good care of the ecosystems in their territory but they also take from the land most of what they need. they dont require as much industrialized way of living. big companies realize that and theyre always pushing to steal their natural resources and make their way of living impossible so they go to the cities and become consumers
@grahambennett8151
@grahambennett8151 Год назад
@@user-jd3pr8bm1p Right on - and they want to distract you from the disastrous emissions of the nuclear industry, which emits radioactive gases, liquids, particulates and solids all the time it generates. Gases and particulates up the chimneys, radioactive coolant and other fluids/radioactive suspensions down the pipes to rivers, lakes and seas. Truly, the even care of the environment is not a single-gas issue. As CO2 is necessary for all life on earth to continue, clearly its management cannot just come down to collecting as much as we can and hiding it away - pretty much all we hear about from climate alarm believers.
@heatherthomas7545
@heatherthomas7545 Год назад
100% Amen. Emissions are only 1/2 of the equation. But maybe that's where the good news really lies. So many people get it now and are making changes on their farms, ranches, and even in their back yards. We are watching the rivers run dry, the fields burn, and the floods take people's homes away. We see it, we're on it. We just need more people, more awareness, more conversation, more changes.
@ex8280
@ex8280 Год назад
I don't mind slashing and burning agriculture, but I do mind burying EV's battery in the soil. One can resolved by just stopping the practice. EV battery?...once it dies, what do you do with it? So the solution needs to be safe for future generation, not just to make you feel good about yourself. I still say the best solution is to recycle, reduce and reuse. And If you push too far and start teaching kids that carbon is creating problem for the planet, people might misinterpret it and might mandate the world to take a drug that "safe and effective" to save the planet.
@hudsonb631
@hudsonb631 Год назад
taking care of/being stewards of the only planet that can support humanity seems like a good idea. Keep it up PBS
@thalesnemo2841
@thalesnemo2841 7 месяцев назад
Mars or bust ! Humanity has hoisted itself by its petards! The Earth will be fine it’s the people who are screwed!
@handlewithcare1234
@handlewithcare1234 Год назад
I fully believe the situation could be addressed. I have low confidence in human will and commitment. I believe we still underestimate how far down the road we are, and are too hopeful on the ability of the ecosystem to sit and wait for humans to get their act together.
@jamesfranklin458
@jamesfranklin458 8 месяцев назад
we are hopeless and should embrace climate accelerationism
@TheZaru
@TheZaru 7 месяцев назад
it will take a global catastrophe for countries to pull their heads in and work together to fix things. Humanity united could easily solve all these issues but it will not happen unless something causes the need for humans to unite
@mgmcd1
@mgmcd1 Год назад
Fool around and find out. Thank big oil for muddying the waters on this issue, by their own admission. And big coal for muddying the waters on renewable electric sources, including nuclear. Well, they got their money. I guess that’s all that matters.
@beth8775
@beth8775 Год назад
They ought to be held criminally liable for their contribution.
@jeffgold3091
@jeffgold3091 Год назад
big oil is now big wind . it’s all big business
@davemac4968
@davemac4968 Год назад
... love the episode... at the same time, WAYYYYYYYY way way way, too early to start patting ourselves on the back
@davidlovesyeshua
@davidlovesyeshua Год назад
This video contains significant positive developments as far as humanity’s emissions trajectory is concerned. And it does say there’s a lot we still need to do. Why isn’t there cause for some level of positivity? And what alternative rhetorical strategy would be more psychology motivating for normal people who aren’t constantly in a mental space that includes tipping points, climate refugees, estimated numbers of lives lost (non-linearly) increasing with fractions of degrees of warming, etc.?
@jimf.2964
@jimf.2964 Год назад
its bullshit...the whole damn climate thing
@davidlovesyeshua
@davidlovesyeshua Год назад
@@ULTRAOutdoorsman Those aren't *rhetorical* strategies. Those are things you could influence using government policy certainly, but I'm not sure how that's relevant to the video we're commenting on.
@luois
@luois Год назад
@@davidlovesyeshua​right. The point of the video is to show the positive changes. It’s honest and useful.
@mlgsteenad4068
@mlgsteenad4068 7 месяцев назад
so refreshing seeing so much screentime for the experts
@Botanifiles
@Botanifiles 7 месяцев назад
Land use, and in particular animal agriculture, are my main concerns. I've seen presentations at my university on various means of minimizing land use and methane production for these systems, and while the science makes sense, I have yet to see significant enough investment from either the private sector or government.
@RikardJohansson
@RikardJohansson 7 месяцев назад
Yes, this is the #1 worry for me as well. AAG use 83% of our AG lands, while only bring 18% of our consumed calories to the table, injustice and animal cruelty aside - it's EXTREMELY cost ineffective. Flipping it around, 82% of our consumed calories comes from only 17% of land usage from vegetables. The whole AAG system is flawed overall, subsidized from the government making it unfair and upholds an otherwise truly unsustainable system, it gets harder for the consumer to make a viable decisions with this which pushes it further. The answer is not to stick with our current habits of animal protein, waiting for some green wash technology which gives us the illusion that we're moving forward. It's take a step back, review our self and make better more sustainable choices from the bottom up. Times change and so must we, this is in the power of every consumer.
@jeremysmith8814
@jeremysmith8814 Год назад
We are not alarmed enough
@robertwelch2843
@robertwelch2843 Год назад
we needed to be in the streets demanding change 20 years ago
@kimwelch4652
@kimwelch4652 Год назад
I have noticed that all the videos of this type always end on a positive note. The pattern seems to be: "We are all in deadly danger--but it'll be okay". While I am still optimistic that a marginal percentage of the global human population will likely squeak through this Fermi great filter, the optimism indicative of the upbeat video endings are unwarranted. There is no evidence that any of the countries will keep their promises and good evidence that many will not. Worse, this is a global issue so it does no good for only one or two to reduce their emissions while the rest of the globe goes on an industrialization spree.
@natalia499
@natalia499 Год назад
It's funny in grotesque way that at the end of the video scientists says that currently we are going to future we don't want to leave for future generations and heading toward a pretty bad outcome, but it's overlayed with propagandist happy/hopeful music. The only thing that would make it even better is using this music when showing videos currently from Bangladesh were millions of people are still displaced and could never return after the massive floods that happened over 3 months ago. If millions of people suffering every year is the optimistic future... fear for the realistic outcome.
@steviesevieria1868
@steviesevieria1868 Год назад
@@natalia499 PBS!
@timeenoughforart
@timeenoughforart Год назад
Optimist and pessimist are always right, temporarily. I grew up under threat of nuclear war. I'm optimistic that we are still all going to die that way.
@steviesevieria1868
@steviesevieria1868 Год назад
@@timeenoughforart not “all”, just the majority
@kimwelch4652
@kimwelch4652 Год назад
@@timeenoughforart Actually, I ran the numbers. Even GTNW cannot wipe 8 billion people off the planet. There are just too many of us.
@preciousmousse
@preciousmousse 10 месяцев назад
We need more documentaries like this that make us think practically and creatively about the problem. Consumers need to know what the consequences of paying for one product over another are and we need to know which small changes matter most.
@jamesgreig5168
@jamesgreig5168 10 месяцев назад
Really? I can't help thinking this is just fuelling climate alarmism.
@preciousmousse
@preciousmousse 10 месяцев назад
@@jamesgreig5168 I'm glad that you feel it's alarming really.
@zolamadda5980
@zolamadda5980 10 месяцев назад
​@@jamesgreig5168If you're not alarmes you're quite ill informed.
@ceeemm1901
@ceeemm1901 9 месяцев назад
What more docos? To add to the thousands already made? Do you buy a newspaper, read it, then go back to the newsagent buy another paper to check if the first one is true?
@tuktukindia9297
@tuktukindia9297 Год назад
A large section of climate specialists do not even bring up the topic of "consumption" and "patterns of usage". Even this article hasn't mentioned anything about lifestyle in North America. If we opt to live in smaller homes, accept vertically built homes, and allow stores and cafés to coexist in multi use buildings, we will naturally drive down the emissions related to transport and grid. We absolutely need to decarbonize but it is also important we reduce our land foot print. We should help people transition from small towns/suburbs and integrate them in dense urban centers which are walkable, bike-able and are in proximity of public transit.
@blarrrging
@blarrrging Год назад
I’m most worried that the thought process can now be seen as “WE’RE not screwed” and put on the back burner for another 20 years, hoping the problem will work itself out.
@maiyamay_
@maiyamay_ Год назад
This is a real concern. Hopefully that’s not what leaders takeaway from this data.
@death_parade
@death_parade Год назад
I can assure you that this is not the case at least in India. India was the only G20 member to meet its Paris Climate Deal goals. And one such goal, that of having 40% of its installed electric capacity from non-fossil fuel sources by 2030, was achieved 7 years ahead of schedule. We met our Paris Climate Deal goal of having 175GW installed renewable electricity capacity by 2022. But instead of saying we've done enough, our government simply tripled the target to 500 GW of installed renewable capacity by 2030. Another Paris Climate Deal target was reducing Carbon Emissions intensity by 33% over 2005 levels by 2030. India already achieved 28% in that and therefore has revised that goal upwards to 45% by 2030. So contrary to putting it on the back burner, we are achieving our climate goals ahead of time and then revising the goals upwards to do even better. Since 2015, 92% of the Coal Power Plants proposed to be built in India have been cancelled. Indian Railways is on its way to become net zero by 2030. Which is important because we are the fourth largest rail network in the world and about to become to the third largest at the current pace of expansion. In terms of ridership, we are already the largest by far. Moreover, we are on track to make 100% of our Railways electric within next two years (started from 38% in 2014 to 85% now and 100% by 2024). No G20 member is even close to this. At the same time Indian Government is aiming to increase India's share of rail freight from 27% now to 45% by 2030. This, along with the massive investment in waterways will ensure that majority of Indian freight movement that is currently done through the inefficient and fossil fuel dependent roads network will happen through green electricity powered and more energy efficient railways and waterways, massively cutting down on potential emissions. Other than that, there has been a massive reduction in emissions of vehicles due to India adopting BS VI norms which are the Indian equivalent of Euro Stage 6. On top of that, there is government subsidy, corporations and startups jumping into making and government organizations (like State Bus Transport Corporations and the military) and corporations buying up Electric Vehicles. And India's largest private conglomerates are announcing their plans for massive investment in Green Hydrogen and Electrolyzers with a target to drive Green Hydrogen costs down to $1/kg by 2030 and make India the electrolyzer manufacturing hub of the world. Mind you this goal was set by a private corporation that is among the largest oil and gas conglomerates in the world. There is so much else happening in India like Green Steel, Green Methane, Roads made of plastic waste, reforestation, biofuels, etc. And at the same time as India is doing this, India lifted a population the size of European Union from Multidimensional Poverty in the last 15 years. Point is, despite the massive challenges India faces, India is lifting hundreds of millions from extreme poverty while also fighting climate change and China and Pakistan and Terrorism. India at least, is doing its part and plans to do it irrespective of the good news.
@stoodmuffinpersonal3144
@stoodmuffinpersonal3144 Год назад
@@maiyamay_ Only if people get loud and try to get them to smarten up
@steviesevieria1868
@steviesevieria1868 Год назад
Nobody in charge is hoping the problem will work out, they’re just hoping for more profits this quarter.
@user-jd3pr8bm1p
@user-jd3pr8bm1p Год назад
We are not screwd. We only have a lot of propaganda going on.
@toniatchison3678
@toniatchison3678 Год назад
The biggest problem I have with some of our 'climate policies ' is that we keep putting price tags on it. The second biggest problem is that none of us plain old average citizens think we can't do anything about rising temperatures, when in fact, everything has an effect. Good or bad.
@jazzypoo7960
@jazzypoo7960 Год назад
Like I always say, we are smart enough to mess up the planet, but not smart enough to fix it.
@toniatchison3678
@toniatchison3678 Год назад
@@jazzypoo7960 exactly! We messed up, we have no choice but to take the responsibility and fix it.
@baronvonjo1929
@baronvonjo1929 Год назад
Yeah when it comes to EVs I don't understand why company fleets and government fleets dont go first. That's a huge number of cars. They should require these companies to foot the bill before us consumers. Make them go full EV. Now if there actually is a law coming up doing this than just ignore my ignorance.
@toniatchison3678
@toniatchison3678 Год назад
@@baronvonjo1929 I always thought EV's were the way to go too. Except the process of mining the rare metals needed for those vehicles is actually just as environmentally damaging as our gas-powered cars. So strip mining becomes acceptable, so more and more pollution and land destruction. Plus too many people don't look closer to see how their electricity is generated,and oops! Coal fired power plant.
@baronvonjo1929
@baronvonjo1929 Год назад
@Toni Atchison And then I personally don't like how they are tablets on wheels. Everything is done through a screen and trying to be high tech. And then how the battery ages. My car is older than me currently. If a EV battery can't last 25 years without a replacement it's not a consideration. Then i wodner about people who live in apartments and stuff without a driveway. How do they charge these? I am completely certain EVs will improve. But I won't be getting a EV or hybrid anytime soon. I cant afford to pay thousands for a broken battery.
@Pecisk
@Pecisk 8 месяцев назад
Coming back to this after summer of 2023 - while change has been possible, I feel scientific evidence starts to tells us that we have been way too optimistic about our predictions. Tipping points is one example, but this summer already saw incredible disruption of everything just being a bit hotter than usual. It feels that we are actually do not understand that much what that heating will involve. Or where tipping points will trigger. And that will add additional problem to society in general.
@jeffsmith3550
@jeffsmith3550 8 месяцев назад
I think we're in a place where we have done good things, but more progress is needed to leave our children a better world. I owe it to my son and daughter to correct the mistakes of our past.
@abbyhillman769
@abbyhillman769 Год назад
We're not alarmed enough. Our family has been very motivated to do our part to lower our impact on the environment for the past 40 years, but only in the past 10 years have we been able to afford (for example) solar power for our home, an electric car, efficient heat pumps for our cooling and heating, etc. But the average family who might want to make these improvements may not be able to afford them, like we weren't for so many decades. It's still a good idea to do the things that you CAN afford, like insulate your home, keep the temperature lower in winter and higher in summer, recycle instead of landfill, grow some of your own food, and so on. But government subsidies for game changers like solar energy and more widespread high voltage charging stations for electric cars (ideally powered by solar, wind, hydro, or other renewable energy sources) are needed to get more people and businesses to a more sustainable level of emissions.
@steviesevieria1868
@steviesevieria1868 Год назад
Solar panels are a great example, the government is trying to encourage their use by offering a tax credit, but the companies that do the installations want to suck up all the tax credit money and twice as much. Greed in the solar industry isn’t helping anything move along there.
@MikeBrownRehobothBeach
@MikeBrownRehobothBeach Год назад
So you've been saving the planet by buying more stuff.... lol, humans don't stand a chance.
@legerlog5566
@legerlog5566 Год назад
I would suggest watching the video: "Why I Don't Care About Your Flight Emissions" by Our Changing Climate It talks about climate hypocrisy and carbon guilt and how our attention to individual carbon footprints and worries about being seen as hypocritical distract from the task of dismantling the fossil fuel industry. Pls at least check it out :)
@unvaccinated6467
@unvaccinated6467 Год назад
Solar wind and hydro are pointless, if you really cared about clean energy you'd be advocating for nuclear fusion, its the most efficient and the cleanest energy there is
@PG-3462
@PG-3462 Год назад
@@MikeBrownRehobothBeach You litterally used a cellphone and electricity to type that comment 🤦‍♂️ I don't think anyone is willing to reject every single thing modern societies provided us, you included. However, we must eliminate everything that's not truly useful and when we have to replace something, then it's better to choose the things that will help us to reduce our impact on the environment on the long run, like solar panels if electricity in your region is currently generated with fossil fuel.
@baconandeggs9141
@baconandeggs9141 Год назад
I love this world and its life. So please, humanity, don’t destroy it. Thanks
@fabriciofercher8317
@fabriciofercher8317 Год назад
Hope will be that easy! Make a Global Society works is far more complex than build bridges and both are Technical!
@quertiqr
@quertiqr Год назад
Bruh. Have you seen humanity lately? We're fucked.
@Matt2023
@Matt2023 Год назад
I love you mostly for breakfast but occasionally dinner.
@marcos-ll2yr
@marcos-ll2yr Год назад
you don't know humans for sure you live in a cave? hahaha
@xanderbekkett4988
@xanderbekkett4988 10 месяцев назад
"please, humanity, don’t destroy it". Too late........
@stephenjanes103
@stephenjanes103 9 месяцев назад
INOT ALARMIST ENOUGH. I spent 30 years studying and cleaning up groundwater around industrial toxic waste sites. Not good. The only real progress was the regulatory bans on such sites. But some still exist. Industry makes more toxic waste than ever before. And groundwater contamination is still a very big problem. Expect from this moment on for people to prevent climate regulation every day, to slow progress with endless meetings and arguments and delays. The predictions will come true. We are in a climate mess that will get much worse in the next 30 years. You need orders of magnitude more people like me fighting to stop the fossil fuel industry. The only good news is that when the Antarctic ice breaks up and melts away and Floride is underwater, people will look back and maybe have learned something.
@SylvainDuford
@SylvainDuford Год назад
Despite all the electric cars, solar panels, windmills, and 27 COPs, our carbon emissions are still rising. The fact that we're still subsidising the fossil fuel industry to the tunes of trillions is mind-boggling.
@unvaccinated6467
@unvaccinated6467 Год назад
Solar panels and windmills are pointless, its nuclear fusion or nothing, and you can't just stop fossil fuels over night do you know how many people would die if that happened?
@RobertMJohnson
@RobertMJohnson Год назад
the fact that you don't understand that fossil fuels are going nowhere is mind-boggling
@stephanieellison7834
@stephanieellison7834 Год назад
August 12, 2022 The more trees who die, the less oxygen you will have, and the hotter the temperatures will be because there will not be leaf coverage to cover over the height of human habitation to reduce temperatures. You must remember that unlike trees, man-made objects, like metal boxes to cars to buildings, absorb solar energy and release it as heat into the air. It is not just the gases from combustion and the heat from hot motors (petroleum and HVAC motors), but ALSO the heat-radiating characteristic of man-made object surfaces that raise the temperature of the air. A great example of this are cars and trucks standing outside in the sunlight. How hot is the body surface? What about leaves and branches of a tree - are they hot to the touch?? Whatever solar energy man-made objects absorb, they will radiate it. That includes solar panels. THAT is what is happening right now. You will probably have to disassemble and destroy a lot of heat radiating technologies such as cars, trucks, buildings, AND the blacktop/sidewalk surfaces by deconstituting the elements and returning them to mine sites and reburying them, and put trees back in those places in order to bring temperatures down (and bring in rainfall). It is getting to where trees are treated as ornaments of beauty instead of living beings who provide numerous critical functions while alive - cooling the air at human height by providing shade, providing oxygen, and making rainfall more likely to happen through transpiration of water vapor during photosynthesis. Trees brings rainfall activity, while deserts take it away because there is NOTHING to contribute to the formation of rain clouds, bringing rain. Also, the presence of moisture and trees will narrow down the range of temperature fluctuations that happen over a 24-hour period. Essentially, entire cities act as small deserts, since there is relatively little vegetation/tree coverage. Cities are even worse than deserts in this regard ALSO because of man-made objects' heat-radiating characteristic. What can we do in the meantime? Can we grow trees to cover narrow roads and grow vines that grow leaves during spring to cover the roads overhead ahead of the summer months? Can we build vine structures over the majority of buildings for a similar reason? We have to have a way of bringing temperatures down by removing as many man-made objects from contact with the sun as possible in any way we can. It is ridiculous to see 115-120 degree temperatures. Kuwait is starting to become unliveable because of these temperatures. You'll see the Ethiopian Desert normally hit 122 degrees, and it has hit 140 degrees. Assuming that we have started to take apart the technologies such as cars, vehicles, etc. and started planting trees and covering up buildings and roads to shield them from the sun, how then would we deal with the nature of "green energy?" The fact is, if we carry out these actions, then solar energy could become unreliable for substantial power generation because the vegetation, including trees, would then bring on more periods of rain, which would in turn impact the number of days of availability of full sunshine. It remains to be seen what would be the impact on winds by such vegetation, even if the windmills are built with propellers far above the tree tops because of the potential for the moderation of the Earth's temperature across its surface relative to today's present scenario. We may have to examine what wind conditions were like thousands of years ago through descriptions of such in ancient writings in areas that were not yet deforested. I recognize that this might not resemble the scenario in which we regreen as much of today's deforested areas as possible. This may also have an unseen impact on wind energy as a reliable source of energy. I believe the key is reducing the level of technology we have, which can reduce the impact of mining, drilling, and harvesting on the Earth, as well as remove sources of heat generation as described earlier.
@bonniepoole1095
@bonniepoole1095 Год назад
The IPPC is a consensus report. Many scientists at the meeting thought that the climate is already hitting tipping points and goals needed to be more urgent and immediate. 2050 is far to late to avoid really bad outcomes! The shift needs to happen NOW! Development of eco-tech might be too late- - ask the folks in the African desert, flooded Pakistan, or along the dried up Euphrates River - - they can't wait for 2050 as the climate disaster for them is NOW. Stop pleasure travel, turn down the heat in the house, go vegan, plant trees and a garden, stop buying crap that lands up in the landfill. WE are responsible; we need to stop it.
@jimthain8777
@jimthain8777 Год назад
If there was ONE thing 5 billion people should do, what would that be?
@bonniepoole1095
@bonniepoole1095 Год назад
@@jimthain8777 Immediately restore soil health! Soil biology retains carbon. Starting with a baseline of 1-2%, soil carbon can increase over ten years to 5-8%. While 1% of carbon in soil equals about 8.5 tons per acre, after ten years there can be 25-60 tons of carbon per acre.
@bonniepoole1095
@bonniepoole1095 Год назад
@@jimthain8777 Cities need to rip up blacktop to replace with absorbent surfaces, plant foliage in all empty lots, paint ALL rooftops in reflective surfaces, encourage front yard gardens instead of lawns. Water management on hillsides to slow and soak water to restore aquifers. New policies NOW.
@kaitlyn__L
@kaitlyn__L Год назад
I agree but with a caveat, if where you live has abundant wind, hydro, or nuclear power then turning down the heat won’t really help. (Or places with district heat since that’s waste heat already.) Gas or coal grid, or local gas heat in the house, it absolutely helps a huge amount.
@gig2734
@gig2734 Год назад
We have already missed the chance to prevent climate change, now is the time to reduce the damage.
@donmackay9315
@donmackay9315 Год назад
Definitely not overreacting. Tipping points are closing in on being realistic events all over the planet.
@neverettebrakensiek8771
@neverettebrakensiek8771 Год назад
Events caused by magnetic poles shifting and solar flares , reducing emissions cannot stop whats happening. Stop listening to the World E C, Bill Gates and all those elites destroying the planet while they lecture you. We are headed toward a planet shift in which most will die and they cannot save you . Prepare accordingly ,Suspicious Observer.
@conradpons2463
@conradpons2463 Год назад
I'm 67 years old and I have seen what yall are talking about in Mt short lifetime. Imagine what the next 67 years will bring but I believe that we are not alarmed enough. There's more to life than financial success.
@anthonymorris5084
@anthonymorris5084 Год назад
If you're 67 then surely you're aware of the thousands of useless bomb shelters Americans put in their back yards in the 1950's. You must have lived through the 1970's energy "crisis" when "Scientists said" we were running out of oil. That crisis never materialized. Then there was the impending ice age that never happened and how we were all going to starve to death by the 1980's due to over population. 23 years ago it was Y2K and you're still listening to dooms day cultists?
@Toastcat890
@Toastcat890 Год назад
Love of money will be our end.
@anthonymorris5084
@anthonymorris5084 Год назад
@@Toastcat890 In that case, can I have all of yours?
@joweb1320
@joweb1320 Год назад
I think we have a lot to do and not a lot of time. Biodiversity is also something that needs addressed ASAP. No more logging of old growth forests ASAP. THANKS FOR THE VIDEOS!!
@nickosmond
@nickosmond Год назад
I live in Canada and this is something that has been addressed years ago not only my lifetime, but my father and my grandfathers it’s been enforced by law for generations we have extremely strict laws when it comes to hunting fishing and cutting down trees so much so if you fuck one up, you have the potential to lose your license for both, if not all and also your vehicle(you’ll lose your license for good not just a temporary punishment)
@joweb1320
@joweb1320 Год назад
@@nickosmond I visited Vancouver Island in September and old trees were being cut down left and right to build more houses.
@nickosmond
@nickosmond Год назад
@@joweb1320 that’s the thing I’m on the opposite side of Canada in Newfoundland here the locals are reminded that they can’t do things, but the government gets to do it. Anyway, we can’t chop down whatever trees we want but the government can pick a random location and say let’s destroy all these trees just to put a wind farm here that’ll potentially be built in the next 5 to 10 years. We locals can’t touch the trees because they’re significant, but the government can. I would honestly be shocked if the majority of the Vancouver population actually supported that like this is just common sense Vancouver’s a very beautiful place it has, hundreds if not thousands of tourist attractions some of the best in all of Canada and you’re telling me the population don’t care just by going on Facebook alone I can see that’s not the case yet alone all the other social media sites were you see people advocating for the same things
@joweb1320
@joweb1320 Год назад
@@nickosmond Saw lots of bumper stickers saying "stop logging old growth forests" so there are people on the island that want it stopped but new housing development continues. Visited a friend's dad at his new house in a new subdivision that used to be a forest. Even a few years ago when I visited there were more trees.
@nickosmond
@nickosmond Год назад
@@joweb1320 yeah I’m not denying it’s happening, but I’m also questioning who is allowing it to happen Trudeau has been elected for how many years now. And maybe just maybe Vancouver needs to tell people to stop moving there because like there’s tons of places in Canada, you can move to my towns population alone has shrunk 12-16% since 2015. No one’s talking about it because they’d rather go to the big cities, but it’s because these big cities are in conjunction with the government they get to do what they want. Our Prime Minister says he cares about the environment but yet he still allows things like this to happen. It makes no sense, but yet he still telling us we need to do better for the environment instead of him, making changes that only he can make
@cSTEPHEN855
@cSTEPHEN855 Год назад
People are nowhere near alarmed enough, we’ve already passed every tipping point and at this point we should be preparing people for the pain to come. Unfortunately due to the unwarranted optimism and misinformation many will not be prepared for the collapse to come.
@Conus426
@Conus426 Год назад
Great video. So important to get the facts out there, bless you.
@jsnel9185
@jsnel9185 Год назад
The carbon footprint for the manufacturing of electric cars is significant. So is the processing of the many rare metals required for them to operate.
@shanecollie5177
@shanecollie5177 Год назад
According to volvo,and volkswagen,the carbon footprint of manufacturing an ev is more than double that of an ice
@izzy9506
@izzy9506 Год назад
We're most definitely not alarmed enough! Every time we come up with a future model for climate warming, we seem to surpass those predictions for even more warming. This country is also veering far right as are many others, which means even less action towards meeting any hope of decarbonization. We need to all be acting on this yesterday, and most people have their head in the (drought-ridden) sand.
@lorenzoblum868
@lorenzoblum868 Год назад
One word: EXPONENTIAL. Btw, the carbon/toxicity footprint of the military industrial complex anybody? Edit. Three more words: KNOCK ON EFFECT.
@unvaccinated6467
@unvaccinated6467 Год назад
No all climate change predictions from the past were vastly over estimated, in the early 2000s when I was in school I was told 50% of florida would be under water by 2015, in the 70a they used to say we were on the brink of another ice age, climate scientists are re tard ed
@unvaccinated6467
@unvaccinated6467 Год назад
@@paddor that's exactly the rational, well thought out argument I was expecting from someone who believes in all this nonsense
@Bitchslapper316
@Bitchslapper316 Год назад
Lol
@tombowen9861
@tombowen9861 Год назад
The "Every new model is worse" is something that has kept me up some nights. I fear the experts writing the reports are too conservative to capture the real trends.
@sidneyboo9704
@sidneyboo9704 10 месяцев назад
We need to live a simpler life so others may simply live.
@francescocornaggia9560
@francescocornaggia9560 8 месяцев назад
Very IPCC view according to me. The earth is not only threatened by CHG increase and all the associated but not fully considered effects (aka ocean acidification, over the chart temperature increase and de oxigenation) but by an increasing environent degradation by forever chemicals, overfishing, land overuse, forest degradation and so on. We are assisting to the sixt mass extintion and we still give messages of hope like in this video! As a geologist I can assure you that in 4.5 billions of years we have never assisted to physical and biological degradation like the one we are causing now in just 100 year. How we can ;limit our scenarios to 2100? where we will be let us say in 2500 if we do not deeply change our attitude of over using our planet?
@karlwheatley1244
@karlwheatley1244 8 месяцев назад
Great post.
@stevefitt9538
@stevefitt9538 Год назад
@Dirt Flyer, tipping points are the problem now. Three weeks ago I went looking for the data on how much Methane was in the air. I found a good graph from NASA that showed that CH4 ppm began to increase faster in 2017 and every year since has seen the level increasing faster than the year before. To me this looks like the CH4 tipping point was tipped in about 2017, and nobody is talking about that.
@jordanfarr3157
@jordanfarr3157 Год назад
This is fascinating! Any indication of the search terms I can use to find this chart?
@tombowen9861
@tombowen9861 Год назад
@@jordanfarr3157 gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends_ch4/ I think might be the right one. NASA has some graphs also, but I'm not sure if they should be directly compared because NOAA's is the global mean, and NASA's (that I saw) were specific sampling sites.
@jordanfarr3157
@jordanfarr3157 Год назад
@@tombowen9861 thanks so much!
@tombowen9861
@tombowen9861 Год назад
@@jordanfarr3157 Very welcome! I hadn't seen it before also, so thanks for asking the question!
@torolvro59
@torolvro59 Год назад
This is ppb though. As the woman states, carbon (co2 in this case) radiates about 7 Watts. Where as the sun emits well up in the 500s. So how much impact does 7 have compared to 500?
@kimwelch4652
@kimwelch4652 Год назад
One of the reasons the CO2 emissions in the US and Europe remained flat while the GDP increased is that the West exported its industrial manufacturing to the East, mostly to China. So, emissions in China went through the roof while the West's GDP continued to climb because much of the profits from the exported manufacturing went back to the West. If you add back some of China's emissions to the West, things do not look so rosy.
@jodyfulford8215
@jodyfulford8215 Год назад
Great point. We can't export our carbon footprint when we consume the goods that caused the emissions.
@kimwelch4652
@kimwelch4652 Год назад
@@jodyfulford8215 Climate Change is global; it cannot be exported. It does not matter what country creates the greenhouse gases, it affects the entire world. So, this is not a problem that we can tackle one country at a time.
@peterm.eggers520
@peterm.eggers520 Год назад
There is currently no measurable temperature increase due to atmospheric CO2 increase, man-made or natural.
@ingGmoPs
@ingGmoPs Год назад
About being too alarmist, or not enough, its the same as after a pandemic: at the moment, it always seem as too much, but after it, it will always looks like anything was enough
@SekiLapse
@SekiLapse Год назад
Bruh
@Beryllahawk
@Beryllahawk Год назад
Alarmist or not alarmed enough - a bit of both. I think we NEED to keep ringing every bell and screaming at every politician, because it's just too easy for people to forget, to ignore, what's happening literally right outside their houses... we have to keep the idea in people's minds, in view, and there's not much other way to do that but by sheer volume of shouting. And we know we're not "crying wolf," so I don't think we need to feel "bad" about continuing to stress how much more needs to be done. But, that said - we HAVE made a difference, we HAVE more tools at hand to help this. There's more to do, there are complicated difficult decisions and processes still to take on, there is still a huge amount of resistance, most especially from all those who stand to lose billions when fossil fuels go away. They're not going to give up their wealth easily, most especially because they are indeed among those who have the resources to handle the greater dangers and discomforts of 3 degrees C. The alarm is what gives us the energy for the long haul, it's what fuels the push to change the whole world. Acknowledge the wins! But don't quit the fight, not ever.
@Bitchslapper316
@Bitchslapper316 Год назад
Scream at politicians all you want but China, India and other developing nations don't care how loud you scream. Chinas annual carbon footprint right now is about 3x the size of the U.S. I'm sure making daily life more expensive for the average American will change that right?
@deanfowles3707
@deanfowles3707 Год назад
​@@Bitchslapper316 some country or other ora group of countries is gonna do solar geoengineering. It's pretty much inevitable. I just hope we do sooner rather than later as 2e can save a lot more lives and biodiversity if 2e do it sooner
@SophiaAphrodite
@SophiaAphrodite Год назад
The argument about man not being a primary cause of climate change is absurd when the numbers dropped when we shut down due to Covid and due to the 2008 crash. If we did not affect it, it would not have affected it at all.
@jeffgold3091
@jeffgold3091 Год назад
emissions went down , temperature went up
@kaitlyn__L
@kaitlyn__L Год назад
@@jeffgold3091 temperature has a larger hysterisis, remember it took a century of burning coal to start to see any measurable change
@jeffgold3091
@jeffgold3091 Год назад
@@kaitlyn__L doesn’t show up in seasonal variability
@kaitlyn__L
@kaitlyn__L Год назад
@@jeffgold3091 🤦‍♀️ that’s because the tilt of the earth affects how much sun we get. Emissions affect how much of that heat the atmosphere holds onto. Slowing down the emissions doesn’t remove what already was emitted in the century-plus prior. You’re comparing apples and oranges
@jeffgold3091
@jeffgold3091 Год назад
@@kaitlyn__L thermal inertia is contradicted not only by daily and seasonal variations but also by la ninas and events like the younger dryas
@pauljay93
@pauljay93 7 месяцев назад
Another thing you can do outside of political action, is our own individual action. Spend your money at companies that are actively trying to help the environment while creating a product, instead of ones that destroy natural resources creating theirs.
@urbpharmer2718
@urbpharmer2718 9 месяцев назад
Apocalyptic is an apt term I believe. Human nature will not allow for a change in behavior before it is way to late.
@adpirtle
@adpirtle Год назад
I think 2 degrees is still a fantasy, but that doesn't mean it's not worth striving for.
@lorenzoblum868
@lorenzoblum868 Год назад
As long as we ignore the elephant in the room aka the military industrial complex, fantasy it remains.
@lozoft9
@lozoft9 Год назад
@@lorenzoblum868 A big part of why the MIC (including those of China and Russia-aligned states) exists is to protect their energy interests. The easiest way to attack the MIC is to make renewables and nuclear as cheap and as independent of global supply chains as possible.
@lorenzoblum868
@lorenzoblum868 Год назад
@@lozoft9 to protect their "war treasure". The best way to "fight" the MIC is by refusing to fight. Won't happen because we're indoctrinated from early age. We're taught patriotism, chauvinism, hatred. Paranoia and greed rule. So we're doomed. Just a matter of time.
@gamingtonight1526
@gamingtonight1526 Год назад
2C+ by 2040, which is when the tipping points start. All this 2100 is smoke and mirrors!
@maiyamay_
@maiyamay_ Год назад
Agreed!
@jordanfarr3157
@jordanfarr3157 Год назад
Do these models factor in the methane to be released from the permafrost that is thawing worldwide? The recent 'Snowball Earth' episode of History of the Earth claimed that multiples of our current carbon budget is sequestered in the permafrost and the tipping point for its eventual release has already occurred. I really respect geobiologist Dr. Leila Battison who writes those episodes. Can PBS comment on this?
@FreEntity
@FreEntity Год назад
To my understanding, none of the tipping points is in the models.
@jimthain8777
@jimthain8777 Год назад
@@PBFoote-mo2zr So are things like the war in Ukraine.
@lorenzoblum868
@lorenzoblum868 Год назад
@ Jim Thain. Exactly. Btw, the carbon /toxicity boot print of the elephant in the room aka the military industrial complex anybody?
@Bitchslapper316
@Bitchslapper316 Год назад
Methane is a greenhouse gas but it's not carbon dioxide so I'm not sure how It's part of the "carbon budget". It also doesn't interact the same as carbon does. Carbon can stay in the atmosphere from anywhere for 300-1000 years while methane stays for 9 years.
@lorenzoblum868
@lorenzoblum868 Год назад
@@Bitchslapper316 you can find many papers explaining this if you Google "is methane a more dangerous greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide"
@Tantraloverful
@Tantraloverful 9 месяцев назад
To the remark on 'wind and solar power 'stations everywhere'- currently solar energy share comprises 4.5% and wind - 7..33% of the global energy production, which means we (all of the countries and all of the global corporations) need to increase the 'green' renewables about 8 times, 800%. which means a heroic behaviour in the face of the colossal challenge...
@caesarsalad1170
@caesarsalad1170 8 месяцев назад
Nuclear
@mochorong
@mochorong 6 месяцев назад
Amazing! Not a single mention about meat consumption which leads to deforestation and burning of ecosystems! Great job!
@dhindaravrel8712
@dhindaravrel8712 Год назад
Electric cars are not a benefit. Fewer cars would be beneficial, though. Undo the mistakes of building cities around cars, and make sure they'll be geared towards the bicycle, walking and public transport in the future. THAT will make a real impact.
@climatedeniersbelonginasyl4191
So true, although I would say electric cars are better than nothing.
@kaitlyn__L
@kaitlyn__L Год назад
@@climatedeniersbelonginasyl4191 quite. In the medium term we need to redesign our cities, in many cases just to undo a lot of the car-centric redesigns of the 30s-60s, but in the short term electric cars are better than business as usual while that redesigning occurs. Since it takes 20-40 years to build those necessary planning changes.
@stephanieellison7834
@stephanieellison7834 Год назад
I'll add to this: August 12, 2022 The more trees who die, the less oxygen you will have, and the hotter the temperatures will be because there will not be leaf coverage to cover over the height of human habitation to reduce temperatures. You must remember that unlike trees, man-made objects, like metal boxes to cars to buildings, absorb solar energy and release it as heat into the air. It is not just the gases from combustion and the heat from hot motors (petroleum and HVAC motors), but ALSO the heat-radiating characteristic of man-made object surfaces that raise the temperature of the air. A great example of this are cars and trucks standing outside in the sunlight. How hot is the body surface? What about leaves and branches of a tree - are they hot to the touch?? Whatever solar energy man-made objects absorb, they will radiate it. That includes solar panels. THAT is what is happening right now. You will probably have to disassemble and destroy a lot of heat radiating technologies such as cars, trucks, buildings, AND the blacktop/sidewalk surfaces by deconstituting the elements and returning them to mine sites and reburying them, and put trees back in those places in order to bring temperatures down (and bring in rainfall). It is getting to where trees are treated as ornaments of beauty instead of living beings who provide numerous critical functions while alive - cooling the air at human height by providing shade, providing oxygen, and making rainfall more likely to happen through transpiration of water vapor during photosynthesis. Trees brings rainfall activity, while deserts take it away because there is NOTHING to contribute to the formation of rain clouds, bringing rain. Also, the presence of moisture and trees will narrow down the range of temperature fluctuations that happen over a 24-hour period. Essentially, entire cities act as small deserts, since there is relatively little vegetation/tree coverage. Cities are even worse than deserts in this regard ALSO because of man-made objects' heat-radiating characteristic. What can we do in the meantime? Can we grow trees to cover narrow roads and grow vines that grow leaves during spring to cover the roads overhead ahead of the summer months? Can we build vine structures over the majority of buildings for a similar reason? We have to have a way of bringing temperatures down by removing as many man-made objects from contact with the sun as possible in any way we can. It is ridiculous to see 115-120 degree temperatures. Kuwait is starting to become unliveable because of these temperatures. You'll see the Ethiopian Desert normally hit 122 degrees, and it has hit 140 degrees. Assuming that we have started to take apart the technologies such as cars, vehicles, etc. and started planting trees and covering up buildings and roads to shield them from the sun, how then would we deal with the nature of "green energy?" The fact is, if we carry out these actions, then solar energy could become unreliable for substantial power generation because the vegetation, including trees, would then bring on more periods of rain, which would in turn impact the number of days of availability of full sunshine. It remains to be seen what would be the impact on winds by such vegetation, even if the windmills are built with propellers far above the tree tops because of the potential for the moderation of the Earth's temperature across its surface relative to today's present scenario. We may have to examine what wind conditions were like thousands of years ago through descriptions of such in ancient writings in areas that were not yet deforested. I recognize that this might not resemble the scenario in which we regreen as much of today's deforested areas as possible. This may also have an unseen impact on wind energy as a reliable source of energy. I believe the key is reducing the level of technology we have, which can reduce the impact of mining, drilling, and harvesting on the Earth, as well as remove sources of heat generation as described earlier.
@stewartmillen7708
@stewartmillen7708 8 месяцев назад
Cars, along with the subburbs they created, are not only environmentally destructive, they also economic drains on average people. Reversing the reliance on cars and subburbs would fight both environmental destruction and poverty at the same time
@Don-lw8ly
@Don-lw8ly Год назад
Maiya you are awesome! I think that we have already baked in too much heating. The climate systems that drive the climate are changing faster all the time and the resulting disruption to ecosystems are irreversible. Humans will be lucky if there is not a complete collapse of society. So sorry.
@maiyamay_
@maiyamay_ Год назад
Oh trust me, I definitely believe the outcome isn’t going to be a good one! This data is just… interesting. We get a lot of criticism in these comment sections about us being one-sided, doom & gloom, alarmists, spreading propaganda etc. So I feel like a more optimistic climate piece was needed. We can highlight this data and still push for climate policy. Both can totally be true!
@raoulluijten5972
@raoulluijten5972 Год назад
@@maiyamay_ Fair point, however, the optimism should be in the right direction, energy (renewables, decentralized if possible and insulation), transport (not cars, nor electric cars but public transport), diet (plant based), consumption (buy less, buy better) and legislation (more not less). Whereas the video was focussed mainly on feel-good low impact progress such as electric cars. Also the climate crisis is already a reality and many non global north countries are fucked as we speak.. Good intentions and I appreciate the angle, but the execution is still a bit off! Let´s go! we need you now.
@LovelyArte
@LovelyArte 5 месяцев назад
I am 15 years old and can't help but be so scared about this. It keeps me up at night and eats at me. I do all I can to reduce, recycle, and reuse. Is there any hope for the future at all?
@propellerscience
@propellerscience 8 месяцев назад
Until you're pissed off enough and hungry enough to do whatever needs to be done, nothing will be done.
@raoulluijten5972
@raoulluijten5972 Год назад
Why are we asuming what has happened the past 10 years is business as usual? Milions of people have worked hard to avoid business as usual, they are the ones that made it happen, not simple.. inertia. This was a concerted effort by those of us who took responsability. Also we are not doing well at all, according to the latest 2022 IPCC report we have already crossed 1.09 degrees of the 1.5 degree limit. " WGI assessed the increase in global surface temperature is 1.09 [0.95 to 1.20]24 °C in 2011-2020 above 1850-1900." And those are numbers from 2 years ago. Nice confetti special effects, but I don´t want to spend the rest of my life cleaning this fucking mess. Speaking of time, we have a carbon budget left for 1.5 degrees of less than 10 years and why the fuck are you talking about limiting to 2 degrees, that is a disaster scenario. The UN secretary basically said the current situation is a huge shitshow, anything short of that is a lie. We need to double of not tripple our efforts. I appreciate the efforts made to make this video, but videos like these did not help shift business as usual, videos like these are like a feel good disney movie helping people to avoid taking responsability. Climate change is simple: Eat less animal products, buy less shit, insulate your house, use public transport, fly less and demand big companies to invest sustainably. Demand big companies to do the right thing and threaten with boycotting. Demand change and threaten with boycotting. Execute your democratic right as a consumer and demand change (if you believe in capitalism). DO IT NOW, we are in a climate crisis NOW.
@dr.zoidberg8666
@dr.zoidberg8666 Год назад
Doomsday doesn't seem just around the corner. It seems like it's hanging out somewhere in the middle of this century, as it has since I was a child.
@Bitchslapper316
@Bitchslapper316 Год назад
Yeah global warming was going to destroy the world in 5 years like I was told when I was 10 and again when I was 30. Five years ago Greta said she wouldn't make it to 20 because of climate change. Now shes 20 and everything is exactly the same. This is all a ridiculous exaggeration.
@dr.zoidberg8666
@dr.zoidberg8666 Год назад
@@Bitchslapper316 No it wasn't. Don't be stupid.
@Bitchslapper316
@Bitchslapper316 Год назад
@@dr.zoidberg8666 No what wasn't? Climate activists have been repeating the same ridiculous claim for the past 50 years. I remember back around 2005 Al Gore was selling property in Florida and claiming global warming got to a point that Washington DC would never see snow again. A few months later DC got 2 feet of snow and Gore went off the radar for months. Yeah global warming is a thing but it's being exaggerated so people can make more $$$. It's also telling that %90 of the activism is focused on the U.S and It's fossil fuels when China has an annual carbon footprint about 3x larger than the U.S.
@dr.zoidberg8666
@dr.zoidberg8666 Год назад
@@Bitchslapper316 The science has been very clear for decades. The money is not in being a climate activist lmao -- yeah, let me just tell every rich & powerful person that their business model is bad & needs to be completely overhauled -- surely they'll love that & will make me rich. No, just like with leaded gasoline, just like with smoking, just like with literally every single time capitalists can make money by making your life shittier, the money is with the giant corporations -- in this case, the fossil fuel industry. Also, China still doesn't even come close to touching US per capita emissions. & they're obviously miles away from approaching our lifetime emissions. AND they produce more renewable energy than any other country on earth (& it isn't close). But nationalistic nonsense doesn't help anything. Global warming is as GLOBAL problem, which is already displacing millions of people, disrupting food supplies, etc. Using other countries as an excuse to not adapt is stupid (especially when they're adapting faster than we are).
@erickrobertson7089
@erickrobertson7089 Год назад
Man certainly has an effect on the planet but at the risk of incurring wrath and spite I will say that when you look at past predictions and scenarios they never materialized. When you look at the recent spate of wildfires and floods, extremes for sure, then look at man's measures to control them (US Forest Service practice of permitting no wildfires for years creating plenty of fuel for one in a especially dry year or act of arson, urban construction and the removal of wetlands and the tiling of fields) you can find reasons for disbelief or in the case of news, gross exaggeration. No one reports on how the damming of the Mississippi River and gulf oil/gas exploration have combined to remove literally about a thousand sq. miles of tidal land. That would have made a difference for a city like New Orleans. I honestly don't know what will happen but if it truly is a nightmare why do developers still build on coastlines? I don't get it. I wouldn't.
@kaytobe
@kaytobe Год назад
Great video Maiya. Most of the comments here suggest we are not alarmist enough. I think the question is… what attitude or approach will actually get us to act? Doomsday doesn’t actually motivate a lot of people. But “everything is fine” certainly isn’t helping. We haven’t won the war, even if we won the apocalypse battle. And I’m concerned that the real issue is none of these models include a holistic picture of ecosystems. Even so-called tipping points don’t well incorporate the idea that the threats are multiple - climate change, biodiversity and habitat loss, erosion, pollution of water/air/soil and the limited supply of some materials that we depend upon. The question also isn’t whether “nature” survives, the question is whether ecosystem functions that we rely upon for human civilization survive intact. Right now I’m reading how we are edging closer to Amazon rainforest tipping into savannah. And we also know even if we do make it to 2 C, just that will come with undue pain and loss. 3 C is likely and we aren’t getting the word out about how bad that could be. I would like to see a video addressing Americans specifically the difference between 2 C and 3 C on American lives/economy/democracy (selfish self preservation) and give examples in the major cities of what it might look like under those scenarios and how we can limit it to at least 2C. As someone else said, it’s still a fantasy at the moment but it doesn’t have to be.
@grischa762
@grischa762 Год назад
I find it schocking how little we understand about our ecosystems in general. Most of the science was and is focused on the discovery of things that make money. And that is also how we try to fight the climate crisis aswell. By first trying to find ways to profit financially and if that is not possible then making sure that we hurt our current buisness moddel as little as possible. Even if we change the opinion of the general public there is still the issue that the opinion of the general public does not influence politics very much. There is no correlation between what the poorer 90% of the US population wants and what politcians have actually discussed or implemented in the last 20years. It is a different story for the upper 10%. So we need to fight corporate power and we need a global wealth and power redistribution if we want actual solutions. As long as we have wealth concentrated in the hands of a few people who profit from the status quo nothing will change becuase the people that could change something do not profit from actual change. We need cominity managment of water resources and land because people can actually take pretty good care of commonly owned goods if there is no way they can personally profit from its destruction. Check out the economy of the commons. I think that humans should be capable of enriching the ecosystem instead of destroying it. We have the capabilities. We just have to finally understand that money is just a tool for trade and simply holds no value on its own.
@artursbondars7789
@artursbondars7789 Год назад
With current situation I'd say we aren't alarmed enough, even with global average temperatures reaching +2 it would be disastrous for world.
@kamilkachnic7360
@kamilkachnic7360 9 месяцев назад
Meanwhile 7 monts later, the biggest heatwave in Greece, Italy and Spain. World starts to boiling.
@gokulkrishna4011
@gokulkrishna4011 9 месяцев назад
From boiling it will come to frying pan . If environment was truly meant to be saved then environmental professionals must get paid more
@avelina6303
@avelina6303 Год назад
I'm glad to see that I agree with so many of the comments. The problem is still gigantic, ecosystems are already being affected; this isn't a problem for the future, it is a problem now. Are we doing enough to help the natural world survive this disaster?
@juskahusk2247
@juskahusk2247 Год назад
Amazon dieback is a tipping point which could be crossed soon. It will turn the rainforest into desert.
@ex8280
@ex8280 Год назад
If you've participated in "safe and effective", you have done enough. All we have to do is be a bit patience. Some things just take time.
@RobertMJohnson
@RobertMJohnson Год назад
and yet man is prospering
@daniel4647
@daniel4647 10 месяцев назад
@@RobertMJohnson So does all the bacteria in a petri dish full off food, until they eat all the food that is, then it comes to a sudden stop and it's game over for everyone. Current prosperity is not a good measure of long term sustainability. If you're going to manage a civilization as massive, complex, and resource intensive as humanity it's a given that you'll have to think a little bit ahead and stay on top of things.
@RobertJohnson-lh6dg
@RobertJohnson-lh6dg 10 месяцев назад
@@daniel4647 it’s comical how you think you’re an intellectual and you think you can predict the future, when you can’t, especially on top of a billion years of plants and animals prospering on Earth. And the analogy of a Petri dish akin to earth? Pathetic childish drivel.
@PygmyBeardie
@PygmyBeardie Год назад
It's important to remember that we're not the only things living on this planet, and including loss of biodiversity in these predictions is important. Even if people survive, most life dies in these models.
@unvaccinated6467
@unvaccinated6467 Год назад
And other life will thrive, there was more carbon in the atmosphere in the past and the planet was much hotter than it is now, it still supported life where it evolved to what we see today
@RobertMJohnson
@RobertMJohnson Год назад
who cares what life dies if we don't die?
@PygmyBeardie
@PygmyBeardie Год назад
@@unvaccinated6467 that's a common line that doesn't actually pan out... Atmospheric co2 hasn't been this high since before flowering plants evolved or the first ape existed. Also, atmospheric co2 has never accrued this quickly, changes of this magnitude take tens of thousands of years. Imagine if you tried to eat all the pizzas you've ever eaten all at once; it's not the same.
@unvaccinated6467
@unvaccinated6467 Год назад
@PygmyBeardie to be honest if that's the way you think no wonder you're gullible enough to fall for this shit, please stop pushing this nonsense that will affect everyone with your renewable energy bullshit and zero emissions nonsense, if you're brain equates carbon on the earth to pizza in your stomach then you really have no clue what you're talking about and you'd probably believe any nonsense
@PygmyBeardie
@PygmyBeardie Год назад
@@unvaccinated6467 I actually have a degree in environmental science. :) Shouldn't have expected a rational response from someone named "unvaccinated" though, lol. worthy of note: the guy that came up with the line "carbon levels have been higher in the past" was author of the book Inconvenient Facts: The Science that Al Gore Doesn't Want You to Know, Gregory Wrightstone, who was involved in tobacco PR during the 90s. The book includes this claim and other misleading interpretations of science. You'd love it.
@aarongreer1657
@aarongreer1657 Год назад
A great follow up to this might be to look into re-wilding projects. It seems to me that another tool for solving not only climate change but also the pollution and water problem is re-wilding urban areas; cities around the world choosing to reclaim certain areas and building up rather than out. I'm an anthropologist, not a climate scientist, but it seems to me projects like this could be game changers.
@pbsterra
@pbsterra Год назад
Yaaaassss! Totally agreed. We're working on it.
@aarongreer1657
@aarongreer1657 Год назад
@@pbsterra I love it. Y'all are doing great work. Can't wait to watch it.
@Jens_Heika
@Jens_Heika 8 месяцев назад
By what I hear we have made a lot of progress when it comes to climate change. Since starting around 1850 we have ensured a minimum of +1.5 degrees of warming, and are in a position to get to +2 degrees of warming in what would be a world record time.
@kimnotkardashian
@kimnotkardashian Год назад
Heavy industry, shipping, and aircraft being unsolved areas of climate change vs electricity and transportation is interesting bc it's so behind the scenes that most people don't consider it. i wonder how we can change that?
@dhindaravrel8712
@dhindaravrel8712 Год назад
Most air travel and a lot of shipping is entirely avoidable. A lot of useless junk or tourists are being transported. Ban it outright, lots of emissions saved immediately. That'll give us more time to de-carbonise what we can't do without.
@parrsnipps4495
@parrsnipps4495 Год назад
Hydrogen.
@death_parade
@death_parade Год назад
Green Hydrogen. Which is where the Indian Billionaire Mukesh Ambani comes in. He just promised $1/kg Green Hydrogen by 2030 and if the Internet Revolution he created in India is anything to go by, it'll happen. Combine that with Japanese technology and Japan-India partnership and commercial shipping might be on the cusp of an EV like transformation.
@dhindaravrel8712
@dhindaravrel8712 Год назад
@@death_parade That may work, or it may not. But in the meantime, we should still do away with what isn't necessary. Once a carbon-neutral replacement is available, we can still consider what would be nice to have back and where it's better not to get it back, as fuel cost isn't the only issue.
@death_parade
@death_parade Год назад
@@dhindaravrel8712 Agreed.
@DarkPesco
@DarkPesco Год назад
Do the new projections also take into consideration the ever-growing amounts of methane the thawing artic tundra has begun belching out?
@float_sam
@float_sam Год назад
Nope.
@jordanfarr3157
@jordanfarr3157 Год назад
I just asked this question! I really hope PBS follows up on this because I think it could be *critical*.
@stevetaxpayer6664
@stevetaxpayer6664 8 месяцев назад
For the same reason that we haven't figured out how to artificially inseminate a unicorn, we haven't made any progress on climate change.
@karlwheatley1244
@karlwheatley1244 8 месяцев назад
No, it's for entirely different reasons. There is overwhelming scientific evidence humans are rapidly warming the planet and that rapid warming threatens to make the Earth increasingly unable to support life, including human life.
@legostud
@legostud 10 месяцев назад
I worry we’re still on the path to 5 degrees. Even if we cut emissions, the melting permafrost is going to release more emissions than we’ve cut.
@miroslavhoudek7085
@miroslavhoudek7085 Год назад
So there's this thing called phase transition. All complicated system are susceptible to hold on for a long time, all the built-in resiliency is helping, subsystem supporting each other. But then it snaps and unravels fairly quickly and quite significantly. We should obviously listen to scientists and not get irrationally alarmed ... but varying research shows that scientists are no better than commoners in resisting biases. And I can see that these scientists are in the "it was fine, it was never not-fine so it's probably gonna be fine" availability bias from quite afar. There's no guarantee that we make it. None whatsoever. Something we don't know about yet can unravel and turn oceans into stinking cyanic soup in short order. No guarantee that we make it whatsoever. Just because it's fine in the movies, just because it was fine for mankind so far - that has no relevance whatsoever that such a complex system is not gonna go "pop" and unravel. We can't predict such unraveling even in much simpler systems that we built ourselves from scratch. How would anyone get a clue what's Earth gonna do?
@aspenschannel7740
@aspenschannel7740 Год назад
Ecosci101 taught me this!
@jimf.2964
@jimf.2964 Год назад
blah blah blah
@davidsalo8397
@davidsalo8397 Год назад
We cannot look to the past to predict our future. We're in uncharted waters, and don't know what "icebergs" we might bump in to. We are on such a trajectory of change right now, in many aspects, the outcomes could really surprise us.
@xchopp
@xchopp Год назад
" varying research shows that scientists are no better than commoners in resisting biases." Citations, or there's no such research; and scientists are somewhat _uniquely_ trained to avoid bias (as far as possible, no-one's perfect).
@pendlera2959
@pendlera2959 10 месяцев назад
From what I've seen, scientists who study anything to do with nature or the environment seem to be the most concerned about climate change and human-caused environmental damage. Scientists seem to be all but screaming that we won't be fine unless we make massive changes, but the changes are possible. Where do you get the impression that the majority of environmental scientists think we'll be fine if nothing changes?
@wiwersewindemer4437
@wiwersewindemer4437 Год назад
Considering pretty much all historical forecasts on warming has undershot, by a lot, and that we're heading towards several tipping points which lead to a cascade of worse things? Not alarmist enough, not nearly.
@user-kl7tx2zn8c
@user-kl7tx2zn8c 7 месяцев назад
Thanks for this video it helped me so much😊😊 I just subscribed🎉❤😊
@kevincleveland763
@kevincleveland763 9 месяцев назад
I question the assertion about 3°, although it's irrelevant because this disaster is mixed even in 2.4° agricultural damage will cause massive famines. In addition, resources are running shorter and shorter, including fish, other food sources, and possible water. The extension of humanity and most other mammals, including marine mammals, seems pretty well assured.
@deepashtray5605
@deepashtray5605 Год назад
As a society we need to drastically change our consumption habits. Until that happens we will continue to face a bleak impoverished future. Next time you walk through a Target, Walmart or any other big retail store look around and consider how much of their inventory will likely not be in the waste stream within 10 years. I'm guessing it's something like 0.5 % at best.
@jutru8782
@jutru8782 Год назад
Well said.
@lorenzoblum868
@lorenzoblum868 Год назад
Consumerism is trash but let's not forget the elephant in the room aka the military industrial complex...
@deepashtray5605
@deepashtray5605 Год назад
@@lorenzoblum868 Different side of the same coin.
@lorenzoblum868
@lorenzoblum868 Год назад
@@deepashtray5605 make unbiased research. You might find one side way too dark to say the least...
@deepashtray5605
@deepashtray5605 Год назад
@@lorenzoblum868 Doesn't excuse the rest of us, though.
@life_of_wescott
@life_of_wescott Год назад
Solar might be 90% cheaper in the USA, but in South Africa, for example, the cost of solar panels and batteries has increased by more than 60% in the last few months alone. We need more regulation regarding the price of solar...
@01Gens
@01Gens 7 месяцев назад
This is like talking to children. "Dont worry little one everything will be okay, the grown-up will come together and fix it." No. Its way too late. For once scientists and media should start talking the truth.
@Enderpig124
@Enderpig124 7 месяцев назад
Many people on both sides seem to forget, this is a natural cycle and we just left an ice age.
@TheEsseboy
@TheEsseboy 7 месяцев назад
It is not a natural process, we have seen the fastest warming ever in history when compared to all types of records of temperature (Ice cores, tree rings, sediment etc.)
@Cybertori
@Cybertori Год назад
One of the biggest obstacles I see towards really bending that curve down is "Net Zero". Politicians and corporate business people love to talk about "Net Zero", but it's basically a rhetorical feint to enable *actual* emissions to continue at current or higher levels, as if there are some kind of magical "offsets" that will save us from the consequences. The inconvenient truth is that only getting to *actual* zero fossil fuel emissions will enable the planet to cool to pre-industrial levels. If your eyes are open, at 1.1C we are already in very big trouble, and passing cascading tipping points. Half measures are not going to do it.
@calliope6623
@calliope6623 Год назад
Every time I hear about "net zero" or "carbon offsets" now, I think ok, here is a corporation speaking out of its arse.
@seanc6128
@seanc6128 Год назад
Never fails, when the headline is a yes or no question the answer is probably no. We're not alarmist enough.
@ElementalWildfire
@ElementalWildfire Год назад
I mean, maybe but what I got out of producing this episode is that we've actually made huge progress even when it feels like we haven't at all. So I think that in some ways we are too alarmist.
@joecerone
@joecerone Год назад
​@@ElementalWildfire Yeah, I don't understand that comment. This episode was like music to my ears, and makes me excited to see how much better we can make our situation.
@relwalretep
@relwalretep Год назад
It's known as Betteridge's Law
@seanc6128
@seanc6128 Год назад
@@ElementalWildfire I think the "successes" and "cause for celebration" statements are much more optimistic than there is any evidence for them to be, in fact I find it insulting to have the confetti party popper graphic going along with the guy saying well the future won't be the absolute worse possible future. RCP 4.5 is still not a future I want to experience, it is still a colossal failure. Like woo go us we did more than absolutely nothing is kind of a weird thing to celebrate.
@ElementalWildfire
@ElementalWildfire Год назад
@@seanc6128 Totally fair and apologies for being insulting. The confetti was meant to be at least a little ironic but I think if you watch the content on Weathered for 2 or more episodes, you'll see that we spend plenty of time pointing out the extreme risks of our climate future. Still, I think that leads many people believe that absolutely nothing has been accomplished, even with decades of work. That is simply not true. I worry that defeatism will be a self fulfilling prophecy if we don't celebrate the small victories when we see them.
@bobbresnahan8397
@bobbresnahan8397 8 месяцев назад
We need more than RCP 2.6. We need 100% emission-free energy, etc. It can be done at a savings, a really considerable cost reduction for energy and thus all other products. But we have to decide to do it, and the federal government needs to provide actual funding, not tax credits.
@NotShowingOff
@NotShowingOff 8 месяцев назад
You can’t have climate change mitigation in a world with the type of borders we have today.
@float_sam
@float_sam Год назад
We aren't alarmed enough
@brakstrongarm9551
@brakstrongarm9551 Год назад
In UK we have conservative government who love coal (just opening a new mine) and hate renewables. So until that government changes I say we are going down climatewise
@jeffgold3091
@jeffgold3091 Год назад
UK faces a winter of people dieing from hypothermia because renewables have failed to provide dependable energy to power the country. they had no choice but to return to coal for any chance of surviving the winter .
@paulzozula1318
@paulzozula1318 Год назад
In the ice age of the last two-and-a-half million years, primarily rapid changes and climatic conditions occurred in response to feedbacks rather than the weak but prevalent driver, the Milankovitch Cycles. By themselves these cycles produced only subtle effects. There have been 40-some of these cycles and the changes that occur are profound. During glacial periods gigantic glaciers occured as sea levels fluctuate wildly. I would venture to say that first changes in atmospheric water vapor quickly amplify the initial subtle effect and subsequently changes in ice cover and corresponding albedo are even more transforming. Also, as ocean temperatures change CO2 is absorbed or released. As well, natural emissions of methane from wetlands and nitrous oxide from soils change with temperature all in such a way as to amplify. We are in an ice age, since our temperature baseline is set at a level whereby initial subtle effects and feedbacks can result in the monumental cryosphere fluctuations and albedo changes. Until recently we have been in the middle of an interglacial period following a very long and deep glaciation period; maybe the most pronounced of them all, being that we're currently in long 100,000 year plus cycles and, though somewhat flattening during the last two-and-a-half million years, we had been in a 50 million year cooling trend. Ice first appeared in Antarctica 40 million years ago and became well established 34 million years ago when Drake's passage opened up allowing the strong Circumpolar Antarctic Sea current to form long with similar winds that's somewhat isolate Antarctica from the rest of the planet. As such, even though we are in this interglacial, there had been a large spatial and temporal ice and snow presence that maintained high polar albedo levels. This is rapidly declining, especially in the Arctic where there is significant amplification of the warming effect from greenhouse gases. Also, proceeding conditions have provided a significant endowment of biospheric and lithospheric carbon sequestration that is sensitive to present temperature increases. Major feedbacks from these are beginning to mount. With the amplifications at the poles, especially the Arctic, the resulting flaccid and meandering northern hemisphere polar jet stream no longer can prevent persistent and far-reaching troughs and ridges that result in local disastrous intensifications accelerating feedbacks from natural reservoirs in excess of what would be expected from current increase of global mean temperature. Consider that in California all of the efforts to reduce emissions over the past few decades have been undermined by emissions from the ravages of statewide wildfires during the same period. Finally, of no little significance, mankind's efforts to maintain have produced additional major feedbacks that result from mitigation, adaptation, sustainability transformations, relocation, disaster responses, rebuilding, increased conflict, warfare and other disruptions, especially biospheric. The self-reinforcing and compounding effects all of the above will soon make things quite unmanageable. Taking all together, I don't see a rosy picture! Really, in order to have time to sufficiently respond to the extent that we are able to bring down even present levels of atmospheric greenhouse gases it appears that it will soon become necessary to manage temperature with various, synergistic and well applied solar radiation management. Absent such measures which are prudent in comparison to allowing the current dangerous experiment to play out, things are really going to get tough.
@Sandwich.3000
@Sandwich.3000 12 дней назад
Lol, love the confetti spray when they say we probably won’t go extinct
@albertnobbs5049
@albertnobbs5049 Год назад
Runaway changes like methane releases/snow discolouration and ecological changes can have drastic affects we haven't accounted for yet. Or we have accounted for them and they aren't covered here. Fact is we've done so much damage to so many systems that a cascade failure of parts of our biosphere is more or less imminent.
@davidsalo8397
@davidsalo8397 Год назад
Agree. This video seems to simplify our challenges to a number. While I appreciate the note of optimism, it's a bit naive to think everything will turn out fine if we only think of this very complex world in terms of one or two "accomplishments".
@yabeeba_com
@yabeeba_com Год назад
our financial system is based on growth and will collapse without growth. as long as that system is in place, it doesnt matter how much steps we take in the right direction, because that only delays the date of collapse, it does not prevent it from happening.
@ynAMe6Aj
@ynAMe6Aj Год назад
Stead state, that is no growth and no collapse is an incredibly unlikely balancing act. Sustainable oscillation is probably achievable but nobody wants to oversee the contractions. It is a hard problem. We'll find out if the term "intelligent" actually applies to us as a species if we crack that nut. Alternative we might have an answer to the Fermi paradox, that being that the implication of intelligence actually existing implicit in the paradox has yet to be established.
@josephhoward4697
@josephhoward4697 Год назад
All growth becomes maintenance, and all maintenance becomes waste. The reason why any system, not just our own, depends on growth. Without growth, the cost of maintenance will catch up and remove all possibility of growth for decades to come. Instead, we’d see decline.
@cheesemonger2668
@cheesemonger2668 7 месяцев назад
I just want to know what I can do to enact actual change in policy and government because that seems to be where the real impact is. How do we make a difference? As a fairly young person all this seems so simple and straightforward but I don’t know how to make the people in power see reason! What do I do to help shift the world towards a better future?
@samantha-jaynechapman2950
@samantha-jaynechapman2950 7 месяцев назад
Thank you for this, this dragging me back from nihilism to proactive action
@richardallan2767
@richardallan2767 Год назад
Remember this probably doesn't take into account methane warming, and even if it does, it doesn't take into account abrupt accelerations due to tipping points, because we simply don't know where that all kicks in and how. Recent papers indicate these may not kick in at 3 or 4C as previously thought, but as low as 1.5C
@Bitchslapper316
@Bitchslapper316 Год назад
Probably because methane has an average life of 9 years until it's broken down in the atmosphere whereas carbon can stay in the atmosphere for 1000 years.
@richardallan2767
@richardallan2767 Год назад
@@Bitchslapper316 Yeah, but, ne has more than 80 times the warming power of carbon dioxide during that time. I think about 25% of today's global warming is driven by methane and that permafrost is melting.
@Bitchslapper316
@Bitchslapper316 Год назад
@@richardallan2767 Yeah I'm just saying it's different and interacts differently in the atmosphere. It's funny how no one is talking about the estimated 500,000 tons of methane released by the nord stream pipeline being exploded. The largest amount of methane ever recorded being released into the atmosphere and crickets. It's also worth noting that in Siberia permafrost is being flamethrowered to get at the ground beneath.
@JALNIN66
@JALNIN66 Год назад
Thank you for giving us hope again. I really missed hope.
@lackofsubtlety6688
@lackofsubtlety6688 Год назад
We are still fucked.
@lorenzoblum868
@lorenzoblum868 Год назад
Hope is the courtesy of despair... Btw, the carbon /toxicity boot print of military industrial complex anybody?
@maiyamay_
@maiyamay_ Год назад
Climate optimism is definitely refreshing and needed.
@raoulluijten5972
@raoulluijten5972 Год назад
I "hope" you don´t believe we are gonna be ok and actually start doing smt. We need your help to solve this mess, now.
@badrinair
@badrinair Год назад
Thank you. I feel hopeful
@andrewsvard9222
@andrewsvard9222 2 месяца назад
2.5-3C instead of 5C is a huge difference. The scariest prospects to me are not necessarily a warmer or more extreme weather overall, but the tipping points especially AMOC collapse kinda terrifies me. With massive sea level rise, dryer and warmer southern hemisphere, and potential ice age conditions in Northern Europe, Canada etc.
@anthonystile3688
@anthonystile3688 Год назад
Y'all made this seem like it's better than it is.
@melisboregard
@melisboregard Год назад
I whould have apreciated a little more honesty from the people being interviewed. It felt like they were sugarcoating future scenarios a bit.
@SophiaAphrodite
@SophiaAphrodite Год назад
Yeah made me think of the show the Newsroom where they interviewed a Climate Scientist and he was apocalyptic and they tried to downplay the fact he said it was too late. .
@melisboregard
@melisboregard Год назад
@@SophiaAphrodite I like that clip as well. 😁
@raoulluijten5972
@raoulluijten5972 Год назад
Especially the IPCC writers, feel like they must have cherry picked their statements, I cannot believe they are incoherent with their own report that states everything short of 1.5 degrees is a complete fuckery.
@bigbadblackbear3031
@bigbadblackbear3031 7 месяцев назад
Too many people out there resistant to changing our ways. Happens time and time again in history, if you can't adapt to change you lose. And right now, we're all losing.
@hugomarquez3189
@hugomarquez3189 9 месяцев назад
No mention of animal agriculture. We won’t reach any of the goals unless that is addressed, meat and dairy consumption can’t go on as it has.
@___.51
@___.51 9 месяцев назад
Welcome to the world of hopium content, don’t let it sedate you 😕
@mrroberttrujillo
@mrroberttrujillo Год назад
Not alarmed enough! These are very informative! Keep it up!
@chrispapadopoulos6843
@chrispapadopoulos6843 Год назад
I don't really like videos where they play down the concequences of a 3 degrees warmer world, and this is one of those videos I am afraid. A 3 degree warmer world is literal hell in some parts of the world and the change those places will be experiencing will be unseen in scale and speed. We need more action, faster and by everyone, with a focus on the heavy polluters such as big companies, ultra-rich individuals, advanced countries, etc. As far as the video goes, it is certainlt not alarmed enough.
@We_Love_The_Lord
@We_Love_The_Lord Год назад
NOT ALARMED ENOUGH!!!!
@Quyanxi
@Quyanxi 8 месяцев назад
Well explained, thanks! I don't think you're either alarmist or not alarmist enough, and I really appreciate that. As for being even remotely cautiously optimistic about the future? Well, I'll reserve that judgement for a tad later. But I remain hopeful. Thanks again.
@jthompson6189
@jthompson6189 Год назад
We're all so dead. I still see people say this is not a real issue, like ALOT of people. Human stupidity and greed will be our doom.
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